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[Udog]

NCAAB

Friday, March 18

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Trend Report
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No trends to report except for...

Jacksonville State @ Auburn
Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Auburn
Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville State

Delaware @ Villanova
Delaware
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Delaware's last 6 games when playing Villanova
Delaware is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Villanova
Villanova
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Delaware
Villanova is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Delaware

UAB @ Houston
UAB
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games when playing Houston
UAB is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing UAB
Houston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing UAB

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 18

Loyola Chi vs Ohio State
— Loyola (25-7) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #308
— Experience: #26
— Continuity: #48
— Loyola won seven of its last nine games.
— Ramblers have #7 eFG% in country.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Loyola lost 63-61 to Big 14’s Michigan State in November.
— Last three tourneys, Ramblers went 6-2 in NCAA’s.
— Loyola’s schedule, to this point: #105
— bench minutes: #137
— Since 2009, MVC teams are 12-5 ATS in first round games.

— Ohio State (19-11) ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #189
— Continuity: #213
— Ohio State lost four of its last five games.
— Buckeyes have #22 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#41)
— Under Holtmann, Buckeyes are 3-2 in NCAA’s, 2-1 in first round.
— Ohio State’s schedule, to this point: #22
— bench minutes: #85
— Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.

— Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.

Jacksonville State vs Auburn
— Jacksonville State (21-10) ranked #276 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #40
— Continuity: #26
— Jacksonville State won five of its last six games.
— Gamecocks lost to VCU by 14, Alabama by 6, their high profile games.
— Jacksonville State is located 100 miles north of Auburn
— Gamecocks are shooting 38.2% on arc (#11)
— Jacksonville State’s schedule, to this point: #277
— bench minutes: #265
— Last eight years, ASun teams are 6-2 ATS in this round.

— Auburn (23-9, 18-4) ranked #275 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #306
— Continuity: #279
— Auburn is 5-4 in last nine games, after a 22-1 start.
— Opponents are shooting 42.6% inside arc (#4)
— Auburn rebounds 33.1% of its misses (#42)
— In his career, Pearl is 7-3 SU in first round games.
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #34
— bench minutes: #80
— Last three tournaments, SEC teams are 9-12 ATS in first round

— Jacksonville State is 105 miles north of Auburn- teams last played in 2014.
— Last two years, 15-seeds are 5-3 ATS in first round.

Montana State vs Texas Tech
— Montana State (27-7) ranked #125 by KenPom
— Tempo: #157
— Experience: #217
— Continuity: #33
— Montana State won six in row, 18 of its last 20 games.
— Bobcats get 21.9% of points on foul line (#16)
— Montana State has #32 eFG% in country.
— Bobcats are in NCAA’s for first time since 1996.
— Michigan State’s schedule, to this point: #308
— bench minutes: #180
— Last six tournaments, Big Sky teams are 1-4-1 ATS in this round.

— Texas Tech (25-9) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #42
— Continuity: #291
— Texas Tech split its last six games.
— Red Raiders are shooting 55.1% inside arc (#21)
— Texas Tech are forcing turnovers 23.6% of time (#10)
— Last three years, Red Raiders are 9-3 in NCAA’s.
— Texas Tech’s schedule, to this point: #250
— bench minutes: #335
— Last four tournaments, Big X teams are 16-11 ATS in first round.

— Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games

Yale vs Purdue
— Yale (19-11) ranked #147 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #166
— Continuity: #n/a
— Yale won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Under Jones, Bulldogs are 2-0 ATS in NCAA first round, upsetting Baylor in 2016.
— Yale is 0-5 this season vs top 100 teams.
— Bulldogs lost to Seton Hall by 36, Auburn by 22, Saint Mary’s by 27 in high-profile games.
— Yale’s schedule, to this point: #197
— bench minutes: #111
— Last ten years, Ivy League teams are 8-2 ATS in this round.

— Purdue (37-7) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #211
— Continuity: #13
— Purdue split its last six games.
— Boilers are 24-0 when they score 70+ points, 3-7 when they don’t.
— Purdue has #4 eFG% in country.
— Under Painter, Boilers are 7-5 SU in first round.
— Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #30
— bench minutes: #63
— Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.

— Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games

Delaware vs Villanova
— Delaware (22-12) ranked #145 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #67
— Delaware finished T4 in CAA, but won CAA tourney.
— Blue Hens are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#35)
— Delaware lost by 22-11 in their two non-CAA top 100 games.
— Blue Hens are in NCAAs for first time since 2014.
— Delaware’s schedule, to this point: #206
— bench minutes: #307
— Last 15 years, CAA teams are 11-4 ATS in this round, but lost last two (87-53/78-49)

— Villanova (26-7) ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #54
— Continuity: #38
— Villanova won five in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Wildcats have #64 eFG% defense in country.
— Delaware C Painter played for Villanova from 2017-19.
— Last 7 tournaments, Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in first round games.
— Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #185
— bench minutes: #169
— Last five tournaments, Big East teams are 6-13-1 ATS in first round.

— Last two years, 15-seeds are 5-3 ATS in first round.

Miami vs USC
— Miami (23-10) ranked #160 by KenPom
— Tempo: #160
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #240
— Miami won seven of its last ten games.
— Hurricanes are shooting 54.8% inside arc (#27)
— Miami is #267 team in country on defensive boards.
— Under Larranaga, Miami is 2-2 SU in first round games.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #63
— bench minutes: #354
— Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.

— USC (26-7) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #237
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #118
— USC lost 3 of its last 4 games (UCLA x2, Arizona)
— Trojans are rebounding 33.8% of their misses (#6)
— Opponents are shooting 41.6% inside arc (#2)
— Under Enfield, Trojans are 2-1 SU in this round.
— USC’s schedule, to this point: #84
— bench minutes: #209
— Last two years, Pac-12 teams are 7-0 ATS in this round.

— Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.

Notre Dame vs Alabama
— Notre Dame (23-10) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #256
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #44
— Notre Dame is 9-3 in their last dozen games.
— Irish are 8-8 vs top 100 teams.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Notre Dame is shooting 37.6% on arc (#21)
— Irish played three guys 42:00+ in Wednesday’s double OT win.
— Notre Dame’s schedule, to this point: #66
— bench minutes: #319
— Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in this round.

— Alabama (19-13) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #12
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #211
— Alabama lost its last three games, giving up 83 ppg.
— Crimson Tide is #280 team in country on defensive boards.
— 48% of Alabama’s shots are 3’s (30.8%, #305)
— Crimson Tide
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #213
— SEC teams

— Last six years, underdogs are 14-10 ATS in 6-11 games.

 

[Udog]

Virginia Tech vs Texas
— Virginia Tech (23-12) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #344
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #91
— Virginia Tech won 13 of its last 15 games.
— Hokies are shooting 39.3% on arc (#3)
— 41.5% of Virginia Tech’s shots are 3’s (#95)
— Last four tournaments, Hokies are 1-3 SU in this round
— Virginia Tech’s schedule, to this point: #65
— bench minutes: #333
— Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.

— Texas (21-11) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #341
— Experience: #12
— Continuity: #255
— Texas lost last three games, scoring 61.3 ppg.
— Longhorns are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#14)
— Texas is rebounding 31.9% of its misses (#59)
— Since 2012, Longhorns are 1-6 SU in this round.
— Beard is 4-0 SU in this round, including a win at Little Rock.
— Texas schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #104
— Last four tournaments, Big X teams are 16-11 ATS in first round.

— Last six years, underdogs are 14-10 ATS in 6-11 games.

Chattanooga vs Illinois
— Chattanooga (27-7) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #302
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #49
— Chattanooga won 14 of its last 17 games.
— Mocs have #58 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 52.1% inside arc (#272)
— Last 20 years, Mocs are 0-3 SU in this round.
— Chattanooga’s schedule, to this point: #142
— bench minutes: #281
— Last 11 years, SoCon teams are 6-4-1 ATS in this round.

— Illinois (22-9) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #177
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #114
— Illinois is 5-4 in its last nine games.
— Illini rebounds 33.4% of its misses (#35)
— Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#28)
— Last year was Illini’s first NCAA tourney since 2013.
— Illinois schedule, to this point: #15
— bench minutes: #240
— Since 2015, Big 14 teams are 32-11 SU in first NCAA tourney game.

— Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games.

Cal-Fullerton vs Duke
— Cal-Fullerton (21-10) ranked #149 by KenPom
— Tempo: #239
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #153
— Fullerton won seven of its last nine games.
— Titans are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 7-13-10 points.
— Opponents are shooting 37.1% on arc (#330)
— Last 20 years, Titans are 0-2 in NCAA’s, losing by 26-15 points.
— Cal-Fullerton’s schedule, to this point: #219
— bench minutes: #259
— Last six years, Big West teams are 4-2 ATS in this round.

— Duke (28-6) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #345
— Continuity: #230
— Duke split its last four games, after a 12-1 run.
— Blue Devils are shooting 55.8% inside arc (#14)
— Duke has #47 eFG% defense in country.
— Last 8 tournaments, Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in first round.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #312
— Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.

— Last two years, 15-seeds are 5-3 ATS in first round.

Iowa State vs LSU
— Iowa State (20-12) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #339
— Iowa State lost last three games, scoring 48.3 ppg.
— Cyclones forces turnovers 24.6% of time (#6)
— Iowa State is 12-0 out of conference (NC SOS #328)
— Cyclones had four top 60 wins, all before Christmas.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #252

— LSU (30-3, 20-2) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #300
— LSU fired its coach already for breaking NCAA rules.
— Tigers are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— LSU is 12-1 outside Big X, losing 77-68 at TCU of Big X.
— Tigers won their first round game in last two tournaments.
— LSU’s schedule, to this point: #28
— bench minutes: #159

Wright State vs Arizona
— Wright State (22-13) ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #262
— Continuity: #68
— Wright State won its last six games.
— Wright State is 4-6 SU outside the Horizon League.
— Raiders are shooting 53.1% inside arc (#57)
— Raiders’ two best guys played 40-39 minutes in Wednesday’s win.
— Wright State’s schedule, to this point: #325
— bench minutes: #326
— Last nine years, Horizon teams are 0-9 SU in this round (2-7 ATS)

— Arizona (31-3) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #8
— Experience: #355
— Continuity: #191/
— Arizona won six in row, 15 of its last 16 games.
— Wildcats have #10 eFG%, #9 eFG% defense.
— Arizona scored 81+ points in its last six games.
— Wildcats’ last tournament was ’18, last win in ’17.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #89
— Last two years, Pac-12 teams are 7-0 ATS in this round.

— Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 1-16 games.

Houston vs UAB
— Houston (29-5) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #321
— Houston won nine of its last ten games.
— Cougars rebound 37.8% of their misses (#3)
— Houston has #3 eFG% defense.
— Last three tournaments, Cougars are 7-3 SU.
— Houston’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #235
— Since 2016, AAC teams are 7-6 ATS in first round.

— UAB (27-7) ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #81
— Experience: #102
— Continuity: #157
— UAB won its last seven games, including a 3OT win.
— Blazers force turnovers 21.4% of time (#33)
— UAB rebound 33.4% of their misses (#37)
— Blazers are in NCAAs for first time since 2015.
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #175
— bench minutes: #177
— Last six years, C-USA teams are 5-1 ATS in this round.

— Last five tournaments, underdogs are 12-8 ATS in 5-12 games.

Davidson vs Michigan State
— Davidson (27-6) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #181
— Continuity: #74
— Davidson won seven of its last nine games.
— Wildcats are #8 team in country on defensive boards.
— Davidson is shooting 38.5% on arc (#8)
— Wildcats are 0-4 in NCAA’s since Steph Curry’s heyday in 2008.
— Davidson’s schedule, to this point: #121
— bench minutes: #301
— Since 2014, A-14 teams are 9-12 ATS in this round.

— Michigan State (22-12) ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #141
— Experience: #210
— Continuity: #194
— Michigan State is 8-10 in last 18 games, after a 14-2 start.
— Spartans are shooting 37.8% on arc (#18)
— Michigan State is 9-2 out of conference.
— Spartans are 7-2 SU in last nine first round games.
— Michigan State’s schedule, to this point: #11
— bench minutes: #78
— Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.

— Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.

Colgate vs Wisconsin
— Colgate (23-11) ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #41
— Continuity: #11
— Colgate won its last fifteen games.
— Raiders are 4-9 outside Patriot League.
— Colgate is shooting 40.1% on arc (#2)
— Raiders were in last two tourneys, losing by 17-7 points.
— Colgate’s schedule, to this point: #337
— bench minutes: #310
— Last four years, Patriot League teams are 3-1 ATS in this round.

— Wisconsin (24-7) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #208
— Experience: #281
— Continuity: #226
— Wisconsin lost last two games (Nebraska/Michigan St)
— Badgers are #41 team in country on defensive boards.
— Wisconsin is shooting 31.2% on arc (#291)
— Badgers are 6-3 ATS in last nine first round tilts.
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #315
— Since 2017, Big 14 teams are 15-12 ATS in this round.

— Last five years, favorites are 11-9 ATS in 3-14 games

TCU vs Seton Hall
— TCU (20-12) ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #244
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #308
— TCU is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
— Horned Frogs turn ball over 21.6% of time (#336)
— TCU rebounds 38% of its misses (#1)
— Last 25 years, Horned Frogs are 0-2 in NCAA (’18/’98)
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #127
— Last four tournaments, Big X teams are 16-11 ATS in first round.

— Seton Hall (21-10) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #162
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #150
— Seton Hall won six of its last seven games.
— Pirates has #17 eFG% defense in country.
— Seton Hall is shooting 46.2% inside arc (#312)
— Under Willard, Pirates are 1-3 SU in first round games.
— Seton Hall’s schedule, to this point: #33
— bench minutes: #114
— Last four tournaments, Big East teams are 10-11 SU in first round.

— Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 8-9 games.

 

[Udog]

Ohio State has lost three of its last four NCAA Tournament games.
Ohio State has gone into overtime in two of its last four NCAA Tournament opening round games.
Ohio State has won three of its last four NCAA Tournament opening round games.
Loyola-Chicago has reach the Sweet 16 in three straight NCAA Tournament appearances.
Loyola-Chicago has won six of its last nine NCAA Tournament games.
Loyola-Chicago has seen the losing team scored 58 points or less in three of its last four NCAA Tournament games.
Loyola-Chicago has covered the spread in six of its last seven games when playing on a neutral court.


Jacksonville State has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
Jacksonville State has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last nine games.
Jacksonville State has covered the spread in five of its last six games when playing as the underdog.
Auburn has won seven of its last 10 NCAA Tournament games.


Yale has lost six of its last seven NCAA Tournament games.
Yale has covered the spread in three straight games.
Yale has won 11 of its last 13 games.
Yale has gone UNDER the point total in five straight games.
Purdue has seen three straight NCAA Tournament games go into overtime.
Purdue has failed to cover the spread in 10 straight games.
Purdue has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 games.


Delaware has lost five straight NCAA Tournament games.
Delaware has covered the spread in three straight games.
Delaware has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games.
Villanova has gone UNDER the point total in three straight games.
Villanova has won 13 of its last 15 games.


Miami is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six games overall.
Miami is 22-8-1 ATS in the past 31 as an underdog.
Miami is 7-1 ATS in the past eight games after a SU loss.
Miami is 1-6 ATS in the past seven NCAA Tournament games.
USC is 2-6 ATS in the past eight games overall.
USC is 0-8 ATS in the past eight as a favorite.
USC is 2-5 ATS in the past seven vs. winning teams.
USC is 7-1 ATS in the past eight NCAA Tournament games.
USC is 4-0 ATS in the past four as a favorite in the NCAA Tournament.
The OVER is 6-1 in Miami's past seven games overall.
The OVER is 11-3 in Miami's past 14 NCAA Tournament games.
The OVER is 13-3 in Miami's past 16 neutral-site games.
The UNDER is 6-0 in USC's past six neutral-site games.


Notre Dame is 15-6 ATS in the past 21 games overall.
Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog.
Notre Dame is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 vs. winning teams.
Notre Dame is 5-12 ATS in the past 17 NCAA Tournament games.
Notre Dame is 2-7 ATS in the past nine neutral-site games.
Alabama is 7-18-1 ATS in the past 26 games overall.
Alabama is 7-19 ATS in the past 26 as a favorite.
Alabama is 2-6 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams.
Alabama is 1-6 ATS in the past seven NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
The OVER is 8-0-1 in the past nine games overall for Notre Dame.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four vs. winning teams for Notre Dame.
The UNDER is 15-6-1 in the past 22 NCAA Tournament games for Notre Dame.
The OVER is 20-7 in the past 27 games overall for Alabama.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five as a favorite for Alabama.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five neutral-site games for Alabama.


Virginia Tech is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine vs. winning teams.
Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site games.
Virginia Tech is 2-6 ATS in the past eight NCAA Tournament games.
Texas is 0-6 ATS in the past six games overall.
Texas is 0-4 ATS in the past four as a favorite.
Texas is 0-5 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
Texas is 6-18 ATS in the past 24 NCAA Tournament games.
Texas is 0-8 ATS in the past eight NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five neutral-site games for Virginia Tech.
The OVER is 11-4 in the past 15 NCAA Tournament games for Texas.


Illinois has lost six of its last nine NCAA Tournament games.
Chattanooga has lost four straight NCAA Tournament games.
Chattanooga has lost nine of its last 11 NCAA Tournament opening round games.
Chattanooga has covered the spread in four of its last six game when playing as the underdog.
Chattanooga has gone UNDER the point total in three of its last four games.


Cal State Fullerton has lost three straight NCAA Tournament games.
Cal State Fullerton has scored 58 points or less in three straight NCAA Tournament games.
Cal State Fullerton has covered the spread in six of its last eight games when playing as the underdog.
Duke has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
Duke has gone OVER the point total in six straight games.
Duke has won 15 of its last 19 NCAA Tournament games.


Iowa State has covered the spread in three straight games after failing to cover the spread the game prior.
Iowa State has lost three straight games.
Iowa State has gone OVER the point total in four of its last six games.
LSU has won four of its last five NCAA Tournament opening round games.
LSU has failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
LSU has gone OVER the point total in six of its last eight games.


Wright State is 2-6 ATS in the past eight games as an underdog.
Wright State is 5-1 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams.
Wright State is 2-5 ATS in the past seven neutral-site games.
Arizona is 4-9 ATS in the past 13 neutral-site games.
Arizona is 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven NCAA Tournament games.
The OVER is 7-2 in the past nine games overall for Wright State.
The OVER is 6-0 in the past six games as an underdog for Wright State.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five neutral-site games for Wright State.
The OVER is 6-0 in the past six games overall for Arizona.
The OVER is 6-0 in the past six as a favorite for Arizona.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six neutral-site games for Arizona.


Houston has won seven of its last 10 NCAA Tournament games.
Houston has allowed 62 points or less in seven of its last eight NCAA Tournament games.
Houston has won three straight First Round NCAA Tournament games.
Houston has covered the spread in six of its last seven games when playing on a neutral court.
UAB has lost four of its last five games.
UAB has covered the spread in four of its last five games when playing on a neutral court.
UAB has won seven straight games.


Davidson is 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall.
Davidson is 6-1 ATS in the past seven games as a favorite.
Davidson is 5-1 ATS in the past six neutral-site games.
Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in the past four neutral-site games.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Davidson's past eight as a favorite.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Davidson's past five NCAA Tournament games.
The OVER is 5-1 in Michigan State's past six games overall.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Michigan State's past five NCAA Tournament games.


Wisconsin has lost three of its last four NCAA Tournament games.
Colgate has lost four straight NCAA Tournament games.
Colgate has covered the spread in three straight games.
Colgate has won 15 straight games.
Colgate has gone OVER the point total in four of its last five games.


TCU is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine games overall.
TCU is 4-1-2 ATS in the past seven after an ATS loss.
TCU is 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 following a SU loss.
TCU is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams.
Seton Hall is 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
Seton Hall is 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
Seton Hall is 0-5 ATS in the past five neutral-site games.
Seton Hall is 2-5 ATS in the past seven NCAA Tournament games.
The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five games for TCU.
The UNDER is 10-4 in the past 14 neutral-site games for TCU.
The UNDER is 16-5-1 in the past 22 after an ATS loss for TCU.
The UNDER is 15-3 in the past 18 for Seton Hall after a SU loss.
The UNDER is 7-2 in the past nine for Seton Hall after an ATS loss.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six neutral-site games for Seton Hall.
The OVER is 9-1-1 in the past 11 NCAA Tournament games for Seton Hall.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, MARCH 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

L-IL at OSU 12:15 PM
OSU -1.0
O 133.5
+500 +500

JVST at AUB 12:40 PM
JVST +15.5
O 138.5
+500 +500

MTST at TTU 01:45 PM
MTST +15.0
O 131.5
+500 +500

YALE at PUR 02:00 PM
PUR -16.0
U 143.0
+500 +500

DEL at VILL 02:45 PM
VILL -15.0
U 134.0
+500 +500

MIA at USC 03:10 PM
MIA +2.0
O 140.5
+500 +500

ND at ALA 04:15 PM
ALA -4.0
U 153.0
+500 +500

VT at TEX 04:30 PM
TEX -1.0
O 124.0
+500 +500

CHAT at ILL 06:50 PM
CHAT +8.0
O 136.5
+500 +500

**********************

CSF at DUKE 07:10 PM
DUKE -19.0
U 145.0
+500 +500

ISU at LSU 07:20 PM
ISU +4.0
O 128.5
+500 +500

WRST at ARIZ 07:27 PM
ARIZ -21.0
U 156.5
+500 +500

UAB at HOU 09:20 PM
HOU -8.0
U 137.0
+500 +500

DAV at MSU 09:40 PM
DAV +1.0
O 141.0
+500 +500

COLG at WIS 09:50 PM
WIS -7.5
O 139.0
+500 +500

TCU at HALL 09:57 PM
TCU +1.0
U 128.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...................60-56-2..............51.72%............+24.00
.


BEST BETS

03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................36-30-1................54,54%................+15.00


UPDATED 03/18/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack
18 days until baseball starts; these guys are still free agents:
— Trevor Story, SS
— Carlos Correa, SS
— Michael Conforto, OF
— Jorge Soler, OF
— Tommy Pham, OF
— Johnny Cueto, P

Quote of the Day
“I’ll get to the bottom of this……if I have to go all the way to the top.”
Colonel Flagg, M*A*S*H

Saturday’s quiz
Before the Kansas City Royals existed, which major league team called Kansas City home?

Friday’s quiz
Eric Musselman’s father Bill was once the basketball coach for the Minnesota Gophers; baseball Hall of Famer Dave Winfield played basketball for Musselman’s Gophers.

Thursday’s quiz
Florida was the last college hoop team to win consecutive national titles, in 2006/2007.

**************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up 2nd day of March Madness

Illinois 54, Chattanooga 53:
— Chattanooga led this game 20-6 early on.
— Illinois’ first lead came with 0:46 left.
— Illini outscored Chattanooga 8-2 over final 3:42 of game.

Ohio State 54, Loyola Chi 41:
— Ugly game; Loyola shot 25% inside arc, Ohio State was 1-15 on arc.
— Just second win in last six games for Buckeyes.
— Last nine years, favorites are 20-13 ATS in 7-10 games.

Auburn 80, Jacksonville State 61:
— Gamecocks led by 6 early, but shot only 31.1% from floor.
— Auburn’s opponents shoot only 42.4% inside arc (#4)
— Tigers have much tougher test Sunday, against Miami.

Texas Tech 97, Montana State 62:
— Game was 32-12 after 10:00; no contest. Tech was 12-20 on arc.
— Tech’s game Sunday will be lot more interesting than this was.
— Last seven years, Big Sky teams are 1-5-1 ATS in first round games.

Purdue 78, Yale 56:
— Yale shot 36.5% from floor; Purdue was too big, too athletic.
— Boilers are 25-0 when they score 70+ points, 3-7 when they don’t.
— From 2010-19, Ivy League teams were 8-2 ATS in this round.

Villanova 80, Delaware 60:
— Villanova made 13-28 on arc, scored 1.31 ppp.
— Blue Hens shot 63.3% inside arc, still lost by 20.
— Last three years, CAA teams lost in this round, by 34-29-20 points.

Miami 68, USC 66:
— Miami led by 7 with 0:44 left, blew that lead, then hit two FT’s with 0:03 left.
— Hurricanes had only three turnovers on 68 possessions in this game.
— USC was down 31-20 at half; they lost three of their last four games.

Notre Dame 78, Alabama 64:
— Alabama lost its last four games, giving up 81.8 ppg.
— Notre Dame made 10-16 on arc, Alabama 8-24.
— Alabama G Quinerly hurt his knee early on, played only 3:00.

Texas 81, Virginia Tech 73:
— Longhorns made 10-19 on arc, snap 3-game losing skid.
— Hokies’ leading scorer scored 19 points in 19:00 off bench.
— After struggling in NCAA’s last few years, ACC teams are 4-2 ATS this week.

Duke 78, Cal-Fullerton 61
— Duke won 10 of its last 12 games.
— Blue Devils never trailed, shot 58.3% inside arc.
— Duke played only six guys more than 8:00.

Arizona 87, Wright State 70:
— Wildcats shot 55% on arc, 55% inside arc, scored 1.14 ppp.
— Arizona won seven in row, 16 of its last 17 games.
— Horizon teams improve to 3-7 ATS in this round over last decade.

Iowa State 59, LSU 54:
— Iowa State was 12-37 on arc, only 8-19 inside arc.
— Only three Cyclones scored more than four points.
— LSU lost five of its last eight games.

Houston 82, UAB 68:
— Cougars jumped out to a 34-16 lead.
— Houston won 10 of its last 11 games.
— UAB (38.1% for year) shot 5-19 on arc.

Michigan State 74, Davidson 73:
— Michigan State is 10-2 out of conference.
— Davidson hit a trey at the buzzer to push the spread.
— Since 2014, A-14 teams are 10-12-1 ATS in this round.

TCU 69, Seton Hall 42:
— Seton Hall shot 28.8% from the floor.
— Big X teams went 6-0 ATS in first round.
— Big East teams went 3-3 ATS in first round.

Wisconsin 67, Colgate 60:
— Game was 28-all at halftime.
— Colgate shot only 12-35 inside arc (10-22 on arc)
— Last five years, Patriot League teams are 4-1 ATS in this round.

 

[Udog]

TENNESSEE is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the current season.

ST MARYS-CA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

NEW MEXICO ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games in the current season.

BAYLOR is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the current season.

RICHMOND is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

ST PETERS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games in the current season.

GONZAGA is 137-101 ATS (25.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots since 1997.

MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS are 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days in the last 3 seasons.

OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS TECH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, March 19

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Saturday, March 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

No trends to report except for...

Oregon @ Texas A&M
Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 5 games on the road
Oregon is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Western Illinois @ UTEP
Western Illinois
Western Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Illinois is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
UTEP
UTEP is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
UTEP is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

VCU @ Wake Forest
VCU
VCU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
VCU is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games at home

Northern Iowa @ BYU
Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Northern Iowa's last 15 games on the road
BYU
BYU is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of BYU's last 7 games at home

Memphis @ Gonzaga
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Gonzaga
Memphis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Gonzaga's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Gonzaga is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis

New Orleans @ Portland
New Orleans
No trends to report
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 19

Michigan vs Tennessee
— Michigan (18-14) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #297
— Continuity: #245
— Michigan split its last ten games.
— Wolverines are shooting 53.3% inside arc (#54)
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Michigan was down 15 Thursday, outscored Colorado St 46-27 in 2nd half.
— Last four NCAA’s, Wolverines are 11-3 SU.
— Michigan’s schedule, to this point: #6
— bench minutes: #318

— Tennessee (27-7) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #171
— Experience: #298
— Continuity: #197
— Tennessee won 13 of its last 14 games.
— Tennessee forces turnovers 23% of time (#15)
— Volunteers rebound 32.6% of their misses (#48)
— Tennessee won easily Thursday, making 14-24 on arc.
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #113

— Last five years, #11-seeds are 4-2 ATS in second round.
— Last four years, #3-seeds are 4-10 ATS in second round.

Richmond vs Providence
— Richmond (24-12) ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #191
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #14
— Richmond won its last five games, last four vs top 70 teams.
— Spiders had two guys play all 40:00 in Thursday’s win.
— Richmond held seven of last eight opponents to 66 or less points.
— 41.7% of Spiders’ shots are 3’s (33.6%, #180)
— Richmond’s schedule, to this point: #86
— bench minutes: #277

— Providence (25-5) ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #276
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #123
— Providence is 5-3 SU in last eight games.
— Friars beat Rhode Island of A-14 66-52 in December.
— Providence has #39 eFG% defense in country.
— Friars played eight guys 14:00+ in Thursday’s win.
— Providence’s schedule, to this point: #60
— bench minutes: #302

— Last four years, #12-seeds are 3-1 ATS in second round.
— Last four years, #4-seeds are 7-4 ATS in second round.

Memphis vs Gonzaga
— Memphis (22-10) ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #226
— Continuity: #162
— Memphis won 13 of its last 15 games.
— Tigers rebound 37.5% of their misses (#5)
— Memphis also turns ball over 22.9% of time (#352)
— Tigers have #29 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis schedule, to this point: #60
— bench minutes: #7
— Memphis didn’t play anyone more than 32:00 in Thursday’s win.

— Gonzaga (26-3) ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #263
— Continuity: #221
— Gonzaga won 20 of its last 21 games.
— Zags are shooting 60.8% inside arc (#1)
— Gonzaga scored 58 points in 2nd half Thursday, after struggling early.
— Zags have #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #102
— bench minutes: #273

— Last four years, #1-seeds are 8-7 ATS in this round.

North Carolina vs Baylor
— North Carolina (25-9) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #37
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #92
— North Carolina won 13 of its last 16 games.
— Tar Heels shoot 36.2% on arc (#51)
— North Carolina is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tar Heels played really well Thursday; they were up 28 at half.
— North Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #347

— Baylor (27-6) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #182
— Experience: #205
— Continuity: #246
— Baylor won six of its last seven games.
— Bears rebound 36.6% of their misses (#7)
— Baylor forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#16)
— Bears cruised Thursday; they were up 43-27 at half.
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #11
— bench minutes: #110

— Last four years, #1-seeds are 8-7 ATS in this round.

New Mexico State vs Arkansas
— New Mexico State (27-6) ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #184
— New Mexico State won 12 of its last 15 games.
— Aggies are 6-1 against top 100 teams.
— New Mexico State has #21 eFG% defense in country.
— Aggies made 11-17 on arc Thursday; Allen had 37 of their 70 points.
— New Mexico State’s schedule, to this point: #128
— bench minutes: #156

— Arkansas (26-8) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #29
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #291
— Arkansas won seven of its last nine games.
— Razorbacks force turnovers 20.3% of time (#70)
— Arkansas shoots only 30.7% on arc (#308)
— Razorbacks played six guys Thursday; two played whole 40:00
— Arkansas schedule, to this point: #42
— bench minutes: #314

— Last four years, #12-seeds are 3-1 ATS in second round.
— Last four years, #4-seeds are 7-4 ATS in second round.

Saint Peter’s vs Murray State
— Saint Peter’s (19-11) ranked #118 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #177
— Continuity: #34
— Saint Peter’s won its last seven games.
— Peacocks have #6 eFG% defense in country.
— Saint Peter’s is shooting 45.9% inside arc (#317)
— Peacocks are in NCAA’s for first time since 2011.
— Saint Peter’s schedule, to this point: #212
— bench minutes: #16
— Since 2010, MAAC teams are 2-10 ATS in NCAA’s.

— Murray State (30-2) ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #250
— Continuity: #125
— Murray State won its last 20 games- their last loss was December 22
— Racers are shooting 53.5% inside arc (#48)
— Murray State is 4-1 against top 100 teams.
— Since 2010, Racers are 3-1 SU in first round games.
— Murray State’s schedule, to this point: #235
— bench minutes: #285
— OVC teams are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 first-round games.

— #15 seeds are 3-5-1 ATS in second round games.
— Last six years, #7-seeds are 8-7 ATS in second round.

Saint Mary’s vs UCLA
— Saint Mary’s (26-7) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #338
— Experience: #77
— Continuity: #17
— Saint Mary’s won six of their last seven games.
— Gaels are #3 team in country on defensive boards.
— Saint Mary’s beat Oregon of Pac-12 by 12 in November.
— Gaels pounded Indiana Thursday, 82-53.
— Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #58
— bench minutes: #316

— UCLA (26-7) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #263
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #8
— UCLA won nine of its last 11 games.
— Five of Bruins’ last seven games went over the total.
— UCLA has #70 eFG% defense in country.
— Bruins won Thursday despite shooting 34.4% inside arc.
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #40
— bench minutes: #138

— Last four years, favorites are 6-1 ATS in second round games between #4-5 seeds.

Creighton vs Kansas
— Creighton (23-11) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #185
— Experience: #309
— Continuity: #341
— Creighton is 4-3 in last seven games, after a 6-0 run.
— Bluejays’ PG Nembhard is out for year.
— Opponents are shooting 43.7% inside arc (#9)
— Bluejays were down 9 with 3:21 left Thursday, won it OT.
— Creighton played four guys 40:00+ Thursday.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #317

— Kansas (29-6) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #64
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #47
— Kansas won its last six games.
— Jayhawks are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#32)
— Kansas has #37 eFG% defense.
— Jayhawks crushed Texas Southern Thursday; it was 47-19 at halftime.
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #296

— Last four years, #1-seeds are 8-7 ATS in this round.

 

[Udog]

UNC is 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall.
UNC is 4-1 ATS in the past five following a SU win.
UNC is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams.
UNC is 2-5 ATS in the past seven NCAA Tournament games.
UNC is 0-6 ATS in the past six as a 'dog in the NCAA Tournament.
Baylor is 6-0 ATS in the past six NCAA Tournament games.
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in the past five as a fave in the NCAA Tournament.
Baylor is 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 neutral-site games.
The OVER is 15-6-1 in the past 22 games overall for UNC.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five as an underdog for UNC.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven neutral-site games for UNC.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven after a SU win for Baylor.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five after an ATS win for Baylor.


Creighton is 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
Creighton is 20-8 ATS in the past 28 games as an underdog.
Creighton is 5-0 ATS in the past five neutral-site games.
Creighton is 3-12-1 ATS in the past 16 NCAA Tournament games.
Creighton is 1-7 ATS in the past eight NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.
Kansas is 5-0 ATS in the past five games overall.
Kansas is 5-0 ATS in the past five games as a favorite.
Kansas is 4-0 ATS in the past four neutral-site games.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven games overall for Creighton.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five NCAA Tournament games for Creighton.
The UNDER is 9-4 in the past 13 neutral-site games for Creighton.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven games for Kansas.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven as a favorite for Kansas.
The OVER is 6-2-1 in the past nine NCAA Tournament games for Kansas.
The OVER is 10-4-1 in the past 15 neutral-site games for Kansas.


Richmond has won 1H in 10 of its last 12 games when playing on a neutral court at night.
Richmond has seen a total of 139 or more points scored in eight of its last nine games when playing on a neutral court at night.
Providence has won 10 straight games when playing on a Saturday.
Richmond has won five straight games.


Saint Mary's is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
Saint Mary's is 2-0-2 ATS in the past four as an underdog.
Saint Mary's is 9-3-2 ATS in the past 14 games vs. winning teams.
Saint Mary's is 0-4 ATS in the past four NCAA Tournament games as a 'dog.
UCLA is 7-3 in the past 10 games as a favorite.
UCLA is 6-1 ATS in the past seven NCAA Tournament games.
The OVER is 11-5-1 in the past 17 games for Saint Mary's.
The UNDER is 7-2 in the past nine NCAA Tournament games for Saint Mary's.
The UNDER is 9-4 in the past 13 neutral-site games for Saint Mary's.
The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five NCAA Tournament games as a 'dog for Saint Mary's.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games overall for UCLA.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 NCAA Tournament games for UCLA.
The UNDER is 18-6 in the past 24 NCAA Tournament games for UCLA as a favorite.


Saint Peter's has covered the spread in 22 of its last 31 games.
Murray State has failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
Murray State has won 20 straight games.
Saint Peter's has covered the spread in eight straight games.


New Mexico State has won 1H in eight of its last nine games.
New Mexico State has allowed 72 points or less in 17 of its last 18 games.
Arkansas has seen 146 total points scored in seven straight games.
New Mexico State has won 22 of its last 26 games.


Memphis is 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
Memphis is 16-5 ATS in the past 21 games as an underdog.
Memphis is 9-3 in the past 12 neutral-site games.
Gonzaga is 0-3-1 ATS in the past four games overall.
Gonzaga is 0-3-1 ATS in the past four games as a favorite.
Gonzaga is 1-4-2 ATS in the past seven games following a SU win.
The UNDER is 3-1-1 in the past five games for Memphis.
The UNDER is 8-2-1 in the past 11 games as an underdog for Memphis.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six NCAA Tournament games for Memphis.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 games for Gonzaga.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 as a favorite for Gonzaga.

 

[CNOTES]

SIZE=2]SATURDAY, MARCH 19
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

ORE at TAM 12:00 PM
TAM -3.5
U 143.0
+500 +500

PFW at DRKE 12:00 PM
DRKE -10.0
U 140.0
+500 +500

UNC at BAY 12:10 PM
BAY -5.5
O 148.5
+500 +500

UNCA at SFA 02:30 PM
SFA -6.5
U 143.5
+500 +500

CREI at KU 02:40 PM
CREI +12.0
O 140.0
+500 +500

WIU at UTEP 03:00 PM
UTEP -8.0
O 145.5
+500 +500

VCU at WAKE 04:00 PM
VCU +5.0
U 143.5
+500 +500

CALBA at MTU 05:00 PM
CALBA +6.5
O 139.0
+500 +500

MICH at TENN 05:15 PM
TENN -6.5
O 136.5
+500 +500

RICH at PROV 06:10 PM
RICH +3.5
O 134.5
+500 +500

SMC at UCLA 07:10 PM
SMC +3.0
O 126.0
+500 +500

RICE at OHIO 07:30 PM
OHIO -6.5
O 149.5
+500 +500

SPC at MURR 07:45 PM
SPC +9.0
O 130.0
+500 +500

NMSU at ARK 08:40 PM
NMSU +6.5
O 138.0
+500 +500

UNI at BYU 09:00 PM
UNI +6.0
U 149.5
+500 +500

MEM at GONZ 09:40 PM
MEM +9.5
U 155.0
+500 +500

UNO at PORT 10:00 PM
UNO +9.0
O 155.5
+500 +500[/SIZE]

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...................73-75-3..............49.32%............-15.50
.


BEST BETS

03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................44-43-2................53.01%................-16.50


UPDATED 03/19/2022

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack
Over/under win totals for this baseball season:
100.5— Dodgers
92.5— White Sox, Astros, Blue Jays
91.5— Braves, Rays, Bronx
90.5— Brewers
89.5— Mets
87.5— Padres

Quote of the Day
“I’ll give you exactly what I can tell you. I have an agent who I haven’t talked to yet. I don’t know who he’s talking to. I have absolutely no idea. But when I get home I’ll talk to my agent and discuss things with my agent. I have no idea [if things will be resolved soon]. I literally have not — I’ve had three different agents in the last month……..”
Seton Hall coach Kevin Willard

Sunday’s quiz
Which two NBA teams has Eric Musselman coached?

Saturday’s quiz
Before the Kansas City Royals existed, the A’s called Kansas City home, from 1955-68.

Friday’s quiz
Eric Musselman’s father Bill was once the basketball coach for the Minnesota Gophers; baseball Hall of Famer Dave Winfield played basketball for Musselman’s Gophers.

**************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday…….

Saint Peter’s 70, Murray State 60:
— Saint Peter’s first-ever NCAA tourney wins were both this week.
— Peacocks never trailed; they held Murray State to 34.6% from floor.
— 15-seeds to make the Sweet 16:
2013— Florida Gulf Coast
2021— Oral Roberts
2022— Saint Peter’s

Bad news for Saint Peter’s: There is no way in hell Shaheen Holloway will be the coach at Saint Peter’s next season, The big money $chool$ will come calling.

Gonzaga 82, Memphis 78:
— Memphis led this game 41-31 at halftime.
— Timme had 25 points, 11 rebounds for Gonzaga.
— Very intense, spirited contest; seemed like a Final Four game.

Arkansas 53, New Mexico State 48:
— Razorbacks held Aggies star Teddy Allen to 12 points.
— Arkansas won despite shooting 27.5% from floor.
— Razorbacks move on to play Gonzaga Thursday.

North Carolina 93, Baylor 86, OT:
— Carolina led 67-42 with 10:20 left in regulation.
— Tar Heels made 11-25 on arc, 26-37 on foul line, needed OT to win.
— Baylor made only 9-37 shots on the arc.

Kansas 79, Creighton 72:
— Jayhawks scored last six points to salt game away.
— Bluejays were down two starters; they shot 12-28 on arc, 9-31 inside arc. — Three guys on Creighton played all 40:00.

Michigan 76, Tennessee 68:
— Michigan trailed 37-32 at half; they were down 15 in Thursday’s win.
— Tennessee shot 2-18 on arc; hard to win that way.
— Last four years, #3-seeds are 5-11 ATS in second round.

Providence 79, Richmond 51:
— Friars were 12-22 on arc, Richmond 1-22 (8-21 on foul line)
— Spiders shot 64.5% inside arc and still lost by 28.
— Providence advances to play Kansas in Sweet 16.

UCLA 79, Saint Mary’s 72:
— UCLA won 10 of its last 12 games.
— Bruins shot 59.5% inside arc.
— UCLA star Juzang re-injured his ankle (check status)

Elsewhere in the world………
5) Some baseball teams are spending lot of money…….
— Phillies gave OF Nick Castellanos $100M for five years.
— Phillies also gave OF/DH Kyle Schwarber a 4-year for just under $20M/year.
— Twins gave SS Carlos Correa $105M for three years.
— Braves gave closer Kenley Jansen $16M for one year.

Phillies’ on-base %age from their leadoff spot last year was their lowest since 2009, which is why the Schwarber signing is a big deal.

4) Cleveland Browns traded three first-round picks and couple other picks to Houston, in exchange for QB Deshaun Watson. Browns are 30-31 with Baker Mayfield as their starter, a vast improvement from the pre-Mayfield years.

Watson didn’t play last year because of his legal issues; he figures to be suspended for at least six games. Texans were 29-27 with Watson starting at QB.

3) Las Vegas Raiders traded a first round pick to Green Bay for WR Davante Adams, re-uniting him with his college QB, Derek Carr. Adams will make $67.5M for three years, with lot more available in incentives. Plus, I’m guessing it is more fun to live in Las Vegas than Green Bay.

2) Saturday was a busy day for the Super Bowl champion LA Rams:
— Matthew Stafford signed a four-year, $160M contract extension.
— Rams traded WR Robert Woods to Tennessee for a draft pick; this is a tough one. Woods was a great Ram; he blocks well, is a productive receiver, great teammate. He will be missed.

1) College basketball coaching moves:
— Louisville hired Knicks’ assistant Kenny Payne as its new coach.
— Florida hired San Francisco coach Todd Golden
— USF replaced Golden with assistant Chris Gerlufsen.
— Rhode Island hired former Indiana coach Archie Miller.
— Xavier hired Archie’s brother Sean to be its hoop coach (again)

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 20

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 20

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Trend Report
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No trends available except for...

Florida @ Xavier
Florida
Florida is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Xavier
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Xavier's last 6 games at home
Xavier is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home

Dayton @ Vanderbilt
Dayton
Dayton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dayton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Vanderbilt is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Washington State @ Southern Methodist
Washington State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games on the road
Washington State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games at home

Michigan State @ Duke
Michigan State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Michigan State's last 12 games when playing Duke
Michigan State is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Duke
Duke
Duke is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Duke's last 12 games when playing Michigan State

Virginia @ North Texas
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Virginia's last 8 games on the road
North Texas
North Texas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
North Texas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home

St. Bonaventure @ Oklahoma
St. Bonaventure
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Bonaventure's last 5 games on the road
St. Bonaventure is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 20

Houston vs Illinois
— Houston (30-5) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #322
— Houston won 10 of its last 11 games.
— Badgers lost by hoop to Wisconsin of Big 14.
— Cougars rebound 37.6% of their misses (#4)
— Houston has #5 eFG% defense.
— Last three tournaments, Cougars are 8-3 SU.
— Houston’s schedule, to this point: #89
— bench minutes: #239
— Houston led 34-16 early, never trailed in Friday’s easy win.

— Illinois (23-9) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #177
— Experience: #83
— Continuity: #112
— Illinois is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Illini rebounds 33.2% of its misses (#40)
— Opponents are shooting 45.0% inside arc (#18)
— Illinois struggled Friday, never led until last minute.
— Illinois schedule, to this point: #16
— bench minutes: #238
— Illinois played six guys 28:00+ in Friday’s 54-53 win.

— Favorites are 9-3 ATS in last dozen #4-5 matchups in this round.

Ohio State vs Villanova
— Ohio State (20-11) ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #288
— Experience: #189
— Continuity: #212
— Ohio State lost four of its last six games.
— Buckeyes have #23 eFG% in country.
— Opponents are shooting 45.7% inside arc (#30)
— Buckeyes split pair of games vs Big East foes this season.
— Ohio State’s schedule, to this point: #22
— bench minutes: #89
— Ohio State held Loyola to 0.65 ppp in Friday’s win

— Villanova (27-7) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #52
— Continuity: #36
— Villanova won six in row, 11 of last 12 games.
— Wildcats have #67 eFG% defense in country.
— Three Wildcats played more than 25:00 in Friday’s win.
— Villanova is 3-5 ATS in last eight 2nd round games.
— Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #185
— bench minutes: #169

— Ohio State waxed Villanova 76-51 in aa November, 2019 game
— Since 2016, #2-seeds are 7-11 ATS in second round.

Michigan State vs Duke
— Michigan State (23-12) ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #210
— Continuity: #194
— Michigan State is 9-10 in last 19 games, after a 14-2 start.
— Spartans are shooting 37.4% on arc (#22)
— Michigan State is 10-2 out of conference.
— Spartans played nine guys 11:00+ in Friday’s win.
— Michigan State’s schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #80
— Spartans beat ACC’s Louisville 73-64 at home in November.

— Duke (29-6) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #345
— Continuity: #229
— Duke won 15 of its last 18 games.
— Blue Devils are shooting 55.9% inside arc (#11)
— Duke has #39 eFG% defense in country.
— Last 8 tournaments, Blue Devils are 5-3 ATS in second round.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #312
— Duke played six guys more than 8:00 in Friday’s stress-free win.

— Since 2016, #2-seeds are 7-11 ATS in second round.

Iowa State vs Wisconsin
— Iowa State (21-12) ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #339
— Iowa State lost three of last four games, scoring 51 ppg.
— Cyclones forces turnovers 24.7% of time (#5)
— Iowa State is 13-0 out of conference (NC SOS #328)
— Cyclones played eight guys 10:00+ in Friday’s win.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #252
— Cyclones are 8-10 vs top 50 teams.

— Wisconsin (25-7) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #281
— Continuity: #226
— Wisconsin lost two of their last three games.
— Badgers are #43 team in country on defensive boards.
— Wisconsin is shooting 31.3% on arc (#287)
— Badgers played three starters 37:00 in Friday’s tense win over Colgate.
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #20
— bench minutes: #318
— Badgers are 11-5 vs top 50 teams this season.

— Last four years, #3-seeds were 4-10 ATS in this round.
— Last five years, #11-seeds were 4-2 in the round.

Notre Dame vs Texas Tech
— Notre Dame (24-10) ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #256
— Experience: #191
— Continuity: #44
— Notre Dame is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
— Irish are 9-8 vs top 100 teams, 3-8 vs top 50 teams.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Notre Dame is shooting 38.1% on arc (#10)
— Irish played seven guys Friday; this is their third game in five nights.
— Notre Dame’s schedule, to this point: #60
— bench minutes: #320

— Texas Tech (26-9) ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #209
— Experience: #42
— Continuity: #289
— Texas Tech is 4-3 in its last seven games.
— Red Raiders are shooting 55.5% inside arc (#17)
— Texas Tech are forcing turnovers 23.6% of time (#10)
— Last four years, Red Raiders are 10-3 in NCAA’s.
— Texas Tech’s schedule, to this point: #250
— bench minutes: #335
— Tech had a stress-free win over Montana State Friday.

— Last four years, #3-seeds were 4-10 ATS in this round.

Miami vs Auburn
— Miami (24-10) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #155
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #241
— Miami won eight of its last 11 games.
— Hurricanes are shooting 54.8% inside arc (#26)
— Miami is #261 team in country on defensive boards.
— Miami’s last four games were all decided by 4 or less points.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #55
— bench minutes: #354
— Miami played four starters 34:00+ in Friday’s win over USC.

— Auburn (28-5) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #307
— Continuity: #279
— Auburn is 6-4 in last ten games, after a 22-1 start.
— Opponents are shooting 42.2% inside arc (#4)
— Auburn rebounds 33.6% of its misses (#29)
— In his career, Pearl is 5-2 SU in second round games.
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #36
— bench minutes: #87
— Auburn played three starters 30:00+ in Friday’s win.

— Since 2016, #2-seeds are 7-11 ATS in second round.

Texas vs Purdue
— Texas (21-11) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #341
— Experience: #12
— Continuity: #255
— Texas lost three of its last four games.
— Longhorns are forcing turnovers 23.2% of time (#14)
— Texas is rebounding 31.9% of its misses (#63)
— Longhorns have #40 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas made 10-19 on arc in Friday’s 81-73 win over Va Tech.
— Texas schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #166
— Texas played three starters 30:00+ in Friday’s win.

— Purdue (28-7) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #212
— Continuity: #13
— Purdue is 4-3 in its last seven games.
— Boilers are 25-0 when they score 70+ points, 3-7 when they don’t.
— Purdue has #4 eFG% in country.
— Under Painter, Boilers are 5-4 SU in first round.
— Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #32
— bench minutes: #58
— No one played more than 28:00 in Friday’s win.

— Last four years, #3-seeds were 4-10 ATS in this round.
— Since 2015, #6-seeds are 5-6 ATS in this round.

TCU vs Arizona
— TCU (21-12) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #308
— TCU is 5-7 in its last dozen games.
— Horned Frogs turn ball over 21.5% of time (#336)
— TCU rebounds 37.8% of its misses (#1)
— Frogs crushed Seton Hall Friday, holding them to 28.8% from floor.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #122
— TCU played one guy more than 28:00 Friday

— Arizona (32-3) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #7
— Experience: #355
— Continuity: #191
— Arizona won seven in row, 16 of its last 17 games.
— Wildcats have #8 eFG%, #9 eFG% defense.
— Arizona scored 81+ points in its last seven games.
— Wildcats played seven guys more than 9:00 in Friday’s win.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #76
— bench minutes: #218
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-6 ATS in this round.

— Last four years, #1-seeds are 8-7 ATS in this round.

 

[Udog]

Houston has won 1H in 23 of its last 25 games.
Illinois has scored 66 points or more in 22 of its last 25 games when playing during the daytime.
Houston has won 20 of its last 21 games when playing on a Sunday.


Villanova has won 21 of its last 22 games vs. a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court during the daytime.
Ohio State has lost 1H in eight straight games when facing a Top 10 AP-ranked school.
Ohio State has scored 68 points or more in 11 straight games when facing an AP-ranked school.
Villanova has seen 135 or more total points in 11 straight games vs. a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court during the daytime.


Texas Tech is 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
Texas Tech is 7-2 ATS in the past nine NCAA Tournament games.
Texas Tech is 5-1 ATS in the past six NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Texas Tech is 17-5 ATS in the past 22 games vs. winning teams.
Texas Tech is 3-8 ATS in the past 11 neutral-site games as a favorite.
Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall.
Notre Dame is 5-1 ATS in the past six as an underdog.
Notre Dame is 10-3 ATS in the past 13 vs. winning teams.
Notre Dame is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 neutral-site games.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 NCAA Tournament games for Texas Tech.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five NCAA Tournament games for Texas Tech as a favorite.
The OVER is 8-1-1 in the past 10 games overall for Notre Dame.
The UNDER is 18-7-1 in the past 26 NCAA Tournament games for Notre Dame.


Auburn has won 1H in 20 of its last 25 games vs. a non-AP-ranked school.
Auburn has won 18 of its last 19 games when facing a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
Miami Florida has allowed 75 points or less in 18 of its last 19 games.
Miami Florida has seen 148 or more total points in eight straight games when facing a Top 10 AP-ranked school.


Duke has won 17 of its last 18 games vs. a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
Michigan State has allowed 75 points or less in 11 of its last 12 games vs. an AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
Michigan State has won 1H in seven of its last eight NCAA Tournament games when playing at night.
Michigan State has seen 145 total points or less in 10 of its last 11 games vs. an AP-ranked school on a neutral court.


Iowa State has won 10 straight games when playing on a Sunday.
Iowa State has lost 1H in eight of its last nine games when playing at night.
Iowa State has allowed 65 points or more in 61 of its last 66 games when facing an AP-ranked school at night.
Wisconsin has seen 126 or more total points in 22 of its last 23 games.


Texas is 1-6 ATS in the past seven games overall.
Texas is 2-6 ATS in the past eight as an underdog.
Texas is 1-5 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams.
Texas is 1-10 ATS in the past 11 NCAA Tournament games.
Purdue is 1-8-2 ATS in the past 11 games overall.
Purdue is 1-6-2 ATS in the past nine vs. winning teams.
Purdue is 7-18-2 ATS in the past 27 as a favorite.
The OVER is 12-4 in the past 16 NCAA Tournament games for Texas.
The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven games for Purdue.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five NCAA Tournament games for Purdue.
The OVER is 37-13-1 in the past 51 neutral-site games for Purdue.


Arizona has won 27 of its last 28 games vs. a non-AP-ranked school.
Arizona has won 1H in 17 of its last 19 games vs. a non-AP-ranked school at night.
TCU has allowed 76 points or less in 28 of its last 29 games.
TCU has seen 143 or less total points in nine straight games vs. an AP-ranked school at night.