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DECEMBER'S BEST BETS !

DATE................................... W - L.................................%........................................UNITS

12/11/2022......................5-9-0.................................35.71%............................- 24.50
12/08/2022.......................2-0-0..............................100.00%............................+ 10.00
12/05/2022.......................1-1-0...............................50.00%..............................- 0.50
12-04-2022........................8-9-0...............................47.05%..............................- 9.50
12-01-2022........................1-1-0...............................50.00%...............................- 0.50

TOTALS............................17-20-0..............................45.94%..............................- 25.00

****************************************************************

SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
NOV'S BEST BETS
Totals..................42-29-4..................59.15%................+ 36.00
 

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Armadillo Sports

Jaguars 36, Titans 22
— Jacksonville is 3-2 in its last five games after a 2-6 start.
— Lawrence was 30-42/368 passing, with three TD’s.
— Engram caught 11 passes for 162 yards, two TD’s.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— This was only 2nd win for Jaguars in last 12 games vs Tennessee.

— Tennessee lost three fumbles, was minus-4 in turnovers.
— Tennessee is 0-3 SU since OC got DUI coming home from road trip.
— Titans have been outscored 150-70 in second half.
— Titans fired their GM Tuesday, despite being in first place.
— Tennessee still has a 2-game lead in AFC South.

Bills 20, Jets 12
— Jets in first half: 30 plays, 81 yards, 6 first downs, no points.
— Jets in 2nd half: 45 plays, 203 yards, 13 first downs, 10 points.
— Jets scored a safety on a blocked punt.
— Jets are 2-4 in their last six games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets were 8-17 on third down, Buffalo 2-13.

— Bills’ first five drives: 23 plays, 30 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Bills’ next four drives: 23 plays, 190 yards, 12 first downs, 20 points.
— 11 of 13 Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo is 1-5-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Bills won their last four games, scoring 26 ppg.

Ravens 16, Steelers 14
— Ravens ran ball for 215 yards, were +3 in turnovers.
— Dobbins carried ball 15 times for 120 yards and a TD.
— Eight of last ten Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Baltimore is 13-2-2 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
— Ravens are 5-2 SU on road this season, 3-0 ATS as an underdog.

— QB Pickett got banged up early; backup Trubisky threw three INT’s.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+10) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— Steelers ran ball 20 times for only 65 yards.
— Previous four games, they ran ball for 161.3 yards/game.
— Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.

Eagles 48, Giants 22
— Eagles won last four games, scoring 40-35-48 points in last three.
— Philly’s first 3 drives: 27 plays, 208 yards, 13 first downs, 21 points.
— Eagles had three TD plays of 33+ yards.
— Philly had three TD drives of 41 or fewer yards.
— Eagles have 49 touchdowns on 127 drives this season.

— Giants are 1-4-1 SU last six games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants’ first four drives: 21 plays, 73 yards, no points.
— Eagles sacked Giant QB’s seven times.
— Overall, Philly is 15-3 SU in last 18 games against the Giants.
— Giants are 9-19 ATS in last 28 games as a home underdog.

Bengals 23, Browns 10
— Browns scored one offensive TD in Watson’s first two starts.
— Cleveland converted 4-15 on third down, 3-6 on 4th down.
— Peoples-Jones caught eight passes for 114 yards.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Browns are 0-5 when they run for less than 171 yards.

— Bengals first 3 drives: 16 plays, 40 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Bengals next 5 drives: 32 plays, 308 yards, 17 first downs, 23 points.
— Chase caught ten passes for 119 yards and a TD.
— Cincinnati won nine of its last eleven games (10-1 ATS).
— They won/covered their last five games.

Lions 34, Vikings 23
— Minnesota ran ball 17 times for only 22 yards.
— Jefferson caught 11 passes for 223 yards.
— Four of last five Viking games went over the total.
— Vikings are 10-3; they’ve scored 312 points, given up 313.
— Vikings are 5-8 ATS in last thirteen NFC North road games

— Detroit won five of its last six games (6-0 ATS).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 9-20-1 SU, 20-9-1 ATS.
— Detroit converted 7-15 on third down, Vikings 4-10.
— Last five games, Lions scored 31-31-25-40-34 points.
— Detroit scored 23 TD’s on its last 61 drives.

Cowboys 27, Texans 23
— Dallas drove 98 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:41 left.
— Last six games, Dallas scored 31 TD’s on 73 drives.
— Cowboys won 10 of their last 12 games (8-4 ATS).
— Last 10 games, Cowboys outscored foes 173-54 in second half.
— Dallas gained 404+ TY in each of their last six games.

— Texans’ two TD drives were only 24-27 yards.
— Houston used two QB’s, averaged 7.9 yards/pass attempt.
— Moore caught ten passes for 124 yards.
— Fairbairn kicked three FG’s: 43-50-54 yards.
— Texans are 0-8 SU/2-6 ATS since their bye week.

Chiefs 34, Broncos 28
— KC’s first four drives: 30 plays, 265 yards, 11 first downs, 20 points.
— Chiefs rest of game: 38 plays, 170 yards, 9 first downs, 7 points.
— Chiefs scored a defensive TD, the only one all day in NFL.
— Chiefs were 6-12 on third down, Denver 6-17.
— Chiefs won eight of last ten games (5-5 ATS).

— QB Wilson got a concussion late in game; backup Rypien finished up.
— WR Jeudy caught 8 passes for 73 yards, three TD’s.
— Denver was down 27-7, had ball twice when it was 34-28, didn’t score again.
— Last seven games, Broncos are 44-170 (25.9%) on third down.
— Denver lost five in row, nine of their last ten games (3-6-1 ATS)

49ers 35, Buccaneers 7
— 49ers scored a touchdown on five of first seven drives.
— SF ran ball for 209 yards (147.2 rushing yards/game last 5 games)
— Last five games, 49ers converted 45-87 (51.7%) on third down.
— 49ers are 7-0 when they score 24+ points, 2-4 when they don’t.
— San Francisco won its last six games (5-1 ATS)

— Rookie QB Purdy (16-21/185 passing) won his first NFL start.
— 49ers led this game 28-0 at halftime.
— Buccaneers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
— Tampa lost last four true road games, scoring 18-3-17-7 points.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 11 of last 12 games.

Panthers 30, Seahawks 24
— Panthers’ first three drives: 26 plays, 130 yards, 17 points.
— Carolina ran ball for 223 yards, 4.8 yards/carry.
— Panthers had a 10-yard advantage in field position.
— Last four games, Carolina outscored foes 43-23 in first half.
— Panthers are 6-2 ATS since they changed coaches.

— Seattle only ran ball 14 times, for 46 yards.
— Seahawks are 0-4 ATS last four games, running for 59.8 yards/game.
— Last four games, Seattle gave up 161-283-171-223 rushing yards.
— Last four games, opponents are 28-54 (51.9%) on 3rd down.
— At 7-6, Seahawks have slipped out of current NFC playoff picture.

Chargers 23, Dolphins 17
— Miami ran ball 8 times for 33 yards LW, 19 for 92 yards this week.
— Miami’s only first half TD was Hill running 57 yards with a fumble.
— Last two weeks, Miami is 3-18 on third down.
— Tagovailoa was 3-16 passing in the first half.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.

— Herbert was 39-51/367 passing, with one TD.
— Mike Williams caught six passes for 116 yards and a TD.
— Chargers were 9-18 on third down, Miami 3-11
— Last three games, Chargers converted 28-61 on third down (45.9%)
— Chargers are 6-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.
 

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Weather Report

Week 14


3wqJHw7.png





The Patriots are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of New England's last five games.
The total has gone OVER in five of Arizona's last six games.
The Cardinals are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Arizona's last seven games against New England.
The Cardinals are 1-11 SU in their last 12 home games.
The Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against Arizona.
The Patriots are 7-1 SU in their last eight games against Arizona.
The Patriots are 3-6 SU in their last nine road games.
 

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 12

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NE at ARI08:15 PMARI +2.5
O 44.0
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S BEST BETS !

DATE................................... W - L.................................%........................................UNITS

12/12/2022......................0-2-0.................................00.00%...........................- 11.00
12/11/2022......................5-9-0.................................35.71%............................- 24.50
12/08/2022.......................2-0-0..............................100.00%............................+ 10.00
12/05/2022.......................1-1-0...............................50.00%..............................- 0.50
12-04-2022........................8-9-0...............................47.05%..............................- 9.50
12-01-2022........................1-1-0...............................50.00%...............................- 0.50

TOTALS............................17-22-0..............................43.58%..............................- 36.00

****************************************************************

SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
NOV'S BEST BETS
Totals..................42-29-4..................59.15%................+ 36.00
 

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Patriots 27, Cardinals 13
— Tied 13-all in third quarter, NE ran Hopkins fumble back for game-winning TD.
— Five of last six New England games stayed under the total.
— Patriots are 5-1 ATS this season coming off a loss.
— Patriots are 1-4 SU when game goes over the total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-6 giving up 20+.

— QB Murray got hurt on 3rd play of game; torn ACL is the fear.
— Cardinals led this game 13-10 at halftime.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of its last 8 games.
— Arizona in second half: 34 plays, 113 yards, zero points.
— Arizona is 1-9 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
 

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SEATTLE is 27-12 ATS (13.8 Units) in home games after an upset loss since 1992.

MINNESOTA is 40-23 ATS (14.7 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.

BALTIMORE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game in the last 2 seasons.

MIAMI is 15-30 ATS (-18 Units) in road games after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.

NEW ORLEANS are 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.

NY JETS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts since 1992.

KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after going over the total in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a loss by <=6 pts. in the last 3 seasons.

JACKSONVILLE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in non-conference games in the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 2 seasons.

LAS VEGAS are 42-73 ATS (-38.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

LA CHARGERS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after 2 straight games with 40 or more pass attempts in the last 2 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the current season.

NY GIANTS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the season in the last 3 seasons.

GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.
 

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Long Sheet

Week 14


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SAN FRANCISCO (9 - 4) at SEATTLE (7 - 6) - 12/15/2022, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (9 - 4) at CLEVELAND (5 - 8) - 12/17/2022, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 8 - 1) at MINNESOTA (10 - 3) - 12/17/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (8 - 5) at BUFFALO (10 - 3) - 12/17/2022, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
BUFFALO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (7 - 5 - 1) at WASHINGTON (7 - 5 - 1) - 12/18/2022, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 108-79 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 70-104 ATS (-44.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 104-136 ATS (-45.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 104-136 ATS (-45.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 104-136 ATS (-45.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (5 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 9) - 12/18/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (6 - 7) at NY JETS (7 - 6) - 12/18/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
DETROIT is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (10 - 3) at HOUSTON (1 - 11 - 1) - 12/18/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (12 - 1) at CHICAGO (3 - 10) - 12/18/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (5 - 8) at CAROLINA (5 - 8) - 12/18/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 97-66 ATS (+24.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against NFC South division opponents since 1992.
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (10 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 8) - 12/18/2022, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (4 - 9) at DENVER (3 - 10) - 12/18/2022, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 73-100 ATS (-37.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DENVER is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
DENVER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (7 - 6) at LA CHARGERS (7 - 6) - 12/18/2022, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 33-8 ATS (+24.2 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (9 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (6 - 7) - 12/18/2022, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (7 - 6) at LAS VEGAS (5 - 8) - 12/18/2022, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 294-230 ATS (+41.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 294-230 ATS (+41.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 141-109 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 141-109 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 224-168 ATS (+39.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 218-165 ATS (+36.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 150-106 ATS (+33.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 66-97 ATS (-40.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 42-73 ATS (-38.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 40-68 ATS (-34.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA RAMS (4 - 9) at GREEN BAY (5 - 8) - 12/19/2022, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 169-209 ATS (-60.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 82-116 ATS (-45.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 143-110 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 143-110 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 222-161 ATS (+44.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
LA RAMS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 2-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Week 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco @ Seattle
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle
Seattle is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Indianapolis @ Minnesota
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

Baltimore @ Cleveland
Baltimore
Baltimore is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Baltimore

Miami @ Buffalo
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Buffalo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Philadelphia @ Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home

Kansas City @ Houston
Kansas City
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 11 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ Carolina
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games at home

Dallas @ Jacksonville
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games at home

Detroit @ NY Jets
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NY Jets
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Atlanta @ New Orleans
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games

Arizona @ Denver
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Denver
Arizona is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games

New England @ Las Vegas
New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games
Las Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Tennessee @ LA Chargers
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
LA Chargers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee

Cincinnati @ Tampa Bay
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

NY Giants @ Washington
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games at home
Washington is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games

LA Rams @ Green Bay
LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Rams's last 15 games
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 15

Thursday game
49ers (9-4) @ Seahawks (7-6)

— This is 49ers’ first true road game since Week 6.
— Rookie QB Purdy was 16-21/185 passing LW in his first NFL start.
— San Francisco won its last six games (5-1 ATS)
— 49ers outscored last six opponents 80-14 in second half.
— 49ers are 7-0 when they score 24+ points, 2-4 when they don’t.
— Last four games, 49ers converted 45-87 (51.7%) on third down.
— In five post-bye games, 49ers ran ball for 148.4 yards/game.
— 49ers are 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a road favorite.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— 49ers are +14 in turnovers in their wins, minus-8 in losses.
— RB/WR Deebo Samuel (ankle) is out here.
— Last five games, 49ers allowed five TD’s on 51 drives.

— Seattle is 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS last four games, running for 60.8 yards/game.
— Those four games were all decided by 6 or less points, or in OT.
— Seattle is 6-1 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Last four games, Seattle allowed 13 TD’s on 41 drives.
— Last four games, opponents are 28-54 (52.5%) on 3rd down.
— Last four games, Seattle gave up 161-283-171-223 rushing yards.
— Seahawks are 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
— Geno Smith is 20-26 as an NFL starter.
— Seattle is 5-2 ATS in last seven NFC West home games.
— Last seven games, over is 4-2-1 in Seattle’s team total.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.

— 49ers ran for 189 yards in 27-7 home win vs Seattle in Week 2.
— That was only SF’s third win in last 18 games vs Seahawks.
— 49ers are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Seattle.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Saturday’s games
Colts (4-8-1) @ Vikings (10-3)

— Colts lost six of their last seven games SU.
— Colts are 3-0-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-8 if they score less.
— Underdogs covered nine of their 13 games.
— Colts went under their team total in 10 of 13 games TY.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Colts are 7-4 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Indy is 13-3-1 ATS in last post-bye 17 games.
— Colts are 22-10-1 ATS in last 33 games vs NFC opponents.
— Last three games, Colts converted 12-40 third down plays.
— Last two games, opponents converted 14-27 third down plays.
— Last two games, Colts were minus-6 in turnovers (1-7).

— Vikings won nine of their last eleven games SU.
— Minnesota is 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games.
— Despite being 10-3, Vikings have been outscored by a point (312-313).
— Vikings converted 21 of last 43 third down plays.
— Last four games, Vikings were outgained 1,708-1,244.
— Minnesota is 20-11-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last five games, Minnesota allowed 32 plays of 20+ yards (Vikings had 23).
— Cousins is 70-64-2 as an NFL starter.
— Vikings ran ball 17 times for only 22 yards last week.
— Minnesota is 8-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-3 when it does not.
— Vikings are 7-2 ATS in last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.

— Colts won last five games vs Vikings, covered last four.
— Colts won 34-8/18-15 in last two visits to the Twin Cities.
— Last four series games stayed under the total.

Ravens (9-4) @ Browns (5-8)
— QB’s Jackson/Huntley are banged up; check status for the starter.
— Ravens won last two games by total of three points.
— Baltimore won seven of its last nine games SU.
— Eight of last ten Raven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Ravens led by 9+ points in all four of their losses TY.
— Ravens are 5-2 SU on road this season, 3-0 ATS as an underdog.
— Baltimore is 13-2-2 ATS last seventeen games as a road dog.
— Last two weeks, Ravens converted 7-26 on 3rd down.
— Eight of Ravens’ last ten games stayed under the total.
— Baltimore is 7-8 last 15 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is 8-0 giving up 20 or less points, 1-4 if they give up 20+.

— QB Watson is 38-64/407 passing in his first two Browns’ starts.
— Watson’s two games: Browns scored 1 TD on 20 drives, with nine 3/outs.
— Cleveland split their last six games after a 2-5 start.
— Browns are 5-3 giving up 24 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 24.
— Last two games, Browns converted 82-8 on third down.
— Browns are 0-5 when they run for less than 171 yards.
— Cleveland outgained 10 of its 13 opponents, but they’re 5-8.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Browns are 6-11-1 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite (1-2 TY).
— Browns turned ball over 17 times in last nine games (minus-8)
— Watson is 30-28 as an NFL starter, making playoffs twice with Houston.

— Ravens (-6) beat Browns 23-20 at home in Week 7.
— Baltimore won 14 of last 18 series games.
— Ravens are 7-1 ATS in last eight visits to Cleveland.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Dolphins (8-5) @ Bills (10-3)
— Dolphins lost their last two games, after a 5-0 streak.
— Third straight week on the road for Miami.
— Miami is 5-1 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins are 7-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 3-4 SU on road this year, winning by 4-4-3 points.
— Last two games, Dolphins are 3-18 on third down.
— Last two games, opponents are 17-37 on third down.
— Last three weeks, Dolphins were outscored 37-17 in second half.
— Miami is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-10 in losses.
— Last three games, Dolphins ran ball 53 times for only 186 yards.
— Four of last six Dolphin games went over the total.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
— Tagovailoa is 21-11 as an NFL starter.

— Bills won their last four games, scoring 25.8 ppg.
— Buffalo is 1-5-1 ATS since their bye week.
— Buffalo is 11-8 in last 19 games as a home favorite (2-3 TY)
— Last seven games, Buffalo was outscored 82-59 in second half.
— Last four games, opponents ran ball for only 78 yards/game.
— Bills scored 26 TD’s on their last 90 drives.
— Buffalo has 62 plays of 20+ yards (opponents 48)
— 11 of 13 Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Bills are 18-13 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win (4-5 TY).
— Bills are 4-3 ATS in last seven AFC East home games.

— December 17 at nite in Buffalo; weather could be a factor.
— Dolphins (+4.5) upset Bills 21-19 in Week 3.
— Buffalo outgained Miami 487-212, converted 11-18 on 3rd down.
— Win snapped a 6-game losing streak against the Bills.
— Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Buffalo.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
 

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Sunday’s games
Falcons (5-8) @ Saints (4-9)

— Rookie QB Ridder gets 1st NFL start; newly-signed Woodside is backup.
— Woodside comes from Tennessee; he knows Smith’s offense.
— Falcons lost four of last five games SU, are 0-7 ATS in last seven.
— Five of their last six games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Underdogs are 8-4-1 ATS in their games TY.
— Atlanta is 11-8 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— Last four games, Falcons converted 12-40 third down plays.
— Last 12 opponents converted 78-160 (48.8%) third down plays.
— Falcons are 14-13 ATS last 27 games coming off a loss (3-4 TY).
— Last 11 games, Falcons ran ball for 161.9 yards/game.
— Atlanta is 8-3 ATS in last eleven post-bye games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

— Saints lost four of last five games, scoring 13.4 ppg.
— NO is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite (2-0 TY)
— Saints are 4-3 scoring 24+ points, 0-6 when they score less.
— Saints have three takeaways last seven games; their turnover ratio: minus-13.
— Last 3 games, Saints won field position, by 11-4-10 yards.
— New Orleans is 10-3 SU last 13 post-bye games; 0-3 ATS last three.
— Saints have been outscored 77-28 in last 2:00 of each half.
— New Orleans held last five opponents under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Five of last six New Orleans games stayed under the total.
— Last four games, Saints are 19-59 (32.2%) on third down.
— Saints are 13-9 ATS last 22 NFC South home games (0-1 TY).

— Saints (-5) won 27-26 in Atlanta way back in Week 1.
— Saints won seven of last nine meetings.
— Falcons are 4-7 ATS in last 11 visits to New Orleans.
— Last three series games went over the total.

Lions (6-7) @ Jets (7-6)
— Detroit won five of its last six games (6-0 ATS).
— Lions scored 31-31-25-40-34 points last five games.
— Detroit scored 23 TD’s on its last 61 drives.
— Last five games, Lions are +9 in turnovers (12-3)
— Last five games, Detroit converted 42-86 (48.8%) third down plays.
— Last five games, Detroit foes converted 41-85 (48.2%) on 3rd down.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 9-20-1 SU, 20-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 6-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Over is 5-2 in Detroit’s last seven games.
— Lions are 5-3-1 ATS last nine games vs AFC opponents.

— Jets are 2-4 in their last six games, after a 5-2 start.
— Despite that, Jets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games.
— Jets are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Jets scored 36 points on their last 11 red zone drives.
— Jets won three of their last four home games SU.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 4-3 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Six of last eight Jet games stayed under the total.
— Jets are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
— Jets held eight of last ten opponents under their team total.
— Jets are 5-0 ATS this season, coming off a loss.
— In White’s three starts, Jets are 18-45 (40%) on third down.

— Jets won four of last five meetings.
— Lions won two of last three games vs Jets in New Jersey.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.

Chiefs (10-3) @ Texans (1-11-1)
— Chiefs won eight of last ten games (4-6 ATS).
— Chiefs were held under their team total in four of last six games.
— Chiefs are 14-14-1 ATS last 29 games as a road favorite (3-4 TY).
— Last nine games, Chiefs converted 66-112 (58.9%) third down plays.
— Last four weeks, opponents converted 26-55 (47.3%) third down plays.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Last six games, Chiefs are minus-5 in turnovers (6-11)
— Chiefs have 70 plays of 20+ yards; opponents have 43.
— Chiefs lost field position battle in seven of last eight games.
— KC is 2-6 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Chiefs allowed 27+ points in three of last four games.

— Texans are 0-8 SU since their bye week (2-6 ATS)
— Texans are 3-10 ATS in last 13 games, 1-4 in last five.
— Last two weeks, Houston converted 13-27 on third down
— Texans used two QB’s last week; they led late in game at Dallas.
— Houston’s two TD drives last week were only 27-24 yards.
— Last two games, Houston was outscored 30-12 in second half.
— Texans have had 2+ turnovers in each of last six games (minus-8 TO’s)
— Texans are 11-21-1 ATS last 33 games coming off a loss.
— Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— Texans averaged less than 6.0 yards/pass attempt in 9 of 13 games.
— Houston is 7-6-1 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
— Texans have only seven TD’s on their last 61 drives.

— Kansas City won five of last seven meetings.
— Chiefs are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven visits to Houston.
— Over is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.

Eagles (11-1) @ Bears (3-10)
— Eagles won last four games, scoring 40-35-48 points in last three.
— Philly is 6-0 SU on road this year, but 2-4 ATS.
— Eagles are 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
— Last three Eagle games went over the total.
— Eagles have 49 touchdowns on 127 drives this season.
— Last five games, Philly converted 32-68 3rd down plays (47.1%).
— Last three games, Eagle opponents converted 14-49 (28.6%) on 3rd down.
— Philly is 7-3 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Seven of their last 13 TD’s came on plays of 29+ yards.
— Last three games, Eagles have 19 plays of 20+ yards (opponents have 10).
— 3rd-year QB Hurts is 21-12 as an NFL starter.

— Check status on who plays QB for Chicago.
— Chicago lost six in row, nine of last ten games SU (2-7-1 ATS).
— Last six games, Chicago gave up 33.5 ppg.
— Opponents scored TD’s on 22 of last 51 drives.
— in Fields’ last four starts, Bears converted 31-54 on third down.
— Last three games, Bears were held to 160-127-155 rushing yards; not enough.
— Chicago is 8-11 ATS in last 19 games as a home underdog (2-2 TY).
— Bears led at halftime twice this season (2-9-2).
— Chicago is 1-7 ATS last eight post-bye games.
— Eight of their last nine games went over the total.
— Fields ran ball only six times in his last game.

— Philadelphia won/covered last five series games.
— Teams last met in 2019.
— Eagles covered three of last four visits to Chicago.
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.

Steelers (5-8) @ Panthers (5-8)
— Pittsburgh is 3-2 since its bye week, with +6 turnover ratio.
— Steelers have no turnovers (+10) in their wins, 17 (-11) in losses.
— Steelers are 8-5 ATS last 13 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh allowed 146-215 rushing yards.
— In five post-bye games, Steelers converted 34-68 on third down
— Pittsburgh covered three of its last four road games.
— Steelers are 11-13 ATS last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC teams.
— Last five games, Steelers have 19 plays of 20+ yards (21 in first 8 games).
— Pittsburgh has been outscored 133-85 in 2nd half of games.
— Pickett got hurt LW; check status whether he or Trubisky starts,.

— Panthers won three of last four games, covered six of last seven.
— QB Darnold won his first two ’22 starts; he is 19-32 as an NFL starter.
— Last two games, Panthers ran ball for 185-233 yards.
— Panthers are 5-7 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog (3-3 TY).
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Carolina has converted only 45-157 (28.7%) third down plays.
— Carolina is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Carolina is 5-9 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Eight of last 12 Panther games stayed under the total.
— Carolina went over its team total in six of last seven games.
— In Weeks 9-10, Carolina was outscored 49-0 in first half.
— Four games since then, Carolina outscored foes 43-23 in first half.

— Steelers won/covered last five series games.
— Pittsburgh won 37-19/37-3 in last two visits to Charlotte.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.

Cowboys (10-3) @ Jaguars (5-8)
— Cowboys won 10 of their last 12 games (8-4 ATS).
— Cowboys are 0-2 SU on natural grass this season.
— Last five games, Dallas scored 31 TD’s on 73 drives.
— Last eight games, Dallas ran ball for 165.1 yards/game.
— Dallas gained 404+ TY in each of their last six games.
— Last ten games, Cowboys outscored foes 173-54 in second half.
— Dallas is 6-1 ATS last seven games as a road favorite (1-1 TY).
— Cowboys are 15-12-1 ATS in last 28 games vs AFC teams.
— Dallas is +11 in turnovers in its wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Cowboys are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.

— Jacksonville is 3-2 SU in last five games after a 2-6 start.
— Jaguars are 2-6 in one-score games (decided by 8 or less points).
— Last four games, Jaguars are +7 in turnovers (9-2)
— Jaguars are 3-0 ATS this season as a home underdog.
— In his career, Pederson is 11-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four games, Jaguars converted 17-52 on third down.
— Last four games, opponents converted 28-46 on third down.
— Jaguars are 6-11 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
— Last four games, Jacksonville gave up 425.5 yards/game.
— Last four years, Jaguars are 2-15 ATS vs NFC opponents.
— Four of their last five games went over.

— Underdogs covered five of last six Cowboy-Jaguar games.
— Dallas won last two meetings, 40-7/31-7
— Last five series games went over the total.

Cardinals (4-9) @ Broncos (3-10)
— Kyler Murray tore his ACL Monday, is out for the year.
— Colt McCoy is 11-24 as an NFL starter; Trace McSorley is his backup.
— Short week for Arizona after Monday night’s loss.
— Cardinals lost seven of their last nine games SU.
— Arizona was outscored in 2nd half in each of its last 8 games.
— Cardinals lost field position battle in eight of last nine games.
— Last seven games, Arizona was outscored 117-67 in 2nd half.
— Arizona is 1-9 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Cardinals trailed at halftime in nine of their 13 games.
— Last three games, Arizona converted 22-42 third down plays (52.4%).
— Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 16-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Cardinals outscored opponents 63-36 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Six of last seven Arizona games went over the total.
— Under Kingsbury, Cardinals are 10-7 ATS vs AFC opponents.

— Denver lost five in row, nine of their last ten games (3-6-1 ATS)
— QB Wilson had concussion LW, check status (Rypien is backup)
— Broncos scored 16 or fewer points in 10 of 13 games.
— Last ten games, Denver was outscored 96-57 in second half.
— Broncos scored 4 TD’s last week (had total of 3 in previous 4 games)
— Broncos allowed 9-10-17 points in their three wins.
— Last five games, Denver got into red zone on only 7 of 57 drives.
— Last six games, Broncos are 44-170 (25.9%) on third down.
— Denver is 6-15-2 ATS last 23 games as home favorite (0-3 TY).
— 11 of 13 Denver games stayed under the total.
— Denver lost field position six of last seven games.
— Broncos are 6-10-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.

— Broncos won five of last six series games.
— Cardinals lost 41-20/37-7 in last two visits to Denver.
— Last six series games went over the total.

Patriots (7-6) @ Raiders (5-8)
— Patriots stayed out west this week, after Monday game in Arizona.
— New England won six of its last nine games SU (7-3 ATS last ten).
— Patriots’ last six games: 7 TD’s, 20 FGA’s, 24 3/outs on 66 drives.
— Patriots committed only one turnover in last four games (+3 TO’s)
— New England is 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 0-6 giving up 20+.
— Patriots are 1-4 SU when game goes over the total, 6-2 if it stays under.
— Last four games, Patriots converted 13-48 third down plays.
— NE is +8 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Patriots are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
— Mac Jones is 15-13 as an NFL starter.
— Five of last six New England games stayed under the total.

— McDaniels was a New England assistant for 18 years.
— Las Vegas won three of last four games, with two wins in OT.
— Last three weeks, Raiders ran ball for 207.3 yards/game.
— Raiders are 3-2 SU at home TY, 6-7 ATS last 13 home games.
— Las Vegas is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Raiders are 2-6 SU in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT.
— Las Vegas led 17-0 in three of their seven losses.
— Last 12 games, Las Vegas’ opponent is 8-3-1 against its team total.
— Las Vegas is 7-14 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven Raider games.
— Derek Carr is 62-79 as an NFL starter.
— Last two games, Raiders converted 8-23 third down plays.

— New England won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Patriots won/covered their last three visits to Oakland.
— This is their first visit to Las Vegas.
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.

Titans (7-6) @ Chargers (7-6)
— Titans fired their GM last week, despite being in first place.
— Tennessee lost last three games, scoring 16-10-22 points.
— Titans are 0-3 SU since OC got a DUI coming home from road trip.
— Tennessee scored 19 or less points in seven of last nine games.
— Last three weeks, Titans were outscored 40-14 in second half.
— First eight games, Titans ran ball for 142.3 yards/game.
— Last four games, Titans ran ball for 93.8 yards/game.
— Opponents have converted only 55-174 (31.6%) third down plays.
— Tennessee held eight of last 11 foes under their team total.
— Titans are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog (4-2 TY)
— Three of last four Titan games went over the total.
— Titans are 1-3 ATS coming off a loss this season.

— Chargers split their last six games SU (wins by 1-3-6 points).
— Bolts gained 432 TY LW with WR’s Allen/Williams back in lineup.
— Chargers are 6-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.
— Last six games, Chargers converted 42-93 on third down (45.2%)
— Chargers have been outscored 168-99 in second half.
— Bolts ran ball for 91 or fewer yards in 11 of 13 games.
— Last five games, Chargers were outscored 63-31 in second half.
— Chargers are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-3 in losses.
— Chargers are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win
— Under is 4-2 in Bolts’ last six games.
— Herbert is 22-23 as an NFL starter

— Teams split last four series games (last one was in 2019)
— Titans are 1-6 ATS in last seven road series games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings

Bengals (9-4) @ Buccaneers (6-7)
— Cincinnati won/covered last five games (10-1 ATS last 11).
— Cincy is 4-3 SU on road TY, 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Bengals are 12-7 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
— Three of Bengals’ four losses are by 3-3-2 points, all on last-second FG’s.
— Bengals are 1-4 scoring 20 or less points, 8-0 if they score 21+ points.
— Cincy converted 63 of last 126 (50%) third down plays.
— Bengals are 7-5-1 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.
— Cincy scored 25 TD’s on their last 66 drives.
— Bengals went over their team total in 7 of last 11 games.
— Cincy is 6-1 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Last three Bengal games stayed under the total.

— Despite being 6-7, Tampa Bay is in first place in AFC South.
— Tampa Bay is 3-5 SU in its last eight games.
— Last two weeks, Tampa Bay was outscored 38-3 in first half.
— Buccaneers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last eleven games.
— Tampa Bay is 6-1 allowing less than 20 points, 0-6 giving up 20+.
— Tampa Bay is 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog.
— Bucs turned ball over five in last two games (minus-4 TO’s)
— Tampa Bay is 0-5-1 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— 10 of 13 Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 11 of last 12 games.
— Last four games, Tampa Bay lost field position by 12-5-10-9 yards.

— Cincinnati won last two games with the Bucs, 37-34/14-13
— Underdogs covered Bengals’ last three visits to Tampa.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.

Giants (7-5-1) @ Commanders (7-5-1)
— Giants are 1-4-1 SU last six games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants are 5-1 scoring 21+ points, 2-4-1 scoring 20 or less.
— Giants trailed by 10+ points in three of their wins.
— Giants are 9-4 ATS this season, 3-1 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in true road games, losing by 14-8 points.
— Last four games, Big Blue converted 16-50 (32%) on third down.
— Giants went over their team total seven of last nine games.
— Under is 8-4-1 in Giants opponents’ team totals this year.
— Three of last four Giant games went over the total.
— Last four weeks, Giants gave up 160-189-165-253 rushing yards.
— Last four games, Barkley was held to 152 yards on 55 carries.

— Washington is 6-1-1 SU/ATS in its last eight games.
— Heinicke is 5-1-1 as Commanders’ QB this season.
— Last eight games, Washington is +7 in turnovers (minus-7 in first five)
— Last five games, they ran ball for 158.4 yards/game.
— Washington is 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Commanders are 3-11 ATS in its last 14 post-bye games.
— Washington is 5-7 last 12 games as a home favorite (1-1 ATS)
— Nine of their last eleven games stayed under the total.
— Opponents stayed under their team total nine of last eleven games.
— Washington is 6-13 ATS last 19 NFC East home games.
— Last three games, Commanders are 11-39 on third down.

— These teams tied 20-20 in Swamp Stadium two weeks ago.
— Washington outgained Giants 411-316 in that game.
— Giants are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits here.
— Five of last six meetings stayed under the total.

Monday’s game
Rams (4-9) @ Packers (5-8)

— Mayfield will be 4th QB to start for Rams this year.
— Rams lost eight of last 10 games SU (3-7 ATS).
— Rams are 1-3-1 ATS on the road this season.
— This is Rams’ 4th game outdoors TY (scored 9-13-10 in first three)
— Rams are 3-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-7 when they score less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 121-46 in second half.
— Last six games, Rams converted 25-77 (32.5%) on third down.
— Rams stayed under their team total nine of last eleven games.
— Under McVay, Rams are 7-6-2 ATS as a road dog (0-3-1 TY).
— Rams are 19-23-1 ATS last 43 games coming off a win.
— Under is 4-1 in their road games this season.
— Rams have six takeaways in last three games (one in previous seven).

— Packers lost seven of their last nine games SU.
— Packers are 1-3 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Green Bay went over its team total in three of last four games.
— Last six games, Green Bay was outscored 103-57 in first half.
— Last two games, Packers gave up 518 rushing yards.
— Last three games, opponents converted 21-39 on third down.
— Under is 4-2 in Packers’ true road games this season.
— Green Bay is 1-7 when they run ball for less than 190 yards.
— Over is 4-0 in last four Packer games.
— Green Bay is 2-4-1 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Packers haven’t led at halftime since Week 7.

— Packers won seven of last eight series games.
— Rams are 0-5-1 ATS in last six visits to Lambeau.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
 

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NFL Betting Trends - Week 15
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, December 15

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks (Amazon Prime, 8:15 p.m.)


Seahawks were a thorny foe for 49ers in the Russell Wilson years, but not with Geno Smith in first meeting this season when SF won and covered 27-7.
Niners have now won six straight, covered last four and five of six, this season, and on 18-7 spread uptick since mid 2021.
Meanwhile Seattle now on 4-game spread skid after Panthers loss.

Tech Play: Niners


Saturday, December 17

Indianapolis Colts vs. Minnesota Vikings (NFL Network, 1:00 p.m.)


Colts no covers last two or five of last seven this season, also “under” 14-4 since late 2021 (though “over” last two).
Vikes 10-3 SU but only 6-6-1 vs. line in 2021, also “over” three in a row.

Tech Play: Under

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns (NFL Network, 4:30 p.m.)

Ravens have covered three straight at Cleveland.
Balt 5-2 SU and vs. spread away this season, also “under” 8-2 last ten in 2022.
Browns now “under” three straight in 2022, including both with Deshaun Watson back at QB.

Tech Play: Ravens, Under

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills (NFL Network, 8:15 p.m.)

Dolphins won first meeting back on Sept 19 but trips to Buffalo have been harsh on Dolphins for years, they’re 1-9 SU and 2-8 vs. spread last ten at Orchard Park.
Last two Dolphins wins at Buffalo since 2011 have also both been with long-since departed Matt Moore at QB.
Miami now 0-5-1 vs. spread last six away this season.
Bills “under” 10-3 in 2022.

Tech Play: Bills, Under


Sunday, December 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)


Birds 6-0 SU on road this season (though only 2-4 vs. line away, even after Giants win last week).
Philly also now “over” 7-1 last eight after romping past G-Men last Sunday.
Bears no covers last four this season, also “over” seven In a row.

Tech Play: Eagles, Over

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Chiefs have only covered three of last nine this season after another spread L last week in Denver, also no covers last three on road.
KC also “under” 9-5 since late 2021.
Texans 1-4 vs. spread last five, 2-6 last eight after near-miss vs. Dallas last week.
Lovie Smith also “under” 4-1 last five in 2022.

Tech Play: Under

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Carolina Panthers (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Mike Tomlin 4-4-1 in once-profitable dog role this season.
Steel also “under” 10-5 in reg season since late 2021.
Panthers 4-3 SU last seven, covers last four and six of last seven for Steve Wilks this season.
Carolina also “under” 5-1 last six at Charlotte in 2022.

Tech Play: Panthers, Under

Detroit Lions vs. New York Jets (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

Hot Lions have won five of last six outright, covered last six, 6-0-1 last seven vs. spread.
Also now “over” 11-4 since late 2021.
Dan Campbell 20-9-1 vs. spread since last season.
Jets now two straight Ls for first time this season, also “under” 5-2 last seven in 2022.

Tech Play: Lions, Over

Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Cowboys “over” 5-1 last six this season after Texans game, and Dallas still 8- 4 last 12 vs. line in 2022 even after non-cover vs. Houston.
Jags have now won and covered three of last five this season, also “over” last three in 2022.

Tech Play: Over

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

Saints won but couldn’t cover opener, though NO has now won five of last six meetings outright.
NO 4-3 vs. line at home this season, also “under” 5-1 last six after “overs” in previous four.
Falcons on 1-6 spread tailspin, also “under” 5-1 last six this season.

Tech Play: Saints, Under

Arizona Cardinals vs. Denver Broncos (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

Broncos caught a rare “over” last week but still “under” 11-2 this season and 23-7 “under” since Vic Fangio’s last ride in 2021.
Denver has covered two straight for first time this season, however. Cards 3-2 vs. line away this season, 11-3 vs. spread as visitor in reg season since 2021.
Arizona “over” 5-1-1 last seven even after Patriots game landed "under" on Monday night.

Tech Play: Cardinals, Under

New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

Belichick had dropped two straight vs. number this season after having covered six of seven previous seven, all prior to win at Arizona on Monday.
Pats also “under” 5-1 after Monday, and 4-1-1 vs. spread away this season.
Raiders 3-2 vs. spread at home in 2022, also on 5-2 “under” run after Rams game last Thursday.

Tech Play: Patriots, Under

Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

Titans have lost and failed to cover last three this season after eight game spread win streak.
Tenn also “over” 3-1 last four after six straight “unders” previous, and 10-6 as road dog since late 2019.
Chargers on 4-1-1 “under” run after Miami result.

Tech Play: Titans, Under

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)

After win over Browns, Bengals have won and covered five straight this season, 18-3 vs number since late last season.
Cincy also “under” last three in 2022 and “under” 13-4-1 since late 2021.
Bucs “over” last week vs. Niners but were “under” 10-2 previously this season.
Brady also on 1-9-1 spread skid.

Tech Play: Bengals, Under

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

Teams played to draw two weeks ago (NY cover) at MetLife.
G-Men, however, are winless last four SU (0-3-1) in 2022 and 1-4-1 SU last six vs. spread this season.
NY started this campaign on 7-1-1 under” run but now “over” 3-0-1 last four.
Wash 6-1-1 SU and vs. spread last eight this season, also “under” 10-4-1 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Commanders, Under


Monday, December 19

Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)


Pack has won and covered at home last two years vs. Rams, part of Aaron Rodgers' seven straight covers vs. LA.
Rams 0-3-1 vs. spread last four away this season, now on back-to-back spread covers first time in 2022 but still just 4-8-1 vs. line this season and 4-10-1 back to late 2021.
LA also on 10-5 “under” run after Raiders result.
GB only 2-4 vs. spread at Lambeau in 2022, also working on four straight “over” results.

Tech Play: Packers
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Week 15


m3ydlxD.png





The Niners are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in five of San Francisco's last seven games.
The Niners are 6-0 SU in their last six games.
The Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Seattle's last five games.
The total has gone OVER in six of Seattle's last nine games against San Francisco.
The total has gone OVER in six of Seattle's last nine home games.
The Niners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 matchups against Seattle.
The Niners are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games against Seattle.
The Niners are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
The Niners are 1-10 SU in their last 11 road games against Seattle.
 

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 15

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SF at SEA08:15 PMSF -3.5
O 43.0
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S BEST BETS !

DATE................................... W - L.................................%............... .........................UNITS

12/15/2022......................1-1-0.................................50.00%.............................- 0.50
12/11/2022......................5-9-0.................................35.71%.......... ..................- 24.50
12/08/2022......................2-0-0..............................100.00%............ ................+ 10.00
12/05/2022......................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ..................- 0.50
12-04-2022......................8-9-0...............................47.05%............ ..................- 9.50
12-01-2022......................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ...................- 0.50

TOTALS.........................18-21-0..............................46.15%............. ..................- 25.50

************************************************** **************

SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
NOV'S BEST BETS
Totals..................42-29-4..................59.15%................+ 36.00
 

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NFL
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Week 15


1haXBZf.png





The Dolphins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in four of Miami's last six games.
The Dolphins are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.
The Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of Buffalo's last 11 games.
The Bills are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 15 games against Miami.
The Bills are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games.
The Dolphins are 1-7 SU in their last eight games against Buffalo.
The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 17

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
IND at MIN01:00 PMIND +3.5
U 47.0
+500 +500
BAL at CLE04:30 PMCLE -3.0
U 38.5
+500 +500
MIA at BUF08:15 PMBUF -7.0
O 43.0
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S BEST BETS !

DATE................................... W - L.................................%........................................UNITS

12/17/2022.....................4-2-0.................................66.67%............................+ 9.00
12/12/2022......................0-2-0.................................00.00%...........................- 11.00
12/11/2022......................5-9-0.................................35.71%............................- 24.50
12/08/2022.......................2-0-0..............................100.00%............................+ 10.00
12/05/2022.......................1-1-0...............................50.00%..............................- 0.50
12-04-2022........................8-9-0...............................47.05%..............................- 9.50
12-01-2022........................1-1-0...............................50.00%...............................- 0.50

TOTALS............................21-24-0..............................46.66%..............................- 27.00

****************************************************************

SEPT'S BEST BETS
TOTALS..............35-20-0..................63.63%...............+ 65.00
OCT'S BEST BETS
Totals..................40-42-1.................48.78%.................- 30.50
NOV'S BEST BETS
Totals..................42-29-4..................59.15%................+ 36.00
 

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