Service Plays Saturday 10/12/13

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Matchup: Texas A&M at Mississippi
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Mississippi (+6.5 +100)
Line Source: CarbonSports
Posted on: October 11, 2013 @ 2:35:34 PM EDT

>Play On: Mississippi (Game 136).
Note: The Rebels are coming home off a disappointing road losses to Auburn and Alabama and will look to turn it up a notch when the host the Aggies on ESPN this evening. Texas A&M enters off a week of rest, having not shown a deeper appreciation for the in-season bye week, posting a 1-7 ATS mark in their last 8 regular games with rest off a win, including 0-5 ATS in the last five. Kevin Sumlin will also find his team running smack dab into one of my best angles involving 17 returning starter dogs off a pair of SU and ATS losses. Also toss in the fact that Sumlin is 0-5 ATS in his career on the road against .600 or greater opponents seeking revenge. In addition, the Aggies are 1-5 ATS in Game Six while the Rebels counter with a 10-2 ATS mark in such contests. Ole Miss also looks to take advantage of one of sports handicapping’s greatest gifts, namely fading a favored visitor sporting a 6.0 DYPR. On the blind these home dogs are a terrific 29-15-2 ATS winning proposition against these soft bellies, including an 8-4 SU and 11-1 ATS mark from Game Five out. Meanwhile, the Rebels will rely on coach Hugh Freeze’s terrific 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS career mark in games against foes off a spread loss. The clincher comes from our powerful database as it tells us to: 'Play On' any dog of 5 or more points in its 2nd home game of the campaign in Game Six of the season if they are facing an opponent that allows more than 18.5 or PPG on the season. That's because they home dogs are 22-2 ATS in this role since 1980. We cement it with the fact that college football road favorites who allow more than 30 PPG, and more then 4.0 YPR, are just 2-20-2 ATS since 1980 if they allowed more than 30 points in their last game and are facing a foe with revenge today. And with that we make Ole Miss a live home dog, and given the circumstances, we’ll back this Rebel with a cause tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Mississippi. Thank you and good luck as always.
 

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Matchup: Michigan at Penn State
Time: 5:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Penn State (+3 -105)
Line Source: CarbonSports
Posted on: October 11, 2013 @ 2:35:34 PM EDT

>Play On: Penn State (Game 180).
Note: Earlier we alluded to Arkansas being a desperate team and here’s another one – Penn State. The 3-2 Lions have a date in Columbus next week with No. 3 Ohio State, they’ve already lost at home this season to UCF and they’ve just had to endure being shellacked by one of their perennial whipping boys, Indiana. However, despite the 44-24 spanking from the Hoosiers, the Nits are in several attractive ATS roles this weekend. Penn State is 3-0 SUATS in the series, plus 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS off a SU favorite loss. In addition, head coach Bill O'Brien is a perfect 5-0 ATS in games off a loss with the Lions (4-1 SU with the loss by a single point). The Wolverines may be clean SU and ITS (In The Stats) this season but they find themselves in tricky role here as undefeated teams laying points in their 2nd road game of the season in Game Six are just 8-22-1 ATS against an opponent off a loss, and just 1-10 ATS when facing a winning opponent in this role. We continued to quiz our database for additional info on the Maize-and-Blue but nothing positive emerged: the Wolves are a dreadful 1-8 ATS away in between games at the Big House, and 0-14 ATS away off a home game in which they allowed more than 10 points. In addition, they are also 0-8 ATS as a road favorite off a win of 25 or more points in games in which they are undefeated and the opponent is .600 or greater on the season. The clincher, though, comes from our PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB as it tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any 5-0 college football team in Game Six (Michigan) as a conference road favorite who won 10 or fewer games last season versus an opponent who allows 21.5 or less PPG on the season if the opponent is off an ATS loss and allowed 13 or more points in its last game. That's because these road favorites are 0-12 ATS in this roles since 1980. While it’s not easy backing the Lions without Joe Pa on the sidelines, this has the makings of a make-or-break game for the hosts. State rings the register in its first appearance with a dog collar in 2013. We recommend a 4-unit play on Penn State. Thank you and good luck as always.
 

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well those "wrong plays" went 8-2 last week. hmmmm....
 

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please stop posting marc lawrence plays, this is the 3rd week you've posted the wrong plays.

The guy who said Lawrence had only two plays on Sunday was 100% wrong, he had four 3 unit plays and all the plays he posted were correct, I pointed out he posted correct plays and dindn't want to get into a pissing match on a busy day.
 

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Steve Budin

Philadelphia Crew 150 Dime Cheap Chalk Cover - Colorado State
 
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Dwayne Bryant | CFB Side Sat, 10/12/13 - 8:00 PM
triple-dime bet 196 Utah St. 7.0 (-110) bodog vs 195 Boise St.
Analysis:

3 Units (MAX BET)

[196] UTAH STATE +7
 
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Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 3:30PM
176 Colorado St. -3.5 double-dime bet


Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 3:30PM
148 Wyoming -15.5 double-dime bet

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 3:30PM
160 LSU -6.5 triple-dime bet

Stephen Nover | CFB Total - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 7:00PM
151 Georgia Tech / 152 BYU UNDER 54 double-dime bet


Free Pick
Mississippi State -10 1/2

 
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Dave Essler | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 12:20PM
172 Arkansas +6 triple-dime bet

Dave Essler | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 12:00PM
115 Pittsburgh +9.5 double-dime bet

Dave Essler | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 8:30PM
136 Mississippi +13.5 double-dime bet

Dave Essler | CFB Total - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 3:30PM
159 Florida / 160 LSU OVER 48 double-dime bet

Dave Essler | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 12:00PM
155 Missouri +8 double-dime bet

Dave Essler | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 3:30PM
159 Florida +7 LSU double-dime bet

Dave Essler | CFB MoneyLine - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 8:30PM
ML 135 Texas A&M -220 single-dime bet

Analysis: Kinda dumb for the ones that have Ole Miss in a teaser not to do this, really. Risking .2 to make 3.

Dave Essler | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2013 12:00PM
129 South Florida +10.5 double-dime bet

Analysis: I like both of these teams to win ATS, but a 6 point teaser just doesn't cost that much and it's getting us through key numbers. Super-low scoring game in Connecticut gives us tons of room there, and a home team w/two possessions and RLM in Utah.

Two team teaser:

South Florida +10.5 to Utah +14.5
 
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Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at St. Louis

The Dodgers look to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games when the total is set at 6 1/2 or lower. LA is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.547; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.025
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over
Game 905-906: Detroit at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 16.873; Boston (Lester) 15.902
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Under
 
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Point Train's CFB Best Bet Saturday, October 128-Unit-#111 Oklahoma (-13.5) over Texas– 11:00 AM CST

The last two quarterbacks to face the Sooners — Notre Dame’s Tommy Rees and TCU’s Trevone Boykin — completed only 50 percent of their passes and averaged just 135 yards per game. Texas’ starting QB David Ash is out with an injury so Case McCoy will again get the start under center. McCoy has completed nearly 61% of his passes this season with 2 TD and 0 INT. But the offense has been rather stagnant with McCoy at the helm. He’s averaging just 5.6 yards per attempt (compared to 8.7 YPA for David Ash) and the big-play potential severely decreases. Meanwhile, Texas’ defense has been horrendous. The Longhorns have surrendered 30+ points in three of the last four games and they rank 110thin yards allowed. Oklahoma hasn’t been as explosive on offense this season as they have in year’s past, but the Sooners are gaining steam behind QB Bell. Bell has 6 TD and 0 INT in three starts this season. He’ll have a big day against this porous Texas defense. OU has won and covered the last three meetings winning by an average margin of 29 PPG. OU had a +388 yard advantage and +17 first downs in last year’s game and QB Bell had four rushing touchdowns.
 
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Nelly's Football - Saturday Computer Slam - Oct. 122* #114 Michigan State -9 over Indiana 11:00 AM CT
 
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BEST Football - 20* MAC Conference Game of the Year - Oct. 1220* #118 Massachusetts -5 over Miami OH 2:00 PM CT
 
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Maximum Football - 10* NCAA Top Play - Oct. 1210* #195 Boise State -6 over Utah State 7:00 PM CT
 
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Today's NHL Picks

NY Islanders at Nashville

The Predators look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus the Islanders. Nashville is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Boston at Columbus (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.599; Columbus 11.085
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Under
Game 53-54: Edmonton at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.342; Toronto 10.330
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+145); Over
Game 55-56: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.754; Detroit 10.812
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+150); Under
Game 57-58: Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 13.226; Tampa Bay 11.720
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Over
Game 59-60: Colorado at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.422; Washington 10.657
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under
Game 61-62: Buffalo at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.573; Chicago 12.084
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-240); Over
Game 63-64: NY Rangers at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.343; St. Louis 11.287
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 65-66: NY Islanders at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.356; Nashville 11.864
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-120); Under
Game 67-68: Dallas at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.286; Minnesota 12.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-145); Under
Game 69-70: Montreal at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.329; Vancouver 11.084
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+115); Under
Game 71-72: Ottawa at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.256; San Jose 13.178
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-180); Over
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1111-836 (57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner SAT: North Texas -7
 

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