FHMESQ May System Thread

[fhmesq44]

adding the LAA/Cle plays

Thursday possible plays

Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Mariners <9.5 to win 2.15 if exactly 9.5
Tigers >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Red Sox >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Red Sox <9.5 to win 2 if exactly 9.5
Blue Jays 3SRD to win 1 if Bos +100 or more
Blue Jays <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
A's >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Royals >9 to win 2.05 if exactly 9
4DRD - Twins to win 2.3 if CWS +110 or more
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Devil Rays >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Marlins <8 to win 2.1 if 8 or less
4DRD - Marlins to win 1 if LAD +110 or more
Astros <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
3SRD - Reds to win 1 if Hou +100 or more
Reds <9.5 to win 2 if exactly 9.5
Giants <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Pirates >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Indians >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Angels to win 2.3 if -130 or more
Angels >9 to win 10.41 if exactly 9

G/L. Bunch of early games tomorrow.

 

[fhmesq44]

Thursday, May 10:

Wednesday Results:

Mo< - Yankees -200 won 6-2 for +1
4DRD - Braves -150 won 3-2 for +1
<9.5 - Mariners -115 over 9-2 for -1.15
<9.5 - Red Sox +100 over 9-3 for -1
4DRD - Twins -130 lost 6-3 for -1.3
>9 - White Sox +105 push 6-3 for 00
>9 - Twins +105 push 3-6 for 00
3SRD - Angels -124 won 3-2 for +1
3SHF - Angels -124 won 3-2 for +1
>9 - Angels -115 under 3-2 for -5.57

Total - 4-4-2 for -5.02

All others were no plays.

Series Record 130-2
Play Record 130-96-13
Game Record 102-80-11
Units +47.5586 or +$4755.86

 

[fhmesq44]

Friday, May 11: LAA stayed under for the 4th game. The >9 results are positive either way and are listed on the first page of this thread. I am going to stop the series after 4 games. If you guys want to take a whirl at 5, best of luck. 4 games isn't as volatile as 5 game chase for this but only last year did a 5 game chase significantly outperform a 4 game chase. The 4 game chase was better performing in 3 of the last 5 seasons.

Thursday Results:

3SRD - Reds -146 won 9-5 for +1
<9.5 - Astros -105 over 5-9 for -1.05
<9.5 - Reds -105 over 9-5 for -2.1
>9 - Tigers -105 over 7-3 for +1
>9 - A's +105 over 17-3 for +1
>9 - Royals +105 over 3-17 for +2.05
>9 - Devil Rays -125 over 6-11 for +1
3SRD - Blue Jays -145 lost 8-0 for -1.45
>9 - Indians +109 under 0-8 for -.9264
>9 - Angels +110 under 8-0 for -9.4636

Total - 5-5 for -6.59

All others were no plays.

Series Record 135-3
Play Record 135-101-13
Game Record 106-83-11
Units +40.9686 or +$4096.86

Thursday plays

3SRD - Orioles (game 2, fade Boston) to win 2.45**

Thursday possible plays

Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SRD - Red Sox to win 1 if Balt +100 or more**
Red Sox >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Red Sox <9.5 to win 2 if exactly 9.5
Blue Jays <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Mariners <9.5 to win 2.15 if exactly 9.5
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Twins to win 2.34 if Det +110 or more
Marlins <8 to win 2.1 if 8 or less
Nationals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Nationals >9 to win 2.25 if exactly 9
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Phillies to win 1 if Cubs +110 or more
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Phillies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SRD - Mets to win 1 if Mil +100 or more
4DRD - Mets to win 5.71 if Mil +110 or more
Astros <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 4.515 if exactly 9
Reds <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9.5
Cardinals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SHF - Padres to win 1 if -110 or more
Giants <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Pirates >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SRD - Pirates to win 1 if Atl +100 or more Indians >9 to win 1.93 if exactly 9
Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Rangers to win if -130 or more

G/L.

The Orioles 3SRD and Red Sox 3SRD plays conflict. To reconcile the conflict you would no play the Red Sox and reduce the amount to win on the Orioles by the Red Sox line. Example, if Bos if -155, you would play Baltimore to win .9 (2.45-1.55).

 

[A.C.Slater]

FHM,

A couple things, not sure if your record keeping is off or your possible plays is, but noticed you had 3SRD Blue Jays for a loss, but hadn't listed it as a possible play yesterday.

Other thing, I called into 5 dimes right before pitch time for the angels game, they said line was -137 making them a play (they won 8-0, I didnt get the bet in, had to call my other book but was too late!)

 

[fhmesq44]

Slater,

It is listed, go back and look. Unfortunately I wrote it Blue Jays 3SRD instead of 3SRD - Blue Jays like I usually do. My bad on that.

Damn, that blows on the Angels. When it comes to the non o/u plays I will put them in earlier a lot of times and just play them home listed if they look almost surely like they will be a play. Like today, I already have SD, Minn and Bos in. No need to wait, Santana isn't dropping to less than required number.

 

[che-chino]

fh, congratulation your systeme is working good. keep it going and thanx for postin. by the way any play today, thanx in advance:WTF:


:youmad:

 

[fhmesq44]

fh, congratulation your systeme is working good. keep it going and thanx for postin. by the way any play today, thanx in advance:WTF:


:youmad:

Today's plays posted above. Oh, shit, I posted Thursday instead of Friday. Sorry for the confusion, here are Friday's plays (same as above)

Friday plays

3SRD - Orioles (game 2, fade Boston) to win 2.45**

Friday possible plays

Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SRD - Red Sox to win 1 if Balt +100 or more**
Red Sox >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Red Sox <9.5 to win 2 if exactly 9.5
Blue Jays <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Mariners <9.5 to win 2.15 if exactly 9.5
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Twins to win 2.34 if Det +110 or more
Marlins <8 to win 2.1 if 8 or less
Nationals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Nationals >9 to win 2.25 if exactly 9
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Phillies to win 1 if Cubs +110 or more
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Phillies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SRD - Mets to win 1 if Mil +100 or more
4DRD - Mets to win 5.71 if Mil +110 or more
Astros <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 4.515 if exactly 9
Reds <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9.5
Cardinals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SHF - Padres to win 1 if -110 or more
Giants <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Pirates >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SRD - Pirates to win 1 if Atl +100 or more Indians >9 to win 1.93 if exactly 9
Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Rangers to win if -130 or more

G/L.

The Orioles 3SRD and Red Sox 3SRD plays conflict. To reconcile the conflict you would no play the Red Sox and reduce the amount to win on the Orioles by the Red Sox line. Example, if Bos if -155, you would play Baltimore to win .9 (2.45-1.55).

 

[fhmesq44]

will update the results in the morning.

Saturday plays

3SRD - Red Sox -225 (game 2, fade Balt) 5.76 to win 2.56

Saturday possible plays

Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Red Sox >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Red Sox <9.5 to win 2 if exactly 9.5
Blue Jays <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
3SHD - Royals to win 1 if CWS +100 or more
Twins <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Twins >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Twins to win 7.05 if Det +110 or more
4DHF - Twins to win 1 if -130 or more
3SHF - Twins to win 1 if -110 or more
Nationals >9 to win 2.25 if exactly 9
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Phillies to win 1 if Cubs +110 or more
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Phillies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Astros <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 4.515 if exactly 9
Reds <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9.5
Cardinals <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Giants <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Pirates >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SRD - Pirates to win 1 if Atl +100 or more Indians >9 to win 1.93 if exactly 9
Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more
3SRD - Rangers to win 1 if LAA +100 or more

G/L.

 

[fhmesq44]

Saturday, May 12:

Friday Results:

3SRD - Orioles +156 won 6-3 for +2.45
<8 - Marlins -110 under 0-6 for +2.1
<8 = Nationals -110 under 6-0 for +1
3SRD - Mets -126 won 5-4 for +1
4DRD - Mets -126 won 5-4 for +5.71
<8 - Cardinals -105 u7 push 0-7 for 00
3SHF - Padres -201 won 7-0 for +1
>9 = Angels +100 push 6-3 for 00
4DRD - Twins -201 lost 7-3 for -4.7034
>9 = White Sox -110 under 2-1 for -1.1
<9.5 - Mariners -115 under 3-0 for +2.15
3SRD - Red Sox -156 lost 6-3 for -1.56

Total - 7-3-2 for +8.0466

All others were no plays.

Series Record 142-3
Play Record 142-104-15
Game Record 111-86-13
Units +49.0152 or +$4901.52

Saturday plays already posted

 

[fhmesq44]

Will update Saturday in the morning, Wash/FL is delayed and was a play.


Sunday plays

Mo< - Padres -123 (game 1, fade STL) 1.23 to win 1

Sunday possible plays

Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Orioles <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Red Sox >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Red Sox <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9.5
Blue Jays <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
3SHD - Royals to win 1 if CWS +100 or more
Twins <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Twins >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
4DRD - Twins to win 7.05 if Det +110 or more
3SRD - Twins to win 1 if Det +100 or more
4DHF - Twins to win 1 if -130 or more
3SHF - Twins to win 1 if -110 or more
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Phillies >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
3SHD - Cubs to win 1 if Phil +100 or more
Astros <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 4.515 if exactly 9
Reds <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9.5
Giants <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
3SRD - Pirates to win 1 if Atl +100 or more Indians >9 to win 1.93 if exactly 9
Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more
3SRD - Rangers to win 1 if LAA +100 or more
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5

G/L. Will post the Wash/FL >9 plays in the morning, once the game finishes.

 

[fhmesq44]

Sunday, May 13: Happy Mother's Day, don't forget to call your mom.

Saturday Results:

3SRD - Red Sox -225 won 13-4 for +2.56
4DRD - Phillies -139 won 11-7 for +1
>9 = Pirates -105 over 2-9 for +1
>9 - Nationals -110 over 7-3 for +2.25
<8 - Cardinals <7 -110 under 5-0 for +1
<9.5 - Red Sox -105 over 13-4 for -2.1
>9 - White Sox +105 push 5-4 for 00

Total - 5-1-1 for +5.71

All others were no plays.

Series Record 147-3
Play Record 147-105-16
Game Record 116-87-14
Units +54.7252 or +$5472.52

Sunday plays already posted - Wash/FL going over on a bottom of the 9th Grand Slam finalized the >9.

G/L.

 

[fhmesq44]

Will update in the morning with detailed record but wanted to get the early game up

Monday possible plays

Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more

 

[fhmesq44]

Monday, May 14:

Sunday Results:

Mo< - Padres -123 won 3-0 for +1
>9 - Phillies -110 under 1-4 for -1.1
3SRD - Pirates -120 won 13-2 for +1
>9 - Red Sox -125 over 6-5 for +1
>9 - Indians -108 over 7-10 for +1.93
>9 - Twins -105 over 16-4 for +1

Total - 5-1 for +4.83

All others were no plays.

Series Record 152-3
Play Record 152-106-16
Game Record 121-88-14
Units +59.721 or +$5972.10

Monday possible plays (reposting early games)

Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
4DHF - Rangers to win 1 if -130 or more
3SHD - Braves to win 1 if Wash +100 or more
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Phillies >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
Cubs >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Reds <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Reds <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9.5
Dodgers <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
4DRD - Red Sox to win 7.05 if Det +110 or more
Red Sox <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9
Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Orioles <9.5 to win 1 if exactly 9.5
Blue Jays to win 1 if exactly 9.5

G/L.

Detailed Records:

4DHF

Game 1 = 8-8
Game 2 = 6-2
Game 3 = 1-1
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +16.0073

4DRD

Game 1 = 13-11
Game 2 = 6-3 (pending Minn -1.61, CWS -1.3)
Game 3 = 1-1 (pending Det -6.0434)
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +12.0466

<8

Game 1 = 13-5-3
Game 2 = 1-4
Game 3 = 2-2
Game 4 = 0-1-1 (pending Phil -9.38)

Total -13.62 - Loss LAD -20.24

>9

Game 1 = 19-14-9
Game 2 = 8-4-1 (pending CWS -1.1, Phil 1.1)
Game 3 = 1-2-2 (pending Ariz -3.515)
Game 4 = 1-1

Total +4.415 - Loss LAA -18.8736

<9.5

Game 1 = 7-10
Game 2 = 3-4 (pending Minn -1.05, Wash -1.2, Hou -1.05)
Game 3 = 1-1 (pending Cincy -3.1, Bos -3.1)
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +2.5

Mo>

Game 1 = 5-3
Game 2 = 2-1
Game 3 = 0-1
Game 4 = 0-1

Total -14.63 - Loss Pitts -21.63

Mo<

Game 1 = 6-2
Game 2 = 2-0

Total +8

3SHF

Game 1 = 7-5
Game 2 = 4-1
Game 3 = 0-1
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +12

3SHD

Game 1 = 2-2
Game 2 = 0-2
Game 3 = 1-1
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +4.0006

3SRD

Game 1 = 20-9
Game 2 = 7-2
Game 3 = 1-1
Game 4 = 1-0

Total +29.0015

These numbers result in a ~.16 unit difference than the units I had previously posted. Since the detailed records come off of the spreadsheet as opposed to me adding and subtracting daily like on the Unit Results posted here they are probably more accurate. Thus, I have revised the unit record posted here up by that ~.16 unit. Not sure where the minor difference came from, could be some minor rounding I did earlier in the year.

 

[fhmesq44]

Tuesday, May 15:

Monday Results:

3SHD - Braves -166 lost 2-1 for -1.66
>9 - Phillies -110 over 8-6 for +2.1
<8 - Reds u7.5 -115 over 1-7 for -1.15
<8 - Dodgers -105 over 4-8 for -1.05
4DRD - Red Sox -156 won 7-1 for +7.05
<9.5 - Blue Jays -105 under 5-3 for +1
<9.5 - Orioles -105 under 3-5 for +1

Total - 4-3 for +7.29

All others were no plays.

Series Record 152-3
Play Record 152-106-16
Game Record 121-88-14
Units +6701.1 or +$6701.10

Tuesday plays

Mo> - Indians -141 (game 1) 1.41 to win 1
3SHD - Braves -192 (game 2, fade Wash) 5.1072 to win 2.66
Mo> - Mets -137 (game 1) 1.37 to win 1

Tuesday possible plays

Angels >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Nationals <9.5 to win 2.2 if exactly 9.5
Phillies <8 to win 10.38 if 8 or less
Cubs >9 to win 1 if exactly 9
Giants <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Astros <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
Diamondbacks >9 to win 4.515 if exactly 9
Reds <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Reds <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9.5
Dodgers <8 to win 2.05 if 8 or less
4DRD - Dodgers to win 1 if STL +110 or more
Red Sox <9.5 to win 4.1 if exactly 9
Twins <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
Twins <9.5 to win 2.05 if exactly 9.5
White Sox <8 to win 1 if 8 or less
White Sox >9 to win 2.1 if exactly 9
4DRD - A's to win 1 if KC +110 or more
Orioles <8 to win 1 if 8 or less

G/L.

 

[fhmesq44]

Forgot to update the record

Series Record 156-3
Play Record 156-109-16
Game Record 124-91-14
Units +6701.1 or +$6701.10

 

[fucnluc]

This shit looks confusing, I prefer darts. Looks like you're bankin, solid.

 

[fhmesq44]

This shit looks confusing, I prefer darts. Looks like you're bankin, solid.

Not that confusing, just have to monitor the lines to see if they close at the required numbers. There is a bit of work that goes into it for the player, but my research indicates it should yield a couple hundred units. Up to you to decide if that is worth the effort.

 

[BillyWaltersJr+]

Not that confusing, just have to monitor the lines to see if they close at the required numbers. There is a bit of work that goes into it for the player, but my research indicates it should yield a couple hundred units. Up to you to decide if that is worth the effort.

Agreed, it may seem confusing when you start (at least it was for me), but after you work through things for a week or two it is almost automatic. The one thing it does take is time, to verify if the plays are a go or not, as well as keeping detailed records of what series is still going, etc. So to play all of these systems you need a lot of time. The rest you will grow into.

As far as deciding whether or not playing all of these systems is worth the effort, I don't see two sides to that argument. If you've got the time, go for it. You will likely be in some MAJOR profit by the end of the seasons. Systems are certainly the way to go when it comes to sports betting. Hands down.

 

[fhmesq44]

If you want to be lazy about record keeping you could even disregard that and just play the units I post. I post using based on the lines I get (which are probably different than what many of the posters end up with). So, if you were to just use what I post you wouldn't always win 1 unit per series but the end result would still average close to 1 unit per series win.

The series and game wins and losses would end up being the same since we don't have lines like in other sports.

 

[A10Expert]

Hey, thanks for this stuff, its great! Any thoughts on increasing unit amounts at this point, now that things have looked up for a while? the systems look like they have a bit of room to expand still...:think2: