BoSox04 NFL Season Long Thread

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YTD: 100-105, +13.96

November 27th


Browns +3 (-110), 2*
Bengals/Titans under 43 (-110), 2*
Ravens -4 (-110), 2*
Jets -4.5 (-110), 2*
Seahawks -3.5 (-110), 2*

Adding one total to my card. It is very windy in Tennessee. Tennessee doesn’t need an excuse to run the ball more. The Bengals don’t have Mixon, which lessens the chance of a big play on the ground.

In terms of excitement value, this card stinks. What’s more important is we make money!
 

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Chris Godwin over 59.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Derrick Henry over 99.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Dameon Pierce over 68.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Jaylen Waddle over 67.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
DJ Moore over 45.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
 

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2 Team 6 Point Teaser: 49ers -2.5 & Cardinals +8.5 (-120), 2*

James Conner over 66.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Davante Adams over 87.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Chris Olave over 58.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Christian McCaffery over 38.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Cam Akers over 39.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Miles Sanders over 69.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Christian Watson over 40.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*

I'm expanding my props today. Usually I focus on props with the primetime games because I only have so much time. But I had some time during the holiday weekend and I picked out 12 that I wanted to bet. The only other bet I'm considering is the Packers. The Eagles have been playing at a much lower level lately, while the Packers are pretty much in a spot where they have to win this game if they want to even consider going on a playoff run. I will update along with a possible anytime TD prop later on. GL
 

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Good start to the day. Didn’t get the best number with the Browns, but it didn’t matter. 3-1 on early sides and totals, with the only loser being the Ravens. They had the Jags 3rd and 21 on their own 14 and the next thing you know, Jacksonville was up by one. 3-2 on early props. Hope the mid afternoon window is good to me as well.
 

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DeVonta Smith Anytime TD (+170), 1*
Robert Tonyan Anytime TD (+440), 1*

I lean Packers, but I'm just going to play the four props.
 

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Today: 11-9/YTD: 111-114, +17.06

Lot of touchdowns scored and I couldn’t hit an anytime TD. All in all, a good day. I will be on the Steelers in some form or fashion tomorrow night.
 

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November 28th

Steelers +2.5 (-105), 2*
George Pickens over 43.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
 

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YTD: 113-114, +20.06

December 1st


Patriots +3.5 (-110), 2*
Josh Allen over 46.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Rhamondre Stevenson over 63.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Gabriel Davis over 51.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*

GL!
 

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Yesterday: 0-4/YTD: 113-118, +14.56

December 4th


2 Team 6 Point Teaser: Browns -1/Giants +8.5 (-120), 2*
2 Team 6 Point Teaser: Browns -1/Ravens -2.5 (-134), 2*
2 Team 6 Point Teaser: Ravens -2.5/Giants +8.5 (-134), 2*
Jaguars/Lions over 51 (-110), 2*

There’s a lot of indecision for me right now with sides. There’s a couple sides I like that are moving against me. There’s a couple sides I like, but I’m hoping to get a better number. Or waiting on injury information. What I do know is I like these three teams in teasers. Having the Giants at +8.5 is very valuable, as is dropping the Ravens and Browns underneath -3. It costs a little more to play a six point teaser at FanDuel, but they are the only book I have access to where the Ravens number is still -8.5.

If the Giants move to +3, which they shouldn’t, I will jump in at that price. I’m considering the Dolphins, Raiders and Chiefs as well. I will absolutely update as the weekend continues.

Lastly, my fault last night. Just a total dud. I have been doing well all year, so I’m allowed to have a bad night. But that didn’t make it any better while that game went on. As soon as Folk missed the field goal at the end of the first half, I knew I was done. All my bets were predicated on the Patriots keeping it close or winning outright. When he doinked that kick, it was a huge gut punch that the Patriots never recovered from.
 

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Nothing to add for the early games. Just the three teasers and the Lions/Jaguars over. Giants never got to +3. I have a couple sides that I’m eyeing later in the day. I will say if the Jets drop to +2.5, they are going in a teaser with the Giants. But I don’t see that happening. I didn’t have a chance to look at props yet for the early games and I don’t think they will change before they kickoff. I will update if that changes.
 

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George Pickens over 46.5 receiving yards (-135), 1*
Christian Watson over 50.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*
Travis Etienne over 65.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*
Christian Kirk over 61.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
DeAndre Swift over 24.5 receiving yards (-105), 1*
Justin Jefferson over 83.5 receiving yards (-120), 1*
Garrett Wilson over 60.5 receiving yards (-125), 1*
Saquon Barkley over 72.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*
Gus Edwards over 58.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*

I found time to get some prop work done. No Anytime TD stuff but at least rushing and receiving yards for the 1pm games. GL!
 

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Kenneth Walker over 74.5 rushing yards (-120), 1*
George Kittle over 44.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*
Tyreek Hill over 87.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*
Ja'Marr Chase over 79.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Austin Ekeler over 102.5 rushing + receiving yards (-105), 1*

Here's the props for the second wave of games.
 

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Cowboys/Colts over 44.5 (-110), 2*
Ceedee Lamb over 68.5 receiving yards (-110), 1*
Jonathan Taylor over 76.5 rushing yards (-110), 1*
Dalton Schultz Anytime TD (+195), 1*
 

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Yesterday: 10-12/YTD: 123-130, +10.65

December 5th


Bucs -3.5 (-105), 2*
Mike Evans over 62.5 yards (-110), 1*
Chris Olave over 60.5 yards (-115), 1*
 

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Today: 1-2/YTD: 124-132, +8.45

Evans didn’t have one catch on the final drive. Needed four more yards from him. Worst week of the season for me. It happens, I’ll bounce back next week.

I have a couple bets I’m considering making tomorrow for this Sunday. One of them is the Panthers, although I missed the best number. I will update tomorrow.
 

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December 11th

Bills -9 (-110), 2*
Texans +17 (-110), 2*
Panthers +4.5 (-115), 2*

I don’t think this is going over 17 and I have to grab the points. This is a flat spot for Dallas coming off the big win on SNF. It would be an even better spot if Dallas had a more difficult opponent on deck than the Jaguars. But they do have to go on the road and Jacksonville proved they can hang with better teams at home two weeks ago when they won outright against Baltimore. Houston proved two weeks ago against Miami that they will fight to the end even if they get down big early. Carolina has looked better lately and Seattle has started to look more ordinary. I think the Panthers are live there. I expect the Bills to roll the Jets. Revenge game for them, Buffalo is finally back home. Back to back road games for the Jets. This is a good spot for the Bills.

I am keeping my eyes on the Chargers. DK just put up a heavily juiced +3.5. If that comes down a little bit, I will take that. I am also monitoring the Browns and Jaguars.
 

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December 8th

Rams +6.5 (-105), 2*
Davante Adams over 90.5 yards (-110), 1*
Tutu Atwell over 23.5 receiving yards (-120), 1*
Tutu Atwell Anytime TD (+350), .5*
Kyren Williams Anytime TD (+390), .5*
 

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