service plays 30/08/07

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JEFF ALEXANDER

Take Chicago (N) Cubs
1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -165 (Listing Lilly and Parra) The Cubs will come back with a big win today after getting embarrassed by the Brewers with Carlos Zambrano on the mound last night. Ted Lilly has been the most consistent starter all year for Chicago. Lilly is 13-7 with a 3.85 ERA. Manny Parra has only started one game for the Brewers this year in a loss. Parra won’t be able to handle going on the road and playing at Wrigley Field tonight in a pressure-packed game. The Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. The Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Cubs run away with this game. Take Chicago.


SEE POST# 13 FOR BEN BURNS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

COMPUTER PLAYS

NO BEST BETS


7:05 p.m. Cleveland Indians - 140
7:05 p.m. Cincinnati Reds + 110
8:35 p.m. Texas Rangers - 150

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Frank Patron
Date: Thursday August 30, 2007

Sport: MLB
Game: Boston at New York

Prediction: New York Yankees -155 W/ Wang

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Paul Leiner
Thursday, August 30, 2007

Sport: MLB
Game: Philadelphia/New York
Prediction: 5* Phillies +120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lovell


Thursday, August 30, 2007

Game: Cardinals - Astros



4* Astros +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Michael Alexander

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (MLB)
Aug 30, 2007 1:05 PM EDT

Play: Boston Red Sox


Play on Boston w/ Schilling

After winning four in a row and 6 of 7, the Boston Red Sox have stumbled in the first two games of this series versus the Yankees. What was an 8 game lead at the start of the series is now 6 with the Yankees looking for the sweep this afternoon.

The Red Sox have excelled in day games this season going 28-12 and have been particularly effective versus right-handers on the road with a 28-14 mark. That will help as they face Yankee righty, Chien-Ming Wang who comes in with a very good 3.95 ERA. However, in his career against the Red Sox Wang is only 4-4 with a slightly higher 4.86 ERA.

The Yankees, long given for dead, are in the middle of the playoff picture once again. By winning the first two games of this series coupled with Seattle getting swept by the Angels, they are now in a tie for the Wild Card spot. A win today would go a long way and pull them to 5 games of the Red Sox.

Today, they will be facing veteran Curt Schilling. Schilling has had a tough year by his standards coming in at only 8-5 with a 4.11 ERA. He has pitched well recently going 2-0 with a much improved 3.00 ERA. In his career versus the Yankees Schilling has posted a 9-5 mark.

SUPPORTING ANGLES: NY YANKEES are 14-20 (-20.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons. WANG is 0-6 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons. SCHILLING is 23-5 (+18.5 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Sure the Yankees are hot while Schilling's effectiveness has been questionable. But, when was the last time that you could ever say that you were able to take Schilling as a huge underdog? Huge value play here. I'm taking the Red Sox in this one.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

*Master Lock Line 8/30*

MLB
St Louis over
Baltimore
Texas
Milwaukee
San Diego
Mets

 

[campusbookie]

Any Big Al McMordie?

 

[serlaccorp]

Scott Sprietzer

Scott Spreitzer (Thursday)- La. Monroe

 

[serlaccorp]

Ace Ace /allan Eastman

ace-ace / allan eastman:

-6.95u ytd bases (+5.65u parlay included)
cle -140


0-0 ytd ncaa
Lsu -18

 

[serlaccorp]

Tom Scott

TOM SCOTT'S OPENING UPSET SPECIAL!


MIAMI OHIO over Ball State by 6
There are a couple of angles that led me to this game, but the truth of the matter is, I had this one circled since last October. That was when the Red Hawks, riddled by injuries, laid six at Ball State and lost the whole game, the lowlight of their season. Much has been written about BSU QB Nate Davis but was the less publicized Mike Kokal of Miami who was the league's most productive QB. Miami is a winning program coming off a horrendous 2-10 season. The RedHawks are itching to erase that memory and get even with the Cardinals at the same time. They'll get it done.

PREDICTION: MIAMI 30 - Ball State 24

 

[serlaccorp]

Dave Cokin

NFLx "Game of the Year"
Tennessee Titans -7

 

[serlaccorp]

Dave Malinsky

NFL X 6* San Fran 49rs/San Diego Chargers under 38

 

[serlaccorp]

Marc Lawrence

kickoff winner miami -ohio

 

[serlaccorp]

John Ryan

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Kent State - AiS shows a 73% probability that Kent State will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and a 50% probability that they will win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 111-61 ATS since 1992. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season. Should the line move below 3 for this game, which I don not believe will occur, it never the less does not diminish the grading of this play by my AiS. The grading is the final result of the AiS. The slight differences in the probabilities of ATS and SU wins are only shown as just 1 example of the many modules involved in the neural net. Differing probabilities do not make one play stronger than another. Remember always that the reason we are making this play is due to the AiS grading. The supplemental info, angles, and systems serve only to reinforce the grading. The Kent State Golden Flashes had the 116th ranked punting team in the country last season and that has been addressed in Spring and Summer camps. The punting game will be far better and that takes a whole lot of pressure off this defense. The fact that KS also returns 8 defensive starters will be a huge advantage against a IS team that returns only 4 starters on offense. Based on the AiS projections I also like the following teaser play. I highly recommend not exceeding a 1* amount on this additional play. Take the UNDER and Kent State in a teaser. AiS shows an 80% probability that KS defense will not allow 150 or more passing yards in this game and an 82% probability that IS will do the same. Note that IS is 12-3 UNDER and KS 8-1 UNDER in this role since 1992. Good Luck as always

 

[serlaccorp]

Carlo Campanella

Carlo Campanella

While posting a 2-0 record with my Guaranteed NFL picks last week, we cashed on Tennessee as they went to Buffalo and walked away with a solid 28-17 victory. This Thursday they're favored by more then a touchdown as they end the preseason by hosting Green Bay. Interestingly, we also cashed by "playing against" Green Bay last week as Jacksonville was our "Preseason Game of the Year." The results of those two games set up a perfect Key Angle that tells us that Tennessee is 0-8 ATS following a SU dog win and is playing a team off a SU loss during preseason play. We'll take the points with the Packers knowing that last week's loss was a letdown from their previous 48-13 blowout victory over Seattle.

7* Play On Green Bay

 

[serlaccorp]

Lt's Lock

LT'S LOCK

Todays selection:


The Marlins -105

Current streak: 2 wins

Overall record: 484-378-18

 

[serlaccorp]

Alex Smart

Utah St. +7.0
Thu Aug 30 '07 8:05p

The UNLV Runnin Rebels enter in this contest against Utah Sate having lost 15 straight road games straight up by an average of 23 PPG, covering just 2 of those contests. Utah State despite a ugly season last year should be much improved this season with 11 starters on defense back, and 17 starters overall. I know the Aggies do not instill confidence in their betting backers , but it must be noted that they played the 27th toughest schedule in the country last year and learned a lot from playing against 4 schools that ranked among the top 10 in total offense. It must also be noted that UNLV, has a ugly history in this series losing 9 of the L/10 meetings vs Utah State, with the last win coming in Logan. The Aggies have won 3 straight meetings outscoring the Rebels by a 104-45 count. With UNLV freshman QB Travis Dixon expected to make this start , and last years starter Rocky Hinds less than 100% ,do not b surprised if Utah actually makes a game of this. With that said Take the points

 

[serlaccorp]

Bookie Killer

Bookie killer

50 dime utah
20 dime ul monroe
20 dime miami ohio
10 dime kent st.
free carolina

 

[serlaccorp]

Hd's Actionline

Utah State +6.5 over UNLV