FHMESQ May System Thread

[scimonji]

Scimonji,

Check out posts 84 and 85. There was a Minn play that I missed that would have ended that series. I am just writing that -1.61 off and starting the series play new. If you want to play it as a continuation of that previous series, go ahead.

BTW, all, WNBA plays start today. Posted in the NBA forum.

oh, i didn't remember this!
wnba?? oh, i go now to see your plays!

 

[fhmesq44]

Great day, won about 25 units. Will update record, post detailed record and post Monday plays in the morning.

 

[fhmesq44]

Monday, May 20: Sorry for the delay, actually had to work for a while. Another great weekend. Was a little concerned with that Reds game after the fast start but everyone settled down for a nice low scoring affair.

Sunday Results:

3SHD - Padres +149 won 2-1 for +2.16
<9.5 - Reds -135 under 3-5 for +8.61
<8 - Orioles -115 under 3-4 for +1
<8 - Diamondbacks -105 under 5-2 for +2.25
<8 - Pirates -105 under 2-5 for +1
<9.5 - Red Sox +100 under 6-3 for +1
<9.5 - Braves +100 under 3-6 for +1
4DRD - Brewers -155 won 6-5 for +1
4DHF - Brewers -155 won 6-5 for +1
4DRD - Rockies -155 lost 10-5 for -4.154
<8 - Dodgers -115 under 1-4 for +9.48
<8 - Angels -115 under 4-1 for +1
<8 - Mariners u7.5 -115 under 1-2 for +1

Total - 12-1 for +26.346

All others were no plays.

Series Record 189-3
Play Record 189-123-19
Game Record 151-105-16
Units +98.0434 or +$9804.34

Monday possible plays

White Sox <8 to win 2.05 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 9.71 if exactly 9
Rockies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130
Brewers <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Giants >9 to win 1 if exactly 9

G/L.

 

[fhmesq44]

Detailed Records

4DHF

Game 1 = 11-8
Game 2 = 6-2
Game 3 = 1-1
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +19.0073

4DRD

Game 1 = 17-12
Game 2 = 8-4
Game 3 = 2-1 (pending KC -5.834)
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +19.5626


<8

Game 1 = 20-9-4
Game 2 = 3-5 (pending CWS -1.05)
Game 3 = 2-3
Game 4 = 1-1-2 (pending Phil -9.38)

Total -4.669 - Loss LAD -20.24

>9

Game 1 = 20-14-9
Game 2 = 9-4-1 (pending CWS -1.1)
Game 3 = 1-3-2
Game 4 = 1-1 (pending Ariz -8.7073)

Total +2.3227 - Loss LAA -18.8736

<9.5

Game 1 = 11-10
Game 2 = 4-4 (pending Minn -1.05, Wash -1.2)
Game 3 = 2-2
Game 4 = 2-0

Total +16.75

Mo>

Game 1 = 6-5
Game 2 = 4-1
Game 3 = 0-1
Game 4 = 0-1

Total -11.6274 - Loss Pitt -21.63

Mo<
Game 1 = 7-4
Game 2 = 3-1
Game 3 (pending Cubs -2.3043)

Total +7.695

3SHF

Game 1 = 7-5
Game 2 = 4-1
Game 3 = 0-1
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +12

3SHD

Game 1 = 3-4
Game 2 = 2-2
Game 3 = 1-1
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +7.0006

3SRD

Game 1 = 21-9
Game 2 = 7-2
Game 3 = 1-1
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +30.0015

 

[fhmesq44]

just a note,

The Texas play should read -130 OR MORE as is the case with all 4D and 3S plays.

 

[fhmesq44]

Tuesday, May 22: Interesting situation with Texas yesterday, they closed at -130 for their scheduled game time but dropped below -130 and closed at -128 when the game was actually started. Thus, it wasn't a play. I ended up playing it as I am sure many of you may have. Fortunately it won, so think of it as a little 1 unit gift.

Monday Results:

<9.5 - Twins -105 over 4-14 for -2.15
<8 - Brewers -105 over 9-5 for -1.05

Total - 0-2 for -3.2

All others were no plays.

Series Record 189-3
Play Record 189-125-19
Game Record 151-107-16
Units +94.8434 or +$9484.34

Tuesday possible plays

White Sox <8 to win 2.05 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 9.71 if exactly 9
Rockies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Rockies <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SHD - Rockies to win 1 if Ariz +100 or more
Twins <9.5 to win 4.2 if exactly 9.5
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more
Brewers <8 to win 2.05 if 8 or less
Giants >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
3SHD - Phillies to win 1 if Fla +100 or more
Cardinals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SRD - Tigers to win 1 if LAA +100 or more
Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DRD - Devil Rays to win 1 if -130 or more

G/L.

 

[mofak7]

go year so far...... i haven't been able to play everything but been keeping up with Mo plays.......... think they have good potential.

 

[fhmesq44]

Wednesday, May 23: Took our 4th loss today and dodged a bullet on Philly.

Tuesday Results:

<8 - Phillies -105 push 3-5 for 00
<8 - Brewers -110 under 2-3 for +2.05
3SHD - Phillies -130 lost 5-3 for -1.3
>9 - Diamondbacks -125 under 3-1 for -12.1375
>9 - Rockies -125 under 1-3 for -1.25

Total - 1-3-1 for -12.6375

All others were no plays.

Series Record 190-4
Play Record 190-128-20
Game Record 152-109-17
Units +82.2059 or +$8220.59

Wednesday plays

3SHD - Phillies -118 (game 2, fade Fla) 2.714 to win 2.3
Mo< - Padres (game 3, fade Cubs) to win 3.31

Wednesday possible plays

White Sox <8 to win 2.05 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Rockies >9 to win 2.25 if exactly 9
Rockies <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Twins <9.5 to win 4.2 if exactly 9.5
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more
Giants >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SHD - Astros to win 1 if SF +100 or more
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Cardinals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SRD - Tigers to win 1 if LAA +100 or more
Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DRD - Devil Rays to win 1 if -130 or more
Devil Rays >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Mariners >9 to win 1 if exactly 9

G/L - one early game tomorrow.

 

[A.C.Slater]

In case you guys hadn't seen dialidol.com, jordan sparks is the clear winner. Dial Idol is a computer program that uses speed dialing to judge the busy signals on American Idol, so the more busy signals a contestant gets, the more votes he/she is getting. The program has statistically noted that Jordan Sparks will win tonight.

Since I figured that most of us in this thread have 5dimes account, I just wanted to let you know that they have the prop for Jordan at 1:15, if you want to unload your bankroll after betting the bases system and get some easy cash money.

 

[A10Expert]

question

Its not likely that you'd have this answer, but I'll give it a shot...
On the 5 game chase for >9, which has much volitility, would it matter that the trend for the 5th game is over or under 9? For example, today's Rockies - DBacks game is technically game 5 of the 4 game loser last night, but it's trending down (I got it at 8.5), it wouldn't seem wise to play it...what are your thoughts?

 

[fhmesq44]

Its not likely that you'd have this answer, but I'll give it a shot...
On the 5 game chase for >9, which has much volitility, would it matter that the trend for the 5th game is over or under 9? For example, today's Rockies - DBacks game is technically game 5 of the 4 game loser last night, but it's trending down (I got it at 8.5), it wouldn't seem wise to play it...what are your thoughts?

Unfortunately I have no idea. The data I have is just the closing lines, so I don't know which way that particular line trended. BTW, the LAA game would also be game 5 of that lost series. My mentality is that I am not here to win every unit. I want to do well, but with a level of risk with which I am comfortable. We are off to a good start and at this time I don't want to blow 40+ units chasing these two to a 5th game.

Were we in August and if this were the first 4 game loss in the >9 system, I may feel differently.

 

[fhmesq44]

Thursday, May 24:

Wednesday Results:

3SHD - Phillies -118 won 8-7 for +2.3
Mo< - Padres -124 won 2-1 for +3.31
<8 - Cardinals -115 pushed 5-3 for 00
<9.5 - Twins -115 under 5-3 for +4.2
>9 - Angels -120 over 7-8 for +1
>9 - White Sox -105 under 0-4 for -2.21

Total - 4-1-1 for +8.6

All others were no plays.

Series Record 194-4
Play Record 194-129-21
Game Record 156-110-18
Units +90.8059 or +$9080.59

Thursday possible plays

Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Reds to win 1 if Wash +110 or more
4DHF - Reds to win 1 if -130 or more
Diamondbacks >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Cardinals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
4DRD - Devil Rays to win 1 if -130 or more
Devil Rays >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Mariners >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DRD - Braves to win 1 if NYM +110 or more
Braves >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SHD - Indians to win 1 if KC +100 or more

G/L - couple early games tomorrow.

 

[BobStoops+]

Help. I am off for golf and won't be back before the games start.

I need the winners!

 

[fhmesq44]

Sorry Stoopsy

Friday, May 25:

Thursday Results:

<8 - Cardinals u7.5 -120 under 3-1 for +1
4DRD - Reds -160 lost 5-4 for -1.6
4DHF - Reds -160 lost 5-4 for -1.6
4DRD - Braves -138 won 2-1 for +1
3SHD - Indians -127 won 10-3 for +1

Total - 3-2 for -.2

All others were no plays.

Series Record 197-4
Play Record 197-131-21
Game Record 159-111-18
Units +90.8059 or +$9080.59

Friday plays

Mo> - Mets -134 (game 1) 1.34 to win 1
Mo< - Red Sox -180 (game 1, fade tex) 1.8 to win 1

Friday possible plays

Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Cardinals to win 2.6 if Wash +110 or more
3SRD - Cardinals to win 1 if Wash +100 or more
3SHD - Nationals to win 1 if STL +100 or more
4DHF - Reds to win 2.6 if -130 or more
Diamondbacks >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Braves >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Rockies <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Rockies >9 to win 2.25 if exactly 9
3SHD - Rockies to win 1 if SF +100 or more
A's >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more
Mariners >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Twins to win 1 if -130 or more
Devil Rays >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
White Sox <8 to win 2.05 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 4.31 if exactly 9

G/L.

 

[A.C.Slater]

FHM,

Quick excel question for you: On the main worksheet I used the pull down menu in box C2 to sort the teams. Usually I just hit the Undo control to get it back to the day to day schedule but its not working for me now.

How do you get it to sort by date and then have the matched up teams next to each other?

Have a good weekend if I dont get a chance to post.

AC

 

[fhmesq44]

instead of undo, select ALL in the pull down menu

Will post results and record later

Saturday plays

3SRD - Cardinals (game 2, fade Wash) to win 2.6

Saturday possible plays

Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Cardinals to win 6.76 if Wash +110 or more
4DHF - Reds to win 6.71 if -130 or more
Diamondbacks >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Diamondbacks <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Braves >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Mets >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Rockies <8 to win 2.1 if 8 or less
Rockies >9 to win 2.25 if exactly 9
Giants >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SRD - Giants to win 1 if Col +100 or more
4DRD - Giants to win 1 if Col +110 or more
A's >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Red Sox <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more
Mariners >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Devil Rays >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
White Sox <8 to win 4.1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 4.31 if exactly 9
3SHD - Blue Jays to win 1 if Minn +100 or more

G/L - few early games tomorrow

View attachment 3047

View attachment 3048

 

[fhmesq44]

Will post results and record later - busy weekend. I owe two days of results

Sunday plays

3SRD - Giants (game 2, fade Col) to win 2.33
Mo> - Angels +135 (game 1) .7408 to win 1
Mo< - Angels +135 (game 1, fade NYY) .7408 to win 1

Sunday possible plays

Nationals <9.5 to win 4.95 if exactly 9.5
Cardinals <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
4DHF - Reds to win 18.65 if -130 or more
4DRD - Reds to win 1 if Pitts +110 or more
3SHD - Astros to win 1 if Ariz +100 or more
Diamondbacks <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Diamondbacks >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Diamondbacks <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Braves >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Mets >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Rockies <8 to win 2.1 if 8 or less
Rockies >9 to win 2.25 if exactly 9
Giants >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Giants to win 1 if -130 or more
4DRD - Giants to win 2.33 if Col +110 or more
Brewers <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Padres <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
A's >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
A's <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Red Sox <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more
Mariners >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Devil Rays >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
White Sox <8 to win 4.1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 4.31 if exactly 9
3SRD - TIgers to win 1 if Cle +100 or more
4DRD - Yankees to win 1 if LAA +110 or more

Good luck, few early games tomorrow

 

[fhmesq44]

Sorry for the delay in posting results for Fri-Sun, will post results and record later - busy weekend.

Monday plays

3SRD - Giants (game 3, fade Col) to win 6.04
3SHD - Phillies (game 2, fade Ariz) to win 2.33

Monday possible plays

4DHF - Reds to win 18.65 if -130 or more
4DRD - Reds to win 2.25 if Pitts +110 or more
3SRD - Reds to win 1 if Pitts +100 or more
Diamondbacks <8 to win 2.2 if 8 or less
Diamondbacks >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Diamondbacks <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
3SHD - Diamondbacks to win 1 if Phil +100 or more
Rockies <8 to win 2.1 if 8 or less
4DRD - Cardinals to win 6.04 if Col +110 or more
3SHF - Brewers to win 1 if -110 or more
4DRD - Cubs to win 1 if Fla +110 or more
A's <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Red Sox <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
3SRD - Red Sox to win 1 if Cle +100 or more
Mariners >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SRD - Angels to win 1 if Sea +100 or more
Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Yankees >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Devil Rays >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SRD - Devil Rays to win 1 if Det +100 or more
4DHF - Devil Rays to win 1 if -130 or more
White Sox <8 to win 4.1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 4.31 if exactly 9

Good luck and have a great memorial day

 

[scimonji]

Sorry for the delay in posting results for Fri-Sun, will post results and record later - busy weekend.

Monday plays

4DHF - Reds to win 18.65 if -130 or more

you didn't play it yesterday?
i had a line of -131, i played it yesterday (and losed)...
maybe i play today again...

 

[scimonji]

Monday plays

3SRD - Giants (game 3, fade Col) to win 6.04


4DRD - Cardinals to win 6.04 if Col +110 or more

two errors (i think)
in the first you mean CARDS fade COLORADO, right?
the second can't be a play today... the match is CARDS at COLORADO, rockies are at home, not road

PS: i hope you don't anger if i signal this mistake...