when do you bet a trend? or when is a trend actually a trend and not due to random ch

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Missed 3 point-blank layups in the 2nd quarter that would've given me the over.

However, they returned to form in the 2nd half. Threw down a whopping 61 points (!!!) in the 3rd quarter. Just need 42 in the 4th to get this.
 

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102-98 FT

178 in regulation. They threw in OT just to piss off under bettors even more. Vechta really is a diamond in the rough. Shame didn't find them earlier. Now 15-2-1 on the over.

The trenders looks to be going 4-1 today with the one loss being Kauha. Won by 7 points after blowing a big lead in the 4th.
 

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162.5 ---- Legnano 13-3 over -- lost by a point or two again -- Dropped!
-8.0 ------ Kauha 8-1 ATS -- squandered large lead to blow cover. run it's course -- Dropped!
168.5 ---- Rasta 14-2-1 over -- on fire!

-3.5 ------ Armani 2-10-1 ATS -- Armani loses SU. continue to be inflated. Added.
+3.0 ----- Dinamo Sassari 15-3 ATS (Have not lost a game since 3/10) -- SU win and now 16-3 ATS. Added. How did I miss them before?



I had dropped that Bulgarian team, but they came back with another under. Anyways, got new assortment of 9 teams. And this time this is one of the hottest groupings. A lot of these teams are firing on all cylinders -- unlike previous times where a team was at the likely tail end of a dying streak.

Southland back in action. Do not have a good instinctual feel for this game so can't touch it.



Unicaja 12-1 under (Spain)
5/26


Obradoiro 1-7 ATS
(Spain)
5/26


Southland Sharks 9-2 Over
(New Zealand)
5/23 -- 199.5 - 202.5 - 208.5... ??? Blowing up?
5/30 --
6/08 --

Armani 2-11-1 ATS
(Italy)

5/??

Sassari 16-3 ATS (Italy)
5/??

Hapeol Eilat 10-1 Under (Israel)

5/??

Rasta Vechta 15-2-1 Over (Germany)
5/25 --


Bonn 6-0 Over and 11-2 (Germany)
5/25

LAD Kershaw 15-0 Win (MLB)
5/?? --



Thu.

208.5 --- Southland 9-2 over

??? --- Ormanspor 7-0 under
+6 ------ Besiktas 6-1 ATS
166.5 --- Maccabi Elec Tel Aviv 6-1 under
147 ----- Dolomiti Energia Trento 6-1 under (plays Reyer)
147 ----- Reyer Venezia 5-0 under (plays Dolomiti)
 

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No FS play for Thursday.

The Southland line has gone absolute bonkers. Jumped almost 10 points. For security purposes can only play them at 200 or less.

Ormanspor is killing it under-wise. But no FS for them either.



Vechta on the 25th (?) is a must play FS... unless developments.
Bonn on the 25th has a total of 180 -- massive number. Hard to play that.
 

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Southland absolutely smashed the total. Ormanspor absolutely smashed the under.
 

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Some days Djok will just decide to not show up and be mentally absent. When he goes into that mode, he becomes a joke. He did it against Roddick and it was pathetic. He did it today and after the first few games one knew that that type of Djok had showed up.
Text me next time this happens so I can bet it please
 

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Quick update. For integrity's sake of the records/closing lines I have to go with what they close at. Thus Southland is officially 10-2 off the closing line. However, the recent loss was by half point. Thus they'd be 11-1 over. Also, prior to their 9-0 over streak... you guessed it, that loss before that was by half point.

Anyways, Southland smashed. Ormanspor smashed. Tel Aviv smashed. Dolomiti/Venezia under smashed. 4 wins out of 5 games. Good day for the trends. Have to consider adding some of these new additions.

208.5 --- Southland 9-2 over ..... 10-2
??? --- Ormanspor 7-0 under ..... 8-0
+6 ------ Besiktas 6-1 ATS
166.5 --- Maccabi Elec Tel Aviv 6-1 under ..... 7-1
147 ----- Dolomiti Energia Trento 6-1 under (plays Reyer) ..... 7-1
147 ----- Reyer Venezia 5-0 under (plays Dolomiti) ..... 6-0




Unicaja 12-1 under (Spain)
5/26


Obradoiro 1-7 ATS
(Spain)
5/26


Southland Sharks 10-2 Over
(New Zealand)
5/30 --
6/08 --

Armani 2-11-1 ATS
(Italy)

5/??

Sassari 16-3 ATS (Italy)
5/??

Hapeol Eilat 10-1 Under (Israel)

5/??

Rasta Vechta 15-2-1 Over (Germany)
5/25 -- 171.5 -- SAT


Bonn 6-0 Over and 11-2 (Germany)
5/25

LAD Kershaw 15-0 Win (MLB)
5/?? --



Jumping on this now. Not till Saturday but this total should blast upwards. Maybe it will or maybe it won't. But a realistic total IME would be 179.5 minimum.


FINAL SELECTION [004]: 3-0

Rasta Vechta over 171.5
 

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we aren't predicted what has happened, we are predicting what "will" happen. Trends for most part don't help.

Although I will never bet a cold team.
 

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The beauty in life is that everybody can have different opinions. That's fine.

Your statement -- and correct me if I'm wrong -- is a little bit confusing.


You said: "Trends for the most part don't help"
Then right after that: "Although I will never bet a cold team"

 

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Me personally, I will never bet a team that is ice cold, like a baseball team who's lost 5 in a row, NBA or NFL team who lost 3 in a row, or like 3-10 last 13, when teams go bad they stay bad for a while. I'm not saying trends are bad altogether but many are worthless.
 

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Updated after adding the 4 new selections, which are 30-2 in their last 32 games combined. Put in alpha order by country and put MLB in green at bottom to make it easier to navigate.




Rasta Vechta 15-2-1 Over (Germany)
5/25 -- 171.5 -- SAT


Bonn 6-0 Over and 11-2 (Germany)
5/25

Hapeol Eilat 10-1 Under (Israel)
5/??

Maccabi Elec Tel Aviv 7-1 Under (Israel)
5/??

Armani 2-11-1 ATS (Italy)
5/??

Dolomiti Trento 7-1 Under (Italy)
5/??

Reyer Venezia 6-0 Under (Italy)
5/??



Sassari 16-3 ATS (Italy)
5/??

Obradoiro 1-7 ATS (Spain)
5/26

Unicaja 12-1 under (Spain)
5/26


Ormanspor 8-0 Under (Turkey)
5/26

Southland Sharks 10-2 Over
(New Zealand)
5/30 --
6/08 --


LAD Kershaw 15-0 Win (MLB)
 

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Kershaw alert. Pitches on Saturday?


This may be the first time where I've caught a trend early. Cantebury is 4-0 under and 7-2 under. (Doesn't seem early, but this one might work out)

Cantebury just shut down Southland's 9-0 over streak. They held them to an impressive 75 points. But here's the important thing:


U -- 26.5
U -- 44.5
U -- 13.5
U -- 42.5
O -- 05.5
U -- 32.5
O -- 03.5
U -- 13.5
U -- 23.5

That is the difference by which they went over or under. Amazing. I've never seen a team do that.

Only problem is they're facing a massive over team who is 5-0 over and 10-3 over.... and just had a game where they gave up 134 points.



If looking for action: 189.5 under. In two hours.
 

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Fri

-5 ------- Milano 2-11-1 ATS
189.5 --- Canterbury. 4-0 and 7-2 under




Sat

Lots of games go live
 

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Will check tomorrow. But Zverev has been in a non-covering spree. -3.5 fave today. Good chance he'll do a lesson in tank-ology.
 

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Kershaw alert. Pitches on Saturday?

Cantebury is 4-0 under and 7-2 under.

U -- 26.5
U -- 44.5
U -- 13.5
U -- 42.5
O -- 05.5
U -- 32.5
O -- 03.5

U -- 13.5
U -- 23.5


189.5 under. In two hours.

Canterbury does it again. This time an under by 12.5 points. However, a bit of an error. This season started with that over by 3.5 points. So 5-0 under and 6-2 under for the season.

Next games:

6/1
6/6
6/8
6/14
6/21
6/22
6/28
6/29
7/5
7/11






 

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[h=5][/h]-110<sp-betstatus _ngcontent-c41="" _nghost-c42="" style="box-sizing: border-box; -webkit-box-flex: 0; flex: 0 1 auto; white-space: nowrap;"></sp-betstatus><button _ngcontent-c41="" class="icon icon-close remove-bet" style="font-family: icons-bovada; font-size: inherit; line-height: inherit; color: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; margin: 0px; border: none; background-image: none; outline: none; border-top-left-radius: 0px; border-top-right-radius: 0px; border-bottom-right-radius: 0px; border-bottom-left-radius: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-left: 0px; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-position: normal; -webkit-box-flex: 0; flex: 0 1 auto; white-space: nowrap;"></button>
Total 171.5
<sp-event-description _ngcontent-c41="" waiting-for-files-to-load="success!" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-family: rubik; font-size: 12px; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: normal; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(0, 105, 186); text-decoration: none; cursor: pointer; visibility: inherit;">Brose Bamberg @ Rasta Vechta. 5/</sp-event-description><time _ngcontent-c41="" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-family: rubik; font-size: 12px; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; caret-color: rgb(128, 128, 128); color: rgb(128, 128, 128);">25/19, 2:30 PM


get some!!!


</time>
 

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Dropping Milano. They covered by half point and improve to 3-11-1, but just don't like their behavior.
Canterbury good. Adding.
Corrected Kershaw streak to 2019 and 2018.
Updated Southland streak to just present 2019 season.


Fri
-5 ------- Milano 2-11-1 ATS -- Close at -5.5 Win by 6
189.5 --- Canterbury. 4-0 and 7-2 under. Cover by a mile again.





Rasta Vechta 15-2-1 Over (Germany)
5/25 -- 171.5, 230pm EST


Bonn 6-0 Over and 11-2 (Germany)
5/25 -- 178.5, 1200pm EST

Hapeol Eilat 10-1 Under (Israel)
5/25 -- 168.5, 1200pm EST

Maccabi Elec Tel Aviv 7-1 Under (Israel)
5/??


Dolomiti Trento 7-1 Under (Italy)
5/25 -- 143, 230pm EST

Reyer Venezia 6-0 Under (Italy)
5/25 -- 143, 230pm EST



Sassari 16-3 ATS (Italy)
5/??

Obradoiro 1-7 ATS (Spain)
5/26

Unicaja 12-1 under (Spain)
5/26


Ormanspor 8-0 Under (Turkey)
5/26

Canterbury 5-0 (New Zealand)
6/01 --
6/06 --
6/08 --


Southland Sharks 8-2 Over
(New Zealand)
5/30 --
6/08 --


LAD Kershaw 7-0 Win in 2019 (16-0 regular dating to 2018) (MLB) ...... [excludes playoffs]




Sat

178.5 -- Bonn Over 6-0, 1200pm EST
168.5 -- Eilat 10-1 Under, 1200pm EST
171.5 -- Rasta 15-2-1 Over, 230pm EST
143.0 -- Trento/Venezia, 7-1 and 6-0 Under, 230pm EST (same game)

-12 --- CSKA. 6-1-1 ATS and 8-2-1 ATS. 8-0 SU and 13-1 SU.
142 -- Galatsaray 7-2 Under
142 -- Gaziantep 6-1-1 Under and 8-2-1 Under (G and G produced 13-1 Under last 14 matches between the 2) -- played this morning -- 148 total

 

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