BRAD DIAMOND
NFL | Sep 30, 2018
Dolphins vs. Patriots
OVER 48 -109
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Miami (3-0) comes in red hot averaging 25 points per game, NE playing inconsistently is 1-2 averaging 19 points a game. This season the Dolphins are illustrating a balanced attack which has allowed for some outstanding scoring drives. The Patriots because of injuries and some discontent have been lackluster at times, but this is a critical game in their season, especially being at home. The main concern, offensively, has been their running game. Until they start measuring at least 125 yards consistently QB Brady will be under great pressure. As an example in 2017 (last meeting in the season) Miami won 27-20, the key holding NE to 25 yards on the ground. We all know Brady does not have an effective supporting cast, but that should spur more passing when not needed. From the injury standpoint, Miami has currently 5 questionable players for Sunday, 3 on the defense side. The Patriots show 6 questionable players, 3 on defense. From the technical board, we find Miami 5-0 OVER versus losing units and 5-1 OVER after rushing for under 90 yards. New England brings a solid 4-1 OVER mark in week #4 and 13-6 OVER at home against a winning road club. At first glance, the under might seem an angle, still we must incorporate the "turnover theory" because of the Pats needing to throw most every down and Miami playing a difficult game on the road. GL.