Service Plays Monday 7/21/08

[rocky2]

Matty O'Shea

MLB Total
Double-Dime bet CWS / TEX Over 9.5

The Rangers and White Sox saw their previous two meetings average nearly 20 runs last weekend, and there's no reason to believe that high-scoring trend won't continue here in this series opener at Chicago. The Sox saw their next three games at home average 13 runs against the Royals after that series at Arlington, with each one going OVER the total. Chicago will send Javier Vazquez to the mound, and he is 2-3 with a 6.80 ERA in his last seven starts. Vazquez has seen the OVER cash in seven of his last eight home starts. Meanwhile, Texas starter Eric Hurley will be making his first start since June 29th due to a hamstring injury and has not gone more than six innings yet in his young career. Both teams hit righties hard, and I simply expect this to be another explosive affair. Bet the OVER as my Double Dime AL Total Play O' the Week.
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[rocky2]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

MLB Total
triple-dime bet KAN / DET Under 9.5

UNDER Royals/Tigers

The Tigers just cant solve the Royals this season. Theyre 0-6 against them and have averaged less than two runs per game! Overall, the games between Detroit and Kansas City have averaged about six runs per game and indeed there is some value here with going under the big number. Both teams are coming into this series off of some impressive offensive performances in their first series after the All Star Break. Detroit scored 25 runs in splitting their four game set with the Orioles. The Royals scored 22 runs in taking two of three from the White Sox. However, good pitching shuts down good hitting and tonights pitching match-up has the makings of a pitchers duel even though the starters involved tonight are not where youd normally think to look for a pitchers duel. Zach Miner is getting a chance to earn the #5 spot in the Tigers rotation and hes certainly earned it. Miner has been coming out of the bullpen and hes definitely been getting the job done! Hes 2-1 in his last 19 appearances with a stellar 0.68 ERA. In starting 17 games over the past three seasons Miner compiled a 7-7 record. However, sometimes a long stint in the bullpen is what rejuvenates a pitcher who wants badly to be in the starting role. This is precisely what we see with this situation with Miner and we expect him to stay hot, just like he was out of the bullpen, and mow down the Royals on Monday. As for the Kansas City pitching situation, the Royals are pretty well set with Luke Hochevar. His overall numbers this season may not appear that impressive but the right-hander has great stuff and hes grown as the season has gone on. Hochevar is finally learning to trust his stuff and he showed this once again in bouncing back from a couple of rough outings by totally dominating Seattle in his most recent start on July 11th. Hochevar is 1-0 with a 0.96 ERA against the Tigers and he already beat them at Kauffman Stadium back in May. Look for more of the same here. Hochevar has been much tougher at home than on the road and his 4-2 record at Kauffman Stadium with a 3.48 ERA is a sign of things to come. Though most wont think of a pitchers duel with these two hurlers on the mound, you can see from the above why one is quite likely! With the extra line value being offered with this big total the UNDER is the total of the month!
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[rocky2]

BIG AL

Braves vs. Marlins (MLB) Monday July 21nd, 2008 7:10 ET
Pick: Money Line Braves

At 7:10pm our complimentary selection is on the Atlanta Braves over the Florida Marlins. You need a computerized scorecard to keep up with the ever-changing Florida Marlins rotation. Originally, Andrew Miller was supposed to start Sunday's game against the Phils, but Miller is now to be placed on the DL, so righthander Josh Johnson, who just came back off the DL after Tommy John surgery (he is attempting less than a year recovery time - which is rare) will have his start moved up from Monday to Sunday which means 21-year-old rookie righthander Chris Volstad will get the start in this game at home against the Braves. Volstad may be 2-0 with an ERA of 0.84 so far in his Major League debut season, but those stats are most likely deceiving as nothing in Volstad's minor league numbers indicates that he is ready for a stint as a regular starter in the Majors. Last year in single A ball, Volstad was 8-9 with a 4.50 ERA and this year he has improved slightly to go 4-4 at double A ball. But it is a long way from that level to facing the likes of Chipper Jones and Mark Texeira. The Braves have had their own share of pitching injuries this season, and today's starter, righthander Jorge Campillo was doubtful for this start after fouling a ball of his foot last Sunday, but he has recovered and will make the start today, which is good news for Atlanta who have continued to struggle on the road and should benefit from having him on the mound as Campillo is one of Atlanta's best road performers with a 1.80 ERA in four starts away from Turner Field this season.

Take the Braves.
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[$kipper]

Dwayne Bryant

<table align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> Dwayne Bryant


</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#cccccc">7:05 PM ET
MLB
Milwaukee Brewers (McClung) at St. Louis Cardinals (Pineiro)</td></tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ebebeb"> Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers (Listed Pitchers) +107
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The Brewers are a solid road dog here. They are coming off a three-game sweep of the Giants and they scored 24 runs in that sweep at San Francisco. Milwaukee has now won five of its last six on the road and they've won five of their last seven meetings with the Cards. Ryan Braun is batting .391 (18-for-46) with four home runs, five doubles and 13 RBIs in his last 11 games. He's fared even better against the Cardinals, as he has hit two home runs in each of his last two games against them and is batting .413 (31-for-75) with seven homers and 20 RBIs in 18 career games vs. St. Louis.
Milwaukee starter Seth McClung has pitched well lately, posting a 3.86 ERA in his three July starts, but he has only received three total runs of support in those games. This will be McClung's first career start against the Cardinals, but he made two relief appearances against them in April, allowing two hits in four scoreless innings.
St. Louis counters with Joel Pineiro, who has just one victory in his last 11 starts. Pineiro's home numbers (3.56 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, .323 OBP) are actually slightly worse than McClung's road numbers (3.28 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, .318 OBP). Pineiro has struggled a bit in his last three starts, sporting a 5.29 ERA, 1.94 WHIP and .425 OBP.
The Brewers are 26-9 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and they're 11-3 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 1-5 in Pineiro's last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 1-5 in Pineiro's last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Take Milwaukee/McClung over St. Louis/Pineiro.
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[countryfreshness]

MLB Monday 7/21

lovin' some Akmens, Hitman, Hammer, Wizard & Elite when they come out

will post Lang's fades later today

thanks to all

PS. got killed by Lyon last night

 

[White_Tiger]

thanks ... does anyone ever get his paid plays anymore. Just curious

we did but not that often. He got 2 games of the month in WNBA last friday which went 1-1 ( almost 0-2)

 

[romer]

Larry Ness' 15* Situational Game of the Week (32-15 MLB run since June 30)

Larry went 25-12 with his MLB plays the L2 weeks before the All Star break. When play resumed on Thursday, he continued his winning ways by going 7-3 the L4 days (now 32-15 s/June 30), including a perfect 3-0 with GOW plays (two-year regular season run with GOW plays is now 172-86!). The winning continues tonight. Any takers?

15* Boston Red Soxs

Ness is money with this play. Last year the guy basically doubled my bankroll. :toast:

 

[ma3x]

Robert Ross

Game: Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Jul 21 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: New York Yankees
Reason: Yanks have taken five of last seven at home from the Twins. MINNESOTA is 20-48 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons and 13-24 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 7 or more hits/start over the last 2 seasons. Take New York.

 

[B.S.S.]

Budin?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WINNERS EDGE

2 Units ATLANTA BRAVES EV
2 Units NY YANKEES -130
2 Units DETROIT TIGERS -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ron Raymond

MLB BEST BET WINNER

5* San Diego/Cincinnati - Over 10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE KING MAKER

PLAY OF THE DAY

2-Units Florida Marlins -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">KELSO


25 unit game of month - astros
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[patriots12]

ROBERT FERRINGO


2-Unit Play. Take Boston (-145) over Seattle

2-Unit Play. Take Chicago Cubs (-135) over Arizona

1.5-Unit Play. Take Minnesota (+125) over New York Yankees

1.5-Unit Play. Take Baltimore (-110) over Toronto

1.5-Unit Play. Take Texas (+160) over Chicago White Sox

1-Unit Play. Los Angeles Angels (-1.5, +105) over Cleveland

 

[TheBoss]

Brandon Lovell And Steve Budin

THESE GUYS ON FIRE.... HOPEFULLY WE CAN GET BRANDON LOVELL... HE'S WON BIG RELEASES THE LAST FEW DAYS...AND HAS ANOTHER MONSTER TONIGHT.... ANYONE GOT BRANDON LOVELL?ope:

 

[pirates]

Anyone seen Nostradamus predicts picks? He went 0-5 Saturday then I couldn't find anything for Sunday.

I figured $200 for lifetime picks would get better results then 41-45-1.

You have to admit though that if it were only $100 rather than $200 for a lifetime of picks that it would be a great deal!!!

Cost of a guaranteed winner from a good documented capper at YWN: $25. Low cost of a lifetime of losers from Nostradamus: PRICELESS!!!

 

[buffalobill256]

Shat the bed yesterday

Glad my services are running out, 4-7 yesterday; although RD hit the Yks. under early, his other picks shat also. Glad he's going on vacationtoo,left a post-it on my door. Won't be back till Sun. night, but for today has an early take: WSox over 9.5 2* pod, Balt. over 10 1*, Seattle under 9 1*, & TB (again?) under 7.5 .5*. Good luck, be back with my services later. Learned a new word yesterday. FADE! Bill

 

[JD11]

Glad my services are running out, 4-7 yesterday; although RD hit the Yks. under early, his other picks shat also. Glad he's going on vacationtoo,left a post-it on my door. Won't be back till Sun. night, but for today has an early take: WSox over 9.5 2* pod, Balt. over 10 1*, Seattle under 9 1*, & TB (again?) under 7.5 .5*. Good luck, be back with my services later. Learned a new word yesterday. FADE! Bill

:missingte what is up with this guy?

 

[IAM4UK]

:missingte what is up with this guy?

Who RD or Wild Bill or Wild RD?

 

[hardworker]

Seabass

Anybody have Seabass plays for tonight.
Thanks.