Sunday 12/14/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (5th) Arc Above, 4-1
(8th) Saint Joseph, 3-1

Fair Grounds (5th) Seneca Destiny, 4-1
(9th) Arctic Comet, 9-2

Golden Gate Fields (5th) Argento's Frost, 6-1
(6th) Reigning Rubies, 4-1

Gulfstream Park (3rd) Awesome Union, 9-2
(5th) Enthrone, 4-1


Los Alamitos (2nd) Manila Customer, 4-1
(6th) Guy Code, 6-1


Parx Racing (4th) Bay State Justice, 5-1
(6th) Perfectly True, 7-2


Remington Park (3rd) B's Honey, 3-1
(5th) Blazing Vision, 4-1


Turfway Park (1st) The Devil We Know, 7-2
(2nd) Cody Peak, 5-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Sunday 12/14 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 373 - 1416 / $2,495.40 BEST BETS: 31 - 116 / $141.00

Best Bet: COLONIAL ROAD (10th)

Spot Play: DW’S NY YANK (1st)


Race 1

(8) DWS NY YANK Quite sharp for win honors last time out. Trotter is very capable of taking his second straight score. (11) NEW YORK MUSCLE is better than his latest. (3) SEVRUGA has wheeled off two scores in a row.

Race 2

Will give (4) MUGSHOT JESS a chance for glory. Good enough to mow these down at his best. (11) JUSTA REBEL put in a mild rally last time around. (2) KEENAN was second best last out.

Race 3

(3) BENTLEY KARAN Trotting gelding is clearly knocking at the door based on his last two trips to the post. (7) NOT AFRAID tired in the stretch drive last out but could contend in here. (1) HOORAYFORVACATION should do much better from the fence.

Race 4

(7) SEAGRAM Gelding has fine speed and with the right trip, he could make today a winning one. (10) BINGO QUEEN rallied strongly last out for win honors. (1) CELEBRITY BLUECHIP gets post relief; watch out.

Race 5

If (3) DREAM ROCKER could receive an excellent trip, it could be game over for the rest. (1) ANGELS RANSOM Very sharp trotter will be a serious threat against these. (5) BOURBON BAY Upstate invader is not out of this.

Race 6

(5) JERSEY BOY Broke at odds-on last out but this trotter has done well previously and could put it all together today. (7) CLIENT NINE was sent down the road last time around for the victory. (2) BRENWAY DIXIE could have a say in the outcome.

Race 7

(5) IBANEZ has scored in his last three. Trotting gelding is in good form so the another is not out of the question. (3) NOBLE WARRAWEE is 0 for 22 but is knocking at the door based on his last two. (6) SPLITSVILLE put in a good qualifier at Monticello last week.

Race 8

(1) ANDREW LUCK Jersey shipper gets post relief and that should help his cause of making tonight a winning one. (2) TWIN B TENACIOUS held the placing last out at Philly. (7) IDEAL CARVER Consistant pacer has hit the board in his last five tries.

Race 9

(1) SHOW ME UP moves back to the fence where this gelding has done his best running. (3) ROCK ICON raced evenly last time out. (2) ROADWAY rallied strongly to grab win honors in his most recent trip to the post.

Race 10

(1) COLONIAL ROAD did not race badly last time around. Pacer gets post relief and with the right trip, he can nail down the top prize. (4) ROCKS N BONDS should fare quite well from the four slot. (5) SIR RICHARD Z TAM fits well in here; don't overlook.

Race 11

(6) MYSTICAL WALTER leaves the 8-hole and if he could return to his 11-28 trip, the rest would have to settle for second money. (2) DULL ROAR Easy victory last time out at Philly. (1) ADDWATER moves to the rail slot off a sharp 3rd place finish recently.

Race 12

(7) FASTLANELUKE Gelding might put it all together based on his game effort last week. (1) ALL FIRED UP should do much better from the fence. (5) ONE THROUGH TEN could have a say with this group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Football: Streaks, Tips, Notes

San Francisco at Seattle December 14, 04:25 EST

Reeling San Francisco Niners off back-2-back losses against Seattle and most recently lowly Raiders look to get back into the win column when they visit Seahawks. Good luck with that. That nasty Seattle defense is back. The Seahawks have allowed a puny 6.7 points/game the past three. Oddsmakers are giving Niners little chance handing them 10 points of offense. Seahawks have thrived at CenturyLink Field under Pete Carroll posting an impressive 29-9 SU record with a profitable 27-11 mark against the betting line including 16-7 ATS as a home favorite. However, division games are always tough, handing a division opponent double-digits is dangerous. You do bet Seahawks at some risk, as they're just 4-5 ATS at home laying double digits under Carroll. One final betting nugget, Niners are on a 14-6 ATS stretch revenging a loss including 9-1 ATS on the road.


Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns December 14, 01:00 EST

Two AFC North rivals looking to recover from devastating losses square of at FirstEnergy Stadium. The Browns giving up a 21-7 third-quarter lead lost 25-24 to the Colts this past week. Meanwhile, Bengals had a 21-17 advantage Sunday only to see it's defense implode allowing Steelers 25 unanswered points in a 42-21 loss. Cleveland having their fill with Hoyer throwing just one touchdown to eight interceptions in the last five games will have 'Johnny Football' taking snaps this week. Hoyer, Manziel leading the charges wouldn't count on Browns' getting past Bengals. The change by Cleveland from Hoyer to Manziel sparked heavy action on Browns moving the squad from +2 point underdog to -1 point favorite. However, the line has since settle at PK'm. Small dog, small fave doesn't matter, from this vantage point stick with Bengals who are 8-2 ATS off a loss, 4-2 ATS off a division loss, 7-2 ATS in December.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Week 15

Raiders (2-11) @ Chiefs (7-6)—Since 2007, Chiefs are 1-10 as a divisional home favorite. KC lost last three games overall, scoring 16.7 ppg; they’re 14-56 (25%) on 3rd down over last five games. Raiders are 3-2-1 as road underdogs, with one loss by more than 10 points. Chiefs are 3-1 as home favorites, winning at home by 27-27-14-4 points, with losses to Titans/Broncos. Oakland won two of last three games, losing 52-0 in between two wins, first of which was 24-20 (+7) home win over Chiefs three weeks ago, when Raiders ran for 179 yards, converted 8-16 on 3rd down on Thursday night home game that was similar scenario to this week’s Card-Ram game. Raiders won six of last nine against Chiefs, winning six of last seven visits here; they’re Seven of last nine Chief games stayed under the total.

Jaguars (2-11) @ Ravens (8-5)—Since ’03, Baltimore is 29-14-1 as non-divisional home favorite, 3-1 this year. Ravens won three of last four games, running for 168.5 ypg in wins by 14-7-15 points, with 34-33 loss to Chargers when they lost in last minute. Jax lost five of last six games, scoring two defensive TDs in only win (trailed 21-3 at half); they’re 1-4-1 as road underdogs, losing true road games by 17-31-19-2-10-20 points, with last two losses their only two games on carpet this year (0-1-1 vs spread, 4-7-1 last 12). Home side won last five series games, with Baltimore winning seven of last nine after losing eight in row to Jags. Jax averaged under 4.5 ypa in each of last three games. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 5-6 vs spread; AFC North home favorites are 6-6. Six of last nine Jaguar games stayed under the total.

Steelers (8-5) @ Falcons (5-8)—AFC North teams (11-2-1) have treated NFC South like a piñata this year, but Steelers have both losses and at home/ Pitt would be in playoffs if they started now after gaining 543 yards in 42-21 win at Cincy last week; Steelers are 4-2 on road, 1-2 on carpet- they’re 29-54 on third down in last four games. Short week for Falcons after they fought back from 31-7 halftime deficit to lose/cover 43-37 at Lambeau Monday night; health of star WR Jones (hip) obviously a big Atlanta concern. Falcons covered five of last six games, but are 1-8 SU in non-divisional games. Last five series games were decided by 4 or less points in OT, with last three going OT; Steelers won six of eight visits here, are 12-2-1 overall in last 15 series games. Six of last seven Steeler games, last three Atlanta games went over total.

Texans (7-6) @ Colts (9-4)—Indy can clinch division here; wary of teams off sloppy (3+ turnovers) wins, which is what Colts did in Cleveland last week, turning ball over four times but scoring in last 2:00 of each half, including game-winning TD with 0:32 left. Colts turned ball over 10 times (-5) in last three games, two of which were at home; they’re 21-4 in this series, 12-0 here, with three of last four home wins vs Texans by 12+ points. Houston is 3-1 since its bye; they’ve won last three road games, are 2-1 as road dogs (were favored in 4 of first 7 on road), 0-2 on carpet, losing by 13 at Giants, 3 in OT at Dallas. Indy (-2.5) won first meeting 33-28 in Houston, running 30 more plays (82-52) than Texans. Favorites are 7-0 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this year, 3-0 at home. Three of last four Houston games stayed under total.

Bengals (8-4-1) @ Browns (7-6)—Manziel gets first NFL start here for Browns squad that lost three of last four games, scoring five TDs on last 50 drives; they lost at home last week, even with defense scoring two TDs. Cleveland won three of last four series games, winning 24-3 (+6) at Cincy in Week 10 Thursday game; Browns ran for 170 yards, had 368-165 edge in yardage over Jekyll/Hyde Bengal squad that gave up 543 yards in home loss to Steelers last week, after winning previous three games, all on road, giving up 71.3 rushing ypg. Last time Browns swept Cincinnati was 2002; they’re 4-3 at home, but lost last two, to Texans/Colts. Underdogs covered six of eight AFC North games this year. Eight of last nine Cleveland games, four of last five Bengal games stayed under the total.

Dolphins (7-6) @ Patriots (10-3)—Miami offense is fading, scoring 16-13 points in last two games, running for just 63 yards vs Ngata-less Ravens last week. Dolphins are 3-2-1 as underdogs this year, 2-2 on road; they’re 2-4 as divisional road dogs under Philbin. NE is home after splitting pair of grass games at GB/SD, practicing all week in SoCal last week; Patriots covered four of last five home games, scoring 42.7 ppg in last three home tilts. Pats lost 33-20 (-4) to Miami in season opener, second straight loss to Dolphins after seven wins; Fish lost last five visits here, with four of five by 10+ points. Since 2005, NE is just 9-12 vs spread as divisional home favorites, 0-1 this year. Home teams are 5-3 vs spread in AFC East divisional games this season. Seven of last eight Dolphin games, last three New England games stayed under the total.

Buccaneers (2-11) @ Panthers (4-8-1)—Cam Newton was involved in a car wreck Tuesday afternoon; as I type this, not sure if he is injured or not. Carolina is 4-8-1 but only half-game out of first in hideous NFC South, where road teams are 7-2 vs spread in divisional games. Carolina won season opener 20-14 (+2.5) behind backup QB Anderson; Panthers were +3 in turnovers as they beat Bucs for third straight time, by 18-21-6 points. Tampa lost four of last six games in Charlotte; they’ve lost seven of last eight games overall, but are 4-2 as road underdogs with a win at Pittsburgh. Carolina had 271 rushing yards in easy win in Superdome last week; they’ve lost last three home games, scoring 12 ppg. Six of last seven Bucs’ games stayed under total; three of last four Panther games went over. This series has resulted in season sweeps last five years.

Redskins (3-10) @ Giants (4-9)—Washington QB McCoy (neck) is a ??; RGIII is back in lineup if he can’t go, as dysfunctional Redskins look to avenge 45-14 (-3) thrashing they took at home from Giants in Week 4, when Cousins-led Skins turned ball over six times (-5). Big Blue won 10 of last 13 series games but lost seven of last eight games overall; they’ve led last three games by 11+ points at half, but lost two of them. Washington lost last five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 10 of last 40 on third down and look generally disinterested, allowing fake PAT and a punt return TD last week vs Rams. Giants are favored for only third time (1-1) this season; they’re 2-4 SU at home, beating Texans by 13, Falcons by 10. NFC East home favorites are 1-4 in divisional games. Five of last seven Redskin games stayed under; five of last seven Giant games went over.

Packers (10-3) @ Bills (7-6)—Short week for Packer defense that looked exhausted in second half Monday night, giving up 30 second half points after leading 31-7 at half. Green Bay won its last five games (3-2 vs spread) but is just 3-3 SU on road, (1-1-1 as road favorite) with two of three wins by FG (won 38-17 at Bears)- they lost three of four games on carpet this season. Bills covered last three games, are 4-3 SU at home, 0-2 as home dog- they allowed one TD on 23 drives in winning last two home games (Jets/Browns). Home side won last six series games and nine of 11, with Packers losing last five visits here, all by 7+ points. NFC North non-divisional favorites are 10-6, 1-0 on road; AFC East underdogs are 10-8, 3-2 at home. Eight of last ten Green Bay games went over; last five Buffalo games stayed under.

Vikings (6-7) @ Lions (9-4)—Favorites are 8-1 vs spread in NFC North divisional games. Detroit won six of last eight games, winning last two by 34-17 scores (8 TDs, 4 FGA on 19 drives); they beat Minnesota 17-3 (-1.5) in Week 6, picking off three passes in game where teams combined to go 4-27 on 3rd down (Lions were 1-13). Detroit is 6-1 at home, 5-2 as home favorite, with four of six home wins by 12+ points. Minnesota is playing rookie QB, had Peterson for only one game, so 6-7 is pretty good for them; they’ve won four of last six games, covered six of last seven- they’re 3-3 as road underdogs. Vikings are 19-6 in last 25 series games, but lost three of last four visits here; they’re 2-4 on road, losing four of last five on foreign soil. Last two Lion games went over total, after previous ten had stayed under.

Jets (2-11) @ Titans (2-11)—Both teams won season opener and very little since; have sense that Titans are subtly tanking season to get #1 pick in draft- they trailed last two games 24-0/23-0 at half. Jets are trying because Ryan knows he’s getting fired and he is auditioning for his next job. Home side won last three series games; Jets lost 14-10/38-13 in last two visits here. AFC East non-divisional road teams are 9-7 vs spread; AFC South home teams are 8-11. Mettenberger (shoulder) is done for year, so Locker, Whitehurst are their QBs. Tennessee’s last win was October 12; five of their last six losses are by 14+ points. Jets lost last three games, by 35-3-6- they gave up 87-yard TD pass in OT last week. Four of last five Jet games stayed under; three of last four Tennessee games went over. Bad teams don’t have a home field advantage.

Broncos (10-3) @ Chargers (8-5)—San Diego is just 2-8 vs spread in its last ten divisional home games; they had 3-game win streak snapped by Patriots last week, are 5-2 SU at home, but failed to cover last four at Qualcomm. Denver (-9) beat Bolts 35-21 in Week 8 Thursday night game, picking Rivers off twice (+2) and converting 8-13 on third down; Broncos won six of last seven series games, winning last three visits here by 3-11-8 points- they’re 9-2 vs spread in divisional road games in Manning era. Broncos ran ball for 201-214-133 yards in last three games since loss in St Louis; they’re 9-0 on grass this season, 1-3 on carpet. San Diego is just 31 of last 82 on 3rd down (22 of last 71 if you take out Raven win); they’ve lost field position in seven of last eight games, losing by 15-18 yards last two weeks—hard to win that way. Three of last four Denver games stayed under total.

49ers (7-6) @ Seahawks (9-4)—Niners’ last stand of the Harbaugh era; they got spanked 19-3 (-1.5) by Seattle at home two weeks ago, gaining only 164 yards with three turnovers (-3). SF is 3-4 in last seven games, losing last two weeks while scoring one TD on 18 drives (seven 3/outs); they’re -7 in turnovers last three games, with only one takeaway. Seattle won six of last seven games, allowing two TDs on 30 drives in last three games, with 13 3/outs; they’re 4-2 as home favorites this year, 7-2 overall under Carroll. 49ers split pair of games as road underdogs this year, losing at Denver, winning in New Orleans. Seahawks won four of last five series games; 49ers lost last three visits here, by 29-26-6 points. Five of last seven series totals were 36 or less. Last four 49er games, last three Seattle games stayed under the total.

Cowboys (9-4) @ Eagles (9-4)—In their last four wins, Philly is 32-65 on third down; in their last two losses, they’re 7-26, so its up to Sanchez to move chains when necessary and hand off to McCoy/Sproles rest of time. Eagles (+3.5) crushed Dallas 33-10 on Thanksgiving, running for 256 yards and outgaining Pokes by 197 yards. Iggles’ last six games were all decided by 10+ points; they’re 4-3 as home favorites, winning all seven SU. Dallas had 10 days off after Chicago game last week; they’re 3-1 as underdogs this year, won three of last four games SU. Home side lost last three games in series where Eagles won last two meetings after losing seven of previous ten; Dallas won four of last five visits here, winning 38-23/17-3 last two years. Three of last four Dallas games, four of last six Philly games went over the total.

Saints (5-8) @ Bears (5-8)—Neither team here inspires any confidence. Saints covered once in last eight games as a road favorite; they lost SU last four times they were favored, but they won last two road games, scoring 63 points. Road team won their last six games, after losing first seven. Dome team as road favorite on a December night in Chicago is a brutal spot, but Bears lost five of last seven games, allowing 75 points last two weeks and best WR Marshall (back) is done for year. Chicago failed to cover last five tries as a home underdog; they covered once in last seven tries as an underdog overall. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 4-10 vs spread, 0-3 on road. NFC North underdogs are 6-10, 1-2 at home. Four of last six Chicago games, four of last five Saint games went over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'NFC West Tussle'

In this weeks Thursday Night'r NFC West leading Arizona Cardinals will look to stay atop the division while St Louis Rams look to play spoiler. Cardinals off a 17-14 squeaker over Kansas City cashing as 2.5 point favorite head into the contest 10-3 on the year with a 9-4 mark against the betting line. Rams off back-2-back shutout wins over Raiders and most recently Redskins are 6-7 on the campaign, 7-6 against the spread. Rams playing as good a football as anybody at the moment have been given the nod by oddsmakers as they're 4.5 point favorite. Betting Thursday favorites has been the right choice this season as chalks are 10-6 against the betting line. But before you jump all over Rams a few things to ponder. Division games are always tough, spotting points within the division can be dangerous as division home favorites are just 20-21 ATS on the year. Final few betting nuggets. Cardinals have thrived on the road cashing 7-of-10 and have a smart 7-3 ATS stretch last ten visits to St. Louis.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Week 15

Raiders (2-11) @ Chiefs (7-6)—Since 2007, Chiefs are 1-10 as a divisional home favorite. KC lost last three games overall, scoring 16.7 ppg; they’re 14-56 (25%) on 3rd down over last five games. Raiders are 3-2-1 as road underdogs, with one loss by more than 10 points. Chiefs are 3-1 as home favorites, winning at home by 27-27-14-4 points, with losses to Titans/Broncos. Oakland won two of last three games, losing 52-0 in between two wins, first of which was 24-20 (+7) home win over Chiefs three weeks ago, when Raiders ran for 179 yards, converted 8-16 on 3rd down on Thursday night home game that was similar scenario to this week’s Card-Ram game. Raiders won six of last nine against Chiefs, winning six of last seven visits here; they’re Seven of last nine Chief games stayed under the total.

Jaguars (2-11) @ Ravens (8-5)—Since ’03, Baltimore is 29-14-1 as non-divisional home favorite, 3-1 this year. Ravens won three of last four games, running for 168.5 ypg in wins by 14-7-15 points, with 34-33 loss to Chargers when they lost in last minute. Jax lost five of last six games, scoring two defensive TDs in only win (trailed 21-3 at half); they’re 1-4-1 as road underdogs, losing true road games by 17-31-19-2-10-20 points, with last two losses their only two games on carpet this year (0-1-1 vs spread, 4-7-1 last 12). Home side won last five series games, with Baltimore winning seven of last nine after losing eight in row to Jags. Jax averaged under 4.5 ypa in each of last three games. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 5-6 vs spread; AFC North home favorites are 6-6. Six of last nine Jaguar games stayed under the total.

Steelers (8-5) @ Falcons (5-8)—AFC North teams (11-2-1) have treated NFC South like a piñata this year, but Steelers have both losses and at home/ Pitt would be in playoffs if they started now after gaining 543 yards in 42-21 win at Cincy last week; Steelers are 4-2 on road, 1-2 on carpet- they’re 29-54 on third down in last four games. Short week for Falcons after they fought back from 31-7 halftime deficit to lose/cover 43-37 at Lambeau Monday night; health of star WR Jones (hip) obviously a big Atlanta concern. Falcons covered five of last six games, but are 1-8 SU in non-divisional games. Last five series games were decided by 4 or less points in OT, with last three going OT; Steelers won six of eight visits here, are 12-2-1 overall in last 15 series games. Six of last seven Steeler games, last three Atlanta games went over total.

Texans (7-6) @ Colts (9-4)—Indy can clinch division here; wary of teams off sloppy (3+ turnovers) wins, which is what Colts did in Cleveland last week, turning ball over four times but scoring in last 2:00 of each half, including game-winning TD with 0:32 left. Colts turned ball over 10 times (-5) in last three games, two of which were at home; they’re 21-4 in this series, 12-0 here, with three of last four home wins vs Texans by 12+ points. Houston is 3-1 since its bye; they’ve won last three road games, are 2-1 as road dogs (were favored in 4 of first 7 on road), 0-2 on carpet, losing by 13 at Giants, 3 in OT at Dallas. Indy (-2.5) won first meeting 33-28 in Houston, running 30 more plays (82-52) than Texans. Favorites are 7-0 vs spread in AFC South divisional games this year, 3-0 at home. Three of last four Houston games stayed under total.

Bengals (8-4-1) @ Browns (7-6)—Manziel gets first NFL start here for Browns squad that lost three of last four games, scoring five TDs on last 50 drives; they lost at home last week, even with defense scoring two TDs. Cleveland won three of last four series games, winning 24-3 (+6) at Cincy in Week 10 Thursday game; Browns ran for 170 yards, had 368-165 edge in yardage over Jekyll/Hyde Bengal squad that gave up 543 yards in home loss to Steelers last week, after winning previous three games, all on road, giving up 71.3 rushing ypg. Last time Browns swept Cincinnati was 2002; they’re 4-3 at home, but lost last two, to Texans/Colts. Underdogs covered six of eight AFC North games this year. Eight of last nine Cleveland games, four of last five Bengal games stayed under the total.

Dolphins (7-6) @ Patriots (10-3)—Miami offense is fading, scoring 16-13 points in last two games, running for just 63 yards vs Ngata-less Ravens last week. Dolphins are 3-2-1 as underdogs this year, 2-2 on road; they’re 2-4 as divisional road dogs under Philbin. NE is home after splitting pair of grass games at GB/SD, practicing all week in SoCal last week; Patriots covered four of last five home games, scoring 42.7 ppg in last three home tilts. Pats lost 33-20 (-4) to Miami in season opener, second straight loss to Dolphins after seven wins; Fish lost last five visits here, with four of five by 10+ points. Since 2005, NE is just 9-12 vs spread as divisional home favorites, 0-1 this year. Home teams are 5-3 vs spread in AFC East divisional games this season. Seven of last eight Dolphin games, last three New England games stayed under the total.

Buccaneers (2-11) @ Panthers (4-8-1)—Cam Newton was involved in a car wreck Tuesday afternoon; as I type this, not sure if he is injured or not. Carolina is 4-8-1 but only half-game out of first in hideous NFC South, where road teams are 7-2 vs spread in divisional games. Carolina won season opener 20-14 (+2.5) behind backup QB Anderson; Panthers were +3 in turnovers as they beat Bucs for third straight time, by 18-21-6 points. Tampa lost four of last six games in Charlotte; they’ve lost seven of last eight games overall, but are 4-2 as road underdogs with a win at Pittsburgh. Carolina had 271 rushing yards in easy win in Superdome last week; they’ve lost last three home games, scoring 12 ppg. Six of last seven Bucs’ games stayed under total; three of last four Panther games went over. This series has resulted in season sweeps last five years.

Redskins (3-10) @ Giants (4-9)—Washington QB McCoy (neck) is a ??; RGIII is back in lineup if he can’t go, as dysfunctional Redskins look to avenge 45-14 (-3) thrashing they took at home from Giants in Week 4, when Cousins-led Skins turned ball over six times (-5). Big Blue won 10 of last 13 series games but lost seven of last eight games overall; they’ve led last three games by 11+ points at half, but lost two of them. Washington lost last five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 10 of last 40 on third down and look generally disinterested, allowing fake PAT and a punt return TD last week vs Rams. Giants are favored for only third time (1-1) this season; they’re 2-4 SU at home, beating Texans by 13, Falcons by 10. NFC East home favorites are 1-4 in divisional games. Five of last seven Redskin games stayed under; five of last seven Giant games went over.

Packers (10-3) @ Bills (7-6)—Short week for Packer defense that looked exhausted in second half Monday night, giving up 30 second half points after leading 31-7 at half. Green Bay won its last five games (3-2 vs spread) but is just 3-3 SU on road, (1-1-1 as road favorite) with two of three wins by FG (won 38-17 at Bears)- they lost three of four games on carpet this season. Bills covered last three games, are 4-3 SU at home, 0-2 as home dog- they allowed one TD on 23 drives in winning last two home games (Jets/Browns). Home side won last six series games and nine of 11, with Packers losing last five visits here, all by 7+ points. NFC North non-divisional favorites are 10-6, 1-0 on road; AFC East underdogs are 10-8, 3-2 at home. Eight of last ten Green Bay games went over; last five Buffalo games stayed under.

Vikings (6-7) @ Lions (9-4)—Favorites are 8-1 vs spread in NFC North divisional games. Detroit won six of last eight games, winning last two by 34-17 scores (8 TDs, 4 FGA on 19 drives); they beat Minnesota 17-3 (-1.5) in Week 6, picking off three passes in game where teams combined to go 4-27 on 3rd down (Lions were 1-13). Detroit is 6-1 at home, 5-2 as home favorite, with four of six home wins by 12+ points. Minnesota is playing rookie QB, had Peterson for only one game, so 6-7 is pretty good for them; they’ve won four of last six games, covered six of last seven- they’re 3-3 as road underdogs. Vikings are 19-6 in last 25 series games, but lost three of last four visits here; they’re 2-4 on road, losing four of last five on foreign soil. Last two Lion games went over total, after previous ten had stayed under.

Jets (2-11) @ Titans (2-11)—Both teams won season opener and very little since; have sense that Titans are subtly tanking season to get #1 pick in draft- they trailed last two games 24-0/23-0 at half. Jets are trying because Ryan knows he’s getting fired and he is auditioning for his next job. Home side won last three series games; Jets lost 14-10/38-13 in last two visits here. AFC East non-divisional road teams are 9-7 vs spread; AFC South home teams are 8-11. Mettenberger (shoulder) is done for year, so Locker, Whitehurst are their QBs. Tennessee’s last win was October 12; five of their last six losses are by 14+ points. Jets lost last three games, by 35-3-6- they gave up 87-yard TD pass in OT last week. Four of last five Jet games stayed under; three of last four Tennessee games went over. Bad teams don’t have a home field advantage.

Broncos (10-3) @ Chargers (8-5)—San Diego is just 2-8 vs spread in its last ten divisional home games; they had 3-game win streak snapped by Patriots last week, are 5-2 SU at home, but failed to cover last four at Qualcomm. Denver (-9) beat Bolts 35-21 in Week 8 Thursday night game, picking Rivers off twice (+2) and converting 8-13 on third down; Broncos won six of last seven series games, winning last three visits here by 3-11-8 points- they’re 9-2 vs spread in divisional road games in Manning era. Broncos ran ball for 201-214-133 yards in last three games since loss in St Louis; they’re 9-0 on grass this season, 1-3 on carpet. San Diego is just 31 of last 82 on 3rd down (22 of last 71 if you take out Raven win); they’ve lost field position in seven of last eight games, losing by 15-18 yards last two weeks—hard to win that way. Three of last four Denver games stayed under total.

49ers (7-6) @ Seahawks (9-4)—Niners’ last stand of the Harbaugh era; they got spanked 19-3 (-1.5) by Seattle at home two weeks ago, gaining only 164 yards with three turnovers (-3). SF is 3-4 in last seven games, losing last two weeks while scoring one TD on 18 drives (seven 3/outs); they’re -7 in turnovers last three games, with only one takeaway. Seattle won six of last seven games, allowing two TDs on 30 drives in last three games, with 13 3/outs; they’re 4-2 as home favorites this year, 7-2 overall under Carroll. 49ers split pair of games as road underdogs this year, losing at Denver, winning in New Orleans. Seahawks won four of last five series games; 49ers lost last three visits here, by 29-26-6 points. Five of last seven series totals were 36 or less. Last four 49er games, last three Seattle games stayed under the total.

Cowboys (9-4) @ Eagles (9-4)—In their last four wins, Philly is 32-65 on third down; in their last two losses, they’re 7-26, so its up to Sanchez to move chains when necessary and hand off to McCoy/Sproles rest of time. Eagles (+3.5) crushed Dallas 33-10 on Thanksgiving, running for 256 yards and outgaining Pokes by 197 yards. Iggles’ last six games were all decided by 10+ points; they’re 4-3 as home favorites, winning all seven SU. Dallas had 10 days off after Chicago game last week; they’re 3-1 as underdogs this year, won three of last four games SU. Home side lost last three games in series where Eagles won last two meetings after losing seven of previous ten; Dallas won four of last five visits here, winning 38-23/17-3 last two years. Three of last four Dallas games, four of last six Philly games went over the total.

Saints (5-8) @ Bears (5-8)—Neither team here inspires any confidence. Saints covered once in last eight games as a road favorite; they lost SU last four times they were favored, but they won last two road games, scoring 63 points. Road team won their last six games, after losing first seven. Dome team as road favorite on a December night in Chicago is a brutal spot, but Bears lost five of last seven games, allowing 75 points last two weeks and best WR Marshall (back) is done for year. Chicago failed to cover last five tries as a home underdog; they covered once in last seven tries as an underdog overall. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 4-10 vs spread, 0-3 on road. NFC North underdogs are 6-10, 1-2 at home. Four of last six Chicago games, four of last five Saint games went over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'Big Blue'

The New York Giants haven't scared anyone lately losing seven of eight including a three game skid at MetLife Stadium. But, Giants did dismantle the Titans last week and have produced a solid 29.3 points/game the past three. Renewed confidence from the victory along with playing for pride the Giants should roll to another victory against a Washington squad in full meltdown mode. Big Blue recording a 45-14 rout of Washington in week-four racking up 449 yards of offense behind Eli's four TD's on 300 passing yards complete the season sweep of the Redskins for a second straight year. Certainly a challenge laying points with a losing team. However, there appears to be enough in Big Blue's favor in this situation to counteract such concerns. Washington is winless last five overall outscored 14.6 points/game, winless the last three on the road losing by an average 9.7 per/contest and just 1-6 as visitor this season outscored by 7.1 points/game. Redskins are also a cash draining 4-14 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points. Final, betting nugget, Giants have cashed 6-of-10 hosting their division rival (6-3-1 ATS).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

OAKLAND (2 - 11) at KANSAS CITY (7 - 6) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 11) at BALTIMORE (8 - 5) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (8 - 5) at ATLANTA (5 - 8) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (7 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 4) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in dome games since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (8 - 4 - 1) at CLEVELAND (7 - 6) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (7 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 3) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 165-125 ATS (+27.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (2 - 11) at CAROLINA (4 - 8 - 1) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 52-27 ATS (+22.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 73-41 ATS (+27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 10) at NY GIANTS (4 - 9) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (10 - 3) at BUFFALO (7 - 6) - 12/14/2014, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (6 - 7) at DETROIT (9 - 4) - 12/14/2014, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY JETS (2 - 11) at TENNESSEE (2 - 11) - 12/14/2014, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (10 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (8 - 5) - 12/14/2014, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 6) at SEATTLE (9 - 4) - 12/14/2014, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (9 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 4) - 12/14/2014, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (5 - 8) at CHICAGO (5 - 8) - 12/15/2014, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Trends

TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games at home

MIAMI vs. NEW ENGLAND
Miami is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England's last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 10 games

CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cincinnati

JACKSONVILLE vs. BALTIMORE
Jacksonville is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 16 games at home

GREEN BAY vs. BUFFALO
Green Bay is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games

PITTSBURGH vs. ATLANTA
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games at home

HOUSTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Houston is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 15 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
NY Giants are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games

DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
San Diego is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games

NY JETS vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the NY Jets last 11 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games

SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Seattle is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home

MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 2-12-1 SU in its last 15 games ,on the road
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games

DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Dallas

NEW ORLEANS vs. CHICAGO
New Orleans is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing New Orleans

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Football Trends

NFL Football Betting Trends for Sunday, Dec. 14

Oakland at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 0-6 ATS off a upset win as an underdog
Kansas City: 7-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Jacksonville at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-19 ATS as an underdog
Baltimore: 11-1 ATS in home games after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games

Pittsburgh at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 5-1 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Atlanta: 3-10 ATS after gaining 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games

Houston at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Houston: 2-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road over
Indianapolis: 14-4 ATS in home games against conference opponents

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 27-12 UNDER in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game
Cleveland: 27-9 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less

Miami at New England, 1:00 ET
Miami: 8-1 UNDER versus division opponents
New England: 28-14 UNDER in home games off 2 or more consecutive unders

Tampa Bay at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 6-15 ATS against conference opponents
Carolina: 10-2 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

Washington at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Washington: 4-14 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points
New York: 53-27 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game

Green Bay at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 23-8 OVER after allowing 35 points or more last game
Buffalo: 23-10 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Minnesota at Detroit, 4:25 ET
Minnesota: 6-0 ATS revenging a same season loss against opponent
Detroit: 2-9 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

NY Jets at Tennessee, 4:05 ET
New York: 35-60 ATS off a road loss
Tennessee: 9-1 ATS after a loss by 28 or more points

Denver at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Denver: 27-15 ATS as a favorite
San Diego: 30-15 UNDER revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points

San Francisco at Seattle, 4:25 ET
San Francisco: 8-0 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
Seattle: 16-7 ATS against conference opponents

Dallas at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET
Dallas: 11-25 ATS in road games after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game
Philadelphia: 27-13 ATS after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game

NFL Football Betting Trends for Monday, Dec. 15

New Orleans at Chicago, 8:30 ET
New Orleans: 15-4 ATS in road games after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game
Chicago: 6-15 ATS as an underdog

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Oakland @ Kansas City
The Raiders are 12-19 ATS road dogs of 7½ to 10 points, 12-20 ATS playing on grass and 28-52 ATS playing in the month of December. Oakland is 19-11 Under as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points, 7-3 Under playing in December and 16-10 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points. The Chiefs are 3-1 ATS as home favorites of 7½ to 10 points, but 6-10 ATS versus divisional opponents and 6-12 ATS playing with revenge. Kansas City is 4-0 Under as home favorites of 7½ to 10 points and 35-18 Under at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points. In this series the Under is 15-7 in games played in Kansas City.
Jacksonville @ Baltimore

The Jaguars are 14-28 ATS overall, 14-27 ATS as underdogs, 12-19 ATS versus AFC opponents, 1-5 ATS playing on turf, 3-7 ATS in December and 5-10 ATS versus winning teams. Jacksonville is 14-8 Over playing on the road and 36-24 Over versus winning teams in the second half of the season, but 21-12 Under against AFC opponents. The Ravens are 12-19 ATS versus AFC South opponents, but 40-29 ATS versus losing teams in the second half of the season including 4-0 this year. Baltimore is 24-8 Under versus AFC South opponents and 9-5 Under versus losing teams. In this series 7 of the lst 9 games have gone Over the total in Baltimore.

Pittsburgh @ Atlanta
The Steelers are 12-17 ATS playing as a favorite, 13-23 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less and 8-12 ATS playing under a dome, but they’re 9-5 ATS versus NFC South opponents. Pittsburgh is 9-4 Over this season, 6-2 Over as a favorite, 23-16 Over as road favorites of 3 points or less, 10-5 Over versus NFC South opponents, 9-5 Over after a divisional game, 8-3 Over versus NFC opponents and 7-3 Over playing in December. The Falcons are 19-12 ATS home dogs of 3 points or less, 7-3 ATS playing in December and 12-5 ATS after playing on a Monday night, but they’re also 10-17 ATS versus AFC North opponents and 13-19 ATS playing on turf. Atlanta is 4-1 Over at home this year, but 14-7 Under at home with a total of 49½ or more, 11-5 Under overall with a total of 49½ or more and 16-11 Under versus AFC North opponents.

Houston @ Indianapolis
The Texans are 7-12 ATS playing as underdogs, 5-15 ATS playing under a dome, 12-23 ATS playing on turf, 8-15 ATS after a divisional win, but 5-2 ATS as a road dog this season and 37-26 ATS revenging a loss. Houston is 19-13 Under as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 9-3 Over playing with revenge, 7-3 Over after 2 or more consecutive wins, but 9-3 Under versus winning teams in the second half of the season and 8-3 Under playing in December. The Colts are 30-17 ATS overall, 18-6 ATS playing at home, 11-0 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 8-2 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 20-9 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 23-13 ATS versus AFC opponents, 13-2 ATS against divisional opponents, 19-7 ATS playing under a dome, 20-11 ATS playing on turf and 8-3 playing in December, but they’re 3-8 ATS versus winning teams in the second half of the season. Indianapolis is 10-6 Under versus divisional opponents and 21-15 Under versus AFC opponents. In this series Indianapolis is 12-0 straight up and 8-4 ATS in games played in Indianapolis and they’ve covered 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Cincinnati @ Cleveland
The Bengals are 11-6 ATS playing as underdogs, 6-2 ATS as road underdogs of 3 points or less and 8-3 ATS playing in December, but they’re 1-4 ATS versus winning teams this season. Cincinnati is 5-1 Under as a road underdog this year, 20-14 Under versus AFC opponents and 9-5 Under playing on grass. The Browns are 4-8 ATS as favorites, 1-3 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less and 3-7 ATS playing in December. Cleveland is 69-42 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 27-9 Under as home favorites of 3 points or less, 5-1 Under as a favorite this season, 22-12 Under versus AFC opponents, 7-3 Under at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points and 36-26 Under with a total of 42½ to 49 points. In this series Cleveland is 24-14 ATS including 13-6 ATS at Cleveland.

Miami @ New England
The Dolphins are 10-6 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, but 5-9 ATS playing on turf. Miami is 26-16 Under overall, 7-3 Under as road underdogs of 7½ to 10 points, 14-7 Under on the road including 5-1 this year, 12-4 Under on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 70-44 Under with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 22-9 Under versus AFC opponents, 12-2 Under versus divisional opponents, 10-3 Under playing on turf, 10-2 Under playing in December, 64-39 Under versus winning teams in the second half of the season. The Patriots are 16-7 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 16-9 ATS playing at home, 23-13 ATS on turf, 54-34 ATS playing with revenge, 14-7 ATS versus winning teams including 6-1 this year, 72-46 ATS versus winning teams in the second half of the season and 53-32 ATS the last 4 weeks of the season, but they’re 13-26 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. New England is 30-19 Over overall, 16-8 Over as a favorite of 3½ to 9½ points, 23-15 Over playing as a favorite, 5-1 Over as a home favorite of 7½ to 10 points, 17-8 Over playing at home, 24-13 Over versus AFC opponents, 25-11 Over on turf, 5-1 Over playing with revenge and 14-7 Over versus winning teams. In this series 5 of the last 5 have gone Under the total including 2 straight Unders in New England.

Tampa Bay @ Carolina
The Buccaneers are 34-25 ATS as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points, 12-20 ATS versus NFC opponents, 2-9 ATS playing in December, 7-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses and 7-12 ATS versus losing teams. Tampa Bay is 11-5 Under playing with revenge, 8-2 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season and 6-3 Under in the final 4 weeks of the season. The Panthers are 19-28 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, but 21-13 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 21-14 ATS versus NFC opponents, 11-5 ATS versus divisional opponents, 20-14 ATS playing on grass, 52-27 ATS playing in December, 73-41 ATS versus losing teams including 49-24 ATS versus losing teams in the second half of the season. Carolina is 50-29 Under as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 82-58 Under as favorites overall, 28-18 Under as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 92-65 Under at home since 1992, 20-11 Under at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 76-42 Under after a divisional including 43-14 Under after a divisional win. In this series Carolina is 18-10 ATS including 9-5 ATS at Carolina and 10 of the last 14 meetings in Carolina have gone Under the total.

Washington @ NY Giants
The Redskins are 13-19 ATS playing as an underdog, 12-19 ATS with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 6-11 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses, 51-74 ATS versus losing teams including 0-5 this year, but they’re 9-5 ATS when playing with revenge. Washington is 71-44 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 34-24 Under as road underdogs of 3½ to 7½ points, 10-5 Under versus divisional opponents and 12-5 Under after 2 or more consecutive losses, but they’re also 14-9 Over playing on the road, 6-1 Over on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 8-4 Over playing on turf. The Giants are 12-18 ATS playing on turf and 3-6 ATS versus NFC opponents, but 54-38 ATS playing in December. New York is 14-9 Under playing as a favorite, 20-13 Under versus NFC opponents, 8-3 Under in December and 47-29 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season. In this series the Giants are 27-18 ATS and 4 of the last 5 have gone Under the total.

Green Bay @ Buffalo
The Packers are 21-12 ATS playing as a favorite, 12-7 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 24-18 ATS as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 61-36 ATS versus winning teams in the second half of the season and 54-32 ATS in the last 4 weeks of the season, but they’re 9-13 ATS on the road and 4-11 ATS playing on turf including 0-4 this year. Green Bay is 10-3 Over this year, 8-2 Over as favorites, 26-15 Over as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 15-8 Over playing on the road, 27-18 Over with a total of 49½ points or more, 60-39 Over playing on turf and 57-36 Over in December. The Bills are 12-8 ATS at home and 3-1 ATS home dogs of 3½ to 9½ this year. Buffalo is 11-2 Under this year, 5-1 Under at home, 16-11 Under versus NFC North opponents and 6-1 Under against winning teams this season. In this series Buffalo is 3-0 ATS the last 3 meetings in Buffalo.

Minnesota @ Detroit
The Vikings are 20-13 ATS playing as underdogs, 8-3 ATS with a total of 35½ to 42 points, 13-7 ATS playing under a dome, 21-13 ATS playing on turf, 9-5 ATS playing with revenge and 8-1 ATS the last 4 weeks of the regular season. Minnesota is 5-1 Under playing on the road this year, but 9-3 Over with a total of 35½ to 42 points. The Lions are 18-26 ATS overall, 13-18 ATS playing as favorites, 26-45 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 5-12 ATS as home favorites of 7½ to 10 points, 10-17 ATS playing under a dome, 2-8 ATS playing in December, 1-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins and 26-36 ATS versus winning teams in the second half of the season, but they’re 3-0 ATS versus divisional opponents. Detroit is 14-9 Over at home and 22-13 Over at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points.

NY Jets @ Tennessee
The Jets are 7-12 ATS when the line is 3 points or less including 0-4 this year, 3-9 ATS overall this season, 0-4 ATS as favorites this season, 3-8 ATS on the road with a total of 38½ to 42 points, 2-6 ATS playing on grass, 5-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses and 10-17 ATS with a total of 35½ to 42 points. New York is 58-36 Under playing in December. The Titans are 15-25 ATS overall, 11-19 ATS playing as underdogs, 1-4 ATS home dogs of 3 points or less, 6-12 ATS at home, 11-18 ATS versus AFC opponents and 2-7 ATS playing in December, but they’re 28-19 ATS at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points, 8-3 ATS overall with a total of 35½ to 42 points and 4-1 ATS versus AFC East opponents. Tennessee is 20-13 Over Playing as an underdog, 20-8 Over as home dogs of 3 points or less, 33-15 Over at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points, 8-3 Over overall with a total of 35½ to 42 points, 37-23 Over after 2 or more consecutive losses and 60-44 Over versus losing teams. In this series 6 of the last 9 meetings in Tennesse have gone Under the total and Tennessee is 2-0 ATS the last 2 in Nashville.

Denver @ San Diego
The Broncos are 28-19 ATS overall, 27-15 ATS as a favorite, 20-9 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 5-1 ATS as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 20-14 ATS versus AFC opponents, 11-4 ATS versus divisional opponents, 24-10 ATS playing on grass and 9-2 ATS in December. Denver is 31-17 Over overall, 88-56 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 153-100 Over overall as a favorite, 5-1 Over as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 15-8 Over on road with a total of 49½ points or more, 22-13 Over versus AFC opponents, 21-14 Over on grass, 17-8 Over after 2 or more consecutive wins, 103-53 Over versus winning teams including 62-37 Over in the second half of the season. The Chargers are 10-4 at home with a total of 49½ points or more, 20-10 ATS overall with a total of 49½ points or more and 8-3 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, but they’re also 0-4 ATS versus divisional opponents this season. San Diego is 11-3 Under at home with a total of 49½ points or more. In this series Denver is 2-0 ATS the last 2 meetings in San Diego.

San Francisco @ Seattle
The 49ers are 17-8 ATS playing on the road, 12-6 ATS playing on turf and 4-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses, but 8-12 ATS as underdogs of 7½ to 10 points and 6-11 ATS versus divisional opponents. San Francisco is 7-2 Over playing as an underdog. The Seahawks are 33-17 ATS overall, 14-6 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 23-16 ATS overall as favorites, 17-7 ATS playing at home, 14-6 ATS with a total of 35½ to 42 points, 26-11 ATS versus NFC opponents, 23-13 ATS playing on turf, 58-34 ATS playing in December, 15-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins, 15-6 ATS versus winning teams including 12-3 in the second half of the season and 20-9 ATS at home with a total of 35½ to 38 points. Seattle is 23-14 Under versus NFC opponents and 11-5 Under versus divisional opoonents. In this series Seattle is 18-9 ATS including 10-4 at Seattle. Seattle has covered the last 6 meetings and 5 of those went Under the total.

Dallas @ Philadelphia
The Cowboys are 13-6 ATS as an underdog and 7-2 ATS as a road dog of 3 points or less including 4-1 ATS this year, but they’re 33-54 ATS playing in the last 4 weeks of the season. Dallas is 4-1 Over on the road this season. The Eagles are 8-15 ATS at home but 5-2 this year, 13-20 ATS versus NFC opponents, 5-11 ATS versus winning teams and 3-6 ATS playing in December. Philadelphia is 14-9 Over playing at home, 6-2 Over as a favorite this season, 17-12 Over with a total of 49½ points or more and 61-44 Over versus winning teams the second half of the season. In this series Dallas is 2-0 ATS the last 2 games in Philadelphia.

New Orleans @ Chicago
The Saints are 15-9 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less and 5-0 ATS versus NFC North opponents. New Orleans is 10-3 Over this year, 17-7 Over as a road favorite of 3 points or less, 5-1 Over on the road this season, 14-9 Over playing on Monday night and 35-19 Over versus NFC North opponents. The Bears are 16-28 ATS overall, 7-16 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 6-15 ATS playing as an underdog, 0-4 ATS as home dog of 3 points or less, 6-15 ATS playing at home, 1-5 ATS at home with a total of 49½ points or more, 3-9 ATS overall with a total of 49½ points or more, 10-23 ATS versus NFC opponents, 12-21 ATS playing on grass and 3-8 ATS playing in December. Chicago is 29-16 Over overall, 15-9 Over when the line is 3 points or less, 15-6 Over playing as an underdog, 20-13 Over versus NFC opponents, 21-13 Over playing on grass, 8-3 Over in December, 11-6 Over versus losing teams, but 27-12 Under as a home underdog of 3 points or less. In this series 6 of the last 9 meetings in Chicago have gone Over the total.

 

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#1 Sports

Early Sunday's free selection: Steelers/Falcons under 55 1/2

 

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Mike Wynn

Bonus Play: Tampa Bay/Carolina Under 41 Points

 

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Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: Take GREEN BAY/BUFFALO OVER the total of 50½

 

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Jeff Allen Sports

SUN FREE Selection

SA SPURS

 

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Totals4U

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Green Bay Packers/Buffalo Bills under 50

 

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Atlantic Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: St John's - 17 1/2

 

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Computer Sports

Free Selection Sunday: Miami/New England OVER 48

 

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Platinum Plays

Free Pick: Miami/New England Over 48 Points

 

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Golden Dragon Sports

Bonus Play: Cincinnati/Cleveland under 44