Nfl 2021-2022 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors !

[Udog]

NFL

Week 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Kansas City @ LA Chargers
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games

Las Vegas @ Cleveland
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

New England @ Indianapolis
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 9 games when playing New England
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

NY Jets @ Miami
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 10 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington

Carolina @ Buffalo
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games at home

Dallas @ NY Giants
Dallas
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games

Houston @ Jacksonville
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games at home

Tennessee @ Pittsburgh
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

Arizona @ Detroit
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

Atlanta @ San Francisco
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Cincinnati @ Denver
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games

Green Bay @ Baltimore
Green Bay
Green Bay is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Green Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Baltimore
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games

Seattle @ LA Rams
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 15

Thursday game
Kansas City (9-4) @ LA Chargers (8-5)
— Chiefs won last six games, giving up 10.8 ppg.
— Chiefs outscored foes 98-26 in first half of those games.
— Kansas City is 7-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have 15 takeaways in last five games (+11)
— Kansas City is 19-13-1 ATS in last 33 games as road favorites.
— Kansas City is 19-6 ATS in last 25 AFC West road games.
— Six of Chiefs’ last eight games stayed under the total.
— Chiefs are 7-13-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.

— Chargers won three of their last four games.
— Chargers scored 37+ points in all three of those wins.
— LA is 6-1 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Last eight games, Chargers allowed 29.1 points/game.
— Bolts are 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last 8 years, Chargers are 4-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— Over is 5-2 in Chargers’ last seven games.
— Chargers converted 25 of last 52 third down plays.

— Chargers were +4 in turnovers, won 30-24 at Arrowhead in Week 3.
— Chiefs are 12-3 in last 15 series games (4-3 in last seven).
— Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in last eight road series games.

Saturday games
Las Vegas (6-7) @ Cleveland (7-6)
— Raiders lost five of last six games, outscored 102-54 in second half.
— Last five games, Las Vegas was outscored 82-36 in first half.
— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-7 when it does not.
— Raiders converted 11 of last 48 third down plays.
— Last six games, Raiders are minus-8 in turnovers (4-12)
— Raiders converted only 22 of last 80 third down plays.
— Raiders are 10-6 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Las Vegas is 5-9 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.

— Cleveland’s last eight games: LWLWLWLW
— Browns covered one of their last six games.
— Last four games, Browns were outscored 57-7 in second half.
— Mayfield is playing thru shoulder/knee issues.
— Cleveland outscored foes 60-28 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 3-4 in games decided by six or fewer points.
— Browns are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Under is 5-1 in Browns’ last six home games.

— Raiders won last three meetings, by 10-3-7 points.
— Las Vegas lost three of last five visits to the Dawg Pound.
— Favorites covered five of last seven series games.

New England (9-4) @ Indianapolis (7-6)
— New England won/covered its last seven games, scoring 32.1 ppg.
— Last four games, Patriots outscored foes 66-3 in second half.
— New England is 5-9 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last seven games, New England is +13 in turnovers.
— Patriots are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
— Patriots covered five of last seven post-bye games.
— Last nine games, New England had 42 plays of 20+ yards (+14).
— Under is 3-0 in Patriots’ last three road games.

— Colts won four of last five games, scoring 34.3 ppg in last three.
— Colts are 6-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.
— Indy is 14-11-2 ATS last 27 games as a home favorite.
— Indy is 12-3-1 ATS in last sixteen post-bye games.
— Last ten games, Colts outscored opponents 167-75 in first half.
— Last five weeks, Indy led by 10+ points at halftime.
— Colts won field position battle eight of last nine games.
— Seven of their last ten games went over the total.

— Patriots won last six series games (3-3 ATS), scoring 39.2 ppg.
— New England is 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Indianapolis.

Sunday games
Washington (6-7) @ Philadelphia (6-7)
— Washington won/covered four of its last five games.
— Last four games, Washington is minus-4 in turnovers (3-7)
— QB Heinecke got hurt late in last week’s game (check status)
— Last 7 years, Washington was 12-9 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Washington is 8-17-1 ATS last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Washington won two of three games on artificial turf this year.
— Six of last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
— Opponents converted 15 of last 47 third down plays.

— Eagles won four of last six games (6-3 ATS last nine).
— Philly ran ball for 211.8 ypg last six games (98.6 ypg previous five games)
— Philly is 5-2 if it allows 18 or less points, 1-5 if it allows more.
— Eagles are 5-14 ATS in last 19 games as home favorite (0-1 TY).
— Eagles are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a road favorite.
— Last six games, Eagles outscored opponents 98-45 in first half.
— Last five games, Philly converted 47-93 on third down.
— Five of last sseven Eagle games went over the total.

— Eagles won six of last seven series games (5-2 ATS)
— Washington is 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Philly.
— These teams meet again in two weeks.

Carolina (5-8) @ Buffalo (7-6)
— Carolina lost eight of last ten games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-8 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Last two weeks, Panthers gave up TD on offense/special teams.
— Panthers are 9-2 ATS last eleven games as road underdogs.
— Last three games, Carolina lost field position by 11-16-10 yards.
— Last ten games, Panthers were outscored 140-77 in second half.
— Last four Carolina games went over the total.
— NFC South road underdogs are 6-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

— QB Allen has turf toe (check status); painful injury.
— Bills lost five of last eight games, after a 4-1 start.
— Before their bye, Buffalo averaged 19.8 first half points.
— Since their bye, Buffalo averaged 7.6 first half points.
— Buffalo turned ball over 13 times in last six games (-5).
— Last three games, Bills outscored opponents 48-12 in second half.
— Bills are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as home favorites.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Buffalo home games.

— Bills are 3-2 SU in last five series games.
— Panthers lost two of last three visits here; the three games were decided by total of six points.

NJ Jets (3-10) @ Miami (6-7)
— Jets won/covered once in last six games.
— Jets gave up 34.4 ppg in their last eight games.
— In those eight games, Jets allowed 45 plays of 20+ yards.
— Jets have been outscored 98-36 in first quarter, 223-89 in first half.
— Jets are 12-25-2 ATS last 39 games as home underdogs.
— Jets are 15-26 ATS last 41 games coming off a loss.
— Three of last four Jet games stayed under the total.
— Last eight games, Jets are minus-11 in turnovers.

— Dolphins won/covered last five games, giving up 11.0 ppg.
— Miami gave up four TDs on opponents’ last 57 drives.
— Dolphins allowed 17 or fewer points in all six of their wins.
— Dolphins are 0-7 when they give up more than 17 points.
— Miami has given up 64 plays of 20+ yards, has only 46 themselves.
— Miami is 23-12-3 ATS in last 38 home games.
— Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in last four post-bye games.
— Miami outscored last four foes 55-23 in second half.

— Dolphins won 24-17 in New Jersey on Week 11.
— Miami won nine of last 11 series games.
— Jets are 0-3 in last three visits here, losing by 24-8-7 points.

Dallas (9-4) @ NY Giants (4-9)
— Dallas split its last six games SU.
— Cowboys are 5-2 SU/6-1 ATS on road this season.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 72-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas has 8 takeaways in its last two games (+5)
— Last four years, Dallas is 7-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four years, Cowboys are 17-12 ATS coming off a win.
— Five of last seven Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Last ten years, Dallas is 17-11 ATS in NFC East road games.

— Giants lost three of four games since their bye (1-3 ATS)
— Giants scored 13 ppg in those four games (5 TD’s on 42 drives).
— Giants are 7-16 ATS last 23 games as home dogs (3-2 TY).
— Giants have been outscored 81-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Opponents have started 15 drives in Giant territory (minus-8).
— Giants are 12-10 ATS in last 22 NFC East home games.
— Six of last seven Giant games stayed under the total.

— Dallas rang up 515 yards in 44-20 win over Giants in Week 5.
— Cowboys won eight of last nine series games.
— Giants are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight visits to JerryWorld.

Green Bay (10-3) @ Baltimore (8-5)
— Green Bay is 10-1-1 ATS in its last dozen games.
— In their last three games, Packers scored 37.3 ppg
— Packers lost last two road games, at Chiefs/Vikings.
— Last five games, Green Bay outscored opponents 82-32 in 2nd half.
— Green Bay has six takeaways in its last two games (+5)
— Last five years, Packers are 8-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Green Bay is 6-1-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Eight of last ten Packer games stayed under the total.

— QB Jackson hurt his ankle LW (check status)
— Baltimore lost last two games, by total of three points.
— Last five weeks, Ravens scored 16.6 ppg.
— Last five weeks, Ravens have one first half touchdown.
— Ravens’ last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
— Last two games, opponents are 11-25 on third down
— Last six years, Ravens are 5-1 ATS as home underdogs.
— Baltimore is 9-16-2 ATS last 27 games vs NFC teams.
— Four of last five Baltimore games stayed under the total.

— Green Bay won three of last five series games.
— Teams split last two meetings played in Baltimore.

 

[Udog]

Tennessee (9-4) @ Pittsburgh (6-6-1)
— Tennessee won seven of its last nine games.
— Titans lost field position by 13+ yards in 3 of 4 losses.
— Titans were held to 13 or less points in 3 of 4 losses.
— Tennessee is 4-2 SU on road, losing to Jets/Patriots.
— Titans are 2-5 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
— Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
— Titans are 11-19-1 ATS last 31 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 5-1 in Tennessee’s road games.

— Steelers are 1-3-1 SU last five games, with win by one point
— Last three games, Steelers were outscored 61-6 in first half.
— Pittsburgh played on Thursday LW; extra time to rest/prep.
— Steelers covered last six games as a home underdog.
— Steelers are 4-2-1 SU at home, losing to Raiders/Bengals.
— Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
— Steelers have been outgained six games in a row.
— Last four weeks, Steelers ran ball for only 74.3 yards/game.

— Steelers won six of last eight series games.
— Titans are 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Pittsburgh.

Houston (2-12) @ Jacksonville (2-11)
— Rookie QB Mills is 0-7 SU as the starter.
— Texans lost 12 of their last 13 games.
— Houston covered once in last eight games.
— Last three games, Houston was outscored 44-0 in 2nd half.
— Texans are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as road underdogs.
— Houston was +8 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
— Under is 8-3 in Texans’ last 11 games.
— Houston is 5-15 ATS last 20 games coming off a loss.

— Jaguars lost five in row, 26 of their last 28 games.
— Jacksonville has eight losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have six TD’s on their last 67 drives.
— Last four games, Jacksonville is minus-9 in turnovers (1-10)
— Jaguars turned ball over on 10 of their last 36 drives.
— Last four years, Jaguars are 2-5 ATS as home favorites.
— Jacksonville was outscored 103-28 in first half.
— 11 of their last 12 games stayed under the total.

— Texans beat Jacksonville 37-21 at home in season opener.
— Houston won seven in row, 13 of last 15 meetings.
— Texans are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Jacksonville.

Arizona (10-3) @ Detroit (1-11-1)
— Cardinals are 7-0 SU on road (underdog in 5 of the 7)
— Short week for Arizona after Monday night home loss.
— Cardinals covered eight of their last 11 games.
— Arizona is 12-8 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
— Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Redbirds are 2-0 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-1 in last five Arizona games.
— Arizona has 57 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 34.

— Detroit had COVID issues last week (check status)
— Lions covered four of their last five games.
— Lions are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
— Last two games, Detroit was outscored 41-9 in second half.
— Eight of last 11 Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Detroit converted only 18 of last 64 third down plays.
— Lions have four losses by three or fewer points.

— Arizona is 0-3-1 SU in last four games with Detroit.
— Lions are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to the desert, but 2-0-1 SU in last three.

Atlanta (6-7) @ San Francisco (7-6)
— Atlanta is 1-4 ATS this year in game following a win.
— Falcons led eight of last 11 games at halftime.
— Atlanta is 5-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-5 if it gives up 26+.
— Atlanta is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Last four games, Atlanta was outscored 60-19 in second half.
— Atlanta converted 21 of last 43 third down plays.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven Atlanta games.
— NFC South road underdogs are 6-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

— 49ers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Last five games, 49ers outscored opponents 95-51 in first half.
— 49ers are 5-1 if they give up 23 or less points, 2-5 if they give up more.
— 49ers are 2-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— 49ers are 5-16-1 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite.
— Last three games, 49ers are +7 in turnovers (11-4).
— 49ers are 4-6 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or less.
— 49ers are 13-11 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.

— Atlanta won six of last eight series games.
— Falcons are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Santa Clara.

Cincinnati (7-6) @ Denver (7-6)
— Bengals lost four of last six games, after a 5-2 start.
— Cincinnati gave up 67 points in their last two games.
— Bengals gave up 17 or fewer points in last four wins.
— Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-5 otherwise.
— Bengals are 15-11 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
— Cincy is 8-12-2 ATS last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Cincinnati is 9-5 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Bengal games.

— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-5 if it doesn’t.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.8 ppg in losses.
— Broncos are 1-3 ATS this season, coming off a loss.
— Broncos are 5-11-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Broncos are 14-11-1 ATS in last 26 games vs NFC teams.
— Broncos are 12-16 ATS last 28 games coming off a win.
— 10 of 13 Denver games stayed under the total.
— AFC West home favorites are 6-13 ATS outside the division.

— Broncos won seven of last nine series games.
— Bengals covered three of last four visits to Denver.
— Underdogs won four of last five meetings SU.

Seattle (5-8) @ LA Rams (9-4)
— Seattle won last two games, scoring 30-33 points.
— Seahawks outscored foes 26-0 in 2nd half of those games.
— Seattle lost three of its last four road games.
— Seahawks are 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games as road underdogs
— Seattle is 5-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn’t.
— Last two weeks, Seattle ran ball for 146-193 yards.
— Opponents converted 11 of last 36 third down plays.
— Six of Seahawks’ last nine games stayed under total.

— Short week for Rams after Monday night win in Arizona.
— Rams have COVID issues; check status of their roster.
— Under McVay, LA is 15-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +12 in wins.
— Last two games, LA converted 11-24 on 3rd down
— Rams are 6-4 ATS last 10 NFC West home games.
— Rams are 16-20 ATS last 36 games coming off a win.
— Rams’ last three home games stayed under the total.

— Rams threw for 358 yards, won 26-17 at Seattle in Week 5.
— LA won 11 of last 15 series games.
— Seahawks are 2-7 ATS in last nine road series games.

New Orleans (6-7) @ Tampa Bay (10-3)
— Saints lost five of last six games, giving up 26.2 ppg
— Last six weeks, New Orleans was outscored 79-30 in first half.
— New Orleans covered eight of last ten games as a road dog.
— Last two games, with Hill at QB, Saints ran for 153-203 yards.
— New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in last ten NFC South road games.
— Last six games, New Orleans is minus-6 in turnovers (4-10)
— Last two games, opponents are 5-27 on third down.
— New Orleans has 42 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 57.
— Saints’ last three games stayed under the total.

— Tampa Bay scored 33 ppg in winning last four games.
— Buccaneers are 8-3-1 as home favorites with Brady at QB.
— Bucs have 50 TD’s on 138 drives this season.
— Last 12 games, Tampa Bay is +12 in turnovers.
— Buccaneers gave up 27+ points in four of last six games.
— Tampa Bay is 23-17-3 ATS in last 43 games coming off win.
— Bucs are 7-5 ATS in last dozen NFC South home games.
— Over is 4-1-1 this season in Tampa Bay home games.

— Saints were +3 in turnovers, beat Bucs 36-27 at home in Week 8.
— New Orleans won seven of last nine series games.
— Saints are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Tampa Bay.

Monday’s game
Minnesota (6-7) @ Chicago (4-9)
— Minnesota played on Thursday LW, extra time to prep here.
— Vikings won/covered four of their six games.
— 11 of Vikings’ 13 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Minnesota has led by 6+ points in every game this year.
— Minnesota is 4-6 ATS in last ten NFC North road games.
— Vikings are 1-3 SU this season in outdoor games.
— Minnesota has been outscored 103-28 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Over is 5-1 in Vikings’ last six games.

— Chicago lost six of last eight games (1-7 ATS)
— Bears gave up 32-45 points the last two weeks.
— Bears turned ball over on 7 of last 21 drives.
— Last 11 games, Chicago is minus-13 in turnovers.
— Last seven games, Chicago was outscored 113-66 in first half.
— Bears are 2-7 SU with rookie Fields at QB.
— Bears are 1-4 ATS in last five NFC North home games.
— Under is 7-4-1 in last dozen Chicago games.

— Bears won five of last six series games.
— Vikings are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— These teams meet again in Week 18.

 

[Udog]

Tech Trends - Week 15
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Dec. 16

KANSAS CITY at L.A. CHARGERS (FOX, 8:20 p.m.)

Bolts won SU last two and covered last three vs. KNC.
Chiefs covered four in row and won last six SU.
Reid UNDER 6-2 run.
Bolts covered three of last eight despite two-game cover streak.

Tech Edge: Chiefs and under based on recent and total trends.


Saturday, Dec. 18

LAS VEGAS at CLEVELAND (NFLN, 4;30 p.m.)

Raiders lost and failed to cover five of last six.
Raiders closed 1-5 vs line last six 2020, 2-5 last seven in 2019, and 4-8 last 12 in 2018.
Browns 2-7 vs. line last nine.
Browns 4-9 vs. points last 13 at home.

Tech Edge: Browns based on extended trends.

NEW ENGLAND at INDIANAPOLIS (NFLN, 8:15 p.m.)

Belichick won and covered last seven.
Pats 5-1 SU and vs. spread on the road.
Colts alternating Ws and Ls last seven weeks, due for L if pattern continues.

Tech Edge: Patriots based on team trends.


Sunday, Dec. 19

ARIZONA at DETROIT (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Cards 7-0 SU and vs. line on road.
Cards 3-0 SU and vs. line after ouright defeat prior.
Lions 8-5 ATS despite 1-11-1 SU mark.
Lions UNDER in eight of last 11
Lions 3-0-1 SU past four seasons vs. Cards.

Tech Edge: Cardinals and under based on team and total trends.

TENNESSEE at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Titans 5-1 as dogs, also 7-4 vs. spread in last 11 on road.
Titans UNDER 3-2 since Henry injury (28-10 OVER previous 38).
Steelers 4-8 vs. number in last 12.

Tech Edge: Titans based on team trends.

DALLAS at N.Y. GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Boys 8-1 SU and 7-2 last nine vs G-Men.
Dallas 6-1 vs spread on road and UNDER in six of last seven.
G-Men won last three as home dog.

Tech Edge: Cowboys and under based on series and total trends.

HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Jags 0-2 as the favorite TY, also 1-5 vs. line at home.
Jags 2-11 UNDER run.
Houston working on seven straight wins vs. Jags.
Houston UNDER in six of last seven.

Tech Edge: Under and Texans based on total and series trends.

N.Y. JETS at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Miami cover streak vs. Jets at seven (7-0-1 last eight).
Miami five straight SU and ATS wins.
UNDER hit in six of seven meetings, and Miami UNDER in five of last six.
Jets 3-10 vs. spread and 1-5 vs. line last six away from MetLife.

Tech Edge: Dolphins and under based on series and total trends.

CAROLINA at BUFFALO (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Panthers 2-3 vs. spread last five on road after eight straight covers as visitor.
Carolina 2-8 vs. spread last 10 TY.
Rhule OVER last four after 7-2 UNDER run.
Bills UNDER in five of last seven at Orchard Park.

Tech Edge: Bills based on recent trends.

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

WFT won and covered four of last five.
WFT UNDER in seven of last eight.
Eagles 2-3 vs. spread at home, and OVER in five of last seven.

Tech Edge: WFT and under based on recent and total trends.

SEATTLE at L.A. RAMS (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

Rams won SU and covered three in row and four of last five vs. Seahawks in LA.
UNDER hit in four of last five meetings, and Seattle 8-3 UNDER run in last 11.
Rams UNDER in four of last six.

Tech Edge: Under and Rams based on team and total trends.

CINCINNATI at DENVER (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)

Bengals 4-2 vs. line on road last six.
Benglas 4-2 UNDER run on road.
Broncos UNDER in 10 of last 13.
Broncos 5-3 as chalk.

Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.

ATLANTA at SAN FRANCISCO (CBS, 4:05 p.m.)

Falcons 6-2 SU and 5-2-1 vs. line on road TY (0-5 at home).
Niners won and covered last two at home despite no covers previous five at home and 3-7 ATS record last 10 in Santa Clara.

Tech Edge: Falcons based on team trends.

GREEN BAY at BALTIMORE (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

Packers 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS last 11.
Packers OVER last three despite UNDER run of 8-2 first 10 in 2021.
Ravens UNDER last five.

Tech Edge: Packers and under basded on team and total trends.

NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

Brady 0-3 SU and vs. line in regular season vs. Saints since arriving in Tampa (but 1-0 in playoffs).
Saints lost five in row SU before win over Jets.
Brady won last nine SU at home and 9-1 ATS last 10

Tech Edge: Buccaneers based on team trends.


Monday, Dec. 20

MINNESOTA at CHICAGO (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)

Vikings OVER last four.
Bears 1-7 SU and spread skid, no cover last four at home.
Bears OVER last two.

Tech Edge: Vikings and over based on team and total trends.

 

[Udog]

The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
The Chiefs are 22-10-1 ATS in the past 33 divisional games.
The Chiefs are 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 games in December.
The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in the past five games in December.
The Chargers are 5-2 ATS in the past seven against winning teams.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight games for the Chiefs.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five divisional games for the Chargers.
The Chiefs are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four games vs. the Chargers.

 

[Udog]

Las Vegas at Cleveland postponed.


New England has covered the spread in seven straight games.
Indianapolis has covered the spread in seven of its last 10 games.
New England has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 road games.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

NE at IND 08:15 PM
IND -2.5
U 45.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Date W-L-T % Units

12/18/2021..........2-0-0...........100.00%.........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0...............0.00%..........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1..............36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0..............34.78%..........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%............-0.50

TOTALS:............19-31-1..............38.00%...........-71.50


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/18/2021..........2-0-0.......100.00%..........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50


TOTALS:............15-21-0..........41.66%...........-41.50


UPDATED 12/18/2021

 

[Udog]

Carolina has covered the spread in eight of its last nine road games when playing as the underdog.
Carolina has lost eight of its last 10 games.
Buffalo has gone OVER the point total in six of its last seven games when facing the NFC.
Buffalo has covered the spread in two straight games when facing Carolina.


New York has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road games.
Miami has covered the spread in seven straight games when facing Miami.
Miami has gone UNDER the point total in five straight games when facing the AFC.
New York has lost 10 straight divisional games


Dallas has covered the spread in eight straight games when facing the NFC.
New York has gone UNDER the point total in nine of its last 10 home games.
Dallas has covered the spread in six of its last seven road games.
Dallas has won eight of its last nine games when facing New York.


The Titans are 5-1 ATS in the past six as an underdog.
The Titans are 5-2 ATS in the past seven vs. AFC teams.
The Steelers are 2-6 ATS in the past eight home games.
The Steelers are 0-9 ATS in the past nine as a favorite.
The Steelers are 2-8 ATS in the past 10 December games.
The OVER is 16-5 in the past 21 road games for the Titans.
The OVER is 10-3 in the past 13 as an underdog for the Titans.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven at home for the Steelers.


Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games.
Houston has failed to cover the spread in four of its last six road games.
Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in eight straight games.
Houston has won seven straight games when facing Jacksonville.


Arizona has covered the spread in seven straight road games.
Detroit has covered the spread in four of its last six home games.
Detroit has gone OVER the point total in 15 of its last 21 home games.
Detroit has lost 13 straight games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.


San Francisco has failed to cover the spread in four of its last six home games.
Atlanta has won five of its last six road games.
Atlanta has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games.
San Francisco has failed to cover the spread in five straight home games when facing a team with a losing record.


Denver has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 13 games.
Cincinnati has won five straight games after losing in overtime the game prior.
Denver has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games when facing the AFC.


The Packers are 7-1 ATS in the past eight games as a favorite.
The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six road games.
The Packers are 19-7 ATS in the past 26 against winning teams.
The Ravens are 3-1 ATS in the past four games overall.
The Ravens are 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 as an underdog.
The Ravens are 10-1 ATS in the past 11 games in December.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 games for the Packers.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five road games for the Packers.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Ravens.
The OVER is 8-3 in the past 11 home games for the Ravens.


The Saints are 25-10 ATS in the past 35 games as an underdog.
The Saints are 3-9 ATS in the past 12 against winning teams.
The Saints are 1-4 ATS in the past five games vs. NFC.
The Bucs are 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
The Bucs are 4-1 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Bucs are 13-3-2 ATS in the past 18 games in December.
The UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight divisional games for the Saints.
The OVER is 12-3 in the past 15 divisional games for the Bucs.

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 19
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

TEN at PIT 01:00 PM
PIT -1.0
O 43.0
+500 +500

HOU at JAC 01:00 PM
HOU +6.0
O 40.0
+500 +500

NYJ at MIA 01:00 PM
MIA -10.5
O 42.0
+500 +500

CAR at BUF 01:00 PM
BUF -14.0
O 43.0
+500 +500

DAL at NYG 01:00 PM
NYG +11.5
U 43.0
+500 +500

ARI at DET 01:00 PM
ARI -13.0
U 48.0
+500 +500

*********************************

AFTERNOON OPINIONS AND BEST BETS ALONG WITH SUNDAY NIGHT BAILOUT GAME !

ATL at SF 04:05 PM
ATL +9.5
O 47.0
+500 +500

CIN at DEN 04:05 PM
CIN +3.0
U 45.0
+500 +500

GB at BAL 04:25 PM
GB -9.5
O 45.5
+500 +500

SUNDAY NIGHT BAILOUT

NO at TB 08:20 PM
NO +11.5
O 45.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Date W-L-T % Units

12/19/2021........12-8-0............60.00%..........+16.00
12/18/2021..........2-0-0...........100.00%.........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0...............0.00%..........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1..............36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0..............34.78%..........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%............-0.50

TOTALS:............31-39-1..............44.28%...........-55.50


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/19/2021..........9-5-0.........64.28.............+17.50
12/18/2021..........2-0-0.......100.00%..........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50


TOTALS:............24-26-0..........48.00%...........-24.00


UPDATED 12/19/2021

 

[Udog]

The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in the past six games overall.
The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in the past six games in December.
The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in the past six games vs. AFC.
The Raiders are 0-4 ATS in the past four as road favorites.
The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five home games.
The Browns are 2-6 ATS in the past eight games in December.
The OVER is 11-3 in the past 14 vs. AFC for the Raiders.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four vs. losing teams for the Browns.
The UNDER is 19-7 in the past 26 as a home 'dog for the Browns.


Chicago has lost seven of its last eight games.
Chicago has failed to cover the spread in six straight games when facing the NFC.
Minnesota has gone OVER the point total in eight of its last nine road games.

 

[Udog]

Washington is 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
Washington is 4-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog.
Washington is 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in the past five games as a favorite.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven divisional games for WFT.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight games overall for WFT.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven divisional games for the Eagles.
The UNDER is 14-6 in the past 20 home games for the Eagles.
WFT is 2-6 ATS in the past eight meetings with the Eagles.


The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six matchups against the Rams.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 11 Seahawks' games.
The Rams are 2-5 ATS across the last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five meetings between the Seahawks and Rams.

 

[Udog]

Betting Recap - Week 15
Dan Dobish

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Lions +13 (ML +550) vs. Cardinals, 30-12
Saints +11.5 (ML +450) at Buccaneers, 9-0 (SNF)
Texans +6 (ML +220) at Jaguars, 30-16
Bengals +3 (ML +130) at Broncos, 15-10

The largest favorites to cover

Bills (-14.5) vs. Panthers, 31-14
Cowboys (-11.5) at Giants, 21-6
49ers (-8.5) vs. Falcons, 31-13
Chiefs (-3) at Chargers, 34-28 (TNF)

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Green Bay Packers-Baltimore Ravens game was in the national late window, and expected to be a good one even though QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) was inactive. However, QB Tyler Huntley has held down the fort admirably when called upon in Chicago and in this one.

The game was tied 14-14 at halftime, and the Packers held a narrow 21-17 lead heading into the final quarter. The Packers (-9.5) were never covering at any point in the first three quarters, but they went ahead 28-17 on a touchdown strike to WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling from QB Aaron Rodgers early in the fourth quarter. With that TD, Rodgers tied Brett Favre for the most touchdown throws in franchise history.

The Packers drove into the red zone, but the offense bogged down with a chance to make it a three-score game. Instead, they tacked on a field goal with 9:26 to go, leading 31-17. Huntley drove them down the field, cutting the lead to 31-24 with 4:47 to go. It got worse if you were laying the nine points. Huntley ran another one in with 42 seconds left, cutting it to 31-30. Like in Pittsburgh a few weeks ago, Ravens head coach John Harbaugh elected to go for two, and again the Ravens came up short, losing 31-30.

Green Bay's failures in the red zone in the fourth quarter made it a bummer if you were laying the nine. And Baltimore's failure on the potential go-ahead two-point conversion crushed money line bettors. The only real happy people were those catching the points at home, and OVER bettors, who were golden early in the fourth.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The Atlanta Falcons-San Francisco 49ers (48) game was a punch in the face if you were holding an OVER ticket. I'd personally be fuming if I were on the side of this lost ticket.

Atlanta turned over San Francisco on the opening kickoff, and appeared to have a Cordarrelle Patterson touchdown. However, review wiped out the fourth-down touchdown, giving the 49ers the ball on downs. It was called a touchdown on the field, and most angles on the FOX telecast didn't really seem to show conclusive evidence otherwise, but New York saw it different. Remember that.

The 49ers led 17-10 at halftime, and they held a 31-13 lead after three quarters, and it appeared that an OVER result was inevitable. But in the final 15 minutes, the two offenses forgot to score. Both teams posted a goose egg, and OVER bettors were left shaking their heads.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board in Week 15 was the Houston Texans-Jacksonville Jaguars (40) game, a battle of 2-11 teams at TIAA Bank Field in Northeast Florida.

Jacksonville entered the day on an 8-0 UNDER run, while hitting the UNDER in 11 of the past 12 games dating back to their first OVER result, a 37-21 loss at Houston. Guess what, the Texans did it again. Houston picked up the 30-16 win over Jacksonville, hitting the OVER with 2:22 to go in regulation on a 43-yard touchdown strike from QB Davis Mills to WR Brandin Cooks.

The second-lowest total on the board is the Las Vegas Raiders-Cleveland Browns (41) game, which was moved from Saturday to Monday due to a COVID outbreak within the Browns organization.

As far as the highest total, the books were expecting a shootout in the Kansas City Chiefs-Los Angeles Chargers (54) game on Thursday night, and the AFC West combatants did not disappoint. It actually wasn't going terribly well, with the Chiefs trailing 14-13 heading to the fourth quarter, with the teams exactly halfway to an OVER. But the teams put up 29 combined points in the fourth, as the Chiefs forced overtime. No matter who won, they Chiefs caused the game to go OVER. They ended up picking up the touchdown in overtime for the win.

In the primetime games, the OVER-UNDER split 1-1, with the MNF game between the Minnesota Vikings-Chicago Bears (44.5) still pending. The UNDER is now 23-18-1 (56.1%) through 42 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 16

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Giants (4-10) and Eagles (6-7) play for the second time in five weeks, this time at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The last meeting was a defensive battle, with the Giants coming out on top by a 13-7 score as four-point underdogs. Philly will be looking to return the favor, but they're playing on a quick turnaround after facing Washington Tuesday due to a COVID outbreak within the WFT room.

The Giants defense stepped up in Week 15, holding the Cowboys to just 21 points, but the offense was horrible. QB Mike Glennon tossed three interceptions, and he was pulled in favor of QB Jake Fromm. The UNDER is now 7-1-1 in the past nine games for the G-Men.

The Giants have covered three in a row in this series, and seven of the past nine. The UNDER is 3-0 in the previous three meetings, and 5-1 in the past six in the series, too.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Bills (7-7) and Patriots (9-5) renew acquaintances. The teams just met on Dec. 6 at Highmark Stadium in western New York, and it was a frigid, windy and icy night, with the Patriots scratching out a 14-10 win in the elements. You'll remember QB Mac Jones threw just three passes in the victory.

The Buffalo offense has averaged 29.0 PPG in the past two games since, including a 31-14 win over the Panthers as the OVER hit for the second straight outing.

The Bills hold a 3-2-1 ATS in the past six meetings, with the UNDER 5-2 in the previous seven. That includes a 38-9 win by the Bills in Foxboro last season on Dec. 28, 2020.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Ravens (8-6) face the Bengals (8-6) looking for a little redemption. And Blaitmore is also looking to pull out of a nosedive, as they have dropped three in a row to lose control of the AFC North Division lead.

The Bengals went into Charm City and pounded the Ravens back in Week 7 by a 41-17, and that was with a healthy Jackson under center. Rookie WR Ja'Marr Chase introduced himself to the rivalry with a career-high 201 receiving yards.

A few things to watch here are the status of Jackson, while Bengals RB Joe Mixon (leg) also left Sunday's game in Denver late due to a leg injury.

While Baltimore lost the first meeting this season, the Ravens are 3-1 ATS in the past four meetings.

Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Washington Football Team (6-7) and Cowboys (10-4) get together on Sunday night, and it's a quick turnaround for WFT after playing Tuesday due to a COVID outbreak on the team.

WFT came up short in the first meeting in Week 14 against the Cowboys, 27-20. Washington was down 27-6, but they fought back to make things interesting. It was actually a bad beat for OVER bettors, as they came up just short.

Dallas is 4-2 ATS in the past six meetings, and 6-3 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series, including 3-1 ATS in the past four at home against Washington. As far as the total, the OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 in this series.

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:
— 49ers (-3.5) @ Tennessee
— Colts @ Arizona (-1.5)
— NJ Giants @ Philadelphia (-10)
— Chargers (-10.5) @ Houston
— Lions @ Atlanta (-4.5)
— Ravens @ Cincinnati (-2.5)


Wrapping up a sports Sunday

Detroit 30, Arizona 12:
— First loss in eight road games for Arizona.
— Four trips to red zone, six points. Not good.
— Kirk caught nine passes for 94 yards and a TD.
— Down 10-0 with 2:05 left in half, Arizona went for it on 4th-and-goal from the 3-yard line, eschewing an easy FG. They didn’t make it.

— Detroit scored on six of its ten drives.
— Lions are 5-2 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Detroit covered five of its last six games.
— Lions are 4-0-1 SU in last five games with Arizona.
— Under is 9-3 in last 12 Detroit games.

Pittsburgh 19, Tennessee 13:
— Titans turned ball over four times (-4)
— Tennessee’s only TD came on a 25-yard drive.
— Titans led this game 13-3 at halftime.
— Tennessee was 8-18 on 3rd down, Steelers 2-11.
— Titans are 11-20-1 ATS last 32 games with spread of 3 or less.

— Pittsburgh’s first four drives: 14 plays, 35 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Steelers started four drives in Titans territory, kicked FG on all four.
— Titans outgained Pittsburgh 318-168.
— Steelers have been outgained seven games in a row.
— Pittsburgh is 6-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.

Houston 30, Jacksonville 16:
— Texans ran a kickoff back 98 yards for a TD.
— Houston was 10-18 on 3rd down, Jaguars 3-14.
— 10 of their 13 first downs came on third down conversions.
— Rookie QB Mills gets his first NFL win in eight starts.
— Houston won eight in row, 14 of last 16 series games.

— Jaguars lost six in row, 27 of their last 29 games.
— Jacksonville has nine losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have seven TD’s on their last 77 drives.
— Jacksonville has been outscored 123-38 in first half.

Buffalo 31, Carolina 14:
— Panthers’ first five drives: 30 plays, 94 yards, no points.
— Carolina lost nine of last 11 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-9 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Last five Carolina games went over the total.

— Bills had four TD drives, only one longer than 57 yards.
— Buffalo held Panthers to 3.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Bills are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as home favorites.
— Last four games, Bills outscored opponents 62-18 in second half.

Miami 31, NJ Jets 24:
— Jets in second half: 22 plays, 44 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Jets lost six of their last seven games.
— Jets gave up 34.0 ppg in their last nine games.
— Jets lost 10 of last 12 games against the Dolphins.

— Dolphins won last six games (5-1 ATS), giving up 13.2 ppg.
— Miami outscored last five foes 76-30 in second half.
— Miami gave up six TDs on opponents’ last 68 drives.
— Miami is 24-12-3 ATS in last 39 home games.

Dallas 21, NY Giants 6:
— Cowboys’ two TD drives were 15-29 yards.
— Dallas is 6-2 SU/7-1 ATS on road this season.
— Dallas converted 8-14 third down plays.
— Cowboys won nine of last ten series games.

— Giants won/covered once in their last five games.
— Giants are 7-17 ATS last 24 games as home dogs (3-2 TY).
— Giants have five touchdowns on last 52 drives.
— Giants have been outscored 87-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Seven of last eight Giant games stayed under the total.

Green Bay 31, Baltimore 30:
— Packers scored TD on four of first six drives.
— In their last four games, Packers scored 35.8 ppg
— Only nine of their 59 plays came on third down.
— Green Bay is 10-2-1 ATS in its last thirteen games.

— Ravens lost last three games, by total of four points.
— Baltimore scored TD with 0:42 left, went for 2 points and lead, but failed.
— Andrews caught 10 passes for 136 yards, two TD’s.
— Backup QB Huntley threw for 215 yards, ran for 73 more.
— Last six years, Ravens are 6-1 ATS as home underdogs.

San Francisco 31, Atlanta 13:
— Falcons turned ball over on downs 3 times inside 49ers’ 10-yard line.
— Atlanta is 5-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-6 if it gives up 26+.
— Last five games, Atlanta was outscored 74-22 in second half.
— Atlanta is 1-6 ATS this year in game following a win.
— Falcons squandered a 19-yard advantage in field position.

— 49ers won/covered five of their last six games.
— Niners converted 6-11 on third down, averaged 9.8 yards/pass attempt.
— First six drives, 49ers scored four TD’s, kicked a FG.
— 49ers are 6-1 if they give up 23 or less points.
— Last six games, 49ers outscored opponents 112-61 in first half.

Cincinnati 15, Denver 10:
— Burrow threw a 56-yard TD pass with 0:30 left in 3rd quarter.
— McPherson kicked 58-yard FG at time expired in first half.
— Bengals are 16-11 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
— Cincinnati is 10-5 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Ja’Marr Chase caught only one pass, for three yards.

— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-6 if it doesn’t.
— Broncos lost fumble in red zone early in 4th quarter.
— 11 of 14 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos are 5-12-2 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.

New Orleans 9, Tampa Bay 0:
— There were no touchdowns in this game.
— Saints were outgained 302-212, but they were +2 in turnovers.
— Last three games, their opponents are 11-46 on third down.
— New Orleans covered nine of last 11 games as a road dog.

— Tampa Bay never got into the Saints’ red zone.
— Bucs converted 6-19 on third down, Saints 3-16.
— New Orleans won eight of last ten series games.
— Saints are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Tampa Bay.

Auburn QB Bo Nix is transferring to Oregon.

AFC North standings:
8-6: Bengals, Ravens
7-6: Browns
7-6-1: Steelers

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 20
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

LV at CLE 05:00 PM
CLE +3.0
O 41.0
+500 +500

MIN at CHI 08:15 PM
CHI + 6.5
O 46.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Date W-L-T % Units

12/20/2021..........1-3-0............25.00%...........-11.50
12/19/2021........12-8-0............60.00%..........+16.00
12/18/2021..........2-0-0...........100.00%.........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0...............0.00%..........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1..............36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0..............34.78%..........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%............-0.50

TOTALS:............32-42-1..............43.24%...........-67.00


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/20/2021..........1-3-0..........25.00%..........-11.50
12/19/2021..........9-5-0.........64.28%..........+17.50
12/18/2021..........2-0-0.......100.00%..........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50


TOTALS:............25-29-0..........46.29%...........-35.50


UPDATED 12/20/2021

 

[Udog]

Washington is 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
Washington is 4-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog.
Washington is 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in the past five games as a favorite.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven divisional games for WFT.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight games overall for WFT.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven divisional games for the Eagles.
The UNDER is 14-6 in the past 20 home games for the Eagles.
WFT is 2-6 ATS in the past eight meetings with the Eagles.


The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six matchups against the Rams.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 11 Seahawks' games.
The Rams are 2-5 ATS across the last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five meetings between the Seahawks and Rams.

 

[CNOTES]

CNOTES - DEC 21
Game Score Pick Amount Status Units

Seattle 10
L.A. Rams 20 -6.5 WIN
+500


Washington- 17
Philadelphia - 27 PHI -6.0/ Over 42.0
+500 +500
Win/Win

WAS NOT POSTED EARLIER IN THE DAY BUT COVERS USING IN THE TRACKING I MADE EARLIER IN THE WEEK.

12/21/2021..........3-0-0..........100.00%..........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0............25.00%...........-11.50
12/19/2021........12-8-0............60.00%..........+16.00
12/18/2021..........2-0-0...........100.00%.........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0...............0.00%..........-11.00
12/12/2021........6-11-1..............36.11%..........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%..........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0..............34.78%..........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0...............50.00%............-0.50

TOTALS:............35-42-1..............45.45%...........-52.00


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/21/2021..........3-0-0........100.00%.........+15.00
12/20/2021..........1-3-0..........25.00%..........-11.50
12/19/2021..........9-5-0.........64.28%..........+17.50
12/18/2021..........2-0-0.......100.00%..........+10.00
12/13/2021..........0-2-0..........0.00%...........-11.00
12/12/2021..........5-7-0........41.66%............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%...........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50


TOTALS:............28-29-0..........49.12%...........-20.50


UPDATED 12/21/2021

 

[Udog]

TENNESSEE is 59-35 ATS (20.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

GREEN BAY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse in the current season.

INDIANAPOLIS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after going under the total in the last 2 seasons.

NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in the last 2 seasons.

LA CHARGERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - averaging <=285 yards/game in the second half of ...

DETROIT is 5-23 ATS (-20.3 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the second half of th...

MINNESOTA is 38-20 ATS (16 Units) in home games as a dog since 1992.

NY JETS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games in the last 2 seasons.

NEW ENGLAND is 77-40 ATS (33 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

SEATTLE is 76-47 ATS (24.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

PITTSBURGH is 70-37 ATS (29.3 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) since 1992.

LAS VEGAS are 15-41 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992...

DALLAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

NEW ORLEANS are 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the last 3 seasons.