CNOTES -
Game Score Pick Amount Status Units
12/27/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50
12/26/2021..........9-8-0..........52.94%............+1.00
12/25/2021..........3-1-0...........75.00%...........+9.50
12/23/2021..........0-2-0.............0.00%...........-11.00
12/21/2021..........3-0-0..........100.00%..........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0............25.00%...........-11.50
12/19/2021........12-8-0............60.00%..........+16.00
12/18/2021..........2-0-0...........100.00%.........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0...............0.00%..........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1..............36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0..............34.78%..........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%............-0.50
TOTALS:............48-54-1..............47.05%...........-53.00
****************************
BEST BETS:
12/27/2021..........1-1-0.........50.00%.........-0.50
12/26/2021..........8-5-0.........61.53%........+12.50
12/25/2021..........3-1-0..........75.00%........+9.50
12/23/2021..........0-2-0..........00.00%.........-11.00
12/21/2021..........3-0-0........100.00%.........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0..........25.00%..........-11.50
12/19/2021..........9-5-0.........64.28%..........+17.50
12/18/2021..........2-0-0.......100.00%..........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50
TOTALS:............40-38-0..........51.28%...........-10.00
UPDATED 12/27/2021
Game Score Pick Amount Status Units
12/27/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50
12/26/2021..........9-8-0..........52.94%............+1.00
12/25/2021..........3-1-0...........75.00%...........+9.50
12/23/2021..........0-2-0.............0.00%...........-11.00
12/21/2021..........3-0-0..........100.00%..........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0............25.00%...........-11.50
12/19/2021........12-8-0............60.00%..........+16.00
12/18/2021..........2-0-0...........100.00%.........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0...............0.00%..........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1..............36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0..............34.78%..........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%............-0.50
TOTALS:............48-54-1..............47.05%...........-53.00
****************************
BEST BETS:
12/27/2021..........1-1-0.........50.00%.........-0.50
12/26/2021..........8-5-0.........61.53%........+12.50
12/25/2021..........3-1-0..........75.00%........+9.50
12/23/2021..........0-2-0..........00.00%.........-11.00
12/21/2021..........3-0-0........100.00%.........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0..........25.00%..........-11.50
12/19/2021..........9-5-0.........64.28%..........+17.50
12/18/2021..........2-0-0.......100.00%..........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50
TOTALS:............40-38-0..........51.28%...........-10.00
UPDATED 12/27/2021
Betting Recap - Week 16
Dan Dobish
Overall Notes
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Texans +13 (ML +525) vs. Chargers, 41-29
Bears +7 (ML +250) at Seahawks, 25-24
Titans +3.5 (ML +155) vs. 49ers, 20-17 (Thu.)
Colts +3 (ML +150) at Cardinals, 22-16 (Sat.)
The largest favorites to cover
Eagles (-11) vs. Giants, 34-10
Chiefs (-10) vs. Steelers, 36-10
Cowboys (-10) vs. Washington, 56-14 (SNF)
Bengals (-7.5) vs. Ravens, 41-21
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week
The New York Giants-Philadelphia Eagles (41) game was a crushing defeat for UNDER bettors.
This game started off well enough, as the game was scoreless after the first quarter, and tied 3-3 at halftime. With just six total points on the board after 30 minutes, UNDER bettors had to be feeling pretty good.
The third quarter was all Eagles, as they outscored the G-Men to take a 20-3 lead after 45 minutes. Still, with an average of just under eight points per quarter to this point, the UNDER was looking more than fine.
Philadelphia took a 34-3 lead, scoring 34 unanswered points. With just 3:50 to go in regulation, QB Mike Glennon hit TE Evan Engram for a 9-yard touchdown to cut the lead to 34-10. It was a meaningless touchdown to the overall result of the game, but a tremendously important touchdown for those who took the OVER. The way this game started looked like it would be a low-scoring game like the 13-7 battle in the Meadowlands in Week 12 in the first installment.
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II
The Pittsburgh Steelers-Kansas City Chiefs (44.5) game was a blowout, and any bettors taking the Chiefs laying the 10 were more than pleased. It would be nice if they all could be that easy. However, total bettors weren't as thrilled with the outcome, at least UNDER bettors.
It takes a special kind of bettors to gut out UNDER bets on the regular. It can often look great for a majority of the game before falling apart late. This game was all Kansas City, with the Chiefs taking a 23-0 lead into the half. There were 34 points on the board heading to the fourth quarter, with Kansas City up 31-3. The Chiefs side bettors continues to be in good shape, but the bottom would drop out on UNDER bettors.
Kansas City hit a pair of field goals by new PK Elliott Fry, who was replacing PK Harrison Butker (reserve/COVID), making it 36-3. UNDER bettors were still good until 2:54 to go. That's when QB Ben Roethlisberger hit WR Diontae Johnson with the team's first touchdown of the day, a rather meaningless score, making it 36-10 in favor of the home side. Of course, like the Giants late score above, it was anything but meaningless.
Total Recall
The lowest total on the board in Week 16 on Sunday was a tie, as the Giants-Eagles game (above) and Chicago Bears-Seattle Seahawks game each closed with a total of 41 points. You know how the Giants spoiled the UNDER. We had a rough ride in the Pacific Northwest, too. The lowest total overall is in the Miami Dolphins-New Orleans Saints (37) Monday night game.
When bettors turned on the FOX telecast from Lumen Field, they were likely smiling ear to ear with snowy and icy conditions in Seattle. We had a total of just seven points in the first quarter before the teams found their footing, with Seattle up 17-7 at halftime. The teams exchanged touchdowns in the third quarter before Chicago erased a 24-14 deficit to post 11 fourth-quarter points to grab the 25-24 win. It was a nice win for OVER bettors, and money line bettors of the Bears were celebrating the comeback as well.
The second-lowest total on the board is the Denver Broncos-Las Vegas Raiders (41.5) game, which saw the teams go scoreless in the first 15 minutes. There was a 20-point outburst in the second quarter, thanks to a late giveaway near the end of the first half leading to a Broncos touchdown. They took a 13-7 lead into the break, but there were no additional points scored by the visitors. The Raiders posted 10 total points in the second half, and that was it, as Vegas won it 17-13. That's eight UNDER results in the past nine games for the Broncos, while the Raiders have cashed the UNDER in four of the past six.
As far as the highest total, the Los Angeles Rams-Minnesota Vikings (48.5) game was expected to see plenty of offense, and the teams got off to a bit of a sluggish start. L.A. took a 13-3 lead into the break, and OVER bettors likely weren't feeling too good. Things would turn around dramatically. Minnesota cut the lead to 20-13 after 45 minutes, and then we had a total of 20 points in the final 15 with 10 points apiece, closing the game well OVER.
In the primetime games, the UNDER went 2-0, with the MNF game between the Miami Dolphins-New Orleans Saints (37) still pending. The UNDER is now 26-18-1 (58.1%) through 45 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
Looking Ahead to Week 17
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Football Team (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Eagles (8-7) and Washington (6-9) square off in D.C., and WFT would love nothing more than to spoil the playoff hopes of their division rivals. Washington is dead in the water after a 56-14 humbling by the
Dallas Cowboys on SNF in Week 16.
These teams just met in a game Tuesday, Dec. 21, a contest pushed back due to COVID issues within the Washington locker room. Remember, that postponement game led to the team signing QB Garrett Gilbert from the New England Patriots practice squad and starting him three days later. He did well in the 27-17 loss, a narrow OVER result while we saw a push against the number.
The OVER is 3-0 in the past three games for Philadelphia, while going 7-2 across the past nine. After a 7-1 UNDER run, spurred by a strong defense, Washington has allowed 83 points across the past two games while hitting the OVER in back-to-back games for the first time since a 4-0 OVER run from Sept. 16 to Oct. 10.
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)
The Broncos (7-8) lock horns with the Chargers (8-7) in what is essentially an elimination game by two teams "in the hunt" in the AFC playoff picture.
Denver slipped up 17-13 in Las Vegas in Week 16, hitting the UNDER for the eighth time in the past nine outings. The past two games have been especially brutal from an offense perspective, averaging just 11.5 PPG. The Denver defense has held them in the game, allowing an average of just 16.0 PPG.
These teams met in Week 12, with the Broncos winning 28-13 in the Mile High City as the UNDER connected. That was the last UNDER for the Chargers, who have cashed the OVER in four consecutive games. The offense is good for at least 28 points in each of those four outings, while the defense has allowed 41, 34, 21 and 22 during the span, and 21 or more points have been allowed in 11 straight outings.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
The Vikings (7-8) and Packers (12-3) hook up on Sunday Night Football with the home team looking to keep its foot on the gas as they try and secure the first-round bye.
These teams just met in Minneapolis in Week 11, with the Vikings pulling off a 34-31 victory as the OVER connected. The Vikings have allowed 28 or more points in five of the past six outings, hitting the OVER in each of those games (5-1).
The Packers posted a 24-22 win over the visiting Cleveland Browns on Saturday, with the Browns getting the backdoor cover. It's the first time all season Green Bay has failed to cover in consecutive outings. The UNDER was rare, too, as the OVER had gone 4-0 in the past four outings with the Packers offense posting 31 or more points in each of those games.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
The Browns (7-8) and Steelers (7-7-1) meet in the final game of Week 17, looking to keep their flickering playoff hopes alive. The winner will still be barely breathing, depending on the results earlier in the day, while the loser will be all but eliminated from playoff contention.
As mentioned above, Cleveland picked up a cover in their narrow 24-22 loss at Green Bay on Christmas Day. It's the first time the Browns have had consecutive covers since Weeks 3-4. The UNDER has hit in two straight, and four of the past five outings, with the offense averaging just 15.0 PPG during the past six outings.
These teams met in Week 8, with the Steelers posting a 15-10 victory in Week 8 at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland. Pittsburgh will be looking to bounce back from a 36-10 drumming in Kansas City in Week 16. They're just 3-5 ATS across the past eight outings, with the OVER going 4-2 in the past six contests.
Dan Dobish
Overall Notes
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Texans +13 (ML +525) vs. Chargers, 41-29
Bears +7 (ML +250) at Seahawks, 25-24
Titans +3.5 (ML +155) vs. 49ers, 20-17 (Thu.)
Colts +3 (ML +150) at Cardinals, 22-16 (Sat.)
The largest favorites to cover
Eagles (-11) vs. Giants, 34-10
Chiefs (-10) vs. Steelers, 36-10
Cowboys (-10) vs. Washington, 56-14 (SNF)
Bengals (-7.5) vs. Ravens, 41-21
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week
The New York Giants-Philadelphia Eagles (41) game was a crushing defeat for UNDER bettors.
This game started off well enough, as the game was scoreless after the first quarter, and tied 3-3 at halftime. With just six total points on the board after 30 minutes, UNDER bettors had to be feeling pretty good.
The third quarter was all Eagles, as they outscored the G-Men to take a 20-3 lead after 45 minutes. Still, with an average of just under eight points per quarter to this point, the UNDER was looking more than fine.
Philadelphia took a 34-3 lead, scoring 34 unanswered points. With just 3:50 to go in regulation, QB Mike Glennon hit TE Evan Engram for a 9-yard touchdown to cut the lead to 34-10. It was a meaningless touchdown to the overall result of the game, but a tremendously important touchdown for those who took the OVER. The way this game started looked like it would be a low-scoring game like the 13-7 battle in the Meadowlands in Week 12 in the first installment.
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II
The Pittsburgh Steelers-Kansas City Chiefs (44.5) game was a blowout, and any bettors taking the Chiefs laying the 10 were more than pleased. It would be nice if they all could be that easy. However, total bettors weren't as thrilled with the outcome, at least UNDER bettors.
It takes a special kind of bettors to gut out UNDER bets on the regular. It can often look great for a majority of the game before falling apart late. This game was all Kansas City, with the Chiefs taking a 23-0 lead into the half. There were 34 points on the board heading to the fourth quarter, with Kansas City up 31-3. The Chiefs side bettors continues to be in good shape, but the bottom would drop out on UNDER bettors.
Kansas City hit a pair of field goals by new PK Elliott Fry, who was replacing PK Harrison Butker (reserve/COVID), making it 36-3. UNDER bettors were still good until 2:54 to go. That's when QB Ben Roethlisberger hit WR Diontae Johnson with the team's first touchdown of the day, a rather meaningless score, making it 36-10 in favor of the home side. Of course, like the Giants late score above, it was anything but meaningless.
Total Recall
The lowest total on the board in Week 16 on Sunday was a tie, as the Giants-Eagles game (above) and Chicago Bears-Seattle Seahawks game each closed with a total of 41 points. You know how the Giants spoiled the UNDER. We had a rough ride in the Pacific Northwest, too. The lowest total overall is in the Miami Dolphins-New Orleans Saints (37) Monday night game.
When bettors turned on the FOX telecast from Lumen Field, they were likely smiling ear to ear with snowy and icy conditions in Seattle. We had a total of just seven points in the first quarter before the teams found their footing, with Seattle up 17-7 at halftime. The teams exchanged touchdowns in the third quarter before Chicago erased a 24-14 deficit to post 11 fourth-quarter points to grab the 25-24 win. It was a nice win for OVER bettors, and money line bettors of the Bears were celebrating the comeback as well.
The second-lowest total on the board is the Denver Broncos-Las Vegas Raiders (41.5) game, which saw the teams go scoreless in the first 15 minutes. There was a 20-point outburst in the second quarter, thanks to a late giveaway near the end of the first half leading to a Broncos touchdown. They took a 13-7 lead into the break, but there were no additional points scored by the visitors. The Raiders posted 10 total points in the second half, and that was it, as Vegas won it 17-13. That's eight UNDER results in the past nine games for the Broncos, while the Raiders have cashed the UNDER in four of the past six.
As far as the highest total, the Los Angeles Rams-Minnesota Vikings (48.5) game was expected to see plenty of offense, and the teams got off to a bit of a sluggish start. L.A. took a 13-3 lead into the break, and OVER bettors likely weren't feeling too good. Things would turn around dramatically. Minnesota cut the lead to 20-13 after 45 minutes, and then we had a total of 20 points in the final 15 with 10 points apiece, closing the game well OVER.
In the primetime games, the UNDER went 2-0, with the MNF game between the Miami Dolphins-New Orleans Saints (37) still pending. The UNDER is now 26-18-1 (58.1%) through 45 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
Looking Ahead to Week 17
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Football Team (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Eagles (8-7) and Washington (6-9) square off in D.C., and WFT would love nothing more than to spoil the playoff hopes of their division rivals. Washington is dead in the water after a 56-14 humbling by the
Dallas Cowboys on SNF in Week 16.
These teams just met in a game Tuesday, Dec. 21, a contest pushed back due to COVID issues within the Washington locker room. Remember, that postponement game led to the team signing QB Garrett Gilbert from the New England Patriots practice squad and starting him three days later. He did well in the 27-17 loss, a narrow OVER result while we saw a push against the number.
The OVER is 3-0 in the past three games for Philadelphia, while going 7-2 across the past nine. After a 7-1 UNDER run, spurred by a strong defense, Washington has allowed 83 points across the past two games while hitting the OVER in back-to-back games for the first time since a 4-0 OVER run from Sept. 16 to Oct. 10.
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)
The Broncos (7-8) lock horns with the Chargers (8-7) in what is essentially an elimination game by two teams "in the hunt" in the AFC playoff picture.
Denver slipped up 17-13 in Las Vegas in Week 16, hitting the UNDER for the eighth time in the past nine outings. The past two games have been especially brutal from an offense perspective, averaging just 11.5 PPG. The Denver defense has held them in the game, allowing an average of just 16.0 PPG.
These teams met in Week 12, with the Broncos winning 28-13 in the Mile High City as the UNDER connected. That was the last UNDER for the Chargers, who have cashed the OVER in four consecutive games. The offense is good for at least 28 points in each of those four outings, while the defense has allowed 41, 34, 21 and 22 during the span, and 21 or more points have been allowed in 11 straight outings.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
The Vikings (7-8) and Packers (12-3) hook up on Sunday Night Football with the home team looking to keep its foot on the gas as they try and secure the first-round bye.
These teams just met in Minneapolis in Week 11, with the Vikings pulling off a 34-31 victory as the OVER connected. The Vikings have allowed 28 or more points in five of the past six outings, hitting the OVER in each of those games (5-1).
The Packers posted a 24-22 win over the visiting Cleveland Browns on Saturday, with the Browns getting the backdoor cover. It's the first time all season Green Bay has failed to cover in consecutive outings. The UNDER was rare, too, as the OVER had gone 4-0 in the past four outings with the Packers offense posting 31 or more points in each of those games.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
The Browns (7-8) and Steelers (7-7-1) meet in the final game of Week 17, looking to keep their flickering playoff hopes alive. The winner will still be barely breathing, depending on the results earlier in the day, while the loser will be all but eliminated from playoff contention.
As mentioned above, Cleveland picked up a cover in their narrow 24-22 loss at Green Bay on Christmas Day. It's the first time the Browns have had consecutive covers since Weeks 3-4. The UNDER has hit in two straight, and four of the past five outings, with the offense averaging just 15.0 PPG during the past six outings.
These teams met in Week 8, with the Steelers posting a 15-10 victory in Week 8 at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland. Pittsburgh will be looking to bounce back from a 36-10 drumming in Kansas City in Week 16. They're just 3-5 ATS across the past eight outings, with the OVER going 4-2 in the past six contests.
LAS VEGAS are 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 45-23 ATS (19.7 Units) in road games vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games in the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the current season.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 or more points in the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after 2+ SU wins in the current season.
NEW ENGLAND is 51-22 ATS (26.8 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.
MIAMI is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season in the current season.
LA CHARGERS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-7 ATS (14.3 Units) after a road upset loss since 1992.
DALLAS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.
SEATTLE is 38-16 ATS (20.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the season in the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the current season.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a road loss in the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 45-23 ATS (19.7 Units) in road games vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games in the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the current season.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 or more points in the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after 2+ SU wins in the current season.
NEW ENGLAND is 51-22 ATS (26.8 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.
MIAMI is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season in the current season.
LA CHARGERS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game in the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-7 ATS (14.3 Units) after a road upset loss since 1992.
DALLAS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.
SEATTLE is 38-16 ATS (20.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the season in the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the current season.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a road loss in the last 2 seasons.
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 17
Sunday's games
Las Vegas (8-7) @ Indianapolis (9-6)
— Las Vegas won last two games by total of six points.
— Last three games, Raiders are minus-10 in turnovers (0-10)
— Last seven games, Las Vegas was outscored 95-53 in first half.
— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 2-7 when it doesn’t.
— Last two games, Raiders converted 12 of 25 third down plays.
— Raiders are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog (3-2 TY)
— Raiders are 11-18 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
— Three of last four Las Vegas games stayed under the total.
— Colts won six of last seven games (4-1 ATS in last five)
— Indy led all seven those games at halftime.
— Colts are 8-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.
— Indy is 15-11-2 ATS last 28 games as home favorites.
— Last 12 games, Colts outscored opponents 196-91 in first half.
— Last seven weeks, Indy led each game by 6+ points at halftime.
— Colts are 5-2 ATS TY in games coming off a win.
— Last three Indy games stayed under the total.
— Colts won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last four series games played here.
NY Giants (4-11) @ Chicago (5-10)
— Giants lost five of six games since their bye (1-5 ATS)
— Last four games, Big Blue was outscored 52-16 in first half.
— Giants have scored six TD’s on their last 64 drives.
— Giants lost last four road games by a combined 121-50.
— Last three games, Big Blue is minus-7 in turnovers.
— Giants have been outscored 90-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Opponents have started 20 drives in Giant territory (minus-12).
— Seven of last nine Giant games stayed under the total.
— Bears are 3-2 with Dalton/Foles starting at QB, 2-8 with rookie Fields.
— Chicago lost seven of last ten games (2-8 ATS)
— Under Nagy, Bears are 16-11-1 ATS as a favorite.
— In Bears’ three wins as favorites this year, they won by 2-3-10 points.
— Last four games, Chicago is minus-nine in turnovers.
— Last nine games, Chicago was outscored 140-76 in first half.
— Bears are 18-12 ATS last 30 games, coming off a win.
— Three of last four Chicago games went over the total.
— Bears are 3-2 last five series games, all decided by 6 or less points.
— Home team won all five of those games.
— Giants lost last three trips to Chicago, by 4-5-6 points.
Tampa Bay (11-4) @ NJ Jets (4-11)
— Tampa Bay scored 30+ points in five of last six games (5-1 ATS).
— Buccaneers are 3-5 ATS as road favorites this season.
— Before last week, Bucs had scored 16 TD’s on previous 43 drives.
— Last four games, Bucs converted 29-62 third down plays.
— Buccaneers didn’t allow TD in last two games (22 drives).
— Last three games, Tampa Bay outscored foes 43-12 in first half.
— Bucs are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games vs AFC teams.
— Under is 5-2 in Tampa Bay’s last seven road games.
— Jets had kick return for TD LW, had defensive score week before.
— Jets lost six of their last eight games (3-5 ATS).
— Jets gave up 32.3 ppg in their last ten games.
— Last five games, Jets converted 15-59 third down plays.
— Jets are 2-5 ATS this year as a home underdog.
— Jets are 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a win.
— Over is 9-3 in last dozen Jet games.
— Last six games, Jets are +2 in turnovers.
— Jets won four of last five series games.
— Average total in last four meetings, 28.8
— When Brady was on Patriots, they won last nine games vs Jets.
Atlanta (7-8) @ Buffalo (9-6)
— Falcons are 0-5 ATS TY the week following a win.
— Atlanta is 11-15 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
— Falcons’ last four losses were all by 13+ points.
— Atlanta is 6-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
— Last two games, Atlanta was outrushed 295-109
— Last two games, Atlanta was held to 275-254 total yards.
— Atlanta covered six of last eight games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine Atlanta games.
— Bills won last two games, scoring 31-33 points.
— Bills is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
— Buffalo is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games as home favorite.
— Buffalo is 10-2 ATS last dozen games vs NFC opponents.
— Right now, Buffalo holds #4 seed in AFC.
— Last five games, Bills outscored opponents 68-32 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills gave up 164.8 rushing yards/game.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven Buffalo games.
— Atlanta won four of last five series games.
— Falcons won 34-31/24-16 in last two visits to Buffalo.
Arizona (10-5) @ Dallas (11-4)
— Cardinals lost last three games, giving up 30-30-22 points.
— Arizona scored only 17 ppg in those three games.
— Last two weeks, Arizona was outscored 29-6 in first half.
— This season, Cardinals are 5-0 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last three weeks, Arizona allowed 8.1/7.6/7.3 yards/pass attempt,
— Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Arizona converted 33 of last 68 third down plays.
— Redbirds are 4-7 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-3 in last seven Arizona games.
— NFC West underdogs are 5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Dallas won/covered its last four games, scoring 32.8 ppg.
— Last three games, Dallas led 24-0/15-3/42-7 at halftime.
— Cowboys are 5-2 SU/5-2 ATS at home this season.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 85-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas has 14 takeaways in its last four games (+10)
— Last two games, Dallas converted 18-29 on third down.
— Last four years, Cowboys are 20-12 ATS coming off a win.
— Six of last nine Dallas games stayed under the total.
— NFC East home favorites are 8-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Arizona won five of last six series games.
— Cardinals won 38-10/28-17 in last two visits to Dallas; their last loss here? 2005.
Kansas City (11-4) @ Cincinnati (9-6)
— Chiefs won last eight games, covering last six.
— Chiefs outscored foes 131-40 in first half of those games.
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have 20 takeaways in last six games (+14)
— Kansas City is 15-5 ATS in last 20 games as road favorites.
— Kansas City converted 25 of last 48 third down plays.
— Chiefs’ last three games went over the total.
— Chiefs are 9-13-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— AFC West road favorites are 5-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Bengals are 4-2 SU/ATS since their bye week.
— Last three games, Cincinnati outscored foes 33-17 in 2nd half.
— Burrow threw for 525 yards in LW’s win over Baltimore.
— Bengals are 8-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
— Bengals are 5-3-2 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Cincy is 4-8-1 ATS last 13 games coming off a win.
— Right now, Cincinnati holds #3 seed in AFC.
— Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Bengal games.
— AFC North home dogs are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Bengals won four of last five series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.
— Chiefs lost their last four visits to Cincinnati.
Miami (8-7) @ Tennessee (10-5)
— Short week for Miami after Monday nite’s win in New Orleans.
— Dolphins won last seven games, covering six of them.
— Miami gave up six TDs on opponents’ last 68 drives.
— Dolphins are 1-7 if they give up more than 17 points, 7-0 otherwise.
— Miami is 10-5 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Miami is 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Dolphins are 14-6 ATS in games following their last 20 wins.
— Miami outscored last five foes 86-30 in second half.
— AFC East road underdogs are 4-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Tennessee lost three of its last five games.
— Titans lost field position by 8+ yards in 4 of 5 losses.
— Titans were held to 13 or less points in 4 of 5 losses.
— Tennessee is 9-11 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Right now, Titans are #2-seed in AFC.
— Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Titans converted 17 of last 34 third down plays.
— Under is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last five games.
— AFC South home favorites are 2-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Miami won three of last four series games.
— Dolphins split last four visits here; their last visit was 2015.
Jacksonville (2-13) @ New England (9-6)
— Jaguars lost last seven games, and 27 of last 29.
— Jaguars are 0-6 ATS the last six weeks.
— Jacksonville has nine losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have nine TD’s on their last 85 drives.
— Last six games, Jacksonville is minus-9 in turnovers (2-11)
— Jaguars are 9-16-2 ATS last 27 games as road dogs.
— Jacksonville has been outscored 136-50 in first half.
— 11 of their last 14 games stayed under the total.
— AFC South road underdogs are 10-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
— New England lost last two games, giving up 27-33 points.
— Patriots are 20-5 ATS last 25 games aa double digit favorites.
— Last six games, Patriots outscored foes 97-29 in second half.
— New England is 30-17-3 ATS last 50 games as home favorite.
— Last two games, New England is minus-3 in turnovers.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
— Patriots are 9-8 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
— New England converted nine of last 36 third down plays.
— AFC East home favorites are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— New England won eight of last nine series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.
— Jaguars lost last six visits (2-4 ATS) to Foxboro.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 17
Sunday's games
Las Vegas (8-7) @ Indianapolis (9-6)
— Las Vegas won last two games by total of six points.
— Last three games, Raiders are minus-10 in turnovers (0-10)
— Last seven games, Las Vegas was outscored 95-53 in first half.
— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 2-7 when it doesn’t.
— Last two games, Raiders converted 12 of 25 third down plays.
— Raiders are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog (3-2 TY)
— Raiders are 11-18 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.
— Three of last four Las Vegas games stayed under the total.
— Colts won six of last seven games (4-1 ATS in last five)
— Indy led all seven those games at halftime.
— Colts are 8-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.
— Indy is 15-11-2 ATS last 28 games as home favorites.
— Last 12 games, Colts outscored opponents 196-91 in first half.
— Last seven weeks, Indy led each game by 6+ points at halftime.
— Colts are 5-2 ATS TY in games coming off a win.
— Last three Indy games stayed under the total.
— Colts won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last four series games played here.
NY Giants (4-11) @ Chicago (5-10)
— Giants lost five of six games since their bye (1-5 ATS)
— Last four games, Big Blue was outscored 52-16 in first half.
— Giants have scored six TD’s on their last 64 drives.
— Giants lost last four road games by a combined 121-50.
— Last three games, Big Blue is minus-7 in turnovers.
— Giants have been outscored 90-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Opponents have started 20 drives in Giant territory (minus-12).
— Seven of last nine Giant games stayed under the total.
— Bears are 3-2 with Dalton/Foles starting at QB, 2-8 with rookie Fields.
— Chicago lost seven of last ten games (2-8 ATS)
— Under Nagy, Bears are 16-11-1 ATS as a favorite.
— In Bears’ three wins as favorites this year, they won by 2-3-10 points.
— Last four games, Chicago is minus-nine in turnovers.
— Last nine games, Chicago was outscored 140-76 in first half.
— Bears are 18-12 ATS last 30 games, coming off a win.
— Three of last four Chicago games went over the total.
— Bears are 3-2 last five series games, all decided by 6 or less points.
— Home team won all five of those games.
— Giants lost last three trips to Chicago, by 4-5-6 points.
Tampa Bay (11-4) @ NJ Jets (4-11)
— Tampa Bay scored 30+ points in five of last six games (5-1 ATS).
— Buccaneers are 3-5 ATS as road favorites this season.
— Before last week, Bucs had scored 16 TD’s on previous 43 drives.
— Last four games, Bucs converted 29-62 third down plays.
— Buccaneers didn’t allow TD in last two games (22 drives).
— Last three games, Tampa Bay outscored foes 43-12 in first half.
— Bucs are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games vs AFC teams.
— Under is 5-2 in Tampa Bay’s last seven road games.
— Jets had kick return for TD LW, had defensive score week before.
— Jets lost six of their last eight games (3-5 ATS).
— Jets gave up 32.3 ppg in their last ten games.
— Last five games, Jets converted 15-59 third down plays.
— Jets are 2-5 ATS this year as a home underdog.
— Jets are 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a win.
— Over is 9-3 in last dozen Jet games.
— Last six games, Jets are +2 in turnovers.
— Jets won four of last five series games.
— Average total in last four meetings, 28.8
— When Brady was on Patriots, they won last nine games vs Jets.
Atlanta (7-8) @ Buffalo (9-6)
— Falcons are 0-5 ATS TY the week following a win.
— Atlanta is 11-15 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
— Falcons’ last four losses were all by 13+ points.
— Atlanta is 6-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
— Last two games, Atlanta was outrushed 295-109
— Last two games, Atlanta was held to 275-254 total yards.
— Atlanta covered six of last eight games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine Atlanta games.
— Bills won last two games, scoring 31-33 points.
— Bills is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
— Buffalo is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games as home favorite.
— Buffalo is 10-2 ATS last dozen games vs NFC opponents.
— Right now, Buffalo holds #4 seed in AFC.
— Last five games, Bills outscored opponents 68-32 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills gave up 164.8 rushing yards/game.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven Buffalo games.
— Atlanta won four of last five series games.
— Falcons won 34-31/24-16 in last two visits to Buffalo.
Arizona (10-5) @ Dallas (11-4)
— Cardinals lost last three games, giving up 30-30-22 points.
— Arizona scored only 17 ppg in those three games.
— Last two weeks, Arizona was outscored 29-6 in first half.
— This season, Cardinals are 5-0 ATS as road underdogs.
— Last three weeks, Arizona allowed 8.1/7.6/7.3 yards/pass attempt,
— Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Arizona converted 33 of last 68 third down plays.
— Redbirds are 4-7 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-3 in last seven Arizona games.
— NFC West underdogs are 5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Dallas won/covered its last four games, scoring 32.8 ppg.
— Last three games, Dallas led 24-0/15-3/42-7 at halftime.
— Cowboys are 5-2 SU/5-2 ATS at home this season.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 85-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas has 14 takeaways in its last four games (+10)
— Last two games, Dallas converted 18-29 on third down.
— Last four years, Cowboys are 20-12 ATS coming off a win.
— Six of last nine Dallas games stayed under the total.
— NFC East home favorites are 8-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Arizona won five of last six series games.
— Cardinals won 38-10/28-17 in last two visits to Dallas; their last loss here? 2005.
Kansas City (11-4) @ Cincinnati (9-6)
— Chiefs won last eight games, covering last six.
— Chiefs outscored foes 131-40 in first half of those games.
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have 20 takeaways in last six games (+14)
— Kansas City is 15-5 ATS in last 20 games as road favorites.
— Kansas City converted 25 of last 48 third down plays.
— Chiefs’ last three games went over the total.
— Chiefs are 9-13-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— AFC West road favorites are 5-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Bengals are 4-2 SU/ATS since their bye week.
— Last three games, Cincinnati outscored foes 33-17 in 2nd half.
— Burrow threw for 525 yards in LW’s win over Baltimore.
— Bengals are 8-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
— Bengals are 5-3-2 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Cincy is 4-8-1 ATS last 13 games coming off a win.
— Right now, Cincinnati holds #3 seed in AFC.
— Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Bengal games.
— AFC North home dogs are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Bengals won four of last five series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.
— Chiefs lost their last four visits to Cincinnati.
Miami (8-7) @ Tennessee (10-5)
— Short week for Miami after Monday nite’s win in New Orleans.
— Dolphins won last seven games, covering six of them.
— Miami gave up six TDs on opponents’ last 68 drives.
— Dolphins are 1-7 if they give up more than 17 points, 7-0 otherwise.
— Miami is 10-5 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Miami is 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Dolphins are 14-6 ATS in games following their last 20 wins.
— Miami outscored last five foes 86-30 in second half.
— AFC East road underdogs are 4-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Tennessee lost three of its last five games.
— Titans lost field position by 8+ yards in 4 of 5 losses.
— Titans were held to 13 or less points in 4 of 5 losses.
— Tennessee is 9-11 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Right now, Titans are #2-seed in AFC.
— Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Titans converted 17 of last 34 third down plays.
— Under is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last five games.
— AFC South home favorites are 2-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— Miami won three of last four series games.
— Dolphins split last four visits here; their last visit was 2015.
Jacksonville (2-13) @ New England (9-6)
— Jaguars lost last seven games, and 27 of last 29.
— Jaguars are 0-6 ATS the last six weeks.
— Jacksonville has nine losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have nine TD’s on their last 85 drives.
— Last six games, Jacksonville is minus-9 in turnovers (2-11)
— Jaguars are 9-16-2 ATS last 27 games as road dogs.
— Jacksonville has been outscored 136-50 in first half.
— 11 of their last 14 games stayed under the total.
— AFC South road underdogs are 10-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
— New England lost last two games, giving up 27-33 points.
— Patriots are 20-5 ATS last 25 games aa double digit favorites.
— Last six games, Patriots outscored foes 97-29 in second half.
— New England is 30-17-3 ATS last 50 games as home favorite.
— Last two games, New England is minus-3 in turnovers.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
— Patriots are 9-8 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
— New England converted nine of last 36 third down plays.
— AFC East home favorites are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
— New England won eight of last nine series games.
— Teams haven’t met since 2018.
— Jaguars lost last six visits (2-4 ATS) to Foxboro.
Carolina (5-10) @ New Orleans (7-8)
— Carolina lost 10 of last 12 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-10 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers lost last 13 games Cam Newton started for them.
— Panthers are 9-3 ATS last 12 games as road underdogs.
— Last three games, Carolina was outscored 74-31 in first half
— Last 12 games, Panthers were outscored 167-83 in second half.
— Panthers turned ball over eight times in last three games (minus-5)
— Five of last six Carolina games went over the total.
— New Orleans has COVID/QB issues (check status)
— Saints lost six of their last eight games.
— Last seven weeks, New Orleans was outscored 89-39 in first half.
— New Orleans is 10-13 ATS in last 23 games as home favorites (0-2 TY)
— Last three games, Saints allowed two TD’s on 34 drives.
— New Orleans is 5-6 ATS in last 11 NFC South home games.
— Last four games, opponents are 16-61 on third down.
— Saints’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Carolina (+3.5) beat Saints 26-7 at home back in Week 2.
— Panthers outgained New Orleans 383-128.
— Saints have still won nine of last 11 series games.
— Panthers covered four of last five visits to Bourbon Street.
Philadelphia (8-7) @ Washington (6-9)
— Eagles won five of last six games (8-3 ATS last 11).
— Philly outscored last three opponents 57-14 in second half.
— Philly is 7-2 if it allows 18 or less points, 1-5 if it allows more.
— Eagles are 10-14 ATS in last 24 games as road favorite.
— Last three games, Eagles outgained opponents 1,261-710.
— Last seven games, Eagles outscored opponents 111-58 in first half.
— Last six games, Philly converted 59-119 on third down.
— Seven of last nine Eagle games went over the total.
— Washington lost last three games, outscored 76-17 in first half.
— Last two games, Washington was outgained 1,016-494.
— Washington is 6-9 ATS last fifteen games as a home dog.
— Last 7 years, Washington is 5-12 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Washington is 8-18-2 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Last three Washington games went over the total.
— Last three games, Washington converted 12-40 on third down.
— Last two games, opponents converted 17-28 on third down.
— Eagles (-6.5) beat Washington 27-17 two weeks ago.
— Philly ran ball for 238 yards, averaged 9.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Eagles won seven of last nine series games.
— Philly won three of last four visits to Washington
Denver (7-8) @ LA Chargers (7-8)
— QB Bridgewater is ??? here (check status)
— Broncos lost three of last four games, scoring 9-10-13 in losses.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-7 if it doesn’t.
— Broncos are 14-9-2 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
— Broncos are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
— Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.
— 12 of 15 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 6-3 ATS last nine games on artificial turf.
— Chargers are 3-4 in their last seven games SU.
— Losing 41-29 at Houston LW crippled their playoff chances.
— Chargers scored 37+ points in their last three wins.
— LA is 6-2 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Chargers gave up 34-41 points in their last two games.
— Bolts are 4-7-1 ATS as a favorite at Sofi Stadium.
— Chargers are 3-2 ATS TY coming off a loss.
— Over is 7-2 in Chargers’ last nine games.
— Chargers converted 37 of last 74 third down plays.
— Chargers (-2.5) lost 28-13 in Denver in Week 12.
— Denver won 12 of last 16 series games.
— Broncos are 7-2-1 in last ten road series games.
Houston (4-11) @ San Francisco (8-7)
— Houston won last two games, scoring 30-41 points.
— Texans are 2-0 vs Jaguars, 2-12 vs everyone else.
— Houston covered its last three games.
— Houston converted 19 of last 31 third down plays.
— Texans are 5-7 ATS in last dozen games as a road dog.
— Houston was +10 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
— Texans’ last three games went over the total.
— Houston is 8-8-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a win.
— AFC South road underdogs are 10-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
— QB Garoppolo has chipped bone, torn ligament in his right thumb
— 49ers split their last four games SU.
— 49ers are 6-16-1 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
— 49ers outscored last three opponents 44-16 in first half.
— 49ers are 2-6 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— Last two games, 49ers lost field position by 19-13 yards.
— 49ers are 13-7 ATS last 20 games vs AFC opponents.
— 49ers are 12-16-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
— NFC West home favorites are 6-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
— 49ers won three of last four meetings (3-0-1 ATS)
— Texans lost 34-3/20-17 in last two visits here.
Detroit (2-12-1) @ Seattle (5-10)
— QB Goff missed LW’s game (COVID, check status)
— Lions covered six of their last seven games.
— Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
— Last four games, Detroit was outscored 63-28 in second half.
— Ten of last 13 Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Detroit converted 13 of last 29 third down plays.
— Lions have five losses by four or fewer points.
— Seahawks are 2-5 SU since its bye week.
— Last two weeks, Seahawks were outscored 35-14 in 2nd half.
— Seattle is 5-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-9 if it doesn’t.
— Seattle is 8-5 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Seahawks are 12-11-1 ATS in last 24 games as home favorites
— Seattle lost five of seven home games SU this season.
— Last two weeks, their opponents are 13-26 on third down.
— Three of Seahawks’ last four games went over the total
— Seahawks won five of last six series games.
— Lions lost last three visits to Seattle 3-12-21 points (1-2 ATS).
LA Rams (11-4) @ Baltimore (8-7)
— Rams won/covered their last four games.
— Rams converted 24 of last 50 third down plays.
— Under McVay, LA is 17-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
— As of now, LA holds #3-seed in NFC.
— Rams outscored last three opponents 72-37 in second half.
— Rams are 18-20 ATS last 38 games coming off a win.
— Over is 4-1 in Rams’ last five road games.
— NFC West road favorites are 10-5 ATS out of division.
— QB’s Jackson (ankle), Huntley (COVID) are ??? here.
— Ravens lost last four games, after an 8-3 start.
— Last two games, Ravens gave up nine TD’s on 16 drives.
— Last three weeks, Ravens were outscored 69-34 in first half.
— Ravens covered four of their last six games.
— Last three games, opponents are 21-44 on third down
— Last four years, Ravens are 4-0 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last three Baltimore games went over the total.
— Ravens won last four meetings, won last one 45-6 in 2017.
— Baltimore ran ball for 285 yards in that game.
— Rams lost last two visits to Baltimore, 16-13/22-3.
Minnesota (7-8) @ Green Bay (12-3)
— Minnesota lost three of its last five games SU.
— Vikings’ last 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Vikings converted 7 of last 29 third down plays.
— Underdogs are 9-6 ATS in Viking games this season.
— Right now, Minnesota is #8-seed in NFC; only seven make it.
— Vikings are 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
— Minnesota has been outscored 115-31 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Over is 5-1 in Vikings’ last six games.
— Packers won last two games by total of three points.
— Green Bay is 10-3-1 ATS in its last fourteen games.
— In their last five games, Packers scored 33.4 ppg
— Last five games, Packers gave up 28.8 ppg.
— Packers are 16-7 ATS in last 23 home games (6-1 TY)
— Last seven games, Green Bay outscored opponents 120-60 in 2nd half.
— Green Bay has ten takeaways in its last three games (+9)
— Green Bay is 6-3-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Four of last five Packer games went over the total.
— Packers (-1.5) lost 34-31 in Minnesota in Week 11.
— Green Bay lost, despite averaging 10.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Green Bay is 3-2-1 SU in last six meetings.
— Packers won five of last eight visits to the Twin Cities.
Monday’s game
Cleveland (7-8) @ Pittsburgh (7-7-1)
— Browns lost their last two games, by two points each.
— Cleveland is 6-7 ATS last thirteen games as a road dog.
— Browns are 3-8 ATS in their last eleven games.
— Browns converted 13 of last 26 third down plays.
— Cleveland outscored foes 60-41 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 3-6 in games decided by six or fewer points.
— Last six games, Browns scored average of 15.0 ppg.
— Under is 5-0 in Browns’ last five games.
— Steelers lost four of their last six games SU.
— Last five games, Steelers were outscored 97-9 in first half.
— Last four games, Pittsburgh outscored foes 71-38 in 2nd half.
— Steelers covered their last six games as a home underdog.
— Steelers are 7-9 ATS last 16 games, the week after a loss.
— Last three games, Steelers are +6 in turnovers (7-1)
— Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
— Steelers have been outgained eight games in a row.
— Last six weeks, Steelers ran ball for only 77 yards/game.
— Steelers (+3.5) won 15-10 at Cleveland in Week 8.
— Browns won three of last five meetings, after 3-27-1 series skid.
— Cleveland is 5-7 ATS in last dozen visits to Pittsburgh.
— Carolina lost 10 of last 12 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-10 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers lost last 13 games Cam Newton started for them.
— Panthers are 9-3 ATS last 12 games as road underdogs.
— Last three games, Carolina was outscored 74-31 in first half
— Last 12 games, Panthers were outscored 167-83 in second half.
— Panthers turned ball over eight times in last three games (minus-5)
— Five of last six Carolina games went over the total.
— New Orleans has COVID/QB issues (check status)
— Saints lost six of their last eight games.
— Last seven weeks, New Orleans was outscored 89-39 in first half.
— New Orleans is 10-13 ATS in last 23 games as home favorites (0-2 TY)
— Last three games, Saints allowed two TD’s on 34 drives.
— New Orleans is 5-6 ATS in last 11 NFC South home games.
— Last four games, opponents are 16-61 on third down.
— Saints’ last five games stayed under the total.
— Carolina (+3.5) beat Saints 26-7 at home back in Week 2.
— Panthers outgained New Orleans 383-128.
— Saints have still won nine of last 11 series games.
— Panthers covered four of last five visits to Bourbon Street.
Philadelphia (8-7) @ Washington (6-9)
— Eagles won five of last six games (8-3 ATS last 11).
— Philly outscored last three opponents 57-14 in second half.
— Philly is 7-2 if it allows 18 or less points, 1-5 if it allows more.
— Eagles are 10-14 ATS in last 24 games as road favorite.
— Last three games, Eagles outgained opponents 1,261-710.
— Last seven games, Eagles outscored opponents 111-58 in first half.
— Last six games, Philly converted 59-119 on third down.
— Seven of last nine Eagle games went over the total.
— Washington lost last three games, outscored 76-17 in first half.
— Last two games, Washington was outgained 1,016-494.
— Washington is 6-9 ATS last fifteen games as a home dog.
— Last 7 years, Washington is 5-12 ATS in NFC East home games.
— Washington is 8-18-2 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Last three Washington games went over the total.
— Last three games, Washington converted 12-40 on third down.
— Last two games, opponents converted 17-28 on third down.
— Eagles (-6.5) beat Washington 27-17 two weeks ago.
— Philly ran ball for 238 yards, averaged 9.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Eagles won seven of last nine series games.
— Philly won three of last four visits to Washington
Denver (7-8) @ LA Chargers (7-8)
— QB Bridgewater is ??? here (check status)
— Broncos lost three of last four games, scoring 9-10-13 in losses.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-7 if it doesn’t.
— Broncos are 14-9-2 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
— Broncos are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
— Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.
— 12 of 15 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 6-3 ATS last nine games on artificial turf.
— Chargers are 3-4 in their last seven games SU.
— Losing 41-29 at Houston LW crippled their playoff chances.
— Chargers scored 37+ points in their last three wins.
— LA is 6-2 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Chargers gave up 34-41 points in their last two games.
— Bolts are 4-7-1 ATS as a favorite at Sofi Stadium.
— Chargers are 3-2 ATS TY coming off a loss.
— Over is 7-2 in Chargers’ last nine games.
— Chargers converted 37 of last 74 third down plays.
— Chargers (-2.5) lost 28-13 in Denver in Week 12.
— Denver won 12 of last 16 series games.
— Broncos are 7-2-1 in last ten road series games.
Houston (4-11) @ San Francisco (8-7)
— Houston won last two games, scoring 30-41 points.
— Texans are 2-0 vs Jaguars, 2-12 vs everyone else.
— Houston covered its last three games.
— Houston converted 19 of last 31 third down plays.
— Texans are 5-7 ATS in last dozen games as a road dog.
— Houston was +10 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
— Texans’ last three games went over the total.
— Houston is 8-8-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a win.
— AFC South road underdogs are 10-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
— QB Garoppolo has chipped bone, torn ligament in his right thumb
— 49ers split their last four games SU.
— 49ers are 6-16-1 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
— 49ers outscored last three opponents 44-16 in first half.
— 49ers are 2-6 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— Last two games, 49ers lost field position by 19-13 yards.
— 49ers are 13-7 ATS last 20 games vs AFC opponents.
— 49ers are 12-16-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
— NFC West home favorites are 6-10 ATS in non-divisional games.
— 49ers won three of last four meetings (3-0-1 ATS)
— Texans lost 34-3/20-17 in last two visits here.
Detroit (2-12-1) @ Seattle (5-10)
— QB Goff missed LW’s game (COVID, check status)
— Lions covered six of their last seven games.
— Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
— Last four games, Detroit was outscored 63-28 in second half.
— Ten of last 13 Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Detroit converted 13 of last 29 third down plays.
— Lions have five losses by four or fewer points.
— Seahawks are 2-5 SU since its bye week.
— Last two weeks, Seahawks were outscored 35-14 in 2nd half.
— Seattle is 5-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-9 if it doesn’t.
— Seattle is 8-5 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
— Seahawks are 12-11-1 ATS in last 24 games as home favorites
— Seattle lost five of seven home games SU this season.
— Last two weeks, their opponents are 13-26 on third down.
— Three of Seahawks’ last four games went over the total
— Seahawks won five of last six series games.
— Lions lost last three visits to Seattle 3-12-21 points (1-2 ATS).
LA Rams (11-4) @ Baltimore (8-7)
— Rams won/covered their last four games.
— Rams converted 24 of last 50 third down plays.
— Under McVay, LA is 17-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
— As of now, LA holds #3-seed in NFC.
— Rams outscored last three opponents 72-37 in second half.
— Rams are 18-20 ATS last 38 games coming off a win.
— Over is 4-1 in Rams’ last five road games.
— NFC West road favorites are 10-5 ATS out of division.
— QB’s Jackson (ankle), Huntley (COVID) are ??? here.
— Ravens lost last four games, after an 8-3 start.
— Last two games, Ravens gave up nine TD’s on 16 drives.
— Last three weeks, Ravens were outscored 69-34 in first half.
— Ravens covered four of their last six games.
— Last three games, opponents are 21-44 on third down
— Last four years, Ravens are 4-0 ATS as home underdogs.
— Last three Baltimore games went over the total.
— Ravens won last four meetings, won last one 45-6 in 2017.
— Baltimore ran ball for 285 yards in that game.
— Rams lost last two visits to Baltimore, 16-13/22-3.
Minnesota (7-8) @ Green Bay (12-3)
— Minnesota lost three of its last five games SU.
— Vikings’ last 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Vikings converted 7 of last 29 third down plays.
— Underdogs are 9-6 ATS in Viking games this season.
— Right now, Minnesota is #8-seed in NFC; only seven make it.
— Vikings are 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
— Minnesota has been outscored 115-31 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Over is 5-1 in Vikings’ last six games.
— Packers won last two games by total of three points.
— Green Bay is 10-3-1 ATS in its last fourteen games.
— In their last five games, Packers scored 33.4 ppg
— Last five games, Packers gave up 28.8 ppg.
— Packers are 16-7 ATS in last 23 home games (6-1 TY)
— Last seven games, Green Bay outscored opponents 120-60 in 2nd half.
— Green Bay has ten takeaways in its last three games (+9)
— Green Bay is 6-3-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Four of last five Packer games went over the total.
— Packers (-1.5) lost 34-31 in Minnesota in Week 11.
— Green Bay lost, despite averaging 10.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Green Bay is 3-2-1 SU in last six meetings.
— Packers won five of last eight visits to the Twin Cities.
Monday’s game
Cleveland (7-8) @ Pittsburgh (7-7-1)
— Browns lost their last two games, by two points each.
— Cleveland is 6-7 ATS last thirteen games as a road dog.
— Browns are 3-8 ATS in their last eleven games.
— Browns converted 13 of last 26 third down plays.
— Cleveland outscored foes 60-41 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 3-6 in games decided by six or fewer points.
— Last six games, Browns scored average of 15.0 ppg.
— Under is 5-0 in Browns’ last five games.
— Steelers lost four of their last six games SU.
— Last five games, Steelers were outscored 97-9 in first half.
— Last four games, Pittsburgh outscored foes 71-38 in 2nd half.
— Steelers covered their last six games as a home underdog.
— Steelers are 7-9 ATS last 16 games, the week after a loss.
— Last three games, Steelers are +6 in turnovers (7-1)
— Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
— Steelers have been outgained eight games in a row.
— Last six weeks, Steelers ran ball for only 77 yards/game.
— Steelers (+3.5) won 15-10 at Cleveland in Week 8.
— Browns won three of last five meetings, after 3-27-1 series skid.
— Cleveland is 5-7 ATS in last dozen visits to Pittsburgh.
NFL
Week 17
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Trend Report
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Carolina @ New Orleans
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Miami @ Tennessee
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
NY Giants @ Chicago
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Chicago's last 25 games at home
Kansas City @ Cincinnati
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 11 games when playing Kansas City
Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay @ NY Jets
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing NY Jets
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Jets
NY Jets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
NY Jets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Jacksonville @ New England
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Las Vegas @ Indianapolis
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
Atlanta @ Buffalo
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Houston @ San Francisco
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Denver @ LA Chargers
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
Arizona @ Dallas
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Arizona
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit @ Seattle
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
LA Rams @ Baltimore
LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore
Baltimore is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Minnesota @ Green Bay
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games on the road
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
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Week 17
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Trend Report
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Carolina @ New Orleans
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Miami @ Tennessee
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
NY Giants @ Chicago
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Chicago's last 25 games at home
Kansas City @ Cincinnati
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 11 games when playing Kansas City
Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay @ NY Jets
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing NY Jets
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Jets
NY Jets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
NY Jets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Jacksonville @ New England
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Las Vegas @ Indianapolis
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Las Vegas
Atlanta @ Buffalo
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Houston @ San Francisco
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Denver @ LA Chargers
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games
LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
Arizona @ Dallas
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Arizona
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit @ Seattle
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
LA Rams @ Baltimore
LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore
Baltimore is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Minnesota @ Green Bay
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games on the road
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
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Tech Trends - Week 17
Bruce Marshall
Sunday, Jan. 2
L.A. RAMS at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Rams under 6-4-1 last 11 after overs in first four games.
Ravens covered four of last six games and four of last five as the dog - 10-2 as dog since 2019.
Tech Edge: Ravens based on team trends.
PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Eagles 5-3 SU and vs spread as guest TY.
Eagles over seven in last nine games.
Rivera won and covered four straight but hasn't in last three (0-2-1).
WFT over last two games but under in seven of eight prior.
Tech Edge: Over and Eagles based on total and recent trends.
JACKSONVILLE at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Jags no SU wins last seven or covers in last six.
Jags under in 11 of last 13 games not involving Texans.
Belichick won and covered seven straight prior to Colts and Bills L's, also covered five in row as chalk before Bills loss.
Tech Edge: Patriots and under based on team and total trends.
MIAMI at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Dolphins SU wins in last seven and 6-1-1 vs. spread in last eight.
Dolphins under in six of last eight.
Flores 4-3-1 as dog.
Titans 2-4 vs. spread in last six.
Titans under in last three and five of last seven without Henry.
Tech Edge: Under and Dolphins based on total and team trends.
TAMPA BAY at N.Y. JETS (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Bucs four game win and cover streak snapped by Saints before bounce back vs. Panthers.
Note, Bucs still 3-5 vs. spread as road team TY despite Panthers win.
Jets 4-11 SU, 5-10 vs. spread.
Jets over 9-3 run.
Tech Edge: Over and Bucs based on total and team trends.
LAS VEGAS at INDIANAPOLIS (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
No Raider covers in six of last eight games.
Indy won and covered last three, along with six of last seven and 9-3 vs. spread in last 12 overall.
Indy 4-2 ATS record as favorite.
Indy under in last three.
Tech Edge: Colts and under based on team and total trends.
KANSAS CITY at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Chiefs won last eight and covered last six following 4-16 spread skid.
Reid under in five of last six before overs in three straight prior.
Begnals covered four of last six as dog, just 2-5 vs. line last seven in Paul Brown Stadium.
Tech Edge: Chiefs based on team trends.
N.Y. GIANTS at CHICAGO (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
G-Men road dog mark has failed in four straight and five of last six.
G-Men also on 7-2 under run.
G-Men covered last two years in Chicago.
Bears no covers in eight of last 10.
Bears 9-5 under run in last 14 games.
Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
ATLANTA at BUFFALO (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Atlanta 6-3 SU and vs. line away from Benz.
Falcons under in six of last seven.
Bills 4-5 SU and 3-5-1 last nine vs. spread TY.
Tech Edge: Falcons and under based on team and total trends.
DENVER at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)
Fangio won and covered four of last five vs. Bolts.
Fangio also under 12-3 run and 6-2 under vs. Bolts.
Bolts 3-7 vs. spread in last 10, 1-4 in last five as host.
Bolts over in seven of last nine.
Tech Edge: Broncos and under based on team and extended trends.
HOUSTON at SAN FRANCISCO (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)
Texans under 8-5, and five of last six on road.
Texans 5-8 last 13 vs. line despite covers and wins last two games.
Texas 2-4 last six vs. spread as visitor.
Niners won and covered three straight at home but hasn't been a DD favorite since 2019 (0-2-1 vs. line as DD favorite).
Niners under in four of last seven.
Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
DETROIT at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)
Lions 10-5 vs. spread despite 2-12-1 SU mark.
Lions covered six of last seven and six of last seven vs. points as guest.
Lions 10-3 under run.
Seahawks 9-3-1 under run.
Tech Edge: Under and Lions based on total and team trends.
CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)
Rhule no wins or covers last five or 10 of last 12.
Panthers over in five of last six.
Panthers covered last three in Nola.
Saints under in last five
Tech Edge: Over based on recent total trends.
ARIZONA at DALLAS (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)
No wins or covers for Kingsbury in last three, 3-5 SU and vs. line in last eight - mirrors 2-7 spread downtick in 2020.
Kingsbury covered and won first seven road games TY prior to Lions loss.
Boys streaky vs. line, covered first seven then 1-3 next four, now four striaght covers after WFT win.
Boys under in seven of last nine TY.
Tech Edge: Under and Cowboys based on total and team trends.
MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)
Minny covered five of last eight games including home win over Pack.
Zimmer 5-2 as dog, won last two SU vs. Pack.
Minny over in five of last six.
Packers 6-1 vs. spread in Lambeau, now 2-3 vs. spread last five after nine straight ATS wins.
Packers over four of last five.
Tech Edge: Vikings and over based on recent and total trends.
Monday, Jan. 3
CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)
Pitt covered last four regular season meetings (lost Wild Card at home).
Browns 4-1 as dog vs. spread and 6-1 in last seven.
Browns dropped four straight and seven of nine prior to recent covers vs. Raiders and Packers.
Tomlin 5-9 last 14 vs. line, 3-5 vs. spread as host TY, but covered last two at home.
Pitt under 5-2-1 home run.
Tech Edge: Browns and under based on team and total trends.
Bruce Marshall
Sunday, Jan. 2
L.A. RAMS at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Rams under 6-4-1 last 11 after overs in first four games.
Ravens covered four of last six games and four of last five as the dog - 10-2 as dog since 2019.
Tech Edge: Ravens based on team trends.
PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Eagles 5-3 SU and vs spread as guest TY.
Eagles over seven in last nine games.
Rivera won and covered four straight but hasn't in last three (0-2-1).
WFT over last two games but under in seven of eight prior.
Tech Edge: Over and Eagles based on total and recent trends.
JACKSONVILLE at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Jags no SU wins last seven or covers in last six.
Jags under in 11 of last 13 games not involving Texans.
Belichick won and covered seven straight prior to Colts and Bills L's, also covered five in row as chalk before Bills loss.
Tech Edge: Patriots and under based on team and total trends.
MIAMI at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Dolphins SU wins in last seven and 6-1-1 vs. spread in last eight.
Dolphins under in six of last eight.
Flores 4-3-1 as dog.
Titans 2-4 vs. spread in last six.
Titans under in last three and five of last seven without Henry.
Tech Edge: Under and Dolphins based on total and team trends.
TAMPA BAY at N.Y. JETS (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Bucs four game win and cover streak snapped by Saints before bounce back vs. Panthers.
Note, Bucs still 3-5 vs. spread as road team TY despite Panthers win.
Jets 4-11 SU, 5-10 vs. spread.
Jets over 9-3 run.
Tech Edge: Over and Bucs based on total and team trends.
LAS VEGAS at INDIANAPOLIS (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
No Raider covers in six of last eight games.
Indy won and covered last three, along with six of last seven and 9-3 vs. spread in last 12 overall.
Indy 4-2 ATS record as favorite.
Indy under in last three.
Tech Edge: Colts and under based on team and total trends.
KANSAS CITY at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Chiefs won last eight and covered last six following 4-16 spread skid.
Reid under in five of last six before overs in three straight prior.
Begnals covered four of last six as dog, just 2-5 vs. line last seven in Paul Brown Stadium.
Tech Edge: Chiefs based on team trends.
N.Y. GIANTS at CHICAGO (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
G-Men road dog mark has failed in four straight and five of last six.
G-Men also on 7-2 under run.
G-Men covered last two years in Chicago.
Bears no covers in eight of last 10.
Bears 9-5 under run in last 14 games.
Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
ATLANTA at BUFFALO (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Atlanta 6-3 SU and vs. line away from Benz.
Falcons under in six of last seven.
Bills 4-5 SU and 3-5-1 last nine vs. spread TY.
Tech Edge: Falcons and under based on team and total trends.
DENVER at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)
Fangio won and covered four of last five vs. Bolts.
Fangio also under 12-3 run and 6-2 under vs. Bolts.
Bolts 3-7 vs. spread in last 10, 1-4 in last five as host.
Bolts over in seven of last nine.
Tech Edge: Broncos and under based on team and extended trends.
HOUSTON at SAN FRANCISCO (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)
Texans under 8-5, and five of last six on road.
Texans 5-8 last 13 vs. line despite covers and wins last two games.
Texas 2-4 last six vs. spread as visitor.
Niners won and covered three straight at home but hasn't been a DD favorite since 2019 (0-2-1 vs. line as DD favorite).
Niners under in four of last seven.
Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
DETROIT at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)
Lions 10-5 vs. spread despite 2-12-1 SU mark.
Lions covered six of last seven and six of last seven vs. points as guest.
Lions 10-3 under run.
Seahawks 9-3-1 under run.
Tech Edge: Under and Lions based on total and team trends.
CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)
Rhule no wins or covers last five or 10 of last 12.
Panthers over in five of last six.
Panthers covered last three in Nola.
Saints under in last five
Tech Edge: Over based on recent total trends.
ARIZONA at DALLAS (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)
No wins or covers for Kingsbury in last three, 3-5 SU and vs. line in last eight - mirrors 2-7 spread downtick in 2020.
Kingsbury covered and won first seven road games TY prior to Lions loss.
Boys streaky vs. line, covered first seven then 1-3 next four, now four striaght covers after WFT win.
Boys under in seven of last nine TY.
Tech Edge: Under and Cowboys based on total and team trends.
MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)
Minny covered five of last eight games including home win over Pack.
Zimmer 5-2 as dog, won last two SU vs. Pack.
Minny over in five of last six.
Packers 6-1 vs. spread in Lambeau, now 2-3 vs. spread last five after nine straight ATS wins.
Packers over four of last five.
Tech Edge: Vikings and over based on recent and total trends.
Monday, Jan. 3
CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)
Pitt covered last four regular season meetings (lost Wild Card at home).
Browns 4-1 as dog vs. spread and 6-1 in last seven.
Browns dropped four straight and seven of nine prior to recent covers vs. Raiders and Packers.
Tomlin 5-9 last 14 vs. line, 3-5 vs. spread as host TY, but covered last two at home.
Pitt under 5-2-1 home run.
Tech Edge: Browns and under based on team and total trends.
Gridiron Angles - Week 17
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: Minnesota at Green Bay (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Vikings are 16-0 ATS since 2012 as a dog coming off a loss as a dog by less than 14 points.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: Jacksonville at New England (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Jaguars are 9-0 OU since 2007 when the line is at least 13 points higher than the line in their last game.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: N.Y. Giants at Chicago (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Bears are 0-10 OU since October 2017 when the total is no more than 46 and they are coming off a win as a dog.
Factoid of the Week:
Matchup: Minnesota at Green Bay (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The last time a team has won two straight games while failing to cover by at least five points in each game was Seattle in 2013. The Packers have won and failed to cover by at least 5.5 points in each of their last two games.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: Minnesota at Green Bay (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Vikings are 16-0 ATS since 2012 as a dog coming off a loss as a dog by less than 14 points.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: Jacksonville at New England (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Jaguars are 9-0 OU since 2007 when the line is at least 13 points higher than the line in their last game.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: N.Y. Giants at Chicago (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Bears are 0-10 OU since October 2017 when the total is no more than 46 and they are coming off a win as a dog.
Factoid of the Week:
Matchup: Minnesota at Green Bay (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The last time a team has won two straight games while failing to cover by at least five points in each game was Seattle in 2013. The Packers have won and failed to cover by at least 5.5 points in each of their last two games.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
The Raiders are 2-6 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. AFC.
The Colts are 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Colts are 6-2 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams.
The Colts are 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. AFC.
The OVER is 13-5-1 in the past 19 as an underdog for the Raiders.
The OVER is 11-5-1 in the past 17 vs. winning teams for the Raiders.
The OVER is 11-5 in the past 16 vs. AFC for the Raiders.
The OVER is 11-2 in the past 13 vs. winning teams for the Colts.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven as a favorite for the Colts.
Chicago has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven home games.
New York has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
Chicago has seen the favorite cover the spread in eight straight home games.
New York has gone UNDER the point total in seven of its last nine games.
New York has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight home games.
New York has lost 34 of its last 36 games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.
New York has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 12 games.
Tampa Bay has won five of its last six games.
The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings between Buffalo and Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven Bills' games.
The Eagles are 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS across the last six games.
Washington is 7-13 SU in their last 20 home games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five matchups between Washington and Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of Washington's last ten games.
The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS across the past six games.
The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in the past six as a favorite.
The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in the past four vs. winning teams.
The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in the past five road games.
The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in the past seven home games.
The Bengals are 1-7-1 ATS in the past nine games in January.
The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five vs. AFC for the Chiefs.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past four home games for the Bengals.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight vs. AFC for the Bengals.
Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in 11 of its last 15 games.
Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 15 games.
Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven road games.
New England has failed to cover the spread in two straight games.
The Dolphins are 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The Dolphins are 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams.
The Dolphins are 20-8-1 ATS in the past 29 games as an underdog.
The Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in the past eight games in January.
The Titans are 5-2 ATS in the past seven home games.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight games overall for the Dolphins.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four road games for the Dolphins.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six vs. AFC for the Dolphins.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for the Titans.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Titans.
The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their past four games overall.
The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 home games.
The Ravens are 8-3 ATS in the past 11 games vs. winning teams.
The Ravens are 4-0 ATS in the past four as a home underdog.
The Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 games as an underdog.
The OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six road games for the Rams.
The OVER is 6-1 in the past seven games vs. winning teams for the Rams.
The UNDER is 24-9-1 in the past 34 as a favorite for the Rams.
The OVER is 9-3 in the past 12 home games for the Ravens.
the OVER is 4-1 in the past five games as a 'dog for the Ravens.
Denver has gone UNDER the point total in 12 of its last 15 games.
Los Angeles has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight home games.
Denver has lost seven of its last eight games when facing the AFC.
The home team has covered the spread in four straight meetings.
Houston has covered the spread in two straight games.
Houston has lost 19 straight games when facing the NFC as the underdog.
Houston has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six road games.
San Francisco has seen the underdog cover the spread in nine of its last 12 home games.
The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Dallas.
The Cowboys are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games.
The Cardinals are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 12 matchups between Dallas and Arizona.
New Orleans has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven home games.
New Orleans has lost three straight home games when playing as the favorite.
Carolina has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 road games when playing as the underdog.
Detroit has covered the spread in 10 of its last 15 games.
Seattle has failed to go OVER the point total in 11 of its last 15 games.
Detroit has lost eight of its last nine road games.
Detroit has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 13 games.
The Vikings are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 road games against Green Bay.
The Packers are 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS across the last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Vikings' games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Packers' games.
The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road games.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. AFC.
The Colts are 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Colts are 6-2 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams.
The Colts are 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. AFC.
The OVER is 13-5-1 in the past 19 as an underdog for the Raiders.
The OVER is 11-5-1 in the past 17 vs. winning teams for the Raiders.
The OVER is 11-5 in the past 16 vs. AFC for the Raiders.
The OVER is 11-2 in the past 13 vs. winning teams for the Colts.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven as a favorite for the Colts.
Chicago has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven home games.
New York has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
Chicago has seen the favorite cover the spread in eight straight home games.
New York has gone UNDER the point total in seven of its last nine games.
New York has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight home games.
New York has lost 34 of its last 36 games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.
New York has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 12 games.
Tampa Bay has won five of its last six games.
The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings between Buffalo and Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven Bills' games.
The Eagles are 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS across the last six games.
Washington is 7-13 SU in their last 20 home games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five matchups between Washington and Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of Washington's last ten games.
The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS across the past six games.
The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in the past six as a favorite.
The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in the past four vs. winning teams.
The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in the past five road games.
The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in the past seven home games.
The Bengals are 1-7-1 ATS in the past nine games in January.
The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five vs. AFC for the Chiefs.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past four home games for the Bengals.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight vs. AFC for the Bengals.
Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in 11 of its last 15 games.
Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 15 games.
Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven road games.
New England has failed to cover the spread in two straight games.
The Dolphins are 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The Dolphins are 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams.
The Dolphins are 20-8-1 ATS in the past 29 games as an underdog.
The Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in the past eight games in January.
The Titans are 5-2 ATS in the past seven home games.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight games overall for the Dolphins.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four road games for the Dolphins.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six vs. AFC for the Dolphins.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for the Titans.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Titans.
The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their past four games overall.
The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 home games.
The Ravens are 8-3 ATS in the past 11 games vs. winning teams.
The Ravens are 4-0 ATS in the past four as a home underdog.
The Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 games as an underdog.
The OVER is 4-1-1 in the past six road games for the Rams.
The OVER is 6-1 in the past seven games vs. winning teams for the Rams.
The UNDER is 24-9-1 in the past 34 as a favorite for the Rams.
The OVER is 9-3 in the past 12 home games for the Ravens.
the OVER is 4-1 in the past five games as a 'dog for the Ravens.
Denver has gone UNDER the point total in 12 of its last 15 games.
Los Angeles has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight home games.
Denver has lost seven of its last eight games when facing the AFC.
The home team has covered the spread in four straight meetings.
Houston has covered the spread in two straight games.
Houston has lost 19 straight games when facing the NFC as the underdog.
Houston has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six road games.
San Francisco has seen the underdog cover the spread in nine of its last 12 home games.
The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Dallas.
The Cowboys are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games.
The Cardinals are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 12 matchups between Dallas and Arizona.
New Orleans has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven home games.
New Orleans has lost three straight home games when playing as the favorite.
Carolina has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 road games when playing as the underdog.
Detroit has covered the spread in 10 of its last 15 games.
Seattle has failed to go OVER the point total in 11 of its last 15 games.
Detroit has lost eight of its last nine road games.
Detroit has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 13 games.
The Vikings are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 road games against Green Bay.
The Packers are 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS across the last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Vikings' games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Packers' games.
SUNDAY, JANUARY 2
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
ATL at BUF 01:00 PM
BUF -14.0
U 46.5
+500 +500
LAR at BAL 01:00 PM
BAL +7.0
U 47.0
+500 +500
JAC at NE 01:00 PM
NE -17.5
U 42.0
+500 +500
PHI at WAS 01:00 PM
PHI -6.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
LV at IND 01:00 PM
IND -8.5
O 46.5
+500 +500
TB at NYJ 01:00 PM
TB -14.5
O 47.5
+500 +500
KC at CIN 01:00 PM
CIN +3.5
O 51.0
+500 +500
NYG at CHI 01:00 PM
NYG +7.0
U 36.5
+500 +500
MIA at TEN 01:00 PM
MIA +3.0
O 41.0
+500 +500
HOU at SF 04:05 PM
HOU +14.0
U 44.0
+500 +500
DEN at LAC 04:05 PM
LAC -8.0
O 45.5
+500 +500
DET at SEA 04:25 PM
DET +8.5
O 41.5
+500 +500
CAR at NO 04:25 PM
CAR +7.0
U 37.0
+500 +500
ARI at DAL 04:25 PM
ARI +6.5
U 52.5
+500 +500
MIN at GB 08:20 PM
GB -13.0
O 42.5
+500 +500
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
ATL at BUF 01:00 PM
BUF -14.0
U 46.5
+500 +500
LAR at BAL 01:00 PM
BAL +7.0
U 47.0
+500 +500
JAC at NE 01:00 PM
NE -17.5
U 42.0
+500 +500
PHI at WAS 01:00 PM
PHI -6.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
LV at IND 01:00 PM
IND -8.5
O 46.5
+500 +500
TB at NYJ 01:00 PM
TB -14.5
O 47.5
+500 +500
KC at CIN 01:00 PM
CIN +3.5
O 51.0
+500 +500
NYG at CHI 01:00 PM
NYG +7.0
U 36.5
+500 +500
MIA at TEN 01:00 PM
MIA +3.0
O 41.0
+500 +500
HOU at SF 04:05 PM
HOU +14.0
U 44.0
+500 +500
DEN at LAC 04:05 PM
LAC -8.0
O 45.5
+500 +500
DET at SEA 04:25 PM
DET +8.5
O 41.5
+500 +500
CAR at NO 04:25 PM
CAR +7.0
U 37.0
+500 +500
ARI at DAL 04:25 PM
ARI +6.5
U 52.5
+500 +500
MIN at GB 08:20 PM
GB -13.0
O 42.5
+500 +500
The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five games as a favorite.
The Browns are 2-7 ATS in the past nine as a road favorite.
The Browns are 2-5 ATS in the past five Monday night games.
The Browns are 11-28-1 ATS in the past 40 AFC North games.
The Steelers are 1-4 ATS in the past five Monday night games.
The Steelers are 0-6 ATS in the past six vs. losing teams.
The Steelers are 33-16-2 ATS in the past 51 as an underdog.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Browns.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight AFC North games for the Browns.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past seven as a favorite for the Browns.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Steelers.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five as an underdog for the Steelers.
The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings.
The Browns are 2-7 ATS in the past nine as a road favorite.
The Browns are 2-5 ATS in the past five Monday night games.
The Browns are 11-28-1 ATS in the past 40 AFC North games.
The Steelers are 1-4 ATS in the past five Monday night games.
The Steelers are 0-6 ATS in the past six vs. losing teams.
The Steelers are 33-16-2 ATS in the past 51 as an underdog.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Browns.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight AFC North games for the Browns.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past seven as a favorite for the Browns.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Steelers.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five as an underdog for the Steelers.
The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings.
Armadillo Sports
Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 18 spreads:
— New England (-5.5) @ Miami
— NJ Jets @ Buffalo (-17)
— Dallas (-1.5) @ Philadelphia
— Seattle @ Arizona (-6.5)
— San Francisco @ LA Rams (-5.5)
— LA Chargers (-3) @ Las Vegas
********************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Cincinnati 34, Kansas City 31:
— Chiefs led this game 28-17 at halftime.
— KC in first half: 45 plays, 292 yards, 28 points.
— KC in second half: 23 plays, 122 yards, 3 points.
— Chiefs are 9-14-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-5 if they allow more.
— Bengals drove 74 yards in 6:01, kicked GW field goal at 0:00.
— Burrow threw for 446 yards and four TD’s (971 PY last two games).
— Chase caught 11 passes for 266 yards, three TD’s.
— Bengals are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
LA Rams 20, Baltimore 19:
— Rams drove 75 yards in 3:33, scored winning TD with 0:57 left.
— LA converted only 3-9 on third down, turned ball over three times.
— Beckham caught a 4th down pass on final drive, also scored GW TD.
— Rams outscored last four opponents 85-43 in second half.
— Rams won their fifth game in a row.
— Ravens lost last five games, after an 8-3 start.
— Four of the five losses were by 1 or 2 points.
— Baltimore ran ball for 165 yards, converted only 4-14 on third down.
— Ravens’ only touchdown was scored by their defense.
— Last four years, Ravens are 5-0 ATS as home underdogs.
Tampa Bay 28, NJ Jets 24:
— Brady threw 33-yard TD pass with 0:15 left for winning TD.
— Tampa Bay converted 9-15 on third down.
— Brady threw for 410 yards, three TD’s.
— Buccaneers are 3-6 ATS as road favorites this season.
— Jets led this game 24-10 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
— Jets ran ball for 150 yards, 423 yards last two weeks.
— Jets lost seven of their last nine games (4-5 ATS).
— Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Jet games.
Las Vegas 23, Indianapolis 20:
— Las Vegas won last three games by total of nine points.
— Raiders drove 60 yards to kick GW FG with 0:00 left.
— Last four games, Raiders are minus-12 in turnovers (0-12)
— Zay Jones caught eight passes for 120 yards.
— Colts were outgained 326-262, converted 3-11 on third down.
— First time in eight games Colts trailed at halftime.
— Taylor ran 20 times for 108 yards and a TD.
— Last four Indy games stayed under the total.
Chicago 29, NY Giants 3:
— Giants lost six of seven games since their bye (1-6 ATS)
— Last four games, Big Blue was outscored 74-19 in first half.
— Giants have scored six TD’s on their last 64 drives.
— Giants lost last four road games by a combined 150-53.
— Bears are 4-2 with Dalton/Foles starting at QB, 2-8 with rookie Fields.
— Chicago’s first two TD drives were 2-24 yards.
— Giants completed 4-11 passes for 24 yards, but lost 34 yards in sacks.
— Giants have been outscored 98-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Under Nagy, Bears are 17-11-1 ATS as a favorite.
Buffalo 29, Atlanta 15:
— Falcons led this game 15-14 at halftime.
— Atlanta in second half: 26 plays, 77 yards, no points.
— Last three games, Atlanta was held to 275-254-265 total yards.
— Falcons are now 0-5-1 ATS TY the week following a win.
— Bills won last three games, scoring 31-33-29 points.
— Buffalo ran ball for 233 yards, converted 7-12 on third down.
— Allen was only 11-26 passing, with three INT’s.
— Last six games, Bills outscored opponents 83-32 in second half.
Tennessee 34, Miami 3:
— Miami’s first four drives: 13 plays, 25 yards, no points.
— Dolphins competed only 18 of 39 passes (4.2 yards/attempt).
— Loss snaps Miami’s 7-game winning streak, after a 1-7 start.
— With this loss, Dolphins slip to #10-seed in AFC.
— Three of Tennessee’s four TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Titans were 7-15 on third down, Miami 3-12.
— Titans converted 24 of last 49 third down plays.
— Right now, Titans are #1-seed in AFC.
New England 50, Jacksonville 10:
— Jaguars lost last eight games, and 28 of last 30.
— Jaguars are 0-7 ATS the last seven weeks.
— Jacksonville has ten losses by 10+ points.
— Last six games, Jacksonville is minus-12 in turnovers (2-14)
— Jaguars are 9-17-2 ATS last 28 games as road dogs.
— New England clinched playoff spot, is tied with Buffalo atop AFC East.
— Patriots are 21-5 ATS last 26 games aa double digit favorites.
— Last seven games, Patriots outscored foes 119-36 in second half.
— New England is 31-17-3 ATS last 51 games as home favorite.
— Patriots are +19 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
Philadelphia 20, Washington 16:
— Eagles won six of last seven games (9-3 ATS last 12).
— Philly outscored last four opponents 70-14 in second half.
— Eagles were 4-12 on third down, Washington 9-15.
— Eagles won eight of last ten series games.
— Washington led this game 16-7 at halftime.
— Washington’s 1st four drives: a TD, three FG’s.
— Washington’s last four drives: 27 plays, 81 yards, no points.
— Washington lost its last four games.
Arizona 25, Dallas 22:
— Arizona snaps 3-game skid, keeps hopes alive for NFC West title.
— Cardinals scored on five of first six drives (2 TD, 3 FG)
— Arizona converted 40 of last 84 third down plays.
— This season, Cardinals went 6-0 ATS as road underdogs.
— Dallas ran for only 45 yards, converted 3-11 on third down.
— Dallas was outgained 399-301, ran only 57 plays (Cards ran 72)
— Cowboys have outscored foes 92-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas slips to #4-seed in NFC, could play Arizona in Wild Card game.
New Orleans 18, Carolina 10:
— Panthers led this game 10-9 at halftime.
— Panthers in 2nd half: 29 plays, 51 yards, no points.
— Carolina lost 11 of last 13 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-11 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Saints held Carolina to 2.7 yards/pass attempt.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 280-179.
— Last four games, Saints allowed three TD’s on 44 drives.
— Last eight weeks, New Orleans was outscored 99-48 in first half.
LA Chargers 34, Denver 13:
— Broncos lost four of last five games, scoring 9-10-13-13 in losses.
— McManus kicked a 61-yard FG to end the first half.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-8 if it doesn’t.
— Broncos are 2-6-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.
— Chargers’ TD drives were only 55-49-52 yards.
— Roberts ran a kickoff back 101 yards for a touchdown.
— LA is 7-2 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Right now, Chargers are #7-seed in AFC.
San Francisco 23, Houston 7:
— Texans led this game 7-3 at halftime.
— Houston in second half: 32 plays, 178 yards, zero points.
— Texans are 2-0 vs Jaguars, 2-13 vs everyone else.
— Texans are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Rookie QB Lance threw for 249 yards in his 2nd NFL start (1-1).
— 49ers ran for 175 yards, averaged 10.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Mitchell carried ball 21 times for 119 yards.
— Right now, 49ers are #6-seed in NFC.
Seattle 51, Detroit 29:
— Seahawks led 31-7 at halftime.
— Detroit in second half: three TD’s, three INT’s.
— Seattle scored six TD’s, kicked two FG’s on 11 drives.
— Right now, Lions would have 2nd pick in April’s NFL Draft.
— First six drives, Seattle scored four TD’s, kicked a FG.
— Seattle ran ball for 265 yards, threw for 232 more.
— Seattle is 9-5 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 6-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-9 if it doesn’t.
Green Bay 37, Minnesota 10:
— Minnesota lost four of its last six games SU.
— Green Bay outgained Vikings, 481-206.
— Packers were 7-13 on third down, Minnesota 2-12.
— Minnesota has been outscored 122-34 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Packers clinch #1 seed in NFC playoffs.
— Green Bay is 11-3-1 ATS in its last fifteen games.
— In their last six games, Packers scored 36 ppg
— Packers are 17-7 ATS in last 24 home games (7-1 TY)
Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 18 spreads:
— New England (-5.5) @ Miami
— NJ Jets @ Buffalo (-17)
— Dallas (-1.5) @ Philadelphia
— Seattle @ Arizona (-6.5)
— San Francisco @ LA Rams (-5.5)
— LA Chargers (-3) @ Las Vegas
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday
Cincinnati 34, Kansas City 31:
— Chiefs led this game 28-17 at halftime.
— KC in first half: 45 plays, 292 yards, 28 points.
— KC in second half: 23 plays, 122 yards, 3 points.
— Chiefs are 9-14-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-5 if they allow more.
— Bengals drove 74 yards in 6:01, kicked GW field goal at 0:00.
— Burrow threw for 446 yards and four TD’s (971 PY last two games).
— Chase caught 11 passes for 266 yards, three TD’s.
— Bengals are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
LA Rams 20, Baltimore 19:
— Rams drove 75 yards in 3:33, scored winning TD with 0:57 left.
— LA converted only 3-9 on third down, turned ball over three times.
— Beckham caught a 4th down pass on final drive, also scored GW TD.
— Rams outscored last four opponents 85-43 in second half.
— Rams won their fifth game in a row.
— Ravens lost last five games, after an 8-3 start.
— Four of the five losses were by 1 or 2 points.
— Baltimore ran ball for 165 yards, converted only 4-14 on third down.
— Ravens’ only touchdown was scored by their defense.
— Last four years, Ravens are 5-0 ATS as home underdogs.
Tampa Bay 28, NJ Jets 24:
— Brady threw 33-yard TD pass with 0:15 left for winning TD.
— Tampa Bay converted 9-15 on third down.
— Brady threw for 410 yards, three TD’s.
— Buccaneers are 3-6 ATS as road favorites this season.
— Jets led this game 24-10 with 1:00 left in third quarter.
— Jets ran ball for 150 yards, 423 yards last two weeks.
— Jets lost seven of their last nine games (4-5 ATS).
— Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Jet games.
Las Vegas 23, Indianapolis 20:
— Las Vegas won last three games by total of nine points.
— Raiders drove 60 yards to kick GW FG with 0:00 left.
— Last four games, Raiders are minus-12 in turnovers (0-12)
— Zay Jones caught eight passes for 120 yards.
— Colts were outgained 326-262, converted 3-11 on third down.
— First time in eight games Colts trailed at halftime.
— Taylor ran 20 times for 108 yards and a TD.
— Last four Indy games stayed under the total.
Chicago 29, NY Giants 3:
— Giants lost six of seven games since their bye (1-6 ATS)
— Last four games, Big Blue was outscored 74-19 in first half.
— Giants have scored six TD’s on their last 64 drives.
— Giants lost last four road games by a combined 150-53.
— Bears are 4-2 with Dalton/Foles starting at QB, 2-8 with rookie Fields.
— Chicago’s first two TD drives were 2-24 yards.
— Giants completed 4-11 passes for 24 yards, but lost 34 yards in sacks.
— Giants have been outscored 98-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Under Nagy, Bears are 17-11-1 ATS as a favorite.
Buffalo 29, Atlanta 15:
— Falcons led this game 15-14 at halftime.
— Atlanta in second half: 26 plays, 77 yards, no points.
— Last three games, Atlanta was held to 275-254-265 total yards.
— Falcons are now 0-5-1 ATS TY the week following a win.
— Bills won last three games, scoring 31-33-29 points.
— Buffalo ran ball for 233 yards, converted 7-12 on third down.
— Allen was only 11-26 passing, with three INT’s.
— Last six games, Bills outscored opponents 83-32 in second half.
Tennessee 34, Miami 3:
— Miami’s first four drives: 13 plays, 25 yards, no points.
— Dolphins competed only 18 of 39 passes (4.2 yards/attempt).
— Loss snaps Miami’s 7-game winning streak, after a 1-7 start.
— With this loss, Dolphins slip to #10-seed in AFC.
— Three of Tennessee’s four TD drives were less than 60 yards.
— Titans were 7-15 on third down, Miami 3-12.
— Titans converted 24 of last 49 third down plays.
— Right now, Titans are #1-seed in AFC.
New England 50, Jacksonville 10:
— Jaguars lost last eight games, and 28 of last 30.
— Jaguars are 0-7 ATS the last seven weeks.
— Jacksonville has ten losses by 10+ points.
— Last six games, Jacksonville is minus-12 in turnovers (2-14)
— Jaguars are 9-17-2 ATS last 28 games as road dogs.
— New England clinched playoff spot, is tied with Buffalo atop AFC East.
— Patriots are 21-5 ATS last 26 games aa double digit favorites.
— Last seven games, Patriots outscored foes 119-36 in second half.
— New England is 31-17-3 ATS last 51 games as home favorite.
— Patriots are +19 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
Philadelphia 20, Washington 16:
— Eagles won six of last seven games (9-3 ATS last 12).
— Philly outscored last four opponents 70-14 in second half.
— Eagles were 4-12 on third down, Washington 9-15.
— Eagles won eight of last ten series games.
— Washington led this game 16-7 at halftime.
— Washington’s 1st four drives: a TD, three FG’s.
— Washington’s last four drives: 27 plays, 81 yards, no points.
— Washington lost its last four games.
Arizona 25, Dallas 22:
— Arizona snaps 3-game skid, keeps hopes alive for NFC West title.
— Cardinals scored on five of first six drives (2 TD, 3 FG)
— Arizona converted 40 of last 84 third down plays.
— This season, Cardinals went 6-0 ATS as road underdogs.
— Dallas ran for only 45 yards, converted 3-11 on third down.
— Dallas was outgained 399-301, ran only 57 plays (Cards ran 72)
— Cowboys have outscored foes 92-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas slips to #4-seed in NFC, could play Arizona in Wild Card game.
New Orleans 18, Carolina 10:
— Panthers led this game 10-9 at halftime.
— Panthers in 2nd half: 29 plays, 51 yards, no points.
— Carolina lost 11 of last 13 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-11 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Saints held Carolina to 2.7 yards/pass attempt.
— New Orleans outgained the Panthers, 280-179.
— Last four games, Saints allowed three TD’s on 44 drives.
— Last eight weeks, New Orleans was outscored 99-48 in first half.
LA Chargers 34, Denver 13:
— Broncos lost four of last five games, scoring 9-10-13-13 in losses.
— McManus kicked a 61-yard FG to end the first half.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-8 if it doesn’t.
— Broncos are 2-6-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.
— Chargers’ TD drives were only 55-49-52 yards.
— Roberts ran a kickoff back 101 yards for a touchdown.
— LA is 7-2 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Right now, Chargers are #7-seed in AFC.
San Francisco 23, Houston 7:
— Texans led this game 7-3 at halftime.
— Houston in second half: 32 plays, 178 yards, zero points.
— Texans are 2-0 vs Jaguars, 2-13 vs everyone else.
— Texans are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— Rookie QB Lance threw for 249 yards in his 2nd NFL start (1-1).
— 49ers ran for 175 yards, averaged 10.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Mitchell carried ball 21 times for 119 yards.
— Right now, 49ers are #6-seed in NFC.
Seattle 51, Detroit 29:
— Seahawks led 31-7 at halftime.
— Detroit in second half: three TD’s, three INT’s.
— Seattle scored six TD’s, kicked two FG’s on 11 drives.
— Right now, Lions would have 2nd pick in April’s NFL Draft.
— First six drives, Seattle scored four TD’s, kicked a FG.
— Seattle ran ball for 265 yards, threw for 232 more.
— Seattle is 9-5 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 6-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-9 if it doesn’t.
Green Bay 37, Minnesota 10:
— Minnesota lost four of its last six games SU.
— Green Bay outgained Vikings, 481-206.
— Packers were 7-13 on third down, Minnesota 2-12.
— Minnesota has been outscored 122-34 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Packers clinch #1 seed in NFC playoffs.
— Green Bay is 11-3-1 ATS in its last fifteen games.
— In their last six games, Packers scored 36 ppg
— Packers are 17-7 ATS in last 24 home games (7-1 TY)
JANUARY NFL RECORD THRU THE PLAYOFF'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
Date W-L-T % Units Record
01/03/2022...............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............18-11-1............61.67%............+29.50
TOTALS..................20-11-1............64.61%............+39.50
BEST BETS:
01/03/2022.............2-0-0..............100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............10-4-0..............71.42%............+28.00
TOTALS..................12-4-0..............75.00%............+38.00
UPDATED: 01/03/2022
Date W-L-T % Units Record
01/03/2022...............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............18-11-1............61.67%............+29.50
TOTALS..................20-11-1............64.61%............+39.50
BEST BETS:
01/03/2022.............2-0-0..............100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............10-4-0..............71.42%............+28.00
TOTALS..................12-4-0..............75.00%............+38.00
UPDATED: 01/03/2022
