Nfl 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors !

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 16

Thursday game
San Francisco (8-6) @ Tennessee (9-5)
— 49ers won/covered five of their last six games.
— Last five games, 49ers outscored opponents 112-61 in first half.
— 49ers are 6-1 if they give up 23 or less points, 2-5 if they give up more.
— 49ers are 2-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— 49ers are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
— Last three games, 49ers are +7 in turnovers (12-5).
— 49ers are 13-6 ATS last 19 games vs AFC opponents.
— 49ers are 14-11 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.

— Tennessee lost three of its last four games.
— Titans lost field position by 8+ yards in 4 of 5 losses.
— Titans were held to 13 or less points in 4 of 5 losses.
— Tennessee is 17-10 ATS last 27 games as an underdog.
— Titans are 8-3 ATS last eleven games as a home underdog.
— Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Last three games, Titans were outscored 37-10 in second half.
— Under is 3-1 in Tennessee’s last four home games.

— 49ers won last two series games, 25-23/31-17.
— Teams split last two meetings played here.

Saturday games
Cleveland (7-7) @ Green Bay (11-3)
— Browns have COVID issues (check status)
— Short week for Cleveland after Monday’s last-second loss.
— Cleveland’s last nine games: LWLWLWLWL
— Browns covered one of their last seven games.
— Browns are 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Cleveland outscored foes 60-34 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 3-5 in games decided by six or fewer points.
— Last five games, Browns scored average of 13.6 ppg.
— Under is 4-0 in Browns’ last four games.

— Green Bay is 10-2-1 ATS in its last thirteen games.
— In their last four games, Packers scored 35.8 ppg
— Last four games, Packers gave up 30.5 ppg.
— Packers are 16-6 ATS in last 22 home games (6-0 TY)
— Last six games, Green Bay outscored opponents 99-48 in 2nd half.
— Green Bay has six takeaways in its last three games (+5)
— Green Bay is 6-2-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Last four Packer games went over the total.

— Green Bay won/covered last three series games.
— Browns lost two of last three visits to Lambeau (1-2 ATS)

Indianapolis (8-6) @ Arizona (10-4)
— Colts won five of last six games, scoring 32.5 ppg in last four.
— Last two games, Indy ran ball for 238-226 yards.
— Colts are 7-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.
— Indy is 15-7 ATS last 22 road games (5-1 TY).
— Indy is 10-6 ATS in last sixteen games vs NFC teams.
— Last 11 games, Colts outscored opponents 184-85 in first half.
— Last six weeks, Indy led each game by 7+ points at halftime.
— Colts won field position battle nine of last ten games.
— Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games.

— Cardinals lost last two games, giving up 30-30 points.
— Second short week in a row for Arizona.
— Cardinals are 3-4 ATS last seven games (6-1 ATS first seven).
— Arizona is 4-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Arizona converted 27 of last 55 third down plays.
— Redbirds are 2-1 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Arizona games.
— Arizona has 63 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 39.

— Cardinals won last two series games, 16-13/40-11
— Teams split last two meetings played here.

Sunday’s games
Tampa Bay (10-4) @ Carolina (5-9)
— With Brady at QB, Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS as road favorites this season.
— Before last week, Bucs had scored 16 TD’s on previous 43 drives.
— Bucs were minus-2 in turnovers LW; previous 12 games, they were +12.
— Buccaneers gave up 27+ points in four of last seven games.
— Last two games, Tampa Bay was outscored 27-3 in second half.
— Bucs are 6-8 ATS in last 14 NFC South road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Tampa Bay’s last six road games.

— Carolina lost nine of last 11 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-9 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers lost last 12 games Cam Newton started for them.
— Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS last ten games as home underdogs.
— Last three games, Carolina was outscored 55-25 in first half
— Last 11 games, Panthers were outscored 154-83 in second half.
— Panthers turned ball over seven times in last three games (minus-4)
— Last five Carolina games went over the total.

— Tampa Bay won last three series games, by 6-23-14 points.
— Buccaneers are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Charlotte.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.
— These teams play again in two weeks.

NY Giants (4-10) @ Philadelphia (6-7)
— Giants lost four of five games since their bye (1-4 ATS)
— Only win in that span was 13-7 over Eagles in Week 12.
— Giants scored 11.8 ppg in those four games (5 TD’s on 52 drives).
— Giants lost last three road games by a combined 87-40.
— Last three games, Big Blue was outscored 49-13 in first half.
— Giants have been outscored 87-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Opponents have started 18 drives in Giant territory (minus-10).
— Seven of last eight Giant games stayed under the total.

— Eagles won four of last six games (6-3 ATS last nine).
— Philly ran ball for 211.8 ypg last six games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Philly is 5-2 if it allows 18 or less points, 1-5 if it allows more.
— Eagles are 5-14 ATS in last 19 games as home favorite (0-1 TY).
— Eagles are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a road favorite.
— Last six games, Eagles outscored opponents 98-45 in first half.
— Last five games, Philly converted 47-93 on third down.
— Five of last sseven Eagle games went over the total.

— Giants were +4 in turnovers, beat Eagles 13-7 in Week 12.
— Philly ran for 208 yards that day, outgained Giants 332-264.
— Eagles won 13 of last 16 series games.
— Giants haven’t swept Philly since 2007.

 

[Udog]

LA Chargers (8-5) @ Houston (3-12)
— Chargers split their last six games SU.
— Chargers scored 37+ points in their last three wins.
— LA is 6-2 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Last ten games, Chargers allowed 29.6 points/game.
— Bolts are 9-8-1 ATS in last 18 games as road favorites.
— Chargers are 3-1 ATS TY coming off a loss.
— Over is 6-2 in Chargers’ last eight games.
— Chargers converted 31 of last 65 third down plays.

— Rookie QB Mills is 1-7 SU as the starter.
— Texans are 2-0 vs Jaguars, 1-12 vs everyone else.
— Houston covered twice in its last nine games.
— Last four games, Houston was outscored 50-10 in 2nd half.
— Texans are 0-4 ATS in last four home games.
— Houston was +7 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
— Under is 8-4 in Texans’ last 12 games.
— Houston is 7-8-1 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.

— Chargers won five of seven series games.
— Road team won last four meetings.

Detroit (2-11-1) @ Atlanta (6-8)
— Lions are 7-2 ATS in domed stadiums this season.
— Detroit is 2-3-1 SU in its last six games.
— Lions covered five of those six games.
— Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
— Last three games, Detroit was outscored 53-22 in second half.
— Nine of last 12 Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Detroit converted only 24 of last 77 third down plays.
— Lions have four losses by three or fewer points.

— Falcons are 0-5 ATS TY the week following a win.
— Atlanta is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Falcons led eight of last 12 games at halftime.
— Atlanta is 5-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
— Atlanta is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Last 11 games, Atlanta was outscored 162-80 in second half.
— Atlanta converted 26 of last 56 third down plays.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight Atlanta games.

— Falcons won four of last six series games.
— Detroit’s last two series wins were both by a point.
— Lions are 3-2 ATS in last five trips to Atlanta.
— Underdogs are 5-2 ATS last seven series games.
— Visitor won last five series games SU.

Baltimore (8-6) @ Cincinnati (8-6)
— Ravens lost last three games, by total of four points.
— Last five weeks, Ravens scored 16.6 ppg.
— Last five weeks, Ravens have one first half touchdown.
— Ravens covered four of their last five games.
— Last three games, opponents are 16-34 on third down
— Last five years, Ravens are 11-1-2 ATS as road underdogs.
— Baltimore is 14-5-1 ATS in last 20 AFC North games.
— Four of last six Baltimore games stayed under the total.

— Bengals are 3-2 SU/ATS since their bye week.
— Last three games, Cincinnati was outscored 44-25 in first half.
— Bengals gave up 17 or fewer points in last five wins.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
— Bengals are 6-11 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
— Cincy is 9-12-2 ATS last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Cincinnati is 3-8-1 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Bengal games.

— Winner of this game takes over first place in AFC North.
— Bengals threw for 409 yards, waxed Ravens 41-17 in Week 7.
— Baltimore has still won six of last eight series games.
— Ravens covered four of last six visits to Cincinnati.

Monday’s game
Miami (7-7) @ New Orleans (7-7)
— Dolphins won last six games, covering five of them.
— Miami gave up six TDs on opponents’ last 68 drives.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or fewer points in six of their seven wins.
— Dolphins are 1-7 when they give up more than 17 points.
— Miami has given up 68 plays of 20+ yards, has only 51 themselves.
— Miami is 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Dolphins are 12-7 ATS in games following their last 19 wins.
— Miami outscored last five foes 76-30 in second half.

— Saints lost five of last seven games, giving up 22.4 ppg
— Last seven weeks, New Orleans was outscored 79-36 in first half.
— New Orleans is 10-13 ATS in last 23 games as home favorites (0-2 TY)
— Last three games, with Hill at QB, Saints ran for 139 yards/game.
— New Orleans is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC teams.
— New Orleans outscored last two opponents 23-3 in 2nd half.
— Last three games, opponents are 11-46 on third down.
— New Orleans has 44 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 59.
— Saints’ last four games stayed under the total.

— Saints won last three series games, by 12-21-20 points.
— Miami covered once in last three visits to the Superdome.

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 16

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Trend Report
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San Francisco @ Tennessee
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ Green Bay
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Indianapolis @ Arizona
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Arizona is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

LA Rams @ Minnesota
LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
LA Rams is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games

LA Chargers @ Houston
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games

NY Giants @ Philadelphia
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing NY Giants

Buffalo @ New England
Buffalo
Buffalo is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Buffalo's last 16 games on the road
New England
New England is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Tampa Bay @ Carolina
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Carolina's last 21 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Jacksonville @ NY Jets
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 9 games
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville

Detroit @ Atlanta
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit

Baltimore @ Cincinnati
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Chicago @ Seattle
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

Denver @ Las Vegas
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Washington @ Dallas
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games

Miami @ New Orleans
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami


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[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 16

 

[Udog]

Tech Trends - Week 16
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Dec. 23

SAN FRANCISCO at TENNESSEE (NFLN, 8:20 p.m.)

49ers 9-6 vs. the line as road team, 15-8 since 2019.
49ers 5-1 spread run after win over Atlanta.
Titans under in five of last seven at home, also under in four of alst six without Henry.

Tech Edge: 49ers and under based on team and total trends.


Saturday, Dec. 25

CLEVELAND at GREEN BAY (FOX/NFLN, 4:30 p.m.)

Browns no covers last four or seven of last nine.
Browns 3-3 as dog.
Packers 11-2 vs. line and 6-0 vs. spread at home
Packers over last four after 8-2 over run in first 10.

Tech Edge: Packers and over and team and total trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at ARIZONA (NFLN, 8:15 p.m.)

Colts 8-3 spread run and 4-1 as dog in last five.
Cardinals have lost three SU in Glendale, 2-4 vs. spread as host.
Cardinals 3-8 last 11 vs. line as host.
Colts over last five on road.

Tech Edge: Colts and over based on team and total trends.


Sunday, Dec. 26

BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Pats seven game win and cover streak ended in Indy last week.
Pats won and covered last three in Gillette, also over in those games.
Bills 3-5-1 vs. line last nine.
Bills no back-to-back wins SU since Oct. 10.

Tech Edge: Patriots and over based on recent and total trends.

JACKSONVILLE at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Jags no covers in last five or 10 of last 14.
Jags under 8-1 run and 11-2 last 13.
Jets 4-10 vs. line.

Tech Edge: Under based total trends.

L.A. RAMS at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Rams no cover last three as road favorite.
Rams 1-4 last five vs. line as road favorite.
Vikings 5-1 last six as underdog and 4-0 as home dog since 2019.
Vikings also over in four straight.

Tech Edge: Vikings and over based on recent and total trends.

DETROIT at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Lions 9-5 vs. spread despite 2-11-1 SU.
Lions has covered four of last five on the road and under in five of last six on road.
Falcons winless SU or vs. spread at home TY (0-5).
Falcons under in five of last six.

Tech Edge: Lions and under based on team and total trends.

L.A. CHARGERS at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Bolts 3-6 vs. line last nine and over last three and six of last eight.
Bolts 4-2 vs. spread on road and covered six of eight as guest.
Houston under in eight of last 12.
Houston no wins or cover last three in NRG.

Tech Edge: Chargers and under based on team and total trends.

BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Ravens covered last four as dog.
Ravens under in four of last six but over last meeting vs Bengals Oct. 24.
Bengals 1-5 vs spread last six at home
Bengals over 5-2-1 run in last eight.

Tech Edge: Ravens based on team trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

G-Men road dog mark at 12-2 faded, now last three and four of last five in role.
G-Men beat Philly Nov. 28 and covered five of last six in series.
G-Men under in seven of last nine and under in five of last six vs Eagles.
Prior to Tuesday vs. WFT, Eagles 2-3 vs. line last five in the Linc, though 3-1 as chalk.

Tech Edge: Under total trends.

TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Bucs won and covered four in row prior to shokcing loss to Saints on Sunday night.
Bucs 2-5 vs. spread on road.
Brady won and covered last two vs. Carolina.
Three straight overs in series.
Panthers no covers last four or nine of last 11.
Panthers 3-10 last 13 in BoA.
Panthers over last four.

Tech Edge: Bucs and over based on team and total trends.

CHICAGO at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

Bears no covers last five or eight of last nine.
Bears over 4-3 last seven after six straight under games.
Seahawks covered three of last four in Lumen.
Seahawks over last two after 8-0-1 under run.

Tech Edge: Seahawks and under based on recent and extended total trends.

PITTSBURGH at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)

Tomlin 5-3 as dog and 13-5 in last 18 as dog.
Steelers also over last three on road after under in first three as guest.
Chiefs won last seven and covered last five.
Chiefs over in last two after 6-1 under run.

Tech Edge: Over based on recent total trends.

DENVER at LAS VEGAS (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

Raiders won last three and five of last six meetings.
Overs in last two meetings but under in eight straight prior.
Raiders no covers last three or five of last last at home.
Broncos covered four of last seven.
Fangio under in seven of last eight and under in 11 of last 14 overall.

Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.

WASHINGTON at DALLAS (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

Rivera 4-1 vs. line entering game vs. Philly on Tuesday.
Rivera 7-1 under run entering game vs. Philly Tuesday.
Dallas just 4-3 vs. line last seven and under in seven of last eight after Giants win.

Tech Edge: Under and Washington based on total and recent trends.


Monday, Dec. 27

MIAMI at NEW ORLEANS (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)

Dolphins won last six and covered five in row before Jets game.
Dolphins 5-1-1- last seven vs. spread and under 5-2 run.
Saints 1-4 last five SU and vs. line at home this season, no wins or covers last three at home.
Saints under last four.

Tech Edge: Under and Dolphins based on total and recent trends.

 

[Udog]

The Niners are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Niners are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against Tennessee.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Titans' games.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 23
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

SF at TEN 08:20 PM
SF -3.0
O 45.0
+500 +500

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Browns are 5-1 ATS in the past six road games against teams with a winning home mark.
The Browns are 0-4 ATS in the past four Week 16 games.
The Packers are 11-2 ATS in the past 13 games overall.
The Packers are 7-2 ATS in the past nine as a favorite.
The Packers are 16-5 ATS in the past 21 games at home.
The OVER is 6-1 in the past seven for the Browns against winning teams.
The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 as an underdog for the Browns.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four games for the Packers.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 games in December for the Packers.


Indianapolis is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 games overall.
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in the past five road games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in the past five games as an underdog.
Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in the past seven against winning teams.
Arizona is 3-8 ATS in the past 11 home games.
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in the past five as a favorite.
Arizona is 2-7 ATS in the past seven against winning teams.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five road games for Indianapolis.
The OVER is 11-1 in the past 12 against teams with a winning record for Indianapolis.
The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 against teams with a winning record for Arizona.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CLE at GB 04:30 PM
GB -7.5
U 46.5
+500 +500

IND at ARI 08:15 PM
IND +2.5
U 48.5
+500 +500

 

[indiana]

C/notes and U/dog.......you and your families have a great Christmas......
appreciate all your do for us here at the RX.....indy

 

[CNOTES]

Thanks Indy same to you and yours ???

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES - DEC 25
Game Score Pick Amount Status Units


12/25/2021..........3-1-0...........75.00%...........+9.50
12/23/2021..........0-2-0.............0.00%...........-11.00
12/21/2021..........3-0-0..........100.00%..........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0............25.00%...........-11.50
12/19/2021........12-8-0............60.00%..........+16.00
12/18/2021..........2-0-0...........100.00%.........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0...............0.00%..........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1..............36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0..............34.78%..........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%............-0.50

TOTALS:............38-45-1..............45.78%...........-53.50


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/25/2021..........3-1-0..........75.00%........+9.50
12/23/2021..........0-2-0..........00.00%.........-11.00
12/21/2021..........3-0-0........100.00%.........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0..........25.00%..........-11.50
12/19/2021..........9-5-0.........64.28%..........+17.50
12/18/2021..........2-0-0.......100.00%..........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50


TOTALS:............31-32-0..........49.20%...........-22.00


UPDATED 12/25/2021

 

[Udog]

Gridiron Angles - Week 16
Vince Akins

NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: Denver at Las Vegas (4:25 p.m. ET)

-- The Broncos are 13-0 ATS since October 27, 2019 when the total is over 39 and they scored less than 17 points last game.

NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend:
Matchup: Washington at Dallas (8:15 p.m. ET)

-- Washington is 0-12-1 ATS since December 2016 as a dog the week after a road loss.

NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: Washington at Dallas (8:15 p.m. ET)

-- The Cowboys are 11-0-1 OU since September 30, 2018 at home vs an NFC opponent when the total is under 49.

NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: Baltimore at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Bengals are 0-10-1 OU since December 2018 coming off a game where they were not double-digit favorites and had less than 28 minutes time of possession.

Factoid of the Week:
Matchup: Buffalo at New England (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- Only once since 2003 have the Patriots faced a divisional opponent they upset as an underdog last meeting. New England is in this spot Sunday after defeating the Bills as an underdog in week 13.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Udog]

Panthers have lost five straight home games.
Panthers have gone OVER the point total in five straight games.
Buccaneers have covered the spread in four of their last five games when facing Panthers.


Eagles have won seven straight home games when facing Giants.
Giants have covered the spread in 13 of their last 15 road games when facing the NFC.
Giants have gone UNDER the point total in seven of their last eight games.


Texans have gone UNDER the point total in eight of their last 12 games.
Texans have seen the road teams cover the spread in five straight games.
Texans have lost 21 of their last 22 games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.


Lions have covered the spread in five of their last six games.
Falcons have gone UNDER the point total in five of their last six games.
Falcons have lost 10 straight home games when facing the NFC.


The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams.
The Ravens are 10-3 ATS in the past 13 games inside the division.
The Ravens are 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 as an underdog.
The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in the past six games at home.
The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six road games for the Ravens.
The OVER is 8-3-1 in the past 12 divisional games for the Bengals.
The road team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.


The Rams are 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Rams are 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a favorite.
The Rams are 10-3-1 ATS in the past 14 games in December.
The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Vikings are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 games at home.
The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in the past seven as an underdog.
The OVER is 6-2-1 in the past nine road games for the Rams.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five games overall for the Vikings.


Jaguars have lost 15 straight road games.
Jaguars have gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last nine games.
Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in five straight games.


The Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in the past six AFC East games.
The Bills are 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams.
The Bills are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games as an underdog.
The Bills are 4-1-2 ATS in the past seven trips to Foxboro.
The Patriots are 7-1 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in the past five AFC East games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in the past five home games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in the past five games against winning teams.
The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six December games for the Patriots.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven AFC East games for the Patriots.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.


Bears have lost eight of their last nine games.
Bears have seen favorites cover the spread in 14 of their last 17 games.
Seahawks have gone UNDER the point total in 10 of their last 12 games.


The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in the past six games against winning teams.
The Steelers are 13-6 ATS in the past 19 games as a road underdog.
The Steelers are 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games in December.
The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in the past five as a favorite.
The Chiefs are 4-10 ATS in the past 14 home games.
The UNDER is 37-14-1 in the past 52 road games for the Steelers.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Chiefs.


The Broncos are 8-17 ATS in the past 25 divisional games.
The Broncos are 1-6 ATS in the past seven games vs. AFC.
The Raiders are 1-6 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in the past six home games.
The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in the past six divisional games.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight games for the Broncos.
The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven road games for the Broncos.
The UNDER is 18-7-1 in the past 26 divisional games for the Broncos.
The OVER is 8-3 in the past 11 home games for the Raiders.
The OVER is 6-1 in the past seven divisional games for the Raiders.
The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in the past five road games vs. Raiders.
The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in the past eight meetings vs. Raiders.
The UNDER is 8-2 in the past 10 meetings.


Washington is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six games overall.
Washington is 5-2 ATS in the past seven games against winning teams.
Washington is 0-3-1 ATS in the past four divisional games.
The Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in the past 14 games overall.
The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The Cowboys are 20-8 ATS in the past 28 divisional games.
The Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in the past 10 as a favorite.
The UNDER is 7-2 in the past nine games for Washington.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven divisional games for Washington.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight game overall for the Cowboys.
The OVER is 7-2 in the past nine home games for the Cowboys.
The OVER is 6-0 in the past six meetings in Dallas.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

C/notes and U/dog.......you and your families have a great Christmas......
appreciate all your do for us here at the RX.....indy

Thanks, Indy! We had a very nice one. I hope you did, too. Happy New Year and good luck today!

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

JAC at NYJ 01:00 PM
NYJ -2.5
+500

BAL at CIN 01:00 PM
CIN -7.5
O 43.0
+500 +500

BUF at NE 01:00 PM
BUF +1.0
U 43.5
+500 +500

DET at ATL 01:00 PM
DET +7.5
U 42.5
+500 +500

LAR at MIN 01:00 PM
O 48.5
+500

NYG at PHI 01:00 PM
O 41.0
+500

LAC at HOU 01:00 PM
LAC -13.5
+500

TB at CAR 01:00 PM
TB -11.5
+500

CHI at SEA 04:05 PM
SEA -7.0
U 42.0
+500 +500

DEN at LV 04:25 PM
DEN +1.0
+500

PIT at KC 04:25 PM
PIT +10.5
U 45.0
+500 +500


SUNDAY NIGHT BAILOUT !

WAS at DAL 08:20 PM
WAS +8.5
+500

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES - DEC 25
Game Score Pick Amount Status Units

12/26/2021..........9-8-0..........52.94%............+1.00
12/25/2021..........3-1-0...........75.00%...........+9.50
12/23/2021..........0-2-0.............0.00%...........-11.00
12/21/2021..........3-0-0..........100.00%..........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0............25.00%...........-11.50
12/19/2021........12-8-0............60.00%..........+16.00
12/18/2021..........2-0-0...........100.00%.........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0...............0.00%..........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1..............36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0..............34.78%..........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%............-0.50

TOTALS:............47-53-1..............47.00%...........-52.50


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/26/2021..........8-5-0.........61.53%........+12.50
12/25/2021..........3-1-0..........75.00%........+9.50
12/23/2021..........0-2-0..........00.00%.........-11.00
12/21/2021..........3-0-0........100.00%.........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0..........25.00%..........-11.50
12/19/2021..........9-5-0.........64.28%..........+17.50
12/18/2021..........2-0-0.......100.00%..........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50


TOTALS:............39-37-0..........51.31%...........-9.50


UPDATED 12/26/2021

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads
— Raiders @ Indianapolis (-7.5)
— Giants @ Chicago (-4)
— Cardinals @ Dallas (-2.5)
— Eagles (-2.5) @ Washington
— Chiefs (-4) @ Cincinnati
— Dolphins @ Tennessee (-3.5)

Quote of the Day
“It should just be more thought out, to have windows and you know when they’re leaving. They should have this, just like coaches do. There’s no window. And also, they’re not being advised very well. You have thousands of kids going into the portal, but there’s not thousands of spots for people to take.”
Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin, on the transfer portal

Monday’s quiz
Which current NFL head coach was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League?

Sunday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers completed his first NFL pass against Dallas.

Saturday’s quiz
In the baseball movie A League of Their Own, Madonna’s character plays leftfield for the Rockford Peaches- she wore number 5, Joe DiMaggio’s number.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Buffalo 33, New England 21
— Bills are now tied for first in AFC East, with Patriots.
— Buffalo was 6-12 on third down, Patriots 1-10
— Last five games, Bills outscored opponents 78-32 in second half.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven Buffalo games.

— Patriots lost last two games, giving up 27-33 points.
— Jones was 14-32 passing for only 139 yards, two INT’s.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
— New England is 5-11 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or less.

LA Rams 30, Minnesota 23:
— Rams clinch 4th playoff berth in five years under McVay.
— Before McVay, Rams had gone 13 years with no playoff berths.
— Michel ran ball 27 times fir 131 yards and a TD.
— Powell ran a punt back 61 yards for a TD to make score 20-10.
— Under McVay, LA is 8-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.

— Rams were 7-14 on third down, Minnesota 2-12.
— Vikings had 12-play, 84-yard drive that ended with red zone INT.
— Minnesota’s first TD was a 2-yard drive after an INT.
— Over is 6-2 in Vikings’ last eight games.
— Minnesota has been outscored 115-31 in last 2:00 of each half.

Houston 41, LA Chargers 29:
— Horrific loss for 8-7 Chargers, who are 4-6 in last ten games.
— LA falls to #9 seed in AFC with this loss.
— Over is 7-2 in Chargers’ last nine games.
— Chargers converted 37 of last 74 third down plays.
— Last 11 games, Chargers allowed 30.6 points/game.

— Texans won their last two games, scoring 30-41 points.
— Burkhead ran ball for 149 yards (6.8 yards/carry).
— Rookie QB Mills averaged 8.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Houston is +10 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).

Cincinnati 41, Baltimore 21
— Ravens lost last four games, giving up 28.8 ppg
— Bengals led 31-14 at halftime.
— Last three games, opponents are 21-44 on third down
— TE Andrews caught eight passes for 125 yards and a TD.

— Burrow threw for 525 yards and four TD’s.
— Bengals in first half: 5 drives, 34 plays, 333 yards, 31 points.
— Bengals are 8-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
— Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Bengal games.

Tampa Bay 32, Carolina 6:
— Vaughn scored Bucs’ first TD with a 55-yard run.
— Tampa Bay outgained Carolina, 391-273.
— Under is 5-2 in Tampa Bay’s last seven road games.
— Buccaneers are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Charlotte.

— Carolina lost 10 of last 12 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-10 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as home underdogs.
— Last 11 games, Panthers were outscored 167-83 in second half.
— These teams play again in two weeks.

Philadelphia 34, NY Giants 10:
— Game was 3-3 at halftime.
— Eagles outgained Giants, 324-192.
— Giants lost five of six games since their bye (1-5 ATS)
— Giants have been outscored 90-19 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Eagles’ first TD was on a 21-yard drive.
— Philly scored two TD’s 0:21 apart early in 4th quarter.
— Philly held Giants to 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Fromm was 6-17 for 25 yards in his first NFL start.
— Eagles won 14 of last 17 series games.

Atlanta 20, Detroit 16:
— Starting QB Goff (COVID) didn’t play.
— Lions are 1-5-1 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Detroit covered six of its last seven games.
— Ten of last thirteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Lions are 8-2 ATS in domed stadiums this season.

— Falcons picked off a pass on their 1-yard line with 0:33 left.
— Detroit outgained the Falcons, 338-254.
— Atlanta is 6-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
— Atlanta is 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season.

NJ Jets 26, Jacksonville 21:
— Jacksonville had ball on Jets 1-yard line in last 0:30, didn’t score.
— Jaguars first three drives: 35 plays, 161 yards, only 12 points.
— Jaguars lost seven in row, 28 of their last 30 games.
— Jaguars are 0-6 ATS the last six weeks.

— This was first time Jets were favored in last 27 games.
— Rookie QB Wilson ran 52 yards for Jets’ first TD.
— Jets ran a kickoff back 102 yards for their second TD.
— Over is 9-3 in last twelve Jet games.

Chicago 25, Seattle 24:
— Chicago scored TD, got game-winning 2-point conversion with 1:01 left.
— Bears are 3-2 with Dalton/Foles starting, 2-8 with rookie QB Fields.
— Seahawks led 24-14 after three quarters.
— Bears converted 7-14 on third down, Seattle 3-10.

— Seahawks lost five of their last seven games.
— Seattle ran ball for 170 yards, were outscored 18-7 in second half.
— Penny ran ball 17 times for 135 yards on a snowy day in Seattle.
— Seattle lost five of seven home games SU this season.

Kansas City 36, Pittsburgh 10:
— Steelers in first half: 27 plays, 109 yards, no points.
— Kansas City led 23-0 at halftime.
— Steelers have been outgained eight games in a row.
— Last six games, Steelers were outscored 114-19 in first half.
— Pittsburgh covered once in last six visits to Arrowhead.

— Chiefs’ first four drives: 36 plays, 250 yards, 24 points.
— Chiefs won last eight games, covering last six.
— Kansas City converted 25 of last 51 third down plays.
— Chiefs have 20 takeaways in last seven games (+14)
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-4 if they allow more.

Las Vegas 17, Denver 13:
— Denver scored 10 points in a 0:22 span late in first half.
— Broncos are 1-7 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-7 if it doesn’t.
— 12 of 15 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 0-6 ATS in last six road series games.

— Raiders outgained Denver, 342-158
— Jacobs carried ball 27 times for 129 yards.
— Las Vegas was 6-12 on third down, Broncos 1-10
— Raiders won last five meetings (4-1 ATS)
— Last eight games, Raiders are minus-13 in turnovers (4-17)

Dallas 56, Washington 14:
— Dallas outgained Washington, 497-257.
— Cowboys converted 10-15 on 3rd down, averaged 8.6 yards/pass attempt.
— Washington covered once in last five visits to Dallas.
— Washington is 8-18-2 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Washington converted 12-40 on third down.

— Cowboys scored a TD on four of first five drives.
— Dallas scored TD’s on a pick-6, blocked punt.
— Dallas won/covered its last four games.
— Last three games, Dallas led 24-0/15-3/42-7 at halftime.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 85-9 in last 2:00 of each half.

If the NFL playoffs started today (they don’t):
#1 seeds— Kansas City, Green Bay
#2’s— Tennessee, Dallas
#3’s— Cincinnati, LA Rams
#4’s— Buffalo, Tampa Bay
#5’s— Indianapolis, Arizona
#6’s— New England, San Francisco
#7’s— Baltimore, Philadelphia