Service Plays Sunday 8/17/14

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Sunday's Preseason Tips
By Kevin Rogers

Week 2 Recap: The home teams put up a 5-0 straight-up and 3-2 against the spread record on Thursday and Friday. The road clubs bounced back nicely on Saturday night by compiling a 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS record, as the Vikings and Steelers each won by a combined five points at home with late scores. The ‘over’ went 4-4 last night after the ‘over’ finished a perfect 4-0 on Friday night.

Broncos at 49ers (-4½, 41½)

2014 Preseason Records: DEN (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS), SF (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Previous preseason meeting: Broncos beat 49ers, 10-6 as three-point road underdogs in 2013.

Preseason review: Denver picked up a tiny bit of revenge from this past February’s Super Bowl beatdown by Seattle, as the Broncos rallied past the Seahawks, 21-16 as one-point home ‘dogs. The 49ers traveled east and didn’t put up much of a fight in a 23-3 defeat to the Ravens. San Francisco was outgained by nearly 200 yards, while Baltimore held the ball for almost 40 minutes.

Expert Analysis: Doc’s Sports - Denver has been getting blown out in Week 2 of the exhibition season and we fully expect that trend to continue on Sunday. The Broncos lost last year by 30 points and by 20 points in 2012 (both losses to Seattle). San Francisco is opening up a new stadium and that will give them the little extra effort needed to win this game by 7 to 10 points. This will be another regular season rematch and thus I do not expect the Broncos to move it up-tempo and John Fox is just 4-8 in Week 2 in the preseason.

Chiefs at Panthers (-3½, 40)

2014 Preseason Records: KC (1-0 SU, 0-0-1 ATS), CAR (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Previous preseason meeting: Chiefs beat Panthers, 30-10 as 3 ½-point home favorites in 1997.

Preseason review: Kansas City outlasted Cincinnati, 41-39, but pushed as two-point favorites. The Chiefs benefited from a pair of interception returns for touchdowns to win their third straight exhibition contest dating back to last August. Cam Newton sat out Carolina’s preseason opening loss to Buffalo, 20-18 as short home underdogs. The Panthers scored on a pair of long touchdown passes, but a late two-point conversion failed to tie the game.

Expert Analysis: Tony Stoffo - With Newton nursing offseason ankle surgery and an unsettled offensive line, the Panthers could only manage six points and 70+ yards in the first half against the Bills in Week 1. While even though the Chiefs put up 41 points on the Bengals in the first half, they could only manage three offensive field goal drives as the rest of their points were on 80-yard punt return and a 36-yard Sean Smith pick-six for a score. So I feel we have a ton of value in this total as the public and the odds makers have over-reacted to what the Chiefs did and posted an extremely high total here.

 

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Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers

The Kansas City Chiefs came out on top of a 41-39 shootout with the Cincinnati Bengals in their first preseason game. While on the surface that score might lead some to believe the Chiefs’ offense was dominant, the reality is that 27 of the team’s 41 points came from the defense and special teams. The Chiefs had a kick return touchdown, two interception return touchdowns, and two field goals in the win over Cincinnati in addition to two offensive scores. Kansas City will look to build on that performance in its second preseason game this Sunday against a Carolina Panthers’ team that suffered a close 20-18 loss to the Buffalo Bills in its exhibition opener.

Players We’re Watching

De’Anthony Thomas – Kansas City Chiefs

The fourth-round pick out of Oregon showed off his speed in his first NFL preseason game with an 80-yard punt return for a touchdown. Thomas caught the punt, made a wicked spin move, then hit the lane with a ridiculous burst of speed and took it the distance. An absolute burner that the Chiefs envision being a contributor as a receiver, running back, and return man, Thomas is a threat to make a big play every time he touches the ball. Special teams coach Dave Toub is an excellent motivator that knows how to get the most out of his players and the rookie return man is an outstanding weapon. Keep an eye out for Thomas on special teams and on offense where he had just one carry for three yards in the preseason opener.

Kelvin Benjamin – Carolina Panthers

The Panthers’ receiving core was completely revamped in the offseason after the team said goodbye to Steve Smith, Brandon LaFell, and Ted Ginn. The team added veterans Jason Avant and Jerricho Cotchery but the biggest move came in the draft when they selected Florida State wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin with their first-round pick. At 6’5, 241 pounds, Benjamin is an absolute monster target that can outmuscle defenders and win jump balls. He also has excellent speed and elite body control, which he showed last week when he made his first NFL catch. Benjamin sprinted down the left side of the field and seemed to have a step on his man but was forced to adjust to an under thrown ball so he dove to make a spectacular touchdown catch. Benjamin is being relied on as the Panthers’ No. 1 receiver in year one and it already looks as though he is very capable.

Preseason Coaching Trend

Andy Reid hasn’t finished with a preseason record below .500 since 2009 and that likely won’t change this year with a deep roster and plenty of battles going on at the skill positions. Ron Rivera went 3-1 in the preseason a year ago but there isn’t the same urgency there was coming off a down year in 2013 and Cam Newton isn’t available.

Prediction

The Chiefs got scoring contributions from the offense, defense, and special teams in their preseason opener and while the final result didn’t count, this team looked organized and ready to compete in all three facets of the game. Carolina isn’t as good as its record was a year ago and it will take some time to get in to form with so many new faces. Look for this to be a lower scoring game with Kansas City securing its second preseason win.

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +3

 

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Maddux Sports

MLB

10* Cleveland Indians -111

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

'Rubber Match'

The finale of a three game set between San Francisco and Philadelphia is the betting focus for Sunday. The Giants will have Lincecum handling the start. Lincecum is 9-8 on the year, with an ERA of 4.51. The righty not overly sharp of late is 0-1 in his last three with a whopping 9.95 ERA. Philadelphia will send out right-hander David Buchanan, who currently sports a 6-6 record with a 4.40 ERA. Buchanan is 2-1 his last three with a smart 3.26 ERA. Home cooking has not helped Giants the past month or so, compiling a record of 3-7 record last ten, 7-14 mark last twenty-one before the home audience. Those home numbers along with Lincecum experiencing a rough spot it's a challenge backing San Francisco. However, digging deeper to get a better take on the situation Lincecum is 6-3 with a 3.51 ERA at home (10-4 TSR), compared with 3-5, 5.98 on the road (5-6 TSR). The fact that this game is a rubber match a telling baseball betting stat leaps out. Giants are 5-2 at home this year in a rubber matchup including 1-0 w/Lincecum. A final betting nugget pointing to a San Francisco victory, Phillies are 0-3 on the road w/Buchanan off a loss it's previous effort.

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime
SUNDAY NFL FOOTBALL

1000* Play San Francisco -4.5 over Denver (TOP NFL PLAY)

San Francisco has covered the spread three consecutive preseason home games when playing as a favorite of seven points or less and they have covered the spread in four consecutive preseason games coming off a non-conference game.San Francisco has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 preseason games vs. AFC West Division Opponents and they have covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 preseason games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.


1000* Play Carolina -3 over Kansas City (TOP NFL PLAY)

Kansas City has lost 35 of the last 49 preseason games against the spread when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have lost 30 of the last 45 preseason games against the spread when playing as an underdog.Kansas City has lost 26 of the last 39 preseason road games against the spread and they have lost 24 of the last 35 preseason games against the spread coming off a home game.

 

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Washington -150 over Pittsburgh (MLB TOP PLAY)

Doug Fister has won 26 of the last 35 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has won 27 of the last 38 home games.Doug Fister has won 13 of the last 17 games coming off a game where he did not walk a batter and he has won 32 of the last 45 games when pitching in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season.

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50* Play Miami -140 over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play San Francisco -160 over Philadelphia (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

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XpertPicks

SUNDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

• Play San Francisco -4.5 over Denver---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

San Francisco has won 16 of the last 20 preseason games when playing as a home favorite of seven points or less and they have won 9 of the last 13 preseason games after allowing 175 or more rushing yards in their last game.San Francisco has won 4 consecutive preseason games coming off a non-conference game and they have won three consecutive preseason games coming off a road game.

• Play Carolina -3 over Kansas City---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Kansas City has lost 34 of the last 45 preseason games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 30 of the last 40 preseason road games.Kansas City has lost 25 of the last 37 preseason games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have lost 25 of the last 36 preseason games coming off a home game.

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TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAY

• Play British Columbia -3 over Toronto---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

 

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XpertPicks

SUNDAY BASEBALL

• Play Kansas City -120 over Minnesota----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

2:00 PM EST

Jeremy Guthrie has won 29 of the last 45 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he has won 25 of the last 39 games vs. division opponents. Jeremy Guthrie has won 24 of the last 42 games when pitching in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season and he is 8-3 vs. Minnesota over his career with an ERA of 2.91.

• Play Boston -140 over Houston----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
  1:30 PM EST

Collin McHugh has lost 15 of the last 21 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 10 of the last 13 games when pitching in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season. Collin McHugh has lost 6 of the last 8 day games and he has lost 11 of the last 17 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Advanced sports investments

Perry Soccer Club


France - Ligue 1
HSC Montpellier @ Olympique Marseille - Over 2.5 +105 (8am)


Switzerland - Axpo Superleague
Young Boys Bern @ FC Vaduz - Over 2.5 -135 (10am)

 

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Game of the Day: A's at Braves

Oakland Athletics at Atlanta Braves (+133, 7)

Jon Lester has won his first three starts for Oakland, pitching like the game-changer the Athletics envisioned when they acquired him from Boston at the trade deadline. Oakland needs another strong performance from its new ace when it tries to avoid a sweep in Sunday night’s series finale at the Atlanta Braves, as the Athletics – who held sole possession of first place in the American League West for 106 consecutive days – are now two percentage points behind the Los Angeles Angels. The Braves have held Oakland to five runs on nine hits in taking the first two games, and while six games behind first-place Washington in the National League East, they are much closer in the wild-card race.

Atlanta sits 1 1/2 games behind San Francisco for the final NL playoff spot, winning three of its last four contests after dropping 11 of its previous 13. Justin Upton brings a seven-game hitting streak into the series finale while Chris Johnson, who went 3-for-4 with two RBIs in Saturday’s 4-3 victory, is in the midst of a five-game run. The offense has contributed greatly to Oakland's skid, collecting five hits or fewer in four of its last six games while scoring fewer than four runs five times.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Pinnacle Sports opened the Braves as +129 home dogs, but that has moved to +133. The total has held steady at seven.

INJURY WATCH: A's - SS Jed Lowrie (15-day DL, hamstring), 2B Nick Punto (15-day DL, hamstring).

POWER RANKINGS: A's (-204), Braves (-164).

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Athletics took a gamble before the trade deadline when they traded away back-to-back defending Home Run Derby champion Yoenis Cespedes to the Red Sox. Oakland's offense has been inconsistent since that trade. One of the new acquisitions from Boston in that trade is starting pitcher Jon Lester. He has continued to pitch well since arriving in Oakland with a 2.49 ERA in three starts so far which almost identical to his 2.52 ERA in 21 starts with Boston earlier this season." Steve Merril

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics LH Jon Lester (13-7, 2.51 ERA) vs. Braves LH Mike Minor (4-8, 5.33)

Lester has allowed six earned runs while registering 20 strikeouts over 21 2/3 innings in his first three starts for Oakland and is 7-0 with a 1.46 ERA in his last seven outings overall. He followed a three-hit shutout over Minnesota in his second turn for the Athletics with a performance against Kansas City on Tuesday in which he yielded three runs and hits over six frames. Lester beat the Braves on May 27 in Atlanta while with the Red Sox, allowing three runs and fanning seven in six innings.

Minor seemed to benefit from being skipped in the rotation prior to his start against the Dodgers on Tuesday, as he allowed three runs with seven strikeouts despite losing for the third time in his last four outings. He is 2-4 in his last eight starts, yielding 34 earned runs on 64 hits (eight homers) in 44 2/3 innings. Minor has surrendered at least eight hits in each of his last five starts and five or more runs three times in that span.


TRENDS:

* Athletics are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Atlanta.
* Braves are 1-7 in their last eight games as an underdog.
* Athletics are 1-8 in their last nine games with umpire Ted Barrett behind home plate.
* Athletics are 0-4 in their last four overall.

CONSENSUS: 69 percent of wagers are backing the A's.

 

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Rain could be a factor at these parks Sunday
Andrew Avery

Target Field in Minnesota, Busch Stadium in St. Louis and Rangers Ballpark in Arlington could all be hit with showers Sunday afternoon.

Weather forecasts are calling for a 40 percent possibility of showers by first pitch in Minnesota, a 30 percent of showers turning into a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in St. Louis and a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in Texas Sunday.

The Twins are +102 home dogs with the Kansas City Royals in town, the Cards are -190 faves versus the Padres, while the Rangers are +130 dogs as the host the Los Angeles Angels.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 7 Pittsburgh Pirates/Washington Nationals

50* Boston Red Sox -145

 

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BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Boston -140 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston is 23-49 when playing on a Sunday
Houston is 20-50 when playing in the month of August
Houston is 42-89 in day games the last three seasons


10* Play Kansas City -120 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City is 57-29 when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175
Kansas City is 62-49 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Kansas City is 12-2 when playing in the month of August


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5* Play New York Yankees +115 over Tampa Bay (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play LA Angels -140 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BOB BALFE


MLB SELECTION


CHICAGO CUBS -120
(Arrieta/Montero)
Both teams are struggling to produce runs so in a low scoring game I trust Arrieta who is actually a decent pitcher. Montero has yet to pick up a win this year and with his teams offensive struggles it might take him a while to do so. Take the Cubs.


NFLX SELECTION
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS/DENVER BRONCOS – UNDER 41.5
Outside of the starters these teams really don’t have great backups that are going to move the chains. These teams are playoff built with their starters, but come the second half I don’t see much damage being done. Denver has a veteran QB that they will not risk injury with and tonight the defenses should dominate the opposing offense. Take the Under.


NFLX SELECTION
CAROLINA PANTHERS/KANSAS CITY CHIEFS – UNDER 40.5
Carolina does not look great on paper this year. This might be the weakest receiving unit in the NFL. Once the starters come out I don’t see the backups doing much of anything. This is another game in which I see the teams just going through the motions of escape injury. This could be a huge bust year if Cam Newton does not have a quality season. Take the Under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA

Sunday, August 17

Perfect Saturday on hardwood for Under bettors

If you had taken the Under on all four WNBA games Saturday, you were probably ecstatic at the results. The Under went a perfect 4-0 on the day, improving the season-to-date record to 94-104 Over/Under.

All four games finished convincingly below closing totals with disparities of nine points (New York at Washington), eight points (Chicago at Indiana), 20 points (Tulsa at Minnesota) and 12 points (Los Angeles at Phoenix).

Connecticut hosts Atlanta (157), Indiana visits New York (143.5), San Antonio travels to Chicago (154) and Seattle hosts Phoenix (148.5) on Sunday's WNBA schedule.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLING GOD

League: England soccer
Team A: Manchester City
Team B: Newcastle
Pick: Over 3
Risk:$100 to win $118
Time: 11:00 et

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BONES BEST BET


RAYS ML -114 *4* BEST BET
Play on Hellickson and the Rays here this aft. Hellickson has been spot on since his late start to his season on July 8th. Now five starts in for the Rays righty, all against impressive offenses (KC, BOS, LAA, TEX, OAK) and owns just a 2.02 ERA. Yankees coming back down to reality losing 5 of their last 6, scoring no more than 3 runs over that 6 game stretch, we see them struggling to score against Hellickson at the Trop this aft.


PADRES @ CARDINALS – UNDER 7 -110 *2*
These teams are a combine 96-136 o/u this year. The starting pitchers today are a combine 12-18 o/u. We all know how good Wainwright is and he should not have trouble shutting down the Padres offence. The Cards have only given up an average of 2.1 runs in Wainwrights starts this year. The Padres have only given up an average of 28 runs in Despaignes starts. If the Cards didn’t hit him hard earlier this year this would be a larger play.


MARLINS ML + NATIONALS ML +178 *3*
Koehler for the Marlins has been solid at home with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.03 ERA. His counterpart in Collmenter has been getting lit up of late (1.57 WHIP, 7.71 ERA L3 Starts) and has terrible road numbers (5.59 ERA, 1.69 WHIP). The Marlins come in having won 4 of 6 overall and 2 of the past 3 games between these teams.
Fister for the Nationals has been as close to an auto-win as they can get with a 13-4 record and incredible numbers on the season (1.07 WHIP, 2.34 ERA). His numbers have actually been better than that of late with a 0.98 WHIP and a 0.84 ERA over his past 3 starts. Washington is red hot having won 5 straight and 8 of 10. Pittsburgh meanwhile has dropped 4 in a row now.


ATHLETICS -1 – 114 *3*
Oakland hasn’t been playing well lately and need to right the ship ASAP. no better time then the present tonight in prime time Sunday night baseball against the Braves. Their big deadline deal Jon Lester gets the nod and he has been fantastic since his arrival, going 3-0 with a impressive 2.49 ERA. Braves have been pretty inconsistent this season and you never know what team will show up. Tonight they send Mike Minor who hasn’t found his groove in 2014 with a 4-8 record and 5.33 ERA covering 18 starts. The Angels are breathing down their necks let’s see what they are really made of here tonight as we have made a lot of cash with them this year and this is another great spot.

 

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PJ'S TENNIS CORNER

ATP - WINSTON-SALEM OPEN @ WINSTON SALEM, NC
3:30PM- B PAIRE -190 vs R HAASE
2:00PM- N MAHUT +135 vs B KAVCIC

WTA - CONNECTICUT OPEN @ NEW HAVEN, CT
1:00PM C VANDEWEGHE -165 vs C GIORGI

 

[JOHNU]

Burns
9* Oakland ML
8* Marlins ML

 

[JOHNU]

why are my posts moderrated