The "REAL" Fade Brandon Lang Thread

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Good luck gentlemen


The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Florida Gators.

The Line:
The current line is -6 1/2 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 8:30 AM EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
WTG Lang now that's missing a 200 dimer.



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Forgot to look at the Lang, Al Rolli, Budin, and Chris Jordan brackets before the tournament.

I am assuming he has Duke vs Florida in the championship?
 

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Wow. Florida was fortunate to win. Clutch shots but front end of 1 and 1s missed. . Congrats faders. Absolutely delicious. Tech played great defense...nothing or nobody to blame lang!
 

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Lang in a absolute anguish over another losing month
 

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Any chance this chode smoker doesn't take sparty and the 5 tomorrow despite getting ram rodded?
 

Save A Tree, Eat A Beaver
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LOSER LANG 2025 BANKROLL
NEGATIVE 538 DIMES

LANG $10 BETTOR DOWN $5,380
(PLUS $1,995 Yearly Fee For Picks = -$7,375)

PAID PICKS: 45-43-1 / 51.1%

-Lang by Month 2024-
JAN: 14-17 -399 DIMES
FEB: 16-12-1 +274.5 DIMES
MAR: 14-17 -745 DIMES
APR: 12-17 -74.75 DIMES
MAY: 14-17 -450 DIMES
JUN: 12-15 -676 DIMES
JUL: 10-17 -936.75 DIMES
AUG: 17-13-1 +269.75 DIMES
SEP: 17-13 -60 DIMES
OCT: 17-13-1 -58.5 DIMES
NOV: 15-15 -623.5 DIMES
DEC: 14-16 -877 DIMES
-Lang by Month 2025-
JAN: 17-14 +55.5 DIMES
FEB: 15-13-1 -191 DIMES
MAR: 13-16 -402.5 DIMES

-Lang by Week-
WEEK 00: 12/31 to 1/6, (4W-3L) +228 DIMES (4W-2L +393 Dimes from 1/1 to 1/6)
WEEK 01: 1/7 to 1/13, (3W-4L) -375 DIMES
WEEK 02: 1/14 to 1/20, (2W-5L) -485 DIMES
WEEK 03: 1/21 to 1/27, (5W-2L) +407.5 DIMES
WEEK 04: 1/28 to 2/3, (6W-1L) +390 DIMES
WEEK 05: 2/4 to 2/10, (4W-4L) +70 DIMES
WEEK 06: 2/11 to 2/17, (4W-3L) -97.5 DIMES
WEEK 07: 2/18 to 2/24, (2W-4L-1P) -313.5 DIMES
WEEK 08: 2/25 to 3/3, (3W-4L) -270 DIMES
WEEK 09: 3/4 to 3/10, (4W-3L) -30 DIMES
WEEK 10: 3/11 to 3/17, (3W-4L) +72.5 DIMES
WEEK 11: 3/18 to 3/24, (3W-4L) -162.5 DIMES
WEEK 12: 3/25 to 3/31, (2W-3L) -137.5 DIMES
 

Save A Tree, Eat A Beaver
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LOSER LANG TRACKER (IN-SEASON SPORTS)

NBA REGULAR SEASON (2024-'25)

3-5, -36 Dimes

DIME RATINGS

100 DIME:2-0
60 DIME: 0-1
50 DIME: 1-4


COLLEGE HOOPS REGULAR SEASON (2024-'25)

36-33-1, -323 Dimes

DIME RATINGS

200 DIME: 1-0
150 DIME: 2-5
100 DIME: 4-10
75 DIME: 23-12
60 DIME: 3-3-1
50 DIME: 3-3


COLLEGE HOOPS TOURNAMENT ACTION (2024-'25)

5-6, -245 Dimes

DIME RATINGS

200 DIME: 1-1
150 DIME: 0-1
100 DIME: 2-2
75 DIME: 1-2
50 DIME: 1-0
 

Save A Tree, Eat A Beaver
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LOSER LANG 12+ YEAR RECORD TRACKER
1/01/2013 up to NOW!!!


NEGATIVE 15,667.5 DIMES

LANG $10 BETTOR DOWN $156,675
(PLUS $1,995 Yearly Fee For Picks x13 = -$182,610)


-Lang Past 12+ Years-
2025: NEGATIVE 538 DIMES (01/01/25 to 03/29/25)
2024: NEGATIVE 4,358.75 DIMES
2023: NEGATIVE 1,901.25 DIMES
2022: NEGATIVE 1,586.5 DIMES
2021: NEGATIVE 1,524.5 DIMES
2020: POSITIVE* 402.5 DIMES (*NOT A FULL YEAR DUE TO COVID)
2019: NEGATIVE 761.75 DIMES
2018: NEGATIVE 738 DIMES
2017: NEGATIVE 499.5 DIMES
2016: NEGATIVE 2,941.5 DIMES
2015: NEGATIVE 181 DIMES
2014: NEGATIVE 113.75 DIMES
2013: NEGATIVE 929 DIMES

9/01/2007 to 4/16/2010: NEGATIVE** 3,245.7 DIMES (**AS DOCUMENTED BY AL DEMARCO) (NOT INCLUDED IN ABOVE RECORD)
 

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VUS4AOY.png


I will rebound big today....END OF STORY.
Absolutely disgusted watching that pathetic effort by Florida last night.
They deserved to lose. They played like an entitled team that played 37 minutes of basketball like they were at the local YMCA and it was a pick up game.
But wait, the team I handicapped with my 6th straight 200 dime tourney winner finally decided to show up and play in the last 3 minutes of the game.
An 18-4 run to close for the 5-point win.
What a joke. Had they played with that same defensive intensity for 40 minutes like they did the last 3, it would be a different conversation but unfortunately they didn't.
I give Texas Tech credit. As tired as they had to be from Thursday's OT game against Arkansas, they played harder and they played as if they wanted it more.
And quite frankly, they deserved to win that game and I wished they had.
I mean, let's be honest, if the favorite isn't going to cover, let's have those mother Fu@$%$#kers lose the game outright.
To have a run over the last 3 years of 5 in a row, all 5 by double digits and to watch it come to an end like that, tough pill to swallow.
Let's move on to today.
Time to close this tourney with another Sunday winner.
Last Sunday I handed you a 100 dime winner on Kentucky (+2) outright over Illinois. Today I will hand you a 150 dime winner on Tennessee/Houston.
I didn't lose last Sunday. I won't lose today. Simple as that.
Let's go.
 

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I didn't lose last Sunday. I won't lose today. Simple as that.

Who would read that and be like, sounds good to me, here, take my money.
Lang is such a simpleton, it's ridiculous.

Clown capper! 🤡
What I got from his excuse, rationalization, "logic," and emotions in his rant today is essentially nothing new in that he suffers

from severe psychosis and delusions of grandeur and assesses 100% of the blame on he team he picked because they didn't cover!!

Lang doesn't and never has accepted the notion that real human beings are the folks who play the games and not simply

robotic entities who need to and are expected to carry out his wishes based on what he wants them to do!!

Suffice it to say that if modus operandi worked over time, he would be ranked near he top of the handicapping world rather

than sitting near the bottom and regarded as a laughingstock and fade!
 

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Last week I pointed out Lang’s flawed logic, betting against oversold Auburn despite money metrics and statistical regression to the mean heavily favoring Auburn to cover. He lost.

He did the same exact thing last night, betting on overbought Florida, and despite the books taking in disproportionate $ on Florida to cover but the line holding. He lost.

His pick today though fades the public $ and public perception. Tennessee has more bets and $ on both the moneyline and spread. Houston was widely picked against, it was trendy to have the Zags beating them in the rd of 32.

It is interesting to note the considerably low total, somewhere between 123-125. I think everyone knows this will be a low scoring affair, but the extremely low total implies either a legitimate one possession game, or a 10+ pt blowout. If it’s in that 4-9 point range, last minute 2h fouling is capable of adding 10-15 points to a total (Florida - UConn had 18 pts to go over by 1), which would have an enormous impact on this game considering how low the total is. And yet it is, and remains low, even with just 10% of the bets and $ on the under per action network.

I don’t personally see either of these teams blowing out the other, Vegas moved the line from 3.5 to 2.5, suggesting they don’t either. This pushes things toward the “legitimate one possession game” theory.

2.5 or 3 or 3.5 may not seem like a lot, but trust the fade and grab the points here with confidence!!!
 

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Write-up action…gl gentlemen:


My Analysis

The better team advances this afternoon.

That team will be the Houston Cougars.

Now Tennessee has had a pretty easy time getting to the round of 8 with wins over Wofford by 15, UCLA by 9 and Kentucky by 13.

Conversely, the Cougars were rolling pretty well with wins over SIUE by 38, Gonzaga by 5 and Purude by 2.

The Gonzaga game was more of a blowout than the 5-point final would lead you to believe and the game against the Boilermakers never should have been close.

With 7:59 to go in the game Houston led 56-46.

Over the next 4:24 seconds the Cougars missed their next 6 shots, turned it over once and the result was an 8-1 Purdue run to get it to 57-55.

L.J Cryer finally hit a 3 to push it to 60-55 and you know the rest.

Now what I took away from that sequence was not the fact Houston went cold offensively but that they held Purdue to just 8-points in that run.

Now you know why since December 7th of last year, they are 29-1 SU with the only loss, an 82-81 OT loss at home to Texas Tech.

More importantly, 27 of their 29 wins have been by 4-points or more, so you can pretty much bank on the fact that if they win today, they will cover.

As for Tennessee, they have had some bad losses this year.

Lost by 30 at Florida scoring a total of 43 points. Lost at Vandy by 1. Scored only 51 at Auburn in a 2-point loss. A 2-point loss at Ole Miss.

At the end of the day Houston is just the better TEAM.

They will hurt the Vols on the offensive glass. They will defend the Vols like no team they have seen this entire year.

Lastly, Cougars leading scorer guard LJ Cryer was solid with 15 points in round 1, erupted for 30 points against the Zags in round 2.

He was awful against Purdue going 2 of 13 from the floor, 1-5 from deep for 5 points.

Earlier this year he had 2 horrible games.

He scored 2 points at Toledo only to bounce back with 17 points his next game.

He scored 5 at Texas Tech only to bounce back with 20 points at Cincinnati.

Bottom line: I just don't see this kid having another game like he did on Thursday against the Boilermakers.

History has a habit of repeating itself in this tourney and let history show the last time four #1 seeds advanced to the round of 4 was 2008.

Where at.....the same spot this year's round of 4 is at...San Antonio Texas.

One last perspective to think about: The 2nd best team in the Big 12 conference just stood toe to toe with the #1 team in the SEC and should have beaten them.

Well, the best team in the Big 12 gets the 3rd.best team in the SEC today. Advantage Big 12.

At the end of the day the team that wins this game will be the team that covers and that team is the Houston Cougars.

Ride Kelvin Sampson's boys today
 

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Of course he's updated his record on the site already. Bragging about promises made and delivered . Beyond pathetic
 

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