Let's air it out regarding system plays. I can't tell you how many system plays I've seen that have gone 22-1 (or something like that) only to fall flat on its face. I believe there was one in the MLB forum regarding how if Atlanta wins 3 in a row to take the over. After that was posted I think they went 3-3 to the over.
Most system plays are simple coincidences or contrived events that have little or no meaning such as "take XXX team versus a division opponent after having lost to a non-conference opponent on Sunday during the month of October" and often go back several years so that they are no longer relevant due to the turnover of players or coaches.
I am linking to a system play posted here last year and would like your input. The reason I like this system play is because there seems to be sound reasoning behind why it works. Here is the link to the thread. The reason I didn't bump the thread is because the title refers to a system play taking place this week, which isn't the case anymore.
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=410405
The system states to take a home favorite between -6 1/2 to -15 the week before a bye. When I look at a bet I like to ask 2 questions: does the team have the talent to cover the spread and does the team have the motivation. I believe these teams have both for this reason. A home team favored by that much has the talent to cover. The reason they will want to do well is because if they don't do well they will have to listen to their coach bitch at them for the next 2 weeks straight.
Any input?
Most system plays are simple coincidences or contrived events that have little or no meaning such as "take XXX team versus a division opponent after having lost to a non-conference opponent on Sunday during the month of October" and often go back several years so that they are no longer relevant due to the turnover of players or coaches.
I am linking to a system play posted here last year and would like your input. The reason I like this system play is because there seems to be sound reasoning behind why it works. Here is the link to the thread. The reason I didn't bump the thread is because the title refers to a system play taking place this week, which isn't the case anymore.
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=410405
The system states to take a home favorite between -6 1/2 to -15 the week before a bye. When I look at a bet I like to ask 2 questions: does the team have the talent to cover the spread and does the team have the motivation. I believe these teams have both for this reason. A home team favored by that much has the talent to cover. The reason they will want to do well is because if they don't do well they will have to listen to their coach bitch at them for the next 2 weeks straight.
Any input?