FHMESQ May System Thread

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Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Hey, thanks for this stuff, its great! Any thoughts on increasing unit amounts at this point, now that things have looked up for a while? the systems look like they have a bit of room to expand still...:think2:

My pleasure. Personally, I am going to stick with the unit size I have been playing since the start of the season. My personal plan is to build up my bankroll during baseball and WNBA and then increase my personal unit size for NHL and NBA starting in October. Almost treating the end of baseball and beginning of NHL as the end/beginning of my fiscal year.

However, if you feel comfortable increasing unit size based on the results, go for it. We are about 1/4 way through the baseball season and slightly ahead of pace that I expected for the season, so we aren't outperforming anything I projected right now. I would expect about the same the rest of the way if this season holds form.

As far as posting a unit increase, I don't plan to do that. It would be too difficult to post differently than how I play.
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Will update in the morning, just want to post a play as I think Mil line will get worse and the early plays for NYY/CWS game 1

Wednesday plays

Mo> - Brewers +127 (game 1) .7874 to win 1

Wednesday possible plays (early game only)

White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Wednesday, May 15:

Tuesday Results:


Mo> - Indians -141 won 15-7 for +1
3SHD - Braves -192 won 6-2 for +2.66
Mo> - Mets -137 lost 10-1 for -1.37
>9 - Diamondbacks -115 under 3-0 for -5.1923
<8 - Reds u7.5 -115 under 2-1 for +2.15
4DRD - Dodgers -146 won 9-7 for +1
<8 - Dodgers -115 over 9-7 for -2.3575
<9.5 - Red Sox +100 under 2-7 for +4.1
4DRD - A's -195 won 5-4 for +1

Total - 6-3 for +2.9903

All others were no plays.

Series Record 162-3
Play Record 162-112-16
Game Record 130-94-14
Units +70.0013 or +$7000.13

Wednesday plays

Mo> - Brewers +127 (game 1) .7874 to win 1

Wednesday possible plays (reposting early game)


Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Angels <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Cubs >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Giants <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SHD - Giants to win 1 if Hou +100 or more
Astros <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 9.71 if exactly 9
Reds <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Dodgers <8 to win 4.41 if 8 or less
Cardinals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Twins <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Rockies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9

G/L. Will post game 2 of CWS/NYY after game 1 ends.
 

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Wasn't Minnesota a gm 2 4DRD yesterday?

Little late to ask questions but I wasn't around yesterday.
 

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what da hell is going on in this thread? most confusing shit i ever seen in a thread.
 

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kk guys can u tell me what the best bet is 2nite using the system because i cant understand it
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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what da hell is going on in this thread? most confusing shit i ever seen in a thread.

It isn't that confusing, although it does take some work on your part and monitoring of lines by you. There are a number of system plays that I post each day. All of the systems are results dependant and line dependant. The explanations for the systems are in the first post of this thread and many questions are answered in the April thread (link in first post). Read through that and if you have any questions, I am more than happy to answer them.

I post the plays each day and then it is up to you to monitor the possible plays to see if they hit the required number or line. It does take some work, my research shows it should win 200+ units pretty much annually if form holds from research. Up to you to decide if that is worth figuring it out and monitoring it.

Bout,

These are all system plays so I can't really say any one play is better than any other.
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Adding for Game 2 of CWS/NYY

Play:

Mo< - White Sox to win 1

Possible Plays:

White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Thursday, May 16:

Wednesday Results:


Mo> - Brewers +127 lost 6-2 for -.7874
Mo< - White Sox +135 lost 8-1 for -.7407
>9 - White Sox -110 pushed 1-8 for 00
<8 - Angels -115 under 5-0 for +1

Total - 1-2-1 for -.5281

All others were no plays.

Series Record 163-3
Play Record 163-114-17
Game Record 131-96-15
Units +69.4732 or +$6947.32

Thursday plays

Mo> - Brewers -115 (game 2) 2.0585 to win 1.79
Mo< - Indians (game 1, fade Minn) to win 1

Thursday possible plays


Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
3SHD - Brewers to win 1 if Phil +100 or more
Cubs >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Giants <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SHD - Giants to win 1 if Hou +100 or more
Astros <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 9.71 if exactly 9
Rockies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
3SHD - Rangers to win 1 if TB +100 or more

G/L. Bunch of early games, will post game 2 of Det/Bos after game 1.
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Will update in the morning, only one early game which starts at 11:20 am Pacific so I will post around 9 am Pacific. Perfect night tonight!
 

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FHM,

I missed the past couple days of data to enter into the spread sheet you sent. You said you use 5 dimes lines as your final data, can I go back and check past final lines for 5 dimes? I've just been entering the data at the time of the games but need to enter these latest games.

AC
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Friday, May 17: - Perfect Thursday, can't ask for any more. I am a little worried about interleague play with the imbalance the last couple years. Hopefully we make it through unscathed.

Thursday Results:


Mo> - Brewers -115 won 3-2 for +1.79
Mo< - Indians +127 won 2-0 for +1
>9 - Cubs -110 over 5-6 for +1
3SHD - Brewers -115 won 3-2 for +1
<8 - Giants u7.5 -110 under 2-1 for +1
<8 - Twins -125 under 0-2 for +1

Total - 6-0 for +6.79

All others were no plays.

Series Record 169-3
Play Record 169-114-17
Game Record 136-96-15
Units +76.2632 or +$7626.32

Friday plays

Mo> - Mets -102 (game 2) 2.4174 to win 2.37

Friday possible plays


Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Dodgers <8 to win 4.41 if 8 or less
4DRD - Angels to win 1 if LAD +110 or more
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
3SRD - Phillies to win 1 if Tor +100 or more
Astros <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 9.71 if exactly 9
Rockies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DRD - Rockies to win 1 if KC +110 or more
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
4DRD - Cubs to win 1 if CWS +110 or more
4DHF - Cubs to win 1 if -130 or more
Cardinals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Reds <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9
3SHD - Marlins to win 1 if TB +100 or more
4DHF - A's to win 1 if -130 or more

G/L. Cubs/CWS is an early game.
 

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White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9

What does this mean?
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Gelo, the explanation of each system is in the first post of this thread. Also in that post is a link to April's thread that answers many questions you may have. Take a look through that and let me know if you still have any questions.

However, to answer this specific question, the White Sox are possible plays under 2 different o/u systems. You would bet the under to win 1 unit if their o/u number is 8 or less, or, you would bet them over to win 2.1 units if their o/u number is exactly 9. If it is any other number, you wouldn't play it. I know it seems counter intuitive to play them u8 and o9 and not the opposite, but it has to do with the two different systems.

It may seem confusing at first, but if you read the systems and the questions and answers in the April thread it should clarify much for you.
 

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FHM,

you see my reply above? sorry to bother, i know you are pretty good at answering everyones questions, i figure you overlooked it

AC
 

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