Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[CNOTES]

NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............49-52-1.........48.51%..........-63.75


BEST BETS:

11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........30-32-1............48.38%.........-16.50


UPDATED 11/12/2021

 

[Udog]

ArmadilloSports

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six highest-paid players in NBA:
$45,780,966— Steph Curry, Warriors
$44,310,840— John Wall, Rockets
$44,211,146— Russell Westbrook, Lakers
$43,848,000— James Harden, Nets
$43,750,000— Damian Lillard, Trailblazers
$41,180,544— Lebron James, Lakers

Quote of the Day
“We (Bulls) won because we played team basketball, which hadn’t been the case my first two seasons, when Doug Collins was our coach. That’s what was special about playing for the Bulls: the camaraderie we established with one another, not that we felt blessed to be on the same team with the immortal Michael Jordan.”
Scottie Pippen

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, Sid lets his son-in-law drive his favorite car to Las Vegas for his bachelor party. What kind of car was it?

Friday’s quiz
Dave Wannstedt was coach of the Miami Dolphins last time they won a playoff game- they beat the Colts 23-17 in the 2000 playoffs.

Thursday’s quiz
Before moving to Oakland in 1968, A’s played in Kansas City; before that, Philadelphia.

****************************

Saturday’s Den: Happy Felix Unger Day!!!

13) “On November 13, Felix Unger was asked to leave his place of residence. That request came from his wife……..”

When I was a kid, The Odd Couple was one of my favorite TV shows; that is how the show started every week, with Tony Randall’s character Felix sadly leaving his home, and showing up at the door of his friend, sportswriter Oscar Madison (Jack Klugman), needing a place to live.

It was a great TV show, very funny. If you find The Odd Couple on TV somewhere, it is well worth your time.

Today is November 13; happy Felix Unger Day!!!

12) West Virginia 74, Pitt 59:
— 902nd career win for Bob Huggins, tying Bob Knight for 5th on all-time list.
— How is Huggins not in the college basketball Hall of Fame?
— 24 NCAA tournaments, two Final Fours, four Elite 8’s, nine Sweet 16’s. All in all, 33-24 in NCAA Tournament games. He is a Hall of Famer, for sure.

11) Furman 80, Louisville 72 (OT):
— Furman (+9) made 12-28 on arc, Louisville 7-29.
— Paladins start four seniors; this is a great win for them.
— Louisville coach Mack is suspended for first few games, for off-court stuff.

10) Oakland (+16.5) 56, Oklahoma State 55
— Oakland lost by 27 to West Virginia Tuesday.
— Oakland played 8 guys, including five freshmen, one senior.
— Oklahoma State was only 6-12 on foul line.

9) North Carolina 94, Brown 87— Is this a red flag for the Tar Heels? Brown hadn’t played a Division I game in over 600 days;

8) UCLA 86, Villanova 77, OT
— Villanova’s 7th man played only 7:00- they’re not deep.
— Villanova led by 10 with 9:24 left.
— Wildcats lost despite making 11-24 on the arc.

— UCLA outrebounded Villanova 46-32.
— Bruins shot 52.5% inside arc; Villanova, 38.6%.
— High-level game for November 12.

7) When Cal-Riverside upset Arizona State Thursday night, they also banked an $85,000 check from the Sun Devils, what they call “a guarantee game”. If you’re paying a team $85,000 to show up and play, they’re not supposed to beat you.

6) NC-Greensboro 70, Northern Kentucky 69 OT
— UNCG led by 10 points at halftime.
— UNCG trailed by 7 with 7:54 left.
— Northern Kentucky was 10-33 on arc, 13-32 inside arc.

5) Eastern Michigan 103, Illinois State 98, 2OT:
— Illinois State led by 16 late in first half.
— EMU was 32-43 on foul line, ISU 23-28.
— Illinois State turned ball over 22 times (-7).

4) Denver Broncos’ offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur tested positive for COVID, won’t be calling plays Sunday, when Denver hosts the Eagles. Former Alabama coach Mike Shula is expected to be the Broncos’ play caller.

3) Brent Strom quit as pitching coach of the Astros couple weeks ago, signed on with the Diamondbacks Friday; lot of people thought Strom was retiring. Back in the 60’s, Strom was the second person to have Tommy John Surgery on his elbow- he pitched five years in the majors, for three different teams.

2) Lefty hurler Andrew Heaney signed a one-year, $8.5M deal with the Dodgers. Heaney was 8-9, 5.83 in 23 starts this past year, but the Dodgers signed him up.

1) Cincinnati 45, South Florida 28— Bearcats are now 0-4 ATS in last four games; unsure if it matters to pollsters, but it can’t help much. Cincinnati led 31-7 early in second half- they outgained USF 506-346, but turned ball over three times. USF had four turnovers.

 

[Udog]

BOSTON is 234-223 ATS (45.1 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

FLORIDA is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 13-8 ATS (4.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

MONTREAL is 8-15 ATS (-15.4 Units) against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 20-10 ATS (9 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

LOS ANGELES are 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

BUFFALO is 3-19 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 14-5 ATS (9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 25-8 ATS (16.6 Units) vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 0-6 ATS (-8.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

COLORADO is 89-69 ATS (23.4 Units) against excellent starting goalies - saving >= 93% of shots against since 1996.

VEGAS are 29-6 ATS (20.8 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.

 

[Udog]

NHL

Saturday, November 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston @ New Jersey
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey
New Jersey is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

Los Angeles @ Winnipeg
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Toronto @ Buffalo
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games

NY Rangers @ Columbus
NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Columbus
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Montreal @ Detroit
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Ottawa
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Florida @ Tampa Bay
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

St. Louis @ Carolina
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Philadelphia @ Dallas
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

Arizona @ Nashville
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games at home
Nashville is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

San Jose @ Colorado
San Jose
San Jose is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games

Minnesota @ Seattle
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

Vancouver @ Vegas
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games
Vegas
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, November 13

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 13
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

BOS at NJ 01:00 PM
BOS -150
U 5.5
+500 +500

LA at WIN 07:00 PM
LA +155
U 5.5
+500 +500

MON at DET 07:00 PM
DET -125
O 5.5
+500 +500

NYR at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB +120
+500

PIT at OTT 07:00 PM
OTT +130
U 5.5
+500 +500

TOR at BUF 07:00 PM
TOR -192
+500

FLA at TB 07:00 PM
FLA -105
O 5.5
+500 +500

STL at CAR 07:30 PM
CAR -135
+500

ARI at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS -300
+500

SJ at COL 09:00 PM
SJ +185
O 6.0
+500 +500

MIN at SEA 10:00 PM
MIN -115
U 5.5
+500 +500

VAN at VEG 10:00 PM
VAN +125
U 5.5
+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............58-63-1.........47.93%..........-75.50


BEST BETS:

11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........33-41-1............44.59%.........-49.50


UPDATED 11/13/2021

 

[Udog]

ArmadilloSports

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Highest paid college football coaches:
$9,753,221— Nick Saban, Alabama
$9,012,917— Ed Orgeron, LSU
$8,924,683— David Shaw, Stanford
$8,370,775— Dabo Swinney, Clemson
$7,672,710— Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma
$7,570,000— Dan Mullen, Florida

Quote of the Day
“Everyone thinks I’m a hypochondriac. It makes me sick.”
Felix Unger

Sunday’s quiz
In The Odd Couple, what did Felix Unger do for a living?

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, Sid lets his son-in-law drive his favorite car to Las Vegas for his bachelor party. The car was a silver Mercedes.

Friday’s quiz
Dave Wannstedt was coach of the Miami Dolphins last time they won a playoff game- they beat the Colts 23-17 in the 2000 playoffs.

******************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Baylor 27, Oklahoma 14:
Good news for Baylor: They don’t beat Oklahoma very often. Bears are 8-2 this season.

Bad news for Baylor: LSU, USC and (probably) Florida have head coach openings; all three will come after Baylor coach Aranda with their checkbooks wide open.

12) Kansas (+31) 57, Texas 56 OT:
— Texas coach Steve Sarkisian makes $5,450,000 a year; this won’t go over well.
— Longhorns are 4-6, losing their last five games.
— Kansas ran for 218 yards, converted 11-17 on third down.
— Kansas coach Leipold won six national titles in D-III; he has to be a helluva coach, to win that much at any level.

11) Wake Forest 45, NC State 42:
— Wake Forest improves to 9-1, 6-0 in ACC games.
— When Wake lost to North Carolina last week, it wasn’t a conference game.
— Demon Deacons allowed 42+ points in three of last four games.
— Wolfpack had 13 penalties for 119 yards, Wake 5 for 50.

10) Texas Tech 41, Iowa State 38— Jonathan Garibay walked it off with a 62-yard FG; Red Raiders were 12-point home underdogs. Hell of a kick.

Iowa State called timeout before the kick to put a kid back under the goalposts, to return the kick when it was short, but Garibay drilled it and that was that.

9) Florida 70, Samford 52:
— I-AA Samford led this game 42-35 at halftime.
— Most points a I-AA team ever scored against a I-A team.
— penalties: Florida 12-94 yards; Samford 3-30

8) College football upsets this week:
— Kansas (+31) 57, Texas 56
— Georgia State (+12.5) 42, Coastal Carolina 40
— Texas Tech (+12) 41, Iowa State 38
— Old Dominion (+6.5) 30, FAU 16
— Rutgers (+6.5) 38, Indiana 3
— Ohio (+6) 34, Eastern Michigan 26
— Mississippi State (+5.5) 43, Auburn 34

7) Mississippi State 43, Auburn 34:
— Auburn led this game 28-3 late in 2nd quarter.
— Miss State’s Rogers was 25-27/272 passing, just in second half.
— In his career, Mike Leach is 39-27 ATS as a road underdog.

6) Saturday’s college basketball upsets:
— Mass-Lowell (+18) 59, Dayton 58
— Dartmouth (+16) 69, Georgetown 60
— Air Force (+15) 59, Tulsa 58
— Southern (+12.5) 73, Tulane 70
— Howard (+12.5) 76, Bradley 64
— Wagner (+11) 58, VCU 44

5) Michigan 21, Penn State 17:
— Michigan threw a 47-yard TD pass with 3:29 left for the win.
— Penn State was 6-21 on 3rd down, 3-6 on 4th down

4) Old Dominion 30, Florida Atlantic 16:
— At one point, Old Dominion led this game 4-3.
— Monarchs scored two first half safeties (sack/intentional grounding).

3) Arkansas 16, LSU 13:
— Both teams scored only one TD.
— Arkansas gained only 281 yards, converted 3-16 on third down.
— Razorbacks are 7-3, LSU 4-6. Go figure.

2) NFL news:
— Ben Roethlisberger (COVID protocols) is out for Pittsburgh.
— Rams WR Robert Woods tore his ACL, is out for the year.

1) Bad Beat of the Week? Late Friday night, Wyoming (+13.5) threw a 74-yard TD pass with 0:04 left. If you had Wyoming, you went to bed smiling; if not, the gambling gods owe you one.

 

[Udog]

CALGARY is 3-9 ATS (-11.3 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in road games on Sunday games in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 4-9 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 167-142 ATS (-72.6 Units) in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game since 1996.

TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) over the last 2 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 0-6 ATS (-7.2 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, November 14

 

[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, November 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Calgary @ Ottawa
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary

Edmonton @ St. Louis
Edmonton
Edmonton is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Edmonton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
St. Louis is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Montreal @ Boston
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 11 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

New Jersey @ NY Rangers
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
NY Rangers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey

Pittsburgh @ Washington
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Vancouver @ Anaheim
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 11 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 14
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

CAL at OTT 05:00 PM
CAL -200
+500

NJ at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -135
+500

EDM at STL 07:00 PM
STL +100
+500

MON at BOS 07:00 PM
BOS -245
+500

PIT at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -130
+500

VAN at ANA 08:00 PM
ANA -145
+500

 

[CNOTES]

NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............63-64-1.........49.60%..........-55.50


BEST BETS:

11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........33-42-1............44.00%.........-54.50


UPDATED 11/14/2021

 

[Udog]

ArmadilloSports

Monday’s 6-pack:
Six interesting college football spreads:
— Wake Forest @ Clemson (-3.5)
— Oregon @ Utah (-3)
— Arizona State (-2.5) @ Oregon State
— UCLA (-3) @ USC
— Iowa State @ Oklahoma (-5)
— Baylor @ Kansas State (-1)

Quote of the Day
“It has nothing to do with ability. It’s about execution and being a smart football team. We’re a very dumb football team. And that’s a reflection on the coaches.”
Tampa Bay coach Bruce Arians

Monday’s quiz
How many NFL teams play their home games in a domed stadium?

Sunday’s quiz
In The Odd Couple, Felix Unger was a photographer (portraits a specialty)

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, Sid lets his son-in-law drive his favorite car to Las Vegas for his bachelor party. The car was a silver Mercedes.

*******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Detroit 16, Pittsburgh 16:
— Detroit is winless, has gone WLWLWLWW vs spread.
— Lions ran ball for 229 yards, threw for only 77.
— Detroit converted 4-18 third down plays.
— Lions missed 48-yard FG in overtime.

— Rudolph was 30-50/242 passing, starting on short notice.
— Steelers were minus-3 in turnovers, didn’t lose.
— Pittsburgh’s only TD came on their first drive of game.
— Last five games, Steelers gave up 18.4 ppg.
— Underdogs are 6-0 ATS in Pittsburgh home games this year.

Tampa Bay (6-2) @ Washington (2-6)
— Tampa Bay lost last two games, giving up 36-29 points.
— Brady threw INT’s on two of first three drives.
— Buccaneers’ two TD drives were 43-47 yards.
— Underdogs are 7-0-1 ATS in last eight meetings with Washington.

— Washington converted 11-19 on third down, 2-2 on 4th down.
— Washington in 1st half: four drives- a TD, three field goals.
— Heinicke threw for 256 yards and a TD.
— Last four Washington games stayed under the total.

Tennessee 23, New Orleans 21:
— Saints scored TD with 1:16 left, failed on 2-point play to tie game.
— Saints’ kicker missed PAT on other two TD’s.
— Underdogs are 8-1 ATS in New Orleans games this season.
— Last three years, Saints are 8-1-1 ATS coming off a loss.

— Tennessee won eight of last nine games (7-2 ATS)
— Titans’ two TD drives were 56-19 yards.
— Saints outgained Tennessee, 373-264.
— Last four games, Titans ran for only 82.8 yards/game.
— First six weeks, Titans ran for 165 yards/game.

Indianapolis 23, Jacksonville 17:
— Jaguars gave up blocked punt for TD on their first series.
— Jacksonville is minus-10 in turnovers (4-14)
— Jaguars are 4-1-2 ATS in last seven visits to Indy.
— Jaguars ran ball for 179 yards, averaged 4.0 yards/pass.

— Indy’s first two series: 18 plays, 116 yards, 10 points.
— Colts rest of game: 44 plays, 167 yards, 6 points.
— Colts have 20 takeaways in last nine games (+11)
— Last seven weeks, Colts outscored opponents 105-54 in first half.
— Last five years, Indy is 7-12-2 ATS in AFC South home games.

New England 45, Cleveland 7:
— Cleveland had 84-yard TD drive first time it had ball.
— Rest of game, Browns ran 46 plays for 162 yards, no points..
— Browns scored 17 or fewer points in four of last five games.
— Cleveland is 8-13 ATS in last 21 road games.
— Over is 4-1 in Browns’ five road games.

— Patriots were 7-9 on third down, Cleveland 1-11.
— New England had ball eight times, scored six TD’s.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— New England won five of last six games, scoring 34 ppg.
— Since 2013, Patriots are 44-23-3 ATS at home.

Dallas 43, Atlanta 3:
— Falcons threw INTs on three straight drives in 2nd half.
— Falcons converted 1-11 on third down, had only 11 first downs.
— Atlanta has been outscored 153-82 in second half.
— Atlanta is 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.

— Cowboys blocked punt for TD; they led 36-3 at halftime.
— In first half, Cowboys had four TD’s on five drives.
— Dallas outgained the Falcons, 431-214.
— Dallas covered eight of nine games this season.

Buffalo 45, NJ Jets 17:
— Buffalo averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Bills scored TD on first three drives of second half.
— Last seven games, Bills are +14 in turnovers.
— Over is 8-3-2 in Bills’ last 13 road games.

— Jets gave up 54-31-45-45 points in last four games.
— Last six Jet games went over the total.
— Last four years, Jets are 13-25 ATS coming off a loss.
— Jets have been outscored 61-14 in first quarter, 168-47 in first half.

Minnesota 27, LA Chargers 20:
— Vikings drove 66-68 yards for second half TD’s to win game.
— Minnesota had 10-yard edge in field position.
— Eight of Vikings’ nine games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Five of Vikings’ last seven games stayed under the total.
— Last eight years, Vikings are 21-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.

— Chargers lost three of last four games, after a 4-1 start.
— Chargers ran 55 plays for 253 yards, Vikings 72 for 381 yards.
— Herbert averaged only 4.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four years, LA is 5-16-1 ATS as home favorites.
— Chargers are 6-9-1 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.

Carolina 34, Arizona 10:
— Panthers had TD drives of 15-41 yards, in first 6:21 of game.
— Panthers had an 11-yard edge in field position.
— Six drives in first half, Carolina scored two TD’s, kicked three FG’s.
— Carolina allowed 14 or fewer points in all five of its wins.

— Backup QB’s McCpy/Steveler struggled with starter Murray (ankle) out.
— Carolina outgained the Cardinals 341-169.
— Arizona converted 4-13 on third down, Carolina 7-15.
— Last seven years, Arizona is 11-21 ATS as a home favorite.

Green Bay 17, Seattle 0:
— Seahawks get shut out for first time in ten years.
— Seattle gained only 208 yards, averaged 3.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Seahawks lost six of their last eight games overall.
— Four of Seahawks’ last five games stayed under total.

— Packers didn’t score TD until 10:37 mark of 4th quarter.
— Green Bay won eight of last nine games (8-0-1 ATS)
— Last three years, Green Bay is 14-6 ATS as a home favorite (4-0 in ‘21).
— Last seven Packer games stayed under the total.

Philadelphia 30, Denver 13:
— DB Slay ran fumble back 83 yards for TD when Eagles led 20-13.
— Philly in first half; five drives- 43 plays, 270 yards, 2 TD’s, 2 FG’s.
— Last four weeks, Philly converted 25-48 on third down.
— Philly 236-176-214 YR last three games (98.6 ypg previous five games)

— Broncos were 1-11 on third down, Eagles 6-13.
— Denver’s last four drives: 19 plays, 105 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Eight of ten Denver games stayed under the total.
— Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 26.2 ppg in losses.

 

[Udog]

NY ISLANDERS are 28-16 ATS (14.9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 5-29 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game in the last 3 seasons.




NHL

Monday, November 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Columbus
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Detroit is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

NY Islanders @ Tampa Bay
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Islanders


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 15

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

NYI at TB 07:00 PM
TB -135
O 5.5
+500 +500

DET at CLB 07:00 PM
CLB -130
+500

 

[CNOTES]

NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............65-65-1.........50.00%..........-51.00


BEST BETS:

11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........33-43-1............43.42%.........-60.00


UPDATED 11/15/2021

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Six interesting NFL spreads:
— New England (-6) @ Atlanta
— Detroit @ Cleveland (-10)
— Indianapolis @ Buffalo (-7)
— Miami (-3) @ NJ Jets
— Washington @ Carolina (-3)
— Baltimore (-6.5) @ Chicago

Quote of the Day
“I want to be at A&M. I plan on being at A&M. I ain’t going nowhere. I don’t want to be nowhere else. I love being right here.”
Jimbo Fisher

Tuesday’s quiz
Which bowl game is played in San Diego every December?

Monday’s quiz
11 NFL teams play their home games in a domed stadium.

Sunday’s quiz
In The Odd Couple, Felix Unger was a photographer (portraits a specialty)

************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) When Kansas Jayhawks upset Texas Saturday, they ended a 56-game losing streak in Big X conference road games- that’s 13 years worth of losing.

12) Mississippi State football coach Mike Leach made a comment two weeks ago about their being open tryouts for kickers at Miss State “Just show up at the building, and if you’re cleared by the NCAA, you can try out”

People thought Leach was being sarcastic, but apparently 40 kids are trying out this week.

11) These days, when football coaches make unusual strategic moves, they just blurt out “analytics” expecting/hoping that everyone will just shut up.

Last weekend, college team was down 15 late in game; they score a TD and go for two, and the TV analyst says “Analytics say…..” Poppycock!!!

You kick the PAT there, to get the lead to 8 and keep the game alive, When they failed on the 2-point play, the game was over. Down 8, you still had a (small) chance to win the game.

10) Detroit Tigers signed lefty P Eduardo Rodriguez to a 5-year deal worth $77M; Rodriguez was 13-8, 4.74 in 31 starts for the Red Sox last year, after not pitching in 2020.

9) Boston 98, Cleveland 92— Despite this score, surprising Cavaliers have won six of their last eight games SU, are 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games.

8) When doing basketball stats, still think an assist on a 3-point shot should count as 1.5 assists, and passes that lead to made foul shots should also get assist credit.

7) College basketball scores of note:
— Kansas City 80, Missouri 66
— Marquette 67, Illinois 66
— Providence 63, Wisconsin 58
— Tulsa 64, Oregon State 58
— UMass 81, Penn State 56
— Belmont 95, Furman 89, OT

6) Oregon State’s football team is bowl eligible for first time since 2013; Jonathan Smith has done a good job rebuilding the Beavers.

5) College football coaching carousel:
— Washington fired Jimmy Lake
— Florida International fired Butch Davis
— Miami Hurricanes fired their AD.

4) Michigan Wolverines under Jim Harbaugh:
— 41-9 in September/October
— 17-14 in November-January

3) One last note on Felix Unger Day, which was Saturday; Felix’s birthday was November 13 because that was Garry Marshall’s birthday, the man who developed The Odd Couple into such a popular TV show.

2) Lakers/Clippers both had home games at Staples Center Sunday, one in afternoon, the other at night. I always wonder: How many people went to both games? Would be fun to know.

1) 49ers 31, Rams 10:
— 49ers’ 1st drive: 18 plays, 93 yards, TD
— 49ers’ 2nd drive: 11 plays, 91 yards, TD
— 49ers converted 8-14 on 3rd down, Rams 3-10.
— 49ers have beaten the Rams five times in a row.

 

[Udog]

MONTREAL is 15-30 ATS (-18 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

NASHVILLE is 5-1 ATS (6.1 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS are 11-4 ATS (9.1 Units) against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 0-5 ATS (-6.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

CALGARY is 2-11 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.

EDMONTON is 20-10 ATS (15.5 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE is 20-46 ATS (-30.6 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 4-10 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

DALLAS are 0-6 ATS (-8.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

ANAHEIM is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games in the current season.

CAROLINA is 15-6 ATS (8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.