Thanks Indy. GL to you. Tomorrow is a big day.
Small:
Arizona St. +13 Texas is going to be tough to beat, and ASU will have a hard time upsetting them after 60 minutes of football. But with ASU's offense, with Sam Leavitt showing incredible improvement from even mid-season to now, they can keep it close for much of the game. Skattebo will get the tough yards, but he is also a very good blocker and receiving option. ASU will need to take chances here on both sides of the ball, while Texas might feel like they can win playing more conservatively. Texas can sometimes dominate, but it doesn't always show up on the scoreboard. In the Clemson game, they fiddled around for much of the 2nd half and Clemson got within 7. The A&M game was closer than it should have been. ATS losers vs. Vandy, Kentucky and Arkansas. Got a feeling Leavitt elevates his game a little more and ASU keeps it close.
Small:
Arizona St. +13 Texas is going to be tough to beat, and ASU will have a hard time upsetting them after 60 minutes of football. But with ASU's offense, with Sam Leavitt showing incredible improvement from even mid-season to now, they can keep it close for much of the game. Skattebo will get the tough yards, but he is also a very good blocker and receiving option. ASU will need to take chances here on both sides of the ball, while Texas might feel like they can win playing more conservatively. Texas can sometimes dominate, but it doesn't always show up on the scoreboard. In the Clemson game, they fiddled around for much of the 2nd half and Clemson got within 7. The A&M game was closer than it should have been. ATS losers vs. Vandy, Kentucky and Arkansas. Got a feeling Leavitt elevates his game a little more and ASU keeps it close.
Username checks outFred, I always look to your writeups and picks. You're very good. To me, these stats are telling. ASU has made a nice run, but I don't see them keeping up with Texas. The Horns will put up a lot of points on ASU ala Clemson.
In seriousness, those counting stats don’t paint a full picture. If you look at national rankings in EPA/play, Texas is 8th offensively and 3rd defensively while Arizona State is 12th offensively and 18th defensively.
Still clear advantage Horns, but not nearly as drastic as if you look at unsynthesized data.
…gl to all either way
ASU was also a much better team 2nd half of their schedule. Does anyone know a website that breaks it down that way, by portions of the season?Username checks out
In seriousness, those counting stats don’t paint a full picture. If you look at national rankings in EPA/play, Texas is 8th offensively and 3rd defensively while Arizona State is 12th offensively and 18th defensively.
Still clear advantage Horns, but not nearly as drastic as if you look at unsynthesized data.
