Cnotes' NFL 2022-2023 football season previews-news-notes-picks-rumors!

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

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DALLAS (11 - 4) at TENNESSEE (7 - 8) - 12/29/2022, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
DALLAS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (6 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 8) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TAMPA BAY is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (6 - 9) at WASHINGTON (7 - 7 - 1) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 70-105 ATS (-45.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 104-137 ATS (-46.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 104-137 ATS (-46.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 104-137 ATS (-46.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (7 - 8) at BALTIMORE (10 - 5) - 1/1/2023, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 98-66 ATS (+25.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (6 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 2) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 11) at ATLANTA (5 - 10) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (7 - 8) at HOUSTON (2 - 12 - 1) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (3 - 12) at DETROIT (7 - 8) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (8 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (7 - 8) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 294-232 ATS (+38.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 294-232 ATS (+38.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 96-62 ATS (+27.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 224-170 ATS (+37.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 150-108 ATS (+31.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 140-104 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 97-69 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (4 - 11) at KANSAS CITY (12 - 3) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 5-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 9 - 1) at NY GIANTS (8 - 6 - 1) - 1/1/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
NY GIANTS are 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (7 - 8) at SEATTLE (7 - 8) - 1/1/2023, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
NY JETS are 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 4) at LAS VEGAS (6 - 9) - 1/1/2023, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 41-69 ATS (-34.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (12 - 3) at GREEN BAY (7 - 8) - 1/1/2023, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 284-236 ATS (+24.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 284-236 ATS (+24.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 144-110 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 144-110 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 106-78 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 224-161 ATS (+46.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 72-47 ATS (+20.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA RAMS (5 - 10) at LA CHARGERS (8 - 6) - 1/1/2023, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 83-116 ATS (-44.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 95-65 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (12 - 3) at CINCINNATI (11 - 4) - 1/2/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in January games since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CINCINNATI is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Udog]

NFL

Week 17

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Tennessee
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tennessee's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tennessee's last 12 games

Jacksonville @ Houston
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

Denver @ Kansas City
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver

Arizona @ Atlanta
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games

Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Miami @ New England
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
New England
New England is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games at home

Indianapolis @ NY Giants
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New Orleans @ Philadelphia
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

Cleveland @ Washington
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games

San Francisco @ Las Vegas
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Jets @ Seattle
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

Minnesota @ Green Bay
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home

LA Rams @ LA Chargers
LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Rams's last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 9 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

Buffalo @ Cincinnati
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 17

Thursday game
Cowboys (11-4) @ Titans (7-8)
— Cowboys won 11 of their last 14 games (9-5 ATS).
— Cowboys’ last two games (1-1) both ended 40-34.
— Last eight games, Dallas scored 36 TD’s on 85 drives.
— Last six games, Dallas converted 51-87 on third down.
— Dallas gained 397+ TY in each of their last eight games.
— Cowboys lost three of their last four road games SU.
— Dallas is 11-13-1 ATS last 25 games vs AFC teams.
— Last 5 games, Cowboys have 29 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 21)
— Dallas is +14 in turnovers in its wins, minus-2 in losses.
— Over is 7-1 in their last seven games.
— Cowboys are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite (1-2 TY).

— Tennessee lost last five games, scoring 15.2 points/game.
— Titans are behind Jaguars now in AFC South race.
— Rookie QB Willis is 1-2 as an NFL starter.
— Titans are 0-5 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in nine of last 11 games.
— Last five weeks, Titans were outscored 59-28 in second half.
— First eight games, Titans ran ball for 142.3 yards/game.
— Last six games, Titans ran ball for 114.3 yards/game.
— Opponents have converted only 64-201 (31.8%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held nine of last 13 foes under their team total.
— Titans are 5-1 ATS last six games as a home underdog.
— Under is 11-4 in Titan games this season.
— Titans are 1-4-1 ATS coming off a loss this season.

— Teams split last six series games; road teams won last four.
— Cowboys won 26-10/45-14 in last two visits to Nashville.
— Underdogs covered four of last five meetings.

 

[Udog]

Sunday’s games
Panthers (6-9) @ Buccaneers (7-8)
— Panthers won four of last six games, covered seven of last nine.
— Darnold is 20-33 as an NFL starter, 3-1 this year.
— Last four games, Panthers ran ball for 187.3 yards/game.
— Panthers are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Carolina has converted only 52-177 (29.4%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 15-13 ATS in last 28 games coming off a loss (2-2 TY).
— Carolina is 6-10 ATS last 16 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last three Panther games went over the total.
— Carolina went over its team total in seven of last nine games.
— Carolina is 5-2 scoring 22+ points, 1-7 scoring 21 or less.
— Last three games, opponents converted 21-41 on third down.

— Despite being 7-8, Tampa Bay is in first place in AFC South.
— Tampa Bay is 4-6 SU in its last ten games.
— Tampa Bay is 3-4 SU/0-6-1 ATS at home this season.
— Last four games, Bucs were outscored 47-26 in first half.
— Buccaneers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last dozen games.
— Tampa Bay is 6-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-7 giving up 20+.
— Bucs turned ball over 11 times in last four games (minus-6 TO’s)
— Tampa Bay is 2-3 ATS this year coming off a win.
— 11 of 15 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 12 of last 14 games.
— Last six games, Tampa Bay lost field position by 12-5-10-9-26-4 yards.

— Winner of this game will be in first place in NFC South.
— Carolina (+13) upset the Buccaneers 21-3 at home in Week 7.
— Tampa Bay won five of last six meetings SU.
— Panthers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Tampa.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Colts (4-10-1) @ Giants (8-6-1)
— Last three games, Colts were outscored 82-9 in 2nd half/OT.
— Colts lost eight of their last nine games SU.
— Colts went under their team total in 11 of 15 games TY.
— Last two games, Indianapolis has one TD on 25 drives.
— Colts are 3-1-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-9 if they score less.
— Colts have 10 turnovers in last four games (minus-5)
— Four of their last six games went over the total.
— Colts are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as road underdog (3-3 ATS).
— Indy is 2-5 ATS this year, coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Colts converted 18-69 (30.5%) third down plays.
— Last eight years, Indy is 22-10-1 ATS vs NFC teams (2-2 TY)
— Colts are 1-3 SU outdoors this year, scoring 6.3 ppg.

— Giants are 2-5-1 SU last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants are 11-4 ATS this season, 3-2 as a home favorite.
— Giants are 7-0-1 allowing 20 or less points, 1-6 allowing 21+ points.
— Giants trailed by 10+ points in three of their wins.
— Last five games, Giants converted 21-71 (29.6%) on third down.
— Giants are 4-0 ATS TY coming off a loss.
— Big Blue is 4-0 ATS TY against AFC opponents.
— Last five games, Giants were outscored 78-52 in 2nd half.
— Giants are 5-1-1 TY in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Last two games, Giants scored 17 points on five red zone drives.
— Giants clinch a playoff spot with a win here.

— Colts won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
— Indianapolis won 40-24/26-21 in last two visits here.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.

Bears (3-12) @ Lions (7-8)
— Chicago lost eight in row, 11 of last 12 games SU (3-8-1 ATS).
— Last eight games, Chicago gave up 32.6 ppg.
— Opponents scored TD’s on 30 of last 74 drives.
— Last two games, Bears converted 7-25 on third down.
— Bears ran ball for 50 yards, by far their lowest amount this year.
— Last 4 games, Bears were outscored 76-20 in second half.
— Chicago is 4-11 ATS in last 15 games as road underdogs (1-6 TY).
— Bears led at halftime three times this season (3-10-2).
— Chicago is 0-5 ATS last five NFC North road games.
— Over is 9-1-1 in their last eleven games.
— Last seven games, Bears were outscored 45-7 in last 2:00 of each half.

— Detroit won six of its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Last seven games, Lions have scored 29.1 ppg.
— Lions are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Last four games, Detroit outscored foes 63-44 in second half.
— Last eight games, Lions are +10 in turnovers (14-4)
— Last two games, Detroit ran ball 45 times for only 152 yards.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 10-21-1 SU, 21-10-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 11-7-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Detroit is 7-1 ATS in last eight NFC North home games.
— Over is 6-3 in Detroit’s last nine games.
— Lions held four of last six foes under their team total.

— Lions (+3) won 31-30 in Chicago in Week 10; Bears ran for 258 yards.
— Despite that, Chicago won seven of last nine meetings.
— Bears won their last four visits to the Motor City.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games here.

Dolphins (8-7) @ Patriots (7-8)
— Tagovailoa is in concussion protocol, unlikely to play here.
— Dolphins lost their last four games, after a 5-0 streak.
— Miami is 3-5 SU on road this year, 2-2 ATS as road underdog.
— Dolphins are 12-9 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
— Miami is 5-3 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 7-2 if they score 18+ points, 1-5 if they score 17 or less.
— Last five games, Dolphins are 14-54 on third down.
— Dolphins are 7-4 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.
— Miami is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-12 in losses.
— Five of last six Dolphin road games went over the total.
— Dolphins are 3-9 ATS in last dozen games coming off a loss.
— Backup QB Bridgewater is 33-32 as an NFL starter.

— Patriots are 1-4 SU/ATS in their last five games.
— Patriots’ last eight games: 10 TD’s, 23 FGA’s, 30 3/outs on 87 drives.
— Patriots committed only three turnovers in last six games (+5 TO’s)
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-8 giving up 20+.
— Patriots are 1-5 SU when game goes over the total, 6-3 if it stays under.
— Last five games, Patriots converted 21-74 third down plays (28.4%).
— NE is +8 in turnovers in its wins, minus-2 in losses.
— Patriots are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
— Mac Jones is 15-15 as an NFL starter.
— Six of last eight New England games stayed under the total.
— Is there hangover effect, given hideous way they lost last two games?
— New England fumbled on 6-yard line in last minute LW; they lost on a hideous intercepted lateral on last play in Las Vegas two weeks ago.

— Dolphins (-3.5) beat New England 20-7 in Week 1.
— Miami won four of last five series games SU.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Foxboro.
— Five of last six series games stayed under the total.

Browns (6-9) @ Commanders (7-7-1)
— Browns are 2-2 SU/ATS in Watson’s first four starts.
— Watson’s four games: Browns scored 3 TDs on 38 drives, with 16 3/outs.
— In Watson’s four starts, Browns are +4 in turnovers (8-4)
— Cleveland is 4-4 SU in last eight games after a 2-5 start.
— Browns are 6-4 giving up 24 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 24.
— Browns are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games against NFC teams.
— Browns are 1-6 when they run for less than 171 yards.
— Cleveland outgained 11 of its 15 opponents, but they’re 6-9.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Browns are 4-3 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Watson is 31-29 as an NFL starter, making playoffs twice with Houston.

— Washington is 0-2-1 SU/0-3 ATS in its last three games.
— Washington is currently #7 seed in NFC, last playoff spot.
— Last seven games, they ran ball for 160.1 yards/game.
— Washington is 3-4 SU at home this season.
— Commanders are 2-4 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— Washington is 4-1 when it scores 23+ points, 3-6-1 if they don’t.
— Washington is 8-6-1 ATS last 15 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last four games, Commanders allowed 145.5 rushing yards/game.
— Washington is 7-6 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
— 10 of their last 13 games stayed under the total.
— Opponents went over their team total the last three games.
— Wentz is 46-45-1 as an NFL starter, 2-4 this season.

— Commanders won three of last four series games.
— Browns lost 31-20/14-11 in last two visits here.
— Last three meetings went over the total.

Saints (6-9) @ Eagles (13-2)
— Saints are 2-0 since its bye week, giving up 18-10 points.
— In those games, Saints converted 12-26 on third down.
— NO is 2-5 SU/ATS in true road games this season.
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 2-6 when they score less.
— Saints have five takeaways last nine games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Saints are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win (1-4 TY).
— Saints have been outscored 77-31 in last 2:00 of each half.
— New Orleans held last seven opponents under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Seven of last eight New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Last four games, Saints scored 33 points on ten red zone drives.
— Saints are 1-5 SU outdoors this season, scoring 13.7 ppg.

— Eagles won five of last six games, scoring 36.4 ppg in last five.
— Philly is 6-1 SU/ATS at home this season.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 9-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Eagle games.
— Eagles have 55 touchdowns on 148 drives this season.
— Last eight games, Philly converted 49-98 3rd down plays (50%).
— Last six games, Eagle opponents converted 24-77 (31.2%) on 3rd down.
— Philly is 9-16 ATS last 25 games coming off a loss.
— Last seven games, Eagles allowed 21.9 ppg (16.9 in first eight games).
— Last five games, Eagles have 33 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 20).
— Minshew is 8-15 as an NFL starter, 0-1 TY.

— Home team won last six series games.
— Saints are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Philadelphia.
— Over is 9-4 in last thirteen meetings.

Broncos (4-11) @ Chiefs (12-3)
— Broncos fired their HC, two assistants Monday.
— Denver lost 10 of their last 12 games (4-7-1 ATS)
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in 11 of 15 games.
— Broncos are 7-10-1 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
— Last three games, Broncos allowed 19 sacks, had 2 themselves.
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17-15 points in their four wins.
— Last three games, Denver scored TD’s on all seven red zone drives.
— Last six games, Broncos are 51-191 (26.7%) on third down.
— Denver is 0-7 SU in true road games TY; they won game in England.
— 11 of 15 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Denver lost field position six of last eight games.
— Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS last eight games as road underdog.

— Chiefs won 10 of last 12 games (5-7 ATS).
— KC trailed at halftime in four of last eight games.
— Chiefs were held under their team total in six of last eight games.
— Chiefs are 10-12 ATS last 22 games as home favorite (3-3 TY).
— Last ten games, Chiefs converted 75-136 (55.1%) third down plays.
— Last three weeks, opponents converted 12-41 (29.3%) third down plays.
— Last eight games, Chiefs are minus-5 in turnovers (8-13)
— Chiefs have 79 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 48.
— Chiefs lost field position battle in eight of last ten games.
— KC is 3-7 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Chiefs allowed 24+ points in four of last six games.
— Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in last seven AFC West home games.

— Chiefs (-9) won 34-28 in Denver three weeks ago.
— Kansas City won last 13 series games SU.
— Broncos are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Arrowhead.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.

Cardinals (4-11) @ Falcons (5-10)
— McSorley was 24-45/217 (1 INT) in his first NFL start.
— Cardinals lost five in row, nine of their last 11 games SU.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of last ten games.
— Last ten games, Arizona was outscored 168-86 in 2nd half.
— Cardinals lost field position battle in nine of last 11 games.
— Arizona is 1-11 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Last three games, Cardinals converted 11-45 on third down.
— Last five games, Arizona turned ball over 12 times (minus-7).
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 15-5-1 ATS as a road dog (3-2 TY).
— Cardinals outscored opponents 69-36 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Seven of last nine Arizona games went over the total.

— Falcons lost six of last seven games SU, are 0-9 ATS in last nine.
— Falcons have 2 TD’s on 18 drives in rookie QB Ridder’s first two NFL starts.
— Six of their last eight games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Underdogs are 9-5-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 1-7-1 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite (0-2 TY).
— Last three games, Falcons were outscored 44-12 in first half.
— Last six games, Atlanta allowed 173.3 rushing yards/game.
— Falcons are 15-14 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss (4-5 TY).
— In Ridder’s two starts, Falcons converted 14-30 on third down.
— Last four games, Atlanta has only 4 TD’s on 35 drives.
— Under is 6-1 in their last sevenen games.

— Falcons won five of last seven series games.
— Cardinals lost last seven visits to Atlanta (2-5 ATS)
— Last four meetings went over the total.

Jaguars (7-8) @ Texans (2-12-1)
— Jacksonville won three in row, five of last seven games.
— Despite their record, Jaguars are in first place in AFC South.
— Jaguars are 3-6 in one-score games (decided by 8 or less points).
— Last six games, Jaguars are +7 in turnovers (13-6)
— Jaguars are 3-5 ATS this season as a road underdog.
— In his career, Pederson is 12-18 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last three games, Jaguars scored 31.7 ppg (8 TD’s/32 drives)
— Last three games, Jaguars outscored foes 56-21 in second half.
— Jaguars are 8-11 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Last three games, Jaguars converted 21-41 on third down.
— Five of their last seven games went over the total.

— Texans snapped their 9-game losing skid last week.
— Texans covered their last three games.
— Last three weeks, Houston has 8 takeaways (+4 turnovers)
— Texans are 10-10-1 ATS last 21 games as a home dog (3-3 TY)
— Houston is 3-7 ATS TY in games with a single digit spread.
— Last four games, Houston was outscored 54-31 in second half.
— Texans won field position battle the last four games.
— Texans are 17-14-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a win.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 10 of 15 games.
— Texans have 7 TD’s on last 34 drives (5 on last 48 drives before that).

— Texans (+8) won 13-6 at Jacksonville in Week 5.
— Houston won nine in row, 15 of last 17 series games.
— Jaguars are 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.

49ers (11-4) @ Raiders (6-10)
— 49ers has clinched NFC West; they’re playing for playoff seeding.
— Rookie QB Purdy is 77-115/912 passing, with 8 TD’s, 3 INT’s.
— San Francisco won its last eight games (7-1 ATS)
— 49ers outscored last seven opponents 117-37 in second half.
— 49ers are 8-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 55-111 on third down.
— In seven post-bye games, 49ers ran ball for 152 yards/game.
— 49ers are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— 49ers are +16 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— RB/WR Deebo Samuel (ankle) is out here.
— Last four games, 49ers forced 22 3/outs on 44 drives.

— Las Vegas won four of last six games, with losses by 1-3 points.
— Raiders turned ball over 10 times in last five games (minus-4)
— Last four weeks, Raiders converted 19-52 (36.5%) on third down.
— Raiders are 4-2 SU at home this season, winning last two.
— Raiders are 3-7 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Las Vegas led 17-0 in three of their losses.
— Raiders have blown four double digit leads in 2nd half.
— Last four games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 1-3 against its team total.
— Las Vegas is 8-14 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss (3-4 TY).
— Under is 3-1 in last four Raider games.
— Derek Carr is 63-80 as an NFL starter.
— Last two games, Raiders converted 16-39 (41%) third down plays.

— San Francisco won four of last five meetings.
— This is 49ers’ first-ever visit to Las Vegas.
— Last three series games stayed under the total.

Jets (7-8) @ Seahawks (7-7)
— QB White is expected to start here (2-4 as NFL starter)
— Jets are 2-6 in their last eight games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
— Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-7 scoring less than 20.
— Jets scored 49 points on their last 15 red zone drives (3.27 pts/drive).
— Jets have 2 takeaways in their last six games (minus-5 TO’s)
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-5 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Eight of last ten Jet games stayed under the total.
— Last two games, Jets ran ball 64 times for only 192 yards.
— Jets held nine of last 12 opponents under their team total.
— Jets are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC opponents.
— Jets are 5-2 ATS this season, coming off a loss.

— Seattle is 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS last six games, running for 74.3 yards/game.
— Last four games, Seahawks gave up 27.6 ppg.
— Seattle is 3-6 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Last six games, Seattle allowed 19 TD’s on 62 drives.
— Last six games, opponents are 37-78 (47.4%) on 3rd down.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 6-27 on third down.
— Seattle is 5-7 ATS last 12 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Seahawks lost last three home games, giving up 40-30-21 points.
— Geno Smith was 12-18 starting for the Jets from 2013-16.
— Seattle is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC teams.
— Over is 8-5 in their last thirteen games.

— Seahawks won last four meetings, by a combined 108-30.
— Jets are 0-3 ATS/SU in last three visits to Seattle.
— Three of last four series games stayed under the total.

Vikings (12-3) @ Packers (7-8)
— Vikings won 11 of their last 13 games SU.
— Vikings are 11-0 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Vikings are 4-1 SU outdoors; their last outdoor game was Week 10.
— Minnesota is 7-3-1 ATS in last eleven games.
— Despite being 12-3, Vikings have outscored foes only 378-373.
— Last three weeks, Vikings were outscored 54-17 in first half.
— Last seven games. Minnesota gave up average of 30.3 ppg.
— Minnesota is 5-3-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Cousins is 72-64-2 as an NFL starter.
— Last three weeks, Vikings ran ball 60 times for only 167 yards.
— Minnesota is 10-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-3 when it does not.
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.

— Green Bay won/covered its last three games.
— Packers need two more wins and some help to make playoffs.
— Packers are 18-10 ATS last 28 games as a home fave (3-2 TY).
— Green Bay went over its team total in five of last six games.
— Last seven games, Green Bay was outscored 129-80 in first half.
— Packers are 8-2 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— In two post-bye games, opponents converted 6-18 on third down.
— Four of their last six games went over the total.
— Green Bay is 3-7 when they run ball for less than 175 yards.
— Last two games, Packers allowed 72-82 rushing yards.
— Packers led at halftime once in last eight games.

— Vikings (+1.5) beat Green Bay 23-7 at home in Week 1.
— Packers are 4-3-1 SU in last eight series games.
— Vikings covered once in last four visits to Lambeau.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.

Rams (5-10) vs Chargers (9-6)
— Rams won two of Mayfield’s three starts for them.
— Mayfield is 4th QB to start for Rams this year.
— Rams lost nine of last 12 games SU (4-8 ATS).
— Rams are 4-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-8 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 135-52 in second half.
— In Mayfield’s starts, Rams converted 14-33 (42.4%) on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total 10 of last 13 games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-4 ATS as a home dog (3-2 TY).
— Rams are 10-13-1 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
— Over is 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Rams have 12 takeaways in last five games (one in previous seven).

— Chargers clinched first playoff spot since 2018 Monday night.
— Short week after Monday’s win in Indianapolis.
— Chargers are 5-3 SU in their last eight games.
— Bolts gained 370.3 yards/game last 3 games, with WR’s Allen/Williams back.
— Chargers are 8-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.
— Last ten games, Chargers converted 70-161 on third down (43.5%)
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in 12 of 15 games.
— Chargers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Chargers are 6-8-2 ATS last 16 games coming off a win
— Under is 6-2 in Bolts’ last eight games.
— Herbert is 24-23 as an NFL starter
— Chargers are 4-3 SU at SoFi this season.
— Bolts are 6-13-3 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

— Home game for both teams; they share this stadium.
— Rams won four of last six meetings.
— Five of those six games went over the total.

Steelers (7-8) @ Ravens (10-5)
— Steelers won/covered their last four games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-2 since its bye week, with +8 turnover ratio.
— Steelers have one turnovers (+12) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— Steelers are 18-10 ATS last 28 games as a road dog (4-3 TY).
— In six post-bye games, Steelers converted 51-98 (52%) on third down
— In six post-bye games, opponents are 26-79 (32.9%) on third down
— Steelers are 5-9 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games.
— Last three games, Steelers outscored foes 27-12 in second half.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh scored four TD’s on four red zone drives.
— Steelers held last five opponents under their team total.

— Check status for which QB starts here.
— Ravens are 8-2 in last ten games SU, are 2-4 ATS in last six.
— Last three games, Ravens ran ball for 215-198-184 yards.
— Last 4 games, Ravens threw ball for 4.4/4.9/3.8/5.4 yards per play.
— Eight of last 12 Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in four of their five losses.
— Ravens are 1-5 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— Since 2018, Baltimore is 13-20-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two weeks, Ravens converted 16-50 (32%) on 3rd down.
— 10 of Ravens’ last 12 games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 7-10 ATS last 17 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is 9-1 giving up 20 or less points, 1-4 if they give up 20+.

— Ravens (+2.5) ran for 215 yards, won 16-14 at Pittsburgh three weeks ago.
— Steelers won four of last five meetings.
— Pittsburgh covered four of last five visits to Baltimore.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Monday’s game
Bills (12-3) @ Bengals (11-4)
— Bills won their last six games, scoring 28.3 ppg.
— Buffalo is 2-6-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Buffalo is 12-9 in last 21 games as a road favorite (4-4 TY)
— Last two games, Buffalo converted 14-25 third down plays.
— Bills scored 28+ points in five of last seven games.
— Bills scored 35 TD’s on their last 113 drives.
— Buffalo has 72 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 57)
— 11 of 15 Buffalo games stayed under the total (over 2-0 last two).
— Buffalo has trailed twice at halftime TY (10-2-3 in first half)
— Bills are 19-14 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win (5-6 TY).
— Bills are 10-1 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or less points.

— Cincinnati won/covered last seven games (12-1 ATS last 13).
— Cincy is 5-1 SU at home TY, winning last five home tilts.
— Bengals are 5-0 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 10-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
— Cincy converted 76 of last 155 (49%) third down plays.
— Bengals scored 32 TD’s on their last 88 drives.
— Last two games, Bengals were held to 53-73 rushing yards.
— Cincy is 8-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Three of last four Bengal games stayed under the total.
— Bengals scored 64 points on last 12 red zone drives.

— Bengals won four of last six meetings; last one was in 2019.
— Bills won/covered four of last six visits to Cincinnati.
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 17

 

[Udog]

NFL Betting Trends - Week 17
Michael Crosson

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 17

The total has gone OVER in five straight Cowboys' games.
The Cowboys are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
The Titans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of Tennessee's last 12 games.
The Titans are 0-5 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tennessee's last 12 home games.
The Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 29​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
DAL at TEN	08:15 PM	TEN +14.0 O 40.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
12/29/2022	0-0-0	0.00%	+0	Detail
12/26/2022	2-0-0	100.00%	+1000	Detail
12/25/2022	1-5-0	16.67%	-2250	Detail
12/24/2022	13-9-0	59.09%	+1550	Detail
12/22/2022	2-0-0	100.00%	+1000	Detail
12/19/2022	2-0-0	100.00%	+1000	Detail
12/18/2022	10-7-1	58.33%	+1150	Detail
12/17/2022	4-2-0	66.67%	+900	Detail
12/15/2022	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
12/12/2022	0-2-0	0.00%	-1100	Detail
12/11/2022	5-9-0	35.71%	-2450	Detail
12/08/2022	2-0-0	100.00%	+1000	Detail
12/05/2022	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail
12/04/2022	8-9-0	47.06%	-950	Detail
12/01/2022	1-1-0	50.00%	-50	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Cowboys 27, Titans 13
— Cowboys won 12 of their last 15 games (10-5 ATS).
— Dallas converted 8-13 third down plays.
— Last nine games, Dallas scored 39 TD’s on 96 drives.
— Cowboys are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (2-2 TY).
— Dallas needs Eagles to lose Sunday, or else they’ll be #5-seed in NFC.

— Tennessee lost last six games, scoring 14.8 points/game.
— Titans are 0-6 SU since OC got DUI coming home from road trip.
— Titans have showdown with Jaguars next week for AFC South title.
— Dobbs was 20-39/232 passing in his first NFL start.
— Titans are 1-5-1 ATS coming off a loss this season.

Tennessee has used 84 players this year, most in the NFL; they used 91 players last year, also the most in the league.

 

[Udog]

The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The Panthers are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games.
The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Tampa Bay's last six games against Carolina.
The Bucs are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Tampa Bay.
The Panthers are 1-4 SU in their last five games against Tampa Bay.
The Panthers are 1-9 SU in their last 10 road games.


The Vikings are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in five straight Vikings' games.
The Packers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Green Bay's last six games.
The Packers are 4-2 SU in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Green Bay's last five games against Minnesota.
The Packers are 15-5 SU in their last 20 home games.
The Vikings are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games.
The Vikings are 4-1 SU in their last 5 road games.


The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
The Steelers are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
The Ravens are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Baltimore's last seven games.
The Ravens are 7-2 SU in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Baltimore's last five games against Pittsburgh.
The total has gone UNDER in five straight Ravens' home games.
The Steelers are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Baltimore.
The Steelers are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 17

 

[CNOTES]

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
01/01/2023	9-16-1	36.54%	-4300	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Browns 24, Commanders 10
— Browns’ first three drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 222 yards, 21 points.
— Browns ran ball for 146 yards, outgained Washington 301-260.
— WR Cooper caught three passes for 105 yards, two TD’s. .
— Browns are 7-4 giving up 24 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 24.
— Browns are 3-2 SU/ATS in Watson’s first five starts.

— Washington is 0-3-1 SU/0-4 ATS in its last four games.
— Commanders fall out of #7-seed in NFC with this loss.
— Wentz threw for 143 yards, three INTs; he is 2-5 as a starter TY.
— Cleveland had 17-yard advantage in field position.
— Under is 11-3 in Washington’s last 14 games.

Saints 20, Eagles 10
— Saints are 3-0 since their bye week, giving up 18-10-10 points.
— In those games, Saints converted 19-42 on third down.
— New Orleans clinched game on pick-6 with 5:27 left in game.
— Saints’ first four drives: 36 plays, 193 yards, 13 points.
— Eagles’ first four drives: 12 plays, 21 yards, no first downs.

— Eagles lost their last two games, after a 13-1 start.
— Eagles had only 11 first downs, were 3-12 on third down.
— Eagles’ only TD was a 78-yard pass to Brown late in 3rd quarter.
— Philly is 9-17 ATS last 26 games coming off a loss.
— Minshew is 8-16 as an NFL starter, 0-2 TY.

Buccaneers 30, Panthers 24
— Carolina led this game 14-0 with 3:00 left in first half.
— Panthers went 3/out on 7 of their 13 drives.
— Carolina is 6-11 ATS last 17 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Carolina has converted only 56-188 (29.8%) third down plays.
— Darnold is 20-34 as an NFL starter, 3-2 this year.

— Tampa Bay clinches NFC South, despite their 8-8 record.
— Evans caught 10 passes for 207 yards, three TD’s.
— Buccaneers’ clinching TD came on 6-yard drive after a blocked punt.
— Tampa Bay in 4th quarter: 22 plays, 174 yards, 20 points.
— Buccaneers won six of last seven games with Carolina.

Patriots 23, Dolphins 21
— Dolphins’ season: 3 wins, then 3 losses, then 5 wins, now 5 losses in row.
— Last six games, Dolphins are 18-68 on third down.
— Miami is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-14 in losses.
— Dolphins are 13-9 ATS last 22 games as a road underdog.
— Miami is 3-6 SU on road this year, 3-2 ATS as a road underdog.

— Patriots took lead for good on pick-6 with 2:51 left in third quarter.
— Dolphins outgained New England, 333-249.
— NE is +10 in turnovers in its wins, minus-2 in losses.
— Patriots are 2-4 SU/1-5 ATS in their last six games.
— Both teams are 8-8 now, with a week to play.

Giants 38, Colts 10
— Giants clinch their first playoff bid since 2016.
— Big Blue ran ball for 217 yards, outgained Colts 394-252.
— Only 7 of Giants’ 61 plays came on third down.
— Giants are 8-0-1 allowing 20 or less points, 1-6 allowing 21+ points.
— Giants are 12-4 ATS this season, 4-2 as a home favorite.

— Colts lost nine of their last ten games SU.
— Last four games, Colts were outscored 96-16 in 2nd half/OT.
— Last three games, Indianapolis has two TD’s on 34 drives.
— Last six games, Colts converted 21-81 (25.9%) third down plays.
— Colts are 1-4 SU outdoors this year, scoring 7.0 ppg.

Lions 41, Bears 10
— Bears’ first two drives: 16 plays, 140 yards, 10 points.
— Bears rest of game: 34 plays, 90 yards, no points.
— Last three games, Bears converted 10-38 on third down.
— Chicago lost nine in row, 12 of last 13 games SU (3-9-1 ATS).
— Last nine games, Chicago gave up 33.6 ppg.

— Detroit won seven of its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
— Goff was 21-29/255 passing, with three TD’s.
— Detroit is 8-1 ATS in last nine NFC North home games.
— Last nine games, Lions are +12 in turnovers (16-4)
— Lions are 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.

Chiefs 27, Broncos 24
— Chiefs win their 15th game in a row against Denver.
— Denver lost 11 of their last 13 games overall (5-7-1 ATS)
— Denver led this game 17-13 after three quarters.
— Last four games, Broncos allowed 23 sacks, had 2 themselves.
— Last seven games, Broncos are 51-191 (26.6%) on third down.

— Chiefs won 11 of last 13 games (5-8 ATS).
— Chiefs allowed 24+ points in five of last seven games.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 15-53 (28.3%) third down plays.
— Kansas City is 3-8 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Chiefs are 10-13 ATS last 23 games as home favorite (3-4 TY).

Falcons 20, Cardinals 19
— Cardinals lost six in row, 10 of their last 12 games SU.
— Last four games, Arizona started four different QB’s.
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 16-5-1 ATS as a road dog (4-2 TY).
— Arizona’s only TD came on an 8-yard drive in 2nd quarter,
— Cardinals were in red zone four times, scored only one TD.

— Falcons drove 67 yards, kicked 21-yard FG with 0:02 left.
— Atlanta is now 0-10 ATS in its last ten games (6-0 in first six).
— Seven of Falcons’ last nine games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Atlanta is 1-8-1 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
— In Ridder’s three starts, Falcons converted 19-41 on third down.

Jaguars 31, Texans 3
— Jacksonville won four in row, six of last eight games.
— Jaguars had lost nine games in a row to Houston.
— Last four games, Jaguars outscored foes 66-24 in second half.
— Etienne had a 62-yard TD run to make score 14-0.
— Jaguars play Tennessee next week for AFC South title.

— Texans lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
— Houston in first half: 33 plays, 100 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Last five games, Houston was outscored 64-31 in second half.
— Houston is 3-8 ATS TY in games with a single digit spread.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

49ers 37, Raiders 34 OT
— San Francisco won its last nine games (7-2 ATS)
— On 11 drives, 49ers scored four TD’s, went 3-4 on field goals.
— Only 8 of their 62 plays came on third down.
— In eight post-bye games, 49ers ran ball for 154.3 yards/game.
— 49ers are 9-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.

— QB Stidham was 23-34/365 passing in his first NFL start, with 3 TD’s.
— 5th time this year Las Vegas blew a double digit lead in second half.
— Raiders gained 500 TY, averaged 10.7 yards/pass attempt, and still lost.
— Last four games, Raiders converted 20-49 (40.8%) third down plays.
— Raiders are 3-8 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.

Seahawks 23, Jets 6
— Jets first 3 drives: 26 plays, 140 yards, two FG’s and an INT.
— Jets rest of game: 41 plays, 139 yards, no points.
— Jets are 2-7 in their last nine games, after a 5-2 start.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-8 scoring less than 20.

— Seahawks had a 16-yard edge in field position.
— Seattle’s first 3 drives: 19 plays, 205 yards, 17 points.
— Seahawks ran for 198 yards; they were +3 in turnovers.
— Seattle is 10-4 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC teams.
— At 8-8, Seahawks are still alive in the playoff race.

Packers 41, Vikings 17
— Packers ran kick back for TD, had a pick-6 in first 10:00 of game.
— Green Bay was +4 in turnovers, ran ball for 163 yards.
— Green Bay won/covered its last four games.
— Packers are 9-2 ATS in last eleven NFC North home games.
— Packers are 19-10 ATS last 29 games as a home fave (4-2 TY).

— Vikings’ first 4 drives: 14 plays, 20 yards, 0 first downs, 3 points.
— Last four weeks, Vikings were outscored 81-20 in first half.
— Minnesota is 10-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— In their four losses, Minnesota was outscored 139-50
— Despite being 12-4, Vikings have been outscored 414-395.

Chargers 31, Rams 10
— Chargers ran ball for 192 yards (6.2 yards/carry)
— Only 4th time in 16 games Chargers ran for more than 91 yards.
— Williams had 7 catches for 94 yards, made two great catches.
— Last 11 games, Chargers converted 78-174 on third down (44.8%)
— Chargers are 9-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.

— Rams in 1st half: 30 plays, 205 yards, 9 first downs, 10 points.
— Rams in 2nd half: 18 plays, 51 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Chargers were 8-13 on third down, Rams 4-11.
— Rams lost 10 of last 13 games SU (4-9 ATS).
— In their losses, Rams were outscored 149-52 in second half.

Steelers 16, Ravens 13
— Steelers drove 80 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:56 left.
— Steelers won/covered five of their last six games.
— Pittsburgh ran for 198 yards, converted 10-16 on third down.
— Steelers are 19-10 ATS last 29 games as a road dog (5-3 TY).
— Steelers have one turnover (+13) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.

— In their last five games (under 5-0), Ravens scored 11.8 ppg.
— Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games.
— Steelers outgained Ravens 351-240, converted 10-16 on third down.
— Nine of last 13 Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— 11 of Ravens’ last 13 games stayed under the total.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Week 17

The Bills are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of Buffalo's last 13 games.
The Bills are 6-0 SU in their last six games.
The Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of Cincinnati's last five games.
The Bengals are 7-0 SU in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in seven of Cincinnati's last ten games against Buffalo.
The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.
The Bills are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against Cincinnati.
The Bills are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games against Cincinnati.

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, JANUARY 2​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BUF at CIN	08:30 PM	BUF -2.5 U 50.5	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s Den: We pray for Damar Hamlin

Wish I was writing about Tulane’s bowl win Monday, or Donovan Mitchell or Klay Thompson having great games Monday night, but I can’t right now. I’m praying for Damar Hamlin, the Buffalo safety who was injured Monday night and is now in a Cincinnati hospital, in critical condition.

Life is precious. I’ll be back in this space tomorrow.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 18

 

[Udog]

KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

TENNESSEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992.

NY JETS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game in the current season.

CAROLINA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after going over the total in the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 57-32 ATS (21.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

CINCINNATI is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread in the current season.

CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game in the current season.

LA RAMS are 12-30 ATS (-21 Units) in road games after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game since 1992.

PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games in the last 3 sea...

SAN FRANCISCO is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

LA CHARGERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.

GREEN BAY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 18