How to win at nfl, +EV Teasers - {teaser selections 58/70 for 82.8% }

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wheel the following teams in 3team [6 pt] teasers at +180 odds
hou -2.5
tenn 7.5
pit 7.5
sd -2.5
make sure to get these numbers or better
 

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Basic strategy (B.S.) teasers. As probably everyone knows they are simply Dogs 1.5 to 2.5 teased up and Favs 7.5 to 8.5 teased down 6 points. The theory is to capture the "whole" 3 and 7.

A list of historical data for B.S. teasers for the last 5 years.

RD1.5 to 2.5, 64-22-1 for 74.4%
HD1.5 to 2.5, 41-26-0 for 61.2%
subtotal dogs, 105-48-1 for 68.6%

RF7.5 to 8.5, 15-13-0 for 53.6%
HF7.5 to 8.5, 53-14-0 for 79.1%
Subtotal Favs, 68-27-0 for 71.6%
 

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Analysis of the data shows, simple basic strategy no longer is profitable. Simply eliminating rf [road fav] and hd [home dogs] results in a profitable situation, however it will yield very few plays. This is a very good week for teasers, with many qualifying plays. Last year the results of this were verry profitable.
 
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Was hoping you could contribute in that thread since its about wong teasers and these kind of teasers as well.
 
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Why didn't you use the Lions in these teasers? They are 1.5pt dogs at numerous books.
 

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I did with AZ St tonight Akillies. GL.
shouldnt include college for the most part. sometimes i will include a college game if the number is right and i need another team cause most weeks there are not many qualifiers and if you include one college team some books let you have 2team 6pt @ 100 [even money]. even then its not a real good play.
 
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bears +3 so they dont qualify

+3 was gone a while ago.. Bears +2.5 and even +2 at just about every book now.. I think the Bears might be a good teaser leg, they are @ home. Just gotta hope Cutler doesn't screw up..

Good luck this week.
 

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bears could be played, as w/ some others but i like these better. most weeks dont have enough qualifiers
 

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