drunken MLB 2004

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Yesterday 2-2-1 +0.35 units (no action on Milwaukee because of pitching change)

YTD: 87-90 +22.78 (note: I made a mistake in math sometime over the weekend while I was away from the computer. New record is correct).

Wednesday:


New York Mets +130

Glavine has a 0.92 WHIP and 2.17 ERA, and Mets are 5-2 in his last 7 starts. Wolf is winless in his last 4 starts. In a battle of lefty pitchers, offenses are about even. Overall, pretty even matchup and worth a look at +130.

Pittsburgh +140

Pitt is at home with the better hitting and the better bullpen. Pitching matchup favors St Louis, but Kip Wells has shown some good stuff and has at least a chance of a good game. I wouldn't take less than +140 on this one though.

Chicago White Sox +123

Both pitchers are strong, each going 3-0 in their last 3 with nice WHIPs and ERAs. However, the White Sox are hitting .304 vs lefties. The A's bullpen has been struggling badly, with a 9.64 ERA and 2.36 WHIP in their last 3.

Baltimore +165

DuBose has won 4 of his last 8, and the O's have won in 6 of those games. Contreras continues to be overrated, as he has a 1.81 WHIP and 6.97 ERA for the season, and Baltimore is hitting .312 vs righties this year. As usual, this line is just stretched too far towards the Yanks.

Tampa Bay +170

Waechter had his worst outing of the year last time out, giving up 8 hits and 6 runs in 5 innings against the Indians. I was on him that time, and as I mentioned there, he is an underrated pitcher this year. He currently has a 1.22 WHIP while having to face some decent hitting teams. Although the hitting and bullpen of Tampa is still a problem, I think the value still lies with Waechter and the D-rays.

Anaheim +147

Boston has the pitching edge, but Anaheim has the offense and is at home. Washburn is a decent started (7-2 this year). Anaheim is still just not getting the respect the deserve and there is plenty of value on the home team here.
 

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Dunkman

looks great

I'm on 3 of em - Anaheim, Balt, and the mets for mostly the same reasons!



GL
 

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