Very nice win today with Indy. San Diego fits the bill for next week, and there's a slim chance Cleveland could sneak up above the -6.5 mark (it's -5 now). We'll also want to see what the Green Bay line is after tonight's game.
That's what it looks like for Oct. 14: Chargers - yes. Browns - Maybe, but not likely. Packers - Maybe, depending on outcome of tonight's game and line opening.
That's what it looks like for Oct. 14: Chargers - yes. Browns - Maybe, but not likely. Packers - Maybe, depending on outcome of tonight's game and line opening.
Thanks for the update YAA. I wonder what the result is between -1 and -6. I'm thinking it's not as good as 23-1 but I'm wondering if it's 60% or more.
Perhaps if a team is favored by -6 or less they aren't as capable of covering as much as a team that is favored by -6.5 to -15. I'm thinking the latter is definitely a better team than their opponent and therefore has the talent to carry out their motivation to do well before going into the break.
That sounds about right. In the NFL for a team to be favored by at least 6.5, the books obviously feel like there's a noticeable difference in team strength, not just something like home field advantage giving a team a slight edge. That coupled with the upcoming bye week -- eliminating look-ahead factors, etc. -- seems to be the key to me.
Good point. One should never bet blindly.
I checked out Philadelphia's loss last year. It was against Jax and the Eagles were favored by 7.5 and had the league's top offense at the time. They had lost the 2 previous games which were both on the road.
Jax ran the ball well and Philadelphia just did not execute like they were used to doing. Perhaps another indicator could be how well the team has been doing in recent games as well.
Even though SD did rather well today they are still in the dog house with me. I don't know if I'll be betting them next week. GB plays Washington next week.
Sometimes I'm too much of a perfectionist and get discouraged when things don't go perfectly. I guess this system won this week. Let's see how it does next week.
This is a great system and I used it last year after reading about it's success.
I didn't play it last week (actually I had forgotten about it until reading this thread). But I will be playing it from here on out along with my two other systems that finally kick in after week 5 (a "500" system and a "Dog Play" system).
BOL to everyone.
I didn't play it last week (actually I had forgotten about it until reading this thread). But I will be playing it from here on out along with my two other systems that finally kick in after week 5 (a "500" system and a "Dog Play" system).
BOL to everyone.
Just noticed this thread.
The system started the 06/07 season at 16-1.
The results for 06/07 were 6-2.
So we began this season at 22-3 ATS.
Had system 1st play for this season, week 5 with IND as a Win.
So since 2002, when the league went to 32 teams and all byes occur in weeks 4-10, the system stands at 23-3 ATS.
ope:
