Service Plays Saturday 10/12/13

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Todays Best Bets

5* - [155] Missouri +8 -120 vs Georgia

5* - [159] Florida +7 -120 vs LSU

5* - [164] Washington U +14 -110 vs Oregon

4* - [167] Northwestern +10 -110 vs Wisconsin

4* - [179] Michigan -135 vs Penn State

3* - [112] Texas +14 -120 vs Oklahoma

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northcoast
Big dogs

Texas
Mississippi
Kansas State
Hawaii
Washington
Tulane
Arkansas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

2* Penn St +2.5

2* Mississippi +6

2* Washington St -2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

King Creole

2* Missouri +7½

2* Arkansas +6

1* Florida +7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

River City Sports

3 Units Ohio -18

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Essential Betting Tidbits for Week 7 of College Football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- The UConn Huskies will have a new coach patrolling the sidelines. T.J. Weist takes over as interim head coach following the dismissal of Paul Pasqualoni after a 41-12 loss to Buffalo. The Huskies are 4.5-point home faves against USF Saturday.

- The Missouri Tigers make their first trip to Athens, Georgia to face the Bulldogs. The two programs faced off last season at Missouri with Georgia prevailing 41-20. The Bulldogs are 7.5-point home faves.

- The Michigan State Spartans get a home game versus Big Ten rival Indiana, but the Spartans are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games overall. Michigan State is a 9.5-point home fave Saturday.

- The Red River Rivalry has been a shootout of late. The Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns are 4-1 O/U in their last five meetings and have combined to average 62.6 points per game in that stretch. Saturday's total is currently 57.5.

- The Virginia Tech Hokies boast the fifth-best defense in the country, allowing just 263.7 yards per game.

- The Pitt Panthers are at Virginia Tech to test that stingy defense. Pitt features the ACC's best WR tandem in Devin Street (111.3 ypg) and Tyler Boyd (106.3 ypg). The Hokies are 8.5-point home faves.

- Nebraska travels to face the Purdue Boilermakers and their porous defense. Purdue ranks 110th in the country allowing 36.6 points per game and is a 16.5-point home dog.

- The TCU Horned Frogs are 60-11 overall under head coach Gary Patterson at Amon G. Carter Stadium. TCU is favored by 24.5 at home versus Kansas Saturday.

- The Houston Cougars are one of three schools (Baylor, UCLA) with perfect 4-0 ATS records. Only Oregon at 5-0 ATS is better.

- Army is second last in the country with 429 passing yards on the season. Only New Mexico (380 yards) has fewer. The Black Knights are 7.5-point home faves against Eastern Michigan.

- Iowa State is one of four schools in the country (along with Ohio State, Oregon and Alabama) with a road win against a ranked opponent in each of the past three seasons. The Cyclones are 14-point dogs at No. 21 Texas Tech.

- The Arkansas Razorbacks have defeated South Carolina the previous three meetings at Razorback Stadium. They are also 3-0 ATS in those three home games. The Razorbacks are 5-point home dogs Saturday.

- The Duke Blue Devils are 3-0 ATS in their past three meetings with Navy. Duke is favored by a field goal at home Saturday.

- The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the previous seven meetings between the Central Michigan Chippewas and the Ohio Bobcats. The Bobcats are 18.5-point home faves.

- Things haven't well for Western Michigan and its backers against fellow MAC opponents. The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games.

- Massachusetts! Miami (Ohio)! It's the two lowest scoring teams in the country! The Red Hawks rank second-last in the country averaging 8.8 ppg. The Minutemen are last with 7.0 ppg. Saturday's total is 44.5.

- Home team is 4-0 in the previous four meetings between Ball State and Kent State. Ball State is a 14.5-point home fave Saturday.

- LSU and Troy lead the over/under standings with 6-0 O/U records. Troy visits Georgia State Saturday with a total of 63.5.

- Baylor leads the nation in scoring averaging 70.5 ppg. The Bears are 17-point road faves at Kansas State and the total is 73.5.

- The Florida Gators have cashed in for backers when they play at LSU. The Gators are 6-1 ATS in the previous seven meetings in Baton Rouge. Florida is a 7-point dog Saturday.

- Maryland was throttled 63-0 by Florida State one week ago - matching its largest margin of defeat in 20 years. The Terps are favored by a TD at home with Virginia in town.

- Dating back to last season, Boston College is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games. The Eagles are 24-point road dogs at No. 4 Clemson Saturday.

- If anything, give Syracuse credit for holding onto the ball. The Orange are tied with 16 programs which have just one fumble lost this season.

- New Mexico ranks 100 in the country by allowing 35.6 points per game. The Lobos face a Wyoming programs which averages 37.6 ppg. Saturday's total is currently 69.5.

- The bye week isn't kind to San Jose State. The Spartans are 3-15-1 ATS in their previous 19 games following the week off. They are 3.5-point road dogs at Colorado State.

- The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings between Wisconsin and Northwestern. The Badgers are 10-point home faves.

- Dating back to 2003, the Under is 5-1 in the previous six meetings between East Carolina and Tulane. Saturday's total is currently 53.

- The high-flying Oregon Ducks are 8-0-1 ATS in the last nine meetings with the Washington Huskies. Oregon is a 13-point fave at Washington Saturday afternoon.

- The Rice Owls seem to travel well. They are 4-0 ATS in the previous four road games and are 1.5-point road dogs at UTSA.

- The Over is 8-2 in Marshall's last 10 conference games. The Herd are at Florida Atlantic with a total of 56 Saturday.

- The Michigan Wolverines are one of the top consensus picks at 73 percent despite being just 2-5 ATS in their previous seven meetings with Penn State. The Wolverines are 2.5-point road faves.

- The top Covers consensus pick of the weekend? Well that would be Northern Illinois (78 percent), who is a 23.5-point home fave with Akron in town.

- Stanford QB Kevin Hogan is 10-0 in his career as a starter. He'll lead the Cardinal offense into Utah against the Utes as 7.5-point road faves.

- The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have rushed for 324 yards or more in four of their five games. They'll be tested against BYU and the No. 12-ranked rushing defense in the country, allowing just 132.6 ypg.

- The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall and are big 24.5-point home faves against Idaho Saturday.

- Middle Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings with North Texas. The Blue Raiders are 6.5-point road dogs Saturday.

- The Kentucky Wildcats are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 SEC games. The Cats are 27-point home dogs against No. 1 Alabama.

- The Texas State Bobcats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. They are 6.5-point home faves against UL Monroe Saturday.

- Bowling Green hasn’t beaten an SEC school since defeating Kentucky in 1985. It will try to end that drought at Mississippi State as 9.5-point road dogs.

- The Under is 4-0 in Hawaii's last four road games. The Rainbow Warriors are at UNLV with a total of 55 Saturday.

- The Over is 8-1 in UTEP's last nine games overall. The Miners host Tulsa with a total of 64.

- Boise State is 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings in Utah State. The Broncos are 6.5-point road faves.

- The Texas A&M run defense allows 214.8 ypg - 109th in the nation. In last season's matchup, Ole Miss RB Jeff Scott ran 21 times for 108 yards and a TD.

- The Colorado Buffaloes have lost 10-straight conference games. The Buffs are at Arizona State as 25.5-point road underdogs.

- The UCLA Bruins are last out of 123 FBS teams in penalties with an average of 10.75 per game.

- The road team is 4-0 in the last four meetings between Oregon State and Washington State. The Beavers are 2-point road underdogs.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Florida at LSU: What bettors need to know

Florida Gators at LSU Tigers (-7, 48)

Florida's dominant defense looks to slow down No. 11 LSU's high-powered offense when the 17th-ranked Gators travel to Baton Rouge for an SEC showdown Saturday. The Tigers bounced back from a crushing loss to Georgia to rout Mississippi State 59-26 last week, as their newfound explosive offense continued to produce. The Gators are still in the thick of the SEC East race thanks to a unit that ranks second in the nation in total defense (217 yards per game) and fourth in scoring defense (12.2 points per game).

Florida is coming off a 30-10 victory over Arkansas and has won three straight to open SEC play. The Tigers have won five straight and 27 of 28 at home, winning their three home games this year by an average of 28.3 points. The Gators have won only once in their last four trips to Baton Rouge but they spoiled the Tigers' title hopes with a 14-6 home win last year.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: LSU opened at -6.5 and moved as high as -8.5 in Las Vegas. Total opened 47.5 and has moved to 48.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in low 80s with partly cloudy skies and 11 percent chance of rain with winds blowing SSE at 5 mph.

ABOUT FLORIDA (4-1, 3-0 SEC East, 2-3 ATS): The Gators' offense has flourished since Tyler Murphy took over under center, as the junior's 209.4 quarterback rating against Arkansas was the highest for a Florida quarterback in an SEC game since Rex Grossman in 2001. The return of running back Matt Jones also has bolstered the offense with Jones (322 yards, 2 TDs) and Mack Brown (284 yards, 3 TDs) leading a strong ground game. Florida's strength still lies with its defense, which hasn't allowed more than 275 total yards this season and ranks second in the nation against the run, allowing 65 yards per game.

ABOUT LSU (5-1, 2-1 SEC West, 3-2-1 ATS): Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron has revived the Tigers' offense, which has topped 400 total yards and 30 points in each game this season. Quarterback Zach Mettenberger has blossomed - leading the SEC in passer efficiency with a 190.1 rating while passing for 1,738 yards and 15 touchdowns with two interceptions - and receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry have combined for 77 receptions for 1,302 yards and 13 scores. LSU's defense has taken a step back from recent years, allowing 367 yards and 24.7 points per game.

TRENDS:

* Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Louisiana State.
* Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.
* Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. LSU has won 35 of its last 36 games when scoring at least 30 points and is 63-5 under coach Les Miles when reaching that plateau.

2. Florida has held 12 consecutive SEC opponents under 20 points, and the Gators have forced a turnover in 16 straight contests.

3. Mettenberger is only the fifth LSU quarterback to throw for 300 yards in consecutive games and looks to match Rohan Davey's school record of three straight set in 2001.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Texas A&M at Ole Miss: What bettors need to know

Texas A&M Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels (+6, 76)

After losing back-to-back games at Alabama and Auburn, Mississippi returns home to face a well-rested Texas A&M squad. The ninth-ranked Aggies have won all five meetings against the Rebels, including last season’s 30-27 comeback victory in Oxford. The game features the SEC’s top two passing attacks, but Ole Miss' recent struggles continued in a 30-22 loss to Auburn last week, when it was held to three field goals before scoring two second-half touchdowns.

The Rebels could return to form against a Texas A&M defense that ranks last in the SEC and lost starting defensive tackle Kirby Ennis to a season-ending knee injury in a 45-33 victory over Arkansas on Sept. 28. Ennis’ injury is a major blow to the Aggies’ run defense, which is allowing 214.8 yards per game - 109th in the country. Texas A&M’s beleaguered defense turned in an encouraging outing against Arkansas, but the unit figures to be tested by an Ole Miss offense that averaged 38 points in its first three wins.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: The Aggies opened -6.5 and are currently -6. The total opened 74.5 and is now 76.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 32 percent chance of thunderstorms.

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (4-1, 1-1 SEC West): The Aggies have used a balanced offense to score at least 40 points in each of their first five games for the first time in school history. Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel leads the SEC in total offense with 361 yards per game, and sophomore Mike Evans ranks third in the country in receiving yards at 138 yards per game. Defensive back Deshazor Everett has scored a touchdown in each of the last two games and is second on the team with 31 tackles.

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI (3-2, 1-2): The Rebels begin a stretch of six straight home games against a Texas A&M team that is seeking its 10th straight road win. Junior quarterback Bo Wallace threw for a season-high 336 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions last week against Auburn, but the Rebels will need a more balanced attack in order to keep Manziel off the field. Ole Miss boasts the SEC’s No. 2 pass defense, but the Rebels’ defensive line has been hit by a wave of injuries in recent weeks.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in Rebels last five home games.
* Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six conference games.
* Rebels are 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 8-3 in Aggies last 11 games in October.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Texas A&M has scored first in 17 of 18 games under coach Kevin Sumlin.

2. Ole Miss RB Jeff Scott rushed 21 times for 108 yards and a score in last year’s loss to the Aggies.

3. Manziel has surpassed 300 yards in total offense in 15 of 18 career games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tigers at Red Sox: What bettors need to know

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (-138, 7.5)

The Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers have storied histories but will be facing each other for the first time in the postseason on Saturday when Game 1 of the American League Championship Series revs up at Fenway Park. Boston is looking to reach the World Series for the first time since 2007 while Detroit is seeking to return for the second consecutive year and third time in eight seasons. The Tigers won the season series 4-3.

The two teams were the highest-scoring squads in the majors – Boston recorded 853 runs, 57 more than Detroit – so the balance of potent bats and strong pitching arms will be intriguing. The health of Miguel Cabrera (groin) continues to be an issue but the Tigers' standout belted a two-run shot – his first homer since Sept. 18 – in the division series finale against Oakland and is 10-for-19 against Red Sox starter Jon Lester. Boston is certainly more rested after clinching its series against Tampa Bay on Tuesday while Detroit wrapped up its set versus Oakland on Thursday night and then traveled across the country.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Fox

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s and wind will blow in from right field at 10 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (15-8, 2.57 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Jon Lester (15-8, 3.75)

Sanchez led the AL in ERA and allowed only nine regular-season homers but was shaky in his ALDS start against Oakland. He gave up six runs (five earned) and eight hits – including three homers – in 4 1/3 innings. Sanchez's lone career outing against Boston was for the Marlins in 2006 when he yielded seven runs and eight hits in 4 1/3 innings in his second career start.

Lester went 3-0 in five September starts and the strong finish carried over to a victory against Tampa Bay in which he allowed two runs and three hits in 7 2/3 innings. He went 2-0 with a 4.26 ERA versus the Tigers this season – including a victory on Sept. 3 in which he allowed one run and struck out nine in seven innings – to improve to 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA in seven career outings. Lester gave up just one homer over his last 10 regular-season starts before permitting two solo shots in the start against the Rays.

TRENDS:

* Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
* Tigers are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings in Boston.
* Tigers are 6-0 in their last six games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Red Sox are 12-2 in Lesters last 14 home starts.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The final meeting of the regular-season series resulted in Boston posting a 20-4 victory over the Tigers on Sept. 4.

2. Detroit CF Austin Jackson had a miserable ALDS against Oakland, going 2-for-20 with 13 strikeouts.

3. Red Sox CF Jacoby Ellsbury went 9-for-18 with seven runs scored and four stolen bases in the ALDS while playing through a foot injury.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your college football bets for Saturday's matchups:

South Florida Bulls at UCONN Huskies (-3.5, 41)

Wind will blow across the field at 10 mph.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns (+13.5, 57.5)
Site: Cotton Bowl, Dallas, Texas

There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Pittsburgh Panthers at Virginia Tech Hokies (-8.5, 42.5)

There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Purdue Boilermakers (+14.5, 57)

There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Kansas Jayhawks at TCU Horned Frogs (-24.5, 45)

Forecasts are calling for a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Memphis Tigers at Houston Cougars (-9.5, 52.5)

Forecasts are calling for a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas Razorbacks (+5, 51)

Forecasts are calling for a 56 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Navy Midshipmen at Duke Blue Devils (-3, 57)

There is a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Buffalo Bulls at Western Michigan Broncos (+10.5, 51.5)

Forecasts are calling for a 45 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland Terrapins (-7, 43.5)

Wind will blow across the field at 8 mph and forecasts call for a 61 percent chance of rain.

Syracuse Orange at North Carolina State Wolfpack (-7, 54)

There is a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

New Mexico Lobos at Wyoming Cowboys (-14, 69.5)

Wind will blow toward the north end zone at 11 mph.

Northwestern Wildcats at Wisconsin Badgers (-10, 58)

Wind will blow across the field at 8 mph and there is a 30 percent chance of rain.

Oregon Ducks at Washington Huskies (+13, 75)

The Forecast is calling for a 52 percent chance of rain.

Akron Zips at Northern Illinois Huskies (-23.5, 62)

Forecasts are calling for a 39 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 7 mph.

Idaho Vandals at Arkansas State Red Wolves (-24.5, 61)

There is a 39 percent of rain in the early stages of this game.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Texas Mean Green (-6.5, 53.5)

There is a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

UL Monroe Warhawks at Texas State Bobcats (-6.5, 45)

Forecasts are calling for a 50 percent chance of rain.

UAB Blazers at FIU Golden Panthers (+7.5, 55)

Wind will blow toward the west endzone at 10 mph.

Texas A&M Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels (+6, 76)

There is a 32 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Gavazzi Big plays

Ucla
Colorado state
north Texas
ole miss
mizz
penn st
Kansas st

 

[Mldmld5]

Marc Lawrence:

 

[Crawdads24]

5* SEC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR -- Saturday
At 12:20 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks are one of the more over-rated teams in the country (with or without Jadeveon Clowney in the lineup, as he has just 12 tackles and 2 sacks on the season). After winning 27-10 vs. North Carolina (as an 11-point favorite) to open their season, the Gamecocks have failed to cover their following four games. In week 2, they lost by 11 at Georgia, as a 3-point underdog. And then, in Games 3, 4 and 5, they failed to cover vs. Vandy, Central Florida and Kentucky (though they won outright in each of those games). Moreover, South Carolina's lone ATS win this season (vs. North Carolina) doesn't look all that impressive in the rear view mirror, given that the Tar Heels are 1-4 SU and ATS this season, with their only straight-up and pointspread win came when they won by 20, as a 19.5-point favorite vs. Middle Tennessee. The Tar Heels even lost straight-up as a 12.5-point favorite at home vs. East Carolina! This will be a difficult game for South Carolina as they now have to face a desperate Arkansas team coming off of three straight losses. But the Razorbacks were underdogs in all three of those games, including double-digit dogs in the last two, so the fact that the Razorbacks lost all three is not all that surprising. I would be surprised if Arkansas lost here, at home, in this "Homecoming" game. Indeed, college football home dogs of +3 or more points, off 3+ losses are 59-33 ATS vs. conference foes off 3+ pointspread defeats, including 10-1 ATS since Nov. 1998 if our home dog's win percentage is better than .250. More good news for Arkansas: since Nov. 1990, it is a super 13-6 ATS at home vs. conference foes if it lost its previous two games. And, finally, college football road favorites are a dreadful 0-for-9 since Nov. 1991 off 3 straight wins, but 3 straight ATS losses, if they're matched up against a revenging foe off a SU/ATS loss. The Razorbacks lost in Columbia last season, but have dominated the Gamecocks in Fayetteville, with wins in six of the last seven, including the last three by 15 ppg. Arkansas has also covered its last five games as single-digit home underdogs. Make it 6 in a row here. Take the Razorbacks + the points. Good luck, as always...

 

[jinbang]

We have Marc Lawrence taking both Iowa St and TT in seperate posts. Playing both sides?

 

[loneranger]

Must have a mistake as he's on Iowa State. He has a system in the newsletter that is AGAINST Texas tech and in the write ups he is ON Iowa State (Texas Tech by 3).

...As one of our all time favorite bands – the Traveling Wilburys – once
said, it just might be the ‘End Of The Line’ for the Red Raiders and
the Tigers this weekend. Stay tuned.

That would be against Clemson & Texas Tech

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence:

please stop posting marc lawrence plays, this is the 3rd week you've posted the wrong plays.

 

[Mldmld5]

it says Tx Tech by 3 which means Iowa State would cover

 

[Mldmld5]

Matchup: Iowa State at Texas Tech
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Iowa State (+15 -110)
Line Source: Jerry's Nugget
Posted on: October 11, 2013 @ 12:31:16 AM EDT

>Play On: Iowa State (Game 143).
Note: The Cyclones were good to us last week and we're right back on them this Saturday after they outgained Texas by 100 yards in a close-call, 1-point loss. Meanwhile, Texas Tech enters 0-5 ATS as a conference favorite off a win against an opponent off a loss with revenge, and a measly 2-7 ATS as a conference favorite of 13 or more points. On the flip side, the ISU is 4-1 ATS in the role of conference underdogs of 13 or more points, while the visitor in this series is 3-1-1 ATS. And don’t forget that Iowa State has had two extra days to prepare. The Clincher: Rhoads is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS as a dog when his team is .500 or less and not off an ATS loss. An upset is no surprise here. We recommend a 3-unit play on Iowa State. Thank you and good luck as always

 

[Mldmld5]

Matchup: Baylor at Kansas State
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Kansas State (+18.5 -105)
Line Source: CarbonSports
Posted on: October 11, 2013 @ 2:35:34 PM EDT

>Play On: Kansas State (Game 158).
Note: The Bears have inflicted plenty of offensive carnage at home in Waco against a litany of lightweights, and now hit the road for the first time this season – where they are just 2-6 ATS after three or more straight home contests. Coming off a record-setting 864-yard revenge win over West Virginia last week, do you really want to try and hop aboard this 100-MPH merry-go-round this week? Not us, not when Baylor was a 12-point HOME DOG to KSU last year, and not when the Bears have NEVER won a game in Manhattan, going 0-4 SU all-time by an average losing margin of 27 PPG. Instead, here are some numbers that should make you comfortable walking the dog: the Wildcats are 4-0 ATS after playing Oklahoma State (who they held to a season-low 330 yards last week), 7-1 ATS with conference revenge, 4-1 ATS as home dogs versus a conference opponent, and 4-1 ATS at home after back-to-back road tilts. We’ll even throw in Bill Snyder’s 28-11 ATS mark at home off a loss, including spread wins in 10 of the last 11 and a 13-3 ATS mark as an underdog. We cement the play with this powerful angle from our reliable database: teams in their first road game of the season in Game Five of the year after opening with four consecutive games at home are 3-3 SU and 0-6 ATS win 1980 when playing off a win versus an opponent off back-to-back losses. This is a proverbial landslide in favor of Kansas State, and with it we’ll nip at the heels of Art Briles’ speedy Bears and take the points. We recommend a 3-unit play on Kansas State. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Mldmld5]

Matchup: Oregon at Washington
Time: 4:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Washington (+14.5 -110)
Line Source: TopBet.com
Posted on: October 11, 2013 @ 2:35:34 PM EDT

>Play On: Washington (Game 164).
Note: In the Huskies initial loss to Stanford last week they outgained the Cardinal by over 200 yards, but lost the football game thanks to numerous mistakes, including 10 penalties for 89 yards. They will look to regroup against Mark Helfrich’s team that has scored 55 or more points in every game this season, while piling 52 on the Huskies in Eugene last year. Impressive numbers, to say the least. But Washington is not exactly chopped liver, averaging 37.4 points and 557 YPG themselves this season. So where is the edge, you ask? For us it starts on defense, where UDub brings a Top 10 ranked unit in the contest – one of only three teams in the land to hold every opponent to a season-low yardage mark in every game this year. FYI: should they remain on the season-low list, the Ducks will leave Husky Stadium with 370 or fewer yards today. Examining each team’s schedule to date we note the Ducks’ four FBS foes own a combined record of 8-12, with NOT ONE team owning a winning record. On the flip side, the Huskies’ four FBS opponents stand 14-5 on the season, with EVERY ONE sporting a winning record. Meanwhile, Oregon enters 5-0 in the season, making them a ‘5-0 Fat Cat’ SMART BOX fade, meaning we’ll be running with the sled dogs in this battle for supremacy in the Pac-12. The history book concurs, noting Washington is 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS at home versus undefeated Pac-12 opposition, plus 6-1 SU and 6-0-1 ATS at home with revenge when the Huskies are .800 or greater on the season. On defense, U-Dub is one of only three teams to have held every foe to a season-low yardage mark this year. FYI: should they remain on the list, the Ducks will leave Husky Stadium with 370 or fewer yards tonight. But it’s Pac-12 rushing leader Bishop Sankey who could be the key in this game for the Huskies. With Washington head coach Steve Sarkisian 8-2 SU and 8-1 ATS at home with a winning record, we’ll fade the new No. 1 team sitting atop the Sagarin ratings this week, with a straight-up money line side call (+425) to boot. How 'bout them apples! We recommend a 3-unit play on Washington. Thank you and good luck as always.