THE SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR IN HANDICAPPING?

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Its very substantial want, but nothing you can exploit since you can't predict turnovers.
 

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butI do figure in the +/- turnover for the teams

all you need is a 10% adv and a bankroll and you make all the money you need.

panther
 

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shopping is important also

let me here 1 person here that has not been hooked by the 1/2 point before
 

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Nicky, you're from Chitown, and friends with a mover..is he affable & does he wear a Magnum-PI mustache over a sweatsuit?

Shrink, if you're are good enough a friend to get even a 70% true list of BW college games..then God bless you...Jamie & Buddy "shape" much of what the world gets after openings
bowdown.gif
..but I've seen Machine sendouts rape & pillage the followers..GL!

I'd rather Philly Tiger's NFL over BW's most any day, or BB's playlist from a sheer purity standpoint.
 

The Great Govenor of California
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Single most important factor is knowing what Def coordinaters play soft zone with a 2 score lead in the 4th qtr.
 

ODU GURU
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Railbird:

Single most important factor is knowing what Def coordinaters play soft zone with a 2 score lead in the 4th qtr. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

LOL RAILBIRD,

THEY ALL DO IT, JUST DIFFERENT DEGREES...

THE SHRINK
 

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Again, Shrink, what are we handicappers to do when BW dies (or stops betting) since following his plays is the only guidance you have given us to picking the right side? Should we just then pack it up and go home?
 

Give BB 2.5k he makes it 20k within 3 months 99out
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Shrink:



I would love to see you post more of your plays but I think you could use different wording with them. You come off very cocky and toutish. Just say "guys I like the Lakers tonight and I got them at -7 -120."



Hitman
 

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D2 (and others)-

I would love to know what games he mved the number from a winner to a loser or a push. I would be willing to bet that it wasn't 5% of the time. (for spread based plays)

So even if we enteratin the claim that he has hit between 57-67% the past four years, even "the leftovers" would hit at 52-62%.

I don't necessarilly believe all the claims. But people seem to love the stories, so I go with the flow.


But when we all start talking percentages that really doesn't mean a damn thing. How many games? What sports? Same bet amount every time?

Guys can be hitting 55% in bases and be losing their asses. Even a 63% win rate in bases isn't a gaurantee of big money. Yanks are at 62.4% and are showing a profit of $280 per $100 bet. Not exactly stellar returns. And just two loses will have you in the negative, and they would still be above 61% win rate.

So I don't give win percentages any wieght what so ever. Unless you know how a guy bets, they are meaningless.

But the main point was linemoves. And as I said, spread based moves probably resulted in maybe a 5% difference, (and I think that is high) Meaning if they made 400 bets in the past 4 years that would be 20 games where you went from a winner to a push or a loser. At 60% that would still give you at least 220 winners (worst case of all losses and no pushes).

Also, if they are the guys causig all the steam in bases this year,then I would say those percentages have taken some serious hits, since steam plays are hitting at about 40%, and even with a few dogs in the mix they have been getting crushed this year.

But of course there is no verification as to who is making those plays or if they are fake or real.

That is why an answer like that is laughable, but to be expected.
 

Only time will tell....
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The Shrink is a shooter he rolls with the big boys. BW and all. I wish I had BW plays. Your the man Shrink. I guess the rest of us are missing the most important factor in capping. Your big time. GL
 

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What is the single most important factor?

There is NO single most important factor!

You must look at the entire Big Picture or you will miss that one detail that is important for that one particular game.
 

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posted July 29, 2004 09:00 AM
Getting the best line.

When do I get my drink Shrink? Any East coast parties planned? How about a shirt!
 

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want

my post about 10% is ats in football and hoops.

I do not bet bases.

panther
 

RPM

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simple answer...


getting the bet in, and at a shop that wont steal your money.


rather than a drink, i will accept a bottle of crystal.

thanks.
 

RX Senior
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>rather than a drink, i will accept a bottle of crystal. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>now thats a man with class! I still havent tried this yet, you lucky bastards. I think I'd have to hit a 10 teamer first. that is some expensive s**t!. .I had 100 yr old grand marnier it was 50 bucks a shot at the bar. that was the most expensive beverage I've ever had. wow, it was good though.
 

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Horseshoe the guy I was refering to was from Louisville,but now that you mention that guy I may know who you are talking about.Sort of chubby guy that always has a black organizer under his arm.I met him when I worked at the Orleans he was always in there.Sort of soft spoken but a real nice guy.He also liked to bet the ponys when he was around he would put like 1000 dollars to show on the chalk.
 

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Shrink,don't remember BW being all that great in the NFL.Thought he garnered much more respect in college FB.
 

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Judge,

The truth is that BW does do better in College overall (hoops may even be better than foots), but his NFL is pretty darn good too, and getting better each year, imo...

THE SHRINK
 

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What fascinates me most about BW is not the 55-65% wins, its the amount of money that can be won off those wins. To lay that much money on a game makes me think he is a middler.
 

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