when do you bet a trend? or when is a trend actually a trend and not due to random ch

[RunMaker]

Sheva got a win by almost 30 points. Did not act right, so they're out.

Ashdod 87 in 1st half. Looks like an over.

Oberwart had about a 35 pt spurt in a 6 minute span and ended up with 84 in the 1st half. This will go over for 10-1 over. Looking at their results -- 8 of last 10 games had 160 or more points; and averaging 89.8 pts/game. However, this is the start of a series and their opponent is an under team. Likely a 3 or 4 pt rise in the total for the next game... but still a good chance to hit for Game 2.

 

[RunMaker]

Ashdod missed the over by about 6 points. They're out. Big winner is Oberwart.

In a few days the majority of the teams below will be active.


Unicaja 11-0 under (Spain)
5/11 -- 162, under = 12-0 under
5/18
5/26

Obradoiro 0-6 ATS (Spain)
5/11 -- -2.5, loss = 0-7 ATS
5/19
5/26

Southland Sharks 8-0 Over (New Zealand)
5/11 -- 199.5, over = 9-0 over
5/17
5/19

Alytaus Dzukija 4-0 over (Lithuania) ..... (and 16-2 over last 18; had a 12-0 over streak recently)
5/14 -- 158.5 close = over = 5-0 and 17-2 over
5/16 -- 157.5
???

Italy, Div 2
Legnano Knights 12-2 over
Benetton Treviso 10-3-1 under .... last game loss as dropped to 142 by close. Finished at 143. But they are definitely under hot
5/17 -- both active

Oberwart Gunners 10-1 over (Austria)
5/18 -- home
5/21 -- away .................. They are in a good spot to hit the 2nd over at home in Game 2 and then on the road for Game 3




Some others for 5/16:

(+4) .............. Anwil in Poland. 6-1-1 ATS and 13-4-1 ATS.
(163.5)(-12).... Hapeol Eilat 8-1 Under. Also 8-1 ATS and 11-2 ATS.

 

[RunMaker]

Forgot to post it, but Fed was 7-0 or 8-0 ATS going into his match today. He won by 5 games vs. Krajinovic in Miami. If he covered there, that's 8-0 ATS. Then today he just beat Sousa by 5 games.

??? -- Krajinovic
win -- Medvedev
win --Anderson
win --Shapovalov
win --Isner
win --Gasquet
win --Monfils
win --Thiem
??? -- Sousa (think closing was -5 HC. [6-4,6-3 FT])


Anybody have the closing lines for Krajinovic and Sousa matches?


Federer -2.5 versus Coric next

 

[X-Files]

Forgot to post it, but Fed was 7-0 or 8-0 ATS going into his match today. He won by 5 games vs. Krajinovic in Miami. If he covered there, that's 8-0 ATS. Then today he just beat Sousa by 5 games.

??? -- Krajinovic
win -- Medvedev
win --Anderson
win --Shapovalov
win --Isner
win --Gasquet
win --Monfils
win --Thiem
??? -- Sousa (think closing was -5 HC. [6-4,6-3 FT])


Anybody have the closing lines for Krajinovic and Sousa matches?


Federer -2.5 versus Coric next

Against Sousa Federer was -5 (a push) or -5.5 (a loss):

https://www.flashscore.ca/tennis/

https://www.flashscore.ca/game/4d7QG6Ta/#game-summary

 

[RunMaker]

Thank you for that. I've used flashscore for so long but didn't realize it had the spread in the post match result.

So Kraji was a cover. And Sousa (I guess you could say) officially was a loss at -5.5.


8-1 ATS. 8-0 streak snapped by a half game.

 

[RunMaker]

Excellent info gained from today.

Lithuania -- Alytaus just quite the inferior team to Zalgiris so can't score against them. Under came in. Series over and Alytaus season over. Removed. Nice 5-1 and 17-3 over run, though.

Poland -- Anwil came back from around 20 pts down to cover the +4. Now 7-1-1 ATS.

Israel -- Hapeol Eilat fails on spread but easy cash on the under. Disregard ATS and follow under. Now 9-1 ATS.

Federer 0-2 ATS and likely not cover against Tsitsipas tomorrow. Trending down on clay.



Unicaja 11-0 under (Spain)
5/11 -- 162, under = 12-0 under
5/18
5/26

Obradoiro 0-6 ATS (Spain)
5/11 -- -2.5, loss = 0-7 ATS
5/19
5/26

Southland Sharks 8-0 Over (New Zealand)
5/11 -- 199.5, over = 9-0 over
5/17 -- No line yet
5/19 --

Italy, Div 2
Legnano Knights 12-2 over ---------------------------- 164.5 , 230pm EST
Benetton Treviso 10-3-1 under [under HOT] ---------- No line yet , 300pm EST

Oberwart Gunners 10-1 over (Austria)
5/18 -- home
5/21 -- away .................. They are in a good spot to hit the 2nd over at home in Game 2 and then on the road for Game 3

Anwil 7-1-1 ATS and 14-4-1 ATS (Poland)
5/18 --
5/21 --

Hapeol Eilat 9-1 Under (Israel)
5/19 --



All of the above teams are trending very hot. Not just by the number but by their performances. 54-3-2 covers (if exclude Italy results). Treviso thrown in there b/c they can go into zero points mode.

 

[5teamparlay]

Anything good trends down under tonight??

 

[RunMaker]

Whoa shit! Good thing you said that, teamer, b/c I was thinking the Southland game was tomorrow evening.... but it's actually 3am EST... in almost 3 hours!!!

9-0 over streak and killing it.

Total set at 187.5 and 188.5, depends on your book. Southland scores/gives up most in the league, but their opponent is the exact opposite -- scores/gives up fewest.

Southland was going to be one of my best games to hit this week.... but the opponent makes me not hammer it. However, in the 1st game of the season (about 1 month ago) they combined for 187 pts.

If need the action, over time.

 

[RunMaker]

Forgot. EURO action for Friday.

Anadolu is 5-0 ATS.
CSKA is 10-2-1 Under.


And Finland:

Kouvot 9-1 ATS vs. Kauhajoen 7-0 ATS.
Both teams incredibly strong right now.

 

[RunMaker]

These are on the quality list. Actioned for Friday:

Southland over 189.5 (total going up), 300am EST
Legnano over 164.5, 230pm EST
Treviso under 143.5, 300pm EST

 

[5teamparlay]

CSKA under 162.5

leggo!!

 

[RunMaker]

Got some more clarity. Southland was in a tough spot.


Southland over 189.5 (total going up), 300am EST -- Under hit. #1 defense team controlled game. REMAIN
Legnano over 164.5, 230pm EST -- over hit. now 13-2 over. REMAIN
Treviso under 143.5, 300pm EST -- over smashed. REMOVED.

Anadolu is 5-0 ATS. -- cover. 6-0 ATS. ADDING
CSKA is 10-2-1 Under. -- over smashed. WON'T ADD.
Kouvot 9-1 ATS vs. Kauhajoen 7-0 ATS. -- Kauha cover. now 8-0 ATS. ADDING




Trimmed it a little a bit and added some others. Combine all the teams below and you get a cover record of 78-5-1.
You have to take each next individual game on it's own merit, but these are the cream of the crop.

Only problem is Anadolu and Kauha as they are facing elite competition that might give them problems. Same with Anwil. But will see how it develops.
A lot of these games going live tomorrow.




Unicaja 11-0 under (Spain)
5/11 -- 162, under = 12-0 under
5/18
5/26

Obradoiro 0-6 ATS (Spain)
5/11 -- -2.5, loss = 0-7 ATS
5/19
5/26

Southland Sharks 8-0 Over (New Zealand)
5/11 -- 199.5, over = 9-0 over
5/17 -- UNDER = 9-1 over
5/19 --

Legnano 13-2 Over (Italy) 78-5-1
5/?? --

Oberwart Gunners 10-1 over (Austria)
5/18 -- home
5/21 -- away .................. They are in a good spot to hit the 2nd over at home in Game 2 and then on the road for Game 3

Anwil 7-1-1 ATS and 14-4-1 ATS (Poland)
5/18 --
5/21 --

Anadolu 6-0 ATS (Turkey)
5/19 --

Kauha 8-0 ATS (Finland)
5/20 --
5/22

Hapeol Eilat 9-1 Under (Israel)
5/19 --

 

[RunMaker]

The 3 games from the list that play on Saturday.
Unicaja and Oberwart (21-1 combined) are the best options. Anwil is strong, but the scenario is bad. Unicaja is solid, but Oberwart looks to be the strongest of all.


Unicaja ---- under 161
Oberwart -- over 151.5
Anwil ------ side +4

 

[RunMaker]

Just took another look at Unicaja's massive 12-0 under streak. They are simply nowhere near an over..... ever. The closest they came to an over was by 6 pts (158 vs 164) and that was when they scored 58 in the 4th... and still couldn't hit the over.

See both Unicaja and Oberwart as slammers.

 

[RunMaker]

Actually a lot more for Saturday but have to limit the scope here.

Posting late, but Tokyo FC hasn't given up ZERO goals in 6 straight games!!! Now 0-0 at HT. Took clean slate for 2nd half at -164. Had 585 straight minutes of zero goals given up. Rarely see that.

 

[RunMaker]

Unicaja dropped a massive five points. Grateful got in at 161.

If looking for action, Alba in Germany has covered just one time in 9 games. 1-7-1 ATS .... and only covered 2 times in last 13 games (2-9-2).

 

[X-Files]

Anwil went from +4 to a pick -110.

Alba covering easily.

 

[X-Files]

Unicaja under 161 was looking good till the later 4th quarter when a massive scoring binge sent it way over by 16 points.

Oberwart over 151.5 looking very bad after 30, 23 & 20 points scored in the first 3 quarters. This is the playoffs, so maybe things tightening up a bit.

hno:

 

[bertha01]

Will be fun follow

 

[FairWarning]

Trends in team sports work best after rule changes, the lines haven't caught up yet.