shouldnt start a debate in this thread. come into my thread if u want to argue. if public made money off the house do you honestly
believe they will continue with sportsbetting to give away money?
mullens is not a bad qb. his throws were suspicious. philly never earned the win sfran gave that away. also if the niners got the 2pt convert
books would have lost money with the over instead they make money on philly and on the under.
these isolated games attract alot of money. general capping goes out the window when there is one game on the sched and vegas
comes away with a profit most of the time on these games
Thanks for the input. Technically this is a play at -6.5. However, when the line is at -6 in this situation (week before a bye) the system has gone 5-3 since 2000. I'm going to stick to the original and not try to fine-tune anything.
This will not be an official play unless the line gets back to 6.5.
| Oct 11, 2020 | view | Sunday | 5 | 2020 | Patriots | Broncos | home | -10.0 | |||||||||||||||
| Oct 11, 2020 | view | Sunday | 5 | 2020 | Seahawks | Vikings | home | -7.0 | 58.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Oct 12, 2020 | view | Monday | 5 | 2020 | Saints | Chargers | home | -7.5 | 52.0 | ||||||||||||||
| Oct 18, 2020 | view | Sunday | 6 | 2020 | Colts | Bengals | home | -9.5 | |||||||||||||||
| Oct 25, 2020 | view | Sunday | 7 | 2020 | Ravens | Steelers | home | -8.0 | |||||||||||||||
| Nov 08, 2020 | view | Sunday | 9 | 2020 | Chiefs | Panthers | home | -16.0 | |||||||||||||||
| Nov 19, 2020 | view | Thursday | 11 | 2020 | Seahawks | Cardinals | home | -7.0 | |||||||||||||||
| Dec 03, 2020 | view | Thursday | 13 | 2020 | Ravens | Cowboys | home | -6.5 |
Be sure to check the lines closer to game day
What is the line cut off?
As we saw with the game tonight, injuries and other factors can bring a line under 6 1/2 which is the cutoff so I wait until game day to make the bet. It's my opinion that if a line starts close like tonight and Seattle and New Orleans that it would take a major injury for the -7 or -7 1/2 not to cover. I felt the move to -5 wasn't really justified of a line move just for Davante Adams. We saw how Green Bay did just fine without him.
It wasn’t a debate. How does anyone not having access to the figures really know the books are getting killed and giving away money? If it is because they tell a reporter or someone with followers that, it doesn’t make it the truth. They have no obligation to share their day to day wins/losses. It is in their interest to report they lose often. If they said they were winning every week, that would not be good marketing. I treat the weekly reports in news/Twitter to be as reliable as pre game betting %/$ charts or the betting amounts guys like Russ and shot doc post.
Plenty of other ways to make money fixing something in a football or any kind of game that would be less noticeable.
Again, just my thoughts. Best of luck to you and everyone else with your plays this season.
"n:rest" means the number of days rest before the next game. So "n:rest > 9" would mean that the team's next game will be after 9 days rest and is usually used to designate the game before a bye week.
Another designation of this trend language is "p:" and stands for the previous game. So "p:line > 6" would mean the previous game's line was more than 6.
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