Service Plays Tuesday 8/19/14

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Toronto @ MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE -1½ +144 over Toronto

On August 7, J.A. Happ struck out 12 Orioles. Five days later he struck out one batter in Seattle in six innings. Over his last four starts, Happ has had two strong games and two poor ones. His dominant start/disaster start split this season, and his entire career, nicely summarizes his feast-or-famine ways. As a fly-ball pitcher with shaky control, it's hard to see the disasters suddenly stopping. It is best to stay clear of him, especially at this hitter’s park against the heating up again Brewers.

Milwaukee just swept the Dodgers in Los Angeles and defeated Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw in the process. The Brewers scored 16 times in that three game set and that’s quite an accomplishment when you consider the venue and the starters. Mike Fiers has made a splash in his two starts since joining the rotation, striking out 14 in just six innings in his last start. He has displayed these skills before, as in 2012 he had a 3.37 xERA to go along with 9.5 K’s/9 in 22 starts. At AAA-Nashville this season, he had 11.3 K’s/9 Dom in 17 starts. Fiers comes along at precisely the right time for the Brewers and he’ll now face a Blue Jays team that has lost five of six, that is without the services of a DH and that has averaged only 2.9 runs per game in August, which is the worst mark in MLB.


Our Pick
MILWAUKEE -1½ +144 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.88)
 

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BookieMonster Money Generator Plays:

Boston +110
Tampa Bay +112
San Diego +103
 

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Kevin's Pick(s):


2 UNIT = Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - ASTROS TO WIN (+150)
Listed Pitchers: Oberholtzer vs Capuano
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.00 units)

2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins - TWINS TO WIN (+102)
Listed Pitchers: Bauer vs Gibson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)

2 UNIT = New York Mets @ Oakland Athletics - UNDER 7 RUNS (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Gee vs Kazmir
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)

Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays - TIGERS TO WIN (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Scherzer vs. Archer
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.67 units)

The Tigers have the roster to win a World Series. With three former Cy Young winners and a triple crown winner in Detroit it is going to be World Series or bust for the Tigers. Max Scherzer will need to continue his torrid pace up, a pace that was set last season. He'll be looking for a big pay raise in the offseason given his talents. This year he's been on point with a 2.98 ERA and 14-4 record. The great majority of his best starts have come in the last two months. In fact, in his last ten starts the most runs he's allowed in a single game has been 3, which happened only once. He's had six games in that stretch where he has only allowed 1 run or none at all. His strikeout to walks ratio is something behold, 146:44. His last start he punched out 14 batters while walking only 2 with 3 hits. In his last three outings he had just a 1.17 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. In his last start against the Rays on July 3rd, Scherzer surrendered 1 run and only 2 hits in 8 innings. Chris Archer is no slouch, but putting money against Scherzer is a hard thing to do. Besides, Archer is not on his level. While he certainly is a good pitcher with a 3.24 ERA, the Rays offense hasn't been too helpful this season. He has a 3.43 ERA and 4-3 record at home with a 1.25 ERA. The Rays run hot and cold, while Scherzer is hot hot. Take the Tigers, you won't find Schezer at -120 too often.
 

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Bob Balfe

Detroit -120

Scherzer/Archer
Both pitchers are having fine seasons, but I like Scherzer a bit better in this spot and feel like the Tigers are the better team. Scherzer has been brilliant with his strikeout to walk ratio. This should be a classic playoff type low scoring great game tonight. Take Detroit.
 

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Falcon Sports

Baltimore -110 listing Tillman/Quintana

Miami -1 -105 listing Cosart/Mikolas
 

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SB Professor MLB Picks 8/19

Here are the picks for MLB with their current Money Lines.
964. Boston Red Sox +119
966. Tampa Bay Rays +118
972. Philadelphia Phillies +143
978. Colorado Rockies +132


 

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Cappers Finest
Prez: 48-23-1 Last 15 days for 105.29 Units ($10,529) if you wagered $100 per unit.

Red Sox ML +120, 2 units, to win 2.4 Units
Red Sox RL +1.5 -135, 2 units
Padres/Dodgers Over 7, 5.6 Units to win 5 Units
 
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Carson K

Astros +149 Oberholtzer is pitching well and the bats for the Yanks are cold.

WhSox +100 I like Quintana here (pitching well at home) and I think he gets run support with Tillman on the hill.
 

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS: 408-358-12 YTD

Bonus Play: Oakland RL -1.5 Even vs NY Mets

Tuesday 8/19 Service Plays


Well if you guys were playing just the MoneyLine on our plays the past week or so you would be making a fortune. The RL has bit us hard lately but we will continue to ride out this pattern. Today we NEED to get back to our winning ways!!


MLB


Kansas City RL -1.5 Even


Milwaukee RL -1.5 +140


Seattle RL -1.5 Even
 
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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Baltimore Orioles @ Chicago White Sox
Time: Tuesday 08/19 8:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Baltimore -105 (moneyline) at Bookmaker

The Baltimore Orioles have played as well as any AL team over the last six weeks, and have a comfortable lead in the AL East. When you look at Chris Tillman, his stats say he is very beatable, but he seems to pitch well enough to win and is indeed a winner. He has an ERA in the mid-3s, good but not great, and also had similar numbers last season. When the dust settles, however, this guy is 34-15 over the last three years. Jose Quintana deserves better than his 6-9 record, but the issue here is not the starter, but the pen. The White Sox pen has been imploding all season, and seems to cost them on a regular basis. All you need to know to see why is that he is 6-9 is in 25 starts, allowing just 54 runs, but the bullpen behind him has allowed even more at 55. This is a ready-to-win game made for Tillman in this match-up, so take Baltimore.
 
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JEFF CLEMENT

7* Mariners vs Phillies – Under 7

Underdog of the month
Arizona D-Backs +206

8* San Francisco -105
 
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UNDER Umpire Streakers


[#951] UNDER 7.5 (-110) ATL/PIT ...... 1.10u to win 1.00u
Carapazza 9 over/16 under Last 25 games (64.0%)


[#971] UNDER 7 (-105) SEA/PHI ..... 1.05u to win 1.00u
Danley 4 over/19 under Last 23 games (82.6%)
 
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BONES BEST BET

ROYALS -1 -126 *5* BEST BET

Royals are the hottest team in baseball and have not been letting us down. The Royals have been destroying teams with 6 of their past 8 wins by 2+ runs. Shields for the Royals has been strong this season and amazing of late with a 0.74 WHIP and a 1.96 ERA his past 3 starts.

NATIONALS ML + MARINERS ML parlay +133 *3*

Had to find a way to get a play on the Nationals today and this is what we’ve come up with as our best opportunity. Strasburg on the hill for the Nats, Iwakuma on the hill for the M’s – we have a ton of faith is both these guys here against sub par offenses. The Nationals offense is also red hot, the have won 7 straight games scoring 4.86 runs per game over that span. Meanwhile, Iwakuma has been out quite the roll (0.84 ERA, 0.84 WHIP last 3 starts) and will have his way with this Phillies lineup tonight.

RANGERS @ MARLINS – OVER 7.5 -130 *3*

Mikolas is terrible and owns a 7.71 ERA through 44.1 innings (8 starts). Cosart has had one good start over his past 6 with the other 5 starts having 4, 5, 3, 5, 6 ER. Both teams are hovering around the 8 runs a game marker over their past 5 contests.

DODGERS ML -114 *3*

The Dodgers should be much bigger favourites at home. The Dodgers have won 7 of 10 meetings against the Padres this year. The Padres are also terrible on the road. They have a 24-38 road record this year. Ian Kennedy may be slightly better than Correia, but not good enough to justify this line. The Dodgers have faced Kennedy 3 times this year so there will be no secrets. The Padres have not seen Correia as he came from the Twins in the AL recently. This is an advantage for Correia and we expect another solid outing from him.

ORIOLES ML -107 *3*

Coming of a nice 8-2 Monday night against the White Sox, we like this spot again here tonight. Orioles starter Chris Tillman has been on point last three times out where he has gone 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA. The White Sox were held to three hits last night against an average Bud Norris and don’t look in sync offensively. Take the much better team at a fair price to win a close game on the road.
 

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