CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack
NCAA tourney teams with best 2-point shooting %age:
— Gonzaga
— Vermont
— Arizona
— Alabama
— South Dakota State
— Colorado State

Quote of the Day
“My wife put me in the transfer portal.”
TV analyst/former coach Pete Gillen

Monday’s quiz
When was last time a #15-seed beat a #2-seed in NCAA Tournament?

Sunday’s quiz
15 major league teams have spring training in Florida, 15 train in Arizona.

Saturday’s quiz
Jim Harrick was UCLA’s basketball coach in 1995, last time they won the NCAA Tournament.

********************************

Monday’s Den: Some quick thoughts after first glance at the brackets

This is going to be fairly short; it is time to get to work on the four play-in games, and 28 first-round games where we know the matchups.

— Last time the #1 team in top 25 on Selection Sunday won the national title title was Kentucky in 2012. Gonzaga is the #1 team right now.

— When Richmond upset Davidson Sunday to win the A-14 tournament, they bounced Dayton out of the tournament.

— High drama for the San Francisco Dons; their matchup with Murray State was second-last one revealed on CBS; they had to be thinking they were on the outside looking in, before CBS showed that matchup. Just getting in is a big deal; USF was last in the NCAA’s in 1998.

— Murray State-Kentucky second round game would get Racer fans fired up, getting to play their in-state big brother. I’m thinking Murray-USF is my favorite first round game.

— I thought Gonzaga got a tougher draw than Duke; Memphis in the second round? Gonzaga has to hope Penny Hardaway’s Tigers look past Boise State and get beat by the Broncos.

Georgia State won its last ten games; I’d rather play Cal-Fullerton than the Panthers. Sun Belt is a better league than the Big West.

Duke plays a Fullerton team that won Big West final by a point- Titans shot 11-20 on arc and won by a point? Fullerton is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 7-10-13 points. Whoever survives the Davidson-Michigan State game won’t be as tough an opponent as Memphis-Boise winner.

— Big 14 got nine of its 14 teams in tournament; they got nine teams in last year, too, going a combined 8-9. Michigan was only team to survive the first weekend last year.

— Tennessee just won the SEC tournament for first time since 1979, winning on Sunday; they got a Thursday/Saturday draw, which is tough, but they’re playing Longwood in first round, a Lancers’ squad making its first NCAA appearance.

— Shaka Smart got to the Final Four back in 2011; he lost his second round game in both 2012 and 2013, but since then, he is 0-5 in NCAA Tournament games. Marquette-North Carolina is an excellent 8-9 first round game. Winner will be a tough second-round game for #1-seed Baylor.

— Purdue is 3-7 this season when they score less than 70 points, 24-0 when they score 70+; Yale won’t run with Boilers, but they’re also 0-5 vs top 100 teams this season, with four losses by 14+ points (closest of those losses was 61-53 at Vermont). Ivy League teams are 9-2 ATS in last eleven first round games.

— Vermont won its three America East tourney games by 39-32-39 points, but America East is a cruddy league. Vermont is 22-1 since December 10; Catamounts lost by 11 at Maryland, by 10 at Providence, their highest-profile games this season. Vermont-Arkansas is an intriguing 4-13 tilt.

— Wisconsin gets to play the first weekend in Milwaukee; their second round game is the winner of Iowa State-LSU. Cyclones lost their last three games, are 8-12 in 2022. LSU just fired their coach for being a shameless cheater. Seems like an easy first weekend for Wisconsin.

Back to Iowa State; they lost their last three games, scoring 48.3 ppg, they look like a dead team, but were carried into the tournament by their 12-0 pre-conference mark, which included wins over Iowa, Creighton, Memphis.

— Wright State plays Bryant of the NEC in a play-in game; last two years, Wright State is 4-0 vs Robert Morris, winning by 9-30-10-2 points. Robert Morris jumped from the NEC to the Horizon League two years ago, so Wright State appears to be a superior team there.

Bryant lost to these higher-profile teams:
— 83-64 at Rhode Island
— 93-70 at Clemson
— 111-44 at Houston
— 73-58 at Cincinnati

Bryant’s only wins over team in top 200 were two wins over Wagner, whose best player was hurt and didn’t play.

— South Dakota State is 30-4; they haven’t lost since December 15. Jackrabbits are making 44.2% of their 3’s, best in country. Intriguing matchup with Providence- opponents shot 31.2% on arc against the Friars this season (#57 in country).

Jackrabbits are 2-2 vs top 100 teams; they beat Bradley/Washington State, lost to Alabama by 16, by 12 at Missouri State.

— I’ll obviously be back every day with more tidbits; sometimes you can learn stuff when you look at the times when these games will be played. If the powers-that-be sense an upset, that game ain’t going to be played at 3 in the afternoon, I’m just saying.

Time to get to work.

 

[Udog]

 

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[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
NCAA tourney teams who get highest %age of points on 3’s:
38.9%— Colgate
38.4%— Villanova
38.2%— Virginia Tech
37.8%— Notre Dame
37.6%— Jacksonville State
36.8%— San Francisco

Quote of the Day
“Why would you want to dance with someone who doesn’t want to dance with you?”
Adam Sandler, The Wedding Singer

Tuesday’s quiz
76ers’ C Joel Embiid played one year of college hoop; where did he play?

Monday’s quiz
#15-seed Oral Roberts upset #2-seed Ohio State in last year’s NCAA Tournament.

Sunday’s quiz
15 major league teams have spring training in Florida, 15 train in Arizona.

***************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) #4-seed Providence is a 2-point favorite over #13-seed South Dakota State in a first round game Thursday; that’s the lowest spread ever in a 4-13 first round game.

Next lowest spreads in a 4-13 game:

2003, Dayton was -2.5 over Tulsa; Tulsa won 84-71.
2010, Vanderbilt was -3 over Murray State; Racers won 66-65.

12) Delaware is coached by Martin Inglesby; his Blue Hens play Villanova in first round.

— Inglesby’s father/uncle both played basketball at Villanova.
— Inglesby’s father had his number retired by Villanova.
— Inglesby’s sister is married to Baker Dunleavy, who played/coached at Villanova.

Delaware center Dylan Painter played for Villanova three years ago, then transferred to the CAA school. Villanova beat the Blue Hens 78-70 in a neutral court game two years ago.

11) Jerry Palm was saying on CBS Sports Network Sunday night that Rutgers has the worst net rating of any at-large team to make the NCAA Tournament since at least 1994. Big 14 moving to a 20-game conference schedule is helping more of their teams get into the NCAA’s.

Rutgers played the 4th-easiest non-conference schedule in the country this season.

10) Florida basketball coach Mike White bolted the Gators for conference rival Georgia, an odd move if ever there was one.

White replaced Hall of Famer Billy Donovan at Florida; he was there for seven years, getting past the first weekend once in his four NCAA tournaments with the Gators.

9) NFL schedule makers had to re-boot the 2022 schedule process when Tom Brady announced he will back with the Buccaneers next season.

8) Random NBA stat: Washington Wizards are 1-9 ATS on first end of a back/back.

7) Oh yeah, they finally started spring training, all while the winter meetings are kind of going on at the same time.

My A’s fandom got a little more depressing when Oakland dealt 1B Matt Olson to Atlanta for four prospects, including OF Christian Pache, who is a great fielder but has a career batting average of .119 in 67 at-bats.

C Shea Langeliers hit 22 homers in the AA Southern League last year.

If you own a pro sports franchise, you should try to win, or sell the team to someone who will try to win. You can win and make a lot of money too.

6) Cincinnati Reds are in the same boat as the A’s; they’re letting Nick Castellanos walk, they dealt Sonny Gray and now they’ve traded Jesse Winker (and Eugenio Suarez) to Seattle for prospects. Reds went 83-79 last year, figure to be lot worse this year.

5) DH Nelson Cruz signed a one-year, $13M deal with the Washington Nationals.

4) Minnesota traded 36-year old 3B Josh Donaldson to Bronx, along with Isiah Kiner-Falefa and a catching prospect, for C Gary Sanchez and IF Gio Urshela, which means New York is moving Gleyber Torres back to 2B.

New York will be Donaldson’s fifth team in five years; he is owed $43.5M the next two years.

3) Underrated baseball record; Shawn Green once had 19 total bases in one game- he hit four home runs, a double and a single for the Dodgers against Milwaukee in a 2002 game.

2) Former big league OF Yasiel Puig is playing pro ball in Korea these days, as he tries to revive his career and get back to the majors down the road.

1) College basketball coaching moves:
— South Carolina fired Frank Martin, who was in Final Four five years ago.
— Missouri fired Cuonzo Martin, who was 35-53 in SEC games with the Tigers.
— LSU fired Will Wade, who has the NCAA knocking on LSU’s door.
— Western Michigan, Citadel, East Carolina, South Dakota, Kansas State are all looking for new coaches.

 

[Udog]

CNOTES' NCAAB Championship Pick

University of Tennessee Volunteers

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 15

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 15

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Trend Report
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USC Upstate @ Appalachian State
USC Upstate
No trends to report
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Appalachian State's last 14 games at home

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas Southern
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
No trends to report
Texas Southern
No trends to report

Princeton @ VCU
Princeton
Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Princeton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
VCU
The total has gone OVER in 6 of VCU's last 7 games at home
VCU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Belmont @ Vanderbilt
Belmont
Belmont is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Belmont's last 13 games on the road
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Vanderbilt is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Belmont

Missouri State @ Oklahoma
Missouri State
Missouri State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri State's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 7 games at home
Oklahoma is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home

Western Illinois @ UTEP
Western Illinois
Western Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Illinois is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
UTEP
UTEP is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
UTEP is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Texas State @ North Texas
Texas State
Texas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
North Texas
North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
North Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Cleveland State @ Xavier
Cleveland State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland State's last 10 games on the road
Cleveland State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Xavier
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Xavier's last 5 games at home
Xavier is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home

Oregon @ Utah State
Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 5 games on the road
Oregon is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah State
Utah State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 6 games at home

Alcorn State @ Texas A&M
Alcorn State
No trends to report
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

St. Bonaventure @ Colorado
St. Bonaventure
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Bonaventure's last 7 games on the road
St. Bonaventure is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home

Santa Clara @ Washington State
Santa Clara
Santa Clara is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Santa Clara's last 6 games on the road
Washington State
Washington State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington State's last 14 games at home


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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 15

Texas Southern vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
— Texas Southern (18-12) ranked #188 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #112
— Texas Southern was 0-7 at one point this season.
— Tigers won 13 of their last 15 games.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Texas Southern turns ball over 21.5% of time (#333)
— Tigers have #13 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas Southern’s schedule, to this point: #318
— bench minutes: #1
— Since 2014, Texas Southern is 2-3 SU in play-in games.

— Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (23-11, 10-7) ranked #243 by KenPom
— Tempo: #73
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #303
— A&M-CC won seven of its last eight games.
— Islanders finished 4th in Southland regular season.
— A&M-CC forces turnovers 22.7% of time (#18)
— Islanders are in NCAA’s fir first time since a #15-seed in 2007.
— Texas A&M-Corpus Christi’s schedule, to this point: #358
— bench minutes: #93
— Since 2011, Southland teams are 1-2 SU in play-in games.

Wyoming vs Indiana
— Wyoming (25-8) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #238
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #100
— Wyoming is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— Cowboys are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#32)
— Wyoming is 4-0 in overtime games this season.
— You’re reading www.armadillosports.com
— Cowboys are in NCAA’s for first time since 2015.
— Wyoming’s schedule, to this point: #89
— bench minutes: #342
— Since 2015, Mountain West teams are 3-11 in NCAA’s.

— Indiana (20-13) ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #184
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #172
— Indiana is 4-3 in its last seven games.
— Hoosiers’ last six games were all decided by 5 or less points.
— Indiana is 16-5 against teams ranked outside top 50.
— Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#7)
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #40
— bench minutes: #171
— Since 2015, Big 14 teams are 32-11 SU in first NCAA tourney game.

 

[Udog]

Texas Southern is 9-2 ATS in the past 11 vs. winning teams.
Texas Southern is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four NCAA Tournament games.
Texas Southern is 11-1-2 ATS in the past 14 neutral-site games.
Texas A&M-CC is 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
Texas A&M-CC is 10-3 ATS in the past 13 as an underdog.
Texas A&M-CC is 4-0 ATS in the past four neutral-site games.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games for Texas Southern.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven as a favorite for Texas Southern.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight NCAA Tournament games for Texas Southern.
The OVER is 8-0 in the past eight following a cover for Texas Southern.
The OVER is 15-6 in the past 21 as an underdog for Texas A&M-CC.
The OVER is 7-3-1 in the past 11 neutral-site games as a 'dog for Texas A&M-CC.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four neutral-site games for Texas A&M-CC.


Indiana is 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
Indiana is 13-6 ATS in the past 19 games as a favorite.
Indiana is 4-0 ATS in the past four neutral-site games.
Indiana is 4-0 ATS in the past four vs. winning teams.
Wyoming is 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
Wyoming is 11-4 ATS in the past 15 as an underdog.
Wyoming is 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
Wyoming is 9-3 ATS in the past 12 neutral-site games.
The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 games overall for Indiana.
The OVER is 7-2 in the past nine as a favorite for Indiana.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four neutral-site games as a favorite for Indiana.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven games for Wyoming.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five as an underdog for Wyoming.

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, MARCH 15
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

SCUS at APP 06:30 PM
SCUS +11.0
O 138.5
+500 +500

AMCC at TXSO 06:40 PM
AMCC +3.5
O 135.0
+500 +500

********************

PRIN at VCU 07:00 PM
PRIN +6.5
O 137.5
+500 +500

MOSU at OKLA 07:00 PM
OKLA -6.0
O 137.5
+500 +500

BEL at VAN 07:00 PM
BEL +4.5
U 144.0
+500 +500

WIU at UTEP 07:00 PM
UTEP -8.0
O 145.5
+500 +500

********************

TXST at UNT 08:00 PM
TXST +9.0
O 117.5
+500 +500

ALCN at TAM 09:00 PM
TAM -20.0
U 137.5
+500 +500

CLEVST at XAV 09:00 PM
CLEVST +12.5
O 146.0
+500 +500

ORE at USU 09:00 PM
USU -4.5
U 143.5
+500 +500

IND at WYO 09:10 PM
IND -3.5
U 133.0
+500 +500

****************

SCU at WSU 11:00 PM
WSU -3.0
O 149.0
+500 +500

SBON at COLO 11:00 PM
COLO -4.5
U 138.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

[SIZE=2]MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/15/2022 13-11-0 54.17% +4.50


BEST BETS !

03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50[/SIZE]

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
NCAA tourney teams who force highest %age of turnovers:
25.3%— LSU
24.6%— Iowa State
23.6%— Texas Tech
23.3%— Texas
22.9%— Baylor, Tennessee
22.7%— Georgia State

Quote of the Day
“……when I look at my time here with the Rams, it’s no different … I feel great about my time here and what I’ve done. But I’m somebody, if you know me well enough, I’m always chasing something. I just felt like right now, I felt like I’m at a time in my life where maybe chasing the best dad I can be, the best husband, best friend are things to me that are important to me.”
Super Bowl champ Andrew Whitworth, who retired as a player this week

Wednesday’s quiz
Pete Maravich holds the single-game scoring record for a D-I player, set against Alabama in 1970. How many points did he score in that game?

Tuesday’s quiz
76ers’ C Joel Embiid played one year of college hoop, at Kansas.

Monday’s quiz
#15-seed Oral Roberts upset #2-seed Ohio State in last year’s NCAA Tournament.

*******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Texas Southern 76, A&M-Corpus Christi 67:
— Texas Southern was 26-35 on foul line, Corpus Christi 9-19.
— Texas Southern is #3 in country in experience; their subs play the most minutes.
— Tigers move on to play #1-seed Kansas Thursday.

12) Indiana 66, Wyoming 58:
— Hoosiers were too tall for the gritty, gutty Cowboys.
— One kid on Wyoming had 10 turnovers by himself; he was awful.
— Hoosiers move on to play 5-seed Saint Mary’s Thursday.

11) As far as the play-in games go, do the 16-seeds benefit from playing in them? When else will Texas A&M-Corpus Christi get on national TV? Has to help their recruiting, right?

The 16-seeds that don’t play in the play-in games (this year Norfolk State/Georgia State) are going to lose in anonymity and then they go home, unless they can pull a UMBC and shock a top-seed. Getting exposure on TV can help your recruiting.

10) Monday, Oakland traded 1B Matt Olson to the Braves; Tuesday, Olson got an 8-year contract worth $168M from Atlanta. All of which reminds me of a story.

June 15, 1976, I’m finishing my junior year in high school, a nerdy 16-year old. Was playing basketball up the street, then went home, where my dad was sitting in a lawn chair under the big tree on our front lawn. He had a weird look on his face.

Me: What’s up?
Dad: Your A’s just traded their three best players (Joe Rudi/Rollie Fingers to Boston, Vida Blue to Bronx, all for cash)

I’m carrying my brand-new Walt Frazier-brand Puma sneakers; I’m not happy. I think about what he said, got a little upset and one by one, threw my new sneakers over our house into the backyard, kind of close to the woods behind our house.

Not my finest moment.

Back then, June 15 was the trade deadline. Now, 46 years later, I’m a little cooler when the same stuff still happens. No more throwing stuff, I’m just disgusted that these rich people would own teams, and don’t try to win. Whats the point?

9) Which brings to my next point; I now have more interest in my fantasy league and on picking winners in baseball than I do in rooting for the A’s, because it is damn well obvious that the A’s are going to suck for the next couple years, at least.

P.S. on the June 15, 1976 trades: the commissioner voided the trades, the three players went back to Oakland after a week in limbo, and the A’s just missed making the playoffs that year. Then those players left after the season anyway, and the A’s were dreadful the next three years.

8) San Diego Padres’ star Fernando Tatis broke his wrist, is out at least three months; word is he broke his wrist in a motorcycle accident. Oy.

7) NFL quarterback news:
— New Jersey Giants gave Tyrod Taylor two years, $11M, with up to another $6M in incentives. Taylor has a 26-26-1 mark as an NFL starter. Giants will be Taylor’s sixth NFL team.
— Mitchell Trubisky signed with the Steelers for two years, $17M, with up to another $10M in incentives. Trubisky has a 29-23 record as an NFL starter.

6) They announced the other day that Carolina Panthers were interested in Deshaun Watson being their new QB; now Carolina’s division rivals Saints/Falcons are also said to be interested.

My question is this: Do teams sometimes pretend to have interest in a player, to drive the price up for those who really do have an interest?

5) Vanderbilt 82, Belmont 71— These schools are less than five miles apart, but they don’t play each other; this was an NIT game. Why would these schools not play each other?

In an era where everyone wants to make $$$, you would think that this is an annual money maker for sure, unless Vanderbilt doesn’t want to visit Belmont’s gym now and then. Maybe that’s the hangup. Belmont might not want this to be a road game every year.

4) 1B Anthony Rizzo gets two years, $32M to stay in the Bronx, as Freddie Freeman turned the New Yorkers down. Still several good ballplayers who are free agents.

3) Weird college football game this fall; October 8 in Las Vegas of all places, Notre Dame will play BYU at Allegiant Stadium. Why there?

2) Minnesota Timberwolves star Karl-Anthony Towns scored 60 points Monday night, as the T-Wolves beat the Spurs in San Antonio. Towns was 7-11 on the arc, 12-20 inside arc, 15-16 on the foul line- he had 17 rebounds. Tremendous performance.

Best part of it was after the game, how happy his teammates were for him. So much in the NBA you hear guys whining about this or that; was fun to see guys enjoying the moment.

1) Some conference trends for the first round of the NCAA’s:
— Last six years, underdogs are 14-10 ATS in 6-11 games.
— Since 2009, MEAC teams are 2-7 ATS in this round.
— Last six years, Big South teams are 1-5 ATS in this round.
— Since 2014, A-14 teams are 9-12 ATS in this round.

— Last 11 years, Gonzaga is 7-4 ATS in first round games.
— Last four years, underdogs are 9-7 ATS in 1-16 games.
— Last five tournaments, Big East teams are 6-13-1 ATS in first round.
— Last four tournaments, ACC teams are 7-23 ATS in first round.

— Last 10 tournaments, WAC teams are 3-7 ATS in first round.
— Last five tournaments, underdogs are 12-8 ATS in 5-12 games.
— Since 2010, MAAC teams are 2-10 ATS in NCAA’s.
— Last three tournaments, SEC teams are 9-12 ATS in first round

— Last ten years, America East teams are 6-4 ATS in this round.
— Last three years, underdogs are 9-3 ATS in 4-13 games.
— OVC teams are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 first-round games.
— Last eight years, favorites are 18-13 ATS in 7-10 games.