Thursday Oct 16
Dodgers -165. 5 units.
Toronto +105. 5 units
Don't be mislead by Scherzers era. His last start was solid after allowing a 3 run HR in the first inning vs Boston, He gave up 1 more run in the last 5 innings. He also has had a long rest over two weeks.
Castillo faced all weak hitting teams in his last 5 starts. He relies on strikeouts, but he is facing the best team in the league with the lowest strikeouts.
Also - his last start was against Detroit who collapsed -and his PIP was 18! That wont beat the Jays if he gets his PIP high again! .He walked more batters than strikeouts in his last start.
Dodgers -165. 5 units.
Toronto +105. 5 units
Don't be mislead by Scherzers era. His last start was solid after allowing a 3 run HR in the first inning vs Boston, He gave up 1 more run in the last 5 innings. He also has had a long rest over two weeks.
Castillo faced all weak hitting teams in his last 5 starts. He relies on strikeouts, but he is facing the best team in the league with the lowest strikeouts.
Also - his last start was against Detroit who collapsed -and his PIP was 18! That wont beat the Jays if he gets his PIP high again! .He walked more batters than strikeouts in his last start.
One thing about playoffs that doesnt show up during thr season. Brewers swept LAD in 6 games during the season. BUT! Only thr Brewers were what you'd call "healthy" during that month. Dodgers got Better pitching all of September, and they went 21-7 in 28 games. Best number in the game for the whole month. 75% win rate! Unmatchced.
Thanks Dan the man! best QB Miami will everrrrrrr have!
Max basically said - No! Im not done. Go back and sit down.
My boy Bieber was my best play so far.with Jays and Sneell with Dodgers.
FRIDAY OCT 17TH
Toronto -115 over Seattle. 10 units
First game where the favorite wins this.
This rematch will be the opposite of the first game in Toronto
Gausman is just too solid to pass on.
He is 100% reliable and hard to beat two games in a row/In his 34 starts 23 games were against WINNERS!
More important is the fact that when he loses, it was mostly because the Jays didn't score over 3 runs in 14 of the 15 games that the Jays lost when he started..
He gave up 53 total runs in those 15 games. It averages about 3.5 runs/game.
But in this last 10 starts he gave up 2 runs or less in seven of them.
Last fact. His road era is better than his home era over all. His WHIP is outstanding @0.99!
Miller is also a solid pitcher but he over-achieved in the first gane IMO.
His 5 of 6 games before the Jays game, was against soft hitting teams when he won.
He beat Detroit, KC, Colorado and Angels. He lost to the Dodgers. He also gave up 4 runs in 4 of the last 10 starts.
I dont think he will go long because the Jays should be able to hit hin in this rematch.
His season long era was over 5 runs!. He should come back to that level in the second game with Jays.
Dodgers 195 over Milwaukee. 10 units
Ohtani was solid in his last 5 starts with an era of 1.40! He gave up 3 runs to Philly in the third inning - but pitched 5 scoreless in that win,.
Brewers will have to use the entire slate of pitchers including starters to avoild the sweep. NONE of them are fresh except Megill and Preister.
Ohtani is fresh .He last pitched on OCT 4th. In home starts this year his era is 1.71 with a rediculous WHIP pf 0.79!!
Toronto -115 over Seattle. 10 units
First game where the favorite wins this.
This rematch will be the opposite of the first game in Toronto
Gausman is just too solid to pass on.
He is 100% reliable and hard to beat two games in a row/In his 34 starts 23 games were against WINNERS!
More important is the fact that when he loses, it was mostly because the Jays didn't score over 3 runs in 14 of the 15 games that the Jays lost when he started..
He gave up 53 total runs in those 15 games. It averages about 3.5 runs/game.
But in this last 10 starts he gave up 2 runs or less in seven of them.
Last fact. His road era is better than his home era over all. His WHIP is outstanding @0.99!
Miller is also a solid pitcher but he over-achieved in the first gane IMO.
His 5 of 6 games before the Jays game, was against soft hitting teams when he won.
He beat Detroit, KC, Colorado and Angels. He lost to the Dodgers. He also gave up 4 runs in 4 of the last 10 starts.
I dont think he will go long because the Jays should be able to hit hin in this rematch.
His season long era was over 5 runs!. He should come back to that level in the second game with Jays.
Dodgers 195 over Milwaukee. 10 units
Ohtani was solid in his last 5 starts with an era of 1.40! He gave up 3 runs to Philly in the third inning - but pitched 5 scoreless in that win,.
Brewers will have to use the entire slate of pitchers including starters to avoild the sweep. NONE of them are fresh except Megill and Preister.
Ohtani is fresh .He last pitched on OCT 4th. In home starts this year his era is 1.71 with a rediculous WHIP pf 0.79!!
Hey Gman what’s your mlb playoff record? Just curious, and thank you for the great picks
Maybe 25-12: Up over 11K. Havent totalled the Pennant games yet
Welcome aboard Moonrider.
Their pen has been suspect. I mentioned it back in August.
Thank you.
Things are much clearer when its winners playing winners.
