thefriedone's "score in first inning" system

[Smoke_O]

I was on that play all day at -130....Waited to see where the wind was blowing. Went back to my book and it was -150....thats a no play for me. Books dont tend to give money away with this prop. Plus Mauer, Morneau, and Bradley scare me.

g/l

 

[Smoke_O]

Woo if the wind was blowing in....Lee might of had a HR...Good job though

 

[thefriedone]

Two plays on the night games:

NYM/NYY - YES (-125)
SEA/COL - NO (-115)

 

[thefriedone]

Looks like I should have called it a day after that first winner. With so much chalk, I would have had to win both night plays to increase my profit, as one win and one loss would have cost me money. Aaaaand I lost both anyway hno:

MIN/CHC - NO (-130) win
NYM/NYY - YES (-125) loss
SEA/COL - NO (-115) loss

1-2 (-1.4 units) on the day

Overall 20-18 (-1.05 units)

 

[thefriedone]

Just one play tonight, but for TWO units:

HOU/ARI - NO (EVEN) 2 units**

Both pitchers have given up a 1st inning run only once in 12 starts each, so I have no idea how the YES bet is the favorite on this one...

 

[Smoke_O]

Easy Money :toast:

 

[thefriedone]

Easy Money :toast:

All day brother

HOU/ARI - NO (EVEN) 2 units** win

1-0 (+2 units) on the day

Overall 21-18 (+0.95)

 

[thefriedone]

Just one today (night game):

STL/CLE - NO (-145)

 

[thefriedone]

STL/CLE - NO (-145) loss

0-1 (-1.45 units) on the day

Overall 21-19 (-0.5 units)

 

[thefriedone]

As you may have guessed, neither of the two games tonight were system plays. Back to the grind tomorrow.

 

[thefriedone]

Four plays tonight, for one unit each:

NYM/BAL - YES (-125)
TOR/PHI - NO (-125)
TAM/COL - NO (+115)
SEA/SDG - NO (-150)

 

[thefriedone]

NYM/BAL - YES (-125) loss
TOR/PHI - NO (-125) loss
TAM/COL - NO (+115) loss
SEA/SDG - NO (-150) win

1-3 (-2.5 units)

Overall 22-22 (-3 units)

 

[nervousTic]

interleague is the devil for these plays... i'd highly recommend staying away. i've learned this the hard way since i've played this prop primarily the past 3 seasons.

 

[thefriedone]

One play tonight for TWO units:

FLA/BOS - YES (-135) 2 units

 

[thefriedone]

Still perfect (3-0) on my 2 unit plays. Tonight's results:

FLA/BOS - YES (-135) 2 units win

1-0 (+2 units) on the night

23-22 (-1 unit) overall

 

[thefriedone]

One play tonight:

NYM/BAL - YES (-125)

 

[thefriedone]

NYM/BAL - YES (-125) loss

0-1 (-1.25 units) on the night

Overall 23-23 (-2.25 units)

 

[thefriedone]

A big night tonight with 3 normal plays and one 2-unit play:

TOR/WAS - YES (-110)
HOU/MIN - NO (-125)
PIT/COL - NO (+115)
ARI/SEA - NO (-135) 2 units

 

[thefriedone]

I've decided I will probably change my plays so that I only bet the 2-unit situations. On those, I am now a perfect 4-0 while the other plays have been very inconsistent. This means I will probably only have a play every few days, instead of every single day.

Anyway, tonight's results:

TOR/WAS - YES (-110) loss
HOU/MIN - NO (-125) loss
PIT/COL - NO (+115) loss
ARI/SEA - NO (-135) 2 units win

1-3 (-1.35 units)

YTD record 24-26 (-3.6 units)

 

[thefriedone]

2 plays tonight using much stricter guidelines than I have been.

TOR/WAS - NO (EVEN)
BAL/PHI - NO (EVEN)