Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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NHL

Tuesday, November 16


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Islanders @ Florida
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 10 games on the road
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Montreal @ NY Rangers
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games on the road
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal

Calgary @ Philadelphia
Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Calgary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Calgary

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Nashville @ Toronto
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

San Jose @ Minnesota
San Jose
San Jose is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Arizona @ St. Louis
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis's last 17 games when playing at home against Arizona

Edmonton @ Winnipeg
Edmonton
Edmonton is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 12 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games

Detroit @ Dallas
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Washington @ Anaheim
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Carolina @ Vegas
Carolina
Carolina is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 16
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MON at NYR 07:00 PM
NYR -210
O 5.5
+500 +500

NAS at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -200
U 5.5
+500 +500

BUF at PIT 07:00 PM
PIT -250
U 6.0
+500 +500

NYI at FLA 07:00 PM
FLA -170
O 5.5
+500 +500

CAL at PHI 07:00 PM
PHI -105
O 5.5
+500 +500

SJ at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -175
O 6.0
+500 +500

EDM at WIN 08:00 PM
EDM -115
U 6.5
+500 +500

ARI at STL 08:00 PM
STL -315
O 5.5
+500 +500

DET at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -185
U 5.5
+500 +500

WAS at ANA 10:00 PM
ANA +105
U 6.0

+500 +500

CAR at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG +120
O 6.0

+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............75-75-2.........50.00%..........-81.50


BEST BETS:

11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........38-48-1............44.18%.........-62.25


UPDATED 11/16/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NBA leaders in plus/minus:
+195— Steph Curry, Warriors
+135— Aaron Gordon, Nuggets
+131— Derrick Rose, Knicks
+129— Monte Morris, Nuggets
+125— Nikola Jokic, Nuggets
+123— Luke Kennard, Clippers

Quote of the Day
“This isn’t to cast any blame or make excuses; it’s just factual that we have some real depth issues. As injuries mount, it’s even more glaring.”
Texas AD Chris Del Conte, defending his football coach. Longhorns are 4-6.

Sunday’s quiz
Roy Williams retired last spring as North Carolina’s basketball coach; where did he coach before North Carolina?

Tuesday’s quiz
Holiday Bowl is played in San Diego every December.

Monday’s quiz
11 NFL teams play their home games in a domed stadium.

******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Got my COVID booster shot at Crossgates Mall Tuesday; very organized, well-run operation. Wish there were more people there getting shots, but I was in/out in 25 minutes or so, then did some walking around the mall. Hadn’t done that in a long time.

Two slices of pizza and a smallish bottle of water? $11 and change. No bueno.

12) Los Angeles Angels signed P Noah Syndergaard to a one-year, $21M contract; he is 47-31, 3.32 in 120 big league starts, but pitched only two innings the last two seasons because of arm problems.

You think about the potential labor impasse in baseball this winter; going to be hard for owners to cry poor when the Angels give $21M to a guy who threw two innings in two years.

11) Toronto Blue Jays gave P José Berríos a 7-year, $131M contract extension. He was 5-4, 3.58 in 12 starts for Toronto last year.

10) Loyola, Chicago is leaving the Missouri Valley for the Atlantic 15 (they’re team #15, meaning one more team should join the league eventually). This is the Ramblers’ 9th year in the MVC; Porter Moser built them into a league power before bolting for Oklahoma.

9) Northwestern-Purdue football game this week is at Wrigley Field; back when I was a young person, Chicago Bears played home games at Wrigley- they moved to Soldier Field in 1971.

8) Arizona Cardinals have injury issues at QB; they wanted to sign Shane Buechele off the Chiefs’ practice squad, but Kansas City moved him onto their 53-man roster, so they can keep him around.

7) NBA stuff:
— Cleveland Cavaliers’ young star Evan Mobley (elbow) is out 2-4 weeks.
— Dallas star Luka Doncic has multiple injuries, is out for Wednesday’s game

6) Favorites went 10-1 ATS in Monday night’s NBA action; you don’t see that much.

5) Illinois football coach Bret Bielema tested positive for COVID, will miss Saturday’s game against the Iowa Hawkeyes. Illinois is 4-6 in Bielema’s first season at Illinois.

4) Virginia Tech fired football coach Justin Fuente Monday; Fuente was 43-31 at Tech, 28-20 in ACC games, 1-3 in bowls— only bowl he won with the Hokies was back in 2016.

As I type this, there are nine Division I football jobs open.

3) Duke’s freshman basketball star Paolo Banchero got arrested late Saturday night, charged with aiding and abetting DUI (the driver was driving Banchero’s car), but Banchero started in Duke’s 92-52 win over Gardner-Webb Tuesday.

Driver of the car, by the way, was Michael Savarino, who is Mike Krzyzewski’s grandson.

2) North Carolina 94, Charleston 83:
— Charleston led 42-36 at half; their biggest lead was 11.
— UNC was +13 on boards, minus-7 in turnovers.
— Eight kids scored double figures; five of them didn’t start.

1) Seton Hall 67, Michigan 65:
— Michigan had chance to tie game with 0:00.8 left, but missed a foul shot.
— Big East leads Gavitt Challenge after two nights, 4-0.
 

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VANCOUVER is 0-7 ATS (-8.2 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

SEATTLE is 1-7 ATS (-8.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

PETER LAVIOLETTE is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp (Coach of Washington)




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 17







NHL

Wednesday, November 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado @ Vancouver
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games at home

Chicago @ Seattle
Chicago
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

Washington @ Los Angeles
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 17
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


COL at VAN 09:00 PM
COL -155
O 6.0
+500 +500

CHI at SEA 10:00 PM
SEA -150
O 5.5
+500 +500

WAS at LA 10:30 PM
LA -110
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............78-77-3.........50.32%..........-77.50


BEST BETS:

11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........40-48-2............45.45%.........-52.25


UPDATED 11/17/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

College basketball teams playing fastest tempo so far:
1) Charleston
2) Marshall
3) Memphis
4) Eastern Kentucky
5) Alabama
6) Mississippi Valley State

Quote of the Day
“I think Anthony Davis getting zero free throw attempts is a little bit mind-boggling. And it’s something we’ve been communicating to the league about.”
Lakers coach Frank Vogel, after Davis went 9-15 from floor, 0-0 from line in Milwaukee

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan play his college football?

Wednesday’s quiz
Roy Williams retired last spring as North Carolina’s basketball coach; he coached Kansas before he went to North Carolina.

Tuesday’s quiz
Holiday Bowl is played in San Diego every December.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) This fall for the first time, HBO is doing an in-season version of Hard Knocks, dealing with the Indianapolis Colts. First episode aired Wednesday; focused on how Frank Reich/Carson Wentz bonded when Reich was offensive coordinator for the Eagles, then how much Reich wanted to acquire Wentz when the Eagles made him available.

Owner Jim Irsay makes couple of brief appearances; all in all, the normal high quality stuff you expect from NFL Films, but because it is the regular season, that makes it even better.

12) It still gets me every time I watch Hard Knocks and realize that the narrator is actor Liev Schrieber, the actor who played Ray Donovan on the great Showtime series. Ray Donovan had a Boston accent and Schrieber doesn’t, I would’ve lost money betting that it wasn’t him.

11) Joe Flacco is going to start at QB for the Jets Sunday; over the last four games, here are passes thrown by Jet quarterbacks:
132— Mike White
45— Josh Johnson
10— Zach Wilson
3— Joe Flacco
Not often a team uses four QB’s in a four-game span.

10) Baseball stuff:
— Astros signed P Justin Verlander for one year, $25M
— Giants signed 1B Brandon Belt for one year, $18.4M.

9) New York Mets signed Billy Eppler as their new GM; he was the Angels’ GM for five years- they went 85-77 in his first year in Anaheim (2015), didn’t do better than 80-82 after that.

8) George Mason 71, Maryland 66:
— Terps led 12-3 early, but trailed by one at the half.
— Patriots made 12-24 on arc; three of their starters are transfers.
— Mason starts 4-0; they’ve already jumped 69 spots in kenpom.com ratings.

7) kenpom.com is a great site for college hoop fans; here are their top 5 leagues so far:
— Big 14
— Big X
— SEC
— Big East
— Pac-12

Small sample size, but notable that the ACC is #6 right now.

6) Rhode Island 57, Boston College 49— One reason the ACC is #6 is that BC/Pitt aren’t good, and the better teams haven’t played many big games yet. Scoring 49 points against URI (BC shot 25% for the night) isn’t a good sign for conference play.

5) Gavitt Challenge:
— Michigan State 73, Butler 52— Why is a team from Indiana in the Big East?
— Indiana 76, St John’s 74— After going 0-4 the previous two nights, Big 14 wins couple games against the Big East and gets within 4-2, with one night left.

4) By the way, I know the Big East tournament is ALWAYS in Madison Square Garden in New York City, but if you have Butler in your league, shouldn’t they play the tournament at Hinkle Fieldhouse one year?

3) VCU 48, Vanderbilt 37:
— Yes, they played both halves.
— Teams combined to shoot 8-44 on the arc.
— Teams combined for 43 turnovers.
— Vanderbilt scored 15 points in the second half. Fifteen.

2) Utah Valley 84, Long Beach State 78, OT:
— Antelopes played three guys 38:00+; they won boards, 45-28.
— Utah Valley won its last two games in overtime.

1) Texas Tech’s football radio announcers got suspended for a game after the Big X reprimanded them for their criticism of officials during last week’s 41-38 win over Iowa State.

The Big 12 commissioner said the two broadcasters lacked “……respect and professionalism”
 

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NY RANGERS are 24-8 ATS (14.1 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

NEW JERSEY is 0-7 ATS (-7.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS (-9.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 7-14 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after 2 straight close losses by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 1-6 ATS (-7.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 3-16 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 17-10 ATS (10.4 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in November games in the current season.

VEGAS are 30-6 ATS (21.8 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NHL

Thursday, November 18


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Calgary @ Buffalo
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New Jersey @ Florida
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing New Jersey

Pittsburgh @ Montreal
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay

NY Rangers @ Toronto
NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Dallas @ Minnesota
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

San Jose @ St. Louis
San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose

Columbus @ Arizona
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

Winnipeg @ Edmonton
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Carolina @ Anaheim
Carolina
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Vegas
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Vegas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


TB at PHI 07:00 PM
O 5.5
+500

PIT at MON 07:00 PM
PIT -150
U 5.5
+500 +500

NJ at FLA 07:00 PM
FLA -180
U 6.0
+500 +500

NYR at TOR 07:00 PM
U 5.5
+500

CAL at BUF 07:00 PM
CAL -175
+500

DAL at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -125
+500

SJ at STL 08:00 PM
U 6.0
+500

CLB at ARI 09:00 PM
U 5.5
+500

DET at VEG 10:00 PM
VEG -165
O 5.5
+500 +500

CAR at ANA 10:00 PM
CAR -155
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............88-79-3.........52.69%..........-38.50


BEST BETS:

11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........46-50-2............47.91%.........-33.25


UPDATED 11/18/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:

College basketball teams playing slowest tempo so far:
358) Virginia
357) Air Force
356) Evansville
355) Texas
354) Campbell
353) NC-Greensboro

Quote of the Day
“I think it’s (taunting) being over-officiated. I don’t think any of us who discussed it [on the competition committee] saw it going where it is now.”
Sean Payton

Friday’s quiz
After leaving UNLV, Jerry Tarkanian coached 20 games in the NBA; what team did he coach?

Thursday’s quiz
Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan played his college football at Boston College.

Wednesday’s quiz
Roy Williams retired last spring as North Carolina’s basketball coach; he coached Kansas before he went to North Carolina.

********************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) I like to surf the web and find articles that will help me in handicapping and in fantasy baseball; back in 2019, read an article in The Athletic about a Toronto pitcher named Trent Thornton.

Won’t mention the writer’s name, but he was effusive in his praise for Thornton, how the spin rate on his curveball was so good and that he was such a good prospect. I was skeptical, but hey, this guy writes for The Athletic while I’m eating Doritos on my couch, so I picked Thornton up, since my squad needed pitching.

It didn’t go well.

His first two starts were very good (2 runs in 10.2 IP) but then the roof fell in. 13 runs in 12.2 IP in his next three starts; one of the home runs he gave up in SkyDome almost went through the empty seat it hit. If someone had been sitting there, they would’ve broken a bone.

Can’t remember how long it took me to cut Thornton, but I stopped reading that guy’s articles. Just because you get paid to do something doesn’t mean you’re good at it.

12) New England 25, Atlanta 0:
— Patriots had one offensive TD; they had a pick-6 with 1:22 left.
— Patriots won five in row, six of last seven games.
— New England has 18 takeaways in last seven games (+10)
— Since 2016, New England is 22-15 ATS as road favorites.

— Three Falcon QB’s threw an INT in this game.
— Atlanta is 0-4 SU at home, losing by 26-4-6-25 points.
— Falcons gained 165 total yards, had two empty trips to red zone.
— Atlanta has been outscored 165-82 in second half.

11) Mac Jones was the fifth QB taken in last spring’s draft. This is why the NFL Draft is such an interesting process; in a business where the average franchise is worth $3B, some teams are just knuckleheads where the draft is concerned.

10) Good news: ESPN announced that Dick Vitale will be the analyst for Tuesday’s Gonzaga-UCLA game in Las Vegas. The 82-year old Vitale has been getting treatment for lymphoma, but his doctor gave his blessing for the former coach to travel to call games. Glad to hear it.

9) New Mexico State 76, Davidson 64:
— This is Chris Jans’ 5th year with the Aggies; they’ve gone 98-25 under his tutelage, beating a good Davidson team here.
— New Mexico State has 13 new players this season, basically a whole new team.

8) Charleston Cougars are going to be an interesting team to follow this winter; they changed coaches last spring, with Earl Grant jumping to Boston College. In seven years under Grant, Charleston went 68-50 in CAA games, 57-25 the last five years.

In those seven years, Charleston NEVER ranked higher than #289 in pace; they played slower tempo, were a good defensive team, and hey, they won a lot of games.

Enter Pat Kelsey, Charleston’s new coach.

In nine years at Winthrop, Kelsey went 110-46 in conference games; in his last six years with the Eagles, Winthrop never ranked lower than #47 in pace. Kelsey likes his team to play fast.

So far this season, Charleston is #1 in country in pace. Not sure how good they’ll be, but they’ll sure as hell be fun to watch.

7) Still believe that one weekend every season, the NBA should honor the old ABA by playing games with red, white and blue basketballs, and having the four ABA survivors play each other that weekend. Nets-Spurs-Pacers-Nuggets. The ABA made basketball more fun; that’s where the 3-point shot came from.

6) Brooklyn Nets just played eight games in 13 nights, going 6-2 in those games.

5) This is how screwed up college sports have become; DePaul-Rutgers in the Big East-Big 14 challenge, a team from Chicago against a team from New Jersey. The thing is, DePaul is the Big East team, and Rutgers is the Big 14 team.

If I was a kid today, I’d flunk geography.

4) Dayton Flyers already have home losses to Mass-Lowell and Lipscomb, scoring 58-59 points in those games. Atlantic 14 is pretty good league. Flyers are 2nd-least experienced team in country, playing a bottom 10 pace. Against Lipscomb, seven of nine Flyers who played were freshmen. Could be a long winter in Dayton.

3) St Bonaventure 67, Boise State 61:
— Bonnies are supposed to be the best team in A-14; they allowed 56 ppg in their first three games.
— Bonnies have six international players on their roster.
— St Bonaventure is #28 in experience; they’ve made only 21.7% of their 3’s so far.

2) Other interesting college basketball scores:
— Xavier 71, Ohio State 65
— Samford 78, Oregon State 77
— Marquette 78, Ole Miss 72
— Saginaw Valley 80, Western Michigan 63— Oy.
— San Diego State 65, Arizona State 63

1) Do cellphones cause people to talk less?

I’m at the mall Monday, getting my booster shot; after the shot, you sit in an area for 15 minutes, then you go home, or wherever. There are seven other people sitting in the area; I look around, and all eight of us are scrolling on our phones. Makes the time go quicker, but in the old days, maybe you’d strike up a conversation with someone. Didn’t happen Monday.
 

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VANCOUVER is 0-8 ATS (-9.2 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS (-9.7 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.




NHL

Friday, November 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado @ Seattle
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games on the road
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

Winnipeg @ Vancouver
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 12 games when playing Winnipeg


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 19
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


COL at SEA 10:00 PM
COL -140
U 6.0
+500 +500

WIN at VAN 10:00 PM
WIN -110
O 5.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER NHL OPINONS AND BEST BETS

Date W-L-T % Units

11/19/2021.........1-3-0..........25.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021.......10-2-0........83.33%.........+39.00
11/17/2021.........3-2-1........60.00%..........+4.00
11/16/2021.....10-10-1.........50.00%.........-30.50
11/15/2021.........2-1-0........66.67%..........+4.50
11/14/2021.........5-1-0.........83.33%........+20.00
11/13/2021.......9-11-0.........45.00%..........-11.75
11/12/2021.........5-5-0.........50.00%...........- 1.75
11/11/2021.........5-7-0.........41.67%..........-17.00
11/10/2021..........2-4-0........33.33% ..........-13.50
11/08/2021..........5-1-0........83.33% .........+11.50
11/07/2021..........2-2-0.........50.00%...........- 1.00
11/06/2021........9-14-0.........39.13%..........-40.25
11/05/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%...........- 7.75
11/03/2021..........3-5-0.........37.50%..........-17.00
11/02/2021........11-7-0..........61.11%........+12.00
11/01/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%..........+4.50

TOTALS:............89-82-3.........52.04%..........-49.50


BEST BETS:

11/19/2021..........0-2-0...........00.00%.......-11.00
11/18/2021..........6-2-0...........75.00%......+19.00
11/17/2021..........2-0-1..........100.00%.....+10.00
11/16/2021..........5-5-1...........50.00%........- 2.25
11/15/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.50
11/14/2021..........0-1-0...........00.00%........- 5.00
11/13/2021..........3-9-0...........25.00%........-33.00
11/12/2021..........4-4-0...........50.00%........+ 2.00
11/11/2021..........5-4-0...........55.55%........+ 3.50
11/10/2021..........1-2-0...........33.33%........- 6.00
11/08/2021..........4-0-0.........100.00%........+20.50
11/07/2021..........2-1-0..........66.66%.........+ 4.50
11/06/2021..........4-9-0............30.76%........-23.50
11/05/2021..........2-4-0............33.33%........-11.00
11/03/2021..........2-3-0............40.00%..........-6.00
11/02/2021..........5-3-0............62.50%.........+8.50
11/01/2021..........1-2-1............33.33%.........- 5.50

TOTALS:...........46-52-2............46.93%.........-44.25


UPDATED 11/19/2021
 

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