JIMMY BOYD
5* Non-Conference Game of the Year on Mississippi State -pts
The Bulldogs play extremely well in front of their home crowd. In fact, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a winning record. They have several key matchup advantages in this game against Bowling Green. On offense Mississippi State has scored 32.4 points per game overall, and 46.3 points per game when playing at home. They have put up big numbers against a much stronger schedule than what the Falcons have faced this season.
Bowling Green's only game against a quality opponent was their matchup with Indiana. The Falcons ended up getting crushed in a 32 point blowout. There defense has been soft against the run, allowing 4.8 yards per carry. When playing on the road it gets even worse as opponents average 5.3 yards per carry and 202 rushing yards per game. Mississippi State is a great running team that averages 4.9 yards per carry and 208 rushing yards per game. They should have no problem dominating this matchup similar to the way Indiana was able to control their game against the Falcons.
Head coach Dan Mullen has a 12-4 ATS record has a home favorite as the coach of Mississippi State. I expect him to have his defense well prepared after having a poor showing against LSU last week. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Typically the Mississippi State secondary has played well this season, holding opponents to to just 205 passing yards per game. The Falcon's offensive numbers are drastically inflated thanks to a soft schedule, and the value in this game is on Mississippi State.
5* Non-Conference Game of the Year on Mississippi State -pts
The Bulldogs play extremely well in front of their home crowd. In fact, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a winning record. They have several key matchup advantages in this game against Bowling Green. On offense Mississippi State has scored 32.4 points per game overall, and 46.3 points per game when playing at home. They have put up big numbers against a much stronger schedule than what the Falcons have faced this season.
Bowling Green's only game against a quality opponent was their matchup with Indiana. The Falcons ended up getting crushed in a 32 point blowout. There defense has been soft against the run, allowing 4.8 yards per carry. When playing on the road it gets even worse as opponents average 5.3 yards per carry and 202 rushing yards per game. Mississippi State is a great running team that averages 4.9 yards per carry and 208 rushing yards per game. They should have no problem dominating this matchup similar to the way Indiana was able to control their game against the Falcons.
Head coach Dan Mullen has a 12-4 ATS record has a home favorite as the coach of Mississippi State. I expect him to have his defense well prepared after having a poor showing against LSU last week. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Typically the Mississippi State secondary has played well this season, holding opponents to to just 205 passing yards per game. The Falcon's offensive numbers are drastically inflated thanks to a soft schedule, and the value in this game is on Mississippi State.
WinningAngleSports
CFB
LSU -7.5 over Florida
Texas A&M -6 over Mississippi
Army -7.5 over Eastern Michigan
UNLV -9.5 over Hawaii
Oregon -14 over Washington
MLB
Los Angeles -115 over St. Louis (TOP PLAY)
Boston -135 over Detroit (TOP PLAY)
CFB
LSU -7.5 over Florida
Texas A&M -6 over Mississippi
Army -7.5 over Eastern Michigan
UNLV -9.5 over Hawaii
Oregon -14 over Washington
MLB
Los Angeles -115 over St. Louis (TOP PLAY)
Boston -135 over Detroit (TOP PLAY)
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
MLB DETROIT at BOSTON
Play Against - Road teams (DETROIT) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
329-198 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.4% 93.7 units )
78-58 this year. ( 57.4% 8.5 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets
MLB LA DODGERS at ST LOUIS
LA DODGERS are 33-13 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: LA DODGERS (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.1)
MLB DETROIT at BOSTON
Play Against - Road teams (DETROIT) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
329-198 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.4% 93.7 units )
78-58 this year. ( 57.4% 8.5 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets
MLB LA DODGERS at ST LOUIS
LA DODGERS are 33-13 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: LA DODGERS (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.1)
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
NHL NY RANGERS at ST LOUIS
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NY RANGERS) horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after getting shutout in their previous game
22-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.9% 25.1 units )
NHL PITTSBURGH at FLORIDA
Play On - A underdog against the money line (FLORIDA) off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, on Friday nights
56-46 since 1997. ( 54.9% 40.8 units )
NHL NY RANGERS at ST LOUIS
Play Against - Any team against the money line (NY RANGERS) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 4 goals or more
22-5 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.5% 17.7 units )
NHL NY RANGERS at ST LOUIS
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NY RANGERS) horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after getting shutout in their previous game
22-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.9% 25.1 units )
NHL PITTSBURGH at FLORIDA
Play On - A underdog against the money line (FLORIDA) off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, on Friday nights
56-46 since 1997. ( 54.9% 40.8 units )
NHL NY RANGERS at ST LOUIS
Play Against - Any team against the money line (NY RANGERS) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 4 goals or more
22-5 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.5% 17.7 units )
From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER
OKLAHOMA (111) AT TEXAS (112)
Latest Line: Texas +14.0; Total: 58.0
The Red River Rivalry resumes in Dallas, and these programs seem to be heading in different directions. Oklahoma has won and covered against Texas each of the past three years, including a 63-21 blowout last year and 55-17 domination two years ago. Texas QB David Ash (concussion) will sit again, giving Case McCoy another start (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS as starter, 5.63 YPA on the season). Oklahoma won ugly at home against TCU last week, rushing for 203 yards but going just 3-for-13 on third downs.
FORECASTER: Oklahoma 36, Texas 28
STATFOX FORECASTER
OKLAHOMA (111) AT TEXAS (112)
Latest Line: Texas +14.0; Total: 58.0
The Red River Rivalry resumes in Dallas, and these programs seem to be heading in different directions. Oklahoma has won and covered against Texas each of the past three years, including a 63-21 blowout last year and 55-17 domination two years ago. Texas QB David Ash (concussion) will sit again, giving Case McCoy another start (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS as starter, 5.63 YPA on the season). Oklahoma won ugly at home against TCU last week, rushing for 203 yards but going just 3-for-13 on third downs.
FORECASTER: Oklahoma 36, Texas 28
Bob Balfe
Saturday NCAA Comp Pick
Virginia Tech -7 over Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh does not do well against good defenses. Their QB Tom Savage is a good player, but he is a gun slinger that throws silly interceptions. This Virginia Tech Defense is the best in the nation and will take advantage of his aggression. VTech is not the best offensive team, but this Pittsburgh team has been a major letdown on defense with the players that they have. The Panthers will find a way to hand this game to the Hokies. Take Virginia Tech.
Saturday NCAA Comp Pick
Virginia Tech -7 over Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh does not do well against good defenses. Their QB Tom Savage is a good player, but he is a gun slinger that throws silly interceptions. This Virginia Tech Defense is the best in the nation and will take advantage of his aggression. VTech is not the best offensive team, but this Pittsburgh team has been a major letdown on defense with the players that they have. The Panthers will find a way to hand this game to the Hokies. Take Virginia Tech.
Havent posted in a while...but these were paid/confirmed by me...
Bob Akmens:
Play of Day- No. Ill -24
10* over 74 in the Baylor game
10* under 52 in the Miss. St.
Maddux Sports:
20* Wisconson -10
10* Penn St. +3
10* San Jose St. +4
10* Mississippi +7
10* BYU -7
Bob Akmens:
Play of Day- No. Ill -24
10* over 74 in the Baylor game
10* under 52 in the Miss. St.
Maddux Sports:
20* Wisconson -10
10* Penn St. +3
10* San Jose St. +4
10* Mississippi +7
10* BYU -7
