How to win at nfl, +EV Teasers - {teaser selections 58/70 for 82.8% }

[The Sports Scientist]

road dogs cover less % than any other wong teaser leg

just an fyi

but i like both dogs you listed above outright so ...shrug

(on second thought i think its road favs that cover less, but the point is, you really want the home teams either way)

 

[FairWarning]

there has been all sorts of movement, hope you guys got them in.

 

[Akillies]

road dogs cover less % than any other wong teaser leg

just an fyi

but i like both dogs you listed above outright so ...shrug
ou
(on second thought i think its road favs that cover less, but the point is, you really want the home teams either way)

you should read post #2 and #3, then you will know for sure

 

[Akillies]

there has been all sorts of movement, hope you guys got them in.

I should have made it clear that i didnt expect the numbers to last and make the wagers asap. most or all gone, pitt may be favored at close

 

[phantom888]

so with these numbers...adjusted by the 6, are these good? or pass?

houston E
tenn+9
pitt +8
sd -3


local line

thanks.

 

[The Sports Scientist]

the middle 2 are BS teasers

 

[Akillies]

so with these numbers...adjusted by the 6, are these good? or pass?

houston E
tenn+9
pitt +8
sd -3


local line

thanks.

have to get sd @-2.5 or less, the rest are all great #'s pound away

 

[phantom888]

have to get sd @-2.5 or less, the rest are all great #'s pound away

thanks! gl!

 

[phantom888]

so 3-1

did we win anything? or does it need to be 4-0 for profit?

goodluck next week!

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Pitt pooped on lots of teasers.

 

[Akillies]

bad week for teasers with so many blowouts. 3/4 is a loss of 1.2, but 75% will be profitable in the long run. i actually made money on teasers this week, 5dimes had miami at +14.5 on 6pt +100 teasers. they dont let you play bs teasers so they overcompensate to discourage patriot $.

 

[Akillies]

wheel the following teams in 3team [6 pt] teasers at +180 odds
atl +2
nyj -8.5
ne -7
det -7.5
make sure to get these numbers or better

 

[paulfmf]

Ak,

How do you win at this? 1 team loses and you automatically = 3 out of 4 losses.

Are you saying there are enough "perfect" weeks to make up for when 1 team costs you 3 teasers?

I've been betting NFL for 30 yrs or so and have maybe bet 2 or 3 teasers ever. However this post intrigued me.

Thanks and GL.

 

[FrankieCat]

I am already betting a Jets/Detroit teaser...love it!!!!!!

 

[llcccc]

Combination (6.5 – Point Teaser)

• San Diego at New England New England -0.50 Teaser Open
• Baltimore at Tennessee Baltimore Teaser Open
• Chicago at New Orleans New Orleans -0.50 Teaser Open

300.00
Possible Payout: 720.00



Combination

• Green Bay at Carolina (Moneyline) Green Bay -525 Open
• Baltimore at Tennessee (Moneyline) Baltimore -265 Open
• Chicago at New Orleans (Moneyline) New Orleans -305 Open

200.00
Possible Payout: 435.46

 

[Akillies]

that ^ is why you dont play 6 point fav's, especially road fav's

 

[Akillies]

I am already betting a Jets/Detroit teaser...love it!!!!!!

very nice

 

[Akillies]

Ak,

How do you win at this? 1 team loses and you automatically = 3 out of 4 losses.

Are you saying there are enough "perfect" weeks to make up for when 1 team costs you 3 teasers?

I've been betting NFL for 30 yrs or so and have maybe bet 2 or 3 teasers ever. However this post intrigued me.

Thanks and GL.

yes, do this only on weeks where there are numerous bs teasers. most weeks its a struggle to find qualifiers.

 

[Akillies]

4-0
sweep results in 4 x 1.8 = 7.2
for a two week total win of 6.0
so far 7 winners out of 8 teaser teams or 87.5%
keep to this strategy and you will win

 

[The Sports Scientist]

Combination (6.5 – Point Teaser)

• San Diego at New England New England -0.50 Teaser Open
• Baltimore at Tennessee Baltimore Teaser Open
• Chicago at New Orleans New Orleans -0.50 Teaser Open

300.00
Possible Payout: 720.00



Combination

• Green Bay at Carolina (Moneyline) Green Bay -525 Open
• Baltimore at Tennessee (Moneyline) Baltimore -265 Open
• Chicago at New Orleans (Moneyline) New Orleans -305 Open

200.00
Possible Payout: 435.46

Sorry, but teasing -6.5 to -0.5 is definitely not optimum teaser strategy. Win or lose, doesn't matter.