<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:TrackMoves/> <w:TrackFormatting/> <w
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Lineup
1B- Ryan Howard
2B – Chase Utley
SS- Jimmy Rollins
3B – Michael Young
C – Carlos Ruiz
LF – Delmon Young / Lance Nix
CF – Ben Revere
RF – Dom Brown / John Mayberry
P – Cole Hamels, Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, Kyle Kendrick, John Lannan
BP – Jonathan Papelbon, Mike Adams, Chad Durbin, Phillippe Aumont
This is a team in either complete disarray or gearing up for a final shot at the playoffs. Ruin Tomorrow Jr. has mortgaged the future of the Phillies through trades the last few years and I do not blame him for it at all. The Phils were in a position to win the world series and had to go for it. Now, the team is ancient and the Braves and Nats are better on paper. The season wins total is around 81 and that’s either way too low or about right for this team. Let’s explain.
INFIELD
This infield in ancient. Howard may be back from the Achilles fully this year but he has never been an adequate fielder. Howard will hit 4[SUP]th[/SUP] and get his RBI’s and HR’s, along with 200k’s and a 250 BA and 330-350 OBP.
Utley is my favorite player so I am biased. If I am realistic, I see a guy quickly approaching 35 who has serious knee problems that will never go away. At one time, he was a top 5 player in the game but that time has passed. Utley is still a good fielder but I do not see his power at the plate returning. If all goes well, Utley will play 120-130 games and bat around 280 with 15-20 hr’s and a decent obp. I can’t expect more than that though I think the Phils will need a lot more than that from him to compete for the NL East.
Rollins. What can I say about Rollins? He plays 150 games a year and is still a very good defensive shortstop. Jimmy pop-up will never change and stop thinking he can hit HR’s and he will also never hustle all the time. Him batting leadoff has been a source of frustration for everyone who follows the Phillies, but Chalie is going to stick with him again this year it appears. Rollins is also getting very old, but his speed on the bases and defense is absolutely necessary for this team.
Michael Young. Ok, I think this is a horrible mistake by Ruin Tomorrow Jr. He is seemingly trying to simultaneously build a team that can win with defense and starting pitching, and add better hitters who can’t play the field. Who know, maybe Young surprises me after only playing 45 games at 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] in the last two years. I think he’ll be a disaster and he needs to hit over 300 and smash the ball out of Citizens Bank to be worth the chance.
OUTFIELD
This outfield infuriates me. Realistically, the Phillies have no 5 year plan. There are no prospects coming to save the day and the core of the team is very old. They are in win now mode and desperately needed a corner OF. They also have a $5B tv deal coming up and can afford to spend since the stadium is always sold out. Obviously, I think they needed Josh Hamilton, BJ Upton, or Michael Bourn. Hamilton was my first choice, especially after they traded for Ben Revere to play CF. Now, they have the pupu platter at the corner OF spots. We have our perennial bust of a prospect in Dom Brown slated to start again. He may be good this year. Who know? There always seems to be some excuse for this guy around here. The other OF spot is insane. Delmon Young is really supposed to play LF. The guy is the worst OF in the league, is a generally bad guy, and doesn’t even hit well enough to justify any of it. I cannot understand his signing and think a platoon of him and Laynce Nix is just terrible. Ben Revere is in CF and he better be able to cover the entire OF. I’m sure Chalie will bat revere 8[SUP]th[/SUP] and keep Rollins in the leadoff spot, negating some of his value on the bases, but I’m fairly certain that’s what we will see.
PITCHERS
The rotation looks good, as it should for $100M. Halladay has pitched well in ST and is in a contract year. Hamels will be ready and should be the ace, and Lee had really good stats with a bad record last year. The stats were bad for Lee when compared to his previous seasons, but he definitely has some good years left. Kendrick sucks and Lannan always got smashed by the phils with the nats, so who knows about them. They are your usual crappy back end starters. The pen should be better with the addition of Durbin, again, and with Mike Adams handling the 8[SUP]th[/SUP] coming over from texas. I think Durbin will be fine in the 7[SUP]th[/SUP] with Adams and Papelbon holding down the last two innings. The Phils blew a ton of games in the late innings last year because the bullpen before Papelbon was terrible and I think they will at least be average this season.
Wrapping Up
Either the Phillies get out to a fast start and make a run for the playoffs, or Ruin Tomorrow has to trade everyone at the all-star break. I don’t see any in between. Lee and Halladay will have to be traded for something if the phils are not looking good in July. I think that’s the more likely scenario, but it’s really hard to count them out considering the rotation and the potential they have to score runs if the old guys produce. As you can see, I’m not really excited for the season but I cannot completely rule the Phillies out because of the big three pitchers and improved bullpen. I do think it’s moronic to know you have to win with defense and pitching and then sign Michael and Delmon Young, but there is nothing I can do about that other than to call in to talk radio and complain about Ruben Amaro. Good Luck this year guys!
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