VIC DUKE
NFL | Sep 30, 2018
Dolphins vs. Patriots
Dolphins+7 -115
Dolphins/Patriots 1:00: Value with the undefeated Dolphins as QB Tannehill having a pretty good year. Dolphins have cleaned up their turnover and penalty problem that plagued them last year. Their run game with Drake and Gore should provide a bit more success for Tannehill; after all, Patriots are dead last in the NFL stopping the run. At the same time, Miami's defense is solid with a ball hawking secondary. I do realize Miami has had total misery at Foxborough, but I can't overlook the fact that Belichick is an abysmal 1-7 ATS as a home favorite off back-to-back SU losses; moreover, in the first quarter of the season, they're 0-7 ATS off a SU favorite loss vs a division opponent. We'll look for Miami to hang around today.