**THE Rx's OFFICAL EPIC 2013 OPEN MLB SEASON PREVIEW THREAD** EVERYONE INVITED TO CONTRIBUTE! (This thread will be packed with info to help prepare us

[camy]

2013 Texas Rangers- 2012 Record 93-69 Home 50-31 Away 43-38 O/U 72-83-7<o></o>
Total Wins is set at 86.5 -135 Over and 86.5 +105 Under<o></o>
Odds to win American League West +250 (Angels -200, A’s+550, Mariners +1350, Astros +10000)<o></o>
Odds to win American League Pennant +750<o></o>
Odds to win World Series +1600<o></o>
Starting Rotation:<o></o>
1. LHP Matt Harrison 18-11 3.29 213 innings 133 SO 59 BB<o></o>
2. RHP Yu Darvish 16-9 3.90 191 innings 221 SO 89 BB<o></o>
3. LHP Derek Holland 12-7 4.67 175 innings 145 SO 52 BB<o></o>
4. RHP Alexi Ogando 2-0 3.27 66 innings 66 SO 17 BB 3 Saves<o></o>
5. LHP Robbie Ross 6-0 2.22 65 innings 47 SO 23 BB<o></o>
6. LHP Martin Perez 1-4 5.45 38 innings 25 SO 15 BB Pitched 127 innings in AAA 7-6 4.25<o></o>
7. RHP Colby Lewis 6-6 3.43 105 innings 93 SO 14 BB<o></o>
Martin Perez broke his left forearm and will not be available until late May. Colby Lewis had right shoulder surgery in July 2012 hopes to be back by May. Rotation is fairly solid in the two top spots but there are still many questions about the overall quality of 3-5. Rangers could very well go outside the organization for their fifth starter. Derek Lowe is in camp and who knows what he will do to impress and make the club.<o></o>
Bullpen:<o></o>
1. RHP Joe Nathan (Closer) 3-5 2.80 64 innings 37 Saves 78 SO 13 BB<o></o>
2. RHP Joakim Soria (Royals) Two time All Star had second Tommy John surgery. Rehabbing now. Earliest he will be seen is May.<o></o>
3. RHP Tanner Scheppers 1-1 4.45 32 innings 1 Save 30 SO 9 BB Pitched 32 innings in AAA 1-2 3.48<o></o>
4. RHP Josh Lindblom (Dodgers & Phillies) 3-5 3.55 71 innings 1 Save 70 SO 35 BB<o></o>
5. LHP Michael Kirkman 1-2 3.82 35 innings 0 Saves 38 SO 17 BB Pitched 48 innings in AAA 5-1 5.25<o></o>
6. RHP Wilmer Font Pitched 2 innings last year Pitched 98 innings in A & AA 4-5 4.03<o></o>
7. RHP Justin Grimm Pitched 14 innings last year Pitched 135 innings in AA & AAA 11-6 2.81<o></o>
8. RHP Neftali Feliz 3-1 3.16 43 innings 0 Saves 37 SO 23 BB<o></o>
The Texas bullpen has taken major hits since last year. To free agency say goodbye to Koji Uehara and Mike Adams, to the starting rotation Alexi Ogando. If Joakim Soria (possible May return) and Neftaly Feliz (possible return after All Star break) can contribute as expected it will be a huge help. Really the only sure thing in this 2013 bullpen is Joe Nathan. <o></o>
Projected Line Up:<o></o>
2B Ian Kinsler .256 19 Homers 72 RBI Rangers have shelved the idea of moving Kinsler to 1B so they could insert their top prospect Jurickson Profar at second. <o></o>
SS Elvis Andrus .286 3 Homers 62 RBI Good speed and double play combination with Kinsler.<o></o>
DH Lance Berkman (Cardinals) .259 2 Homers 7 RBI Coming back from knee surgert in Sept 2012<o></o>
3B Adrian Beltre .321 36 Homers 102 RBI Bet this guy will end up in Cooperstown.<o></o>
RF Nelson Cruz .260 24 Homers 90 RBI Cruz hit 5 fewer homers with 110 more at bats last year. His batting average also dipped from 2011. Still solid but the decrease in output was a surprise for many.<o></o>
LF David Murphy .304 15 Homers 61 RBI Signed a one year contract to avoid arbitration. Used mostly against righties in the past. <o></o>
C A.J. Pierzynski .278 27 Homers 77 RBI After losing Mike Napoli the Rangers have addressed their most pressing concern by signing Pierzynski to a 1 year contract worth 7.5 million. He could platoon with Geovany Soto.<o></o>
1B Mitch Moreland .275 15 Homers 50 RBI Good fielder and matched his previous year’s output with 137 less at bats.<o></o>
CF Leonys Martin .174 0 Homers 6 RBI Played 55 Games in AAA .359 12 Homer 52 RBI. Will platoon with Craig Gentry .304 1 Homer 26 RBI.<o></o>
Jurickson Profar is the Rangers hottest prospect but will probably start the season in the minors. With Josh Hamilton playing for the Rangers toughest opponent, the Angels, the Rangers have to be still in therapy after the last three years of frustration. 2010 lost World Series in five games to the Giants, 2011 lost World Series to Giants in seven games and 2012 lost to Baltimore in a Wild Card playoff game. Even though the Rangers are obviously weaker in 2013, I still think they are a decent bet to go over 86.5 wins for the season. With the Astros and Mariners (theoretically of course) contributing lots of losses to the Rangers cause I will take a small bet on the Rangers over 86.5 -135. I will also make a small bet on the Rangers to win the American League Pennant at +750.<o></o>

 

[trailofclint]

one note about rangers ballpark. one of the many reasons it's always been a hitters park is the "jet stream." they remodeled the area between the upper and lower decks behind home plate... it is now more open, allowing the traditional jet stream winds to blow through the park rather than deflect and blow back out to RF and CF. not sure if it will materialize in more unders, but it could keep more flyballs in the park on windy nights.

 

[CatsOverUnders]

one note about rangers ballpark. one of the many reasons it's always been a hitters park is the "jet stream." they remodeled the area between the upper and lower decks behind home plate... it is now more open, allowing the traditional jet stream winds to blow through the park rather than deflect and blow back out to RF and CF. not sure if it will materialize in more unders, but it could keep more flyballs in the park on windy nights.

I always like finding out little, yet important, things like this. Since I'm strictly only over/unders, I appreciate you contributing this piece of information and will see if it has any effect in Arlington over/unders, at least early on.

 

[gynecologist]

one note about rangers ballpark. one of the many reasons it's always been a hitters park is the "jet stream." they remodeled the area between the upper and lower decks behind home plate... it is now more open, allowing the traditional jet stream winds to blow through the park rather than deflect and blow back out to RF and CF. not sure if it will materialize in more unders, but it could keep more flyballs in the park on windy nights.

Thanks a lot. I wasn't aware of this.

 

[camy]

2013 Los Angeles Angels- 2012 Record 89-73 Home 46-35 Away 43-38 O/U 75-78-9<o></o>
Total Wins is set at 91.5 -115 Over and 91.5 -115 Under<o></o>
Odds to win American League West -200 (Rangers +250, A’s+550, Mariners +1350, Astros +10000)<o></o>
Odds to win American League Pennant +300<o></o>
Odds to win World Series +600<o></o>
Starting Rotation:<o></o>
1. RHP Jered Weaver 20-5 2.81 189 innings 142 SO 45 BB<o></o>
2. LHP C. J. Wilson 13-10 3.83 202 innings 173 SO 91 BB<o></o>
3. RHP Joe Blanton (Dodgers & Phillies) 10-13 4.71 166 SO 34 BB<o></o>
4. LHP Jason Vargas (Mariners) 14-11 3.85 217 innings 141 SO 55 BB<o></o>
5. RHP Tommy Hanson (Braves) 13-10 4.48 175 innings 161 SO 71 BB<o></o>
CJ Wilson has had his bone chips removed. Hanson could be a nice addition if he is healthy. Garrett Richards and Jerome Williams are available for spot starts. <o></o>
Bullpen:<o></o>
1. RHP Ryan Madson (Closer) Coming back from Tommy John elbow surgery<o></o>
2. LHP Sean Burnett 1-2 2.38 57 innings 2 Saves 57 SO 12 BB<o></o>
3. RHP Ernesto Frieri (Angels & Padres) 5-2 2.32 66 innings 23 Saves 98 SO 30 BB<o></o>
4. LHP Scott Downs 1-1 3.15 46 innings 9 Saves 32 SO 17 BB<o></o>
5. RHP Kevin Jepsen 3-2 3.02 45 innings 2 Saves 38 SO 12 BB<o></o>
6. RHP Jerome Williams 6-8 4.58 138 innings 1 Save 98 SO 35 BB<o></o>
7. RHP Garrett Richards 4-3 4.69 71 innings 1 Save 47 SO 34 BB Pitched 77 innings in AAA 7-3 4.21<o></o>
8. RHP David Carpenter 1-2 4.76 40 innings 28 SO 17 BB Pitched 20 innings in AAA 0-0 2.75<o></o>
9. RHP Fernando Cabrera AAA 2012 4-5 4.10 68 innings 60 SO 35 BB<o></o>
10. LHP Nick Maronde 0-0 1.50 6 innings Pitched 100 innings in A & AA 6-4 2.26<o></o>
11. LHP Mitch Stetter AA & AAA 2012 1-1 2.67 30 innings 40 SO 16 BB<o></o>
12. RHP Kevin Johnson AA & AAA 2012 2-6 3.69 63 innings 31 SO 16 BB<o></o>
13. RHP Chad Cordero 2012 recovered from shoulder injury. Will start 2013 in minors.<o></o>
If Madson cannot get the closer job done the likely replacement will be Frieri. Madson will start the season on the DL. The top portion of the Angels bullpen has plenty of late inning experience so they are expecting the bullpen to be a strong asset this year.<o></o>
Projected Line Up:<o></o>
LF Mike Trout .326 30 Homers 83 RBI 2012 Rookie of the Year. Has come to camp 10 lbs. heavier and will be playing a new position this year.<o></o>
SS Erick Aybar .290 8 Homers 45 RBI Solid player Slow start in 2012 then went on fire in the second half of season. <o></o>
1B Albert Pujols .285 30 Homers 105 RBI Had one of the worst starts ever and still ended the year with good numbers. With Hamilton behind him the sky is the limit.<o></o>
RF Josh Hamilton .285 43 Homers 128 RBI Immense talent but there are always questions about the head. Having said that will probably have a career year with the lineup he is in.<o></o>
DH Mark Trumbo .268 32 Homers 95 RBI With no chance of breaking into the Angel outfield, Trumbo has tried to learn playing 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] base as well as backing up at 1B. <o></o>
2B Howie Kendrick .287 8 Homers 67 RBI Career .292 hitter just wants to stay consistent all year.<o></o>
3B Alberto Callaspo .252 10 Homers 53 RBI Solid defender and has an ability to draw walks at the plate. Signed a 2 year contract which is how long they expect top prospect Kaleb Cowart to get ready for everyday duty at 3B.<o></o>
C Chris Iannetta .240 9 Homers 26 RBI Missed 3 months last year but he is the guy Scioscia wants behind the plate.<o></o>
CF Peter Bourjos .220 3 Homers 19 RBI If he does not hit early Vernon Wells is lurking in the background.<o></o>
Going into the 2012 season the Angels were 16 to 1 to win the World Series. After Albert Pujols and CJ Wilson were signed they went to 8 to 1. As we all know they did not make the playoffs even though they had a very impressive second half. The Angels are a 6 to 1 favorite to win the World Series in 2013 and I just can’t justify a bet with those lousy odds. I am not even sure that the Angels are going to win the West and I sure as hell am not going to lay 2 to 1 to find out. I really am not impressed enough with the pitching to lay these inflated numbers and even though the offense looks almost unfair…no thanks, pass on the Angels this year. Ok, ok I will take a small bet on the under 91.5 just on the chance that one of their big arms go down. <o></o>

 

[THEHITMAN]

Thanks for all the info & work, everyone

 

[camy]

2013 Colorado Rockies- 2012 Record 64-98 Home 35-46 Away 29-52 O/U 84-73-5<o></o>
Total Wins is set at 70.5 -140 Over and 70.5 +110 Under<o></o>
Odds to win National League West +2200 (Dodgers -130, Giants +175, Dbacks +650, Padres +1200)<o></o>
Odds to win National League Pennant +6000<o></o>
Odds to win World Series +12500<o></o>
Starting Rotation:<o></o>
1. RHP Jhoulys Chacin 3-5 4.43 69 innings 45 SO 32 BB Pitched 25 innings AA & AAA 1-3 5.40<o></o>
2. LHP Jorge De La Rosa 0-2 9.28 11 innings 6 SO 2 BB Pitched 20 innings in AA & AAA 0-1 6.64<o></o>
3. LHP Jeff Francis 6-7 5.58 113 innings 76 SO 22 BB Pitched 77 innings AAA 3-6 3.72<o></o>
4. RHP Juan Nicasio 2-3 5.28 58 innings 54 SO 22 BB<o></o>
5. LHP Drew Pomeranz 2-9 4.93 97 innings 83 SO 46 BB Pitched 51 innings AA & AAA 4-4 2.31<o></o>
6. RHP Tyler Chatwood 5-6 5.43 65 innings 41 SO 33 BB Pitched 61 innings AA & AAA 1-3 4.70<o></o>
7. LHP Christian Friedrich 5-8 6.17 85 innings 74 SO 30 BB Pitched 30 innings AAA 2-1 3.00<o></o>
Chacin, De La Rosa, and Nicasio are all coming back from injuries. That makes Francis their “seasoned veteran”. It’s pitching staffs like this that make wonder if the statement, “Yes, someone definitely is going to hit .400 again”, makes perfectly good sense.<o></o>
Bullpen:<o></o>
1. RHP Rafael Betancourt (Closer) 1-4 2.81 58 innings 31 Saves 57 SO 12 BB<o></o>
2. RHP Matt Belisle 3-8 3.71 80 innings 3 Saves 69 SO 18 BB<o></o>
3. RHP Adam Ottavino 5-1 4.56 79 innings 0 Saves 81 SO 34 BB Pitched 20 innings AAA 0-0 3.20<o></o>
4. LHP Rex Brothers 8-2 3.86 68 innings 0 Saves 83 SO 37 BB <o></o>
5. RHP Wilton Lopez (Astros) 6-3 2.17 66 innings 10 Saves 54 SO 8 BB <o></o>
6. LHP Josh Outman 1-3 8.19 41 innings 0 Saves 40 SO 20 BB Pitched AA & AAA 2-5 3.48<o></o>
The Rockies will be using their so called “hybrid relievers” again. They will be using 3 pitchers (Ottavino, Batista, and one “to be determined”) to relieve when the starter reaches a pre-determined pitch count. This is either a really smart idea or just a gimmick to survive due to all their starters being on the meat wagon so much. It appears they were satisfied enough with their results last year to try it again this season. Thirty eight year old Betancourt’s first year as closer was successful but the Rockies will probably try to pick up another more experienced closer if available. <o></o>
Projected Line Up:<o></o>
CF Dexter Fowler .300 13 Homers 53 RBI A player who appears to be “on the rise. Rockies signed him to a 2 year 11.6 contract.<o></o>
2B Josh Rutledge .274 8 Homers 37 RBI Played 87 games AA .306 13 Homers 35 RBI Filled in quite nicely when Tulowitzki went down last year and even though he faded down the stretch, Rockies want him in there every day.<o></o>
LF Carlos Gonzalez .303 22 Homers 85 RBI Will probably become one of baseball’s biggest stars if he can stay healthier and break his career high “games played” stat of 145.<o></o>
SS Troy Tulowitzki .287 8 Homers 27 RBI Did not play after 5-30-12 Coming off season ending left groin surgery to remove scar tissue. Huge addition if he can come back and stay healthy.<o></o>
1B Todd Helton .238 7 Homers 37 RBI Only started 6 times after 7-8-12 Coming back from season ending right hip surgery to repair a torn labrum. Another huge addition if healthy.<o></o>
RF Michael Cuddyer .260 16 Homers 58 RBI Only played 3 games after 7-31-12 Filled in at 1[SUP]st[/SUP] base when Helton went down last year. Had decent numbers as his season was also cut short by injuries.<o></o>
C Wilin Rosario .270 28 Homers 71 RBI One of the league’s top rookies. <o></o>
3B Jordan Pacheco .309 5 Homers 54 RBI “Mr. Versatility”. Plays 1[SUP]st[/SUP] base, third base, and catches. Hits .309 while carrying around 3 gloves.<o></o>
With the regular season wins total set at 70.5 -140, it appears someone is optimistic about the Rockies this season. I can see some obvious optimism with the offense, providing that good health pays a visit to the Rockies locker room. The pitching staff on the other hand just makes you shake your head and wonder, “how are they going to pull this off”? All I can think of is to say “take the over” during the regular season although the numbers could get inflated fast. I will take a small bet on the under 70.5 +110 for regular season wins although if their offense is healthy and hits like they can they will probably go over. Ok show me.

 

[FairWarning]

Why would Anaheim move Trout to LF?

 

[camy]

To make room for Peter Bourgos and I think on a more important note, to take some wear and tear off of Trout's surgically repaired right knee. Trout says he feels great and is not going to "play it safe at all", so yeah maybe we will see him back there soon enough and throw Bougjos in left if the knee is fine.

 

[FairWarning]

To make room for Peter Bourgos and I think on a more important note, to take some wear and tear off of Trout's surgically repaired right knee. Trout says he feels great and is not going to "play it safe at all", so yeah maybe we will see him back there soon enough and throw Bougjos in left if the knee is fine.

Makes sense outside of him gaining 10 pounds.

 

[camy]

2013 Detroit Tigers- 2012 Record 88-74 Home 50-31 Away 38-43 O/U 67-86-9<o></o>
Total Wins is set at 92.5 -115 Over and 92.5 -115 Under<o></o>
Odds to win American League Central -300 (White Sox +550,Royals +650,Indians +900, Twins +2000)<o></o>
Odds to win American League Pennant +350<o></o>
Odds to win World Series +800<o></o>
Starting Rotation:<o></o>
1. RHP Justin Verlander 17-8 2.64 238 innings 239 SO 60 BB<o></o>
2. RHP Doug Fister 10-10 3.45 162 innings 137 SO 37 BB<o></o>
3. RHP Anibal Sanchez (Marlins & Tigers) 9-13 3.86 196 innings 167 SO 48 BB<o></o>
4. RHP Max Scherzer 16-7 3.74 188 innings 231 SO 60 BB<o></o>
5. RHP Rick Porcello 10-12 4.59 176 innings 107 SO 44 BB<o></o>
6. LHP Drew Smyly 4-3 3.99 99 innings 94 SO 33 BB Pitched 18 innings AAA 0-2 6.11<o></o>
Not a lot of questions or drama with this rotation. Main question is number five starter Porcello or Smyly. Odd man out will go to the bullpen although if it is Smyly they might send him down to start regularly. From the looks of this spring’s performance it should be Porcello.<o></o>
Bullpen:<o></o>
1. RHP Bruce Rondon (Closer) AA & AAA Career 6-10 2.53 196 innings 213 SO 111 BB<o></o>
2. LHP Phil Coke 2-3 4.00 54 innings 1 Save 51 SO 18 BB <o></o>
3. RHP Joaquin Benoit 5-3 3.68 71 innings 2 Saves 84 SO 22 BB<o></o>
4. RHP Octavio Dotel 5-3 3.57 58 innings 1 Save 62 SO 12 BB<o></o>
5. RHP Al Alburquerque 0-0 0.68 13 innings 18 SO 8 BB Pitched 14 innings A & AAA 1-0 2.57 <o></o>
6. LHP Darin Downs 2-1 3.48 21 innings 30 SO 9 BB Pitched 29 innings AAA 0-2 2.15<o></o>
7. RHP Brayan Villarreal 3-5 2.63 55 innings 66 SO 28 BB Pitched 14 innings AAA 0-0 1.29<o></o>
8. RHP Luis Marte 1-0 2.82 22 innings 19 SO 9 BB Pitched 26 innings A & AAA 3-2 3.42<o></o>
9. LHP Kyle Lobstein Pitched 144 innings AA 8-7 4.06 129 SO 69 BB<o></o>
The big question with the Tigers is definitely the bullpen. There will not be a repeat of the Jose Valverde meltdown as he was allowed to leave as a free agent. The Tigers are telling us that rookie Bruce Rondon is ready to close in the bigs. Tell us whatever you want but this can’t be in stone. Any pitcher with a 102mph heater is open to wildness and injury. I suspect that they will end up playing musical chairs with different guys this year. Whatever the situation with the closer, there are plenty of good arms to go around in case they have to run the bullpen by committee. Leyland will certainly not spill about what is really going on so stay tuned to the Tigers bullpen situation.<o></o>
Projected Line Up:<o></o>
CF Austin Jackson .300 16 Homers 66 RBI Breakout year and will probably only improve.<o></o>
RF Tori Hunter .313 16 Homers 92 RBI (Angels) Nine time Gold Glove winner will give some needed right handed batting protection for the lineup that has proved susceptible to lefty pitching. Detroit fans have got to love this pick up.<o></o>
3B Miguel Cabrera .330 44 Homers 139 RBI Ok last guy to win the Triple Crown since Yaz. Enough said.<o></o>
1B Prince Fielder .313 30 Homers 108 RBI Prince turned one of his best offensive years in his career average wise and even though his Home run numbers were down Detroit loves him. Guy has missed one day in the last four years.<o></o>
DH Victor Martinez Missed 2012 and underwent microfracture surgery on left knee in Jan 2012 Martinez supposedly may even see some time behind the plate later this year. Guess the surgery went well. Fifty six AB’s in spring 2013 and batting .304.<o></o>
LF Andy Dirks .322 8 Homers 35 RBI This position will probably be competed for throughout the year. For now it’s Dirks to lose.<o></o>
SS Jhonny Peralta .239 13 Homers 63 RBI Coming off a career worst .239 batting average Peralta will be looking to get back to more respectable numbers. He has played 8 seasons in a row with at least 140 games played. Good stat for your shortstop.<o></o>
C Alex Avila .243 9 Homers 48 RBI Durability is the big question mark with Avila. Terrific catcher…when healthy.<o></o>
2B Omar Infante (Marlins & Tigers) .274 12 Homers 53 RBI Broke his hand in the World Series and was of course one of the only Tigers hitting at the time. <o></o>
Detroit is a chalk lover’s dream entering the season. -300 to win the Central, 92.5 on the regular season wins, and only 3.5 to 1 to take the American League Pennant. They sure do look good but these numbers are just too inflated. The total wins total is set 4.5 games higher than last year’s actual win total? Come on, their “closer” hasn’t thrown a pitch in the majors yet. Justin Verlander is certainly awesome but who throws more innings than this guy? What if he starts pitching like a mere mortal? Ok, the offense is quite impressive. No doubt about it. Leyland is a good manager and these guys should win the Central without too much trouble but the White Sox and the Royals have a chance. If I were to do anything in this division I would take the White Sox at +550 and the Royals at +650 small to win the Central and cheer against the Tigers all year when something goes wrong…and it will.

 

[camy]

2013 Cincinnati Reds- 2012 Record 97-65 Home 50-31 Away 47-34 O/U 60-89-13<o></o>
Total Wins is set at 90.5 -140 Over and 90.5 +110 Under<o></o>
Odds to win National League Central -135 (Cardinals +220, Brewers +500, Pirates +1200, Cubs +2000)<o></o>
Odds to win National League Pennant +400<o></o>
Odds to win World Series +850<o></o>
Starting Rotation:<o></o>
1. RHP Johnny Cueto 19-9 2.78 217 innings 170 SO 49 BB<o></o>
2. RHP Bronson Arroyo 12-10 3.74 202 innings 129 SO 35 BB<o></o>
3. RHP Mat Latos 14-4 3.48 209 innings 185 SO 64 BB<o></o>
4. RHP Homer Bailey 13-10 3.68 208 innings 168 SO 52 BB<o></o>
5. RHP Mike Leake 8-9 4.58 179 innings 116 SO 41 BB<o></o>
6. LHP Aroldis Chapman (Closer) 5-5 1.51 72 innings 38 Saves 122 SO 23 BB<o></o>
After a mini soap opera in spring training it was decided that Aroldis Chapman would go back to the bullpen and be the closer. Let’s see, that leaves five starters that can throw 200 innings apiece. Sounds like Dusty Baker is sleeping fine these days.<o></o>
Bullpen:<o></o>
1. RHP Jonathan Broxton (Royals & Reds)(Closer) 4-5 2.48 58 innings 27 Saves 45 SO 17 BB<o></o>
2. LHP Sean Marshall 5-5 2.51 61 innings 9 Saves 74 SO 16 BB<o></o>
3. RHP Sam LeCure 3-3 3.14 57 innings 0 Saves 61 SO 23 BB<o></o>
4. RHP Jose Arredondo 6-2 2.95 61 innings 1 Save 62 SO 34 BB<o></o>
5. RHP Alfredo Simon 3-2 2.66 61 innings 1 Save 52 SO 22 BB<o></o>
6. RHP J.J. Hoover 1-0 2.05 31 innings 1 Save 31 SO 13 BB Pitched 37 innings AAA 4-0 1.22<o></o>
7. RHP Nick Masset Rehabbing from shoulder surgery<o></o>
8. RHP Logan Ondrusek 5-2 3.46 55 innings 2 Saves 39 SO 31 BB<o></o>
9. LHP Manny Parra (Brewers) 2-3 5.06 59 innings 0 Saves 61 SO 35 BB<o></o>
Lets face it. The Reds are loaded with pitching. There is a good chance Ondrusek and Hoover will make the roster. Hoover was actually the most dominant pitcher this spring. Jonathan Broxton will now be closing when Chapman is not available and will no doubt make appearances as a setup man. Got to earn that 3 year 21 million deal somehow.<o></o>
Projected Line Up:<o></o>
CF Shin-Soo Choo (Indians) .283 16 Homers 67 RBI Has done a good job in center this spring while batting .400. Came up with some back spasms on 3-21.<o></o>
2B Brandon Phillips .281 18 Homers 77 RBI Solid veteran back for another good year.<o></o>
1B Joey Votto .337 14 Homers 56 RBI Votto has answered any health questions by his performance on Team Canada in the World Baseball Classic.<o></o>
LF Ryan Ludwick .275 26 Homers 80 RBI Provided much of the Reds power after a so-so year in 211 which was split between being a Padre and a Pirate. Maybe winning had something to do with it?<o></o>
RF Jay Bruce .252 34 Homers 99 RBI Won Cincinnati’s first Silver Slugger Award since Eric Davis in 1989. Another tidbit, Jay Bruce’s home run totals have increased every year he has been in the majors.<o></o>
3B Todd Frazier .273 19 Homers 67 RBI Finished third in National Rookie of the Year voting.<o></o>
SS Zack Cozart .246 15 Homers 35 RBI Not flashy but very steady at short.<o></o>
C Ryan Hanigan .274 2 Homers 24 RBI Another steady defensive player that is probably looking over his shoulder at Devin Mesoraco, the Reds top catching prospect. That should motivate him a little this year.<o></o>
I will be taking the Reds over 90.5-140 for a medium wager, The Reds -135 to win the National Central for a large wager, and the Reds to win the National league Pennant (4 to 1) for a small wager. I feel the Cards are overrated this year (see gyno review), and could finish behind either the Brewers or the Pirates. While I expect the Brewers and Pirates to bring some excitement to their cities this season, I just can’t see them overtaking the Reds. I hate laying chalk in any situation, but the primitive part of my gambling brain is just overpowering me on this one. I really thought the line on “win the division” would be somewhere around -160 or -200. “Stay healthy my Red friends”.

 

[gynecologist]

Love the Reds 1-4 rotation..

Doesnt get much better than having Bailey as your #4.

 

[Gravy]

This is my thoughts on the 2013 Cleveland Indians

Ownership has been going thru some rough times the last few years as this team has looked like a Triple A farm club and than ownership tries to pick up some over the hill guys like Johnny Damon and Derrick Lowe thinking that would help but it backfired in their face.The minor league system is very weak right now except at the shortstop position as some guys will be ready for 2014 or 2015 season so the Dolan ownership which owned STO decided to sell the station to Fox Sports to generate money to rebuild the ball club and decided on going out and spend money on some free agents this year in Nick Swisher,Michael Bourn,Drew Stubbs,and Mark Reynolds to strenghen their weak lineup they had the last few years.So here is what this team should look like this year in the field:

C - Carlos Santana - He complains alot in the clubhouse I heard but with the new additions this year in the lineup I see him having a good year with some pitches to hit now I can see him hitting .285 to .300 with 15-25 Hr's and 75-90 RBI this year.

1st base - Nick Swisher - he is a rah rah guy that came back to Ohio as he played his college ball at Ohio State and is a good clubhouse guy he should hit 20 to 30 Hr's and knock in 85-100 Rbi's this year

2nd base - Jason Kipnis - He has a good glove at 2nd base and can hit 15 Hr's and 65 RBI but tailed off last year and needs to raise his batting average up but good young player and should get better this year.

Shortstop - Asdrubal Cabrera - I think he is a headcase but hearing Francona is working with him this year but he had a bad year last year and needs to turn it around as the shortstops they have in the minors will be here and he will be gone.

3rd base - Lonnie Chisenhall / Mark Reynolds - This is Chisenhall's job to lose as he is expected to have a good year this year i think he is a huge ? mark but we will see what happens here.

DH - Mark Reynolds / Jason Giambi - This is Reynolds spot with a Giambi sighting here in there I think this is a big improvement over that big stiff Hafner they had but this will be like the wind turbines they have at Progressive Field as there will be alot of wiffs but should get some nice production from them.

Outfielders

Michael Brantley - This guy has a nice glove and can hit the baseball and now wont be asked to carry the ball club like last year and expect close to .300 with 15 Hr's and 70 Rbi's

Michael Bourn - This guy has a nice glove covers alot of ground and should lead off for this team I think he should have a great year with alot of SB which this team has lacked in the past few years.

Drew Stubbs - I think this guy strikes out alot and not good in the outfield IMO but we will see what happens with him as Im not high on him

The starting pitching is they key to this team like with every time in baseball with the 5 starters being

Masterson - He has good stuff but gets careless sometimes and i think he bounces back this year I think 13 -16 wins for him

Jimenez - Here is the key to the season for me as this guy had great stuff in Colorado but since he has been here in Cleveland its been all mental and cant locate his pitches. If somehow they worked with him and get his mind back to locate his pitches watch out for this team if not could be another long year here in Cleveland.

Meyers - McAlister - Carrasco -Bauer - Kazmir - Dice K - These are the 6 guys that are battling for the rotation as I think Kasmir has a great chance to make this team and if he can come back and pitch like he did in TB watch out .

Bullpen is the strength of this team with Pestano in the 8th inning and Perez being the closer. Perez has had some some issues this Spring but I think he will be ok this season.

Overall this team IMO is way better than last year and should be better record wise from last season but like I said pitching is the key for them to contend this year my heart says this team could make this a enjoyable season but my head says maybe not so fast.I think they can be just above .500 and say 83-79 but they have the Tigers and Royals to contend with but with some luck who knows what might happen here but Francona is a good manager and these guys will play hard for him and to me the have a fighters chance and thats all you can ask for.

The Indians have announced their SP rotation with these 5 pitchers:

Masterson
Jimenez
Meyers - He has had a rough Spring with over a 10 ERA and I think he might be better in the bullpen
McAlister
Scott Kazmir - This could be the diamond in the rough if he pitches anything like he did in TB

 

[camy]

2013 San Francisco Giants- 2012 Record 94-68 Home 48-33 Away 46-35 O/U 86-70-6<o></o>
Total Wins is set at 88 -115 Over and 88 -115 Under<o></o>
Odds to win National League West +175 (Dodgers -130, DBacks +650, Padres +1200, Rockies +2200)<o></o>
Odds to win National League Pennant +650<o></o>
Odds to win World Series +1000<o></o>
Starting Rotation:<o></o>
1. RHP Matt Cain 16-5 2.79 219 innings 193 SO 51 BB<o></o>
2. LHP Madison Bumgarner 16-11 3.37 208 innings 191 SO 49 BB<o></o>
3. RHP Tin Lincecum 10-15 5.18 186 innings 190 SO 90 BB<o></o>
4. RHP Ryan Vogelsong 14-9 3.37 190 innings 158 SO 62 BB<o></o>
5. LHP Barry Zito 15-8 4.15 184 innings 114 SO 70 BB<o></o>
The starting rotation that started 160 out of 162 games last year is back and all are healthy. Lincecum has gotten lit up in spring training and is coming of a very disappointing 2012 even though he pitched great in relief in the playoffs. There is very little depth after the starting five.<o></o>
Bullpen:<o></o>
1. RHP Sergio Romo (Closer) 4-2 1.79 55 innings 14 Saves 63 SO 10 BB<o></o>
2. LHP Javier Lopez 3-0 2.50 36 innings 7 Saves 28 SO 14 BB<o></o>
3. LHP Jeremy Affeldt 1-2 2.70 63 innings 3 Saves 57 SO 23 BB<o></o>
4. RHP Santiago Casilla 7-6 2.84 63 innings 25 Saves 55 SO 22 BB<o></o>
5. LHP Jose Mijares (Royals & Giants) 3-2 2.56 56 innings 0 Saves 57 SO 21 BB<o></o>
6. RHP George Kontos 2-1 2.47 44 innings 0 Saves 44 SO 12 BB Pitched 32 innings AAA 2-0 1.71<o></o>
Romo ws great in the playoffs but keep in mind he only has 17 career saves. Bochy has stated that he has confidence in Affelddt, Lopez, and Mijares in save situations if the need arises. Brian Wilson (The Beard) is in his 11[SUP]th[/SUP] month (usually 12 month recovery) of rehab from Tommy John elbow surgery and Bochy has said that the Giants could possibly bring him back in a middle relief role.<o></o>
Projected Line Up:<o></o>
CF Angel Pagan .288 8 Homers 56 RBI Not a power guy but a terrific baserunner and solid hitter. Recorded career best 39 doubles 15 triples and scored 95 runs in 2012.<o></o>
2B Marco Scutaro (Rockies & Giants) .306 7 Homers 74 RBI No one remembers Scutaro went 3-20 in the NLDS against the Reds because he was so hot in the World Series. I never understood why the Red Sox got rid of this guy. <o></o>
3B Pablo Sandoval .283 12 Homers 63 RBI World Series MVP has an inflamed ulnar nerve in his elbow. May start the season on the DL.<o></o>
C Buster Posey .336 24 Homers 103 RBI NL batting champ in 2012 was also voted NL MVP. He signed an 8 million dollar contract in January so all is well behind the plate for the Giants.<o></o>
RF Hunter Pence (Phillies & Giants) .253 24 Homers 104 RBI Pence had a rough 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half last year but still managed to drive in over 100 runs for the first time in his career. <o></o>
1B Brandon Belt .275 7 Homers 56 RBI Has trouble hitting lefty pitching although he is ripping it up in spring training. Was scratched on 3-24 with a sore neck.<o></o>
LF Gregor Blanco .244 5 Homers 34 RBI Left field will probably end up as a platoon position throughout the year between Blanco, Andres Torres, Cole Gillespie, Brandon Belt, and Brett Pill. The latter two because of their bats.<o></o>
SS Brandon Crawford .248 4 Homers 45 RBI Average stick, above average defense.<o></o>
Well if there is one team that I am always on the wrong side of when it comes to betting playoff series and picking regular season win totals it is the Giants. They are so easy to overlook with their under the radar ”pitching and defense” baseball doctrine. They know that 2-1, 3-2 and 4-3 victories are just as beautiful as those 9-2 romps that make you feel so smug and cocky. Their 2012 World Series offensive show (particularly Scutaro & Sandoval) just had me shaking my head as I tightened the bib around my neck waiting for another San Fran cream pie coming my way. So… in the spirit of being a hopelessly slow learner I am once again going to bet against the Giants this year. I am making a small bet on the under 88 wins and a small bet on the Dodgers to win the West Division @ -130.

 

[camy]

2013 Kansas City Royals- 2012 Record 72-90 Home 37-44 Away 35-46 O/U 73-83-6<o></o>
Total Wins is set at 77.5 -135 Over and 77.5 +105 Under<o></o>
Odds to win American League Central +650 (Tigers -300, White Sox +550, Indians +900, Twins +2000)<o></o>
Odds to win American League Pennant +3500<o></o>
Odds to win World Series +5000<o></o>
The Royals have not made the playoffs since 1985. They have lost at least 90 games eight out of the last nine years and they have had one winning season since 1994. This information would make most bettors head for the exits but there is more. Bruce Chen has led K.C. in wins the last three years. He will be in the bullpen to start the season in 2013. He is not injured and even though he had a lousy spring, the reason for his move to the pen is the Royals have some starters to get excited about this year. Five apparently, which are more exciting to Ned Yost than their top winner for the last three years. As stated in an earlier review of this team, this is a young core of players ready to come into their prime, if they are ever going to have one. The acquisition of these veteran pitchers is a loud statement. The Royals got rid of 4 top prospects to put this team on the field. The loss of Jonathan Broxton is worrisome, but Greg Holland saved sixteen games last year after he left, and there are options if he tanks this year. The regular season wins total is set at 77.5 -135 which is 5.5 games higher than the Royals total wins last year. I will be making a large bet on the Royals to sail over the 77.5 and possibly make the playoffs this year. I will throw a small bet on the Royals to win the Central and I do not feel that this is a throwaway entertainment bet.

 

[redsox3g2]

2013 Boston Red Sox- 2012 record 69-93 Home 34-47 Away 35-46 East 26-46 Central 24-16 West 8-24<o></o>
NL 11-7 O/U 78-77-7 2013 Total wins is set at 84 -140 on under +110 on over at the Greek<o></o>
Odds to win the American League east +500 (Tor +125, TB Rays +300, Yanks +385, and Balt.+850)<o></o>
Odds to win American League Pennant +1000<o></o>
Odds to win World Series +2000<o></o>
Starting Rotation:<o></o>
1. John Lester 9-14 4.82 Coming off a complete nightmare of a 2012 season.<o></o>
2. Clay Buchholz 11-8 4.56 Most consistent starter last year<o></o>
3. Felix Doubront 11-10 4.86 I thought he did very well last year. I watched a lot of his starts and I swear he never got a call. He pitched 161 innings last year and I expect good things from him.<o></o>
4. John Lackey did not play in 2012-returning from Tommy John elbow surgery. 2011 season was awful.<o></o>
5. Ryan Dempster 12-8 3.38 Somewhat of an underrated starter throughout his career.<o></o>
Bullpen:<o></o>
Joel Hanrahan - Closer 36 saves last year with Pirates with a 2.72 ERA. Red Sox expecting big results here.<o></o>
Andrew Bailey- Setup man 1-1 7.04 ERA 15.1 innings pitched last year. Another guy coming back from major surgery, his the reconstructive thumb variety. 2009 American Rookie of the Year.<o></o>
Daniel Bard - 5-6 with a 6.22 ERA. Followed that up in Pawtucket with 3-2 and 7.03 ERA. Tied with John Lester for the 2012 Red Sox Schizophrenia Award.<o></o>
Junichi Tazawa - 1-1 with a 1.43 ERA in 44 innings. I was impressed with this guy last year after I stopped throwing stuff at my tv and watched him pitch.<o></o>
Koji Uehara - Acquired from Texas. 0-0 record. 1.75 ERA in 36 innings. Always liked this guy’s stuff even though he is prone to give up a few home runs.<o></o>
Craig Breslow - 3-0 with 2.70 ERA. Pitched 40 innings with Arizona and 23 for the Red Sox.<o></o>
Andrew Miller - 3-2 3.32 ERA. Will still be looking for Major League control. <o></o>
Chris Carpenter- Only pitched 6 innings for Red Sox last year and 16 for Pawtucket<o></o>
Clayton Mortensen - Pitched 42 innings last year with a 1-1 record and 3.21 ERA<o></o>
Alfredo Aceves - 25 saves last year. Middle relief this year? Occasional starter? Head case for sure.<o></o>
Left Field - Johnny Gomes- .262 18 homers. Solid hitter acquired from Oakland. . David Nava and Mike Carp from Seattle back him and Victorino up.<o></o>
Center Field - Jacoby Ellsbury- .271 4 homers. Still waiting for him to reach potential. Everyone knows what this guy can do. Can he stay healthy? <o></o>
Right Field - Shane Victorino- .255 11 homers. I loved this guy playing for Philly but he certainly has no gaudy numbers. Hope the Red Sox do not regret this pick up.<o></o>
Third Base - Will Middlebrooks- .288 15 homers in 75 games. Loved this kid from the start. Had 70 strike outs which is only offensive complaint. <o></o>
Shortstop - Stephen Drew - .223 7 homers. Played for Arizona and Oakland last year. Back ups are Jose Iglesias and Pedro Ciriaco(who also backs up Middlebrooks at third and Pedroia at second))<o></o>
Second Base - Dustin Pedroia - .290 15 homers. This guy is the real deal. Good stick for a midget and he never, I mean never, boots a ball<o></o>
First Base - Mike Napoli- .227 24 homers. More damaged goods for the Red Sox. Sure he can hit but avascular neucrosis (hip condition) is probably worse than it sounds. I think Texas may have pulled a fast one here. He has never played first base btw.<o></o>
Catcher- Jarrod Saltalamacchia - .222 25 homers. Back up is David Ross an 11 year veteran with a good reputation on defense. These two could make an effective combo. I think Ryan Lavarnway, the Red Sox prospect who got a fair amount of playing time last year will be packing his bags soon.<o></o>
Manager- Bobby Valentine was dismissed by the Red Sox and acquired John Farrell from the Blue Jays. I always liked Farrell as Francona’s pitching coach and all I can say is “see ya Bobby”.<o></o>
Designated Hitter- David Ortiz is signed for two years and 26 mil. Hope his Achilles is healed. He is scheduled to be a go on opening day. Ryan Lavarnway and Mauro Gomez will be available if Big Pappi cannot go.<o></o>
Only two American league teams allowed more runs than the 2012 Red Sox and I am confident that this will improve with help from Dempster, Hanrahan, and Uehara. I also expect John Lester to revert back to being a real number one starter. If Lackey can contribute anything and Buchholz and Doubront perform as expected, they have got to improve dramatically. Unfortunately, after a year like 2012 the question marks seem to weigh on your mind heavier than usual. Ortiz and Nappoli just scare the hell out of me, especially if they cannot play. Hopefully Gomes and Victorino will be doing some heavy mashing at Fenway, Ellsbury will stay healthy and Drew at short will work out. That being said I will throw a small one on the over 84 wins +110 and pray…a lot.

Just realize I totally forgot about this thread after I agreed to do a write-up on the Red Sox. Wanted to add some stuff to the great start from camy.

Pitching:

SP Rotation is set barring injury.

First note is that camy mentioned Buchholz as the most consistent starter for the Red Sox last year. While I can't really argue, that really shows why they sucked. He had some great stretches and some god awful stretches, and to me projects as the most likely "Ace" of the club, but Lester has a shot to turn it around and so they should have a solid rotation. I think this team may surprise some doubters and put together a nice year, but it really depends on the health and performance of the SP's (no shit). I like the starters, and I like the guys slotted to step in in case of injury or ineffectiveness (Franklin Morales, Alfredo Aceves?, Rubby De La Rosa, Allen Webster).

My view of the bullpen:

CL - Hanrahan
SU - Bailey
SU - Uehara
LOOGY - Andrew Miller
MR - Tazawa **I agree with his compliments on Tazawa, and expect him to pitch his way into higher leverage innings later in the year as a "bullpen ace" type.
MR - Bard? **Can see him starting the season in the minors for roster implications (Saving Aceves/Mortensen on the roster). Also am not high on him bouncing back after an atrocious 2012. In 2010, his Avg. fastball was 97.8 MPH and OBA against it was .202 (2011 was also similar). In 2012, he dropped to 93 (.313 OBA against), and although a majority of that drop was due to the switch to starter, it appears as though he is still yet to regain that elite velocity. I don't have the stats but have seen him hitting 93-95 in Spring training, which is hopefully just a slow start but it still seems very worrisome for his future. (Also seems like a headcase which is the last thing you want in a pitcher who loses velocity)

Franklin Morales: Not mentioned in this summary but I think a very high-upside guy who can be a sport-starter and a good lefty out of the pen. He is currently injured with a bulging disk, however, and should miss some time to start the year.

Craig Breslow: Also hurt.

Carpenter - Has looked pretty good in Spring training but is not on the 40-man and should be stashed at AAA until needed later.

Aceves - Looks like they may be trying to trade him due to roster spot implications. Probably makes sense

Mortenson: May be the odd man out of the roster squeeze, but if not appears serviceable.

Lineup:

C - Saltalamacchia (Ross backup, especially against LHP)
1b - Napoli
2b - Pedroia
3b - Middlebrooks
SS - Jose Iglesias (Drew on DL likely)
RF - Victorino
CF - Ellsbury
LF - Jackie Bradley Jr.? Mike Carp, Daniel Nava, Jonny Gomes?
DH - Jonny Gomes

Bench:
Ross (C)
Carp (OF, 1b)
Ciriaco (2b, 3b, SS)
Nava (OF)

Possible:
Ryan Lavarnway (C, DH?)
Mauro Gomez (1b, DH)
Ryan Sweeney (OF)

The big story of the camp has been Jackie Bradley Jr.'s insanely hot Spring. He came to camp as a prospect with virtually 0 shot at making the big league club but has been amazing, and with the injury to Ortiz he may have a spot in LF (with Gomes moving to DH while Ortiz is out). There are a few issues with that, however. The first is he is still just 22 and has had no experience above AA yet. He likely needs more seasoning at AAA, and rushing him may not be wise. The next, and most important, is his service time. The Red Sox need him to stay in the minors for at least 9 more days (I think that's the number) to maintain control of him in 2019 (if he does not he will be a FA in the Winter of 2018). Because of these issues, I expect to see him begin the year in AAA, and if his torrid hitting continues there get the call-up in a few weeks (like Trout last year) if Ortiz is still down. If Ortiz returns, LF is likely to be manned by a platoon of Gomes and Nava/Sweeney (with Bradley staying in AAA for more seasoning and likely called up later in the year). A wildcard in this situation is the current sell-out streak that ownership seems to really want to keep alive. They have already cut concession prices and have ticket deals in place to try to ensure it lasts past the first few months in the year, so I wouldn't put it past them to call up the young marketable CF of the future a little early to push ticket sales as well.

Another issue to watch on this club is the lack of a backup at 3b. Middlebrooks certainly showed promise last year, but also ended the year injured and if he goes down again there is virtually no viable backup for 3b. Pedro Ciriaco would presumably be the guy at this point, and except for a few hot games against the Yankees he is the definition of replacement level at best.

Trades/Surprises:
This is a team with a good deal of financial flexibility, and also one with a number of short-term contracts that can be shed at the deadline. Ultimately I would layoff the preseason over-unders on the team because too much is up in the air in this regards. If the team struggles early and is out of contention near the deadline, I would look for guys like Ellsbury, Hanrahan, Napoli, and Drew to be shopped and moved (especially Drew and Hanrahan, who almost seem as though they were acquired for this purpose). On the other hand, if the club is overachieving and look to be contenders I would not be surprised to see some solid moves at the deadline to boost their chances.

 

[camy]

Thanks for turning up the power on the microscope a bit. Agree with all except Ciriaco. I think if not for the fact that Pedroia was so solid that he would be an effective everyday second baseman. Granted he has no power but how often do the Red Sox have someone that can run like he does? These roadrunner types create so much turmoil with the opposing pitcher that I think it is worth giving up a few homers every year to have them in there. Will be watching a lot of Red Sox games this year. Really can't wait although if a repeat of last year happens I think the bullpen will be bombarded with a lot of chicken and beer.

 

[redsox3g2]

Thanks for turning up the power on the microscope a bit. Agree with all except Ciriaco. I think if not for the fact that Pedroia was so solid that he would be an effective everyday second baseman. Granted he has no power but how often do the Red Sox have someone that can run like he does? These roadrunner types create so much turmoil with the opposing pitcher that I think it is worth giving up a few homers every year to have them in there. Will be watching a lot of Red Sox games this year. Really can't wait although if a repeat of last year happens I think the bullpen will be bombarded with a lot of chicken and beer.

I certainly hope you are right on him, and don't get me wrong I enjoy him as a bench player, but I certainly would not want to see him manning 3b every day for any sort of extended period as he is currently slated to do if Middlebrooks goes down. He was no power and can't walk to save his life. I'd expect a .265/.295/.350 (.645 OPS) type of slash from him and his running (very good) and defense (which I'm not sold on as really being plus anyways) don't make up for that at a position like 3b. I just view it as a potential weakness, but here is to hoping Middlebrooks is a bit tougher than a Lowrie type and Ciriaco remains a strong utility infielder and pinch runner.

 

[FairWarning]

Chicago Cubs O/U 72.5 -110

Your 2013 Cubs:

LF Soriano
CF DeJesus
RF Nate Scherholtz (batting 5th no less!!!)
3b Luis Valbuena/Ian Stewart
SS Castro
2B Barney
1B Rizzo
C Wellington Castillo

SP Samardiza
SP Garza (DL)
SP Edwin Jackson
SP Scott Feldman
SP Travis Wood

Closer Marmol

Cubs clearly in rebuild mode here. Like last year, the roster will look different at the end of this season. Best case for them is for Garza to come back in May, pitch well, and they trade him. Same thing for Marmol as they signed the best japanese league closer in Fujukawa. Major holes at 3B, C, RF in the lineup will ensure the Cubs to be one of the lowest scoring teams. Brett Jackson is working on cutting down his K's and could help at the end of the season. If he is ready, the Cubs could trade Soriano, further hurting the offense this year. The Cubs best prospects (Baez and Soler) will not be up before 2014. Theo is big on minor leaguers getting 1000-1500 ABs.

Without Houston in the division this year, the Cubs will be lucky to see 70 wins.

From Joe Sheehan's newsletter Thursday:

Chicago Cubs (75-87, fourth in NL Central, 643 RS, 716 RA). I'd been touting the Cubs as better than expected, and I was wrong about that. The upgrades over the second-half starting rotation will get them back to where they should have been a year ago -- it wasn't really a 100-loss team until Ryan Dempster and Paul Maholm were traded and replaced by fan-contest winners for two months. This year's team is a mix of core pieces -- Starlin Castro and Anthony Rizzo -- and transitional parts like Nate Schierholtz and David DeJesus. There's a chance that the Cubs have the worst bullpen in baseball, which would torpedo whatever gains they make in the rotation and lineup. They need Matt Garza to make ten good starts so he can bring back maximum value in trade.