Service Plays Friday 4/18/14

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Hockey Crusher
Tampa Bay Lightning -110 over Montreal Canadiens
(Playoff Record: 1-1, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 92-74-1
 

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Soccer Crusher
Vila Nova + Luverdense UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

(System Record: 554-20, lost last game)
Overall Record: 554-475-81
 
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Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won in the NHL on Thursday with the Sharks -$140/Penguins.

"Mr Chalk" had Np for Thursday in MLB.

For Friday in the NHL E&B like the Bruins -$200/Red Wings.

For Friday in MLB in the American league "Mr Chalk" likes the Royals -$150/Twins.

Ben lee is 3-1 +$79 for week twenty five 97-108-5 -$1770

"Mr Chalk" is 7-6 -$44 for the 2014 MLB season

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted
 
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Baseball Crusher
Boston Red Sox -130 over Baltimore Orioles
(System Record: 11-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 11-7

Rest of Crusher's Baseball & Hockey Plays Today:

Cleveland Indians -125 over Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels +117 over Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs -104 over Cincy Reds

Boston Bruins + Detroit Red Wings UNDER 5
Dallas Stars + Anaheim Ducks OVER 5.5
Montreal Canadiens + Tampa Bay Lightning OVER 5
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Friday Brandon Lang

20 Dimes - LA Angels +105 visiting the Detroit Tigers, 7:05 PM EST
 
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GC: MLB System Play

Friday card has the MLB Game of the Month with a 30-1 Pitching angle and an 11-0 Blowout system, there is also a 25-3 System side , a 100% MLB Totals system that averages 13 runs and an Early Perfect system NBA playoff release + NHL Game 2 Super system side. MLB Total below


On Friday the MLB Totals Play is on the Under in the Atlanta at New York Mets game. Rotation numbers 907/908 at 7:10 eastern. This game fits a nice 82% totals system we use in game one of a series that plays to the under home certain home teams with a total that is 8 or less and are coming off a road dog win and are taking on an opponent off abroad favored loss. The Mets are home off a nice 6-3 road trip and a road win in Arizona. The Braves were favored and lost on Thursday in Philly. Atlanta has played under in 7 of 9 on the road and 9 of the last 11 as a road favorite with a total of 8 or less if they lost as a road favorite in their last game. They have Harang making his 2nd start against the Mets and he has been solid allowing just 2 runs in his last 11 innings against them. Harang has been a pleasant early surprise with 0.96 era and has allowed just a pair of earned run sin 18 innings. The Mets counter with J. Niese who has done well allowing just 2 runs in 13 home innings vs the Braves. Look for this game to stay under tonight. On Friday we have a Huge MLB Game of the Month leading the card. this game has a 30-1 Pitching angle And an 11-0 Blowout system. There is also a 25-3 Dominator system and 100% MLB Totals system that averages 13 runs per game + 100% NBA Playoff Payoff System in the Early NBA Game. We even have a Historical system in Game 2 of the NHL playoffs. Thursday top plays go 3-0, NY.Rangers, Yankees and Pirates. jump on now and Roll your book like wholesale carpet tonight. For the MLB Total, that the under in the Braves at Mets game. GC
 
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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | NY YANKEES at TAMPA BAY
Play On – Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, good defensive catchers – allowing 0.5 or less SB’s/game on the season
92-64 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.0% | 42.9 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 20-10 (+15.7 Units) against the money line vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: SAN DIEGO (3.9) , OPPONENT (3.7)
 
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Diamond Dog Sports
Sides 17-16-0
+209

#904 Nationals +100 (.5*)
Listed Pitcher: Wacha / Gonzalez

#924 Royals RL (-1.5) +135 (.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Nolasco / Vargas

Totals 15-13-2
-521
#911/912 Over Padres 6.5 -110 (.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Cain / Ross

#915/916 Under Tigers 8.0 -125 (1*)
Listed Pitchers: Weaver / Smyly
 
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Dave Essler - MLB Notes

Cubs-Reds: Don't like PM Cubs games. Chilly and wind blowing in, so we'll see where they set that total. Both pens been awful, and Chapman about ready to return, and with Simon a relief pitcher for the most part, I can see taking the Cubs at +100 (that should tell you something right there) and perhaps the over, which may be a little low BECAUSE of the wind.

Washington-St. Louis: Awful for me to think Washington would hit last night, although is was more a case of Washington's pitchers simply walking the ballpark and committing tons of errors. As I said on the podcast the other night, those things tend to be cyclical, so it's tough even to take Gio here. He was lit by the Braves, and the Nationals pen is somewhat depleted. I could make a reasonable argument for the under here, since he's done well against STL in the past.

Milwaukee-Pittsburgh: Lohse obviously was a beast last time out, and the motivation is clearly with the Pirates after being swept in Milwuakee last week. My issue with Pittsburgh lately is they are the second coming of Atlanta, scoring mainly vie the long ball. Morton being the ground ball pitcher that he is, I would argue Pirates and under.

Mets-Braves: Because the Braves are so cheap, especially with Harang in beastmode, I'd be concerned here. Mets had a day off and the Braves had an emotional three game series w/the Phillies, including a rain out. The Mets may just win this one here.

Colorado-Philadelphia: Obvious travel issue for the Phillies, who's bats have gone quiet. I am not a huge fan of Chatwood yet, because he's not a ground ball pitcher, and not in Coors Field. However, the Rockies have seen Pettibone and the weather IS conducive to hitting, so this may be the over, but I would much prefer 10 to 10.5 so we'll wait that one out. Perhaps this COULD be one of the few times I lay the -1.5.

Padres-Giants: I don't get the flip to the Padres being the listed favorite overnight, but I haven't looked deep yet. I am not a big fan of Ross, but I have long felt Cain is over rated as well, and the Padres have seen plenty of him. The Padres bats have gone quiet, and IMO if they are going to win as the early move might suggest, I would think it stays under.

Dodgers-D-Backs: As I said on the podcast, most big dogs get scalped and this is certainly no exception since Arizona had been. Since Arizona was swept by the Dodgers and then the Mets, they may be thinking that because AS just saw Zach that they make some adjustments. Here's what I think. Two of the best hitting pitchers in baseball may mean this goes over. If it goes to 6.5 I may well take my chances, but if it did I doubt it would stay there long.

Angels-Tigers: Two teams I always seem to struggle to grasp, and obvious over reaction to the Tigers bats being woken up yesterday here. My first instinct is that although I am not a huge Weaver fan, all things being equal, to get the potential of the Angels and Weaver at that price you almost have to. I do know they've struggled against LHP, but it's Drew Smyly, not Denny McLain. Both pens suck (usually) and the weather isn't THAT bad, so if that total dropped to 7.5 there's the option of the over as well.

Toronto-Cleveland: Big love for Masterson but he's not been himself this year, and that's in part due to the DH the Jays plays and lost both (thank you) yesterday. I am simply not laying the "new" price on Cleveland, and not sure I could take Toronto either. That total has plummeted all the way to 7.5 in places, and that may be an over reaction a bit. If that IS the case and the line keeps moving, I could see taking the Toronto RL, but they've got no pen left (thank you again) either.

Yankees-Rays: Automatic to think about taking the under in any Tampa Bay home game. But, I don't trust either pitcher. One is going on 100 and the other couldn't stick with the Astros. Have to think NYY has the momentum after beating the sh*t out of Price last night, and the Rays seem to be in free fall. I would hate to start fading the Rays "streak" too late, but would almost have to take NYY here.

Baltimore-Boston: Always tough to take a team in the first game back (Boston) but it is Tillman and the always unpredictable John Lackey. Since we like the Orioles much better against right handed pitching and they're on a bit of a winning streak, I can see backing the Birds here.

White Sox-Texas: So, Texas starts hitting for two games and the White Sox stop hitting for two game and all of a sudden Perez is a -160 pitcher. Not a chance. Give me the White Sox RL and be done with it, even with Chicago playing last night and traveling. However, I do think they're are far better games. And if that total really is going to stay at 10, perhaps Texas is going to hit. Hate this game.

Twins-Royals: Those that know me know I would find a way to back the Twins here. Even after the DH, they are playing well, and that may over ride anything else. Royals in a first game back and did not exactly light up the scoreboard in Houston. I can see this one staying under 8.5 in the bigger park, and if that is the case perhaps the Twins RL, again. Might find something here.

Oakland-Houston: I totally get how good Sonny Gray is and late last year he made us money. And I totally get how Houston isn't hitting. But, at -200 that's a stretch, especially in what is projected as a low scoring game and in perhaps the biggest park with the most foul territory in the world. I can make a reasonable case for this staying under, because I do like Cosart.

Miami-Seattle: Don't forget that the Mariners don't get to use the DH in this park. Eovaldi CAN be good, but he CAN be awful, and I do like the Mariners better against RHP and they've probably got the better bullpen. I don't like Young and this game has already flipped from about a coin-toss to heavy Miami. They aren't usually THAT easy, but they can be. This game, as do most IL games, needs more attention than I can give it right now.
 
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Jeffrey James (YouWinNow)

MLB Play of the Day - #924 Texas Rangers with Perez moneyline -150

Big edge here on the mound with the Rangers since Perez is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA and Paulino of the Sox is 0-1 with a 7.98 ERA. Paulino has been hammered his last 2 starts which is just what the doctor ordered for the struggling Rangers bats. Texas has been good at home while the South Siders have been bad on the road. Play Texas here as the play of the day.
 
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NHL

Friday, April 18

Detroit is in first year in Eastern Conference; they're 3-1 in their last four first round series, despite being lower-seeded team two of three years they won. Red Wings are 22-19 on road this season; they won three of four with Boston this season, winning last three games after Bruins won first meeting 4-1. Top-seed Boston is 31-10 at home- they lost five of their last seven games after clinching division- they're 4-1 in last five first round series.

Lightning won three of four vs Montreal this season, then lost Game 1 here in OT, with the Canadiens outshooting them 44-25; Habs are 4-1 in last four visits here, with five of last six series games staying under total. Tampa won four of last five games, but gave up five goals Wednesday, after giving up four in winning last four regular season games. Montreal won eight of last eleven games, five of seven on road. Lightning had 50-36 edge in faceoffs; both teams failed to score on two power plays each in Game 1.

Ducks won last five games after racing out to 4-0 lead in Game 1, then holding on for dear life; they're 31-11 at home- eight of their last eleven games overall went over total. Anaheim was 2-5 on power play, won faceoffs 46-37. Ducks lost four of last five games with Stars- six of last ten series games stayed under. Dallas is just 6-5 in last eleven games, with six of last eight games staying under the total; Stars were 1-5 with their power play chances.
 
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NHL

Friday, April 18


Patrice Bergeron, Boston - Prob Fri

Bergeron is recovering from a lower-body injury and has participated in two consecutive practices. He is expected to be ready for the opening game of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals Friday against the Red Wings.


Underdog Red Wings fare well versus Bruins

At +260 to win the series, the Detroit Red Wings might be one of the biggest longshots in the first round, but they have had great success versus the Boston Bruins in recent meetings.

In the previous eight meetings between the two Original Six franchises, the Red Wings have posted a 7-1 record. Take that with a grain of salt, however, as that mark stretches back to 2009 with no games played between the two in either 2010 and 2012.

But bettors looking for a dog can find a little more solace in the fact that the Wings were 3-1 in the 2013-14 season - their first as a member of the Eastern Conference.
 

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BookieMonstir twitter.

1-4 yesterday, good luck #MLB

4-18-14
32-32 overall


7:05 Indians -139
7:05 Milwaukee +107
7:05 Cards +101
7:10 NYY -102
7:10 Braves -104
 
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Chase Diamond

Title: Chase's 9* MLB GOOD WOOD

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians (MLB) - Apr 18, 2014 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Money Line: -133 Cleveland Indians Play

This game has the 8-8 Jays at the 7-8 Indians. Justin Masterson is the Indians best pitcher and through 3 starts he has no wins and a 5.87 ERA. I expect a big game from Justin today as he is too talented not too. Indians team should be fully ready to go here today as they know this is a game they must have. Drew Hutchison is very young and talented but Masterson will be out pitching him today. This is another public play we are backing take the Indians to win for a 9* play.
 

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