Ya good point lionman... I actually play Sharks first inning too along with Deano's. I dont like to pay for this crap unless I have too, I would love to hop on Sharks Premium plays, but its 50 bucks! He explains the chase system well too. I only follow systems because its brought me the most money in
All of the guys at that site are very good over the long haul. They worry less about impressive records and focus more on profit, even if that means playing dogs. These are the kinds of guys you want to follow/invest in if you choose to follow services....guys that established results and credibility by posting for years for free before going paid.
EZWINNERS
MLB
1 STAR: (952) PHILADELPHIA (-$136) over Cincinnati
(Action)
(Risking $136 to win $100)
1 STAR: (956) MILWAUKEE (-$131) over Arizona
(Listing Suppan only)
(Risking $131 to win $100)
1 STAR: (960) SAN DIEGO (+$160) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $160)
1 STAR: (971) DETROIT (+$144) over Oakland
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $145)
MLB
1 STAR: (952) PHILADELPHIA (-$136) over Cincinnati
(Action)
(Risking $136 to win $100)
1 STAR: (956) MILWAUKEE (-$131) over Arizona
(Listing Suppan only)
(Risking $131 to win $100)
1 STAR: (960) SAN DIEGO (+$160) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $160)
1 STAR: (971) DETROIT (+$144) over Oakland
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $145)
R.J. Miller Professional Gamblers Newsletter
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, June 2, 2008
BRAVES -134 over Marlins (Reyes-Olsen)
BREWERS -131 over Diamondbacks (Suppan-Davis)
ROCKIES +154 at Dodgers (Reynolds-Lowe) (OR +1.5 -152)
Yankees at Twins OVER 9.5 -113 (Pettitte-Hernandez)
ATHLETICS -1.5 +141 over Tigers (Harden-Rogers) (OR -155
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, June 2, 2008
BRAVES -134 over Marlins (Reyes-Olsen)
BREWERS -131 over Diamondbacks (Suppan-Davis)
ROCKIES +154 at Dodgers (Reynolds-Lowe) (OR +1.5 -152)
Yankees at Twins OVER 9.5 -113 (Pettitte-Hernandez)
ATHLETICS -1.5 +141 over Tigers (Harden-Rogers) (OR -155
SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Arizona (32-25) at Milwaukee (29-28)
The Brewers try to continue their winning homestand when they send veteran righty Jeff Suppan (3-4, 3.93 ERA) to the mound at Miller Park to take on the N.L. West-leading Diamondbacks and former Brewer Doug Davis (2-2, 4.57).
Milwaukee has won five of six games on this homestand, including Sunday’s 10-1 victory that capped a three-game weekend sweep of the Astros. Meanwhile, Arizona snapped a five-game losing streak with back-to-back wins Saturday (4-0) and Sunday (5-0) at home against the Nationals.
The Brewers took five of seven from Arizona last season and have won 10 of the last 14 series clashes in Milwaukee.
Davis is 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA on the road this season but got drilled in his last start, giving up six runs on nine hits in five innings of an 11-3 home loss to the Giants. Davis has only seen his former team twice in his career, both last season, and went 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. He allowed a combined eight runs in eight innings of work. He got a no-decision in Arizona’s 5-2 road win in July, then took the loss in a 9-0 loss at home a month later.
Suppan has been brilliant at Miller Park, going 2-0 with a 0.93 ERA in four starts, including Wednesday’s eight-inning gem against Atlanta, as shutout the Braves on four hits in a 1-0 victory. In fact, Suppan has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his four home outings, with Milwaukee winning three of those contests.
For his career, Suppan is 2-3 with a 3.86 ERA in six starts covering 32 2/3 innings of work against Arizona. He faced the Diamondbacks back on Aug. 22 and gave up three runs in seven innings, but lost 3-2 in the desert. Arizona is 4-2 all-time in games in which Suppan has started.
Arizona is 15-6 in Davis’ last 21 starts and 4-1 in his last five Monday outings. As a team, the DBacks are just 9-20 in their last 29 on the road against right-handed pitching, 2-8 in their last 10 on the road overall and 1-4 in their last five against the N.L. Central.
The Brewers are 7-1 in Suppan’s last eight at home but just 2-5 in his last seven overall and 1-6 the last seven times he’s pitched in a series opener. As a team, Milwaukee is on streaks of 50-21 against left-handed pitching, 5-1 on Mondays, 6-2 against the N.L. West and 5-2 in series openers.
The over is 10-2 in Davis’ last 12 starts overall, 5-1 in his last six on the road and 7-0 in his last seven when going on four days’ rest, but the under is 4-0-1 in Davis’ last five on Mondays. Meanwhile, Suppan sports nothing but “under” runs, including 6-0 in series openers, 4-0 against teams with a winning record, 4-0 at home and 5-0 overall.
For the Brewers as a team, the under is on runs of 6-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 8-1-1 against left-handed starters, 13-3-1 in series openers and 8-3-1 on Mondays. However, for Arizona, the over is 6-2 in its last eight on Mondays and 7-3 in its last 10 on the road against right-handed starters. Finally, the under is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs in Milwaukee.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
AMERICAN LEAGUE
N.Y. Yankees (28-28) at Minnesota (29-27)
The Twins send Livan Hernandez (6-2, 4.60 ERA) to the hill in the finale of a four-game set with the Yankees, who are set to hand the ball to Andy Pettitte (5-5, 4.11) inside the Metrodome.
Minnesota took Sunday’s game 5-1 after dropping one-run decisions Friday (6-5) and Saturday (7-6 in 12 innings). The Twins are 5-2 in their last seven overall, but they snapped a four-game home losing skid with yesterday’s win. Also, Minnesota is just 3-8 in its last 11 at home against southpaw starters, but 6-2 in its last eight on Mondays.
Despite Sunday’s setback, which halted a three-game winning streak, New York has won eight of its last 11 overall and five of six against teams with a winning record. The Yankees are also 5-2 in their last seven games in Minnesota and 37-15 in the last 52 matchups against the Twins regardless of venue.
The Twins are 9-3 in Hernandez’s 12 starts this season, and he’s 4-0 with a 4.23 ERA in six games at home. The veteran right-hander has been knocked around lately, giving up 14 runs (11 earned) in his last 11 1/3 innings over two starts, a 9-8 Minnesota win at Kansas City and an 8-7 home loss to Texas. Prior to that two-game stretch, Hernandez had allowed three earned runs or less in four straight starts.
For his career, Hernandez is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts against the Yankees. Last year while with the Diamondbacks, he surrendered seven runs on nine hits in four innings of a 7-2 loss at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees have won Pettitte’s last two starts as he’s allowed an identical two runs on eight hits over a combined 12 2/3 innings in wins over the Mariners (13-2 at home) and Orioles (4-2 on the road). On the road this season, Pettitte is 4-2 with a 3.72 ERA.
Pettitte is 8-5 with a 3.52 ERA in 17 lifetime starts against the Twins, and the Yankees have won eight of his last 10 starts against them, including four in a row overall and four of his last five in the Metrodome. The last time the veteran southpaw faced Minnesota was April 2007 when he scattered four hits and a walk over six shutout innings of a 10-1 road victory.
Prior to winning Pettitte’s last two starts, New York had lost five straight games behind Pettitte, But otherwise Joe Girardi’s squad sports positive trends of 14-4 with Pettitte pitching on Monday, 10-3 with him on the road, and 19-7 when he goes up against A.L. Central squads.
For Pettitte, the under is 20-7 in his last 27 starts overall, 13-3 in his last 16 when he goes on four days’ rest, 7-1 in his last eight versus teams with a winning record and 7-0 in his last seven on the highway. On the flip side, the over is 8-1 in Hernandez’s last nine starts overall and 5-0 in his last five outings inside the Metrodome.
The over is 6-3 in the Yankees’ last nine overall, but otherwise the under is on streaks for the team of 10-4-1 against A.L. Central squads, 5-1-1 on Mondays and 7-1 on the road against right-handed starters. For the Twins, the over is 9-4 in their last 13 overall, 5-2-1 in their last seven against A.L. East foes and 6-1 in their last seven at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Arizona (32-25) at Milwaukee (29-28)
The Brewers try to continue their winning homestand when they send veteran righty Jeff Suppan (3-4, 3.93 ERA) to the mound at Miller Park to take on the N.L. West-leading Diamondbacks and former Brewer Doug Davis (2-2, 4.57).
Milwaukee has won five of six games on this homestand, including Sunday’s 10-1 victory that capped a three-game weekend sweep of the Astros. Meanwhile, Arizona snapped a five-game losing streak with back-to-back wins Saturday (4-0) and Sunday (5-0) at home against the Nationals.
The Brewers took five of seven from Arizona last season and have won 10 of the last 14 series clashes in Milwaukee.
Davis is 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA on the road this season but got drilled in his last start, giving up six runs on nine hits in five innings of an 11-3 home loss to the Giants. Davis has only seen his former team twice in his career, both last season, and went 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. He allowed a combined eight runs in eight innings of work. He got a no-decision in Arizona’s 5-2 road win in July, then took the loss in a 9-0 loss at home a month later.
Suppan has been brilliant at Miller Park, going 2-0 with a 0.93 ERA in four starts, including Wednesday’s eight-inning gem against Atlanta, as shutout the Braves on four hits in a 1-0 victory. In fact, Suppan has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his four home outings, with Milwaukee winning three of those contests.
For his career, Suppan is 2-3 with a 3.86 ERA in six starts covering 32 2/3 innings of work against Arizona. He faced the Diamondbacks back on Aug. 22 and gave up three runs in seven innings, but lost 3-2 in the desert. Arizona is 4-2 all-time in games in which Suppan has started.
Arizona is 15-6 in Davis’ last 21 starts and 4-1 in his last five Monday outings. As a team, the DBacks are just 9-20 in their last 29 on the road against right-handed pitching, 2-8 in their last 10 on the road overall and 1-4 in their last five against the N.L. Central.
The Brewers are 7-1 in Suppan’s last eight at home but just 2-5 in his last seven overall and 1-6 the last seven times he’s pitched in a series opener. As a team, Milwaukee is on streaks of 50-21 against left-handed pitching, 5-1 on Mondays, 6-2 against the N.L. West and 5-2 in series openers.
The over is 10-2 in Davis’ last 12 starts overall, 5-1 in his last six on the road and 7-0 in his last seven when going on four days’ rest, but the under is 4-0-1 in Davis’ last five on Mondays. Meanwhile, Suppan sports nothing but “under” runs, including 6-0 in series openers, 4-0 against teams with a winning record, 4-0 at home and 5-0 overall.
For the Brewers as a team, the under is on runs of 6-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 8-1-1 against left-handed starters, 13-3-1 in series openers and 8-3-1 on Mondays. However, for Arizona, the over is 6-2 in its last eight on Mondays and 7-3 in its last 10 on the road against right-handed starters. Finally, the under is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs in Milwaukee.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
AMERICAN LEAGUE
N.Y. Yankees (28-28) at Minnesota (29-27)
The Twins send Livan Hernandez (6-2, 4.60 ERA) to the hill in the finale of a four-game set with the Yankees, who are set to hand the ball to Andy Pettitte (5-5, 4.11) inside the Metrodome.
Minnesota took Sunday’s game 5-1 after dropping one-run decisions Friday (6-5) and Saturday (7-6 in 12 innings). The Twins are 5-2 in their last seven overall, but they snapped a four-game home losing skid with yesterday’s win. Also, Minnesota is just 3-8 in its last 11 at home against southpaw starters, but 6-2 in its last eight on Mondays.
Despite Sunday’s setback, which halted a three-game winning streak, New York has won eight of its last 11 overall and five of six against teams with a winning record. The Yankees are also 5-2 in their last seven games in Minnesota and 37-15 in the last 52 matchups against the Twins regardless of venue.
The Twins are 9-3 in Hernandez’s 12 starts this season, and he’s 4-0 with a 4.23 ERA in six games at home. The veteran right-hander has been knocked around lately, giving up 14 runs (11 earned) in his last 11 1/3 innings over two starts, a 9-8 Minnesota win at Kansas City and an 8-7 home loss to Texas. Prior to that two-game stretch, Hernandez had allowed three earned runs or less in four straight starts.
For his career, Hernandez is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts against the Yankees. Last year while with the Diamondbacks, he surrendered seven runs on nine hits in four innings of a 7-2 loss at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees have won Pettitte’s last two starts as he’s allowed an identical two runs on eight hits over a combined 12 2/3 innings in wins over the Mariners (13-2 at home) and Orioles (4-2 on the road). On the road this season, Pettitte is 4-2 with a 3.72 ERA.
Pettitte is 8-5 with a 3.52 ERA in 17 lifetime starts against the Twins, and the Yankees have won eight of his last 10 starts against them, including four in a row overall and four of his last five in the Metrodome. The last time the veteran southpaw faced Minnesota was April 2007 when he scattered four hits and a walk over six shutout innings of a 10-1 road victory.
Prior to winning Pettitte’s last two starts, New York had lost five straight games behind Pettitte, But otherwise Joe Girardi’s squad sports positive trends of 14-4 with Pettitte pitching on Monday, 10-3 with him on the road, and 19-7 when he goes up against A.L. Central squads.
For Pettitte, the under is 20-7 in his last 27 starts overall, 13-3 in his last 16 when he goes on four days’ rest, 7-1 in his last eight versus teams with a winning record and 7-0 in his last seven on the highway. On the flip side, the over is 8-1 in Hernandez’s last nine starts overall and 5-0 in his last five outings inside the Metrodome.
The over is 6-3 in the Yankees’ last nine overall, but otherwise the under is on streaks for the team of 10-4-1 against A.L. Central squads, 5-1-1 on Mondays and 7-1 on the road against right-handed starters. For the Twins, the over is 9-4 in their last 13 overall, 5-2-1 in their last seven against A.L. East foes and 6-1 in their last seven at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES
Karl Garrett
Cincinnati at PHILADELPHIA -140
The G-Man just loves what he is seeing out of Philadelphia these days, as the Phillies have taken over the top spot in the NL East with yesterday's win over Florida, as the Phils imrpoved to 6-1 their last 7 games, and 18-12 this season at home.
Cincy just swept the Braves, but that series was played at home where the Reds are 19-10. On the road, Cincy has struggled to a 9-19 mark, and the G-Man doesn't see that mark improving tonight in the City of Brotherly Love.
Bronson Arroyo is 3-1 on the road this year, but the righty's ERA is over 5 for the season, and the Phils have been tearing the cover off the ball during this homestand.
Kyle Kendrick comes into this one off 7 innings of 2 run ball in a win over Colorado his last time out, and I like him to get the support he needs to win another one in this game.
The Phillies are rolling, and the Reds haven't done squat on the road all season long.
Lay it with Philadelphia.
4* PHILADELPHIA
Cincinnati at PHILADELPHIA -140
The G-Man just loves what he is seeing out of Philadelphia these days, as the Phillies have taken over the top spot in the NL East with yesterday's win over Florida, as the Phils imrpoved to 6-1 their last 7 games, and 18-12 this season at home.
Cincy just swept the Braves, but that series was played at home where the Reds are 19-10. On the road, Cincy has struggled to a 9-19 mark, and the G-Man doesn't see that mark improving tonight in the City of Brotherly Love.
Bronson Arroyo is 3-1 on the road this year, but the righty's ERA is over 5 for the season, and the Phils have been tearing the cover off the ball during this homestand.
Kyle Kendrick comes into this one off 7 innings of 2 run ball in a win over Colorado his last time out, and I like him to get the support he needs to win another one in this game.
The Phillies are rolling, and the Reds haven't done squat on the road all season long.
Lay it with Philadelphia.
4* PHILADELPHIA
Bobby Maxwell
N.Y. Yankees at MINNESOTA +135
Improved to 8-2 with our last 10 Bonus Plays on the diamond after the Mets victory over the Dodgers in New York Sunday. Today we're playing the Twins in Minnesota as they host the Yankees.
Even though his ERA isn't very good and he doesn't look very good, the Twins' Livan Hernandez gets the job done and really gets it done at home. Minnesota is 9-3 with him on the hill this season and we're going to play him to get the best of the Yankees in this one.
Hernandez (6-2, 4.60 ERA) is 4-0 at home for the Twins and even though he's been knocked around lately, this guy seems to just survive every game.
Andy Pettitte (5-5, 4.11) is on the mound for the Yankees, who won Sunday 5-1 after dropping the first two games of this four-game series. New York is just 2-5 in Pettitte's last seven starts.
Minnesota is 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog and 6-2 in their last eight Monday matchups.
Let's play the plus-money on the home team Twins in this one. Hernandez will use his magic to get a home win tonight over the Bronx Bombers.
2* MINNESOTA
N.Y. Yankees at MINNESOTA +135
Improved to 8-2 with our last 10 Bonus Plays on the diamond after the Mets victory over the Dodgers in New York Sunday. Today we're playing the Twins in Minnesota as they host the Yankees.
Even though his ERA isn't very good and he doesn't look very good, the Twins' Livan Hernandez gets the job done and really gets it done at home. Minnesota is 9-3 with him on the hill this season and we're going to play him to get the best of the Yankees in this one.
Hernandez (6-2, 4.60 ERA) is 4-0 at home for the Twins and even though he's been knocked around lately, this guy seems to just survive every game.
Andy Pettitte (5-5, 4.11) is on the mound for the Yankees, who won Sunday 5-1 after dropping the first two games of this four-game series. New York is just 2-5 in Pettitte's last seven starts.
Minnesota is 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog and 6-2 in their last eight Monday matchups.
Let's play the plus-money on the home team Twins in this one. Hernandez will use his magic to get a home win tonight over the Bronx Bombers.
2* MINNESOTA
Chris Jordan
N.Y. Yankees -145 at MINNESOTA
For Monday night we're taking the Yankees, and we're listing Andy Pettitte and Livan Hernandez.
I changed my tune about Hernandez this season a tad, as I used to always go against him. This season things are different, as the Twins are 9-3 in Hernandez’s 12 starts. Problem is, the veteran right-hander has been knocked around in his last two starts, yielding 14 runs (11 of them earned) in his last 11-1/3 innings. And the problem with that funk, is he now faces a team that’s been awfully rude to him, and that will come in looking to close out the series by avenging yesterday’s loss. In his career, Hernandez is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts against the Bombers.
And while I believe he’ll get shelled, I don’t think the Twins will have much luck against Pettitte, who’s improved the past few weeks, pitching the Bombers in a position to win. New York has won his last two outings as he’s allowed two runs in each, scattering eight hits over a combined 12-2/3 frames. He’s been respectable with a suitcase in hand, posting a 4-2 mark on the road. The Bombers have also won eight of Pettitte’s last 10 starts against Minnesota, so let’s lay the chalk in this one.
1* YANKEES
N.Y. Yankees -145 at MINNESOTA
For Monday night we're taking the Yankees, and we're listing Andy Pettitte and Livan Hernandez.
I changed my tune about Hernandez this season a tad, as I used to always go against him. This season things are different, as the Twins are 9-3 in Hernandez’s 12 starts. Problem is, the veteran right-hander has been knocked around in his last two starts, yielding 14 runs (11 of them earned) in his last 11-1/3 innings. And the problem with that funk, is he now faces a team that’s been awfully rude to him, and that will come in looking to close out the series by avenging yesterday’s loss. In his career, Hernandez is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts against the Bombers.
And while I believe he’ll get shelled, I don’t think the Twins will have much luck against Pettitte, who’s improved the past few weeks, pitching the Bombers in a position to win. New York has won his last two outings as he’s allowed two runs in each, scattering eight hits over a combined 12-2/3 frames. He’s been respectable with a suitcase in hand, posting a 4-2 mark on the road. The Bombers have also won eight of Pettitte’s last 10 starts against Minnesota, so let’s lay the chalk in this one.
1* YANKEES
Matt Fargo...
<TABLE class=data id=hcFreePicks_tblFreePick><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead id=hcFreePicks_tdGame>GAME: New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants Jun 2, 2008 10:15PM</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdSport>SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdPick>PICK: San Francisco Giants</TD></TR><TR id=hcFreePicks_dLineRow><TD class=datacell>Offered at: 105 WSEX</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdReason>REASON FOR PICK: The Mets finished their homestand strong, winning five of their final six games after dropping the opener against Florida. Now it is back to the west coast where they went 3-3 in their last trip out there. This is not a very good spot however as they are coming off that game last night that did not end until 11:00 ET and then it was a long night of travel. Obviously the time difference helps but this will be a lethargic team come tonight. New York is just 11-16 on the road this season.
The Giants snagged the last game of their series with the Padres and it was hopefully a momentum building victory. San Francisco has actually been playing pretty well, going 7-4 in its last 11 games and the victory on Sunday snapped a seven-game home losing streak, which is another reason why that win was so important. The offense, non-existent to start the season, is coming around now as it has averaged 5.2 rpg over the last 13 games. This after averaging just 4.4 rpg to start the year.
Jonathan Sanchez has put together three straight quality games and is pitching at a season’s best right now following two of his shortest outings of the year prior to that. Since surrendering seven runs in his opening start against the Brewers, he has allowed three runs or fewer in all but one of his last 10 starts. His ERA is a solid 3.45 over those 10 outings with the Giants going 8-2 in those games. This is his first start ever against the Mets which is a solid pitching advantage.
New York counters with the ever inconsistent Oliver Perez. After opening the season with a quality start, he went six straight outings without recording another one. He tossed two more but his last two starts were dreadful, posting a 7.36 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. His WHIP on the season is 1.53 and it can be blamed on his poor control which has plagued him throughout his career. That WHIP is 8th worst in the league for qualified starters. Perez is 0-4 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight career starts against the Giants. Play San Francisco Giants 1.5 Units
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=data id=hcFreePicks_tblFreePick><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead id=hcFreePicks_tdGame>GAME: New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants Jun 2, 2008 10:15PM</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdSport>SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdPick>PICK: San Francisco Giants</TD></TR><TR id=hcFreePicks_dLineRow><TD class=datacell>Offered at: 105 WSEX</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdReason>REASON FOR PICK: The Mets finished their homestand strong, winning five of their final six games after dropping the opener against Florida. Now it is back to the west coast where they went 3-3 in their last trip out there. This is not a very good spot however as they are coming off that game last night that did not end until 11:00 ET and then it was a long night of travel. Obviously the time difference helps but this will be a lethargic team come tonight. New York is just 11-16 on the road this season.
The Giants snagged the last game of their series with the Padres and it was hopefully a momentum building victory. San Francisco has actually been playing pretty well, going 7-4 in its last 11 games and the victory on Sunday snapped a seven-game home losing streak, which is another reason why that win was so important. The offense, non-existent to start the season, is coming around now as it has averaged 5.2 rpg over the last 13 games. This after averaging just 4.4 rpg to start the year.
Jonathan Sanchez has put together three straight quality games and is pitching at a season’s best right now following two of his shortest outings of the year prior to that. Since surrendering seven runs in his opening start against the Brewers, he has allowed three runs or fewer in all but one of his last 10 starts. His ERA is a solid 3.45 over those 10 outings with the Giants going 8-2 in those games. This is his first start ever against the Mets which is a solid pitching advantage.
New York counters with the ever inconsistent Oliver Perez. After opening the season with a quality start, he went six straight outings without recording another one. He tossed two more but his last two starts were dreadful, posting a 7.36 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. His WHIP on the season is 1.53 and it can be blamed on his poor control which has plagued him throughout his career. That WHIP is 8th worst in the league for qualified starters. Perez is 0-4 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight career starts against the Giants. Play San Francisco Giants 1.5 Units
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Comp...
<TABLE class=data id=hcFreePicks_tblFreePick><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead id=hcFreePicks_tdGame>GAME: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Jun 2, 2008 10:10PM</TD></TR><TR id=hcFreePicks_trCapperName><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdCapperName>EXPERT: Larry Ness</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdSport>SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdPick>PICK: Los Angeles Angels</TD></TR><TR id=hcFreePicks_dLineRow><TD class=datacell>Offered at: -127 WSEX</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdReason>REASON FOR PICK: The Angels scored two runs in the bottom of the ninth (with two outs) to edge the Blue Jays 4-3 on Sunday. The win gave the Angels their fifth straight series win and 10 wins in their last 15 games. All this despite the fact that LA has not scored more than four runs in a game since the team's 10-2 win over the Dodgers on May 18 (13 games ago!). The Angels are batting a pathetic .204 as a team since May 20 (lowest in all of MLB during that span), yet are 8-4 in their 12 games. As for the Mariners, they enter tonight's game at 21-36, the worst record in the AL. What a difference a year makes! The Mariners were MLB's second-biggest "money-makers" last year, going plus-$1,924 vs the moneyline (only the Rockies were better). However, they are the second-biggest "money-burners" this year (ironically, only the Rockies are worse!), at minus-$1,598. Seattle enters this game having dropped nine of its last 12 games and will start the struggling Jarrod Washburn. Washburn is 2-6 with a 6.54 ERA in '08 and has just one win since April 9. He has had trouble both home and away, posting a 7.04 ERA in six road starts (team is 1-5) and a 6.14 ERA in four home starts (team is 1-3). The ex-Angel will face his former team for the second time this year, having given up four runs and 10 hits over six innings on April 19 in a 4-1 loss. Washburn's mound opponent in that April game was Ervin Santana and he is again tonight. Everyone knows that Santana entered this year with an excellent home mark but an atrocious road record. However, while he's continued to pitch well in Anaheim in '08 (3-1 with a 2.52 ERA in five starts), the difference has been in his road performances. Santana entered '08 with a 10-21 record and a 7.14 ERA on the road in 39 starts (team was 13-26). However, he's 4-1 with a 3.83 ERA in six starts this year (team is 4-2), giving him an overall 7-2 mark in '08, with a 3.09 ERA. The Angels have continued to find ways to win despite their hitting woes but in Washburn, they have an opposing pitcher they should be able to "get to." LA had trouble vs lefties last year (19-21 on the season) but is 9-2 vs left-handed starters so far in '08. Play the Angels</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=data id=hcFreePicks_tblFreePick><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead id=hcFreePicks_tdGame>GAME: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Jun 2, 2008 10:10PM</TD></TR><TR id=hcFreePicks_trCapperName><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdCapperName>EXPERT: Larry Ness</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdSport>SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdPick>PICK: Los Angeles Angels</TD></TR><TR id=hcFreePicks_dLineRow><TD class=datacell>Offered at: -127 WSEX</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell id=hcFreePicks_tdReason>REASON FOR PICK: The Angels scored two runs in the bottom of the ninth (with two outs) to edge the Blue Jays 4-3 on Sunday. The win gave the Angels their fifth straight series win and 10 wins in their last 15 games. All this despite the fact that LA has not scored more than four runs in a game since the team's 10-2 win over the Dodgers on May 18 (13 games ago!). The Angels are batting a pathetic .204 as a team since May 20 (lowest in all of MLB during that span), yet are 8-4 in their 12 games. As for the Mariners, they enter tonight's game at 21-36, the worst record in the AL. What a difference a year makes! The Mariners were MLB's second-biggest "money-makers" last year, going plus-$1,924 vs the moneyline (only the Rockies were better). However, they are the second-biggest "money-burners" this year (ironically, only the Rockies are worse!), at minus-$1,598. Seattle enters this game having dropped nine of its last 12 games and will start the struggling Jarrod Washburn. Washburn is 2-6 with a 6.54 ERA in '08 and has just one win since April 9. He has had trouble both home and away, posting a 7.04 ERA in six road starts (team is 1-5) and a 6.14 ERA in four home starts (team is 1-3). The ex-Angel will face his former team for the second time this year, having given up four runs and 10 hits over six innings on April 19 in a 4-1 loss. Washburn's mound opponent in that April game was Ervin Santana and he is again tonight. Everyone knows that Santana entered this year with an excellent home mark but an atrocious road record. However, while he's continued to pitch well in Anaheim in '08 (3-1 with a 2.52 ERA in five starts), the difference has been in his road performances. Santana entered '08 with a 10-21 record and a 7.14 ERA on the road in 39 starts (team was 13-26). However, he's 4-1 with a 3.83 ERA in six starts this year (team is 4-2), giving him an overall 7-2 mark in '08, with a 3.09 ERA. The Angels have continued to find ways to win despite their hitting woes but in Washburn, they have an opposing pitcher they should be able to "get to." LA had trouble vs lefties last year (19-21 on the season) but is 9-2 vs left-handed starters so far in '08. Play the Angels</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
LT Profits
Pittsburgh Pirates +155
The poor performance of Tom Gorzelanny of the Pittsburgh Pirates this season has been a mystery to us, but he has pitched well vs. the St. Louis Cardinals and we feel he will do so again at this very nice price.
We were very high on Gorzelanny coming into this season, but he has been a major disappointment to say the least at 4-5 with a 7.38 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 46.1 innings. However, even in this miserable campaign, he had one of his better starts vs. these Cardinals allowing three runs and only two hits in five innings, the fourth tine in five career starts against St. Louis that Gorzo has allowed three runs or less.
Conversely, Adam Wainwright is having a fine year for the Cardinals at 5-2 with a 2.86 ERA. However, we question whether Wainwright is as good as that ERA would indicate, and once he is out of the game, the St. Louis bullpen has been a real adventure lately, particularly in this series.
Despite the apparent talent discrepancy between these clubs, they have split their eight head-t0-head meetings so far this season, and we look for the underdog Pirates to gain a split of this four-game series tonight.
Pick: Pirates +155
Seattle Mariners +115
Not much has gone on for the Seattle Mariners this season, but they did score five runs in each of the last two games, a figure that would be good enough to beat the Los Angeles Angels right now.
This is because the Angels are mired in a terrible offensive slump, as they are batting an atrocious .215 as a team over their last 10 games, and they have now failed to score more than four runs in 12 consecutive contests. New their starter Ervin Santana did toss a Complete Game three-hit gem vs. the Detroit Tigers in his last start, but he has three consecutive bad outings prior to that and the last time he pitched in Seattle, he recorded just one out while allowing five earned runs, four hits and two walks.
Now Seattle starter Jarrod Washburn is having a terrible year at 2-6 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.51 WHIP, but he may have turned a corner in his last start vs. the New York Yankees when he surrendered just two runs and four hits in six innings. Besides, the Angels offense could make just about any pitcher look good in its current state.
Ultimately, we feel that the Mariners will give Washburn more run support here than the Halos are capable of giving Santana, and therein lies the reason for this upset.
Pick: Mariners +115
Pittsburgh Pirates +155
The poor performance of Tom Gorzelanny of the Pittsburgh Pirates this season has been a mystery to us, but he has pitched well vs. the St. Louis Cardinals and we feel he will do so again at this very nice price.
We were very high on Gorzelanny coming into this season, but he has been a major disappointment to say the least at 4-5 with a 7.38 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 46.1 innings. However, even in this miserable campaign, he had one of his better starts vs. these Cardinals allowing three runs and only two hits in five innings, the fourth tine in five career starts against St. Louis that Gorzo has allowed three runs or less.
Conversely, Adam Wainwright is having a fine year for the Cardinals at 5-2 with a 2.86 ERA. However, we question whether Wainwright is as good as that ERA would indicate, and once he is out of the game, the St. Louis bullpen has been a real adventure lately, particularly in this series.
Despite the apparent talent discrepancy between these clubs, they have split their eight head-t0-head meetings so far this season, and we look for the underdog Pirates to gain a split of this four-game series tonight.
Pick: Pirates +155
Seattle Mariners +115
Not much has gone on for the Seattle Mariners this season, but they did score five runs in each of the last two games, a figure that would be good enough to beat the Los Angeles Angels right now.
This is because the Angels are mired in a terrible offensive slump, as they are batting an atrocious .215 as a team over their last 10 games, and they have now failed to score more than four runs in 12 consecutive contests. New their starter Ervin Santana did toss a Complete Game three-hit gem vs. the Detroit Tigers in his last start, but he has three consecutive bad outings prior to that and the last time he pitched in Seattle, he recorded just one out while allowing five earned runs, four hits and two walks.
Now Seattle starter Jarrod Washburn is having a terrible year at 2-6 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.51 WHIP, but he may have turned a corner in his last start vs. the New York Yankees when he surrendered just two runs and four hits in six innings. Besides, the Angels offense could make just about any pitcher look good in its current state.
Ultimately, we feel that the Mariners will give Washburn more run support here than the Halos are capable of giving Santana, and therein lies the reason for this upset.
Pick: Mariners +115
