Yesterday: 3-4/YTD: 160-172, -7.65
January 2nd
6 Point Teaser: Steelers +8/Bengals +7.5 (-130), 2*
Bills/Bengals over 50.5 (-110), 2*
Gabe Davis over 46.5 yards (-115), 1*
Stefon Diggs over 75.5 yards (-115), 1*
Adding these three plays to my teaser that is still alive from last night. If I had no action on the side, I would probably bet Buffalo -2.5 honestly. Whoever was the dog in this game, I was going to tease up above 7. But I do think Buffalo wins this game by 3-7 points more often then not. This should be a great game. Good luck!
January 2nd
6 Point Teaser: Steelers +8/Bengals +7.5 (-130), 2*
Bills/Bengals over 50.5 (-110), 2*
Gabe Davis over 46.5 yards (-115), 1*
Stefon Diggs over 75.5 yards (-115), 1*
Adding these three plays to my teaser that is still alive from last night. If I had no action on the side, I would probably bet Buffalo -2.5 honestly. Whoever was the dog in this game, I was going to tease up above 7. But I do think Buffalo wins this game by 3-7 points more often then not. This should be a great game. Good luck!
Yesterday: 3-1/YTD: 163-173, -5.85
January 8th
Lions +6 (-115), 2*
1-1 so far today. Teaser was an easy winner, but the Bucs couldn’t find much offense late. I usually bet light in week 18 due to the unpredictability. I like grabbing the points with the Lions. I think they will show up tonight for a number of reasons. Campbell will have them motivated, the rivalry with GB and chance to knock them out of the playoffs. Commanders, Rams and Giants all just showed that teams who aren’t playing for anything still have pride.
January 8th
Lions +6 (-115), 2*
1-1 so far today. Teaser was an easy winner, but the Bucs couldn’t find much offense late. I usually bet light in week 18 due to the unpredictability. I like grabbing the points with the Lions. I think they will show up tonight for a number of reasons. Campbell will have them motivated, the rivalry with GB and chance to knock them out of the playoffs. Commanders, Rams and Giants all just showed that teams who aren’t playing for anything still have pride.
Futures
Cowboys under 10 wins (-110), 2*
Panthers over 6.5 wins (-110), 2*
Panthers to make the playoffs (+350), 2*
Bears under 5.5 wins (+125), 2*
Patriots over 8.5 wins (-115), 2*
Jets under 5.5 wins (+130), 2*
Colts to win the AFC South (-125), 2*
Trey Lance to win MVP (+4000), 1*
Justin Jefferson over 1,350.5 receiving yards (-112), 2*
Bears to have the fewest regular season wins (+750), 1*
Cardinals under 8.5 wins (-110), 2*
Justin Jefferson to win OPOY (+1500), 1*
49ers to win the Super Bowl (+1600), 1*
Futures: 5-6, +4/YTD: 170-180, -.05
Back to even with two futures pending. I feel like Jefferson has a real shot to win OPOY with Hill's numbers taking a dive towards the end of the year and Hurts missing two games. 49ers are about 5/1 to win the Super Bowl so I have a really good number there. That would be a nice boost to hit one of those two. I don't have anything I want to bet right now for the wild card round of the playoffs. I feel like a three team ten point teaser with the 49ers, Bills and Bengals is almost too easy, which usually means it isn't. I might put the bet in tomorrow, in case the Bengals line moves to -7.
Cowboys under 10 wins (-110), 2*
Panthers over 6.5 wins (-110), 2*
Panthers to make the playoffs (+350), 2*
Bears under 5.5 wins (+125), 2*
Patriots over 8.5 wins (-115), 2*
Jets under 5.5 wins (+130), 2*
Colts to win the AFC South (-125), 2*
Trey Lance to win MVP (+4000), 1*
Justin Jefferson over 1,350.5 receiving yards (-112), 2*
Bears to have the fewest regular season wins (+750), 1*
Cardinals under 8.5 wins (-110), 2*
Justin Jefferson to win OPOY (+1500), 1*
49ers to win the Super Bowl (+1600), 1*
Futures: 5-6, +4/YTD: 170-180, -.05
Back to even with two futures pending. I feel like Jefferson has a real shot to win OPOY with Hill's numbers taking a dive towards the end of the year and Hurts missing two games. 49ers are about 5/1 to win the Super Bowl so I have a really good number there. That would be a nice boost to hit one of those two. I don't have anything I want to bet right now for the wild card round of the playoffs. I feel like a three team ten point teaser with the 49ers, Bills and Bengals is almost too easy, which usually means it isn't. I might put the bet in tomorrow, in case the Bengals line moves to -7.
January 14th
Seahawks +10 (-120), 2*
I might look for a middle in a few of these games. This game will be one. I’m absolutely going to have the 49ers in a teaser with the Bills and Bucs/Bengals. I’m just waiting on Lamar. If he plays this week, that number is going down a little bit. The Cowboys game is another one that I might middle. I’m thinking about putting Tampa in a teaser up to +8.5 or better. And I am seriously considering betting Dallas at under a field goal. I will update once I get more info.
Seahawks +10 (-120), 2*
I might look for a middle in a few of these games. This game will be one. I’m absolutely going to have the 49ers in a teaser with the Bills and Bucs/Bengals. I’m just waiting on Lamar. If he plays this week, that number is going down a little bit. The Cowboys game is another one that I might middle. I’m thinking about putting Tampa in a teaser up to +8.5 or better. And I am seriously considering betting Dallas at under a field goal. I will update once I get more info.
6 Point Teaser: Bengals -2.5/Buccaneers +8.5 (-120), 2*
The Jaguars are another team that is reasonable to tease if you prefer them to Cincinnati or Tampa. I want to bet Jacksonville, but I did not like what I saw from Lawrence at home against Tennessee. I don’t trust Staley leading the Chargers and who knows how well they play. Williams isn’t 100%. I just can’t get Lawrence’s most recent performance out of my head. I’m going to wait for now, maybe the line goes up to 3.
The Jaguars are another team that is reasonable to tease if you prefer them to Cincinnati or Tampa. I want to bet Jacksonville, but I did not like what I saw from Lawrence at home against Tennessee. I don’t trust Staley leading the Chargers and who knows how well they play. Williams isn’t 100%. I just can’t get Lawrence’s most recent performance out of my head. I’m going to wait for now, maybe the line goes up to 3.
January 14th
Ten Point Teaser: 49ers +0.5, Bengals +0.5, Chargers +7.5 (-120), 2*
This will be my last teaser of the week. I’m looking for a middle in the 49ers game. With a low total and the familiarity between the teams, I think a 1-10 point win by San Francisco is very reasonable. I think the Ravens have no chance without Lamar. Lastly, I don’t trust the Staley, but the Chargers should at least keep this within a score a high percentage of the time.
I will have one more bet over the weekend, with the possibility of a couple props. Good luck.
Ten Point Teaser: 49ers +0.5, Bengals +0.5, Chargers +7.5 (-120), 2*
This will be my last teaser of the week. I’m looking for a middle in the 49ers game. With a low total and the familiarity between the teams, I think a 1-10 point win by San Francisco is very reasonable. I think the Ravens have no chance without Lamar. Lastly, I don’t trust the Staley, but the Chargers should at least keep this within a score a high percentage of the time.
I will have one more bet over the weekend, with the possibility of a couple props. Good luck.
YTD: 170-180, -0.05
January 14th
Ten Point Teaser: 49ers +0.5, Chargers +7.5, Bengals +0.5 (-120), 2*
Seahawks +10 (-120), 2*
Kenneth Walker over 58.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*
Colby Parkinson over 18.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*
Adding a couple props to my card. Shanahan is too unpredictable for me to bet any props on his team. Any number of guys could have a big game. Also, there is a chance Purdy struggles today. We haven’t seen him in the playoffs yet. The ideal outcome is the 49ers win by single digits.
I want to bet Etienne’s over rushing yards prop. It feels so obvious based on how porous the Chargers rush defense is. I will update later if I add anything in that game.
Good luck.
January 14th
Ten Point Teaser: 49ers +0.5, Chargers +7.5, Bengals +0.5 (-120), 2*
Seahawks +10 (-120), 2*
Kenneth Walker over 58.5 rushing yards (-115), 1*
Colby Parkinson over 18.5 receiving yards (-115), 1*
Adding a couple props to my card. Shanahan is too unpredictable for me to bet any props on his team. Any number of guys could have a big game. Also, there is a chance Purdy struggles today. We haven’t seen him in the playoffs yet. The ideal outcome is the 49ers win by single digits.
I want to bet Etienne’s over rushing yards prop. It feels so obvious based on how porous the Chargers rush defense is. I will update later if I add anything in that game.
Good luck.
Today: 1-2/YTD: 171-182, -2.6
January 15th
Bills -13.5 (-115), 2*
Ten Point Teaser: 49ers +0.5, Chargers +7.5, Bengals +0.5 (-120), 2*
Hopefully, I can complete this teaser. I feel pretty good about the Bengals beating a backup quarterback at home. I also still have my six point teaser with the Jags and Bucs, but that won’t be decided until Monday. I really don’t think the Dolphins have any chance with Thompson in Buffalo. The Bills have had a week now to settle down after the Damar Hamlin situation. He is back in Buffalo and around the team. They should be dialed in. I don’t trust Miami in cold weather and I don’t like their defense to keep Allen in check.
I might have a couple props tomorrow. Good luck.
January 15th
Bills -13.5 (-115), 2*
Ten Point Teaser: 49ers +0.5, Chargers +7.5, Bengals +0.5 (-120), 2*
Hopefully, I can complete this teaser. I feel pretty good about the Bengals beating a backup quarterback at home. I also still have my six point teaser with the Jags and Bucs, but that won’t be decided until Monday. I really don’t think the Dolphins have any chance with Thompson in Buffalo. The Bills have had a week now to settle down after the Damar Hamlin situation. He is back in Buffalo and around the team. They should be dialed in. I don’t trust Miami in cold weather and I don’t like their defense to keep Allen in check.
I might have a couple props tomorrow. Good luck.
