<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>There are TWO, one is technical, the other is not...
1-KNOWING WHAT SIDE OF THE GAME BILLY WALTERS IS REALLY ON... <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Shrinky Pooh disses Tha Tiger and kisses make-up with Billy.
With all due respect Shrink, I'll be fding your ass all season long. I'll be looking forward to your posts... especially for the NCAA Bowl Season... past years of fading you have been kind and generous...
Walk,
I am not dissing Tiger. I consider him a friend and a very sharp gambler, particularly so in NFL, along with the main guy at Pinnacle...
Rather than fade me, why not book my action with any sports book on the screen?
I might be able to arrange that for you...
You can go partners on my bets with them...
Rob,
BW hits 56-67% during the past four years according to what I observed. Thats' a BIG difference than what u posted...
Ghost,
Send me an email with your name and address to:
shrink@therx.com
THE SHRINK
I am not dissing Tiger. I consider him a friend and a very sharp gambler, particularly so in NFL, along with the main guy at Pinnacle...
Rather than fade me, why not book my action with any sports book on the screen?
I might be able to arrange that for you...
You can go partners on my bets with them...
Rob,
BW hits 56-67% during the past four years according to what I observed. Thats' a BIG difference than what u posted...
Ghost,
Send me an email with your name and address to:
shrink@therx.com
THE SHRINK
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Walk,
I am not dissing Tiger. I consider him a friend and a very sharp gambler, particularly so in NFL, along with the main guy at Pinnacle...
Rather than fade me, why not book my action with any sports book on the screen?
I might be able to arrange that for you...
You can go partners on my bets with them.. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
No thanks Shrinkster. Despite of being a wise ass at times, I know what's good for me. Hard to make any profit off of players like the ones you just mentioned.
I am not dissing Tiger. I consider him a friend and a very sharp gambler, particularly so in NFL, along with the main guy at Pinnacle...
Rather than fade me, why not book my action with any sports book on the screen?
I might be able to arrange that for you...
You can go partners on my bets with them.. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
No thanks Shrinkster. Despite of being a wise ass at times, I know what's good for me. Hard to make any profit off of players like the ones you just mentioned.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Pancho Sanza:
"The line doesn't mean shit. The line is only a factor about 17% of the time. Getting the BEST line might give you an extra 1.5 to 2% edge, but only if you bet every game."
What an ignorant statement. Getting 3.5 when the world is 3 is more than 1-2% extra.
Please stick to sclaping.
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Only IF you got it every game. And even then it is only about 9.5%. Since 1992 there have been 487 games that closed at -3. Of those 487 games 46 landed right on 3. So those 46 pushes would have been wins.
But then again that is make believe, but still it is best case scenario. You can't make more winners if they aren't there.
I have break downs for every line posted, and where it closed, and how it did ATS. Trust me, getting the best line doesn't make that much of a difference. Because it is still the same guy, and knowing when to bet to get that very best line still entails some ability. That is why doing make belive doesn't really work. It can only give you a read on what is the very best one could expect, and ecven at the very best, it isn't that big an advantage. If everyone has -3, and you could get a Pk, if they lose straight up that line didn't help a bit. I have all that shit written down,so I know. It isn't that big a deal.
It isn't like baseball where EVERY penny is an advantage when you win, for the most part a half point isn't going to mean much. As mentioned above it means something about 9.5% of the time in that scenario, in baseball it manes something 100% of the time.
So lines in baseball are infinately more important than they are in football.
"The line doesn't mean shit. The line is only a factor about 17% of the time. Getting the BEST line might give you an extra 1.5 to 2% edge, but only if you bet every game."
What an ignorant statement. Getting 3.5 when the world is 3 is more than 1-2% extra.
Please stick to sclaping.
Only IF you got it every game. And even then it is only about 9.5%. Since 1992 there have been 487 games that closed at -3. Of those 487 games 46 landed right on 3. So those 46 pushes would have been wins.
But then again that is make believe, but still it is best case scenario. You can't make more winners if they aren't there.
I have break downs for every line posted, and where it closed, and how it did ATS. Trust me, getting the best line doesn't make that much of a difference. Because it is still the same guy, and knowing when to bet to get that very best line still entails some ability. That is why doing make belive doesn't really work. It can only give you a read on what is the very best one could expect, and ecven at the very best, it isn't that big an advantage. If everyone has -3, and you could get a Pk, if they lose straight up that line didn't help a bit. I have all that shit written down,so I know. It isn't that big a deal.
It isn't like baseball where EVERY penny is an advantage when you win, for the most part a half point isn't going to mean much. As mentioned above it means something about 9.5% of the time in that scenario, in baseball it manes something 100% of the time.
So lines in baseball are infinately more important than they are in football.
Shrinkster;
Must give it to you, Old Dominion is your "pocket of aces", when it comes to forum plays.
I will be looking forward to those... but I will fade you in the rest...
Can't make it, Shrinkster... Will be flying out right around that time.
Missed it again... the time is not the best for me either... right before the big dance... But I know you guys will manage to have a great time. Bring Dante to C.R. for the Christmas parties... I'll fly in just so we can show him around town...
Must give it to you, Old Dominion is your "pocket of aces", when it comes to forum plays.
I will be looking forward to those... but I will fade you in the rest...
Can't make it, Shrinkster... Will be flying out right around that time.
Missed it again... the time is not the best for me either... right before the big dance... But I know you guys will manage to have a great time. Bring Dante to C.R. for the Christmas parties... I'll fly in just so we can show him around town...
Shrink just for the record, I know I talk a lot of smack about billy. I know he's in class by himself in many regards, but I have to downplay that.
But coming on here and saying thats the #1 element to handicapping is just plain BS and tottaly unfundamentaly sound. This is like the Lakers thing to me, youre just giving the hundreds of RX followers ill advice here.
I mean if you really observed billy hitting that %, why arent you doing it and sharing it with us. If you are already, why is a guy like walk of life saying the things he is?! If it has to be kept a secret between you and whom ever why even come on here and say that.
I only idolize a handful of people in this industry, but I don't know somebody could be one of them until he is telling everyone come NFL season make sure you see what billy has got when: 1.not everyone and their mom is exactly privy to this info and 2. theres no real track record for people to look at.
Billy's got money coming in from all over now, he can go 40% and itll still look like 65% because of the success his businesses/investments are realizing.
But coming on here and saying thats the #1 element to handicapping is just plain BS and tottaly unfundamentaly sound. This is like the Lakers thing to me, youre just giving the hundreds of RX followers ill advice here.
I mean if you really observed billy hitting that %, why arent you doing it and sharing it with us. If you are already, why is a guy like walk of life saying the things he is?! If it has to be kept a secret between you and whom ever why even come on here and say that.
I only idolize a handful of people in this industry, but I don't know somebody could be one of them until he is telling everyone come NFL season make sure you see what billy has got when: 1.not everyone and their mom is exactly privy to this info and 2. theres no real track record for people to look at.
Billy's got money coming in from all over now, he can go 40% and itll still look like 65% because of the success his businesses/investments are realizing.
