Cnotes' NFL 2022-2023 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors!

[Udog]

NFL

Week 18

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Trend Report
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Kansas City @ Las Vegas
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Tennessee @ Jacksonville
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

New England @ Buffalo
New England
New England is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

Minnesota @ Chicago
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

Houston @ Indianapolis
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 13 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Houston
Indianapolis is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Houston

NY Jets @ Miami
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Jets's last 11 games
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home

Carolina @ New Orleans
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing at home against Carolina

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Baltimore @ Cincinnati
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY Giants @ Philadelphia
NY Giants
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games when playing Dallas

LA Chargers @ Denver
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

LA Rams @ Seattle
LA Rams
LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing LA Rams

Detroit @ Green Bay
Detroit
Detroit is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay
Green Bay is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 18

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TENNESSEE (7 - 9) at JACKSONVILLE (8 - 8) - 1/7/2023, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (13 - 3) at LAS VEGAS (6 - 10) - 1/7/2023, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LAS VEGAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LAS VEGAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA RAMS (5 - 11) at SEATTLE (8 - 8) - 1/8/2023, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 169-210 ATS (-62.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 5-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 4-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (9 - 6 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 3) - 1/8/2023, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
NY GIANTS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
NY GIANTS are 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 110-82 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (7 - 9) at MIAMI (8 - 8) - 1/8/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (8 - 8) at GREEN BAY (8 - 8) - 1/8/2023, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 130-98 ATS (+22.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 285-236 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 285-236 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 145-110 ATS (+24.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 145-110 ATS (+24.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 225-161 ATS (+47.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
DETROIT is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (7 - 9) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 8) - 1/8/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (2 - 13 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 11 - 1) - 1/8/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in dome games since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 12) at SAN FRANCISCO (12 - 4) - 1/8/2023, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 3-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (10 - 6) at DENVER (4 - 12) - 1/8/2023, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 143-105 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 143-105 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 96-65 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DENVER is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (8 - 8) at ATLANTA (6 - 10) - 1/8/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (12 - 4) at WASHINGTON (7 - 8 - 1) - 1/8/2023, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 104-138 ATS (-47.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 104-138 ATS (-47.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 104-138 ATS (-47.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (6 - 10) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 9) - 1/8/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (8 - 8) at BUFFALO (12 - 4) - 1/8/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 294-233 ATS (+37.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 294-233 ATS (+37.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 96-62 ATS (+27.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 224-171 ATS (+35.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 218-167 ATS (+34.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 113-81 ATS (+23.9 Units) off a division game since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 150-109 ATS (+30.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 77-52 ATS (+19.8 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 140-105 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 5-1 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (10 - 6) at CINCINNATI (12 - 4) - 1/8/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
CINCINNATI is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (12 - 4) at CHICAGO (3 - 13) - 1/8/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games in January games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 65-102 ATS (-47.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NFL Betting Trends - Week 18

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 18

AFC playoff scenarios are unclear with status of Bills-Bengals game in limbo.

Saturday’s games
Chiefs (13-3) @ Raiders (6-10)
— Chiefs won 11 of last 13 games (5-8 ATS).
— KC is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games.
— Chiefs were held under their team total in seven of last nine games.
— Chiefs are 9-13-1 ATS last 23 games as home favorite (3-5 TY).
— Last two games, Chiefs converted 5-20 third down plays.
— Last three weeks, opponents converted 9-36 third down plays.
— Last nine games, Chiefs are minus-5 in turnovers (8-13)
— Chiefs have 84 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 51.
— Chiefs lost field position battle in eight of last 11 games.
— KC is 3-8 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Chiefs allowed 24+ points in five of last seven games.
— Last three games, Chiefs have 11 TD’s on 34 drives.

— Las Vegas lost three of last four games, with losses by 1-3-3 points.
— Raiders turned ball over 12 times in last six games (minus-5)
— LW, Stidham was 23-34/365 passing, in his first NFL start.
— Raiders are 4-3 SU at home this season, 5-2 ATS.
— Raiders are 3-8 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Raiders have blown five double digit leads in 2nd half.
— Last four games, Las Vegas was outscored 68-33 in second half/OT
— Las Vegas is 9-14 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss (4-4 TY).
— Last three weeks, Raiders allowed 160.7 rushing yards/game.
— Las Vegas is 7-5 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog.
— Under is 3-2 in last five Raider games.
— Last two games, Raiders converted 20-49 (40.8%) third down plays.

— Chiefs (-7) beat Raiders 30-29 at home in Week 5, after trailing 20-10 at half.
— Kansas City won 16 of last 19 series games (11-8 ATS)
— Chiefs are 4-3 ATS in last seven road series games.
— Last five meetings went over the total.

Titans (7-9) @ Jaguars (8-8)
— Tennessee lost last six games, scoring 14.8 points/game.
— Winner of this game wins AFC South; Jaguars advance with a tie.
— 6th-year QB Dobbs was 20-39/232 LW, in his first NFL start.
— Titans are 0-6 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in 10 of last 12 games.
— Last six weeks, Titans were outscored 76-35 in second half.
— Titans are 8-3 ATS in last eleven AFC South road games.
— Titans are 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games as road underdogs (4-2-1 TY)
— Last two weeks, opponents converted 13-27 (48.1%) third down plays.
— Titans turned ball over 10 times in last four games (minus-4)
— Under is 11-4-1 in Titan games this season.
— Titans are 1-5-1 ATS coming off a loss this season.

— Jacksonville won five in row, six of last eight games.
— Despite their record, Jaguars are in first place in AFC South.
— Last three games, Jacksonville ran ball for 169.3 yards/game.
— Jaguars didn’t allow a TD in last two games, winning 19-3/31-3.
— Last seven games, Jaguars are +6 in turnovers (14-8)
— Jaguars are 0-3 ATS this season as a favorite.
— Jaguars are 2-8 ATS in their last ten games as a home favorite.
— Last three games, Jaguars scored 31.5 ppg (11 TD’s/43 drives)
— Last three games, Jaguars outscored foes 66-24 in second half.
— Jaguars covered their last four games overall.
— Last four games, Jaguars converted 25-53 (47.2%) on third down.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

— Jaguars (+4) beat Tennessee 36-22 in Nashville in Week 14.
— Tennessee won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Titans covered four of last five visits to Jacksonville.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
— Winner of this game wins AFC South.

Sunday’s games
Jets (7-9) @ Dolphins (8-8)
— QB White is expected to start here (2-5 as NFL starter)
— Jets are 2-7 in their last eight games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
— Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-8 scoring less than 20.
— Last two games, Jets have no TD’s on 21 drives (eight 3/outs)
— Jets have 2 takeaways in their last seven games (minus-8 TO’s)
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Nine of last eleven Jet games stayed under the total.
— Last three games, Jets ran ball 81 times for 267 yards.
— Jets held nine of last 13 opponents under their team total.
— Jets are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC East road games.
— Jets are 5-3 ATS this season, coming off a loss.

— Unclear whether #2 QB Bridgewater or #3 QB Thompson starts here.
— Bridgewater is 33-33 as an NFL starter, Thompson is 0-1.
— Dolphins lost their last five games, after a 5-0 streak.
— Miami is 5-2 SU at home this year, 2-2 ATS as road underdog.
— Dolphins turned ball over seven times in their last 21 possessions.
— Miami is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-14 in losses.
— Miami is 5-4 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 7-3 if they score 18+ points, 1-5 if they score 17 or less.
— Last five games, Dolphins are 18-68 on third down.
— Dolphins are 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 AFC East home games.
— Six of last nine Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.

— Jets (+3) whacked Miami 40-17 at home in Week 5.
— Dolphins won seven of last nine series games.
— Jets are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten meetings.

Browns (7-9) @ Steelers (8-8)
— Browns are 3-2 SU/ATS in Watson’s first four starts.
— Watson’s five games: Browns scored 6 TDs on 47 drives, with 19 3/outs.
— In Watson’s five starts, Browns are +7 in turnovers (11-4)
— Cleveland is 5-4 SU in last eight games after a 2-5 start.
— Last two games, Cleveland held opponents to 244/260 total yards.
— Browns are 7-4 giving up 24 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 24.
— Browns are 3-8 ATS in last eleven AFC North road games.
— Browns are 2-6 when they run for less than 171 yards.
— Cleveland outgained 12 of its 16 opponents, but they’re 7-9.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
— Browns are 5-3 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Watson is 32-29 as an NFL starter, making playoffs twice with Houston.

— Steelers won/covered five of their last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 6-2 since its bye week, with +9 turnover ratio.
— Steelers have one turnover (+13) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— Steelers are 3-4 SU at home this season.
— In six post-bye games, Steelers converted 61-114 (53.5%) on third down
— In six post-bye games, opponents are 31-95 (32.6%) on third down
— Steelers are 6-9 ATS last 15 games coming off a win.
— Under is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
— Last four games, Steelers outscored foes 40-15 in second half.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh scored 41 points on seven red zone drives.
— Steelers held last six opponents under their team total.

— Browns (-4.5) beat Steelers 29-17 at home in Week 3.
— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Pittsburgh.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Texans (2-13-1) @ Colts (4-11-1)
— Texans lost 10 of their last 11 games.
— Texans covered three of last four games.
— Last four weeks, Houston has 10 takeaways (+5 turnovers)
— Texans are 9-12 ATS last 21 games as a road dog (4-4 TY)
— Houston is 3-8 ATS TY in games with a single digit spread.
— Last five games, Houston was outscored 64-34 in second half.
— Texans won field position battle four of last five games.
— Texans are 13-21-1 ATS last 35 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 11 of 16 games.
— Texans have 2 TD’s on their last 23 drives.

— Last four games, Colts were outscored 96-16 in 2nd half/OT.
— Colts lost nine of their last ten games SU.
— Colts went under their team total in 12 of 16 games TY.
— Last three games, Indianapolis has two TD’s on 33 drives.
— Colts are 3-1-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-10 if they score less.
— Colts have 11 turnovers in last five games (minus-5)
— Five of their last seven games went over the total.
— Colts are 1-5 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Indy is 2-6 ATS this year, coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Colts converted 21-81 (25.9%) third down plays.
— Indy is 2-5-1 ATS in last eight AFC South home games.
— 2nd-year QB Ehlinger is 0-2 as an NFL starter.

— These teams tied 20-20 at Indianapolis in Week 1.
— Colts are 5-0-1 SU in last six meetings.
— Texans are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 visits to Indy.
— Last five series games stayed under the total.

Buccaneers (8-8) @ Falcons (6-10)
— Despite being 8-8, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South.
— Tampa Bay has playoff game next week, could rest guys here.
— Tampa Bay is 14-12 ATS in last 26 NFC South road games.
— Last five games, Bucs were outscored 61-36 in first half.
— Buccaneers are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games.
— Tampa Bay is 6-1 allowing less than 20 points, 1-7 giving up 20+.
— Bucs have six takeaways in last two games (+3 TO’s)
— Tampa Bay is 3-3 ATS this year coming off a win.
— 11 of 16 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 13 of last 15 games.
— Tampa Bay lost field position in six of last seven games.

— Falcons lost six of last eight games SU, are 0-10 ATS in last ten.
— Falcons have 4 TD’s on 27 drives in rookie QB Ridder’s first three NFL starts.
— Seven of their last nine games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 1-8-1 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
— Last four games, Falcons were outscored 57-26 in first half.
— Last seven games, Atlanta allowed 166.6 rushing yards/game.
— Falcons are 5-10 ATS last 15 games coming off a win (2-3 TY).
— In Ridder’s three starts, Falcons converted 19-41 on third down.
— Last five games, Atlanta has only 6 TD’s on 44 drives.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.

— Bucs (-10) beat Atlanta 21-15 at home in Week 5; they led 13-0 at halftime, outgained Falcons, 420-261.
— Tampa Bay won last six series games (4-2 ATS)
— Bucs won last three visits here, by 30-31-35 points (2-1 ATS)
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.

Panthers (6-10) @ Saints (7-9)
— Panthers are 4-3 SU in last seven games, covered seven of last ten.
— Darnold is 20-34 as an NFL starter, 3-2 this year.
— Last two games, Panthers have 7 TD’s, 4 FG’s on 23 drives.
— Panthers are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Carolina has converted only 56-188 (29.8%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 6-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss (4-4 TY).
— Carolina led four of last five games at halftime.
— Last four Panther games went over the total.
— Carolina went over its team total in eight of last ten games.
— Carolina is 5-3 scoring 22+ points, 1-7 scoring 21 or less.
— Last two games, opponents converted 8-27 on third down.

— Saints are 3-0 since their bye week, giving up 18-10-10 points.
— In those games, Saints converted 19-42 on third down.
— NO is 7-6 ATS in last 13 games as home favorite (2-1 TY)
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 3-6 when they score less.
— Saints have six takeaways last ten games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Saints are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win (2-4 TY).
— Saints have been outscored 84-37 in last 2:00 of each half.
— New Orleans held 7 of last 8 opponents under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Eight of last nine New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Last five games, Saints scored 43 points on 12 red zone drives.
— Saints are 6-8 ATS in last 14 NFC South home games.

— Carolina (+2.5) beat Saints 22-14 at home in Week 3.
— Saints have still won 10 of last 13 series games.
— Panthers are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Bourbon Street.
— Four of last five meetings stayed under the total.

Patriots (8-8) @ Bills (12-3)
— New England is #7-seed in AFC, clinches playoff spot with win here.
— Patriots are 2-4 SU/1-5 ATS in their last six games.
— Patriots’ last eight games: 12 TD’s, 24 FGA’s, 35 3/outs on 96 drives.
— Patriots committed only three turnovers in last seven games (+7 TO’s)
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 1-8 giving up 20+.
— Patriots are 2-5 SU when game goes over the total, 6-3 if it stays under.
— Last five games, Patriots converted 26-87 third down plays (29.9%).
— NE is +10 in turnovers in its wins, minus-2 in losses.
— Patriots are 10-11 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Six of last nine New England games stayed under the total.
— Last four games, Patriots were outscored 69-20 in first half.
— Last four games, Patriots outscored foes 72-27 in second half.

— Our prayers go out to Bills’ DB Damar Hamlin.
— Bills won their last six games, scoring 28.3 ppg.
— Buffalo is 2-6-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Buffalo is 0-4 ATS in last four games as a home favorite.
— Last two games, Buffalo converted 14-25 third down plays.
— Bills scored 28+ points in five of last seven games.
— Bills scored 35 TD’s on their last 114 drives.
— Buffalo has 72 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 57)
— 11 of 15 Buffalo games stayed under the total (over 2-0 last two).
— Buffalo has trailed twice at halftime TY (10-2-3 in first half)
— Bills are 19-14 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win (5-6 TY).
— Bills trailed 7-3 with 5:58 left in 1st quarter, when Monday’s game was halted.

— Bills (-4) won 24-10 in Foxboro in Week 13.
— Buffalo won five of last six series games.
— Patriots are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Buffalo.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.

 

[Udog]

Ravens (10-6) @ Bengals (11-4)
— QB Huntley is 3-5 as an NFL starter, 2-2 this year.
— Ravens split last six games SU, are 2-5 ATS in last seven.
— Last five games, Ravens scored 11.8 ppg.
— Last 5 games, Ravens threw ball for 4.4/4.9/3.8/5.4/5.5 yards per play.
— Nine of last 13 Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in five of their six losses.
— Ravens are 13-3-2 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Last four weeks, Baltimore was outscored 33-9 in second half.
— Last five weeks, Ravens converted 21-62 (33.9%) on 3rd down.
— 11 of Ravens’ last 13 games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 9-8 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
— Baltimore is 9-2 giving up 20 or less points, 1-4 if they give up 20+.

— Cincinnati won/covered last seven games (12-1 ATS last 13).
— Cincy is 5-1 SU at home TY, winning last five home tilts.
— Bengals are 7-4 ATS in last 11 AFC North home games.
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 10-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
— Cincy converted 77 of last 156 (49.4%) third down plays.
— Bengals scored 33 TD’s on their last 89 drives.
— Last two games, Bengals were held to 53-73 rushing yards.
— Cincy is 8-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Four of last five Bengal games stayed under the total.
— Bengals scored 71 points on last 13 red zone drives.

— Baltimore (-3) nipped Bengals 19-17 at home in Week 5.
— Baltimore won seven of last ten series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Vikings (12-4) @ Bears (3-13)
— Vikings split their last four games SU (0-4 ATS).
— Vikings are 11-0 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Vikings are 4-2 SU outdoors this season.
— Minnesota is 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen games.
— Despite being 12-4, Vikings have been outscored 414-395.
— Last four weeks, Vikings were outscored 81-20 in first half.
— Last eight games. Minnesota gave up average of 31.6 ppg.
— Minnesota is 9-11 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
— Cousins is 72-65-2 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings turned ball 9 times in last four games (minus-6).
— Minnesota is 10-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Seven of their last eight games went over the total.

— QB Peterman (1-3 as NFL starter) gets nod under center here.
— His last start was in 2018 for Buffalo, against the Bears.
— Chicago lost nine in row, 12 of last 13 games SU (3-9-1 ATS).
— Last nine games, Chicago gave up 33.6 ppg.
— Opponents scored TD’s on 35 of last 85 drives.
— Last three games, Bears converted 10-38 on third down.
— Last two games, Bears gave up 254-265 rushing yards.
— Last five games, Bears were outscored 93-20 in second half.
— Chicago is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as home underdogs (3-2 TY).
— Bears led at halftime three times this season (3-11-2).
— Chicago is 1-7 ATS last eight NFC North home games.
— Over is 9-2-1 in their last dozen games.
— Last eight games, Bears were outscored 48-7 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Vikings (-6.5) beat Chicago 29-22 in Week 5; they were 12-15 on 3rd down.
— Minnesota won last four series games.
— Vikings won 17-9/19-13 in last two visits to the Windy City.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.

Rams (5-11) @ Seahawks (8-8)
— Rams split Mayfield’s four starts for them.
— Mayfield is 4th QB to start for Rams this year.
— Rams lost 10 of last 13 games SU (4-9 ATS).
— Rams are 4-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-9 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 149-52 in second half.
— In Mayfield’s starts, Rams converted 18-44 (40.9%) on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total 11 of last 14 games.
— Rams are 0-5-1 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Rams are 15-10-2 ATS last 27 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Rams’ LB Bobby Wagner makes his return to Seattle (10 years in Seattle)

— Seattle is 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS last seven games.
— Seahawks lost three of their last four home games SU.
— Seahawks can make playoffs if they win and Lions beat Green Bay.
— Seattle is 3-6 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Last three games, Seattle converted 11-42 on third down.
— Last six games, opponents are 41-91 (45.1%) on 3rd down.
— Seattle is 8-15 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Seattle is 5-3 ATS last eight NFC West home games.
— Last six games, Seahawks were outscored 34-13 in last 2:00 of half
— Geno Smith is 21-29 as an NFL starter, 8-8 this year.
— Seattle held last two opponents to 297/279 total yards.
— Seattle’s last three games stayed under the total.

— Seahawks (-7) scored with 0:36 left, won 27-23 in LA in Week 13.
— Rams won 12 of last 17 series games.
— Rams won five of last eight visits to Seattle.
— Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

Giants (9-6-1) @ Eagles (13-3)
— Giants are 3-5-1 SU last nine games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants are 12-4 ATS this season, 4-2 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 8-0-1 allowing 20 or less points, 1-6 allowing 21+ points.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Last six games, Giants converted 25-78 (32.1%) on third down.
— Giants are 6-3 ATS TY coming off a win.
— Big Blue is 10-4 ATS in last 14 NFC East road games.
— Last three games, Giants outscored foes 45-16 in first half.
— Last four games, Giants outscored foes 28-6 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Giants are 5-1-1 TY in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Last two games, Giants scored six TD’s on 19 drives.
— Giants clinched a playoff spot, play a road game next week.

— Eagles lost their last two games, after a 13-1 start.
— Eagles need win/tie here to clinch #1 seed in NFC.
— Philly is 6-2 SU/ATS at home this season.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 9-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Eagle games.
— Eagles went 3/out on 6 of 11 drives last week.
— Last nine games, Philly converted 52-110 3rd down plays (47.3%).
— Last six games, Eagle opponents converted 31-93 (33.3%) on 3rd down.
— Philly is 9-17 ATS last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Last eight games, Eagles allowed 21.6 ppg (16.9 in first eight games).
— Last five games, Eagles have 36 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 22).
— Minshew is 8-16 as an NFL starter, 0-2 TY.

— Eagles (-7) ran for 253 yards, pounded Giants 48-22 in Week 14.
— Philly won 15 of last 18 series games.
— Giants covered four of last five visits to Philadelphia.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Cardinals (4-12) @ 49ers (12-4)
— Blough was 24-40/222 (1 TD) in his first ‘22 start.
— Blough is 0-6 as an NFL starter (other starts were in 2019).
— Last four weeks, Arizona started four different QB’s.
— Cardinals lost six in row, 10 of their last 12 games SU.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in 10 of last 11 games.
— Last 11 games, Arizona was outscored 174-92 in 2nd half.
— Cardinals lost field position battle in 10 of last 12 games.
— Arizona is 1-12 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Last four games, Cardinals converted 15-56 on third down.
— Last six games, Arizona turned ball over 12 times (minus-6).
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 16-5-1 ATS as a road dog (4-2 TY).
— Cardinals outscored opponents 72-46 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Three of last four Arizona games stayed under the total.

— 49ers can get #1 seed if they win and Eagles lost to Giants.
— Rookie QB Purdy is 99-150/1,196 passing, with 10 TD’s, 4 INT’s.
— San Francisco won its last nine games (7-2 ATS)
— 49ers outscored last eight opponents 140-54 in second half.
— Last two weeks, 49ers scored 30-23 points in second half.
— 49ers are 9-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 59-119 (49.6%) on third down.
— In eight post-bye games, 49ers ran ball for 154.3 yards/game.
— 49ers are 7-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— 49ers are +17 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— Last five games, 49ers forced 23 3/outs on 45 drives.

— 49ers (-8) crushed Arizona 38-10 in Mexico City in Week 11.
— San Francisco won 13 of last 16 series games.
— Cardinals are 5-0-1 ATS in last six visits to Santa Clara.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.

Chargers (10-6) @ Broncos (4-11)
— Chargers clinched first playoff spot, play a road game next week.
— Chargers are 6-3 SU in their last nine games.
— Bolts gained 385.5 yards/game last 4 games, with WR’s Allen/Williams back.
— Chargers are 9-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.
— Last 11 games, Chargers converted 78-174 on third down (44.8%)
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in 12 of 16 games.
— Chargers are +8 in turnovers in their wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Chargers are 7-8-2 ATS last 17 games coming off a win
— Under is 7-2 in Bolts’ last nine games.
— QB Herbert is 25-23 as an NFL starter
— Chargers are 4-7 ATS in last 11 AFC West road games.
— Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.

— Broncos fired their HC, two assistants last week.
— Denver lost 11 of their last 13 games.
— Denver covered four of its last five games.
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in 11 of 16 games.
— Broncos are 8-10-1 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Broncos allowed 23 sacks, had 2 themselves.
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17-15 points in their four wins.
— Last four games, Denver scored TD’s on all ten red zone drives.
— Last six games, Broncos are 54-203 (26.6%) on third down.
— Last four Denver games went over the total.
— Denver lost field position seven of last nine games.
— Broncos are 5-3 ATS last eight AFC West home games.

— Broncos (+3) lost 19-16 to the Chargers at SoFi in Week 6.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in last six visits to Denver.
— Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Cowboys (12-4) @ Commanders (7-8-1)
— Cowboys won 12 of their last 15 games (10-5 ATS).
— Dallas could still get home game next week if they win/Eagles lose.
— Last five games, Cowboys scored 36.4 ppg.
— Last eight games, Dallas scored 39 TD’s on 96 drives.
— Last six games, Dallas converted 59-100 on third down.
— Last seven games, Cowboys outscored foes 134-72 in 2nd half.
— Cowboys are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (2-2 TY).
— Dallas is 11-6 ATS in last 17 NFC East road games.
— Last 6 games, Cowboys have 33 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 26)
— Dallas is +13 in turnovers in its wins, minus-2 in losses.
— Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.
— Cowboys lost three of four games on natural grass TY.

— Rookie 5th-round pick QB Howell gets his first NFL start here.
— Washington is 0-3-1 SU/0-4 ATS in its last four games.
— Washington no longer has a shot at a playoff spot.
— Last eight games, they ran ball for 156.3 yards/game.
— Washington is 3-5 SU at home this season.
— Commanders are 2-5 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— Washington is 4-1 when it scores 23+ points, 3-7-1 if they don’t.
— Washington is 3-5-1 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
— Last five games, Commanders allowed 145.5 rushing yards/game.
— Washington is 3-8 ATS in last 11 NFC East home games.
— 11 of their last 14 games stayed under the total.
— Opponents went over their team total the last four games.

— Cowboys (-3) beat Washington 25-10 at home in Week 4.
— Dallas won 11 of last 14 series games.
— Commanders are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.

Lions (8-8) @ Packers (8-8)
— Lions can make playoffs if they win/Seattle loses.
— Detroit won seven of its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
— Last eight games, Lions have scored 30.6 ppg.
— Lions are 4-2 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Last five games, Detroit outscored foes 80-44 in second half.
— Last nine games, Lions are +12 in turnovers (16-4)
— Detroit ran ball for 265 yards LW (286 yards in previous 3 games).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 11-21-1 SU, 22-10-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 7-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Detroit is 14-17-2 ATS in last 33 NFC North road games.
— Over is 6-4 in Detroit’s last ten games.
— Lions held five of last seven foes under their team total.

— Packers make the playoffs if they win.
— Green Bay won/covered its last four games.
— Packers are 19-10 ATS last 29 games as a home fave (4-2 TY).
— Green Bay have 8 takeaways in last two games (+7)
— Last four games, Green Bay outscored foes 59-23 in 2nd half.
— Packers are 9-2 ATS in last 11 NFC North home games.
— In three post-bye games, opponents converted 11-30 on third down.
— Five of their last seven games went over the total.
— Last four games, Green Bay ran ball for 138.8 yards/game.
— Last two games, Packers allowed 86 rushing yards/game.
— Packers led at halftime twice in last nine games.

— Detroit (+4) beat Green Bay 15-9 at home in Week 9.
— Packers have still won five of last seven meetings.
— Lions are 4-7 ATS in last eleven visits to Lambeau.
— Three of last four series games went over the total.

 

[Udog]

The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Chiefs are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.
The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in five straight matchups between the Raiders and Chiefs.
The total has gone OVER in five of Las Vegas' last six home games.
The Chiefs are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against Las Vegas.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 12 road games.


The Titans are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tennessee's last 13 games.
The Titans are 0-6 SU in their last six games.
The Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Jacksonville's last six games.
The Jaguars are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Jacksonville's last six games against Tennessee.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Jacksonville's last eight home games.
The Titans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Jacksonville.
The Titans are 5-1 SU in their last six games against Jacksonville.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, JANUARY 7​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
KC at LV	04:30 PM	LV +9.0 O 52.5	+500 +500
TEN at JAC	08:15 PM	JAC -6.5 U 40.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
01/07/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
01/02/2023	0-0-0	0.00%	+0	Detail
01/01/2023	10-17-1	37.50%	-4350	Detail

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 18

 

[Udog]

The Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of New England's last nine games.
The Patriots are 2-4 SU in their last six games.
The Bills are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of Buffalo's last 13 games.
The Bills are 6-0 SU in their last six games.
The Bills are 10-1 SU in their last 11 home games.
The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Buffalo.
The Patriots are 1-5 SU in their last six games against Buffalo.


The Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 18 games.
The Lions are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in five of Green Bay's last seven games.
The Packers are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Packers are 13-4 SU in their last 17 home games.
The Lions are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against Green Bay.
The Lions are 2-5 SU in their last seven games against Green Bay.

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, JANUARY 8​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CAR at NO	01:00 PM	CAR +3.5 O 41.5	+500 +500
TB at ATL	01:00 PM	TB +5.0 U 40.5	+500 +500
MIN at CHI	01:00 PM	CHI +6.5 O 42.5	+500 +500
CLE at PIT	01:00 PM	PIT -2.5 U 40.0	+500 +500
NYJ at MIA	01:00 PM	NYJ +3.5 U 37.5	+500 +500
BAL at CIN	01:00 PM	BAL +11.0 U 39.0	+500 +500
NE at BUF	01:00 PM	NE +8.0 U 43.5	+500 +500
HOU at IND	01:00 PM	IND -3.0 U 37.5	+500 +500
LAR at SEA	04:25 PM	LAR +5.5 O 41.5	+500 +500
NYG at PHI	04:25 PM	NYG +16.5 U 42.0	+500 +500
DAL at WAS	04:25 PM	WAS +7.0 O 40.5	+500 +500
ARI at SF	04:25 PM	ARI +14.0 U 40.0	+500 +500
LAC at DEN	04:25 PM	LAC +4.0 U 39.5	+500 +500
DET at GB	08:20 PM	DET +5.0 O 49.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

END REGULAR SEASON.....PLAYOFFS NEXT !

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
01/08/2023	9-18-1	33.93%	-5400	Detail
01/07/2023	1-3-0	25.00%	-1150	Detail
01/02/2023	0-0-0	0.00%	+0	Detail
01/01/2023	10-17-1	37.50%	-4350	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Seahawks 19, Rams 16 OT
— Mayfield completed only 13-26 passes, for 147 yards.
— Rams in 2nd half/OT: 32 plays, 99 yards, 3 points.
— Rams lost 11 of last 14 games SU (5-9 ATS).
— Rams were 4-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-10 when they scored less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 162-55 in second half.

— Seahawks made the playoffs when the Lions beat Green Bay.
— Seattle tied this game with 2:23 left on a 22-yard field goal.
— Seattle won the game on a field goal on their 2nd possession of OT.
— Seattle held last three opponents to 297/279/269 total yards.
— Seahawks visit the Bay Area, play the 49ers in playoffs next week.

Lions 20, Packers 16
— Detroit won eight of its last ten games (9-1 ATS).
— Last ten games, Lions were +14 in turnovers (18-4)
— Last six games, Detroit outscored foes 94-51 in second half.
— Lions were 5-2 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 12-21-1 SU, 23-10-1 ATS.

— Green Bay missed playoffs for first time since 2018.
— Packers had won/covered their last four games before this loss.
— Green Bay kicked a FG on three of its first four drives.
— WR Watson caught five passes for 104 yards.
— Green Bay was 1-8 this year when they scored less than 24 points.

Bills 35, Patriots 23
— Bills won their last seven games, scoring 29.3 ppg.
— Bills ran two kicks back for TD’s, including opening kickoff.
— Last three games, Buffalo converted 21-37 third down plays.
— Bills won six of last seven games with New England.
— Last three Buffalo games went over the total.

— With this loss, Patriots are eliminated from playoff contention.
— New England went 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS in their last seven games
— Both teams turned ball over three times.
— New England was 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 1-9 giving up 20+.
— Last six games, Patriots converted 30-100 third down plays.

Dolphins 11, Jets 6
— Dolphins win; they’re the #7 seed in the AFC, visit Buffalo next week.
— Sanders kicked a 50-yard FG with 0:18 left for the win.
— Miami won six of its eight home games this season.
— Miami is 6-4 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins’ win snapped their 5-game losing skid.

— Last three games, Jets had 30 drives, didn’t score a TD.
— Jets went 2-8 in their last ten games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets were outgained 302-187, ran ball 20 times for 38 yards.
— Jets went 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-9 scoring less than 20.
— 10 of last 12 Jet games stayed under the total.

Vikings 29, Bears 13
— Vikings went 13-4 this season, despite being outscored by 3 points.
— Minnesota outgained the Bears 482-259.
— Vikings averaged 10.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Minnesota is 11-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Seven of their last nine games went over the total.

— Texans won, so Chicago gets the first pick in April’s draft.
— Bears lost ten in row, 13 of last 14 games SU (3-10-1 ATS)
— QB Peterman was 11-19/114 passing in his first start in four years.
— Last four games, Bears converted 12-47 on third down.
— Last ten games, Chicago gave up 33.2 ppg.

Texans 32, Colts 31
— Mills threw 28-yard TD pass with 0:50 left for the win.
— By winning, Houston slips to #2 in April’s draft.
— Texans led 24-14 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
— Last six games, Houston was outscored 88-49 in second half.
— Last five weeks, Houston had 13 takeaways (+5 turnovers)

— Colts lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
— Both teams turned ball over three times in this game.
— Colts went 1-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.
— Colts had 14 turnovers in last six games (minus-5)

Panthers 10, Saints 7
— Piniero kicked a 42-yard FG as time expired for the win.
— QB Darnold played whole game, was 5-15/43 passing, with two INT’s.
— Carolina’s only TD; they recovered Darnold’s fumble in end zone.
— Panthers went 5-3 SU last eight games, 8-3 ATS in last 11.
— Panthers are 13-9 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.

— Saints outgained Carolina, 304-203.
— Panthers are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Bourbon Street.
— New Orleans held 8 of last 9 foes under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Saints went 3-1 after their bye week, giving up 12 ppg.
— Saints are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win (2-5 TY).

Falcons 30, Buccaneers 17
— Atlanta covered spread for first time since Week 6.
— Falcons outscored Tampa Bay 20-0 in second half.
— Atlanta split rookie QB Ridder’s four starts.
— In Ridder’s four starts, Falcons converted 25-56 on third down.
— Seven of their last ten games were decided by 6 or fewer points.

— Tampa Bay used all three of its QB’s in this game.
— Bucs have home playoff game next week, rested guys in 2nd half.
— Tampa Bay is 7-1 allowing less than 20 points, 1-8 giving up 20+.
— Buccaneers are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 14 of last 16 games.

Steelers 28, Browns 14
— Browns went 3-3 SU/ATS in Watson’s six starts.
— Watson’s six games: Browns scored 8 TDs on 57 drives, with 21 3/outs.
— Steelers sacked Watson seven times in this game.
— Browns were 2-7 this year when they ran for less than 171 yards.
— Browns were 7-4 giving up 24 or less points, 0-6 giving up more than 24.

— Steelers won/covered six of their last seven games.
— In those seven games, Steelers converted 70-129 (54.3%) on third down
— In this game, Steelers were 9-15 on 3rd down, Cleveland 5-12.
— Steelers finish 9-8; Tomlin has still never had a losing season.
— That said, last five years, Pittsburgh is 0-2 in playoff games.

Bengals 27, Ravens 16
— These teams will meet again in the playoffs here next week.
— #3 QB Brown was 19-44/286 passing with two INT’s.
— Ravens turned ball over four times (minus-3).
— Last five weeks, Baltimore was outscored 51-16 in second half.
— Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games.

— Bengals’ first three drives: 28 plays, 143 yards, 17 points.
— Cincinnati won its last eight games (12-2 ATS last 14).
— Baltimore outgained the Ravens, 386-257.
— Last three games, Bengals were held to 53-73-55 rushing yards.
— Bengals are 11-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.

Broncos 31, Chargers 28
— Chargers didn’t need this; they play at Jacksonville next week.
— Chargers are 9-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-6 if they give up 27+.
— Last 12 games, Chargers converted 78-174 on third down (44.1%)
— Chargers are 4-8 ATS in last 12 AFC West road games.
— Denver outrushed the Chargers, 205-59.

— Broncos ran for 205 yards, outgained Chargers 471-352
— Jeudy caught five passes for 154 yards.
— Denver averaged 10.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Denver covered five of its last six games.
— Last five Denver games went over the total.

49ers 38, Cardinals 13
— San Francisco won its last ten games (8-2 ATS)
— 49ers outscored last nine opponents 157-54 in second half.
— 49ers are 10-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— Last five games, 49ers converted 65-132 (49.2%) on third down.
— 49ers are 8-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.

— 49ers host Seattle in the playoffs Saturday.
— Cardinals lost their last seven games, and 11 of their last 13.
— Arizona turned ball over four times, ran for only 61 yards.
— Arizona was 1-13 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Last 12 games, Arizona was outscored 191-92 in 2nd half.

Eagles 22, Giants 16
— Giants went 3-6-1 SU in last 10 games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants are 13-4 ATS this season, 5-2 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 8-0-1 allowing 20 or less points, 1-7 allowing 21+ points.
— Davis Webb played QB for Giants (23-40/168 passing).
— Giants visit Minnesota in playoffs next week.

— Eagles clinch #1 seed in NFC, have next week off.
— Philly won 15 of last 19 games against the Giants.
— Giants covered five of last six visits to Philadelphia.
— Hurts was 20-35/229 passing in his return to the lineup.
— Philly is 7-2 SU/6-3 ATS at home this season.

Commanders 26, Cowboys 6
— #5-seed Dallas visits Tampa Bay in playoffs next Monday night.
— Cowboys are 0-8 in last eight road playoff games (last win- 1992)
— Prescott threw a pick-6 that made score 13-0 Washington.
— Cowboys missed the PAT after their only touchdown.
— Cowboys are 7-6 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite (2-3 TY).

— Rookie QB Howell was 11-19/169 in first NFL start.
— Washington went 1-3-1 SU/1-4 ATS in its last five games.
— Commanders outgained Dallas 309-182 in this game.
— Washington was 5-1 when it scores 23+ points, 3-7-1 if they didn’t.
— 12 of their last 15 games stayed under the total.

 

[Udog]

WILD CARD ROUND

 

[Udog]

SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

LA CHARGERS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) revenging a same season loss against opponent in the last 3 seasons.

BUFFALO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) as a dog in the current season.

CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the current season.

TAMPA BAY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a loss in the current season.




NFL
Dunkel

Wild Card Round

NFL
Long Sheet

Wild Card Round

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (9 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (13 - 4) - 1/14/2023, 4:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CHARGERS (10 - 7) at JACKSONVILLE (9 - 8) - 1/14/2023, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 144-105 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 144-105 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 114-83 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 34-8 ATS (+25.2 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (9 - 8) at BUFFALO (13 - 3) - 1/15/2023, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 5-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (9 - 7 - 1) at MINNESOTA (13 - 4) - 1/15/2023, 4:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
NY GIANTS are 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 111-79 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 111-82 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (10 - 7) at CINCINNATI (12 - 4) - 1/15/2023, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
CINCINNATI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CINCINNATI is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-3 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-3 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (12 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (8 - 9) - 1/16/2023, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games in January games since 1992.
DALLAS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NFL

Wild Card Round

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Seattle @ San Francisco
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

LA Chargers @ Jacksonville
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
LA Chargers is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing LA Chargers

Miami @ Buffalo
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

NY Giants @ Minnesota
NY Giants
NY Giants is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home

Baltimore @ Cincinnati
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Tampa Bay
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wild Card Round

Saturday’s games

Seahawks (9-8) @ 49ers (13-4)
— Seahawks won last two games, giving up 6-16 points.
— Seattle is 5-0 allowing 16 or less points, 4-8 giving up 21+.
— Seahawks are 3-3 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Last five years, Seahawks are 1-3 in playoffs, losing by 2-5-10 points.
— Seattle is 4-6 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Last four games, Seattle converted 12-53 (22.6%) on third down.
— Last six games, opponents are 45-105 (42.9%) on 3rd down.
— Geno Smith is 22-29 as an NFL starter, 0-0 in playoffs.
— Seattle held last three opponents to 297/279/269 total yards.
— Seattle’s last four games stayed under the total.

— San Francisco won its last ten games (8-2 ATS)
— Rookie QB Purdy is 114-170/1,374 passing, with 16 TD’s, 4 INT’s.
— 49ers outscored last nine opponents 157-54 in second half.
— 49ers are 10-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 65-132 (49.2%) on third down.
— In nine post-bye games, 49ers ran ball for 155.9 yards/game.
— 49ers are 8-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— 49ers are +21 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— Last six times 49ers made playoffs, they won their first playoff game.
— Purdy is 5-0 as an NFL starter; this is his first playoff game.

— 49ers beat Seattle twice this season, 27-7/21-13
— In those two games, Seahawks scored one TD on 20 drives.
— Before this year, Seattle was 15-2 in last 17 series games.
— Seahawks are 5-4 ATS in their last nine visits here.
— Last two years, #2-seeds are 3-1 ATS in this round.

Chargers (10-7) @ Jaguars (9-8)
— Chargers are in playoffs for first time since 2018.
— Chargers won four of their last five games SU.
— Bolts are 5-4 SU on the road this season.
— Bolts scored 21.8 ppg last 5 games, with WR’s Allen/Williams back.
— Chargers are 9-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-6 if they give up 27+.
— Last 12 games, Chargers converted 85-188 on third down (45.2%)
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in 13 of 17 games.
— Chargers are +8 in turnovers in their wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— This is HC Staley’s first playoff game as head coach.
— QB Herbert is 25-24 as an NFL starter; this is his first playoff game.
— Last 5 times Chargers were in playoffs, they won first playoff game.

— Jaguars are in playoffs for 1st time since 2017, 2nd time since ’07.
— Jacksonville won five in row, six of last seven games.
— Jacksonville won its last four home games SU.
— Jaguars allowed one TD in last three games, winning 19-3/31-3/20-16.
— Last eight games, Jaguars are +7 in turnovers (16-9)
— Jaguars are 4-0 ATS this season as a home underdog.
— Last five games, Jaguars scored 29.2 ppg (14 TD’s/51 drives)
— Last five games, Jaguars outscored foes 79-27 in second half.
— Jaguars covered four of last five games overall.
— Last four games, Jaguars converted 30-64 (46.9%) on third down.
— Pederson is 4-2 in playoff games as a head coach.

— Last six times #5-seed was favored in this round, they went 5-1 ATS
— In Week 3, Jaguars (+3) crushed Chargers 38-10.
— In that game, Jacksonville held Bolts to 26 yards on 12 rushing tries.
— Chargers are 8-2 SU last 10 series games, 5-0 ATS last five visits here.


Sunday’s games

Dolphins (9-8) @ Bills (13-3)
— Sounding like #3 QB Thompson starts this game.
— Thompson is 1-1 as an NFL starter; this is his first playoff game.
— Is possible that Mike Glennon (6-25 as starter) is backup QB here.
— Dolphins lost five of last six games; the win was 11-6 over Jets.
— Miami is 3-2 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Dolphins’ last five games were all decided by 6 or less points.
— Miami is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-14 in losses.
— Miami is 6-4 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 7-3 if they score 18+ points, 2-5 if they score 17 or less.
— Last six games, Dolphins are 22-81 (27.2%) on third down.
— Miami lost its last four playoff games; their last win was in 2000.

— Bills won their last seven games, scoring 32-35-35 in last three.
— Buffalo is 3-6-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in last five games as a home favorite.
— Last two games, Buffalo converted 21-37 third down plays.
— Bills scored 28+ points in six of last eight games.
— Bills scored 38 TD’s on their last 122 drives.
— Buffalo has 75 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 60)
— Last three Buffalo games went over the total.
— Buffalo has trailed twice at halftime TY (10-2-4 in first half)
— Josh Allen is 3-3 in playoff games (3-0 home/0-3 road)
— Last two years, Buffalo is 3-2 in playoff games, winning by 3-14-30 points.
— Before that, their last playoff win was in 1995.

— Since 2011, double digit favorites are 5-1 ATS in this round.
— Teams split two games this year, decided by total of five points.
— Buffalo won 10 of last 12 meetings overall.
— Dolphins are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Orchard Park.
— Last two years, #2-seeds are 3-1 ATS in this round.

Giants (9-7-1) @ Vikings (13-4)
— Giants are in playoffs for first time since 2016, 2nd time since ’11.
— Last time Giants were in playoffs, their QB was Eli Manning.
— Giants are 3-6-1 SU in last ten games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants are 13-4 ATS this season, 5-2 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 8-0-1 allowing 20 or less points, 1-7 allowing 21+ points.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Giants are 5-1-1 TY in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Daniel Jones is 21-31-1 as an NFL starter; this is his first playoff game.
— Daboll is a first-year head coach; obviously, his first playoff game.
— Giants are 8-2 in last 10 playoff games, winning Super Bowl in ’07/’11.

— Vikings are 3-2 in their last five games SU (1-4 ATS).
— Vikings are 11-0 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Vikings are 4-3 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Minnesota is 8-4-1 ATS in last thirteen games.
— Despite being 13-4, Vikings have been outscored 427-424.
— Last five weeks, Vikings were outscored 87-36 in first half.
— Last nine games. Minnesota gave up average of 29.6 ppg.
— Cousins is 73-65-2 as an NFL starter, 1-2 in playoff games.
— Vikings turned ball 11 times in last five games (minus-6).
— Minnesota is 11-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Seven of their last nine games went over the total.
— Vikings are in playoffs for first time since 2019.
— O’Connell is a first-year head coach; obviously, his first playoff game.

— Vikings (-4) beat Giants 27-24 here three weeks ago.
— Giants outgained them 445-353; Vikings were +2 in turnovers.
— Minnesota won last four meetings (3-1 ATS)
— Last five years, #6-seeds are 8-2 SU/9-1 ATS in this round.

Ravens (10-7) @ Bengals (12-4)
— #3 QB Brown was 19-44/286 in his first NFL start LW.
— He started for three years in college (Boston College/Oregon)
— Ravens are 3-4 in last seven games SU, are 3-5 ATS in last eight.
— Last six games, Ravens scored 12.5 ppg.
— Last six games, Ravens threw for 4.4/4.9/3.8/5.4/5.5/5.8 yards per play.
— Nine of last 14 Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in five of their seven losses.
— Ravens are 14-3-2 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Last five weeks, Baltimore was outscored 36-18 in second half.
— Last six weeks, Ravens converted 27-78 (34.6%) on 3rd down.
— 11 of Ravens’ last 14 games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 9-2 giving up 20 or less points, 1-5 if they give up 20+.
— Harbaugh is 11-8 in playoff games, 1-3 since 2015.

— Cincinnati won its last eight games (12-2 ATS last 14).
— Cincy is 6-1 SU at home TY, winning last six home tilts.
— Bengals are 4-2 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 11-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
— Cincy converted 82 of last 171 (48%) third down plays.
— Bengals scored 35 TD’s on their last 102 drives.
— Last three games, Bengals were held to 53-73-55 rushing yards.
— Cincy is 8-2 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Four of last six Bengal games stayed under the total.
— Bengals scored 84 points on last 16 red zone drives.
— Bengals won AFC title LY; before that, their last playoff win was in 1990.
— QB Burrow is 3-1 in playoff games; he won a national title at LSU.

— Teams split couple of meetings this year.
— Bengals (-11.5) beat Ravens 27-16 here last week.
— Baltimore won seven of last 11 series games.
— Ravens are 4-2 ATS in last six meetings played here.
— Under is 4-3 in last seven series games.
— Last five years, #6-seeds are 9-1 ATS in this round.


Monday’s game

Cowboys (12-5) @ Buccaneers (8-9)
— Cowboys won 12 of their last 16 games (10-6 ATS).
— Dallas lost its last eight road playoff games (last road win, 1992)
— Prescott has thrown an INT in each of his last seven games.
— Last six games, Dallas converted 63-118 on third down.
— Last eight games, Cowboys outscored foes 134-85 in 2nd half.
— Cowboys are 7-6 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite (2-3 TY).
— Dallas is +13 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.
— McCarthy is 10-9 in playoff games; he won Super Bowl in 2010.
— Cowboys lost four of five games on natural grass TY.
— QB Prescott is 62-39 as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoff games.

— Despite being 8-9, Tampa Bay won the NFC South.
— Other under-.500 teams in NFL history won their Wild Card game
— Tampa Bay’s last six wins were all by 6 or less points.
— Last six games, Bucs were outscored 71-53 in first half.
— Buccaneers are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Tampa Bay is 6-1 allowing less than 20 points, 1-8 giving up 20+.
— Bucs have seven takeaways in last three games (+3 TO’s)
— 11 of 17 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 14 of last 16 games.
— Tampa Bay lost field position in six of last eight games.
— Brady is 35-12 in playoff games, 5-1 with the Bucs.
— This is Bowles’ 5th year as a head coach, his first playoff game.

— Last six times #5-seed was favored in this round, they went 5-1 ATS
— Buccaneers (-2) beat Dallas 19-3 way back in Week 1.
— Cowboys averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt in that game.
— Dallas won seven of last ten series games.
— Cowboys covered three of last four visits to Tampa.

 

[Udog]

49ers are 4-0 Over in last four home games
49ers allowed 14 points or less in all six NFC West games
Seahawks are 4-0 Under in last four games
Seahawks are 4-2 Under vs. NFC West opponents
Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in last 8 Wild Card games


The Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the Chargers' last six games.
The Chargers are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The Jaguars are 5-0 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Jacksonville's last seven games against the Chargers.
The Jaguars are 4-1 SU in their last five home games.
The Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against Jacksonville.
The Chargers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against Jacksonville.
The Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.

 

[Udog]

Bills are 3-0 Over in last three games
Bills are 3-1 Over in last four playoff games
Dolphins are 7-2 Over in nine road games
Dolphins are 5-1 ATS vs. AFC East opponents


The Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
The Giants are 2-8 SU in their last ten matchups against Minnesota.
The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Minnesota's last seven games.
The Vikings are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Minnesota's last six games against the Giants.
The Vikings are 9-1 SU in their last ten home games.
The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.


The total has gone UNDER in five of Baltimore's last six games.
The Ravens are 6-3 SU in their last nine matchups against Cincinnati.
The Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Cincinnati's last six games.
The Bengals are 8-0 SU in their last eight games.
The Bengals are 6-0 SU in their last six home games.
The Ravens are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wild Card Round

— NFL playoff nuggets for this weekend:
Rain/wind expected for the Seahawks-49ers game; last two years, #2-seeds are 3-1 SU/ATS in this round. 49ers ran for 189/170 yards in their two wins over Seattle this year. Both QB’s are making their first career playoff start.

Both QB’s in Chargers-Jaguars game are also making their first-ever playoff start. Last six times #5-seed was favored in this round, they went 5-1 ATS. Jaguars waxed the Chargers 38-10 at SoFi back in Week 3. Chargers’ WR Williams (back) is out.

Dolphins are starting #3 QB Thompson (1-1 as an NFL starter) this week; they lost five of their last six games, beating Jets 11-6 last week. Miami hasn’t won a playoff game since 2000.

Last five years, #6-seeds are 9-1 ATS in this round.

Despite being 13-4, Vikings have been outscored 427-424. Giants are 13-4 ATS this season, 5-2 as a road underdog. Kirk Cousins is 1-2 in playoff games; both head coaches are first-year coaches, so obviously, this is their first playoff game.

Cincinnati won its last eight games (12-2 ATS last 14). Bengals won AFC title last year; before that, their last playoff win was in 1990. John Harbaugh is 11-8 in playoff games, 1-3 since 2015.

In his career, Tom Brady is 41-20-2 ATS as an underdog; this is first time he has been a home underdog in a playoff game. Dallas is 0-8 in its last eight road playoff games; their last road playoff win was in 1992.

In overtime games this season, both teams will get the ball at least once, unless there is a defensive score on the first series in OT. This is different than the regular season rule, where a TD scored by the offense on the first drive ends the game.




NFL
Weather Report

Wild Card Round

 

[indiana]

C/note and U/dog.......thank you again for all your effort and thought's this past season......
have a great playoff guys......indy