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[Udog]

Betting Recap - Week 17
Dan Dobish

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Raiders +8.5 (ML +320) at Colts, 23-20
Cardinals +6.5 (ML +210) at Cowboys, 25-22
Bengals +3.5 (ML +165) vs. Chiefs, 34-31


The largest favorites to cover

Patriots (-17) vs. Jaguars, 50-10
49ers (-13.5) vs. Texans, 23-7
Packers (-12.5) vs. Vikings, 37-10
Seahawks (-9) vs. Lions, 51-29
Chargers (-7.5) vs. Broncos, 34-13
Saints (-7) vs. Panthers, 18-10
Bears (-6.5) vs. Giants, 29-3


The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers-New York Jets (ML +650, 47.5) game had everything. The teams exchanged touchdowns in the first quarter, and the Jets fired out to a 17-10 lead at the break, as PK Eddy Pineiro bagged a 51-yard field goal at the buzzer.

The third quarter was when the craziness started. RB Ty Johnson punched one in from a yard out, and the Jets looked like they were in great shape to not only cash the +14.5, but perhaps to pull off a monumental upset to cash a big number on the money line.

Midway through the quarter, WR Antonio Brown had a temper tantrum on the sideline. WR Mike Evans appeared to try and calm him down, but he took off his shoulder pads and jersey and fired them at the bench, took off his gloves and an undershirt, and fired them into the crowd, did some calisthenics in the end zone, saluted the crowd and then jogged off to the locker room, apparently quitting his job. In all seriousness, the memes and jokes are sad, and so is the mental state of Brown. Hopefully he gets the assistance he needs, because something is clearly wrong mentally.

Despite the distraction of the AB situation, the Bucs closed to the lead to 24-17 with 29 seconds left in the third. In the fourth quarter, the Bucs closed the lead to 24-20 with 7:36 left in regulation.

The Bucs had to go the length of the field in the final minute, and QB Tom Brady finally remembered he was playing the Jets. He worked his magic, dashing the hopes of NYJ money line bettors with a 33-yard touchdown strike to WR Cyril Grayson. In addition, that late touchdown flipped the UNDER, which was cashing all day, to the OVER with just mere ticks to go. Ouch.


The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The Denver Broncos-Los Angeles Chargers (45) was looking like a sure UNDER result. But, as you know if you've ever bet football totals before, the UNDER is never in the bag, and it's never easy.

The Chargers fired out to a quick 10-0 lead, and they added a touchdown with just 14 seconds left in the second quarter, making it 17-0. The Broncos managed to work it close enough for a 61-yard field goal from PK Brandon McManus with no time on the clock, going to overtime down 17-3. Remember that field goal, as all bad beats don't just happen in the final few seconds.

We had just a field goal in the third, as the Bolts pushed their lead to 20-3, roughly half of the points needed for a total. In the third, we had just one lone score, heading to the fourth quarter with a total of just 23 points on the board, or just around half the points needed for the OVER.

McManus knocked through another field goal with 14:53 to go in the fourth, closing it to 20-6. On the ensuing kickoff, Andre Roberts ripped off a 101-yard kickoff return for touchdown to make it 27-6. Just a few minutes lately, the Bolts had another touchdown to make it 34-6. That probably should've been it, but the Chargers let up a little on defense, and TE Noah Fant hauled in a meaningless touchdown to make it 34-13. Well, meaningless unless you played the total.


Total Recall

The lowest total on the board in Week 17 was in the New York Giants-Chicago Bears (36.5) game, and apparently the total wasn't low enough. The Bears showed out, putting up 14 quick points in the first quarter, while taking a 22-3 lead into halftime. OVER bettors were actually feeling pretty good about themselves, but things slowed in the third quarter with just one touchdown, also by Chicago. That was the final score, as we had a total of just 32 points, as UNDER bettors had their prayers answered.

The second-lowest total on the board was in the Carolina Panthers-New Orleans Saints (37) game, a battle between QB Sam Darnold and QB Taysom Hill. If that doesn't sound like the potential for a lot of scoring, you're absolutely right. We had five field goals and two touchdowns, and the last TD didn't come until midway through the fourth quarter in the 18-10 win by the Saints. It was a bad beat if you were holding a Panthers (+7) ticket, too.

As far as the highest total, the Arizona Cardinals-Dallas Cowboys (53) game was expected to be a shootout between two teams vying for a better seed in the NFC playoff picture. It was a good game, and should be a tremendous playoff matchup if the teams have their paths cross again. But it wasn't a high-scoring affair, as the Cardinals won 25-22.

In the primetime games, the OVER cashed in SNF, as the Green Bay Packers crushed the Minnesota Vikings 37-10 in frigid Lambeau Field. This week there are just two games under the lights, with the MNF game between the Cleveland Browns-Pittsburgh Steelers (42) still pending. The UNDER is now 27-19-1 (58.7%) through 47 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.


Looking Ahead to Week 18

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The Cowboys (11-5) and Eagles (9-7) square off in the primetime game on Saturday night. These teams met back in Week 3 at Jerry World, with the Cowboys coming away with a 41-21 victory as 3.5-point favorites as the OVER (51) connected.

The Cowboys have cashed in seven of the past eight games on the road, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four as a road favorite. They're also just 19-7 ATS in the past 26 inside the NFC East Division. However, they're just 5-13 ATS in the past 18 against teams with a winning record.

The Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in the past five at home, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS in the past five inside the division. In this series, the Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings, but the home side is 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings. The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six meetings at Lincoln Financial Field.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

The Packers (13-3) and Lions (2-13-1) square off at Ford Field. Green Bay sewed up the NFC North Division title two weeks ago, and the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC on Sunday night against Minnesota. The chances of seeing QB Aaron Rodgers have more than a cameo, a la the preseason, is likely slim to none, if he even plays at all.

QB Jared Goff (neck) missed another game for the Lions last Sunday, and it wouldn't be shocking to see him sit again with nothing on the line, too. So we could have a matchup of QB Jordan Love and QB Tim Boyle.

The Packers are 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings in Detroit, and 2-7 ATS in the past nine in this series. Without Rodgers, those trends could continue. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, too.

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

The 49ers (9-7) and Rams (12-4) do battle at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Rams would love to bump their rivals from the playoff picture with a win. They're also jockeying for playoff seeding and trying to wrap up the NFC West Division title, so they have plenty left to play for.

The 49ers are 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five games as an underdog. They're also 6-0 ATS in the past six games in the month of January, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the division.

The Rams have cashed in four of the past five games overall, while going 5-2 ATS in the past seven inside the division. But they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. The Rams are also 1-4 ATS in the past five tries against the 49ers, while the UNDER has hit in four of the past five in the series.

Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Chargers (9-7) and Raiders (9-7) could be angling for one playoff spot in the AFC depending on what happens earlier in the afternoon. So this will be a very meaningful battle between these AFC West rivals.

The Bolts head to Vegas with a 6-2 ATS mark across the past eight inside the division, while going 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 appearances in the month of January. The Raiders are just 2-5 ATs in the past seven at home, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven inside the division.

These teams met in Week 4 at SoFi, with the Raiders suffering a 28-14 setback as three-point 'dogs as the UNDER cashed.

The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 meetings, while the Chargers are 5-1 ATS in the past six trips to Oakland/Vegas.

 

[Udog]

GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse in the current season.

CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) in the current season.

MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the ...

INDIANAPOLIS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the las...

NY JETS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games revenging a blowout loss against opponent by 21 points or more since 1992.

CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. in the current season.

TENNESSEE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) revenging a home loss since 1992.

NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games revenging an extremely close loss against opponent by 3 points or less since 1992.

NEW ORLEANS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the last...

DALLAS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

BALTIMORE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5-10.5 pts. in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the secon...

ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half...

DENVER is 22-6 ATS (15.4 Units) with 2 weeks+ rest since 1992.

LA RAMS are 25-12 ATS (11.8 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 4-23 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points since 1992.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 18

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 18

Saturday’s games
Kansas City (11-5) @ Denver (7-9)
— Chiefs won eight of last nine games (6-1 ATS last seven).
— Chiefs outscored foes 159-57 in first half of last nine games.
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 3-5 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have 20 takeaways in last seven games (+14)
— Kansas City is 15-6 ATS in last 21 games as road favorites.
— Kansas City converted 31 of last 59 third down plays.
— Chiefs’ last four games went over the total.
— Chiefs are 6-3-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Chiefs need win/Titans’ loss to get #1-seed in AFC.

— Broncos have QB injury issues; Brett Rypien is Lock’s backup.
— Broncos lost four of last five games, scoring 9-10-13-13 in losses.
— Denver is 6-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-8 if it doesn’t.
— Broncos are 14-10-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Broncos are 11-9-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home underdog.
— Broncos are 4-7 ATS in last 11 AFC West home games
— 12 of 16 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Broncos’ punter/kicker were both put on COVID list Monday.

— Broncos (+10) lost 22-9 at Arrowhead in Week 13.
— Denver outgained Chiefs 404-267, but scored 9 points in 3 red zone drives.
— Kansas City won last eleven series games (9-2 ATS)
— Chiefs covered their last seven visits to Denver.

Dallas (11-5) @ Philadelphia (9-7)
— Dallas won/covered four of last five games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
— Dallas is 12-4 against spread this year.
— Cowboys are 6-2 SU on road this year, 4-0 ATS as road faves.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 92-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas has 14 takeaways in its last five games (+9)
— Last three games, Dallas converted 21-40 on third down.
— Cowboys are 3-1 ATS this year, coming off a loss.
— Seven of last ten Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Cowboys will play at home in playoffs next week.

— Eagles won four in row, six of last seven games (8-4 ATS last 12).
— Philly outscored last four opponents 70-14 in second half.
— Philly is 8-2 if it allows 18 or less points, 1-5 if it allows more.
— Eagles are 1-3 ATS this year as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Eagles outgained opponents 1,591-1,022.
— Eagles will be on road in playoffs next week.
— Last seven games, Philly converted 63-131 on third down.
— Seven of last ten Eagle games went over the total.

— Dallas (-4) beat Eagles 41-21 in first meeting, in Week 3.
— Cowboys ran for 160 yards, led 20-7 at halftime.
— Cowboys lost last two visits to Philly, 23-9/17-9.
— Dallas won seven of last ten series games, overall.

Sunday’s games
Green Bay (13-3) @ Detroit (2-13-1)
— Packers have #1-seed wrapped up, doubtful Rodgers plays here.
— Green Bay is 11-3-1 ATS in its last fifteen games.
— Packers had 20+ points at halftime in four of last five games.
— Packers lost their last three road games SU.
— Packers are 10-12-1 ATS in last 23 games as road favorites.
— Last eight games, Green Bay outscored opponents 137-67 in 2nd half.
— Green Bay has ten takeaways in its last four games (+9)
— Green Bay is 7-3-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Five of last six Packer games went over the total.
— Again, check/see if Rodgers plays or not- they have bye next week.

— Detroit needs loss here/Jaguars’ win to get #1 pick in draft.
— Lions covered six of their last eight games.
— Lions are 5-2 ATS at home this season.
— Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
— Last five games, Detroit was outscored 83-50 in second half.
— Ten of last 14 Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Detroit converted 18 of last 39 third down plays.
— Lions have five losses by four or fewer points.

— Green Bay (-11) beat the Lions 35-17 in Week 2.
— Packers outscored Detroit 21-0 in second half that day.
— Green Bay won last five series games (2-3 ATS)
— Packers are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Detroit.

Chicago (6-10) @ Minnesota (7-9)
— Bears are 4-2 with Dalton/Foles starting at QB, 2-8 with rookie Fields.
— Chicago won last two games, scoring 25-29 points.
— Bears are 7-10 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
— Last two weeks, Bears converted 13-30 third down plays.
— Last five games, Chicago is minus-7 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Chicago outscored foes 31-14 in second half.
— Bears are 19-12 ATS last 31 games, coming off a win.
— Three of last four Chicago road games went over the total.
— Check status of which QB Chicago will start.

— Check status of which QB starts for Vikings.
— Minnesota lost two in row, four of its last six games SU.
— Minnesota gave up 30-37 points the last two weeks.
— Vikings converted 9 of last 41 third down plays.
— Favorite covered last four Viking games.
— Vikings are 4-3 SU at home, 1-1 ATS as home favorite TY.
— Minnesota has been outscored 135-34 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Over is 6-1 in Vikings’ last seven games.

— Vikings (-6) won 17-9 in Chicago three weeks ago.
— Bears outgained Minnesota 370-193, but lost three fumbles.
— Chicago won five of last seven series games.
— Bears are 3-6 ATS in last nine visits to Minnesota.

New England (10-6) @ Miami (8-8)
— New England needs win/Buffalo loss to win AFC East.
— Patriots are 8-6 ATS last 14 games as road favorites.
— Last six games, Patriots outscored foes 119-36 in second half.
— New England is 7-4 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.
— New England allowed 13 or less points in last six wins.
— Patriots are +19 in turnovers in their wins, minus-9 in losses.
— Patriots are 6-3 ATS this year, coming off a win.
— Over is 8-4 in last dozen New England games.
— Patriots are in playoffs, will play next week.

— Dolphins won seven of last eight games (6-2 ATS).
— Miami’s 34-3 loss LW eliminated them from playoff contention.
— Dolphins are 1-8 if they give up more than 17 points, 7-0 otherwise.
— Miami is 16-10-1 ATS in last 27 games as a home underdog.
— Miami is 2-5 ATS TY, coming off a loss.
— Dolphins converted 8 of last 27 third down plays.
— Miami turned ball over six times in last three games (minus-3)
— Under is 8-2 in last ten Miami games.

— Miami (+3) beat Patriots 17-16 in Week 1 at Foxboro.
— New England outgained Miami 393-259, but were poor in red zone.
— Miami is 5-4 SU in last nine series games.
— Patriots are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Miami.

Indianapolis (9-7) @ Jacksonville (2-14)
— Colts won six of last seven games (4-1 ATS in last five)
— Indy led all seven those games at halftime.
— Colts are 8-0 giving up 24 or fewer points, 1-6 if they allow 25+.
— Indy is 15-11-2 ATS last 28 games as home favorites.
— Last 12 games, Colts outscored opponents 196-91 in first half.
— Last seven weeks, Indy led each game by 6+ points at halftime.
— Colts are 5-2 ATS TY in games coming off a win.
— Last three Indy games stayed under the total.
— AFC South home favorites are 2-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Jacksonville clinches #1 pick in draft with loss here.
— Jaguars lost last eight games, and 28 of last 30.
— Jaguars are 0-7 ATS the last seven weeks.
— Jacksonville has ten losses by 10+ points.
— Jaguars have 10 TD’s on their last 94 drives.
— Last six games, Jacksonville is minus-12 in turnovers (2-14)
— Jaguars are 6-12 ATS last 18 games as home dogs.
— Jacksonville has been outscored 164-53 in first half.
— 11 of their last 15 games stayed under the total.

— Colts (-10.5) beat Jaguars 23-17 at home in Week 10.
— Indy blocked punt for TD, scored only 16 points on four red zone drives.
— Home side won last seven series games.
— Colts are 0-6 SU/ATS in last six road series games.

NJ Jets (4-12) @ Buffalo (10-6)
— Jets lost four of last five games, but covered last three.
— Jets led their last three games at halftime.
— Last three games, Jets scored 24-26-24 points.
— Last two games, Jets converted 10-23 third down plays.
— Jets are 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
— Jets are 6-9-1 ATS last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Jet games.
— Last seven games, Jets are +2 in turnovers.

— Buffalo needs win here to win AFC East title.
— Bills won last three games, scoring 31-33-29 points.
— Bills is 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Buffalo is 7-2-2 ATS in last 11 games as home favorite.
— Buffalo is 8-9 ATS in last 17 AFC East home games.
— Last six games, Bills outscored opponents 83-32 in second half.
— Last three games, Bills converted 19-38 third down plays.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight Buffalo games.

— Buffalo (-13) routed the Jets 45-17 in Week 10.
— Jets turned ball over five times that day (minus-3)
— Bills won four of last five series games.
— Jets are 3-6 ATS in last nine visits to Buffalo.

Carolina (5-11) @ Tampa Bay (12-4)
— Carolina lost 11 of last 13 games after a 3-0 start.
— Carolina is 0-11 if it allows more than 14 points.
— Panthers threw for only 90 yards in LY’s 18-10 loss, in a dome.
— Panthers are 9-4 ATS last 13 games as road underdogs.
— Last four games, Carolina was outscored 83-41 in first half
— Last 13 games, Panthers were outscored 176-83 in second half.
— Panthers turned ball over ten times in last four games (minus-7)
— Five of last seven Carolina games went over the total.

— Tampa Bay scored 28+ points in six of last seven games (5-2 ATS).
— Buccaneers are 8-4-1 ATS last 13 games as home favorites (5-2 TY).
— Last two games, Tampa Bay outscored opponents 31-7 in 2nd half.
— Last five games, Bucs converted 38-77 third down plays.
— Buccaneers are 6-5 ATS this season, coming off a win.
— Tampa Bay is 7-6 ATS last 13 NFC South home games.
— Right now, Bucs are #3-seed in NFC; they play at home next week.
— Under is 5-3 in Tampa Bay’s last eight games.

— Bucs (-10.5) waxed Carolina 32-6 in Charlotte, two weeks ago.
— Tampa ran for 159 yards, outgained Panthers 391-273.
— Bucs won/covered last four series games, scoring 32.3 ppg.
— Panthers are 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Tampa.

 

[Udog]

Tennessee (11-5) @ Houston (4-12)
— Right now, Tennessee is #1-seed in AFC, needs win to clinch.
— Titans won/covered three of their last four games.
— Titans were held to 13 or less points in 4 of their 5 losses.
— Tennessee is 4-3 SU on road this season.
— Tennessee is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
— Titans converted 24 of last 49 third down plays.
— Under is 5-1 in Tennessee’s last six games.
— Last three games, opponents converted 8-31 on third down.

— Houston lost four of last six games (2-4 ATS)
— Texans are 2-0 vs Jaguars, 2-12 vs everyone else.
— Houston led its last three games at halftime.
— Houston converted 24 of last 46 third down plays.
— Texans are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games as a home dog.
— Houston is +10 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
— Three of Texans’ last four games went over the total.
— Houston is 6-15 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.

— Texans (+9.5) upset Tennessee 22-13 at home in Week 11.
— Houston picked off four passes, was +5 in turnovers that day.
— Tennessee won four of last six series games.
— Titans won 41-39/35-14 in last two visits to Houston.

Washington (6-10) @ NY Giants (4-12)
— Washington lost last four games, outscored 83-33 in first half.
— Last three games, Washington was outgained 1,346-806.
— Washington is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
— Last 5 years, Washington is 5-9 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Washington is 9-18-2 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Three of last four Washington games went over the total.
— Last three games, Washington was outscored 44-14 in 2nd half.
— Last three games, Washington was outrushed 464-222.

— Giants lost six of seven games since their bye (1-6 ATS)
— Last five games, Big Blue was outscored 74-19 in first half.
— Giants have scored six TD’s on their last 75 drives.
— Giants are 7-17 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
— Giants are 4-7 ATS last 11 NFC East home games.
— Last four games, Big Blue is minus-9 in turnovers.
— Giants have been outscored 98-19 in last 2:00 of each half.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Eight of last ten Giant games stayed under the total.
— Giants had minus-10 passing yards in LW’s 29-3 loss.

— Washington (-4) beat Giants 30-29 back in Week 2.
— Giants ran for 163 yards but were shaky in red zone.
— Giants won five of last seven series games.
— Last three meetings were decided by total of five points.

New Orleans (8-8) @ Atlanta (7-9)
— New Orleans make playoffs if they win, 49ers lose.
— Saints lost six of their last nine games SU.
— Last eight weeks, New Orleans was outscored 99-48 in first half.
— New Orleans is 5-3 SU on road TY.
— Last four games, Saints allowed two TD’s on 44 drives.
— New Orleans is 9-2 ATS in last 11 NFC South road games.
— Last four games, opponents are 22-75 on third down.
— Saints’ last six games stayed under the total.

— Falcons are 5-3-1 ATS TY the week following a loss.
— Atlanta is 0-3 ATS as a home underdog this year.
— Falcons’ last five losses were all by 13+ points.
— Atlanta is 6-2 if it allows 25 or less points, 1-7 if it gives up 26+.
— Last three games, Atlanta was outrushed 528-205
— Last two games, Atlanta was held to 275-254-265 total yards.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten Atlanta games.
— Last seven games, Falcons were outscored 82-32 in second half.

— Falcons (+6.5) won 27-25 in New Orleans in Week 8.
— Atlanta led 10-0 at half, averaged 10.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Saints won five of last seven series games.
— New Orleans covered five of last six visits to Atlanta.

Pittsburgh (8-7-1) @ Baltimore (8-8)
— Short week for Steelers after Monday night’s win.
— Steelers are 3-4-1 SU in last eight games.
— Last six games, Steelers were outscored 97-19 in first half.
— Last five games, Pittsburgh outscored foes 87-52 in 2nd half.
— Steelers are 15-6 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
— Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS TY, the week after a win.
— Last three games, Steelers are +7 in turnovers (9-2)
— Pittsburgh is 7-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
— Steelers were outgained in eight of last nine games.
— Last four Pittsburgh road games went over the total.

— Check which QB starts, Jackson (ankle) or Huntley.
— Ravens lost last five games, after an 8-3 start.
— Four of those five losses were by one or two points.
— Last three games, Ravens gave up 11 TD’s on 25 drives.
— Last four weeks, Ravens were outscored 76-47 in first half.
— Ravens covered five of their last seven games.
— Ravens are 12-14-1 ATS last 27 games as home favorites.
— Three of last four Baltimore games went over the total.
— Ravens can still make playoffs, with win here and lot of help.

— Steelers (+4) nipped Baltimore 20-19 at home in Week 13.
— Ravens went for two-point conversion/win at end, but failed.
— Pittsburgh won three in row, six of last nine series games.
— Steelers won three of last four visits to Baltimore.

Cincinnati (10-6) @ Cleveland (7-9)
— Cincinnati won AFC North last week, plays at home next week.
— Bengals are 5-2 SU/ATS since their bye week.
— Last four games, Cincinnati outscored foes 50-20 in 2nd half.
— Burrow threw for 971 yards in last two games.
— Bengals are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-5 otherwise.
— Cincy is 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Right now, Cincinnati holds #3 seed in AFC.
— Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Bengal games.
— Burrow got banged up in last minute LW, check status here.

— Short week for Browns after Monday night loss in Pittsburgh.
— Browns lost their last three games, scoring 16.7 ppg.
— Cleveland is 0-4 ATS in last four home games.
— Browns are 3-9 ATS in their last dozen games overall.
— Mayfield is only QB TY to throw 10 straight incompletions.
— Cleveland outscored foes 67-48 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Cleveland is 3-6 in games decided by six or fewer points.
— Under is 6-0 in Browns’ last six games.

— Browns (+2) won 41-16 in Cincinnati in Week 9.
— Cleveland was +3 in turnovers; they led 24-10 at the half.
— Browns won last four series games, scoring 35 ppg.
— Bengals covered six of last seven visits to Cleveland.

San Francisco (9-7) @ LA Rams (12-4)
— 49ers make playoffs if they win or Saints lose.
— SF won/covered three of their last four games.
— 49ers are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
— SF outscored last four opponents 47-23 in first half.
— 49ers are 3-6 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— SF is 4-7 ATS in last 11 NFC West road games.
— 49ers are 15-11 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
— 49ers outgained last three opponents by 100+ yards each.

— Rams won their last five games (4-1 ATS).
— Rams win NFC West with win here, or Arizona loss.
— Under McVay, LA is 16-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
— LA is 9-2 SU indoors this season.
— Rams outscored last four opponents 85-43 in second half.
— Rams are 18-21 ATS last 39 games coming off a win.
— Under is 4-0 in Rams’ last four home games.

— 49ers (+3.5) beat Rams 31-10 in Week 9.
— SF ran ball for 156 yards, held Rams to 278 total yards.
— 49ers won last five series games, covered last four.
— SF covered six of last eight road series games.

Seattle (6-10) @ Arizona (11-5)
— Seahawks are 3-5 SU since their bye week.
— Seahawks scored 30+ points in last four wins.
— Seattle is 6-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-9 if it doesn’t.
— Seattle is 5-10 ATS last 15 games the week after a win.
— Seahawks are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs
— Last two weeks, Seattle ran ball for 170-265 yards.
— Last three weeks, their opponents are 18-36 on third down.
— Last three games, Seahawks outscored opponents 51-17 in first half.

— Arizona needs win here and a 49er win to take NFC West.
— Arizona lost its last four home games SU.
— Cardinals lost three of last four games overall, giving up 26 ppg.
— Last three weeks, Arizona was outscored 36-19 in first half.
— Cardinals are 4-12 ATS last 16 games as home favorites.
— Cardinals are +16 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Arizona converted 40 of last 84 third down plays.
— Redbirds are 12-10 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— Under is 3-0 in last three Arizona games.

— Cardinals (+3) won 23-13 in Seattle in Week 11.
— Arizona was 7-14 on 3rd down, outgained Seahawks 413-266.
— Seahawks won five of last eight series games.
— Cardinals haven’t swept Seattle since 2009.
— Seattle is 5-2-1 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.

LA Chargers (9-7) @ Las Vegas (9-7)
Winner of this game gets into the playoffs.

— Chargers won three of last five games SU.
— Chargers scored 34+ points in their last four wins.
— LA is 8-2 when it scores 27+ points, 1-5 when it does not.
— Chargers were outscored in 2nd half in six of last eight games.
— Bolts are 4-6-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Chargers are 7-11-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Over is 8-2 in Chargers’ last ten games.
— Chargers are 5-12-2 ATS last 19 games with spread of 3 or less.

— Las Vegas won last three games by total of nine points.
— Last four games, Raiders are minus-12 in turnovers (0-12)
— Last eight games, Las Vegas was outscored 105-66 in first half.
— Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 2-7 when it doesn’t.
— Raiders are 14-18-2 ATS last 34 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last three games, Raiders converted 18 of 39 third down plays.
— Raiders are 12-18 ATS last 30 games coming off a win.
— Last three Las Vegas home games stayed under the total.

— Chargers (-3.5) beat Las Vegas 28-14, back in Week 4.
— LA led 21-0 at halftime; they outgained Raiders, 380-213.
— Chargers won six of last nine series games.
— Bolts covered five of last six road series games.

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Kansas City @ Denver
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Philadelphia
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

Chicago @ Minnesota
Chicago
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chicago's last 20 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Minnesota's last 20 games when playing Chicago

Tennessee @ Houston
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee

Green Bay @ Detroit
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

Washington @ NY Giants
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 18 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Giants's last 11 games at home
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Baltimore is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Carolina
Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

New England @ Miami
New England
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England's last 11 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

New Orleans @ Atlanta
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing New Orleans

NY Jets @ Buffalo
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

San Francisco @ LA Rams
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing San Francisco

Seattle @ Arizona
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Seattle

LA Chargers @ Las Vegas
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 10 games when playing LA Chargers


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against Denver.
The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven matchups between Denver and Kansas City.
The Chiefs are 10-0 SU in their last ten matchups against Denver.


The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight matchups against Philadelphia.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last ten Eagles' games.
The Eagles are 6-1 SU in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last ten Cowboys' games.

 

[Udog]

Gridiron Angles - Week 18
Vince Akins

NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: New Orleans at Atlanta (4:25 p.m. ET)

-- The Falcons are 9-0 ATS since December 16, 2018 the week after a game where they allowed less than 200 passing yards.

NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend:
Matchup: Tennessee at Houston (1:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Titans are 0-15 ATS since 2011 as a favorite when they had between 32:30 and 40 minutes time of possession last game.

NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: L.A. Chargers at Las Vegas (8:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Raiders are 9-0 OU since December 2019 as a home underdog of at least two points.

NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: San Francisco at L.A. Rams (4:25 p.m. ET)

-- The Rams are 0-11 OU since 2018 as a favorite when the total is no more than 46.

Super System of the Week:

-- Teams in the final week of the regular season that have lost at least five straight games are 35-23 ATS. Active on Carolina, N.Y. Giants, Jacksonville and Baltimore.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

 

[Udog]

Detroit has covered the spread in five of its last seven home games.
Detroit has lost 15 of its last 17 divisional games.
Green Bay has gone OVER the point total in five of its last six games.
Green Bay has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games when facing the NFC.


The Bears are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the last 20 matchups between Minnesota and Chicago.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the last 15 Bears' games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven Vikings' games.


Indianapolis has covered the spread in six of its last seven road games.
Jacksonville has lost 25 of its last 26 games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.
Indianapolis has gone UNDER in four straight games.


The Titans are 4-1 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Titans are 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a road favorite.
The Texans are 5-2 ATS in the past seven divisional games.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four games for the Titans.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six as a road favorite for the Titans.
The OVER is 11-3 in the past 14 road games for the Titans.
The OVER is 11-5 in the past 16 vs. losing teams for the Titans.
The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 home games for the Texans.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the past 12 vs. winning teams for the Texans.
The Titans are 1-6 ATS in the past seven trips to Houston.
The Titans are 6-14-1 ATS in the past 21 vs. the Texans.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five meetings in Houston.


New York has lost five straight games.
The road team has covered the spread in six of the last seven meetings.
New York has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 11 home games.


The Steelers are 7-3 SU in their last ten matchups against Baltimore.
The Ravens are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games
The Steelers are 1-5 SU in their last six road games.
The Ravens are 0-5 SU in their last five games.


The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in the past six road games.
The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Browns are 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Browns are 3-7 ATS in the past 10 home games.
The Browns are 0-4 ATS in the past five as a favorite.
The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five as a home favorite.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four divisional games for the Bengals.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven road games for the Bengals.
The UNDER is 15-5-2 in the past 22 as a road 'dog for the Bengals.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for the Browns.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Browns.
The Bengals are 11-3 ATS in the past 14 meetings.
The OVER is 7-0-1 in the past eight meetings.


The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Miami and New England.
The Dolphins are 4-2 ATS in their last six matchups against New England.
The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.


Buffalo has won three straight games when facing New York.
New York has lost 35 of its last 37 games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.
New York has covered the spread in three straight games.
New York has gone OVER the point total in four of its last five games.


Tampa Bay has covered the spread in five of its last seven home games.
Tampa Bay has gone UNDER the point total in five straight games when facing the NFC.
Tampa Bay has won nine of its last 10 home games.
Carolina has failed to cover the spread in six straight games.


The Saints are 37-14 ATS in the past 51 road games.
The Saints are 10-4 ATS in the past 14 divisional games.
The Saints are 18-8 ATS in the past 26 as a road favorite.
The Falcons are 1-3-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in the past four home games.
The Falcons are 1-4-1 ATS in the past six as an underdog.
The UNDER is 6-0 in the past six games for the Saints.
The UNDER is 9-4 in the past 13 road games for the Saints.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 as a favorite for the Saints.
The UNDER is 8-2 in the past 10 vs. NFC South for the Saints.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the past eight games for the Falcons.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four home games for the Falcons.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six meetings.
The UNDER is 9-3 in the past 12 meetings in Atlanta.


The Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight matchups against Arizona.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Arizona and Seattle.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Seahawks' games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Cardinals' games.


The 49ers are 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall.
The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog.
The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in the past five games vs. AFC.
The Rams are 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Rams are 5-2 ATS in the past seven vs. divisional games.
The Rams are 1-4 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four for the 49ers.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven road games for the 49ers.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six games as a 'dog for the 49ers.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six vs. winning teams for the 49ers.
The UNDER is 16-5 in the past 21 home games for the Rams.
The UNDER is 17-4 in the past 21 as a home favorite for the Rams.
The UNDER is 25-9-1 in the past 35 as a favorite for the Rams.
The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five meetings.


The Chargers are 6-2 ATS in the past eight vs. AFC West teams.
The Chargers are 2-6 ATS in the past eight vs. AFC teams.
The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in the past seven vs. AFC West teams.
The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in the past seven home games.
The OVER is 5-0 in the past five games for the Chargers.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Chargers vs. favorites.
The OVER is 13-6 in the past 19 road games for the Chargers.
The OVER is 4-1 in the past five against winning teams for the Chargers.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five games for the Raiders.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight vs. AFC teams for the Raiders.
The OVER is 11-2-1 in the past 14 games as a home 'dog for the Raiders.
The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in the past eight road games vs. Raiders.
The road team is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 meetings.
The underdog is 18-7 ATS in the past 25 meetings.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, JANUARY 8
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

KC at DEN 04:30 PM
KC -11.0
O 45.0
+500 +500

DAL at PHI 08:15 PM
PHI +5.5
U 43.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

JANUARY NFL RECORD THRU THE PLAYOFF'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

01/08/2022...............1-3-0.............25.00%............-11.50
01/03/2022...............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............18-11-1............61.67%............+29.50

TOTALS..................21-14-1............60.00%............+28.00


BEST BETS:

01/08/2022.............1-3-0................25.00%...........-11.50
01/03/2022.............2-0-0..............100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............10-4-0..............71.42%............+28.00

TOTALS..................13-7-0..............65.00%............+26.50



UPDATED: 01/08/2022

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, JANUARY 9
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CHI at MIN 01:00 PM
MIN -4.0
O 44.5
+500 +500

CIN at CLE 01:00 PM
CIN +6.0
U 38.0
+500 +500

IND at JAC 01:00 PM
JAC +14.5
U 43.5
+500 +500

GB at DET 01:00 PM
GB -3.5
U 45.0
+500 +500

PIT at BAL 01:00 PM
PIT +3.0
U 41.0
+500 +500

WAS at NYG 01:00 PM
WAS -6.0
U 36.0
+500 +500

TEN at HOU 01:00 PM
TEN -11.0
O 43.0
+500 +500

NO at ATL 04:25 PM
NO -4.5
U 40.0
+500 +500

SEA at ARI 04:25 PM
SEA +5.5
O 48.0
+500 +500

NYJ at BUF 04:25 PM
NYJ +16.0
O 41.5
+500 +500

NE at MIA 04:25 PM
MIA +6.0
U 41.0
+500 +500

SF at LAR 04:25 PM
SF +3.5
O 45.5
+500 +500

CAR at TB 04:25 PM
CAR +10.0
U 42.5
+500 +500

LAC at LV 08:20 PM
LV +3.0
O 49.0
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

JANUARY NFL RECORD THRU THE PLAYOFF'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

01/09/2022.............19-9-0.............67.86%..........+45.50
01/08/2022...............1-3-0.............25.00%............-11.50
01/03/2022...............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............18-11-1............61.67%............+29.50

TOTALS..................42-25-1............62.68%............+72.50


BEST BETS:

01/09/2022...........11-4-0................73.33%..........+33.00
01/08/2022.............1-3-0................25.00%...........-11.50
01/03/2022.............2-0-0..............100.00%...........+10.00
01/02/2022............10-4-0..............71.42%............+28.00

TOTALS................24-13-0..............64.86%............+58.50



UPDATED: 01/09/2022

 

[mundyswema1]

Well done. Continued success. Been a weird day. Cant wait for playoff season. Going to be fun

 

[Udog]

Betting Recap - Week 18
Dan Dobish

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Jaguars +14 (ML +650) vs. Colts, 23-20
Dolphins +6 (ML +220) vs. Patriots, 33-24
Seahawks +5.5 (ML ) at Cardinals, 38-30
Lions +4 (ML ) vs. Packers, 37-30

The largest favorites to cover

Bills -15.5 vs Jets, 27-10
Buccaneers -11 vs. Panthers, 41-17
Cowboys -6 at Eagles, 51-26 (Sat.)
Washington -6 at Giants, 22-7

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Chicago Bears-Minnesota Vikings (+3.5, 45) was a tough one to watch if you were holding a Bears ticket, catching +3.5, or an UNDER ticket.

The Bears took a 3-0 lead after the first quarter, and the UNDER looked to be in good shape. Chicago scored 11 more unanswered points for a 14-0 lead with just 31 seconds left in the first half before Minnesota finally broke through for a field goal with zeroes on the clock at halftime. That was just 17 total points in the first half.

We had another 10 total points in the third quarter, with the Bears clinging to a 17-10 lead after 45 minutes. The Vikings tied it up 17-17 early in the fourth quarter before taking a 24-17 lead midway through the final quarter. There went the Bears +3.5 cover. It got worse for UNDER bettors, as the Vikings had a pick-six with 4:54 to go, taking a 31-17 lead. That's how it wrapped up, and OVER bettors can send their thank you notes to CB Patrick Peterson for his touchdown.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The Cincinnati Bengals-Cleveland Browns (+6.5, 38) saw both the line and the total turn late.

The Browns fired out to a 14-0 lead early in the second quarter, as QB Case Keenum was looking good early on, subbing for QB Baker Mayfield, who elected to have surgery on his torn labrum. However, in the second quarter, S Trayvon Henderson scooped up a fumble by Keenum and returned it 29 yards late in the second quarter to slice the lead to 14-7. If you had the Browns -3.5 or the UNDER 19.5 for the first-half line, you were seething.

The Bengals cut the lead to 14-10 late in the third quarter, but the Browns pushed the lead back to 21-10 with 7:14 to go in the fourth quarter. It looked like the Browns might be good to go for the cover. However, QB Brandon Allen, subbing for the resting QB Joe Burrow (knee), hit WR Chris Evans for a four-yard touchdown with 2:26 to go, cutting the lead to 21-16. As such, anybody holding the Browns -6.5 were left disappointed.

The Bengals elected to go for two, trying to cut the lead to three. However, the Bengals misfired on the two-point conversion, and UNDER bettors hung on, while OVER bettors were left to mutter bad words. It was like losing twice.

Total Recall

The lowest total on the board in Week 18 was the Washington Football Team-New York Giants (36.5), as QB Jake Fromm made the start for Big Blue. We had a field goal in the first quarter and a field goal in the second quarter, both for Washington, and that was all of the scoring. It was 6-0 at the break. A pick-six by DB Bobby McCain made it 12-0 late in the third quarter, as they failed on the two-point conversion. The Giants finally got on the board early in the fourth, with the WFT posting 10 points to close it out. But there were just 29 total points, and the UNDER was never really in doubt.

The second-lowest total on the board was the Bengals-Browns (38) game, and we told you how that went (see above).

As far as the highest total, the Los Angeles Chargers-Las Vegas Raiders (50) game was expected to be a shootout in a winner-take-all matchup on Sunday Night Football. The Raiders posted a 10-0 lead through 15 minutes, and the UNDER was on target. Vegas took a 17-14 lead to the break, and suddenly the OVER was on pace. After just a field goal for the home side, we had 34 points on the board, and UNDER bettors had hope again. Unfortunately for UNDER bettors, we saw 24 total points in the final 15 minutes of regulation, and nine more points in overtime, as the Raiders won it 35-32.

In the primetime games, the OVER went 2-0. The OVER hit Saturday night, as the Dallas Cowboys piled up 51 points on the Philadelphia Eagles (46) to hit the OVER on their own Saturday night. We then had the Chargers-Raiders epic battle for another OVER. The UNDER finished 28-21-1 (57.1%) through 50 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

 

[Udog]

AFC Wild Card Cheat Sheet, Odds, Trends

The road to the AFC Championship will begin next weekend in the Wild Card Round as six teams will look to advance to the NFL Divisional Playoff Round.

Seeds two through four are the division winners while five, six and seven are the Wild Card teams. The first Wild Card game is set for Saturday, Jan. 15, 2022 and conclude on Sunday, Jan. 16, 2022.

AFC Playoff Bracket and Matchups

1 Seed - Tennessee (First Round Bye)
2 Kansas City vs. 7 Pittsburgh
3 Buffalo vs. 6 New England
4 Cincinnati vs. 5 Las Vegas

Odds to Win AFC Championship

Kansas City Chiefs +200
Tennessee Titans +340
Buffalo Bills +360
Cincinnati Bengals +900
New England Patriots +900
Las Vegas Raiders +2000
Pittsburgh Steelers +2200


Matchup - Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Date: Sunday, Jan. 16, 2022
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Mo.
TV-Time: NBC, 8:15 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Chiefs -13.5, ML -650, O/U 47.5 (-110)

Head-to-Head

The Steelers were blasted 36-10 in Week 16 as 10.5-point underdogs at Arrowhead as the OVER (44.5) connected. Pittsburgh bounced back, however, winning two straight as an underdog to get into the playoffs, sweating out a potential tie by the Los Angeles Chargers-Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday night in Week 18.

These teams met in the AFC Divisional Playoffs back on Jan. 15, 2017, with the Steelers coming away with an 18-16 victory as 2.5-point underdogs as the UNDER cashed. Of course, that was well before QB Patrick Mahomes' time with the team, as QB Alex Smith was starting that afternoon against QB Ben Roethlisberger.

Playoff Notes

The Chiefs roll into the playoffs with victories in nine of the past 10 games overall, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight games. The Chiefs won each of their home playoff games last season against the Cleveland Browns and Buffalo Bills, going 1-1 ATS while also splitting the OVER-UNDER before a disappointing 31-9 loss against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Feb. 7, 2021. Prior that, the Chiefs were 3-0 SU/ATS in their run to the Super Bowl championship in Feb. 2020.

The Steelers were shown the door at home by the rival Cleveland Browns in the AFC wild-card last season, losing 48-37 as a five-point favorite as the OVER connected. Prior to that, the Steelers were one-and-done in the playoffs during the 2017-18, losing a shootout to the Jacksonville Jaguars, 45-42 on Jan. 14, 2018. They're 0-3 SU/ATS in the past three playoff games since an 18-16 win on Jan. 15, 2017 in the AFC Divisional Playoffs at, you guessed it, Kansas City.


Matchup - Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots

Date: Saturday, Jan. 15, 2022
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Location: Orchard Park, NY.
TV-Time: CBS, 8:15 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Bills -4.5, ML -200, O/U 43.5 (-110)

Head-to-Head

These AFC East rivals met twice just since Dec. 6. Who could forget that blustery, icy, windy and snowy day in western New York on Monday night in Week 13. The Patriots attempted just three total passes, winning 14-10 in a defensive slog. The teams met again in Week 16, with the Bills exacting revenge in Foxboro by a 33-21 count as the OVER hit. The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the previous seven meetings in this series..

Playoff Notes

The Bills ended their playoff run last season in Kansas City, falling 38-24 in the AFC Championship Game. They topped the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC wild-card game, winning 27-24 as 7-point favorites, before topping the Baltimore Ravens 17-3 as 2.5-point favorites. The OVER was 2-1 in the three playoff games last season.

After an off season by their standards in 2020, the first in the post-Tom Brady Era, the six-time Super Bowl champion Patriots are back in the postseason. The last time the Patriots were in the postseason was Jan. 4, 2020, Brady's last game in a Patriots uniform. That was a 20-13 loss at home against the Tennessee Titans as the UNDER cashed. Prior to that, the Patriots won the Super on Feb. 3, 2019, topping the Los Angeles Rams 13-3. The Pats were 3-0 ATS that season, and New England is 7-3 ATS across the past 10 postseason games.


Matchup - Cincinnati Bengals vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Saturday, Jan. 15, 2022
Venue: Paul Brown Stadium
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
TV-Time: NBC, 4:30 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Bengals -6.5, ML -275, O/U 48.5 (-110)

Head-to-Head

The Bengals made quick work of the Raiders in a Week 11 game at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, blasting the Silver and Black 32-13 as 2.5-point favorites as the UNDER connected, now they get the Raiders at home at Paul Brown Stadium. Prior to that, these met in Oakland on Nov. 17, 2019, with the Raiders winning 17-10 while the Bengals cashed as 13-point underdogs with the UNDER connecting. The last win by the Bengals in this series was Dec. 16, 2018, a 30-16 win as three-point favorites as the total pushed.

Playoff Notes

The Bengals are back in the postseason for the first time since Jan. 9, 2016, an 18-16 loss at home in the AFC wild-card round to push as a two-point underdog at most shops. The UNDER (45.5) easily cashed that day, too. Prior to that, the Bengals were dumped 26-10 as 3.5-point underdogs as the UNDER cashed on Jan. 4, 2015 in the wild-card round. It sounds like a recording, but the Bengals lost to then-San Diego Chargers in a wild-card home game as 6.5-point favorites as the UNDER hit on Jan. 5, 2014. And before that, on Jan. 5, 2013, the Bengals were dumped in Houston in the wild-card round 19-13 as the UNDER cashed again. In fact, the Bengals are 0-7 SU/1-6 ATS in the previous seven playoff games for Cincinnati since its last win in the postseason Jan. 6, 1991 against the then-Houston Oilers at Riverfront Stadium.

The Raiders are back in the playoffs for the first time since Jan. 7, 2017, a 27-14 loss at Houston as four-point underdogs as the OVER (38) connected. Raiders QB Connor Cook started that day, as QB Derek Carr was out with a broken ankle. The team's last playoff win was during the 2002 playoffs, a 41-24 win against the Tennessee Titans in Oakland in the AFC Championship, prior to losing the Super Bowl to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 48-21.

 

[Udog]

NFC Wild Card Cheat Sheet, Odds, Trends

The road to the NFC Championship will begin next weekend in the Wild Card Round as six teams will look to advance to the NFL Divisional Playoff Round.

Seeds two through four are the division winners while five, six and seven are the Wild Card teams. The first Wild Card game is set for Saturday, Jan. 15, 2022 and conclude on Monday, Jan. 17, 2022.

NFC Playoff Bracket and Matchups

1 Seed - Green Bay (First Round Bye)
2 Tampa Bay vs. 7 Philadelphia
3 Dallas vs. 6 San Francisco
4 L.A. Rams vs. 5 Arizona

Odds to Win NFC Championship

Green Bay Packers +170
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +360
Los Angeles Rams +400
Dallas Cowboys +600
Arizona Cardinals +900
San Francisco 49ers +1400
Philadelphia Eagles +2500


Matchup - Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Date: Sunday, Jan. 16, 2022
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Location: Tampa, Fla.
TV-Time: FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Buccaneers -7.5, ML -350, O/U 49.5 (-110)

Head-to-Head

These teams met on Oct. 14 in Week 6 in Philadelphia on a Thursday night game. The Buccaneers picked up the 28-22 win, but the Eagles grabbed the cover as seven-point underdogs as HC Nick Sirianni elected to go for two after a touchdown run by QB Jalen Hurts with 5:54 remaining in regulation. The UNDER (53) still ended up hitting in that game.

Playoff Notes

The Buccaneers are the defending Super Bowl champions, rolling to three consecutive victories on the road last season as an NFC wild-card entry. Tampa failed to cover in its opening game of the playoffs as 10-point favorites against the Washington Football Team Jan. 9, but rattled off three straight wins and covers as underdogs at New Orleans in the Divisional Playoffs, at Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game, and in Super Bowl LV against the Kansas City Chiefs in a game played on their home field.

The Eagles missed the playoffs last season, and they were bumped off in the NFC wild-card round on Jan. 5, 2020 by the Seattle Seahawks at home, 17-9. The Eagles went 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS in the playoffs during the 2018-19 season, topping the Chicago Bears in the wild-card round 16-15 before bowing out against the New Orlean Saints in the Divisional Playoffs 20-14 on Jan. 13, 2019. The UNDER has cashed in three straight playoff games for Philly.


Matchup - Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers

Date: Sunday, Jan. 16, 2022
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Location: Arlington, Texas
TV-Time: CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Cowboys -3, ML -160, O/U 51 (-110)

Head-to-Head

The last time these teams met was Dec. 20, 2021 in Dallas in Week 15 last season. The Cowboys came away with a thrilling 41-33 victory as four-point underdogs as the OVER easily connected. Prior to that, the Cowboys rolled up a 40-10 win on Oct. 22, 2017 in Santa Clara, again as the OVER cashed. The Cowboys also won Oct. 2, 2016 before that, cashing as a one-point favorite in Santa Clara. The last time the 49ers won in this series was a 28-17 victory as 3.5-point favorites on Sept. 7, 2014 in the season opener.

Playoff Notes

The Cowboys haven't appeared in the postseason since the 2018-19 season. The season ended on Jan. 12, 2019 with the Los Angeles Rams ousting them 30-22 in the NFC Divisional Playoffs as 7.5-point favorites. The last playoff win by the Cowboys was 24-22 against the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC wild-card as 2.5-point favorites as the OVER also hit. The OVER is 3-0 in the past three playoff games for the Cowboys.

These teams haven't met in the playoffs since 1994, a 38-28 victory by the 49ers at Candlestick Park in the NFC Championship Game, en route to a victory in Super Bowl XXIX.

The Niners return to the postseason for the first time since losing the Super Bowl to the Kansas City Chiefs on Feb. 2, 2020. This will be the first playoff road game for the 49ers since the 2013-14 season, when they were bumped off by the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field in the NFC Championship Game, 23-17. Prior to that the 49ers won road playoff games at Carolina and at Green Bay. The UNDER is 3-0 in each of their past three playoff road outings.


Matchup - Los Angeles Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals

Date: Monday, Jan. 17
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Location: Los Angeles, Calif.
TV-Time: ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET

Opening Line: Rams -4, ML -190, O/U 50 (-110)

Head-to-Head

These teams split a pair of regular-season meetings, with the road team winning in each of the outings. Arizona destroyed L.A. in Week 4 as 3.5-point underdogs, winning 37-20 as the OVER cashed. In a Monday night meeting in Week 14 in Glendale, the Rams returned the favor with a 30-23 victory as three-point underdogs, again as the OVER connected. The OVER is 4-1 in the previous five meetings in this series.

Playoff Notes

The Rams split a pair of playoff games last season, winning an NFC wild-card game in Seattle before losing in the Divisional Playoffs at Green Bay, 32-18. The OVER cashed in each of those games. Prior to that, the Rams lost to the New England Patriots by a 13-3 count in Super Bowl LIII. This will be the first home game at SoFi Stadium for the Rams. Their last home game overall came at United Airlines Field at Los Angeles Memorial Stadium on Jan. 12, 2019, a 30-22 victory over the Dallas Cowboys.

This is the first appearance for the Cardinals in the playoffs since losing 49-15 to the Carolina Panthers in the NFC Championship Game on Jan. 24, 2016. Their last playoff home game was also that season, a 26-20 victory in overtime in the NFC Divisional Round. The Cardinals failed to cover in either of those games, and they're 0-4 ATS in their past four playoff contests dating back to a cover on Jan. 10, 2010 in the NFC wild-card round.

 

[Udog]

LAS VEGAS are 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog since 1992.

BUFFALO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games in the last 2 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons.

LA RAMS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in the current season.




NFL

Week 18

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Trend Report
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Las Vegas @ Cincinnati
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas

New England @ Buffalo
New England
New England is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
New England is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against New England

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

San Francisco @ Dallas
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Arizona @ LA Rams
Arizona
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Rams
LA Rams is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


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[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Wild Card Weekend

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Wild Card Weekend

Saturday’s games
Las Vegas (10-7) @ Cincinnati (10-7)
— Las Vegas won last four games by total of 12 points.
— Last five games, Raiders are minus-12 in turnovers (2-14)
— Last nine games, Las Vegas was outscored 119-83 in first half.
— Las Vegas is 7-0 when it scores 26+ points, 3-7 when it doesn’t.
— Raiders are 4-2 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Last four games, Raiders converted 26 of 56 third down plays.
— Raiders are in playoffs for second time in last 19 years.
— This is Carr’s first playoff game; he was hurt back in 2016.
— Raiders’ last playoff win was AFC title game, 19 years ago.

— Cincinnati won/covered last three games that Burrow played.
— Bengals are 2-3 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Burrow’s last four games, Cincinnati outscored foes 50-20 in 2nd half.
— Burrow threw for 971 yards in his last two games.
— Bengals are 9-1 scoring 24+ points, 1-6 otherwise.
— Over is 7-2-1 in last ten games Burrow played.
— Cincinnati lost its last eight playoff games.
— Four of those eight games were at home.
— Bengals last playoff win? 1990 over the Houston Oilers.
— Last three years in this round, #5-seeds are 4-2 vs #4-seeds.

— Bengals (-2) beat Raiders 32-13 in Las Vegas in Week 11.
— Cincinnati won four of last five series games.
— Raiders lost last three visits to Cincinnati, by 14-24-17 points.

New England (10-7) @ Buffalo (11-6)
— New England is 1-3 since 14-10 win here in Week 13.
— Patriots-Bills are playing for third time in six weeks.
— Last seven games, Patriots outscored foes 136-52 in second half.
— New England is 7-5 ATS in last 12 AFC East road games.
— New England allowed 13 or less points in last six wins.
— Patriots are +19 in turnovers in their wins, minus-12 in losses.
— Over is 9-4 in last thirteen New England games.
— Patriots haven’t won a playoff game since 2018 (lost last two).
— Since 2005, New England is 2-4 SU in true road playoff games.
— Jones is rookie QB, obviously his first playoff game.

— Buffalo won its last four games (3-0-1 ATS)
— Bills scored 30 ppg in those four games.
— Bills won AFC East both years since Brady left New England.
— Buffalo is 9-2-2 ATS in last 13 games as home favorite.
— Buffalo is 9-9 ATS in last 18 AFC East home games.
— Last seven games, Bills outscored opponents 97-35 in second half.
— Last four games, Bills converted 27-56 third down plays.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven Buffalo home games.
— Bills’ playoff win LY was their first playoff win since 1995.
— Patriots converted 3-20 third down plays vs Buffalo this year.

— Road team won last five playoff games between division rivals
— Underdogs covered all five of those games.
— Road team won both NE-Buffalo games this season.
— Patriots threw ball 3 times in 14-10 win here in Week 13.
— Buffalo won three of last four series games, after a 4-34 series skid.
— New England is 7-1 ATS in last eight visits to Buffalo.

Sunday’s games
Philadelphia (9-8) @ Tampa Bay (13-4)
— Eagles won six of their last eight games (8-5 ATS last 13).
— Philly outscored last five opponents 79-35 in second half.
— Philly is 8-2 if it allows 18 or less points, 1-6 if it allows more.
— Eagles scored 16-14-9 points in last three playoff games (1-2).
— Hurts is 9-10 as a starter; this is his first playoff game.
— Minshew is 9-14 as a starter; this would be his first playoff game.
— Last eight games, Philly converted 73-149 on third down.
— Eagles are 6-9 ATS last 15 games as a road dog (2-1 TY)
— Last time Philly was a road underdog? Week 5.
— Eight of last 11 Eagle games went over the total.

— Tampa Bay scored 28+ points in seven of last eight games (6-2 ATS).
— Buccaneers are 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games as home favorites (6-2 TY).
— Last three games, Tampa Bay outscored opponents 62-17 in 2nd half.
— Last six games, Bucs converted 42-88 third down plays.
— Buccaneers are 7-5 ATS this season, coming off a win.
— Before LY, Tampa Bay hadn’t won a playoff game since 2002.
— Brady is 34-11 SU in his playoff games.
— Buccaneers scored 30+ points in all four playoff games LY.
— Under is 7-5 in Tampa Bay’s last dozen games.

— Bucs (-7) won 28-22 in Philadelphia in Week 6 (led 21-7 at half).
— Tampa Bay outgained the Eagles, 399-213.
— Buccaneers won last three series games.
— Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in last eleven meetings.

San Francisco (10-7) @ Dallas (11-6)
— 49ers outgained last four opponents by 100+ yards each.
— SF won/covered four of their last five games.
— 49ers are 8-3 ATS last eleven games as a road underdog.
— Underdogs covered 49ers’ last four road games.
— 49ers are 4-6 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
— Garoppolo won two of his three playoff starts.
— 49ers are 16-11 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
— Niners are in playoffs for second time in last eight years.
— 49ers lost Super Bowl 31-20 to Chiefs two years ago.

— Dallas won/covered five of last six games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
— Dallas is 13-4 against spread this year.
— Cowboys are 5-3 ATS as home favorites this season.
— Cowboys has outscored foes 106-20 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Dallas has 15 takeaways in its last six games (+10)
— Last four games, Dallas converted 29-53 on third down.
— Cowboys are 8-3 ATS this year, coming off a win.
— Seven of last 11 Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Cowboys are 3-9 in last 12 playoff games (3-2 since 2014).
— Dallas lost four of its last six home playoff games.

— Dallas won last three series games, scoring 35 ppg.
— 49ers (-3.5) lost 41-33 here last year.
— Over the years, Dallas is 3-2 vs SF in playoff games.

Pittsburgh (9-7-1) @ Kansas City (12-5)
— Steelers won three of their last four games.
— Steelers scored less than 20 points in 3 of those 4 games.
— Last seven games, Steelers were outscored 100-22 in first half.
— Last six games, Pittsburgh outscored foes 96-62 in 2nd half.
— Steelers are 16-6 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
— Pittsburgh lost last three playoff games, giving up 36-45-48 points.
— Steelers’ last playoff win was 18-16 at Arrowhead in 2016.
— Pittsburgh is 8-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
— Steelers were outgained in nine of last ten games.
— Three of last four Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.

— Chiefs won nine of last ten games (6-2 ATS last eight).
— Last 10 games, Chiefs outscored foes 169-71 in first half.
— Kansas City is 8-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 4-5 if they allow more.
— Chiefs have 21 takeaways in last seven games (+15)
— Kansas City covered its last four home games.
— Kansas City converted 39 of last 73 third down plays.
— Chiefs’ last five games went over the total.
— Chiefs are 5-1 SU in last six playoff games, 1-1 in Super Bowls.
— Last three years, Chiefs scored 31 ppg in playoff games.

— Steelers (+10) trailed 23-0 at half, lost 36-10 at Arrowhead 3 weeks ago.
— Chiefs won last two meetings, 42-37/36-10.
— Steelers are 3-4 in last seven visits to Arrowhead.

Monday’s game
Arizona (11-6) @ LA Rams (12-5)
— Cardinals lost four of last five games, giving up 28.4 ppg.
— Last four weeks, Arizona was outscored 53-29 in first half.
— Cardinals are +16 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Arizona converted 49 of last 102 third down plays.
— Redbirds are 3-2 ATS coming off a loss this season.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Arizona games.
— Cardinals are in playoffs for first time since 2015.
— This is Murray’s first career playoff game.
— Road team won last five playoff games between division rivals

— Rams won five of their last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Under McVay, LA is 16-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
— LA is 9-3 SU indoors this season.
— Rams are 11-5 ATS last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Under McVay, Rams are 3-3 SU in playoff games, 1-1 at home.
— In his career, Stafford is 0-3 in playoffs, all road games.
— Under is 4-1 in Rams’ last five home games.

— Rams won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Arizona (+6) won 37-20 here in Week 4, running for 216 yards.
— That was Cardinals’ only cover in last five road series games.
— Rams (+2.5) won rematch 30-23 in Week 14.