Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 8
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


BUF at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -250
O 5.5
+500 +500

FLA at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR +100
O 5.5

+500 +500

LA at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -270
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% ........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%..........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............37-36-1.........50.68%..........-32.25


BEST BETS:

11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........20-22-1............47.61%.........-12.50


UPDATED 11/08/2021
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Six interesting NFL spreads for this week:
— Ravens (-7) @ Dolphins
— Browns @ Patriots (-1.5)
— Falcons @ Cowboys (-9.5)
— Bills (-13) @ Jets
— Saints @ Titans (-3)
— Jaguars @ Colts (-10.5)

Quote of the Day
“When all is said and done, more is usually said than done.”
Anonymous

Tuesday’s quiz
Who played QB for the Chicago Bears, last time they played in a Super Bowl?

Monday’s quiz
Boomer Esiason holds the Cincinnati Bengals’ single-game record for passing yards.

Sunday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL, six played college ball in the SEC.

******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) I don’t understand why people run marathons; running 26 miles seems excessive.

During the battle of Marathon in 490 BC, Philippides, a Greek messenger, witnessed a Persian vessel changing its course towards Athens as the Battle of Marathon was nearing a victorious end for the Greek army.

He interpreted this as an attempt by the defeated Persians to rush into the Greek capital and claim a false victory in the battle, thus claiming their authority over Greek land.

It is said that Philippides ran the entire distance to Athens without stopping, discarding his weapons and even clothes to lose as much weight as possible, and burst into the assembly, exclaiming “we have won!”

He ran 26 miles. And then he died.

Anyway, if I drive 26 miles, I’m looking for a McDonald’s for some food. Credit to people who are in good enough shape to run that much. Just isn’t my thing.

12) Summation of Cleveland Browns’ last month:
— in weeks 7-9, Browns went 1-2, scoring 14-17-10 points. There was drama involved, as far as which receivers caught how many passes.
— last Friday, Cleveland released WR Odell Beckham.
— Sunday, Browns scored 41 points against a good Cincinnati team.

Go figure.

11) AFC West figures to have a fascinating finish; the current standings:
5-3— Chargers— gave up 32.3 ppg last four games
5-3— Raiders- signed DeSean Jackson
5-4— Chiefs— what’s up with their offense?
5-4— Broncos—gave up 17-10-16 points last three games.

10) Omitted this game from my Sunday writeup; it was a good one.
Tennessee 45, Kentucky 42:
— Vols had TD plays of 75-72 yards in first quarter.
— Tennessee defense scored on a pick-6 in 3rd quarter.
— Vols averaged 15.8 yards/pass attempt.

— Kentucky outgained Tennessee, 612-461
— Wildcats converted 12-17 on 3rd down, had 35 first downs.
— Kentucky WR Robinson caught 13 passes for 166 yards.
— There we no points scored in last 9:36 of this game.

9) Washington Huskies suspended head coach Jimmy Lake for a game, after he shoved a player during the game with Oregon Saturday. Wasn’t that big a deal, but Washington is 4-5— people there aren’t used to 4-5. If he was 8-1, he’d be praised as a disciplinarian.

8) Steelers 29, Bears 27:
— Steelers led 20-6 after three quarters.
— Boswell kicked 40-yard FG with 0:26 left for the win.
— Boswell also made FG’s of 54-52 yards.

— Bears’ first five drives: 18 plays, 61 yards, no points.
— Bears’ last six drives: 43 plays, 329 yards, 20 points.
— Chicago scored TD, running back fumbled punt for a score.

7) NFL underdogs went 10-4 ATS this week, 7-7 straight up. Weird week.

6) Active NFL players who appeared on Peyton/Eli Manning’s simulcast of the Monday night games? Their teams have gone 0-6 the following week. There was no ManningCast this week.

5) Arizona doesn’t turn its clocks back for Daylight Savings Time, like the rest of the country; good for them. Getting dark at 4:45 is too early.

4) 76ers’ star Joel Embiid tested positive for COVID, is out for a few games.

3) College basketball starts up Tuesday night; will take couple weeks to unravel who is good and who might not be as good. Ton of transfers; some teams have almost totally new rosters.

Busy few weeks coming up; enjoy the games.

2) Some quick notes:
— South Carolina’s Keyshawn Bryant is suspended for the Gamecocks’ first five games.
— Louisville coach Chris Mack is out for six games.
— Hubert Davis has replaced Roy Williams as coach at North Carolina.
— There are many teams with almost totally new rosters.

We’ll watch lot of games, study a lot and try to make sense of what is going on.

1) I miss the ESPN Basketball Marathon, where they showed games non-stop for 30 hours in a row, something like that. Remember sitting at a bar in Las Vegas playing video poker while some obscure game was on at 3am in Las Vegas. Good stuff; they should bring the marathon back.
 

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CAROLINA is 13-5 ATS (8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2...

MONTREAL is 13-20 ATS (-16 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 166-142 ATS (-73.6 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

FLORIDA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) first half of the season in the current season.

EDMONTON is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (6.7 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

VEGAS are 27-6 ATS (18.8 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 223-245 ATS (32.3 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances since
 

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NHL

Tuesday, November 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ottawa @ Boston
Ottawa
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Ottawa

Los Angeles @ Montreal
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Florida @ New Jersey
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games on the road
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Jersey's last 16 games at home

Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Carolina
Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Carolina

Edmonton @ Detroit
Edmonton
Edmonton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton

St. Louis @ Winnipeg
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
St. Louis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Chicago
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Chicago is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh

San Jose @ Calgary
San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary
Calgary is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Anaheim @ Vancouver
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games

Seattle @ Vegas
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games
Vegas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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ArmadilloSports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NBA leaders in assists/game:
7.3— Draymond Green, GState
7.6— Darius Garland
8.3— Dejounte Murray, SA
8.5— James Hardden, Damian Lillard, Russell Westbrook
9.5— Trae Young, Atl
11.3— Chris Paul, Phx

Quote of the Day
“I think it’s mostly about New York, and not about, you know, Steve (Cohen) or the organization or what have you. It’s a big stage and some people would just prefer to be elsewhere.”
Mets’ president Sandy Alderson, on not hiring a GM yet

Wednesday’s quiz
When was last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles?

Tuesday’s quiz
Rex Grossman played QB for the Chicago Bears, last time they played in a Super Bowl.

Monday’s quiz
Boomer Esiason holds the Cincinnati Bengals’ single-game record for passing yards.

***********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Wrapping up the first night of college basketball

Unusually busy Tuesday night; 183 college basketball games, 304 of the 358 D-I teams in action all over the country. NBA, NHL, three MAC football games. Remote got a workout tonight.

13) UC San Diego (+16.5) 80, California 67:
— Tritons are in their second year of D-I basketball.
— Cal led by 11 in first half, but went 5-18 on arc, 14-24 on foul line.
— Mark Fox went 10-28 in Pac-12 his first two years at Cal; this isn’t good.

12) Kansas 87, Michigan State 74:
— Agbaji scored 29 points, going 3-6 on arc, 8-8 on line.
— Usually better to play Izzo teams early in season; his teams start to gel after New Year’s.

11) Duke 79, Kentucky 71:
— Duke won despite going 1-13 on arc.
— Duke shot 30-48 (62.5%) inside arc.
— Kentucky big man Tshiebwe had 17 points, 19 rebounds.
— Rest of Wildcats shot 33% from floor.

10) Houston (-19) 83, Hofstra 75 OT
— Hofstra led by 13 points in second half.
— Houston was 15-25 on line, Hofstra 5-5.
— Hofstra was 12-42 on arc, 17-31 inside arc.

9) Western Illinois (+17) 75, Nebraska 74:
— Nebraska went 2-6 on foul line in final 0:55.
— Leathernecks outrebounded Nebraska, 57-37.
— Cornhuskers went 14-45 last two years; this isn’t good.

8) Navy (+15.5) 66, Virginia 58:
— Middies made 11-21 three-point shots.
— Navy outrebounded Virginia 35-30.

7) Northern Illinois (+19.5) 71, Washington 64:
— Huskies made 12-23 shots on the arc.
— Washington shot 26.7% from the floor.
— Washington was 20-38 last two years, now this……

6) Sacred Heart 86, LaSalle 81 OT:
— LaSalle hasn’t has winning season in A-14 since 2013.
— Sacred Heart out rebounded LaSalle 50-41.
— Atlantic 14 teams aren’t supposed to lose to NEC teams.

5) Citadel (+10.5) 78, Pittsburgh 63:
— Citadel had lost 46 in a row to ACC teams.
— Jason Roche was 8-14 from floor, all behind the arc.
— Pitt’s roster has been depleted by injuries/off-court stuff.

4) Miami OH (+10) 72, Georgia Tech 69:
— Miami outscored Tech 9-0 over final 2:29.
— RedHawks shot 57.6% inside arc, only 6-31 on arc.
— MAC teams stepped up pretty well Tuesday.

3) Ohio State (-16.5) 67, Akron 66
— Akron took lead on a 4-point play with 0:06 left.
— Buckeyes hit a short jumper in lane with 0:01 left for win.
— Ohio State led by 14 late in first half.

2) Indiana (-24.5) 68, Eastern Michigan 62:
— Mike Woodson wins his debut coaching his alma mater.
— Indiana led this game 40-19 early in 2nd half.
— EMU cut lead to 58-57 with 2:47 left; gutty effort.

1) All in all, an interesting day/night; 3pm games at Manhattan, Washington State got things underway. There is so much to sort out as teams start to play games with fans in stands, as we get a little closer to normal.

Did you know that neither Manhattan or Manhattanville are in Manhattan?

Eastern Michigan has 11 new players this year; they hung in pretty well at Indiana; who are the coaches who are best at putting together a roster quickly? Times have changed; not too many teams have a lot of continuity.
 

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TORONTO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 10







NHL

Wednesday, November 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Nashville @ Dallas
Nashville
Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 15 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games

Minnesota @ Arizona
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 10
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


TOR at PHI 07:30 PM
PHI +110
U 6.0
+500 +500

NAS at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -150
U 5.5
+500 +500

MIN at ARI 10:00 PM
MIN -210
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% .........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% ........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%..........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............39-40-1.........49.36%..........-45.75


BEST BETS:

11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........21-24-1............46.66%.........-18.50


UPDATED 11/10/2021
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NBA rebounding leaders:
15.9— Rudy Gobert, Utah
13.9— Jonas Valanciunas, NO
13.6— Nikola Jokic, Den
12.0— Jusuf Nurkic, Port
11.8— Christian Wood Hst, Bam Adebayo Mia
11.6— Jarrett Allen, Clev

Quote of the Day
“We don’t ever want a system that rewards being a lesser team. We have got a real cancer in this game. Now we know clubs will sacrifice seasons.”
baseball agent Scott Boras

Thursday’s quiz
Before moving to Oakland in 1968, what two cities did the A’s call home?

Wednesday’s quiz
Florida Gators won NCAA Tournament in 2006 and 2007, last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles.

Tuesday’s quiz
Rex Grossman played QB for the Chicago Bears, last time they played in a Super Bowl.

************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Replay official for the Wake Forest-North Carolina game last week was a guy named Peter Vaas; he is also a football coach, working in the XFL as that league works towards a return to he field in 2023. Don’t see lot of coaches become officials.

Vaas was head coach at D-III Allegheny College from 1986-89, then at Holy Cross from 1992-95.

Since then, he was a coordinator in the CFL, a QB coach at Notre Dame/South Florida, and an offensive coordinator at Duke, Miami OH and in the WLAF.

Interesting resume; unusual for a coach to become an official.

12) Russell Wilson got the pin taken out of the injured finger on his passing hand, will start for the Seahawks when they visit Lambeau Field Sunday.

11) I’ll sound like the old guy preaching here, but that’s OK.

When Wilt Chamberlain was 35 years old, he played in every Lakers game that season, and he played 42.3 minutes/game that year.

Chamberlain shot 64.9% from the floor, grabbed 19.2 rebounds a game. No nights off for “load management” and teams played lot more back/backs in those days.

First eight years Artis Gilmore played in the ABA/NBA, he didn’t miss a game; 35.1 minutes/game was the least he played during that time. Again, no load management, no nights off, and his teams didn’t fly around the country on their own airplane.

10) Saturday’s Cal-USC football game was moved from this week to December 4th; Cal program has COVID issues, so the game has been pushed back.

9) AFC went 7-1 against the NFC this past weekend, now leads season series 24-22 in games between the two conferences.

8) Texas Rangers named Tim Hyers their new hitting coach; he spent the last five years at the Red Sox’ hitting coach. Hyers worked with Texas manager Chris Woodward, when both were coaching on the Dodgers’ staff in 2016-17.

7) Texas Tech hired 51-year old Baylor assistant Joey McGuire as their new football coach; McGure was in his fifth year at Baylor. McGuire signed a six-year contract worth $20.2M. He was a highly successful high school coach in Texas.
 

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N CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) off home conference win in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last...

CALGARY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

EDMONTON is 18-10 ATS (13.3 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 10-0 ATS (10.1 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the las...

WINNIPEG is 27-20 ATS (10.9 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 39-42 ATS (-20.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 42-27 ATS (12.3 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS are 28-6 ATS (19.8 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

ANAHEIM
is 4-22 ATS (-20.2 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL

Thursday, November 11


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Edmonton @ Boston
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Boston
Edmonton is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Edmonton

Calgary @ Montreal
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing Calgary

NY Islanders @ New Jersey
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Los Angeles @ Ottawa
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Florida @ Pittsburgh
Florida
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

Washington @ Detroit
Washington
Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

Nashville @ St. Louis
Nashville
Nashville is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

San Jose @ Winnipeg
San Jose
San Jose is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
San Jose is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing San Jose

Vancouver @ Colorado
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games

Anaheim @ Seattle
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Vegas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 11
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


CAL at MON 07:00 PM
CAL -140
+500

EDM at BOS 07:00 PM
O 6.0
+500

LA at OTT 07:00 PM
LA -120
+500

FLA at PIT 07:00 PM
FLA -130
+500

NYI at NJ 07:00 PM
NYI -140
+500

WAS at DET 07:30 PM
U 6.0
+500

SJ at WIN 08:00 PM
SJ +160
O 5.5

+500 +500

NAS at STL 08:00 PM
U 5.5
+500

VAN at COL 09:00 PM
O 5.5
+500

MIN at VEG 10:00 PM
MIN -110
+500

ANA at SEA 10:00 PM
O 5.5
+500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............44-47-1.........48.35%..........-62.00


BEST BETS:

11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........26-28-1............48.14%.........-18.50


UPDATED 11/11/2021
 

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ArmadilloSports

Friday’s 6-pack:

NBA scoring leaders:
29.5— Kevin Durant, Bkln
27.4— Steph Curry, GSt
26.7— Paul George, LAC
26.6— Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milw
26.5— Ja Morant, Mem
26.0— DeMar DeRozan, Chi

Quote of the Day
“I’m against it (pineapple on pizza). I’m staunchly opposed. It’s my mom’s favorite type of pizza — ham and pineapple — and I love pineapple, too.”
Mike Leach

Friday’s quiz
Who was coach of the Miami Dolphins last time they won a playoff game?

Thursday’s quiz
Before moving to Oakland in 1968, A’s played in Kansas City; before that, Philadelphia.

Wednesday’s quiz
Florida Gators won NCAA Tournament in 2006 and 2007, last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles.

*****************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here, and NBA trends

13) Dolphins 22, Ravens 10:
— This was Ravens’ first road game since October 3rd.
— Baltimore punted eight times in this game.
— Ravens kicked FG on first drive, didn’t score again until 4:16 was left.
— Baltimore trailed at halftime in four of last five games.
— Last four games, opponents are 15-52 on third down

— Miami allowed 16-9-10 points in their wins.
— Dolphins scored defensive TD to make score 15-3.
— QB Brissett got hurt in 3rd quarter, Tagovailoa finished up.
— Last six years, Miami is 15-10-1 ATS as home underdogs.
— Dolphins held Baltimore to 94 rushing yards.

12) Aaron Rodgers got fined $14,650 by the NFL for mostly ignoring the COVID protocols when he wasn’t vaccinated; I’m not here to talk about that, I’m just wondering how they came up with that amount. Where does $14,650 come from? Why not just $15,000? $14,500?

11) I’ve said many times that as a Rams’ fan, I trust Sean McVay/Les Snead to do the right stuff, so I don’t stress out over decisions they make. I’ll stick with that today. I’ll just say this:

— Rams’ Super Bowl odds before signing Odell Beckham: 8-1
— Rams’ Super Bowl odds after signing Odell Beckham: 8-1

10) Carolina Panthers signed Cam Newton/Matt Barkley this week; unsure which of their three QB’s will start this week in Arizona.

Newton played nine years for Carolina, lead them to Super Bowl six years ago. He played for the Patriots last year, was released this summer.

9) Watched Heat-Lakers game Wednesday, good ballgame. Jeff Van Gundy is an excellent NBA analyst- so is his brother Stan.

Many moons ago, November 1980, I was student manager of our college team at Albany- the Great Danes. We were Division III and we had a strong team. The higher level of Division III was very good basketball. This was so long ago, ESPN had just signed on the airwaves.

We’re playing in a tournament at Brockport State in western NY, near Rochester. Coach for the host team was a short guy wearing a neck brace— he had been in a car accident. He had also been a junior college coach in California, now he was in Brockport, a decided downgrade in weather.

Coach’s name was Bill Van Gundy, father of Jeff/Stan. What are the odds that the two sons of a Division III coach in western NY would both wind up being NBA coaches, and TV stars?

8) Connecticut Huskies hired Jim Mora Jr to handle the big job of rebuilding their horrendous football program. UConn was underdog to an Ivy League team this year; they’re 0-7 vs I-A teams, 1-1 vs I-AA teams- they beat Yale. Jim Mora Jr has a lot of work to do.

Mora was 46-30 in six years at UCLA, 29-24 in Pac-12 games, 2-2 in bowls. He was 32-34 in four years as an NFL head coach, with Falcons/Seahawks.

7) Mike White will start at QB for the Jets this week against Buffalo. Joe Flacco will be his backup; Josh Johnson threw for 317 yards last week and gets demoted to 4th-string.

6) Underdogs are 78-56-1 ATS in the NFL so far this season; last year at this time, underdogs were…….. 77-56 ATS.

5) Astros’ OF Jake Meyers had surgery for a torn labrum, isn’t expected to be ready for the start of next season. Meyers hit .260 in 49 games for Houston this season.

4) John Beilein has been a highly successful college basketball coach, winning 754 games; he tried his hand at the NBA, but that didn’t go too well in Cleveland. Now, at age 68, Beilein is an assistant coach for the Detroit Pistons— first time in his life he’s been an assistant coach.

3) Good rule change in the NFL; the replay official can chime in and overrule an obviously wrong call, saving teams from using a challenge, while keeping the game going.

2) Cal-Riverside 66, Arizona State 65— Kid on Riverside drained a 65-footer at the buzzer to five the Highlanders (+8.5) one of the best wins in their program’s D-I history.

1) Pitt 30, North Carolina 23 OT:
— Pitt led 23-7 at halftime, didn’t score in second half.
— UNC kicked 20-yard FG with 0:57 left to force OT
— Carolina had 12 penalties for 104 yards; Pitt 6 for 55.
— Tar Heels (+6.5) were obviously a bad beat.
 

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WASHINGTON is 10-0 ATS (10.1 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 11-41 ATS (-34.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in non-conference games in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

CHICAGO is 50-63 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games against terrible power play teams - scoring on < 13% of their chances since 1996.




NHL

Friday, November 12


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Calgary @ Toronto
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Calgary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Edmonton @ Buffalo
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Philadelphia @ Carolina
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Washington @ Columbus
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing Washington

Arizona @ Chicago
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 12
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PHI at CAR 07:00 PM
PHI +160
U 5.5

+500 +500

WAS at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +115
U 5.5

+500 +500

EDM at BUF 07:00 PM
EDM -175
O 6.0
+500 +500

CAL at TOR 07:00 PM
CAL +167
U 5.5

+500 +500

ARI at CHI 08:30 PM
CHI -225
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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