Apr 06 923 MIN TWINS [C. PAVANO -R] +147 o10½-120 +1½-135
7:10 PM 924 NY YANKEES [F. GARCIA -R] -157 u10½EV -1½+115
Weather: rain is in the forecast from 8pm on. i will keep on it.
The Yankees are coming off an absolute terrible loss. CC retires 17 straight, Yanks up 4-0 cruising along. Soriano came in, granted he didn't have it, was topping out at 92, location wasn't there. Why he was in this situation is beyond me, this his 3rd appearance in 5 games! Robertson hasn't gotten any work, did I mention the score was 4-0? Then came Nick Swisher's horror show of an effort on a bloop double, that scores 3 runs, ties the game at 4 and ruins the under, Side note Derek Jeter got over powered pitch after pitch against a 80-85% Joe Nathan, before striking out to end the game. Moving on.
Carl Pavano has actually had good success in the past against current Yankees, .207 ba in 87 ABS. Pavano did get shelled in his first outing. Freddy Garcia hasn't had much success vs the Twins. Current Twins own a 302 ba. 45-149 8 homers, and an obp of 403. Joe Mauer and Kubel absolutely own Garcia, Young Morneau and Thome have faired well.
It is hard to get a feel on this matchup, the fan in me says the Yanks will bounce back after a bad loss, the gambler in me says take the Twins, maybe in the first half. Hard to expect what your going to get from each starter, will Pavano bounce back? this is Garcia's first start as well, so who knows how it goes. With rain in the forecast, i'm not feeling the total. I have no official lean on this one, but gun to my head. Twinkies 1H