CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 10-pack

Coaches who went to the Final Four in first season as a head coach:
1939— Bruce Drake, Oklahoma
1943— Bully Gilstrap, Texas
1943— Ray Meyer, DePaul
1965— Gary Thompson, Wichita State
1972— Denny Crum, Louisville
1979— Bill Hodges, Indiana State
1980— Larry Brown, UCLA
1989— Steve Fisher, Michigan
1998— Bill Guthridge, North Carolina
2022— Hubert Davis, North Carolina

Quote of the Day
“Be kind, for everyone you meet is fighting a harder battle.”
Plato

Monday’s quiz
When the Houston Astros were an expansion team back in the early 60’s, they weren’t called the Astros. What was their nickname back then?

Sunday’s quiz
Steelers-Broncos played in the NFL’s first-ever regular season overtime game, a 35-35 tie in 1974.

Saturday’s quiz
North Carolina was last in a Final Four in 2017.

****************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

13) Kansas 76, Miami 50:
— Most one-sided Elite 8 game since 1992, when Cincinnati beat Memphis 88-57.
— Miami actually led 35-29 at halftime.
— Kansas is only #1-seed to make the Final Four (or Elite 8)

12) North Carolina 69, Saint Peter’s 49:
— Clock struck midnight for Peacocks, but what a great run for them.
— Tar Heels led 9-0 early, were up 38-19 at halftime.
— North Carolina-Duke renew their rivalry in national semifinal.

11) There are already 800+ names in the college basketball transfer portal; there are 358 Division I teams, so that is 2.2 players per team that are bolting to greener pastures, and there will probably be a lot more to come.

10) Gonzaga/Oklahoma share an unenviable record; they’ve both been a #1-seed five times, but haven’t won a national title yet. DePaul/Illinois have been #1-seeds four times each, without winning it all.

9) Took a walk on the Strip today, which is unlike me; stopped in sportsbooks at Bellagio and Caeser’s Palace. It was freakin’ hot out, but walking on the Strip is always uniquely fun.

Lady in Bellagio wanted my autograph; she thought I was Larry David. It is possible that she had been drinking. Politely explained to her that I was neither funny, rich or famous, although I am old and bald; took her five minutes to believe me.

At Caeser’s, they were charging people to sit in the sportsbook, so I wasn’t there long.

8) Coaching carousel:
— SMU hired Georgia State coach Rob Lanier.
— New Mexico State hired Greg Heiar, who won a national title in JC ball this year; he had previously been an assistant for Gregg Marshall/Will Wade.

7) Pelicans 116, Lakers 108— Lakers blew a 23-point lead in this game.

6) Arizona Diamondbacks gave 2B Ketel Marte a contract extension for five years, $76M.

5) St Louis Cardinals have an infield prospect Kramer Robertson; his mom is LSU hoop coach Kim Mulkey, his dad used to play QB at Louisiana Tech.

4) Almost 40% of the Atlanta Falcons’ salary cap this year is for Matt Ryan, who will be playing……..for the Colts this fall.

3) Random trivia: Three players with best career OPS against the Mets: Kyle Schwarber, Stan Musial, Paul DeJong.

2) CBS must be happy; Final Four of Villanova-Kansas, North Carolina-Duke. Should get excellent TV ratings.

1) Opening lines for Final Four:
— Kansas -4 vs Villanova (Justin Moore is out)
— Duke -4.5 vs North Carolina (teams split two previous meetings)
 

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FRESNO ST is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a game being called for 10+ less fouls than opponent since 1997.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 28


KeRypU2.png





NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 28

Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama

— Coastal Carolina (18-13) ranked #151 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #98
— Continuity: #225
— Coastal Carolina won five of its last six games.
— Chanticleers have #23 eFG% defense in country.
— Coastal Carolina is shooting 48.1% inside arc (#241)
— Chanticleers rebound 33.4% of their misses (#34)
— Coastal Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #230
— bench minutes: #309

— South Alabama (21-11) ranked #155 by KenPom
— Tempo: #218
— Experience: #52
— Continuity: #335
— South Alabama is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Jaguars are 7-7 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— South Alabama force turnovers 20.9% of time (#41)
— Jaguars have #63 eFG% defense in country.
— South Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #250
— bench minutes: #245

— USA won 71-68 at Coastal February 17; Chanticleers led by 8 with 7:54 left.
— Coastal is 7-6 in last 13 meetings of this Sun Belt rivalry.

Southern Utah @ Fresno State
— Southern Utah (23-11) ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #105
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #7
— Southern Utah won seven of its last nine games.
— Thunderbirds are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#34)
— Southern Utah has #245 eFG% defense in country.
— Thunderbirds are #16 team in country on defensive boards.
— Southern Utah’s schedule, to this point: #285
— bench minutes: #188

— Fresno State (21-13) ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #29
— Fresno State won three of its last four games.
— Bulldogs play 3rd-slowest tempo in country.
— Fresno is #8 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bulldogs are 8-13 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Fresno State’s schedule, to this point: #118
— bench minutes: #266

— Southern Utah played Tuesday/Saturday; Bulldogs haven’t played since Wednesday




NCAAB

Monday, March 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama
Coastal Carolina
No trends to report
South Alabama
South Alabama is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Coastal Carolina

Southern Utah @ Fresno State
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Fresno State
Fresno State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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MONDAY, MARCH 28
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CCU at USA 08:00 PM
CCU +2.5
O 137.5

+500 +500

SUU at FRES 10:00 PM
SUU +8.0
O 135.5

+500 +500
 

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MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/28/2022................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50
03/27/2022................2-2-0............50.00%..............-1.00
03/26/2022................3-3-0............50.00%...............-1.50
03/25/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/24/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/23/2022................6-2-0............75.00%............+19.00
03/22/2022................7-2-1............75.00%............+24.00
03/21/2022................6-5-0............54.55%..............+2.50
03/20/2022.............19-13-2............59.37%............+23.50
03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...............125-113-3..............52.52%............,+31.50
.


BEST BETS

03/28/2022..............1-3-0................25.00%................-11.50
03/27/2022..............2-2-0................50.00%..................-1.00
03/26/2022..............3-3-0................50.00%..................-1.50
03/25/2022..............4-4-0................50.00%...................-2.00
03/24/2022..............2-4-0.................33.33%................-12.00
03/23/2022..............6-2-0.................75.00%................+19.00
03/22/2022..............4-3-0.................57.14%................+ 3.50
03/21/2022..............4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/20/2022...........12-10-2................54.54%................+ 5.00
03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................78-74-4................51.31%................- 17.00


UPDATED 03/28/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Last six national champs in college basketball:
2021— Baylor, Big X
2019— Virginia, ACC
2018— Villanova, Big East
2017— North Carolina, ACC
2016— Villanova, Big East
2015— Duke, ACC

Quote of the Day
“The bad news is that time flies. The good news is that you’re the pilot.”
Ben Willis

Tuesday’s quiz
Actor/pro wrestler Dwayne Johnson also played college football; where did he play?

Monday’s quiz
When the Houston Astros were an expansion team back in the early 60’s, they weren’t called the Astros; they were the Houston Colt 45’s.

Sunday’s quiz
Steelers-Broncos played in the NFL’s first-ever regular season overtime game, a 35-35 tie in 1974.

***********************************

Tuesday’s Den: NBA trends
NBA trends (thru Sunday’s games)

Hawks (37-37):
— 6-3 last nine games SU.
— 6-15 ATS as road underdogs
— 0-6 ATS if they played on road the night before
— under 4-1 last five road games.

Celtics (47-28):
— 24-3 last 27 games SU.
— 8-3 ATS last 11 road games.
— 14-8 ATS as road favorite.
— last four games went over total.

Nets (39-36):
— won 7 of last 10 games SU.
— 4-17 ATS last 21 home games.
— 4-8 ATS if they played night before
— under 3-1 last four games.

Hornets (39-36):
— won seven of last eight games SU.
— 3-7 ATS last last 10 games as home favorite.
— 7-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— under 4-2 last six home games

Bulls (43-31):
— lost five of last seven games SU.
— 1-9 ATS last ten road games.
— 10-4 ATS last 14 home games.
— under 7-1 last eight home games.

Cavaliers (41-33):
— lost 8 of last 13 games SU
— 3-6-1 ATS last ten home games.
— 2-6 ATS last eight road games
— over 7-3 last ten games

Mavericks (46-29):
— won 17 of last 23 games SU.
— 9-3 ATS last dozen home games
— 0-4 ATS last four road games.
— Under 5-0 last five games

Nuggets (44-31):
— split their last ten games SU
— 11-3 ATS last 14 road games
— 1-6 ATS last seven home games
— over 6-1-1 last eight games

Pistons (20-55):
— Lost eight of last 10 games SU
— 15-2-1 ATS last 18 games.
— 8-0 ATS last eight road games
— under 10-3 last 13 games.

Warriors (48-27):
— lost five of last six games SU
— 3-8 ATS last 11 home games
— 4-9 ATS last 13 road games
— over 7-2 last nine road games.

Rockets (20-55):
— won three of last four games SU
— 3-9 ATS last 12 road games.
— 6-4 ATS last ten home games
— under 6-0 last six games

Pacers (25-50):
— 3-8 SU last 11 games.
— 4-9 ATS last 13 road games
— 6-3-1 ATS if they played night before
— under 5-0 last five games

Clippers (36-39):
— lost last five games (0-5 ATS).
— 1-4-1 ATS last six road games.
— 5-7 ATS if they played night before
— under 8-2 last ten road games

Lakers (31-43):
— 4-11 SU since All-Star Game
— 1-6 ATS last seven road games.
— 4-9 ATS as a road favorite.
— over 4-1 last five home games

Grizzlies (52-23):
— won eight of last nine games SU
— covered 14 of last 17 home games.
— 8-5 ATS if they played night before
— over 4-1 last five home games

Heat (47-28):
— lost last four games SU
— 0-7 ATS last seven games.
— 1-7 ATS last eight home games
— under 6-4-1 last 11 home games.

Bucks (46-28):
— won 10 of last 13 games SU
— 5-1 ATS last six home games
— 4-10 ATS as an underdog
— under 6-2 last eight games.

Timberwolves (43-33):
— lost three of last four games SU
— 8-1 ATS last nine home games
— 6-12 ATS last 18 road games
— over 16-5 last 21 road games

Pelicans (32-43):
— won four of their last six games SU.
— 6-9 ATS last 15 home games
— 11-2 ATS last 13 road games
— under 5-1 last six games

Knicks (33-42):
— won five of last seven games SU.
— 10-3 ATS last thirteen games
— 7-3 ATS if they played night before
— over 9-2 last 11 home games

Thunder (21-53):
— lost 11 of last 12 games SU.
— 7-1 ATS last eight games.
— 11-2 ATS last 13 road games
— over 7-1 last eight home games

Magic (20-55):
— lost five of last seven games SU
— 13-7 ATS last 20 road games
— 6-8 ATS last 14 home games
— over 5-2 last seven games.

76ers (46-28):
— won five of last seven games SU
— 2-5 ATS last seven home games.
— 1-4-1 ATS last six road games.
— 4-6 ATS if they played night before

Suns (61-14):
— won last eight games SU
— 5-1 ATS last six road games
— 10-13 ATS last 23 home games
— over 8-1 last nine games

Trailblazers (27-47):
— 2-13 SU since All-Star Game
— 2-9 ATS last 11 home games.
— 5-9 ATS last 14 road games
— under 4-1 last five games

Kings (27-48):
— split last six games SU.
— 6-1-1 ATS last eight road games
— 4-9 ATS on first night of back/back
— over 5-2 last seven games

Spurs (30-44):
— won four of last five games SU
— 7-3-1 ATS last 11 road games.
— 4-11 ATS last 15 home games
— last four games stayed under.

Raptors (42-32):
— won eight of last 10 games SU.
— 6-1 ATS last seven road games
— 2-5 ATS last seven home games
— under 10-4 last 14 games

Jazz (45-30):
— lost last four games SU, all on road
— 8-2-1 ATS last 11 home games
— 1-9 ATS last ten road games
— under 5-1 last six games

Wizards (32-42):
— lost eight of last 11 games SU
— 4-2 ATS in last six games.
— 1-9 ATS as road favorites.
— 1-10 ATS first night of back/back
 

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XAVIER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 29


2drBSqI.png





NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 29

St Bonaventure vs Xavier

— St Bonaventure (23-9) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #5
— St Bonaventure won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Bonnies are 10-8 against top 100 teams.
— St Bonaventure is shooting 32.8% on arc (#226)
— Bonnies are 1-1 vs Big East teams (beat Marquette/lost to UConn)
— St Bonaventure’s schedule, to this point: #87
— bench minutes: #358 (least in country)

— Xavier (21-13) ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #128
— Continuity: #54
— Xavier entered NIT on a 2-8 skid; they’re 3-0 in NIT
— Musketeers already hired Sean Miller as their new coach.
— Xavier is 9-11 vs teams ranked in top 75.
— Musketeers are 13-1 outside the Big East.
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #53
— bench minutes: #174

Washington State vs Texas A&M
— Washington State (22-14) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #230
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #152
— Wazzu won seven of its last eight games.
— Coogs are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#313)
— Wazzu forces turnovers 20.7% of time (#45)
— Coogs rebound 33.4% of their misses (#33)
— Washington State’s schedule, to this point: #86
— bench minutes: #101
— Wazzu coach Smith used to be coach at Columbia, so he is familiar with NYC

— Texas A&M (26-12) ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #205
— Experience: #274
— Continuity: #280
— Texas A&M won ten of last eleven games.
— Aggies force turnovers 23.9% of time (#8)
— Texas A&M is #340 team in country on defensive boards.
— Aggies are #25 team in country on offensive boards, which makes no sense.
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #23




NCAAB

Tuesday, March 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Bonaventure @ Xavier
St. Bonaventure
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Bonaventure's last 9 games when playing Xavier
St. Bonaventure is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Xavier
Xavier
Xavier is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing St. Bonaventure
Xavier is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Bonaventure


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Musketeers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Tuesday games.
Musketeers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
Musketeers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Musketeers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-0 in Bonnies last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Bonnies last 6 games following a straight up win.
Over is 6-1 in Musketeers last 7 neutral site games.
Favorite is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.


Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Aggies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Aggies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Under is 9-2 in Cougars last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games as a favorite.
 

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TUESDAY, MARCH 29
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


SBON at XAV 07:00 PM
SBON -1.5
U 140.5

+500 +500

WSU at TAM 09:30 PM
WSU +1.5
U 133.0

+500 +500
 

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MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/29/2022................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50
03/28/2022................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50
03/27/2022................2-2-0............50.00%..............-1.00
03/26/2022................3-3-0............50.00%...............-1.50
03/25/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/24/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/23/2022................6-2-0............75.00%............+19.00
03/22/2022................7-2-1............75.00%............+24.00
03/21/2022................6-5-0............54.55%..............+2.50
03/20/2022.............19-13-2............59.37%............+23.50
03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...............125-113-3..............52.52%............,+31.50
.


BEST BETS

03/29/2022..............1-3-0.........///...25.00%......///......-11.50
03/28/2022..............1-3-0................25.00%................-11.50
03/27/2022..............2-2-0................50.00%..................-1.00
03/26/2022..............3-3-0................50.00%..................-1.50
03/25/2022..............4-4-0................50.00%...................-2.00
03/24/2022..............2-4-0.................33.33%................-12.00
03/23/2022..............6-2-0.................75.00%................+19.00
03/22/2022..............4-3-0.................57.14%................+ 3.50
03/21/2022..............4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/20/2022...........12-10-2................54.54%................+ 5.00
03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................79-77-4................50.64%................- 28.50


UPDATED 03/29/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

NFL teams with hardest 2022 schedules, based on 2021 records:
.567— Rams
.543— Arizona
.536— Cincinnati
.535— Tampa Bay
.533— Chiefs, 49ers
.528— Raiders, Saints

Quote of the Day
“I’m trying to answer that when I had a reaction to it. And it’s like, ‘Damn, I wish they hadn’t guaranteed the whole contract. I don’t know that he should’ve been the first guy to get a fully guaranteed contract. To me, that’s something that is groundbreaking, and it’ll make negotiations harder with others.”
Ravens’ owner Steve Bisciotti

Thursday’s quiz
Who was manager of the New York Mets the last time they made the playoffs?

Wednesday’s quiz
Seattle Mariners have gone the longest without making the playoffs- they last made it in 2001.

Tuesday’s quiz
Actor/pro wrestler Dwayne Johnson also played college football; he played at Miami, where he backed up Warren Sapp.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Had an interesting experience Wednesday night, while watching the Golden State-Phoenix game in the Aria sportsbook. Sat next to two Asian guys and for two hours, I listened to them have a conversation in a foreign language, no idea which one.

I could tell they were rooting for the Suns, but they were mostly quiet, which is more than could be said for couple of other guys who appeared during the second half— they were right out of a Dumb and Dumber movie, screaming on every possession as if their life depended on it.

This was the first time in all my visits here that I saw guys acting like morons while sweating out a bet (maybe they weren’t acting). End of the game, the loud guys won, I think the quiet guys lost by a half-point.

12) Bruce Arians stepped down as coach of Tampa Bay Buccaneers, was replaced immediately by Todd Bowles, who used to coach the Jets. Arians will move on to the Tampa Bay front office.

It is unclear if Tom Brady’s un-retirement had a hand in all this; there had been rumors that Arians and Brady didn’t always get along so well.

11) The inevitable happened in New Jersey; Shaheen Holloway leaves Saint Peter’s to become the new coach at Seton Hall, his alma mater.

10) Fresno State-Coastal Carolina game, championship tilt of the Basketball Classic, was postponed until Friday afternoon; Fresno’s team had travel problems getting to the east coast Wednesday.

9) USFL kicks off in a couple weeks; they’re going to experiment with some rule changes:

— Three options for PAT’s:
a) traditional kick for one point
b) 2-point play from 2-yard line
c) 3-point play from 10-yard line
— Kickoffs will be from 25-yard line, not 35.
— Onside kicks:
a) traditional onside kick
b) run 4th-and-12 play from your 33-yard line
— In last 2:00 of half, clock stops after a first down.

The whole league is taking place in Birmingham; we’ll see how it goes.

8) New Jersey Generals’ coach is Mike Riley, who will be coaching in his fifth pro league; he also coached Oregon State in college. This guy could write quite a book:
1987-90— Winnipeg Blue Bombers, CFL
1991-92— San Antonio Riders, WLAF
1997-98— Oregon State
1999-2001— San Diego Chargers
2013-14— Oregon State
2015-17— Nebraska
2019— San Antonio Commanders, AAF
2022— New Jersey Generals, USFL

7) New Orleans Saints re-signed QB Jameis Winston for two years, added veteran Andy Dalton as a backup; they’ll move Taysom Hill to tight end.

6) Sounds like the Los Angeles Angels will be using a six-man pitching rotation this year.

5) Chicago Cubs used 69 different players last year, 15 of which made their MLB debut; they will be interesting to follow this summer, a big market team that openly went in the tank last season. Will they try harder to win this year?

4) Injured list for pitchers goes back to 15 days this season, to avoid roster manipulation; for position players, injured list stays at 10 days.

3) Dodgers dealt 1B/OF Matt Beaty to division rival San Diego for a minor leaguer; little unusual that division rivals make a deal like that.

2) Iowa Hawkeyes star Keegan Murray is leaving college ball for the NBA Draft; Murray scored 23.5 ppg this year, leading Iowa to a 26-10 record.

1) So far in this NCAA Tournament, teams have shot a combined 31.5% on the arc, which isn’t good. Couple that with refs allowing a lot more contact around the basket, and you get a lot of low scoring games, which also isn’t good.
 

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TEXAS A&M is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

COASTAL CAROLINA is 25-11 ATS (12.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game since 1997.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 31


f52lLAx.png





NCAAB

Thursday, March 31


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

No trends to report except for...

Fresno State @ Coastal Carolina

Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 7 games on the road
Fresno State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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THURSDAY, MARCH 31
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


XAV at TAM 07:00 PM
TAM -4.5
U 137.0

+500 +500
 

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MARCH MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

03/31/2022................0-2-0.............0.00%.............-11.00
03/29/2022................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50
03/28/2022................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50
03/27/2022................2-2-0............50.00%..............-1.00
03/26/2022................3-3-0............50.00%...............-1.50
03/25/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/24/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/23/2022................6-2-0............75.00%............+19.00
03/22/2022................7-2-1............75.00%............+24.00
03/21/2022................6-5-0............54.55%..............+2.50
03/20/2022.............19-13-2............59.37%............+23.50
03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...............125-115-3..............52.08%............,+20.00
.


BEST BETS

03/31/2022..............0-2-0...............00.00%.................-11.00
03/29/2022..............1-3-0...............25.00%.................-11.50
03/28/2022..............1-3-0................25.00%................-11.50
03/27/2022..............2-2-0................50.00%..................-1.00
03/26/2022..............3-3-0................50.00%..................-1.50
03/25/2022..............4-4-0................50.00%...................-2.00
03/24/2022..............2-4-0.................33.33%................-12.00
03/23/2022..............6-2-0.................75.00%................+19.00
03/22/2022..............4-3-0.................57.14%................+ 3.50
03/21/2022..............4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/20/2022...........12-10-2................54.54%................+ 5.00
03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................79-79-4................50.00%................- 39.50


UPDATED 03/31/2022
 

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 1

Fresno State @ Coastal Carolina

— Fresno State (22-13) ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #355
— Experience: #211
— Continuity: #30
— Fresno State won four of its last five games.
— Bulldogs play 4th-slowest tempo in country.
— Fresno is #13 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bulldogs lost last two true road games in OT (March 3-5)
— Fresno State’s schedule, to this point: #124
— bench minutes: #257
— Bulldogs are 12-3 outside Mountain West.

— Coastal Carolina (19-13) ranked #149 by KenPom
— Tempo: #202
— Experience: #97
— Continuity: #224
— Coastal Carolina won six of its last seven games.
— Chanticleers have #23 eFG% defense in country.
— Coastal Carolina is shooting 48.3% inside arc (#235)
— Chanticleers rebound 32.6% of their misses (#45)
— Coastal Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #220
— bench minutes: #311
— Chanticleers are 6-4 SU vs D-I teams outside Sun Belt.
 

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FRIDAY, APRIL 1
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


FRES at CCU 06:00 PM
FRES -3.0
U 126.5

+500 +500
 

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MARCH/APRIL MADNESS BIG DANCE AND NIT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

04/01/2022................1-1-0............50.00%............- 0.50
03/31/2022................0-2-0.............0.00%.............-11.00
03/29/2022................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50
03/28/2022................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50
03/27/2022................2-2-0............50.00%..............-1.00
03/26/2022................3-3-0............50.00%...............-1.50
03/25/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/24/2022................4-4-0............50.00%...............-2.00
03/23/2022................6-2-0............75.00%............+19.00
03/22/2022................7-2-1............75.00%............+24.00
03/21/2022................6-5-0............54.55%..............+2.50
03/20/2022.............19-13-2............59.37%............+23.50
03/19/2022.............13-19-1............40.91%.............-39.50
03/18/2022.............17-14-1.............54.69%.............+8.00
03/17/2022.............16-18-0.............47.06%.............-19.00
03/16/2022.............14-13-1.............51.79%...............-1.50
03/15/2022 ............13-11-0............ 54.17% .............+4.50

TOTALS...............126-116-3..............52.06%............,+20.00
.


BEST BETS

04/01/2022..............1-1-0...............50.00%................- 0.50
03/31/2022..............0-2-0...............00.00%.................-11.00
03/29/2022..............1-3-0...............25.00%.................-11.50
03/28/2022..............1-3-0................25.00%................-11.50
03/27/2022..............2-2-0................50.00%..................-1.00
03/26/2022..............3-3-0................50.00%..................-1.50
03/25/2022..............4-4-0................50.00%...................-2.00
03/24/2022..............2-4-0.................33.33%................-12.00
03/23/2022..............6-2-0.................75.00%................+19.00
03/22/2022..............4-3-0.................57.14%................+ 3.50
03/21/2022..............4-4-0.................50.00%.................- 2.00
03/20/2022...........12-10-2................54.54%................+ 5.00
03/19/2022.............8-13-1................38.09%.................-31.50
03/18/2022.............12-8-0................60.00%.................+16.00
03/17/2022............10-11-0...............47.61%.................- 10.50
03/16/2022...............8-6-1................57.14%.................+ 7.00
03/15/2022...............6-5-0................54.54%.................+ 2.50

TOTALS..................80-80-4................50.00%................- 40.00


UPDATED 04/01/2022
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s Den: Final Four prop bets…….


I’m flying home Friday, so I’m posting my Saturday stuff early; here are prop bets for the Final Four, provided by the SouthPoint Casino:

13) Total points for each team:
— North Carolina 73.5
— Duke 77.5
— Villanova 64.5
— Kansas 68.5

12) Total points in first half for each team:
— North Carolina 34.5
— Duke 36.5
— Villanova 29.5
— Kansas 31.5

11) First team to get to 15 points:
— Kansas -140; Villanova +120
— Duke -135; North Carolina +115

10) Combined total of made 3-pointers:
— Villanova-Kansas 15.5
— North Carolina-Duke 15.5

9) Over/under points for Collin Gillespie: 15.5 (under -120)

8) Over/under points for Jermaine Samuels: 14.5

7) Over/under points for Ochai Agbaji: 16.5 (under -120)

6) Over/under points for Remy Martin: 11.5

5) Over/under points for Brady Manek: 17.5 (under -120)

4) Over/under points for Caleb Love 16.5 (under -120)

3) Over/under points for Paolo Banchero: 17.5

2) Over/under points for Wendell Moore: 12.5

1) Pointspread prop bets:
— Villanova -3.5 (+250) vs Kansas (-300)
— Duke +3.5 (-260) vs North Carolina (+220)
 

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NEW YORK is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

CHICAGO is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, April 2


sCv289K.png





NBA

Saturday, April 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Charlotte @ Philadelphia
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Cleveland @ New York
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland

Brooklyn @ Atlanta
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Brooklyn is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Miami @ Chicago
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Utah @ Golden State
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Nets' games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Hawks' games
The Nets are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 matchups against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last nine matchups between Brooklyn and Atlanta.
 

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Sorry...... 5 minutes allowed for editing just wasn't enough to catch and correct the mistake. Here we go with college hoops...
 

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VILLANOVA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better in the current season.

N CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game after 15+ games in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, April 2


WKqfImD.png





NCAAB

Saturday, April 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Villanova @ Kansas
Villanova
Villanova is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Villanova is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games when playing Villanova
Kansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Villanova

North Carolina @ Duke
North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Duke
North Carolina is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Duke
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
Duke is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing North Carolina


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 2

Kansas vs Villanova

— Kansas (32-6) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #61
— Experience: #129
— Continuity: #46
— Kansas won its last nine games.
— Jayhawks are shooting 53.8% inside arc (#38)
— Kansas has #27 eFG% defense.
— Jayhawks are 15-2 outside Big X this season
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #296
— Kansas is 3-0 vs Big East teams TY, winning by 20-7-5 points.

— Villanova (30-7) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #35
— Villanova won nine in row, 14 of last 15 games.
— Wildcats have #39 eFG% defense in country.
— 2nd-leading scorer Moore (achilles) is out this week.
— Villanova lost 57-36 at Baylor of Big X back in December.
— Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #11
— bench minutes: #323

— Last seven times only one #1-seed made the Final Four; the #1-seed went 5-2 in national semi-final, won four national titles. Kansas is the #1-seed here.

North Carolina vs Duke
— North Carolina (28-9) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #39
— Experience: #215
— Continuity: #97
— North Carolina won 16 of its last 19 games.
— Tar Heels shoot 36.1% on arc (#51)
— North Carolina is #2 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tar Heels are 16-6 this season vs their ACC rivals.
— North Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #344

— Duke (32-6) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #170
— Experience: #347
— Continuity: #231
— Duke won 18 of its last 21 games.
— Blue Devils are shooting 56.2% inside arc (#8)
— Duke has #47 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke scored 79.8 ppg in first four tourney games.
— Blue Devils are 18-5 against their ACC rivals.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #314

— Duke won 87-67 at Chapel Hill; then UNC won 94-81 at Duke.
— This is first time these rivals have met in NCAA Tournament.




Kansas has won nine straight games.
Villanova has won 1H in seven straight NCAA Tournament games.
Kansas has seen 134 or more total points in six straight games when facing a Top 10 AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
Villanova has given up 65 points or less in eight straight games.


Duke has won 18 of its last 19 games when facing a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
The last six meetings have produced 154 total points or more.
UNC has scored 73 points or less in six straight games when playing on a neutral court at night.
UNC has lost 1H in 14 of its last 16 games when facing an AP-ranked school.
 

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