Washington Wizards

Search

EV Whore
Joined
Apr 18, 2006
Messages
19,916
Tokens
Playing defense at the PG position is brutal in the regular season, besides a few guys, nobody really ups intensity and fights through all those pick and rolls on a night to night basis.

The last time Wall was in the playoffs, he really took that part of his game to another level. Shutdown Lowry rd 1 and Teague in game 1 of the Hawks series before breaking his wrist. He definitely has potential to be a disruptive force.

Another thing is the Wizards had no bench most of the year, just tough when 5 guys are playing that many minutes to keep up on that end vs deeper teams. Playoffs rotations get shorter and starters matter a lot more. Depth is worth less.

So I think they will atleast be able to be OK there in this rd, and the Hawks are just not a good offensive team.

Assuming you like Washington laying the short number in game 1?
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
Yeah, Wizards should be ready to go.

-Raptors/Bucks wasn't just a 1 game thing either I don't think. Bucks are gonna be live in that series, I just missed that 1. I've been on Giannis forever too. I hate to take a team to win the series after they have an upset win, it's just weak. It's like buying a stock after it went up. Hopefully the Raps come out in game 2 and put it on them. Then I think Bucks will be value in games 3 and 4 at home unless the game lines adjust from beginning of the series.

-Clipps/Jazz tough to make much judgement off of because Gobert status is up in the air. If he can't go then I'm sure the Clipps will still roll. Favors can barely move but I guess Gobert is gonna be back in a few games.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
Wizards will advance as long as no one gets hurt. Was funny how the two teams who are known for resting both went over the total. Other two games went under. People forget why they rest is to make sure we have great moments in the playoffs.

This is going to be a playoffs to remember I think. Last year had so many blowouts. This year should be much better for quality games. I think we will see a huge upset in this year's playoffs.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
Clippers are so garbage lol. Clearly time to break this team up. My God jj reddick is worthless now
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
Lou Williams was the guy that OKC should've gone after. Can create his own shot and take the offensive load off of Russ for 15-20 mins a game. Think they figured the weren't contending anyway so why give up a 1st rd pick for him like Houston did. He could be the X-factor in that series.

Gobert injury being called a hyper-extension, that is usually multiple weeks. Probably will get on LAC in some spots if he is out. Even with all the analytics measuring th defensive end nowadays, It's just really hard for Gobert being out to be valued similarly as say Blake Griffin, when he is of similar value.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
Wiz can't play any worse than that. They gotta get rid of that 2nd unit which is Markieff+bench guys though. That's OK for the regular season but Wall/Beal should be staggered at this time of year.

They upped their defensive intensity in the 2nd quarter and ATL really struggled besides a few broken plays. They can't play any worse offensively really.

Wizards offense was atrocious but they were mostly getting good looks. Man their bench is so bad, any other coach would figure out he can't rely on that for more than a 2-3 min stretch but this is Scott Brooks, so it's gonna take a few games or possibly never.

Wiz -5 2nd half good play though.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
I got a small play on under 108.5, not a big fan of 2nd half totals since such a huge part of those bets are the late FT's and late gameflow which is unpredictable, but I do think that # is high.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
Good call there PF. Thanks

I don't have too much to add about the game, went pretty accordingly. What I said in post #27 about the Markieff+bench unit the Wizards figured out in the 2nd half and just played Beal with that unit which was good. Sometimes it takes these idiots 4-5 games to make simple changes like that, and if you are an idiot like Frank Vogel, you can even blow an entire playoff series over something so simple.

I like Wiz -5 gm 2 again though.

Interested to see how the Bulls/Celts goes, Rondo has been playing better for Bulls but the lineups with him/Wade were atrocious earlier in the year due to lack of shooting. I didn't bet it, +360 series is long odds for a team with the best player in the series but the Bulls strength on offense (wing scoring) is also the Celts strength on D.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
32,861
Tokens
boston does not look good at all, and this is the team that going to have a chance at taking down clev
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
If people don't wanna lay the -220 they can just bet them every game, I usually just bet the series bigger and then the individual games smaller on series I like though. The risk there is that if it is the right side the oddsmakers adjust the line intra-series but that really only happens after you've got a few winners already. Think Wizards 12-1 to win the East is solid but if they're only gonna be -220 vs the Hawks then probably just better off betting it by rd. Unless someone liked the Raptors vs the Cavs in rd 2 then the Wizards by rd would be lower, but I really don't.

I'll bet OKC at +280....I think there is enough of a possibility that Houston's offense doesn't translate to the postseason and OKC is a really good defensive team equipped to defend them. But the Thunder are just bad offensively and even if Houston's efficiency isn't there, it just might be tough for OKC to match pts with a team shooting 40 3's a game. But OKC is atleast live in that spot.

Jazz/Clippers I'll probably look at closer but I would've liked that better if the Jazz got homecourt and Clipps were then much less of a fav. I think the Jazz lack of offense might be a lot to overcome in that series but odds not great. Probably more of a game by game type series.

Really nothing on the other 1's, I'm bearish on the Celtics in general (will bet Wiz rd 2 vs them assuming odds are around what they would be right now) but just not really into the Bulls. If it was the Pacers against the Celts I think I would've found that a little more interesting.

All of these are at first glance though so I'll check if I see anything else.

Sometimes you gotta just take what they give you rather than over-analyze it. Obviously I know all the flaws the C's have and what I don't expect to translate to postseason from the regular season. Just really not into the Bulls much, Indy can do most of what they do better.

Should be a good series though. Some of Butler/Portis shotmaking were really tough shots and Bradley on Butler down the stretch over Smart being on him is debatable. Smart was eating him alive the 1st 3 quarters.

Butler ruined IT the final 6 minutes (before his little onslaught at the end) and that is where Celts get all their 4th quarter offense, that probably isn't much of a fluke considering Butler is a machine on D.

If lines don't adjust I'll probably be on the Bulls in Chicago.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
Interesting to see the Bulls line for gm 2 get revised lower but the BUcks stay the same even though bucks were much more dominant in their win. Like bucks in their home games more than Bulls most likely. Better team.

This is a bit of a gamble on the Stifle Tower not getting back to full strength anytime soon but I like lac -160 to win the series. Favors and Hood both still seem hurt, joe Johnson had his best playoff game since 2014 on Sat and Hayward/Hill can be defended by Lac. Clips have some of their own problems but still would say they are > 61% with French Rejection status up in the air. By far Utahs best player.
 

Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2007
Messages
31,503
Tokens
Pretty good half for Wiz despite all the fouling. Few mindless coaching lapses like having Jennings on Schroder to end the 1st Q (Scott Brooks probably has to make every mistake possible atelast once) and some bad fouls by Porter/Kief.

They just have such a huge talent edge barring injury.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,117,950
Messages
13,549,671
Members
100,549
Latest member
apptaixiuonl
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com