Super Bowl Plays

[AcesandFaces]

if game stays under 3...bet rams...if it goes over 3..bet ne

Bingo. Also, IF the line stays at -2.5 or -2 (I.E. never gets to 3 or beyond), we could see a Pats 1 point win. This game will not land on a number where the books get “sided” with a push/loss.

 

[wizard1183]

Bingo. Also, IF the line stays at -2.5 or under (I.E. never gets to 3 or beyond), we could see a Pats 1 or 2 point win. This game will not land on a number where the books get “sided” with a push/loss.

I don’t see it going past 3

 

[AcesandFaces]

I don’t see it going past 3

Nor do I Sir.

 

[star11redsox1]

So let me get this straight? WWE doesnt have a narrative to build on? The NFL is ONE entity. There are NO teams. ONE team. They all play the same game. Contracts are drawn up. Anyone can get a copy of that contract? Im willing to bet those contracts have clauses in them. They can say something about it? However I really think they aren't allowed to state how fixes are done ect. Listen to Drew Brees talk. "It's a business." youre watching one large soap opera. Plain and simple. Money tied to it? You better believe it's picked apart. orchestrated.

Brady under center with 48 seconds left in the 4th. orchestrates drive after drive when beforehand? they were playing man coverage. Now? CBs are playing off 10ft apart. Its a wonder receivers can catch a ball right? Timeouts called when in reality? youre giving the opponent time. Why? Oh coach saw something he didn't like. Or was he told to call something else? Half time: 15 minutes, the coach is grilling their ass and giving em an inspiring talk to fire em up! lol OR theyre orchestrating the greatest comeback of all time? Im betting on the latter....

uhmm okay man that's cool. good luck to you

 

[star11redsox1]

why are you even betting on games if you think they are rigged?

I strongly disagree that sharps almost always play late. Many I know take a position early in the week with knowledge of a pending line move and take advantage of the value. Why wait until a total drops 3 pts before betting if they know it's about to move?

Then you have the arbitrage sharp players who always play the second or day a line comes out and then seek a middle no-risk opp. So those guys jumped on Pats +1 or PK yest and will seek a 3 pt middle for this game.

Of course you have the sharp players who will bet 120 seconds before kickoff. I'm not saying that doesn't happen. Because it definitely does. But I know many successful pros who get down early in the week and ride the line move value.

I agree with middling theory I played the pick and waiting for 3 I dont agree with the xfiles rigging

 

[3pointdog]

I don’t see it going past 3

no way it gets to -3.5. I would be shocked....!

 

[wizard1183]

It may not even get to -3... well see come game day where it stands. I think we all agree Rams are staying the dog in the fight. Tables are turned alas 2001...

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

no way it gets to -3.5. I would be shocked....!

i have two locals on East Coast offering +3.5. Phenomenal middling opp across the country if you have multiple outs

 

[wizard1183]

3.5 at what? -170?

 

[wizard1183]

Wow impressive

 

[star11redsox1]

i have two locals on East Coast offering +3.5. Phenomenal middling opp across the country if you have multiple outs

theres the middle

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Wow impressive

i took Pats ML -125 last night before midnight and will take +3.5 and +4 -120 there now and let it ride for a middle.

 

[wizard1183]

There won’t be a middle. That 20-17 first time score is out the pic.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Okay guess you know it all.

The point of arbitrage is to remove risk while having the chance to win 2x

 

[wizard1183]

I agree with you 100%. It’s definitely a great value play. Good luck with it.

 

[XENO]

Let me clear up what I meant - there are the majority of sharps who play late but there are some key ones that like a team say pats n bet very early , but these are the minority , most play late these days

 

[XENO]

Also whethe you knew this or not - Vegas puts out a line very quickly to allow only certain VIP players to allow them to bet , so as to see if they need to adjust the line - sometimes but rarely they posit an off line n then move it accordingly. Pats opened at -1 but it could have been rams - something or another but public can’t play it only those certain. VIP - however today things n computers are so fast - it amazes me how they set a line - especially on a one game super bowl.the SB had like 100 billion played on It ,with all books estimated or something like that . Any info appreciated

 

[XENO]

I’m moving pats to -3 +120 my guess I’ll need rams pretty large but very early at this pt

 

[wizard1183]

-3 +120? What’s your -110? -6.5?

 

[PatsFanatic]

He must have meant -3 -120