BoSox04 NFL Season Long Thread

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December 11th

6.5 Point Teaser- Vikings +8.5/Ravens +8.5 (-130), 2*
Bills -9 (-110), 2*
Jaguars +3.5 (-105), 2*
Texans +17 (-110), 2*
Panthers +4.5 (-115), 2*
Buccaneers +3.5 (-115), 2*

I'm waiting on an injury report from Chargers practice today. If it's not bad, I'm going to bet the Chargers +3.5. I don't want to lose the chance to bet +3.5 like I missed out on betting +6 on the Browns. It sounds like Trevor Lawrence and Zay Jones are both going to be active this week. Burks is out for the Titans with a concussion which leaves Robert Woods as the only real threat in the passing game for Tennessee.

I bet a few of these games Monday and a couple lines have moved in my favor. I wouldn't play the Bills at -10. -9.5 was the cutoff for me. I would still play Carolina at +3.5 or +4.
 

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Giants Team Total under 17.5 (-115), 2*

I don't think we are getting too much from Saquon in this game. Even if he does play well, what else do the Giants have? The Giants do not want to get in a shootout and really don't have the capability to do so.
 

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Mike White under 245.5 passing yards (-115), 2*
James Cook over 34.5 rushing yards (-120), 1*
Nick Chubb over 75.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*
JaMarr Chase over 81.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Philip Dorsett over 31.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
TJ Hockenson over 48.5 receiving yards (-120), 1*
DeAndre Swift over 58.5 rushing + receiving yards (-130), 1*
Travis Etienne over 58.5 rushing yards (EV), 1*
 

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The weather looks crappy in Buffalo today. I think White's prop should be in the 220's. Buffalo's defense is healthier today and the weather is bad. Mike White isn't exactly a great quarterback. I think both teams run the ball a lot today and Mike White could certainly end up under 200 yards. The weather is part of the reason I like Cook's over as well. Buffalo has been using him more often lately and he might end up taking Singletary's job by the time the playoffs start. I think Cook will get this over if the game is close and will certainly hit the over if Buffalo has a comfortable lead. DeAndre Swift eclipsed Jamal Williams in snaps last week. That's a sign to me that Swift is 100%. I think he has a big game today and I think the Vikings will do their best to keep Hockenson involved against his old team.
 

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Greg Dulcich over 40.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*
Isiah Pacheco over 66.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Julio Jones over 25.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Deebo Samuel over 13.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
DJ Moore over 51.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Tony Jones Anytime TD (+165), 1*
Tyreek Hill over 98.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*

Adding these props to the three remaining sides I have. Good luck.
 

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December 18th

Titans +3 (-110), 2*

I will update my record shortly. I have nothing for tonight yet. Lean Patriots and under, but I haven’t bet anything.
 

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Yesterday: 10-12/YTD: 136-145, +3.8

Too many props. I’m going to drastically cut back on them. Idk what loss was worse yesterday. Losing the Vikings/Ravens teaser due to Detroit’s late field goal. Losing Buffalo -9 due to the Jets late field goal. Or losing the Giants team total under because Tyrod Taylor faced no resistance at the end of the game.

Patriots took some money. There’s really not much of a difference between -1.5 and -2.5. If the game gets to a 3 point spread, I might have to bet Arizona. Right now I’m looking at the under, waiting to see if the total goes up at all.
 

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Hunter Henry over 29.5 receiving yards (-120), 1*
Hunter Henry Anytime TD (+290), 1*
Nelson Agholor over 32.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*
Greg Dortch Anytime TD (+500), .5*

I’m staying away from the side and total tonight. I still lean Patriots and the under, but I’m not fully bought into either one. Everyone is on Kyler Murray over 35.5/36.5 rushing yards. Belicheck’s defenses often struggle against mobile quarterbacks. If Arizona’s offensive line doesn’t hold up, that gives Murray even more of a reason to scramble. In theory it makes perfect sense. We all know that, yet the total is 36.5. Seems fishy to me.

I’m big on Henry tonight with Meyers being out for New England. I feel like when their offense is at its best, they are utilizing Henry in the passing game. Arizona does not cover tight ends well and are last in the league in red-zone defense.

GL
 

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Yesterday: 1-3/YTD: 137-148, +2.15

Agholor had 31 receiving yards in the first half. He ended up with 32. It was one of those weeks in the prop world.
 

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D.K. Metcalf over 63.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
George Kittle over 42.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*

Adding these two props to the Seahawks bet from earlier in the week. Good luck!
 

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YTD: 138-150, -.25

December 17th


Alec Pierce over 43.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
JK Dobbins over 49.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Donovan Peoples Jones over 47.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Bills -7 (-110), 2*
Bills/Dolphins under 43.5 (-110), 2*
2 Team 6 Point Teaser: Bills -1/Packers -1 (-120), 2*

I want to bet the Browns, but Watson has shown me nothing to this point. Good luck!
 

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